MSFT possible pullbackHere is a possible pullback considering possible prices of resistance including the lowest price of an old candle, the 50% of the fibonacci retracement (where retracements are more likely to happen). The price already hit the zone but it is common for the price to come back up before the day end. Furthermore, the 50% fibonacci retracement also happens with the weekly timeframe. The risk/reward ratio do not consider the current trend, therefore it is better to maybe take out the TP to see how far the price might go down.
Msftlong
Microsoft pulling back?Microsoft
Short Term
We look to Buy at 273.34 (stop at 266.24)
Previous resistance at 275.00 now becomes support. Choppy price action seen. We can see no technical reason for a change of trend. We therefore, prefer to fade into the dip with a tight stop in anticipation of a move back higher.
Our profit targets will be 292.57 and 303.00
Resistance: 293.00 / 315.00 / 320.00
Support: 275.00 / 250.00 / 200.00
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MSFT stock final up move before near reversalMicrosoft stock from a technical view has some space for some up movement
•MSFT Stock has broken above inverted H&SH pattern still not hit the pattern target at $302.
• Down channel is broken in the last up move with a successful retest.
We expect the up move to continue towards $300-$302 levels to hit the H&SH pattern target, before reversing back towards $270.
$300-$302 playing as an important resistance:
• 61.8% Fibonacci from the last down move from 22 Nov -21.
• Down trendline from Nov 21.
MSFT up 10% from last post. MSFT getting near 2nd breakout area. Above 277.70 can see more upside.
We were long MSFT from 265 break out area. Really good push so far. Sold my calls yesterday at 277.70. Will try some roll ups for AUG 5 280C if we breakout again.
Link to the last breakout post is attached below.
Microsoft: No Mo Lo´s!This massive impulsive reaction to the FED´s rate hike is a clear indicator for tus that the low has been completed. Accordingly, the Mircosoft stock should now seek to extend gains. In the turquoise target zone on the top, we expect a turnaround for another corrective move, though we do not think that new lows will be reached. Here, we might enter a position or two 👀
Microsoft buying Activision in Q3?The end of Q2/H1 has heavily impacted the majority of stocks as we know. The announced takeover of Activision by Microsoft in my eyes has been put on hold due to the market downturn, pushing back into the second half of Q3 or even as late as mid Q4.
With the buyout suggest to be at US$95 i feel that the current price of US$78 is a good buy.
There is a lot of reasons for Microsoft to make this purchase so I dont think they are going to walk away because it was a bad quarter for everyone.
$MSFT MICROSOFT BULLISH Pattern BROADENING DECSENDING WEDGE$MSFT MICROSOFT is Printing BULLISH Reversal Patterns, much like $AAPL has as they are related tech stocks.
Let's review the chart:
1. There is a BROADENING DECSENDING WEDGE which is a bullish reversal pattern much like the falling wedge but expanding. This could either breakout soon or tap the bottom trendline for a third time before breaking out.
2. Textbook inverse Head & Shoulder forming as well. The selling volume is highest on the left shoulder making the possibility for this pattern to complete higher.
Being a dividend paying stock this is definitely worth accumulating in the bear market. Microsoft is a tech leader and their cloud offering is growing very well and maintaining growth. This company is always on top of new innovation and have already been dabbling in AI and blockchain technology, in addition, to web3. They are cloud, digital, advertising, linkedIn, XBOX gaming, ect. Need I say more?
This is NOT financial advice, please always do your own research.
$MSFT symmetrical triangleAfter $FB managed to get above its recent triangle, $MSFT is in a similar position today. Watch the overall volume and complexion of the day to see if the software giant is ready for the next leg higher. A lot will depend on the CPI reading tomorrow. In case this come in lighter than expected, we could see $MSFT above $285 by next week.
Bearish breakdown for MSFT on the Fibonacci Bollinger BandThe monthly chart for Microsoft (MSFT) shows a breakdown below the upper band (red line) of the Fibonacci Bollinger Bands (FBB) indicator. While it is likely that MSFT will bounce for the time being, as inflation worries cool and tech stocks attempt a rally, the upper band will likely act as resistance. If the price rebounds it might be hard to sustain a breakout above $300. While I like MSFT as much as anyone else, the charts do not lie. The chart is showing that there is a long-term mean reversion occurring in the price of MSFT. The white line is the standard deviation basis for the monthly chart which reflects the downside potential. It's quite steep and the yearly oscillators are saying MSFT is primed to correct down to this level. All of this will unfold slowly (months to years) and fakeouts might trap some bulls. Is your MSFT position prepared for a worst-case scenario reversion to the mean? Trade wisely.
