Microsoft (MSFT)
MSFT Microsoft Corporation Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t entered MSFT when they bought 49% of OpenAI:
nor on the comparison to AMZN and GOOGL:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of MSFT Microsoft Corporation prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 410usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-6-21,
for a premium of approximately $14.25.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
MSFT’s Momentum Weakening: Where’re the defending levels?
Trend
- On the weekly chart: Still within the large uptrend channel since January 2023.
- On the daily chart: The minor uptrend channel since October 2023 was broken with moderate volume.
- Although the long-term uptrend remains intact, the short-term momentum may be pausing.
100% Symmetrical Projection: Uptrend “N” Patterns
- There are two price projection models, both leading to the same ultimate target price of $457.
The large purple N, starting from January 2023.
The small orange N, starting from October 2023.
- Symmetry break : If the price drops below the prior low at $400, the symmetry (the pullback) is violated. Following that, with increased uncertainties, anticipating the price action will become challenging.
- If the momentum is strong, we could expect a clear price movement toward the target price once it surpasses the symmetrical retracement box at $421. However, the price is currently hovering around $421, indicating weakening momentum.
N Pattern’s Target Price & Fibonacci Price Cluster
- Both N patterns are an A+ setup .
Retrace 0.382 of the prior swing and then continue to rise.
- The level of 1.618 Fibonacci projection of the prior swing is the N’s target price.
- The level of 2.618 Fibonacci extension of the retracement is the N’s target price.
- The price treats the key Fibonacci levels as significant support and resistance levels along the way up.
Conclusion
- Currently, the momentum is weakening, though not yet exhausted.
- Once the price breaks below $400, the short-term momentum will be exhausted, potentially leading to a trend reversal.
- In the long term, for MSFT to sustain the uptrend, the price should remain within the large uptrend channel and above the price level of $367.
**Not Financial Advice**
The information contained in this article is not intended as, and should not be understood as financial advice. You should take independent financial advice from a professional who is aware of the facts and circumstances of your individual situation.
Microsoft invests $1.5bn in UAE's AI leader amid strategic pivotMicrosoft Corp. has announced a substantial 1.5 billion USD investment in G42, the United Arab Emirates' foremost artificial intelligence firm. Following G42's agreement to cease cooperating with China and align itself with US interests, this move aims to bolster G42's utilisation of Microsoft's Azure cloud platform for its AI applications, significantly enhancing Microsoft's footprint in the AI and security sectors.
This strategic investment aligns with the US policies aimed at curtailing China's access to advanced technologies. It underscores a broader trend of public-private partnerships promoting US corporate investments in foreign AI enterprises.
Turning our attention to Microsoft Corp. (NASDAQ: MSFT) for stock trading insights:
On the Daily (D1) timeframe, Microsoft's stock has set a support level at 412.80 USD and resistance at 430.80 USD. Recently, the stock broke its uptrend line, suggesting that it might now be moving within a channel defined by these support and resistance markers. A support level breach could see the stock decline towards 398.10 USD.
Investors might find it appealing to initiate a buy if the stock breaks through the resistance at 430.80 USD, with a short-term target of 448.00 USD. For those looking at a medium-term investment horizon, holding a long position with a target of 470.00 USD could be considered once the resistance level is surpassed.
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Ideas and other content presented on this page should not be considered as guidance for trading or an investment advice. RoboMarkets bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading opinions described in these analytical reviews.
The material presented and the information contained herein is for information purposes only and in no way should be considered as the provision of investment advice for the purposes of Investment Firms Law L. 87(I)/2017 of the Republic of Cyprus or any other form of personal advice or recommendation, which relates to certain types of transactions with certain types of financial instruments.
Risk Warning: CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 69.88% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Microsoft-Backed Rubrik Eyes $713 Mln IPOIn a move signaling robust confidence in the cybersecurity sector, Rubrik, a Palo Alto-based firm backed by Microsoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ), is set to embark on an initial public offering (IPO), aiming to raise up to $713 million, according to sources familiar with the matter.
