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Microsoft (MSFT)

Microsoft: Challenges and Opportunities for InvestorsMicrosoft's business appears to be slowing down, with the company's stock declining since the beginning of 2022 due to sales growth reaching its limit. Furthermore, large parts of the company's business, including the PC and video game segments, are shrinking, and the outlook for corporate technology spending in 2023 isn't looking good. Despite these major problems, Microsoft has several aspects that are not as well known and point to solid returns for investors in the long run. For example, the company has a rich portfolio that covers attractive sectors such as cybersecurity, video games, and cloud services, offering more diversified participation in technology growth trends than many other peers. Although some of these niches may go through periods of decline, Microsoft provides investors with exposure to attractive industries that offer solid returns in the long run. Additionally, Microsoft's stable cash flow is another strength that sets it apart from many of its peers. The company generated $20.4 billion in operating income in Q2 of fiscal 2023, just 8 percent less than the previous year, and its operating cash is still strong at $11.2 billion. Despite the challenges facing most tech giants in 2023, Microsoft has several strengths that could help it weather the storm. For example, the company pays a dividend that was recently raised by 10 percent, has plenty of cash, and does not need to rely on costly debt to finance its business. Additionally, Microsoft's global sales presence should smooth out the volatility from the downturn in demand in some markets and niches. In conclusion, although Microsoft's stock may not be recession-proof, the company's strengths provide it with the flexibility to continue investing in high-yield projects such as artificial intelligence and virtual reality, ensuring that long-term growth prospects are not jeopardized by a few weak quarters.
NASDAQ:MSFTLong
by FOREXN1
3
AAPL/MFST Key Resistance for $QQQ. XLF Houly Bullflag, 25BPS- 7.5% move on QQQ/NASDAQ in 4 days. AAPL and MSFT now hitting key resistance, will be watching to see if it can break above or not for QQQ to continue. - likely a slight pullback hourly consolidation for QQQ before attempting another leg up. - after ECB hiked 0.5% this morning our rate hike of 25Bps increased to 80% chance this morning. - XLF hourly bullflag still possible need to see bulls show up and hold above 0.382 fib - as long as hourly trend is intact for the bulls on QQQ / SPY / SPX there is no red flag at all for the bulls.
AMEX:XLFLong
by ArcadiaTrading
$NDX looks good, better than $DJIRecently we made a post on how $NDX would outperform $DJI being it lacked #banks & #oil & it has done this. As we have stated for some time, we're still CAUTIOUS BULL on the #stockmarket. Even after this latest fiasco. CAUTIOUS is the key word. Daily $NDX broke channel to upside AND longer term downtrend!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Weekly chart shows #NDX holding above the weekly moving avg's & there was a bullish moving avg crossover, yellow circle, & has held. 12900 is an important level for #NASDAQ 100. Breaks that 13700 is next target. $DJI looks okay. It held well until recently. It is close to forming a bearish crossover but we'll see. IMO likely not. While #DJI is much weaker as a whole cherry picking individual #stocks on the index should be okay. We stated $MSFT $AAPL have done well & newbie $AMGN & $VZ for yield. #msft #aapl #amgn #VZ
NASDAQ:NDX
by ROYAL_OAK_INC
$MSFT: Buy the dip to join the trend#Microsoft has a very interesting weekly uptrend signal active here, while the daily has just had a correction that ran its course. This gives us an interesting reward to risk entry to join the weekly trend at a more favorable reward to risk spot. It's interesting how $GOOGL's monopoly in search being disrupted might affect things going forward also. On one hand, $MSFT has a chance at gaining ground in advertising and $GOOGL a chance to take a huge hit to their search margins if forced to integrate LLMs into it due to pressure from $MSFT (it was a big number, +30% hit). This might kick start some soul searching in $GOOGL, since they had been quite complacent and developed a ton of fluff thanks to their dominant position in search favoring it, a lot of excess they needed to shake off (head count, ridiculous woke practices and divisions burning $ for no reason like Waymo or miraculous anti aging methods to name a few, lots and lots of fat to shed). $MSFT has done a better job in that regard, and are well positioned thanks to their subscription service model producing recurrent revenues and cash generation. Of the two, $MSFT is better run, by a lot... Technically, $GOOGL is below weekly support while $MSFT is in a weekly uptrend and erased a recent monthly decline. All things considered from a long term perspective I would be inclined to invest in $MSFT long term here, rather than $GOOGL, and the entry point here seems to be low risk vs potential reward, even in the short and mid term. It's certainly worth considering. Best of luck if you do follow this buy signal. Cheers, Ivan Labrie.
