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Microsoft (MSFT)

20% to 40% Dip Coming for Microsoft?DISCLAIMER: This is not trade advice. This is for educational & entertainment purposes only to demonstrate how I am looking to be involved with this market. Trading involves significant risk, do your own due diligence. A concerning sign for Microsoft bulls triggered a few weeks ago. We saw the DPO divergence confirmed. Price targets to the downside of this confirmation imply a 20% to 40% dip is coming for Microsoft. Do you think Microsoft is heading for a dump? I do. See you down there.
NASDAQ:MSFTShort
by Tradius_Trades
Microsoft seem to have made intermittent top. Look for reversalNASDAQ:MSFT has fallen in 5 waved from the top made in July and in process of retracing that down-move in ABC. The fall from top could be either a larger degree wave 1 or wave A. In both cases, soon wave 3 or C down should start since the wave 2/B has completed 61.8% retracement which is at 436.73. Stock closed below that level yesterday which makes me wonder if the down-move in wave 3/C has begun already. Assuming down-move has started, we should head towards 364 as per wave equality (3=1 or A=C), though if economic macros stay recessionary then the move could stretch to 1.6 or 2.6 times the size of wave 1/A (in log).
NASDAQ:MSFTShort
by YetAnotherTA
Microsoft Announces $60 Billion Buyback and Dividend HikeMicrosoft Corp. (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:MSFT ) recently announced two major moves designed to bolster shareholder value and solidify its position as a leading tech giant. The company unveiled a $60 billion stock buyback program along with a 10% increase in its quarterly dividend. This announcement has sent positive waves through the market, and investors are keeping a close eye on what this means for Microsoft's long-term outlook, especially amid its aggressive investments in artificial intelligence (AI). The $60 Billion Buyback: Strategic Capital Allocation On Monday, Microsoft revealed plans to repurchase up to $60 billion of its stock. While this figure may seem colossal, it represents less than 2% of the company's market cap, which currently stands at a staggering $3.2 trillion. Buybacks are a strategic way for companies like Microsoft to return capital to shareholders, reduce the number of shares outstanding, and increase earnings per share (EPS). The buyback plan can be canceled at any time, signaling flexibility in Microsoft's strategy to navigate market conditions. The announcement comes at a critical time when investors are pressuring the company to show returns on its heavy spending in AI development, particularly through its flagship product, the Copilot AI assistant, and other AI-driven tools. ### Dividend Hike: Rewarding Loyal Shareholders In addition to the stock buyback, Microsoft also announced a 10% hike in its quarterly dividend, raising it by 8 cents to 83 cents per share. This marks the 20th consecutive year the tech behemoth has increased its dividend, a testament to its commitment to rewarding long-term investors. The higher dividend will be payable on Dec. 12, 2024, to shareholders of record as of Nov. 21. The steady rise in dividend payments is indicative of Microsoft’s robust financial health. As it continues to post consistent earnings, the dividend increase signals confidence in sustained cash flow generation, even as the company allocates substantial capital toward AI infrastructure. A Focus on AI Investments The timing of the buyback and dividend announcement coincides with Microsoft's unveiling of several new AI features. During its recent "Wave 2" event, Microsoft introduced updates to its Copilot AI, including enhancements in Excel, OneDrive, and Outlook. These AI-driven tools are part of the company’s broader push to integrate advanced machine learning and AI capabilities into its suite of products, driving future growth. Jefferies analysts have described Microsoft as a "top AI beneficiary," citing strong adoption rates of its Copilot features and improvements in user experience. This aligns with the company’s focus on using AI as a growth driver, especially as demand for AI outpaces the company’s capacity to deliver. Stock Performance and Technical Outlook Microsoft stock has been on an upward trajectory, rising 15% year-to-date, and showing consistent strength over the past year. On Tuesday, NASDAQ:MSFT surged 1.66%, buoyed by the announcement, and continues to hold investor confidence. Technically, Microsoft’s stock sits at an RSI of 66, indicating bullish momentum. This level is approaching overbought territory but still suggests room for continued growth, especially as Jerome Powell’s much-anticipated speech on rate cuts approaches. The stock’s resilience is evident as it has managed to retake all its moving averages and break past a 426.79 short-term high, a level seen as critical resistance. Moreover, Microsoft has been in a steady upward trend since September 2023, maintaining consistent gains month-over-month. This steady performance is a signal of both investor confidence and the company’s ability to deliver, even amid macroeconomic uncertainty. Conclusion: Microsoft’s latest financial moves—both the $60 billion buyback and the dividend hike—demonstrate its ability to reward investors while continuing to focus on long-term growth. As it positions itself as a leader in AI, Microsoft’s ongoing investments are expected to pay off significantly in the years ahead. With a solid balance sheet, growing dividends, and continued stock buybacks, Microsoft’s outlook remains strong. While some volatility may lie ahead due to macroeconomic factors, the combination of smart capital allocation and a focus on next-gen technology like AI puts Microsoft in a prime position to continue its upward trajectory in both stock price and market influence. Investors looking for long-term stability combined with growth potential should keep Microsoft on their radar as it navigates the evolving tech landscape.