The cybersecurity software company is planning to offer 23 million shares priced between $28 and $31 each, potentially valuing Rubrik at approximately $5.4 billion at the upper end of the range. This IPO initiative underscores Rubrik's strategic positioning amidst a burgeoning demand for cloud-based ransomware protection and data-backup solutions.
Rubrik's planned IPO arrives against the backdrop of a revitalized U.S. IPO market, signaling a resurgence in investor appetite following a period of subdued activity. Notable successful listings, including those of Reddit and Astera Labs, have set the stage for a wave of upcoming public offerings, with companies like Cato Networks and Synechron poised to join the fray.
Founded in 2014 by venture capitalist Bipul Sinha, Rubrik has established itself as a leader in the cybersecurity space, serving over 5,000 business clients, including industry giants like Nvidia Corp and Home Depot. The company's robust growth trajectory is evidenced by a 47% increase in subscription annual recurring revenue compared to the previous year.
However, amid its IPO preparations, Rubrik finds itself entangled in a U.S. fraud investigation related to a former employee. The U.S. Department of Justice is probing allegations that the ex-employee diverted funds from 110 contracts with Rubrik into a personal operating entity, a development that adds a layer of complexity to Rubrik's IPO journey.
Despite the regulatory scrutiny, Rubrik's IPO aspirations underscore the market's bullish outlook on cybersecurity solutions. With the backing of industry stalwarts like Microsoft and a track record of delivering cutting-edge cloud-based security services, Rubrik's public debut promises to be a significant event in the cybersecurity landscape.
As Rubrik charts its course toward the public markets, investors will be keenly watching how the company navigates the IPO process amidst regulatory challenges and capitalizes on the growing demand for cybersecurity solutions in an increasingly digitized world.
Stock Market Analysis - Bullish & Bearish Sectors Heavy selling observed across the S&P500: Financials & Real Estate hit hard.
S&P500 hitting the 50 day MA...technical daily support.
Some breakout sectors are seeing there first pullback in a bullish trend.
The sectors that have had breakouts will likely see dip buyers.
Health Care & Utilities are into some interesting support levels. This is where bulls step in.
Megacap Tech still saw some flight to safety money! Lets see if this holds.
Microsoft to launch AI tools: MSFT stock trading idea 12/04/24Microsoft is poised to enhance its artificial intelligence capabilities with new features that are scheduled for introduction at the upcoming annual Build conference. In January, CEO Satya Nadella emphasised that 2024 would mark a pivotal year for AI integration across every PC. The agenda for the May conference aligns with this vision, showcasing Microsoft's commitment to expanding AI tools for both personal computers and its Azure cloud service. This strategic focus is driven by the substantial revenue growth witnessed from customers utilising AI models in Azure, prompting Microsoft to develop new AI functionalities specifically for developers.
Now, let's transition to the technical analysis of Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ: MSFT) to identify potential trading opportunities.
On the Daily (D1) timeframe, the stock has established a support level at 412.80 USD, with resistance noted at 430.80 USD. Microsoft's stock is currently trending strongly upwards, indicating the possibility for further increases if it surpasses the resistance level. Conversely, a break below the support level could lead the stock to retreat to 397.50 USD.
For traders, initiating purchases with a short-term target of 448.00 USD appears promising. For those considering a medium-term investment strategy, holding a long position to reach 470.00 USD could prove beneficial.
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Ideas and other content presented on this page should not be considered as guidance for trading or an investment advice. RoboMarkets bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading opinions described in these analytical reviews.
The material presented and the information contained herein is for information purposes only and in no way should be considered as the provision of investment advice for the purposes of Investment Firms Law L. 87(I)/2017 of the Republic of Cyprus or any other form of personal advice or recommendation, which relates to certain types of transactions with certain types of financial instruments.
Risk Warning: CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66.02% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
MICROSOFT: Sell and Buy at the right place.MSFT is on healthy bullish technical levels on the 1D timeframe (RSI = 60.229, MACD = 3.110, ADX = 14.662) and there is no indication that the current uptrend won't be extended. We expect the current HH bullish wave of the Channel Up to continue as high as 450.00 before a technical correction. This is what took place after the July 18th 2023 HH, which pulled back to the 0.382 Fibonacci level. Consequently we are willing to buy again for the long term only at 400.00.
