MSFT Finished W4 - THETA PLAYDoesn't get easier than this set up. Shorts are too crowded. The risk/reward for out of the money calls are outstanding. 10K = 350K If 2nd Target reached by April
Microsoft (MSFT)
Elliott Wave View: Microsoft (MSFT) Looking to Extend the Next LCycle from 12.13.2022 high is in progress as a 5 waves impulse Elliott Wave structure. Down from 12.13.2022 high, wave 1 ended at 233.87 and rally in wave 2 ended at 245.77. Internal subdivision of wave 2 unfolded as a zigzag structure. Up from wave 1, wave ((a)) ended at 240.87 and pullback in wave ((b)) ended at 233.94. Final leg higher wave ((c)) ended at 245.77 which also completed wave 2. Wave ((c)) unfolded as a 5 waves diagonal where wave (i) ended at 240.8 and wave (ii) ended at 233.94. Wave (iii) higher ended at 241.92, pullback in wave (iv) ended at 236.66 and final leg higher wave (v) ended at 245.77.
The stock has resumed lower in wave 3. Down from wave 2, wave (i) ended at 237.40 and rally in wave (ii) ended at 241. The stock resumed lower in wave (iii) towards 225.96 and rally in wave (iv) ended at 229.89. Wave (v) lower is expected to end soon which should end wave ((i)) in higher degree. Afterwards, expect wave ((ii)) rally to correct cycle from 1.3.2023 high before the decline resumes. Near term, as far as pivot at 245.77 high stays intact, expect rally to fail in 3, 7, or 11 swing for further downside. Potential target lower is 100% – 161.8% Fibonacci extension from 1.3.2023 high which comes at 195.9 – 215.
Gap fill down completed, back to 240sI posted an idea back in October where I predicted MSFT would hit an initial target of 265 (bottom of yellow box). It reached low 260s and fell just shy of that, leaving a gap open. It pulled back to fill that gap today.
Market is setup for a bounce in the coming weeks, and MSFT will follow. For MSFT I see the pop post Oct earnings as a sign of strength (SoS) after accumulating - this pullback is the backup/retest of support. From here it will run to fill gap at min (237) and likely continue into the 240s by Jan 20. Will re-eval there.
The play on this discount today is the Jan 20 235 calls.
MSFT: Crashing? Yes. Scary? Nope.• MSFT just hit our target at $228, as it did exactly what we expected since our previous public analysis on it, almost a month ago (the link is below this post, as usual);
• Despite the high volatility, this movement is very technical and not surprising at all, but in order to bounce again, MSFT has to react as soon as possible;
• The problem is that any bounce will face at least two resistance levels in the daily chart: First the $238, second the 21 ema;
• Only if MSFT breaks these key resistances it might do a clear reversal structure;
• If not, we can expect a continuation of this bearish sentiment all the way down to $212, the next technical support level;
• Therefore, let’s pay attention to the $228 support, as now would be the best time for a reaction.
Remember to follow me to keep in touch with my daily analyses!
SPY - kung fu chop the chopIn review. I see a lot of people complaining about "chop" lately. These are not the people to be following in my honest opinion. There is opportunity in all markets it is just a matter of risk management and being able to navigate the choppy waters. Circled some of the opportunity I took in this "Chop"
A week in review these are some of the best trading days I have had.
Sometimes the easiest trading is done in chop but you have to be patient and let it come to you.
Don't let the chop push you off course. Stick to your trade criteria and navigate accordingly. You just need to be patient, post your lookouts, and be ready to sound the alarm to enter the right trade.
Set alerts off of great areas of value so you don't have to spend the entire day staring at the screen.
Trade safe have fun!
MSFT, 10d+/-21.27%falling cycle -21.27% more than 10 days.
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This data is analyzed by robots. Analyze historical trends based on The Adam Theory of Markets (20 moving averages/60 moving averages/120 moving averages/240 moving averages) and estimate the trend in the next 10 days. The white line is the robot's expected price, and the upper and lower horizontal line stop loss and stop profit prices have no financial basis. The results are for reference only.
We Bull!The Dow has to make a new ATH and to do it these stocks have to join the party.
Unemployment rate climbs as DOW makes ATH, then rate cuts will cut the DOW in half over next year.
🚘 Tesla Is Leading The Stock MarketJust as we believe that bitcoin will bottom before the S&P 500 Index, in the same way we believe that Tesla will bottom before the other major tech giants.
At present time going down fast and strong would seen like something really bad.
A stock dropping is surely bad for the investors but these markets move in cycle, they go up and down, up and down...
At a later point in 2023, things will turn around.
You will see the Tesla (TSLA) stock growing while other tech giants such as Apple, Microsoft and Google will still have a long way down to go.
This will be a positive for Tesla investors, as they will be seeing their stock growing while everything else is still searching for a market low.
Out of crisis, opportunity comes.
Once we hit bottom, the only place left to go is up.
This major downturn we will see in 2023, we will turn into a positive once it is over and done.
We learn from mistakes.