NASDAQ:MSFTLong
by DEXWireNews
Microsoft - Correction Is Not Over Yet!Microsoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ) can still drop a little lower: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 It seems like the correction on Microsoft is not over yet and following previous price action and market structure, a move back to the previous triangle breakout level seems to be quite likely. However Microsoft still remains in an overall bullish market so looking for long setups is best. Levels to watch: $350 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
NASDAQ:MSFTLong
by basictradingtv
MSFT Following GOOG's Path? Targeting $350Hello Traders, I’m sharing my analysis of the MSFT weekly chart. The price has bounced off the upper main channel line around $465. Looking at the previous wave, it consisted of an uptrend (blue progression channel) lasting 94 weeks and a downtrend (grey channel) lasting 42 weeks, totaling 136 weeks. I’ve highlighted a yellow rectangle showing the price action after exiting the blue channel. Let's apply the same logic to the current wave, which started in January 2023. The price has now exited the uptrend portion of the current wave (blue channel) and is retesting the broken channel's lower line, similar to what we observed in the yellow rectangle. Therefore, I expect a downtrend channel to form, potentially targeting $350 over the next 45 weeks. I've aimed to make this analysis straightforward, and you'll notice that MSFT is exhibiting a pattern similar to GOOG, with two waves in a long-period progression channel. Happy trading! NASDAQ:MSFT
NASDAQ:MSFTShort
by Eymen-GUVEN
MSFT has room to the daily 50 SMA.NASDAQ:MSFT daily chart shows consolidation just below the daily 50 and 65 EMAs. If MSFT can confirm this daily supply to the upside, there is significant space on the chart up to the daily 50 SMA, which gives this trade a large measured potential. Many NASDAQ:QQQ names have reclaimed their daily 50 SMAs, and as long as the index continues to build above its daily 50 SMA, MSFT is likely to catch up. As MSFT is a thinner name, this trade will be more likely to work during the morning trading session when liquidity is higher.
NASDAQ:MSFTLong
by DMT_Doctor
$MSFT Head and Shoulders Pattern in Formation?NASDAQ:MSFT Technical Analysis of MSFT: Head and Shoulders Pattern in Formation Currently, the support established around $390 might be forming the neckline of a potential head and shoulders pattern. To complete this pattern, the right shoulder still needs to form. Key point to watch: if the right shoulder develops below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, projected at $436, it could signal a bearish move. A confirmed break of the $390 support would then be expected to trigger a downward move towards the potential target of $310. Summary: Current Support/Neckline Level: $390 61.8% Fibonacci Retracement Level: $436 Watch for Right Shoulder Formation Below $436 Potential Downward Target: $310 Monitor for the formation of the right shoulder and a potential break of support to validate the bearish outlook.
