Msftshort
MSFT Swing Short updateWe have hit our entry perfectly and have started to move down. Since we have already moved 2% Its good enough for moving stop loss slightly lower, but I would keep it above the recent high atleast couple of point higher.
Once we breach the while horizontal line and stay under it for a day or two I will move the Stop loss to breakeven after taking small tp and let the rest ride.
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MSFT Swing ShortWe have several bear divs on RSI. The whole move up from 274 to current high will be reversed as it happened on Decelerating volume. We have also tapped the PRZ of butterfly after filling the Gap at 312.
The PRZ of the butterfly has a large zone of reversal, that's why SL is slightly large for this move. Based on your risk appetite, you can either wait for a better entry or size your positions as per the SL , but we are at proper place to look for selling/Shorting opportunities here.
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Microsoft A Great Selling Opportunity 🤨👌Trade Proposal:
There is a probability of first tp to the proposed ( 200,00 ) Direction line. So, Traders can set orders based on Price Action and expect to reach short-term goals.
Technical analysis:
Microsoft is in Downtrend and It is Expected to Continue Downtrend.
Microsoft - Extreme Bearish SentimentI see a gruesome bloodbath in the American stock market. Stocks are showing heavy bearish sentiment. Microsoft rose to as high as $349. A drop started at that price point and will continue right down to 141. A BREAK OF STRUCTURE at 141 will then send the price falling to around $14 (My Point Of Interest).
Things are really getting interesting!!!
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Smart Money Concepts are king in the market. Move with the big sharks or get ravaged!!!
Microsoft - Slammed after the earnings report Prior to the beginning of the current earnings season, we warned investors that this would be a volatile period preceding the ECB and FED meetings, characterized by companies narrowly beating market expectations or failing to fulfill them. We also stated that this would enforce our thesis about the second stage of the bear market and progression deeper into the recession.
It did not take long before earning season arrived, and companies started to prove our predictions true (Adidas, Alphabet, Mattel, etc.). Unfortunately, we expect this trend to continue in the next earning season; indeed, we believe it will be far worse than the current one.
Yesterday, Microsoft announced its earnings for the third quarter of 2022, in which it reported an 11% increase in revenue and a 6% increase in operating income. Additionally, the company reported a 14% decrease in net income and a 13% decrease in diluted earnings per share. That subsequently led to a drop in the price of MSFT stock by more than 6.5% after hours.
In our opinion, this merely highlights what we have been reiterating for a while. The market is in recession, and the recent bounce off the 2022 lows represents merely another bear market rally predestined to fall later. With that being said, we expect economic conditions to worsen next week with another FED rate hike.
Illustration 1.01
Illustration 1.01 shows the daily chart of Microsoft stock. It can be seen closing at 250.66 USD yesterday; however, after the close and earnings report, it plunged more than 6.5% to 234 USD. This dramatic price action occurred despite Microsoft announcing an increase in revenue and operating expenses compared to the same period a year ago.
Technical analysis - daily time frame
RSI, MACD, and Stochastic are all bullish. DM+ and DM- are also bullish. Overall, the daily time frame is bullish; however, the data does not reflect the drop after earnings. Therefore, we expect the daily time frame to turn bearish today.
Illustration 1.02
Illustration 1.02 displays the daily chart of MSFT stock and simple support/resistance levels.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame
RSI, MACD, and Stochastic are flattening, trying to reverse. DM+ and DM- are bearish. Overall, the weekly time frame remains bearish.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
MSFT Microsoft Corporation Technical ReboundIf you haven`t sold MSFT after they Issued the Warning to Investors:
Then you should know that the chart reached our price target perfectly and is now ready for a technical rebound.
A technical rebound refers to a recovery from a prior period of losses when technical signals indicate that the move was oversold.
In this case, the Relative Strength Index momentum indicator of MSFT Microsoft Corporation is at 24.30.
Even though i am overall bearish on the economy, buying a strong financial instrument when the RSI is below 30, would make a case for a potential short term reversal.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
Microsoft Stock Analysis. Biggest sell-off in history happeningMicrosoft Stock Analysis. The biggest sell-off in history has been happening since the end of 2021. Long-term shorts are playing out on Microsoft stock.
New supply levels are being created on the weekly timeframe; the last one is located at $256 per share. Microsoft's stock price today is still bearish. The stock might take some time to pull back to the supply imbalance shown in the Microsoft stock video analysis and prediction.
The expectations for the IT giant are very negative, regardless of any positive news, earnings, or new products and acquisitions. MSFT stock price could drop as far down as $65 in the following months. You can use bearish stock option strategies to take advantage of the sell-off in Microsoft stock.
MSFT stock idea trade setup - 9/26/2022The next level of support is at 233 levels, I would go long at 233, with a stop at 230 level and target at 241 levels.
Based on how this stock is falling, I feel this should happen around its earnings timeframe.
P.S. The only worry is that quite a bit of revenue for Microsoft is generated from rest of the world. With this strengthening of dollar, the revenue is getting crushed. Eg. A year ago, 1 USD = 1050 KRW. Now it is 1 USD = 1450 KRW(south korean won). So, if microsoft was selling office for 100000 KRW(approximately 100 USD) a year ago, now microsoft is making only 72 USD.
Though the stock does well, because of the FX rates things are not looking good.
MSFT possible pullbackHere is a possible pullback considering possible prices of resistance including the lowest price of an old candle, the 50% of the fibonacci retracement (where retracements are more likely to happen). The price already hit the zone but it is common for the price to come back up before the day end. Furthermore, the 50% fibonacci retracement also happens with the weekly timeframe. The risk/reward ratio do not consider the current trend, therefore it is better to maybe take out the TP to see how far the price might go down.
MSFT stock final up move before near reversalMicrosoft stock from a technical view has some space for some up movement
•MSFT Stock has broken above inverted H&SH pattern still not hit the pattern target at $302.
• Down channel is broken in the last up move with a successful retest.
We expect the up move to continue towards $300-$302 levels to hit the H&SH pattern target, before reversing back towards $270.
$300-$302 playing as an important resistance:
• 61.8% Fibonacci from the last down move from 22 Nov -21.
• Down trendline from Nov 21.
Msft:Even the giants are falling!Microsoft
Short Term - We look to Sell at 260.71 (stop at 269.78)
The primary trend remains bearish. A sequence of weekly lower lows and highs has been posted. We can see no technical reason for a change of trend. Preferred trade is to sell into rallies. Further downside is expected.
Our profit targets will be 238.72 and 230.00
Resistance: 267.00 / 290.00 / 315.00
Support: 238.00 / 200.00 / 180.00
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