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Marin Software Soars 150% on Microsoft Advertising IntegrationIn a dramatic turn of events, Marin Software Inc (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:MRIN ) witnessed an astounding 150% surge as it unveiled enhancements to its integration with Microsoft Advertising. This surge, marking a pivotal moment for the company, underscores the profound impact of strategic partnerships in the competitive landscape of digital advertising.
The key benefits of this integration are manifold, promising not only budget pacing but also an uplift in conversion metrics, amplifying Marin Software's value proposition for advertisers. As the industry witnesses a seismic shift towards AI-enabled solutions, Marin's collaboration with Microsoft positions it strategically to capitalize on the growing market share of Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:MSFT ) in search, propelled by its AI-driven Copilot.
With Microsoft's ascendancy in search volume, advertisers are increasingly seeking streamlined optimization tools to navigate the complexities of online advertising effectively. Marin Software emerges as the linchpin, offering advertisers the tools to enhance efficiency and scalability in their advertising endeavors.
The recent shareholder approval for a 1-for-6 reverse stock split underscores Marin's commitment to fortifying its position in the market. Scheduled to commence trading on a split-adjusted basis from April 15th, Marin Software ( NASDAQ:MRIN ) signals its determination to sustain its listing on Nasdaq and reinforce investor confidence.
Chris Lien, the CEO of Marin Software ( NASDAQ:MRIN ), exudes confidence in the transformative potential of these upgrades, envisioning a future where users unlock unprecedented levels of success in their advertising campaigns. This optimism resonates amidst a backdrop of evolving market dynamics and underscores Marin's unwavering commitment to empowering advertisers with cutting-edge solutions.
Despite a challenging financial quarter marked by a 16% decline in revenue, Marin Software's resurgence reflects its resilience and adaptability in navigating turbulent waters. As the company charts a course toward revitalization, its meteoric rise on the heels of the Microsoft Advertising integration serves as a testament to the power of strategic partnerships and technological innovation in reshaping the digital advertising landscape.
In conclusion, Marin Software's ( NASDAQ:MRIN ) exponential growth trajectory underscores its emergence as a formidable player in the digital advertising ecosystem. With strategic collaborations and technological advancements at its helm, Marin Software stands poised to redefine the contours of digital advertising, driving value for advertisers and shareholders alike in an increasingly competitive market landscape.
Technical Outlook
Marin Software ( NASDAQ:MRIN ) is riding on a bullish trend with a bullish Relative Strength Index (RSI) OF 81.92 indicating overbought territory traders should be cautious of a correction at this level.
Microsoft (MSFT): Climbing to New Heights or Ready for Reversal?For Microsoft, we've recently observed an uptick and, for visualisation, activated the 100% level on the two-day chart as a maximum target. A closer look on the two-hour chart suggests that we might be in the final wave, Wave 5. Since developing Waves ((iii)) and ((iv)), we've formed four more waves and are now approaching a new all-time high. We consider a maximum of $450 to be realistic, though further increases are possible. After such a substantial rise, we expect the target range to be between 38.6% and 54%, around $450. This area could be intriguing to monitor for a potential trend reversal. If such a reversal occurs around $450, we would look out for possible short positions. However, should we significantly surpass this level, which we currently don't anticipate, we would seek long positions. Depending on these developments, we'll adjust our strategy accordingly.
