IS THIS MAG7 DARLING ABOUT TO CRASH?!NASDAQ:MSFT
🔥 IS NASDAQ:MSFT ABOUT TO FALL OVER 21%?! 🔥
Let's not panic yet, but Microsoft's weekly charts are flashing some intriguing signals. Here’s the lowdown:
As long as NASDAQ:MSFT stays within its symmetrical pattern, we’re in the clear. But if it breaks downward, we’re looking at a potential 6% drop from the Volume profile shelf and possibly a dangerous 22% plunge, breaking the 2024 Head & Shoulders pattern. Enter the "Low Five Setup"—the bearish counterpart to my "High Five Setup."
Key factors to watch:
- Williams %R: Lower High
- MACD: Dangerously close to crossing below the zero line (BEARISH)
- RSI: Below RSI MA with lower highs, at 46—lots of room before oversold
- Trend: Lower high, red through yellow downward move indicating a downtrend on the weekly chart
Microsoft has been Wall Street’s golden goose, untouched by the FUD that hit the MAG7 stocks. Apple had China FUD, Tesla faced the ELON BAD FUD, Google with AI SEARCH FUD, Amazon with spending and margins FUD, Meta with metaverse spending FUD, and Nvidia with growth concerns FUD.
But as Willy Wonka taught us, every golden goose lays a bad egg sometimes. This is a weekly chart setup, so it will take time to play out. No one's immune to Wall Street’s FUD wrath, not even Microsoft. We shall see what happens...
P.S. I’m not in this name yet—just putting it on your radar. We’re early to the party, just like I always am with my setups. If you’re still here, you value solid, well-thought-out market analysis. Props to you!
Have a great Sunday, friends! 👊
Not Financial Advice #HighFiveSetup #LowFiveSetup
Msftlong
Microsoft’s Big Moves This Quarter | From Activision to AI AgentMicrosoft’s Revenue Surge: The Power of AI, Gaming, and Strategic Investments
Microsoft has released its Q1 FY25 earnings for the quarter ending in September
The stock saw a 6% drop, indicating the results fell short of investors' high hopes. Trading at over 30 times projected earnings for next year, expectations for Microsoft were significant.
CEO Satya Nadella stated
“Our AI business is set to exceed an annual revenue run rate of $10 billion next quarter, making it the fastest business in our history to reach this milestone.”
This means that AI will soon account for about 4% of Microsoft's total revenue in under three years a remarkable feat for a global giant.
If you need a quick summary, here are three main points:
1. ☁️ Azure’s growth is slowing. As Microsoft’s key player in the AI competition, Azure grew 34%, down slightly from 35% in the prior quarter (after adjustments). This comes as Google Cloud raised the bar, with its growth accelerating from 29% to 35% during the same period.
2. 🤖 AI growth is limited by hardware supply, as capacity struggles to meet demand. Data center expansion is a long-term process, and Microsoft is investing heavily in infrastructure, aiming for a growth boost by 2025.
3. 👨👩👧👦 Consumer-focused products like Gaming and Devices are underperforming. Although not essential to Microsoft's core business, their poor performance has impacted overall results.
Here’s a breakdown of the insights from the quarter.
Overview of today’s insights:
- New segmentation.
- Microsoft’s Q1 FY25 overview.
- Key earnings call highlights.
- Future areas to monitor.
1. New Segmentation
Revised Business Segments
In August, Microsoft announced a reorganization of its business segments, effective this quarter. The purpose? To better align financial reporting with the current business structure and strategic management.
Summary of the main changes
- Microsoft 365 Commercial revenue consolidation: All M365 commercial revenue, including mobility and security services, now falls under the Productivity and Business Processes segment.
-Copilot Pro revenue shift: Revenue from the Copilot Pro tool was moved from Productivity and Business Processes to the More Personal Computing segment under Search and news advertising.
-Nuance Enterprise reallocation: Revenue from Nuance, previously part of Intelligent Cloud, is now included in Productivity and Business Processes.
-Windows and Devices reporting combination: Microsoft now reports Windows and Devices revenue together.
Impact of These Changes:
Core Segments Overview:
In summary:
- The Productivity and Business Processes segment has grown significantly.
- The Intelligent Cloud segment has decreased due to the reallocation of Nuance and other revenue.
Products and Services Overview:
- M365 Commercial now includes Nuance, shifted from the Server products category, along with integrated mobility and security services.