NASDAQ:MSFTLong
by IvanLabrie
5
NVDA Microsoft and OpenAI's ChatGPT 4 RevolutionNVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) is a semiconductor company that designs and manufactures graphics processing units, as well as other specialized processors for a wide range of applications such as gaming, professional visualization, data centers, and autonomous vehicles. As of the current market data, NVDA is priced at $240.82 with a 1.02% increase in the last trading session. The 1-month high and low for the stock were $244.54 and $204.21, respectively. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for NVDA is at 58.90, indicating a neutral market sentiment for the stock. NVDA has been showing strong bullish momentum, as evidenced by its Average Directional Index (ADX) of 16.02. Additionally, the Moving Averages Rating for NVDA is Strong Buy, indicating that the stock is trading above its short-term and long-term moving averages. However, the Awesome Oscillator for NVDA is at 5.08, indicating a weak bullish momentum. The MACD Level (12,26) is positive at 2.95, but the MACD Signal (12,26) is at 3.01, indicating a bearish trend reversal in the short term. The Commodity Channel Index (CCI) is currently at 85.94, suggesting that the stock may be overbought. The company's financials also look strong, with a YTD performance of 4.28%. The Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) for NVDA are also positive, with the 20-day EMA at 234.73, 50-day EMA at 225.89, and 200-day EMA at 191.54. Overall, NVDA appears to be in a bullish trend, with strong financials and technical indicators. However, investors should be cautious of a possible bearish trend reversal in the short term. Microsoft new partner OpenAI will make Microsoft better than Google. Will see
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by BorsaMerkezi
Interpreting the Silicon Valley Bank Incident After the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020, the Federal Reserve used monetary policy to fight the pandemic, and household savings deposits reached about $1 trillion, with broad money M2 growing by over 25%. Many people were bullish on the US stock market, believing that these huge amounts of idle cash would one day enter the market as stocks. Obviously, many people forgot the double-entry accounting principle - for every credit, there must be a corresponding debit. For Silicon Valley Bank, with deposits of over $100 billion, all of its depositors are the largest and bluest venture capital companies and technology newcomers in Silicon Valley, including Peter Thiel's Founder's Fund. Since the Federal Reserve interest rate is zero, they bought the world's safest assets - short-term US bonds, and even earned some interest. However, the good times did not last. By the end of 2021, US inflation began to soar, and the Federal Reserve's monetary policy began to lose control, causing short-term US bond yields to soar, leading to the biggest US bond market crash in over 200 years in 2022. Suddenly, the world's safest asset became the storm's eye, and the US bond holdings in Silicon Valley Bank's account began to bleed. Even if they haven't sold yet, accounting requires mark-to-market valuation. The Silicon Valley market price loss has exceeded its total equity. Rating agencies wasted no time in preparing to downgrade Silicon Valley Bank's rating. However, deposit rates remain close to zero. Americans don't want to be harvested like this, so they began to withdraw their bank deposits and buy money market funds that now yield nearly 4%. If Silicon Valley Bank significantly raises its deposit interest rates, its interest margin income will be reduced, and it will have to pay additional liquidity. At this time, Silicon Valley found itself in a dilemma. Investment bank Goldman Sachs saw commission opportunities and began to suggest that Silicon Valley sell part of its US bond portfolio and sell $2.25 billion of its stocks to replenish capital. This idea was really bad: data disclosed during the roadshow showed that Silicon Valley's customers were withdrawing large sums of money, causing a significant loss of deposits. If it weren't for the roadshow disclosure, the market wouldn't know the details. Now, the market believes that Silicon Valley is about to go bankrupt, accelerating the run on the bank. Since Silicon Valley's customers are all big clients with deposits far exceeding $250,000, more than 95% of Silicon Valley Bank's deposits are not covered by the US deposit insurance limit of $250,000. There must be many other regional banks using similar methods for cash management. Today, they are bound to face the same risks as short-term US bond yields soar. This also explains why the market unilaterally believes that the Federal Reserve will soon stop raising interest rates. Their actions determine their fate. Of course, the Federal Reserve's monetary policy must now consider the