Out of tough situations innovation and evolution is the result.
Look at Bitcoin/cryptocurrency as an example, it is the result of the 2008/09 fiasco.
Namaste.
MSFT continuation wedge (bearish)This is a Continuation Wedge Pattern, Medium-term Bearish. The inbound duration took about 64 days.
the expected pattern duration *from the break of the wedge*, is roughly 22 days. with a target price anywhere around that 200 area. say 199 - 207
i dont want to keep boring you soo, i hoped you enjoyed this, and if you did could you kindly smash like!
Happy Christmas and hope have a wonderful new year. thanks for reading. thats all from me, Happy Trading my friends.
$TSLA $AMZN $GOOGL $MSFT $AAPL $DOGEUSD $NFLX $SNAP $META #NIFTYNASDAQ:TSLA
Fair Priced.
> 70% down from the ATH
Now opportunity to double the money.
CMP 125$
Target 250$
Duration < 12M
SL 60
RR > 2 time
Return > 100%
Bet is worth taking the risk!
TSLA AAPL AMZN GOOGL MSFT NFLX SNAP META NIFTY BANKNIFTY V JPM GS ADBE
Factors:
BULLISH WEDGE BREAKOUT
Trend Following
Rising Volume with rising Prices.
Flag pattern breakout.
Pennant Pattern Breakout with Bullish Candle.
Retest Successful.
Higher Highs & Higher Lows.
Broken above RESISTANCE levels
Trading at SUPPORT levels
Earnings are strong.
Bullish Wedge Breakout
Risk Return Ratio is healthy.
And
Rising from Double Bottom Pattern to Flag Pattern forming.
If you like my work KINDLY LIKE SHARE & FOLLOW this page for free Stock Recommendations.
With 💚 from Rachit Sethia
Microsoft - 2016 Trendline is breaking down! 43% CRASH.
First Netflix, then META, TSLA, and now MSFT!
The major trendline from 2016 is breaking down with a successful retest. This is not looking good.
MSFT is still pretty strong compared to others, but the question is how long it can last.
The next support is the base trendline from 2009. In this case, a 43% crash is possible. I don't see any good, strong support above the trendline.
If we take a look at the MACD indicator, we can see that the histogram is very negative for the first time in a long time. It clearly broke the major uptrend.
As per my Elliott Wave analysis, this whole uptrend is done. MSFT's uptrend was brutal, as it always is, but the impulse wave has been completed. Now we are looking for a retracement.
The previous all-time high from 2000 is pretty much the worst-case scenario, just in case it starts to free fall like META. Buying Microsoft on this support is a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity.
We are experiencing a historical crash in stocks and crypto. A lot of investors get rekt and it will be even worse. Great to be alive or not? :D
I am not here to spread negativity, but I cannot pretend that everything is bullish. I don't want anyone to lose money with bad investments, but when the big players decide to crash the market, no problem for them.
Thank you.
Buying MSFT break of recent high.Microsoft - 30d expiry - We look to Buy a break of 253.11 (stop at 243.98)
Prices have reacted from 213.43.
Posted a Double Top formation. 250.58 has been pivotal.
The previous swing high is located at 253.00.
A break of the recent high at 253.00 should result in a further move higher.
Short term momentum is bullish.
The bias is to break to the upside.
Our profit targets will be 274.98 and 279.98
Resistance: 250.00 / 260.00 / 267.00
Support: 235.00 / 220.00 / 210.00
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group.
Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
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MSFT is in a trading range has been in a bearish channel since it peaked last November.
It still has some room to test on the upside, but the price action I see (monthly chart) shows it already tested last month's high, failed, and is coming back down through the range.
I'm neutral until I see more downward momentum ... then I'm short. I have NO conviction that it'll re-test November 2022's high.
Aapl bit more to fall Respect the channel
Has more to go today then bounce back up. Wait for a good few green bars off this support for entry long and keep it simple. Cheers!
Microsoft (MidTerm), ascending or descending?The stock price could be bearish in short. But bullish in long. And the top support line of the Microsoft stocks (at 281 USD) seems to be the minimum reasonable trading point for mid-term holding strategy, unfortunately... And the second support line is even further below at 243 USD... Yet, its not a good time to buy some stocks but, soon, at a price of between 243 to 281 USD midterm holding strategy would be profitable...
SPX /S&P 500 📈Top 3: AAPLE, MSFT, AMZNHi Traders, Investors and Speculators 📈📉
Ev here. Been trading crypto since 2017 and later got into stocks. I have 3 board exams on financial markets and studied economics from a top tier university for a year. Daytime job - Math Teacher. 👩🏫
If you're into stonks, today's update is for YOU. Cryptocurrencies are the largest part of our focus, but that doesn't mean we don't consider other markets suck as Forex, commodities and stocks. So today, let's take a look at the SPX / S&P 500 :
The top 3 stocks in the SPX by weight are :
1) Apple Inc. / AAPLE weighing 6.488138
2) Microsoft Corporation / MSFT weighing 5.52972
3) Amazon.com Inc. / AMZN weighing 2.386112
To put it into perspective, number 500 on the list is DaVita Inc. / DVA weighing only 0.012525. (There are actually 503 stocks in the S&P500).