- Windows & Devices have been merged into a single, slower-growth category.
Additional Insights:
- Azure, Microsoft's cloud platform, is reported within 'Server products and cloud services.' Although its growth rate is shared by management, exact revenue figures remain undisclosed.
Azure’s past growth figures have been adjusted for consistency, with the last quarter’s constant currency growth recast from 30% to 35%, setting a higher benchmark. Tracking these metrics is challenging due to limited revenue disclosure, but this recast indicates Azure's raised growth expectations.
2. Microsoft’s Q1 FY25 Performance
Financial Summary:
-Revenue: Up 16% year-over-year, reaching $65.6 billion (exceeding estimates by $1 billion). Post-Activision Blizzard acquisition in October 2023, the growth was 13% excluding the merger.
New Product and Services Segmentation Results
- Server products & cloud services: $22.2 billion (+23% Y/Y).
- M365 Commercial: $20.4 billion (+13% Y/Y).
- Gaming: $5.6 billion (+43% Y/Y), influenced by Activision.
- Windows & Devices: $4.3 billion (flat Y/Y).
- LinkedIn: $4.3 billion (+10% Y/Y).
- Search & news advertising: $3.2 billion (+7% Y/Y).
- Enterprise & partner services: $1.9 billion (flat Y/Y).
- Dynamics: $1.8 billion (+14% Y/Y).
- M365 Consumer products: $1.7 billion (+5% Y/Y).
Core Business Segments Breakdown:
- Productivity and Business Processes: Increased 12% Y/Y to $28.3 billion, supported by M365 Commercial, especially Copilot adoption.
- Intelligent Cloud: Grew 20% Y/Y to $24.1 billion, with Azure AI driving growth.
- More Personal Computing: Grew 17% Y/Y to $13.2 billion, including a 15-point boost from Activision. Devices fell, but search and ad performance improved under new segmentation.
Key Observations:
- Microsoft Cloud revenue climbed 22% Y/Y to $39 billion, making up 59% of total revenue (+3 percentage points Y/Y).
- Azure continues to drive cloud services and server products' growth.
- Xbox growth has surged due to the Activision acquisition since Q2 FY24, expected to stabilize by Q2 FY25.
- Windows OEM and devices combined, showing a 2% decline in Q1 FY25.
- Office rebranded to Microsoft 365; updated naming will be used starting next quarter.
- Margins: Gross margin at 69% (down 2pp Y/Y, 1pp Q/Q); operating margin at 47% (down 1pp Y/Y, up 4pp Q/Q).
- EPS: Increased 10% to $3.30, beating by $0.19.
Cash Flow and Balance Sheet:
- Operating cash flow: $34 billion (52% margin, down 2pp Y/Y).
- Cash**: $78 billion; Long-term debt**: $43 billion.
Q2 FY25 Outlook:
- Productivity and Business Processes: Anticipated 10%-11% Y/Y growth, steady due to M365, Copilot inclusion, and expected LinkedIn growth of ~10%. Dynamics set to grow mid-to-high teens.
- Intelligent Cloud: Projected 18%-20% Y/Y growth, slightly slowing, with Azure growth expected between 28%-29%.
- More Personal Computing: Forecasted ~$14 billion revenue, declines in Windows, Devices, and Gaming anticipated, with some offset from Copilot Pro.
Main Takeaways:
- Azure's growth slowed to 34% Y/Y in constant currency, with AI services contributing 12pp, up from 11pp last quarter. This marks a dip from the recast 35% prior and included an accounting boost.
- Capacity limitations in AI persist; more infrastructure investments are planned, with reacceleration expected in H2 FY25.
- Commercial performance obligations grew 21% to $259 billion, up from 20% in Q4.
- Margins were pressured by AI infrastructure investments; Activision reduced the operating margin by 2 points.
- Capital expenditures increased by 50% to $15 billion, half dedicated to infrastructure, with further Capex growth expected.
- Shareholder returns included $9.0 billion through buybacks and dividends, matching Q4 repurchases.
Earnings Call Highlights:
Azure AI saw a doubling of usage over six months, positioning it as a foundation for services like Cosmos DB and SQL DB. Microsoft Fabric adoption grew 14% sequentially, signaling rapid uptake.
AI Expansion: GitHub Copilot enterprise use surged 55% Q/Q, with AI-powered capabilities used by nearly 600,000 organizations, a 4x increase Y/Y.