impact on the US banking industry. Chairman Powell has recently been saying that he needs to "consider the totality of data." Last night, the market hid in the short-term US bonds out of safe haven demand, causing yields to plummet. Many people continue to be indifferent to the historic inversion of the US bond yield curve. In fact, the inversion of the yield curve is a distortion of risk, which is not sustainable. Its reversal will cause a cataclysmic event. Although long-term risks are stable, short-term risks are high. We need to survive the short term to see the long term. "But such long-term predictions are of no use for the present. In the long term, we are all dead. Economists have it too easy, because their work is useless. At the onset of a storm, economists can only tell us that the storm will pass, and that the ocean will be calm again." - Keynes Now, the global market is concerned: Will Silicon Valley Bank be rescued? Many experts believe that if the US regulatory authorities do not intervene, Silicon Valley will become the second Lehman, which will bring down the US financial system. The market needs to see three measures for rescue: 1) Small depositors with less than $250,000 should receive full payment; 2) Depositors with deposit insurance limits over $250,000 should receive partial payment, and it should be ensured that in the future, depending on the sale of Silicon Valley Bank assets, these large depositors can receive most of their payment (such as 80%); 3) Let one of the four major US banks take over Silicon Valley Bank. The problem now is that less than 3% of Silicon Valley Bank deposit balances are below $250,000. Others are large and blue, including Silicon Valley venture capital companies such as Sequoia Capital, Paradigm, a16z, and GGV Capital. Many Silicon Valley companies involve funds ranging from hundreds of millions to tens of billions. No wonder Silicon Valley was squeezed for more than $40 billion before being taken over. Under such pressure, almost no bank can survive. Unfortunately, US law may not allow it. If the Federal Reserve intervenes, the Silicon Valley crisis must meet the definition of "systemic risk" and there must be "broad-based" risks, and it cannot only benefit a particular company. At the same time, the Federal Reserve cannot intervene in bankrupt companies that have already been taken over. The US Treasury cannot use unlegislated funds without congressional approval, and now there is no money left. In the end, it seems that FDIC has to bear the burden alone. The process of selling Silicon Valley assets to pay large depositors has already begun. It is reported that hedge funds have offered to buy Silicon Valley Bank's deposits at 60%-80% of their value. In times of crisis, Silicon Valley assets can be realized for 60%-80% of their value, and after the panic in the US market subsides, the price should be even higher. After all, US Treasury bonds trade up to $650 billion every day. Will the Federal Reserve open the floodgates again because of Silicon Valley Bank? In fact, Silicon Valley's bankruptcy is precisely due to the Fed's unbridled printing of money, which caused a sharp drop in US bond yields and a surge in savings deposits. If money is printed again using Silicon Valley as an excuse, the Fed's only remaining credibility will be gone. When Lehman collapsed, its assets were worth $640 billion, and its associated derivative contract amounted to trillions of dollars. It was indeed a decisive moment. However, the assets of Silicon Valley Bank this weekend were only $220 billion, and it still held a large number of highly liquid US Treasury bonds. Previously, the market believed that the US economy would not decline, but the Federal Reserve's decision to slow down the pace of interest rate hikes, and even stop them soon, made the combination of economic and policy expectations logically hard to convince. During this cycle of rate hikes, Federal Reserve officials maintained a dovish stance until the end of 2021, believing that inflation would be a "transitory, temporary phenomenon." They then changed their tune in 2022, saying that this round of inflation will be "higher and longer." In both recent history and ancient times, the Federal Reserve's forecasting record seems to be lacking. Overnight, the two-year US Treasury yield skyrocketed by more than 5%, the first time since 2007. The degree of inversion of the US Treasury yield curve is the most severe since 1981. Many people mistakenly believe that the inverted US Treasury yield curve is terrifying. In fact, it is more terrifying when the yield curve returns to normal from inversion because this is the moment when the US economy officially enters into a recession. Follow me and you'll get more interesting investment information! Plus, I'll share real-time trading strategies during trading hours, including stocks, gold , crude oil , forex, cryptocurrencies, and more!