NASDAQ:MSFT
by Andre_Cardoso
MICROSOFT Targeting $500 before the end of the year.Microsoft (MSFT) has made a new long-term bottom and recovered almost all of August's losses. That bottom is technically the Higher Low of the 20-month Channel Up that started in January 2023. The price is currently consolidating below the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) and if broken, it will confirm the new Bullish Leg. In the previous (2) Bullish Legs of this Channel Up, the price tends to re-test the 1D MA50/100 cluster to confirm it as the new long-term Support after the break-out, so expect that to take place at some point. Having though formed a new 1D MACD Bullish Cross, we can assume that this is already a safe level to buy for the long-term, as every Bullish Cross below 0.0 has technically been a confirmed buy level. Our Target for the end of the year is $500, which is still technically a 'modest' one as it is considerably below the 2.0 Fibonacci extension, which priced the March Higher High. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:MSFTLong
by TradingShot
4
MSFT / MICROSOFTMSFT (Microsoft Corporation) Stock Analysis: Key Dates and Potential Market Movements: 1. August 23, 2024 - Potential Upside: • Scenario: The chart suggests that Microsoft might experience a bullish phase around late August 2024. This could be driven by positive quarterly earnings, strong product launches, or renewed investor confidence in Microsoft’s cloud and AI strategies. • Impact on Price: We may see Microsoft’s stock price rally, potentially revisiting previous highs around the $460-$470 mark. • Reflection: As we witness the potential rise in Microsoft’s value, let us also reflect on the importance of placing our trust in both our investments and in a higher power that guides our steps. 2. November 11, 2024 - Potential Downside: • Scenario: Moving into November 2024, the chart indicates a potential bearish trend. This could be attributed to broader market corrections, changes in global economic policies, or challenges within the tech sector. • Impact on Price: Microsoft’s stock might face a pullback, potentially testing lower support levels around $380-$400. • Reflection: In times of decline, whether in markets or in our personal lives, it’s our faith that provides stability. Just as we hold onto our investments during downturns, we should also hold onto our faith, trusting in recovery. 3. January 2, 2025 - Recovery and Consolidation: • Scenario: By early 2025, Microsoft might enter a recovery phase, possibly driven by strong end-of-year performance, increased adoption of new technologies, or favorable market conditions. • Impact on Price: This could lead to a stabilization or gradual increase in the stock price, with potential movements towards $420-$430. • Reflection: As the new year begins, let this recovery remind us that perseverance through challenging times, with faith as our foundation, often leads to renewal and growth. 4. July 14, 2025 - Continued Growth or Consolidation: • Scenario: The chart suggests that mid-2025 could either continue the growth trend or enter a consolidation phase, depending on market conditions and Microsoft’s performance in the first half of the year. • Impact on Price: If positive momentum continues, we might see Microsoft’s stock breaking new highs; otherwise, the stock could trade sideways within the $420-$450 range. • Reflection: As we navigate the complexities of the market, let us remember the words from Proverbs 16:3, “Commit to the Lord whatever you do, and He will establish your plans.” This verse encourages us to combine faith with our strategic planning. 5. November 8, 2027 - Long-Term Outlook: • Scenario: Looking further ahead, the chart indicates significant potential shifts by late 2027. This could be influenced by global technological advancements, changes in leadership, or major economic events. • Impact on Price: This period could mark either a major breakout for Microsoft or a significant correction, depending on the overall market environment and Microsoft’s adaptation to future trends. • Reflection: As we plan for the long term, let us build our investments on solid foundations, just as we build our lives on faith. In doing so, we prepare for both the challenges and the opportunities that lie ahead. Considerations for Investors: • Technological Innovation: Microsoft’s ongoing advancements in AI, cloud computing, and enterprise solutions will be crucial drivers of its stock performance. • Market Sentiment: Investor confidence in the tech sector, especially in established leaders like Microsoft, will play a significant role in price movements. • Economic and Geopolitical Factors: Global events, such as trade policies, regulatory changes, and macroeconomic trends, could impact Microsoft’s performance. As we approach these key dates, how do you plan to position your investments in Microsoft? Are you prepared to navigate both the potential ups and downs, relying not only on market analysis but also on a steady foundation of faith?
NASDAQ:MSFT
by trushkovskiy
Microsoft Recovers 10% From Market Correction!Berkshire Hathaway has significantly cut its Apple investment, selling 505 million shares—a 55.8% reduction. This move reflects a major shift in its investment strategy, despite an 800% gain in its Apple shares since 2016. The decision is influenced by multiple market factors, including a slowdown in Apple's revenue growth and a significant drop in smartphone demand, particularly impacted by shrinking markets in China and ongoing legal challenges, such as a U.S. Department of Justice antitrust lawsuit. Despite these hurdles, Apple is pushing innovation, venturing into artificial intelligence and satellite connectivity, which could strengthen its market position and open new revenue streams. Meanwhile, Apple's stock, after peaking at $237 in July and dropping to $200, has begun to recover, rising 10% since a post-earnings dip in early August, with a 12% year-to-date increase. This volatility underscores the need for investor patience, given Apple's trend of prolonged growth phases interspersed with flat periods.
NASDAQ:MSFTLong
by Sublime_Trading