M365 Copilot has achieved a 70% adoption rate among Fortune 500 companies and continues to grow rapidly.
LinkedIn saw accelerated growth in markets like India and Brazil and a 6x quarterly increase in video views, aligning with broader social media trends.
Search and Gaming: Bing’s revenue growth surpassed the market, while Game Pass hit a new revenue record, propelled by Black Ops 6
Capital Expenditures: CFO Amy Hood highlighted that half of cloud and AI investments are for long-term infrastructure, positioning the company for sustained growth.
4. Future Outlook
Energy Needs: Microsoft, facing higher power demands, plans to revive a reactor at Three Mile Island with Constellation Energy by 2028 to power its AI data centers sustainably.
Autonomous AI Agents: Coming in November, these agents will perform tasks with minimal human input, enhancing efficiency. Copilot Studio will allow businesses to customize these agents, with 10 pre-built options to start.
Industry Impact: Salesforce has launched Agentforce, signaling increased competition. CEO Mark Benioff recently compared Microsoft’s Copilot to the nostalgic Clippy, stoking rivalry.
For further analysis stay tuned
Microsoft MSFT: Volume + Momentum today & a retest of High soon
Microsoft came up in stock scans today on increased momentum so I took a look and I took a Long position.
MSFT you may remember back in July of this year sold off quite deeply from a bearish head n shoulders pattern. But since then it's price has reformed with good market structure & following its steamy movement today, I think a reclaim of the high price will occur before end of the year.
Microsoft - We Will See A Correction!Microsoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ) can actually create a correction:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Microsoft is one of the strongest stocks over the past decade and also over the past couple of months, there was no clear sign of weakness. Therefore, it is actually not extremely likely that a correction will happen, but if it does, this will offer a long term texbook trading opportunity.
Levels to watch: $420, $350
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
MSFT Setting up for a Long trade**Microsoft Value Correlation to USD and Interest Rates
>We are approaching oversold region for both correlations
**Election Year Seasonality forecast
>Setting up for a Bullish move on October 10
Technical Analysis:
1. Price could reach the highlighted Demand Zone and bounce.
2. Price could also reach the Gap Below the Demand zone. Price Gaps are like magnets because this is a market imbalance.
OTHERS:
>Scalpers can ride the Bearish trend until price reaches Demand Zone
>Long term traders can position for a Long trade at Demand Zone or at the Gap area.
***As always, manage your own trades, trade safe and make sure to do your due diligence when analyzing the charts.***
Microsoft - Correction Is Not Over Yet!Microsoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ) can still drop a little lower:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
It seems like the correction on Microsoft is not over yet and following previous price action and market structure, a move back to the previous triangle breakout level seems to be quite likely. However Microsoft still remains in an overall bullish market so looking for long setups is best.
Levels to watch: $350
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
MSFT has room to the daily 50 SMA.NASDAQ:MSFT daily chart shows consolidation just below the daily 50 and 65 EMAs. If MSFT can confirm this daily supply to the upside, there is significant space on the chart up to the daily 50 SMA, which gives this trade a large measured potential. Many NASDAQ:QQQ names have reclaimed their daily 50 SMAs, and as long as the index continues to build above its daily 50 SMA, MSFT is likely to catch up. As MSFT is a thinner name, this trade will be more likely to work during the morning trading session when liquidity is higher.
Microsoft Set to Rival Google and OpenAI On Development of MAI-1Microsoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ) is developing a new AI language model, MAI-1, to compete with Google and OpenAI. Under the supervision of Mustafa Suleyman, former Google DeepMind co-founder, the model aims to surpass the capabilities of Google and OpenAI. MAI-1 is expected to surpass Microsoft's previous smaller, open-source models in size and capability, potentially signaling higher costs. The purpose of MAI-1 is yet to be fully determined and is contingent upon its performance.
The model's unveiling may occur during Microsoft's upcoming Build developer conference. Microsoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ) recently introduced Phi-3-mini, a smaller AI model, aiming to broaden its client base with cost-effective alternatives. Phi-3-mini, measuring 3.8 billion parameters, is available in the Microsoft Azure AI Model Catalog, Hugging Face, Ollama, and as an NVIDIA Corporation NIM microservice with a standard API interface.
Microsoft's substantial investment in OpenAI technology and ChatGPT deployment has positioned it as a frontrunner in generative AI.