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by EagleEyeStrategy
2
Getting close to another support level on $DJI, SCALPING onlyAs stated many times, in & out. Get as much as you can and then WAIT, be PATIENT IF you want to hold longer. It could be a while before we get another good longer term buy opportunity. As stated before, SCALPING quick moves. Most of these were not huge moves BUT Put premiums did lessen & provided 10-25% in minutes. $MSFT went from 249 - 252 $ZS 106 - 108.5 $TSLA 170 -177 $COIN 53-55.2 $RUN 21.9 - 22.95 Picked up some gold miners $BTG $KGC Possible consolidation in the industry.
DJ:DJI
by ROYAL_OAK_INC
𝗧𝗲𝘀𝗹𝗮 𝗨𝗽𝗱𝗮𝘁𝗲: $TSLA Daily. 180 Support Lost5 waves down all the way to ~100 to end 2022. Huge bounce all the way to 200dma and key resistance area that has rejected. 180 support failing ... looks like we'll move towards the gap fill at 145 Through the first 2 months of 2023, retail investors have bought ~$10B worth of Telsa, more than any other stock/ETF (compared to ~$4B of $SPY). What could go wrong? 🤓 $QQQ $NQ_F $NDX $AAPL $MSFT $GOOG $AMZN $SOX $ES_F $SPX $TLT $TNX $VIX #Stocks 📉
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by KobesyTrades
$DJI dip bought yesterday paying off, $NDX #stocks BOUNCINGYesterday pointed out that we were using cash on that dip We had sold decent amount couple days before from the longs of last week. Bought (Sold puts) $MSFT $UDOW $TQQQ $RUN $ZS and others With rates increasing & #FED staying hawkish how are we not going lower? Maybe not here but we've stated before MANY times that #markets don't work, especially now, the way most think. It's psychology & BIG MONEY moves how they see it. $DJI can very well stay RANGEBOUND for a bit. Stayed this way for 2 weeks in December. The indices are "easier" to track so find your fav company and use indices to trade around it.
DJ:DJI
by ROYAL_OAK_INC
MSFT Update (options)Through their tales of joy and pain, We'll learn to dance in life's sweet rain. So listen well to words from the wise, And let their knowledge be your prize. As an update to my idea yesterday, I discussed that if MSFT broke down, that we'd head toward $253 and we got to $253.58 which is down from 256.87 where we closed yesterday. MSFT filled the gap in the first 15 minutes of trading then was rejected in a big way. I believe we'll hit that target of 253 exactly, but will be watching for a move back toward 247 if we break 253. Watch the wavemaster on the 15, though. We're pretty oversole so don't be surprised if we get a bounce tomorrow in the first part of the day before potentially reversing lower later in the day.
NASDAQ:MSFT
by bitdoctor
MSFT still respecting key levels (options)Trading options based on key levels to take profit can be an effective strategy for investors looking to capitalize on short-term price movements. These key levels, also known as support and resistance levels, are often identified by analyzing historical price data and identifying areas where prices have previously stalled or reversed. By entering trades at these key levels and setting profit targets accordingly, investors can limit their risk and potentially realize gains in a shorter period of time. However, it's important to remember that trading options involves risk and investors should have a solid understanding of options trading and market analysis before attempting to use this strategy. I created these key levels on MSFT in December and they still hold true today. Red levels are daily levels, yellow are hourly levels, and orange are your intraday levels. By my estimation, MSFT looks like it will bounce and find resistance at $260, but if it breaks through, it should go to $264 next. However, if MSFT breaks down tomorrow, we should reasonably target a move to $253 and a further move would go to about $247. Todays price action was lackluster. There was a nice trendy move at the beginning of the day but it almost completely reversed itself. Watch the wavemaster indicator on lower timeframes for a sign of what is to come next. Right now, I see us in the middle of a range with a higher potential we bounce tomorrow vs go down.
NASDAQ:MSFT
by bitdoctor
MSFT, 10d+/13.55%rising cycle 13.55% more than 10 days. ================================================================================================================================================================== This data is analyzed by robots. Analyze historical trends based on The Adam Theory of Markets (20 moving averages/60 moving averages/120 moving averages/240 moving averages) and estimate the trend in the next 10 days. The white line is the robot's expected price, and the upper and lower horizontal line stop loss and stop profit prices have no financial basis. The results are for reference only.
NASDAQ:MSFTLong
by Tonyder