MICROSOFT $MSFT - Mar. 11th, 2024MICROSOFT NASDAQ:MSFT - Mar. 11th, 2024
BUY/LONG ZONE (GREEN): $405.00 - $415.00
DO NOT TRADE/DNT ZONE (WHITE): $400.00 - $405.00
SELL/SHORT ZONE (RED): $394.10 - $400.00
Weekly: Bullish
Daily: DNT, Leaning Bearish
4H: DNT, Leaning Bearish
Wanted to draw up NASDAQ:MSFT after seeing the ranging zone on the daily timeframe, figured I might be able to pick a few entries no matter which trend price breaks into. The bullish zone is expanded farther than I typically would have it because of how price is moving in the range and because there have been already been multiple tests to each level. Previous zones are labeled for reference. I would heavily rely on the 1H/15min timeframes for entries, and the Daily/4H timeframes for structure and zones to determine which direction I'm trading in. The weekly timeframe is bullish and the daily obviously has the sideways range as previously stated, but I would lean bearish because of the level breaks and structural breakdowns. The 4H is where I'm mainly looking, there was a strong bearish drop last Tuesday, March 5th. Price dropped from the bullish zone, straight through the DNT zone and right into the bearish zone. Price then tested and rejected the structural zone above (405.00 - 405.50), dropped to the bottom of the bearish zone (target 400.00), then broke back into the DNT area before rejecting the top level (409.30 - 410.10) and dropping back into the previous bearish zone (405.00), which is the current DNT zone (405.00). Although there is a lot of level breaks up and down through each zone, I am leaning bearish on the smaller timeframes due to how price has dropped and then retested as opposed to the bullish counterpart.
So goes Apple so goes the market? The old wall street adage! so goes apple....
Were at a pretty interesting level.
Are market makers going to make this breakdown in apple easy?
A head & shoulders breakdown is now on watch for a confirmed break.
This does imply a decent down move and will undoubtedly weigh on markets if it happens.
Keep an eye on the second largest company in the world.
BITCOIN, WTF TRENDS EDITIONBitcoin has some crazy trends.
But everyone says I'm crazy, so I've really got nothing to lose, haha.
Basically, everything is overextended, but not really.. if that makes any sense.
It puts bitcoin rejecting somewhere between now and 48k, and dropping to like 32k, which then has it returning to 54, which then has it going to like 12k, which then shows 120k.
How likely is this scenario? LOW. Very low, and even lower that it is similar to what I've drawn.
But also.. Not impossible.
So, here it is. IF it should happen like this, you'll be prepared to buy into some massive fear.
If it doesn't happen. Then trends and price targets are still relevant.
MSFT nice opportunity to enter this great stockhistorical chart is vertically scary, thus you always feel the opportunity to invest in this stock has already passed, but here goes nothing.
seeing a change of flows in the monthly chart signalling a possible retrace, i found confluence between 61.8% fib retracement from the whole move up since covid crash + POC at the same level for equal period + 1.27 fib extension.
provides a potential great entry if hit.
not sure about the TF this can happen and i don't expect it to go towards the target in one movement.
MICROSOFT Correction under the MA50 (1d) expected.Microsoft is trading inside a 14month Channel Up.
The MA50 (1d) is supporting since October 6th 2023, which is the same time length as the last Bullish Leg of the Channel Up.
It seems we are in a similar Bullish Megaphone Top formation.
Trading Plan:
1. Sell on the current market price.
Targets:
1. 395.00 (Support 1, which was the target during the previous Channel Up correction).
Tips:
1. The RSI (1d) is also forming an identical Bearish Megaphone as the June-July 2023 top.
Please like, follow and comment!!
Notes:
Past trading plan:
MSFT: The risks of selling shortNASDAQ:MSFT ran down yesterday but is reaching the low of the support today.
The next tier of support is outlined also from the Dec-Jan Buy Zone ahead of earnings season.
The risk day traders are taking selling short is if it runs below the low of the support and the Dark Pools surface to buy below its fundamental price level. This is why selling short is risky at this time. Support is around $397.
The big question is where are the lows for fundamental levels for the next quarterly report. MSFT had higher revenues with slightly lower earnings. The CFO did not adjust earnings. It could gap or run down on news, but fundamentals are not way below the current price.
$MSFT to go above $450 for blow off top?NASDAQ:MSFT had a strong bounce from $397 and looks set to continue a move higher.
I think we could see a very strong move over the next few weeks which sends MSFT up and over the $450 range to new highs.
If we get up there, I think this will end up being the final move for MSFT before heading much lower. Yes, I was too early on my original top call , however, still think the same outcome will prevail after hitting this range. Will update the bearish view if this top gets hit.
I bought 3/8 $450C prior to NVDA earnings, let's see if this range gets hit before then.