Microsoft Soars on Cloud Momentum, Fueled by AIMicrosoft is experiencing a period of robust growth, driven by the accelerating adoption of its cloud computing services. The company's recent fiscal third-quarter results surpassed analyst expectations on both revenue and earnings, solidifying its position as a major player in the cloud wars. However, a slightly weaker-than-expected revenue guidance for the next quarter has injected a note of caution.
The cloud division, Azure, continues to be the crown jewel of Microsoft's growth strategy. Azure is experiencing significant momentum, capturing a growing share of the ever-expanding cloud market. This success can be attributed in part to Microsoft's strategic push towards artificial intelligence (AI).
The company is heavily investing in AI research and development, recognizing its transformative potential across various industries. Microsoft's Azure platform provides a comprehensive suite of AI tools and services, allowing businesses to leverage AI capabilities for tasks like data analysis, machine learning, and intelligent automation. This focus on AI is proving to be a significant differentiator for Microsoft, attracting customers seeking to integrate cutting-edge AI solutions into their operations.
One key indicator of Microsoft's commitment to AI is its increasing capital expenditures on securing Nvidia graphics processing units (GPUs). GPUs are essential hardware components for training and running complex AI models, requiring immense processing power. By investing in this technology, Microsoft ensures it has the necessary infrastructure to support the ever-growing demand for AI services on its Azure platform.
While Microsoft's financial performance is impressive, a slight concern arises from the company's guidance for the next quarter. Revenue for the fiscal fourth quarter is projected to be around $64 billion, falling short of the $64.5 billion analysts anticipated. This could potentially indicate a temporary slowdown in the overall growth trajectory. However, it's important to consider the broader market climate and potential external factors impacting revenue generation, such as fluctuations in global economic conditions.
Despite this minor setback, Microsoft's long-term prospects remain positive. The company boasts a strong and diversified business model. Beyond the cloud, Microsoft continues to generate significant revenue from its traditional software products like the Office suite and Windows operating system. This diversification provides a safety net, mitigating risks associated with any potential fluctuations in a single market segment.
Furthermore, Microsoft's commitment to innovation extends beyond just the cloud and AI. The company actively explores other high-growth areas like cybersecurity, gaming (Xbox), and mixed reality (HoloLens). These ventures have the potential to unlock new revenue streams and solidify Microsoft's position as a technological leader across diverse sectors.
However, Microsoft faces challenges on its path to continued dominance. The cloud market is fiercely competitive, with Amazon Web Services (AWS) holding a significant market share. Microsoft must persistently innovate and improve its cloud services to maintain its competitive edge. Additionally, regulatory scrutiny regarding data privacy and antitrust concerns could pose obstacles for Microsoft's growth strategies.
In conclusion, Microsoft is in a strong position, propelled by its flourishing cloud business and strategic investments in AI. While a slightly weaker-than-expected revenue guidance for the next quarter introduces some caution, Microsoft's diversified business model and commitment to innovation position it well for long-term success. The company's ability to navigate the competitive landscape and address potential regulatory hurdles will be crucial in determining its continued dominance in the years to come.
Microsoft-Backed Rubrik Eyes $713 Mln IPOIn a move signaling robust confidence in the cybersecurity sector, Rubrik, a Palo Alto-based firm backed by Microsoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ), is set to embark on an initial public offering (IPO), aiming to raise up to $713 million, according to sources familiar with the matter.
The cybersecurity software company is planning to offer 23 million shares priced between $28 and $31 each, potentially valuing Rubrik at approximately $5.4 billion at the upper end of the range. This IPO initiative underscores Rubrik's strategic positioning amidst a burgeoning demand for cloud-based ransomware protection and data-backup solutions.
Rubrik's planned IPO arrives against the backdrop of a revitalized U.S. IPO market, signaling a resurgence in investor appetite following a period of subdued activity. Notable successful listings, including those of Reddit and Astera Labs, have set the stage for a wave of upcoming public offerings, with companies like Cato Networks and Synechron poised to join the fray.
Founded in 2014 by venture capitalist Bipul Sinha, Rubrik has established itself as a leader in the cybersecurity space, serving over 5,000 business clients, including industry giants like Nvidia Corp and Home Depot. The company's robust growth trajectory is evidenced by a 47% increase in subscription annual recurring revenue compared to the previous year.
However, amid its IPO preparations, Rubrik finds itself entangled in a U.S. fraud investigation related to a former employee. The U.S. Department of Justice is probing allegations that the ex-employee diverted funds from 110 contracts with Rubrik into a personal operating entity, a development that adds a layer of complexity to Rubrik's IPO journey.