From the above, we can clearly conclude that what happens in those 3 markets, especially AAPLE, holds quite a lot more weight than the rest. Taking a look at AAPLE from a Macro perspective, the chart seems to be in trouble. A very clear Wyckoff Distribution Phase is about to form:
On the Microsoft chart, thins are not looking rosy either. Infact, it seems as though we have just finished the low volume rally, meaning distribution phase in full force is up next:
AMZN is the only chart of the Top 3 lookin remotely bullish, seeming to have completed a full Wyckoff Method Cycle. Next up would be accumulation phase which involves range bound or sideways trading :
The S&P 500 index is a great way to diversify your portfolio and so manage your risk. It consists of most (but not all) of the largest companies in the United States. The S&P market cap is 70% - 80% of the total US stock market capitalization. It is a commonly used benchmark for stock portfolio performance in the US and abroad. Beating the performance of the S&P with less risk is the goal of nearly every portfolio manager, hedge fund and private investor/speculator.
Interested in Cryptocurrencies? Check out this bullish idea on Litecoin :
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Microsoft Corp. Goes Bullish? ... The New World Order!You know how you get to see all the headlines when browsing through TradingView's homepage, impossible to avoid.
We love it because it gives me so many ideas...
"Microsoft Better Than Hot Bread".
"Microsoft Develops New Air Conditioner That Will Override The Fed".
"Microsoft Comes Up With Better Than Bacon".
Etc.
It is very misleading, that's our point.
Whenever the market is about to crash, all the news website start publishing bullish headlines.
Whenever the market is about to rise, all the news website start publishing bearish headlines.
Today we have so many bullish headlines for the stock market, the SPX, etc.
See what happens in a few days.
Microsoft Crop. (MSFT) uptrend is ending after 13 years.
This can turn into a simple, normal, classic correction or maybe it can get really bad.
We are looking at the monthly timeframe and MSFT is still trading below EMA10. Bearish.
Clear downtrend since November 2021. Bearish.
Decreasing volume. Bearish.
What an incredible ride... Can't wait to see how it will all develop...
Sam-FTX just got arrested in Bahamas...
Out of crisis comes opportunity.
Once we hit rock bottom, the only place left to go is up.
It is the end of an era.
The birth of a new order.
Order out of chaos.
A New World Order?
Namaste.
MSFT - Cup and Handle Continuation NarrativeMSFT has definitely gone parabolic. But how does price continue from here?
I think a larger pullback is in order. Forming the handle of the cup and handle structure.
The parabolic move can be encompassed as a cup structure
Lets see how it goes. This is the Monthly chart so longing is appropriate. Or wait for the larger pullback.
TSLA updateBuying value around 168 after this gap down to gap fill potentially pre market. Waiting for call opportunities for possible H&S fill out (zoom out) and back up to 196 then 224
Trade safe have fun!
Follow and like for more updates
TSLASelfdrive PART DEUX - Area of ValueI missed this earlier, thought it important to repost this idea, inverse H&S (HAS NOT FILLED OUT YET) potentially forming... I will watch this chart closely and look for entires above neck line for sure, perhaps get a bit crazy and enter before neckline fills.. Let me know your thoughts in the comments below!!
Keep in mind friday Dec 9 PPI news 830am as well as Consumer sentiment. after 4 red days in a row probabilities of a green are high. expecting green Friday but looking to see this H&S fill out after breakout of descending triangle and retest. This is a good area of value
Trade safe and have fun!
Visa - Weekly analysisIs this a fakeout or is this a breakout. Wondering why ex speaker would sell all of her shares? Not entering until I see price action, break above recent highs outside channel or a break back down below the channel. Will zoom in for entry.
Overall, We could see a green day tomorrow due to the fact we had 4 red selloff days in a row... so probability has it a 5th could go green. Waiting to see a bounce but ready to take some more puts tomorrow as I see price action happen real time.
Indicators are lagging, you want to see price action, market psychology, market structure, gaps, imbalances, and use all the tools available to make a good trade!
Trade safe have fun!!
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MSFT: Watch out for these KEY POINTS! A delicate bull trend.• MSFT is back to its 21 ema in the daily chart;
• The trend is still bullish, despite the drop, but it must react as soon as possible, otherwise, it might reverse the bullish sentiment;
• If it loses the 21 ema would be problematic for the bulls, but if it loses the $238 area, the dual-support made by the 38.2% retracement + red line (previous bottom), then it could easily seek the $228 again (61.8% retracement);
• Therefore, we must pay extra attention to the key level at $238, as this is our game changer on MSFT;
• Since the bias is still bullish, any reaction above $238 would be a buy opportunity, however, there’s no bullish sign confirmed yet;
• Only time will tell, but I’ll keep you posted on this.
Remember to follow me to keep in touch with my daily analyses!