Not financial advice.
Can $MSFT break out of this symmetrical triangle?$MSFT had a decent bounce after Friday's hammer candle as the stock continues to rebuild. Despite yesterday's weakness in the tech sector triggered by $SNAP, the software giant closed right at its 8EMA. In case it can get above $263, it has some space on the chart for a possible move back to $270 in the coming week if the overall market conditions improve. Watch this stock for overall sentiment in tech. The longer it stays above $260, the higher the probability the next move is above $270 rather than below $240 as the bears would envision.
MSFT: Bears Have Taken Control Over BullsMSFT has accomplished the corrective wave (b) and started falling for wave (c) of wave (4).
Traders can expect the following targets: 289 - 272 - 265 for wave (c).
Here, 273 is the Fibonacci level of 50% of the wave. This level will act as a crucial level.
An uptrend is only possible after the breakout of the parallel channel . As per the wave principle, a new trend can unfold above/below wave B of the previous correction.
Potential for MSFT puts near open and then calls laterPotential for puts near open if the emas close bearish on the 15 minute premarket (and theres a good looking entry on the 5 and 2 minute). Looking for a pump up towards 273 sometime in the late morning. It wicked up from 269ish all the to 273.39 after hours, and I'm hoping it tries to test that during regular market hours. I will look for a chance to enter a call if it holds around the 269.50 area. I will be using a bullish 9 and 21 EMA (I use the ones on Webull) crossing as confirmation on 2 minute, even better if it has first completed a bullish crossing of the 15 minute. Will also use my indicators shown in the chart as extra confirmation. Likely will scalp quick and not hold all the way to 273 given how eratic the market has been. If it rejects that area, it may pose a chance for puts. Blue lines indicate where its been trading between and shorter time frame. Green and red lines are 1hr and 1 day support/resistance areas. Just sharing my own personal levels, I'm not a pro lol.
5/4/22 MSFTMicrosoft Corp. ( NASDAQ:MSFT )
Sector: Technology Services (Packaged Software)
Market Capitalization: $2.174T
Current Price: $289.98
Breakout price: $290.85
Buy Zone (Top/Bottom Range): $288.70-$277.00
Price Target: $303.20-$307.00 (3rd), $320.70-$323.50 (4th)
Estimated Duration to Target: 25-27d (3rd), 55-57d (4th)
Contract of Interest: $MSFT 6/17/22 290c, $MSFT 7/15/22 295c
Trade price as of publish date: $11.65/contract, $11.60/contract
IS MSFT OVERVALUED?Microsoft Corporation develops, licenses, and supports software, services, devices, and solutions worldwide. Its Productivity and Business Processes segment offers Office, Exchange, SharePoint, Microsoft Teams, Office 365
Security and Compliance, and Skype for Business, as well as related Client Access Licenses (CAL); Skype, Outlook.com, OneDrive, and LinkedIn; and Dynamics 365, a set of cloud-based and on-premises business solutions for
organizations and enterprise divisions. Its Intelligent Cloud segment licenses SQL, Windows Servers, Visual Studio, System Center, and related CALs; GitHub that provides a collaboration platform and code hosting service for
developers; and Azure, a cloud platform. It also offers support services and Microsoft consulting services to assist customers in developing, deploying, and managing Microsoft server and desktop solutions.
Microsoft is a rock. No doubt. But i feel like that the stock is priced for perfection and if earnings do not constantly surprise investors, then we could see a strong move downward. Especially when we think FED will increase rates and decrease money supply.
MSFT p/e is only 29 which is pretty low for a tech company but its market cap 2.1 trillion dollars. It is %10 of US GDP and around %2,5 of worlds GDP.
How much more can it grow? Where is the line for a company to be too big?
Right now FED is increasing rates and decreasing money supply which is not good for stock market.
This year we can experience that big techs, such as Google, MSFT, Apple is overvalued for this kind of economic policies.
Lets take a look at important price levels.
Support levels
280
266
241
If we cant keep 280 levels as support, fast downward movement to 266 and 241 is possible.
Resistance leves
299
On the upside if we can breakout of 299 level, it is possible for more increase.
Price targets are
310
320
350
Thanks
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MSFT beating analysts' expectationsAdj EPS: $2.22 vs $2.19 expected
Revenue: $49.4 billion vs $49 billion expected
Cloud: $19.05 billion vs $18.9 billion expected
Revenues for Azure, its flagship cloud offering, rose 46% from last year.
My price target fo MSFT this year is $307.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.