Despite the regulatory scrutiny, Rubrik's IPO aspirations underscore the market's bullish outlook on cybersecurity solutions. With the backing of industry stalwarts like Microsoft and a track record of delivering cutting-edge cloud-based security services, Rubrik's public debut promises to be a significant event in the cybersecurity landscape.
As Rubrik charts its course toward the public markets, investors will be keenly watching how the company navigates the IPO process amidst regulatory challenges and capitalizes on the growing demand for cybersecurity solutions in an increasingly digitized world.
MICROSOFT $MSFT - Mar. 11th, 2024MICROSOFT NASDAQ:MSFT - Mar. 11th, 2024
BUY/LONG ZONE (GREEN): $405.00 - $415.00
DO NOT TRADE/DNT ZONE (WHITE): $400.00 - $405.00
SELL/SHORT ZONE (RED): $394.10 - $400.00
Weekly: Bullish
Daily: DNT, Leaning Bearish
4H: DNT, Leaning Bearish
Wanted to draw up NASDAQ:MSFT after seeing the ranging zone on the daily timeframe, figured I might be able to pick a few entries no matter which trend price breaks into. The bullish zone is expanded farther than I typically would have it because of how price is moving in the range and because there have been already been multiple tests to each level. Previous zones are labeled for reference. I would heavily rely on the 1H/15min timeframes for entries, and the Daily/4H timeframes for structure and zones to determine which direction I'm trading in. The weekly timeframe is bullish and the daily obviously has the sideways range as previously stated, but I would lean bearish because of the level breaks and structural breakdowns. The 4H is where I'm mainly looking, there was a strong bearish drop last Tuesday, March 5th. Price dropped from the bullish zone, straight through the DNT zone and right into the bearish zone. Price then tested and rejected the structural zone above (405.00 - 405.50), dropped to the bottom of the bearish zone (target 400.00), then broke back into the DNT area before rejecting the top level (409.30 - 410.10) and dropping back into the previous bearish zone (405.00), which is the current DNT zone (405.00). Although there is a lot of level breaks up and down through each zone, I am leaning bearish on the smaller timeframes due to how price has dropped and then retested as opposed to the bullish counterpart.
$MSFT to go above $450 for blow off top?NASDAQ:MSFT had a strong bounce from $397 and looks set to continue a move higher.
I think we could see a very strong move over the next few weeks which sends MSFT up and over the $450 range to new highs.
If we get up there, I think this will end up being the final move for MSFT before heading much lower. Yes, I was too early on my original top call , however, still think the same outcome will prevail after hitting this range. Will update the bearish view if this top gets hit.
I bought 3/8 $450C prior to NVDA earnings, let's see if this range gets hit before then.
Microsoft - It's That SimpleHello Traders, welcome to today's analysis of Microsoft.
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Explanation of my video analysis:
In 2019 Microsoft stock started creating a major bullish trendline which was tested again in 2020 and also the beginning of 2023. Furthermore Microsoft also broke out of a massive ascending triangle formation and is now just looking extremely bullish. If Microsoft retest the previous breakout area mentioned in the analysis, we will be looking for long continuation setups.
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I will only take a trade if all the rules of my strategy are satisfied.
Let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions.
Keep your long term vision.
MSFT Microsoft Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought the dip on MSFT here, when Microsoft Bought 49% Stake in OpenAI creator of ChatGPT:
or the comparison to AMZN and GOOGL:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of MSFT Microsoft Corporation prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 400usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-6-21,
for a premium of approximately $30.45.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
🚀 Microsoft Analysis: Anticipated Upward Trajector 📈In my analysis of Microsoft, the recent attainment of a new All-Time High at $385 signifies the culmination of either Wave A or Wave (iii). Currently navigating a subordinate ABC correction, a Zigzag correction, we're on the verge of completing Wave (iv) within the 38.2% to 61.8% Fibonacci levels. Anticipating an overarching Wave 5, I foresee a significant rise to approximately $450. This sets the stage with a promising Chances-to-Risk ratio of 4.3. My conviction remains strong in the imminent downturn, followed by a subsequent upward trajectory, potentially shadowed by another sell-off. These projections extend into the future, likely until mid-2024. 🚀
Microsoft (MSFT) Hits All-time High After Hiring Sam AltmanMicrosoft stock reached a record high on Monday after the company said that Sam Altman, former chief executive of OpenAI, will join the company to head its artificial intelligence innovation leg.
