Microsoft (MSFT)
How do you enterpret this observation?These are my observations:
1- MSFT correction in January 2022, was the biggest and sharpest correction since March 2020. (Post pandemic)
2- Highest Price-volume ever..(295 Billion) + Biggest negative monthly return since 2016.
3- Making a dome shape Top, after a sharp bullish move in November 2021, Some call this pattern Bump and Run.
The bump and Run chart pattern is a remarkable reversal pattern that will help you spot the end of a trend and the beginning of a new one.
What do you think???
For further information you can read this article: (interesting content, I can not share because of copyright)
Zheng, Yuechu & Si, Yain Whar & Wong, Raymond. (2021). Feature extraction for chart pattern classification in financial time series. Knowledge and Information Systems. 63. 10.1007/s10115-021-01569-1.
Extracting shape-related features from a given query subsequence is a crucial preprocessing step for chart pattern matching in rule-based, template-based, and hybrid pattern classification methods. The extracted features can significantly influence the accuracy of pattern recognition tasks during the data mining process. Although shape-related features are widely used for chart pattern matching in financial time series, the intrinsic properties of these features and their relationships to the patterns are rarely investigated in the research community. This paper aims to formally identify shape-related features used in chart patterns and investigates their impact on chart pattern classifications in financial time series. In this paper, we describe a comprehensive analysis of 14 shape-related features which can be used to classify 41 known chart patterns in the technical analysis domain. In order to evaluate their effectiveness, shape-related features are then translated into rules for chart pattern classification. We perform extensive experiments on real datasets containing historical price data of 24 stocks/indices to analyze the effectiveness of the rules. Experimental results reveal that the features put forward in this paper can be effectively used for recognizing chart patterns in financial time series. Our analysis also reveals that high-level features can be hierarchically composed of low-level features. Hierarchical composition allows the construction of complex chart patterns from features identified in this paper. We hope that the features identified in this paper can be used as a reference model for future research in chart pattern analysis.
You can see the most important support(green line) and resistance (red line) levels.
Best,
Moshkelgosha
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SOL: D & W Hidden Bullish Divergence and Large Wedge FormationSOL is a very strong project with extremely strong fundamentals (user growth, speed, cost) versus competitors. Despite the recent wormhole hack which wasn't an issue of SOL but an issue with a bridge is making headlines, this only provides an opportunity to buy cheaper than normal imho.
SOL will no doubt fix any congestion issues it had in the past as their lead dev devoted an 8 week campaign to bolster the network and solve any issues. These are top programmers from Qualcomm and you can rest assured these sort of programmers are much better than crypto programmers. SOL allows MUCH easier to use programming languages than other rival coins such as ETH which relies solely on Solidity and feedback from top programmers is that Solidity is not easy to use at all. This impact development significantly as the legacy world still has 98% of programmers and if you want your crypto project to grow in the long-run, it's ideal to have the easier programming languages to onboard those 98% to create apps and develop for the best projects.
Lastly, SOL has an asymmetric advantage as it is backed by one of the brightest minds in the space, Sam Bankman-Fried. Sam's pro-regulator clarity stance will make SOL a crowd favorite to overcome any hurdles in the future.
My price targets for SOL are in the mid $400-$500 by mid-year. It sounds lofty but again, SOL is actually onboarding users and is increasing its re-investment into the network and into R&D. It would only infer a $130B market cap which isn't that high compared to what coins like XRP did in the last bull-run in 2017 when there were 10% of the investor pool. XRP achieved $130B market cap in 2017. SOL is about 100x more useful than XRP so as the large wedge formation suggests, SOL's terminal value is likely multi-thousand dollar range. This of course depends on how quickly SOL's programming team develops top products. With SOL Pay just launching on the market a few days ago that provides a direct conversion into USDC upon paying for goods and services, SOL could be at the beginning of yet another impulse wave higher. SOL Pay is a game changer in terms of adoption, and will only quicken major developers to come into the Solana ecosystem, as more of the legacy guys will want to join networks that are headed by legacy programmers.
Lastly, there is strong Hidden Bullish Divergence on the daily and weekly charts - this is a longer term signal that typically plays out over weeks/months.
If you own a big bag of ETH or DOT, it would be wise to diversify a bit into SOL for your long-term bags here.
Nasdaq Earnings RallyBased on nothing else but more speculation, the Nasdaq may rally. Let's see how this plays out for February since the Feds QE taps are closing this month. Will they reverse and pump more 0% funny money? I don't think they'll reverse until there is a major downtrend which will happen after this earnings rally. The two resistance levels are marked, although tomorrow 2/2 the Nasdaq should break through.
I still hold strong to a bear market based on countless economic issues from:
Inflation
Poor Retail
Pending Home Sales Decline
Tapering Ending in Feb
Balance Sheet Reduction
Raising Rates
0.1% Q1 GDP estimate by Atl Fed.
When the Fed pumps, logical news doesn't matter. Good news is good, and bad news is good. This alone tells you this a bubble, where equities no longer react because retail investors influence has become smaller and smaller in equities. Retail investors are but a drop in the bucket compared to $120 Billion in 0% QE money.
Entery Position.This is what is mostly expected to happen for IO. (it may also be much sharper as a result of a Short Squeeze, no share for short)
Not recommended for Long term BUT it's awesome for Mid term!