Microsoft Bullish Cup and Handle Microsoft - NASDAQ:MSFT
A bullish monthly and weekly chart:
✅Monthly MACD Cross
✅ Long Term parallel channel intact
✅ Above 200 day & week MA
✅ Cup and Handle (with a high handle - Preferred)
✅ Good Risk: Reward Ratio at 7.6 (51%+ vs -7% loss)
⚠️ Stop loss levels on chart 🫡
A great set up. Those that are patient could wait for a potential pull back (arrow on chart) as we are reaching into overbought levels on the RSI on the weekly. It would not be unusual for Microsoft to pull back 5-8%. The R:R would be significantly improved if you waited and if it led to an entry from approx. $350 (after a 5-8% pull back), this would line up with the 200 DSMA also. However there are no guarantees of a pull back.
Those half as cautious could enter half a position here and see what happens and place another entry at $350.
All in all the $330 - 335 red box area on the chart is an absolute stop loss level. If this level is lost I would be out of the trade fast.
So you have options with this set up:
1) Entry here with a tight 7% stop.
2) Half a position here and half at approx. $350 with a stop at $335.
3) You wait for $350 and you place your stop at $330.
These all result in a similar loss of 5 - 7% in the event the trade fails. The upside potential is always 50%+. You can always cut early also at target one and take something at the 26% profit level.
It important you take full responsibility for your trade, position accordingly and be ok with the small 5-7% loss as it will likely happen, we are only leaning on the probability that maybe 60-70% of the time these trade set up provide us the return we want.
I have not really ventured into the earnings or dividends however they are both positive contributors to this trade as earnings have been excellent and dividends whilst minimal, are dividends at the end of the day. We are here for the trade and play a set up off the chart. The fundamental's are just nice framing for the stock in our minds eye.
PUKA
Microsoft's Deal With Mistral AI Faces Regulatory ScrutinyMicrosoft's ( NASDAQ:MSFT ) recent collaboration with French startup Mistral AI has sparked outrage among European lawmakers, prompting calls for a thorough investigation into what is perceived as a consolidation of power by the Redmond-based company.
The European Union, already scrutinizing Microsoft's partnership with OpenAI, raised additional alarms as news broke of the tech giant's 15-million euro investment in Paris-based Mistral AI. The investment, earmarked for integrating Mistral's AI models into Microsoft's Azure cloud computing platform, has set off a wave of apprehension regarding potential antitrust violations and monopolistic practices.
Despite assurances from Microsoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ) that its investment does not confer ownership in Mistral, but rather equity in future funding rounds, skepticism persists among policymakers in Brussels. The deal has fueled concerns that Microsoft's growing influence in the European AI landscape could stifle competition and innovation, particularly among smaller startups.
The timing of the announcement, coinciding with ongoing discussions surrounding the EU's comprehensive AI Act, has further exacerbated tensions. Mistral's purported lobbying efforts for exemptions under the AI Act have drawn scrutiny, with some lawmakers questioning the authenticity of claims regarding the protection of European startups.
European Parliament members, including Brando Benefei and Kim van Sparrentak, have raised doubts about Mistral's motivations and its alignment with American-influenced tech lobbying efforts. Allegations of a concerted effort to circumvent regulations under the guise of supporting "European champions" have cast a shadow over the integrity of negotiations surrounding the AI Act.
Alexandra Geese echoed concerns over the concentration of power and resources, urging for a thorough investigation into Mistral's conduct and potential collusion with the French government. The call for scrutiny underscores broader apprehensions regarding the unprecedented convergence of money and influence in the tech industry.
As calls for investigation mount, Max von Thun of the Open Markets Institute emphasizes the urgency of assessing the partnership's implications. The perceived discrepancy between Mistral's advocacy as a "European champion" and its alignment with Microsoft's interests underscores the need for regulatory vigilance in safeguarding fair competition and innovation.
In response to inquiries, both Microsoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ) and Mistral AI have declined to comment, while the French government remains silent on the matter. With stakeholders clamoring for transparency and accountability, the EU faces mounting pressure to address concerns over tech giant influence and ensure a level playing field for all players in the rapidly evolving digital landscape.