Shares of the tech behemoth rose 2.1% to an all-time high close of $377.44 on Monday, beating the previous record of $376.17.
That comes after shares of Microsoft fell 1.7% on Friday, when Sam Altman was ousted from his position at OpenAI in a boardroom coup. Microsoft is the artificial intelligence firm’s biggest stakeholder, with a $13 billion investment in the company.
Technical Analysist
Price Momentum
MSFT is trading near the top of its 52-week range and above its 200-day simple moving average.
What does this mean?
Investors have been pushing the share price higher, and the stock still appears to have upward momentum. This is a positive sign for the stock's future value.
MSFT Soars with the Arrival of Sam Altman from OpenAII wanted to share the latest development that has the potential to spark a remarkable surge in Microsoft's stock value.
Imagine the possibilities that await as MSFT makes a strategic move by hiring none other than Sam Altman, the renowned technology visionary behind OpenAI. Altman's groundbreaking expertise in artificial intelligence (AI) and his impressive track record in shaping the future of technology make this an exhilarating moment for all MSFT investors.
With Altman on board, MSFT is set to revolutionize the tech industry and solidify its position as a leading force in innovation. The integration of his visionary mindset, coupled with Microsoft's already sterling reputation and enduring commitment to evolving technology, heralds a significant opportunity for continued growth and groundbreaking achievements.
In light of this momentous news, I invite you to join me in seizing the potential for substantial gains as MSFT aims to hit unprecedented highs. Now is the time to act and position ourselves for a profitable long-term investment opportunity. I strongly encourage you to consider taking a long position in MSFT, as this could be a game-changing move for your portfolio.
Let's ride the wave of this incredible development and harness the power of Altman's expertise and Microsoft's unwavering dedication to reshaping the tech landscape. By investing in MSFT today, we have the chance to participate in a remarkable journey towards new horizons of success.
Don't miss out on this investment opportunity; the potential for incredible returns is within our grasp. Position yourself for success by joining me in going long on MSFT and embarking on this exciting venture together.
Microsoft Hires Sam Altman And Greg Brockman For New AI TeamMicrosoft CEO Satya Nadella hires OpenAI's ex-CEO Sam Altman and ex-president Greg Brockman for its new advanced AI research team.
Microsoft officially hires OpenAI’s ex-CEO Sam Altman and ex-president Greg Brockman to lead a new advanced artificial intelligence (AI) research team. Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella made the announcement after OpenAI confirmed hiring Twitch co-founder Emmett Shear as interim CEO. The company will continue to have investments in OpenAI, while getting to know Emmett Shear and OpenAI’s new leadership team.
Microsoft Hires Sam Altman and Greg Brockman
Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella took to X on November 20 to officially announce hiring of former OpenAI CEO Sam Altman and president Greg Brockman. They will lead a new advanced AI research team.
Nadella said the company remains committed to partnership with OpenAI and has confidence in the product roadmap. He added “our ability to continue to innovate with everything we announced at Microsoft Ignite, and in continuing to support our customers and partners.” Microsoft will look forward to getting to know Emmett Shear and OpenAI’s new leadership team and working with them.
This is a very good move from Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) because we can not overemphazised to the fact that AI is the gateway to web.3.0. Any company leveraging AI for its services and products is a good company to invest in, because in the long run it will succeed.
Technical Analysist
Price Momentum
MSFT is trading near the top of its 52-week range and above its 200-day simple moving average.
What does this mean?
Investors have been pushing the share price higher, and the stock still appears to have upward momentum. This is a positive sign for the stock's future value.
Microsoft Stock Jumps After Earnings Beat.Microsoft Stock Jumps After Earnings Beat. The Cloud Looks Strong.
Microsoft shares traded higher after the company posted better-than-expected financial results for its September quarter, aided by better performance than expected from the company’s cloud computing business.
The software firm posted revenue of $56.5 billion, up 13% from a year ago, and $2 billion ahead of Wall Street estimates.
Profits were $2.99 a share, well ahead of the consensus of $2.65 a share. Importantly, the company’s Azure cloud business grew 28% on a constant currency basis in the quarter, well above the company’s forecast for growth of 25% to 26%; on a GAAP basis Azure grew 29%. The company said Microsoft Cloud revenue was $31.8 billion, up 24%.