FAANG Dead? The NEW Tech Stock Leaders!With the disasterous earnings of Netflix NASDAQ:NFLX and Facebook NASDAQ:FB this past month it may be time to call for a new acronym of the still bullish and strong Tech Stock leaders of the market: Micosoft NASDAQ:MSFT - Apple NASDAQ:AAPL - Google NASDAQ:GOOG - Amazon NASDAQ:AMZN
Microsoft (MSFT) | The safest target to climb📍Hello traders, Microsoft in daily timeframe , this analysis has been prepared in daily timeframe but has been published for a better view in 2 day timeframe.
The overall identity of this counted wave is unclear and we need more waves to detect it
Now, according to the count, the main waves 1 and 2 have been formed and now we are inside wave 3
This wave 3 has formed its wave 4 in such a way that it can not be said that it is complete or this ascent that we are considering is part of wave 4.
However, according to our calculations, the trend has an upward phase that may go to the end of wave 3
If the 278 range is broken down, the correction structure is changed and the ascending phase is performed in the lower range.
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MSFT - In the Middle Backtesting a hold of the daily MBB, MSFT has set a potential 4h Higher Low. The vehicle for a Bull Break is this Inverse Head and Shoulders: with the 10 Year challenging 2%, Meta falling 25%, Google stock split, a Rivian save for AMZN, MSFT becoming cool, and TSLA living a dream unto itself, the question is: will the Funds see Big Tech as a safe haven to BTD, while continuing to sell ARKK?
MSFT, 4 Hrs MSFT , Microsoft 4 Hrs
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MICROSOFT - Long PositionStrong corporate earnings from Microsoft. Software giant Microsoft reported record quarterly revenue above $50 billion for the first time, beating expectations, and offered a rosy outlook for the current quarter last Tuesday. That helped boost stock market futures for the next day, though the gains were given back by volatility driven by an announcement from the Fed The Dow Drops as Powell Talks — and What Else Is Happening in the Stock Market Today The market sank as Chairman Jerome Powell signaled the possibility of many more rate increases than the stock market had been expecting.
What conclusions can we make on MSFT? Today we will take a look at MSFT. The 2nd company in the S&P500 based on market cap.
The main bullish structure we have is the ascending channel , which started in March 2020 (bottom of the bearish market, after covid 19). Now the price is above that structure again, and we should assume that the structure is still working as a dynamic support.
The main bearish structure is the current corrective pattern (yellow lines). This pattern was formed since the bearish movement that started in November 2021.
Ok, nice, but how can I use this analysis?
My view based on the rejection in the support zone + the ascending trendline, is that we may observe a bullish movement towards the higher trendline of the current corrective pattern (yellow line). Therefore, if I were someone developing short-term setups, I would think of closing my setups there.
Alright, what if the price doesn't move as expected? That's always a possibility, that's why if the price makes a new low on the red horizontal line, that would be a bad sign for the bullish perspective, and I would assume a bearish movement towards the next support zone at 240.00
The main aspect here is not to develop biases in one direction. I have concluded that it doesn't matter how good a situation is; the price can always do the opposite, that's why I always think in bullish and bearish terms, and I develop setups only if the price full-field filters that I defined in advance. Otherwise is just an analysis of possible directions that help me stay up to date on the chart's price action.
Thanks for reading; feel free to share your review in the comments .
$MSFT $U $TWTR $COIN I OptionsSwing WatchlistMSFT 2H I MSFT is breaking from a downtrend on the 2H time frame. Held the $295 level after reporting earnings. Resistance near $315 and support near $300.
U 1W I U on the weekly chart is bouncing at its trend line coming from last year. It will report earnings on 02/03 and we'll know if MMs approve of it and if the trend holds.
TWTR 4H I TWTR is forming and ascending triangle on the 4H time frame. Needs a breakout above $35.50 and it could see $37.50+ before earnings.
COIN 4H I COIN seems to be possibly making a double bottom near $165. It bounced nearly 10% on Friday and could move to $200 before earnings on 03/24.
Microsoft (MSFT) | The safest target to climb📍Hello traders, Microsoft in daily timeframe , this analysis has been prepared in daily timeframe but has been published for a better view in 2 day timeframe.
It is better for Rajab not to talk about the general nature of this wave and to explain only the counted part.
Based on the counting of the first wave 1 and 2, it has ended in a very normal state and now we are inside the third wave.
From wave 3, waves 1, 2 and 3 are completed and now wave 4 is taking place.
We thought that wave 4 was flat, but considering its current motion, which has a steep slope, this motion is part of a flat, in fact, wave a is this flat and the next ascending motion is for wave b, and this motion is done until the beginning of wave a.
We may have a descent to the previous floor before ascending.
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How to know BULLISH or BEARISH next day to CALL or not?I tried trading on some tickers with my logic to determine the Stock Direction BULLISH or BEAR.
I looked at timeframe 2H and 4H (mainly 4H), logic:
1. Determine 4H Price > SMA20 then next day is BULLISH, should be CALL (conjunction EMA20 cross up EMA50 then strong market to CALL)
2. Determine 4H Price < SMA20 then BEARISH, don't CALL, should follow before PUT
I have been monitoring for 2 weeks and this logic satisfies about 80%.
Microsoft Analysis 26.01.2022Hello Traders,
welcome to this free and educational analysis.
I am going to explain where I think this asset is going to go over the next few days and weeks and where I would look for trading opportunities.
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