Microsoft shares closed up 3.1% Wednesday, the day after the report.
In the quarter, the company posted revenue of $18.6 billion for its Productivity and Business Processes segment, up 13% from a year ago, and ahead of its guidance range of $18 billion to $18.3 billion. That includes 15% growth in Office Commercial products.
Microsoft said its Intelligent Cloud segment, which includes Azure, had revenue of $24.3 billion, up 19%, and well ahead of its forecast range of $23.3 billion to $23.6 billion. Server products and cloud services revenue was up 21%.
Revenue from the More Personal Computing segment was $13.7 billion, up 3%, and nicely above the guidance range of $12.5 billion to $12.9 billion. Search and news advertising revenue excluding traffic acquisition costs rose 10%. One big surprise in the quarter was that Windows OEM revenue—paid by PC manufacturers—was up 4%. The company’s guidance had called for a decline in the low-to-mid teens.
The company said commercial bookings in the quarter were up 14%, or 17% adjusted for currency.
Microsoft repurchased $3.6 billion of common stock in the quarter.
Microsoft shares have surged 36% in 2023, amid investor excitement about the company’s substantial investment in OpenAI, its integration of AI software into Bing, and its rollout of AI Copilot software across its software lineup.
Microsoft -> A Long Term Double Top?Hello Traders and Investors ,
my name is Philip and today I will provide a free and educational multi-timeframe technical analysis of Microsoft💪
On the monthly timeframe you can see that Microsoft stock once again retested the previous all time high at the $340 level and once again rejected it towards the downside.
You can also see that after the recent retracement on Microsoft, MSFT stock is approaching previous structure at the $320 level from which we could see a short term bullish bounce.
And last but not least I am just waiting for the daily timeframe to shift back to a bullish market before I then do expect a short term rejection away from the daily and weekly support area.
Keep in mind: Don't get caught up in short term moves and always look at the long term picture; building wealth is a marathon and not a quick sprint📈
Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
My previous analysis of this asset:
MSFT Microsoft Options Ahead of Earnings ! Growth Thesis !If you haven`t bought MSFT when they Bought 49% Stake in OpenAI, creator of ChatGPT:
Or sold on their warning to investors:
Then analyzing the options chain and chart patterns of MSFT Microsoft prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 345usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-1-19,
for a premium of approximately $28.95.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
The investment by Microsoft in OpenAI signifies a significant boost to their artificial intelligence capabilities. OpenAI's advanced technologies and expertise in AI research and development could potentially enhance the capabilities of Microsoft's Bing search engine. With access to powerful AI algorithms and resources, Bing may be able to offer more personalized and accurate search results, thereby attracting users who seek a more refined search experience.
Microsoft has been making strategic moves to expand its presence in various sectors, including cloud computing and enterprise services. By integrating Bing into its ecosystem of products and services, Microsoft can leverage its existing user base and partnerships to promote Bing as a viable alternative to Google.
In recent years, Google has faced scrutiny over data privacy concerns and antitrust issues, which could create an opportunity for Bing to gain traction among users seeking more privacy-focused alternatives. Additionally, Microsoft has been actively investing in marketing and advertising efforts to raise awareness about Bing and improve its market positioning.
While Google currently holds a dominant position in the search engine market, the landscape is dynamic and subject to change. If Microsoft successfully leverages its partnership with OpenAI to enhance Bing's capabilities, coupled with strategic marketing initiatives, it could potentially chip away at Google's market share over time.
The implementation, by Microsoft, of a chatbot like ChatGPT, powered by OpenAI's advanced natural language processing capabilities, could indeed provide an opportunity for consumers to find the cheapest price online for the same product. In an era where price comparison and cost-saving measures are highly valued by customers, this feature could be a valuable asset for Bing.
Amazon's reputation for having expensive and overvalued prices has been a topic of discussion among consumers. While Amazon provides a wide range of products and convenient shopping experiences, some users have expressed concerns about the pricing competitiveness on the platform. This presents an opening for Bing to attract cost-conscious consumers who are actively seeking better deals.
The concern over the origin of products, particularly those manufactured in China, has gained attention in recent years. Some consumers prefer to avoid purchasing Chinese-made products due to quality, safety, or political reasons. If Bing can provide a search experience that allows users to filter or identify the origin of products more effectively, it could cater to a segment of consumers who prioritize alternative sourcing.
I think MSFT will be one of the winners of the AI race.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.