Bearish breakdown for MSFT on the Fibonacci Bollinger BandThe monthly chart for Microsoft (MSFT) shows a breakdown below the upper band (red line) of the Fibonacci Bollinger Bands (FBB) indicator. While it is likely that MSFT will bounce for the time being, as inflation worries cool and tech stocks attempt a rally, the upper band will likely act as resistance. If the price rebounds it might be hard to sustain a breakout above $300. While I like MSFT as much as anyone else, the charts do not lie. The chart is showing that there is a long-term mean reversion occurring in the price of MSFT. The white line is the standard deviation basis for the monthly chart which reflects the downside potential. It's quite steep and the yearly oscillators are saying MSFT is primed to correct down to this level. All of this will unfold slowly (months to years) and fakeouts might trap some bulls. Is your MSFT position prepared for a worst-case scenario reversion to the mean? Trade wisely.
Not financial advice.
Msftshort
Microsoft crashing? Microsoft
Short Term - We look to Sell at 274.00 (stop at 287.00)
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies. Broken out of the Head and Shoulders formation to the downside. Previous support at 275.00 now becomes resistance. The trend of lower highs is located at 290.00. Expect trading to remain mixed and volatile.
Our profit targets will be 232.00 and 221.00
Resistance: 275.00 / 300.00 / 320.00
Support: 250.00 / 220.00 / 200.00
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis, like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis, as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
Potential for MSFT puts near open and then calls laterPotential for puts near open if the emas close bearish on the 15 minute premarket (and theres a good looking entry on the 5 and 2 minute). Looking for a pump up towards 273 sometime in the late morning. It wicked up from 269ish all the to 273.39 after hours, and I'm hoping it tries to test that during regular market hours. I will look for a chance to enter a call if it holds around the 269.50 area. I will be using a bullish 9 and 21 EMA (I use the ones on Webull) crossing as confirmation on 2 minute, even better if it has first completed a bullish crossing of the 15 minute. Will also use my indicators shown in the chart as extra confirmation. Likely will scalp quick and not hold all the way to 273 given how eratic the market has been. If it rejects that area, it may pose a chance for puts. Blue lines indicate where its been trading between and shorter time frame. Green and red lines are 1hr and 1 day support/resistance areas. Just sharing my own personal levels, I'm not a pro lol.
IS MSFT OVERVALUED?Microsoft Corporation develops, licenses, and supports software, services, devices, and solutions worldwide. Its Productivity and Business Processes segment offers Office, Exchange, SharePoint, Microsoft Teams, Office 365
Security and Compliance, and Skype for Business, as well as related Client Access Licenses (CAL); Skype, Outlook.com, OneDrive, and LinkedIn; and Dynamics 365, a set of cloud-based and on-premises business solutions for
organizations and enterprise divisions. Its Intelligent Cloud segment licenses SQL, Windows Servers, Visual Studio, System Center, and related CALs; GitHub that provides a collaboration platform and code hosting service for
developers; and Azure, a cloud platform. It also offers support services and Microsoft consulting services to assist customers in developing, deploying, and managing Microsoft server and desktop solutions.
Microsoft is a rock. No doubt. But i feel like that the stock is priced for perfection and if earnings do not constantly surprise investors, then we could see a strong move downward. Especially when we think FED will increase rates and decrease money supply.
MSFT p/e is only 29 which is pretty low for a tech company but its market cap 2.1 trillion dollars. It is %10 of US GDP and around %2,5 of worlds GDP.
How much more can it grow? Where is the line for a company to be too big?
Right now FED is increasing rates and decreasing money supply which is not good for stock market.
This year we can experience that big techs, such as Google, MSFT, Apple is overvalued for this kind of economic policies.
Lets take a look at important price levels.
Support levels
280
266
241
If we cant keep 280 levels as support, fast downward movement to 266 and 241 is possible.
Resistance leves
299
On the upside if we can breakout of 299 level, it is possible for more increase.
Price targets are
310
320
350
Thanks
Follow for more charts and ideas.
Microsoft Struggling?Microsoft
Short Term - We look to Sell at 306.08 (stop at 317.41)
We look to sell rallies. We look to set shorts in early trade for a further test of the fragile looking support. Levels close to the 50% pullback level of 309.47 found sellers. The trend of lower highs is located at 315.00. Expect trading to remain mixed and volatile.
Our profit targets will be 272.25 and 254.00
Resistance: 300.00 / 310.00 / 320.00
Support: 270.00 / 260.00 / 240.00
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis, like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis, as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
MSFT: Pain this weekMSFT is finishing up a W-3. It may open slightly higher tomorrow morning and reach the 1.618 fibonacci extension, but the sell-off will definitely start tomorrow. I will be selling covered calls against my shares to protect against downside. Also, bearish divergences evident in MACD and RSI.
Microsoft (MSFT) | The safest target to climb📍Hello traders, Microsoft in daily timeframe , this analysis has been prepared in daily timeframe but has been published for a better view in 2 day timeframe.
The overall identity of this counted wave is unclear and we need more waves to detect it.
Now, according to the count, the main waves 1 and 2 have been formed and now we are inside wave 3.
This wave 3 has formed its wave 4 in such a way that it can not be said that it is complete or this ascent that we are considering is part of wave 4.
In terms of time, wave 4 is normal compared to wave 3.
Currently we are waiting for an ascending move that should be done before the 0.5 Fibo range and if this Fibo and the black channel are broken, this ascent will not take place.
🙏If you have an idea that helps me provide a better analysis, I will be happy to write in the comments🙏
❤️Please, support this idea with a like and comment!❤️
Microsoft: Trend Line ShortMicrosoft - Short Term - We look to Sell at 297.12 (stop at 305.71)
We look to sell rallies. We look to set shorts in early trade for a further test of the fragile looking support. Prices expected to stall near trend line resistance. The trend of lower highs is located at 302.00.
Our profit targets will be 261.14 and 254.00
Resistance: 300.00 / 310.00 / 320.00
Support: 270.00 / 260.00 / 240.00
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis, like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis, as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
2/21/22 MSFTMicrosoft Corp. ( NASDAQ:MSFT )
Sector: Technology Services (Packaged Software)
Market Capitalization: $2.159T
Current Price: $287.93
Breakdown price: $286.00
Sell Zone (Top/Bottom Range): $297.00-$312.00
Price Target: $276.00-$274.40 (1st), $233.00-$230.50 (2nd)
Estimated Duration to Target: 28-30d (1st), 68-71d (2nd)
Contract of Interest: $MSFT 3/18/22 280p, 6/17/22 260p
Trade price as of publish date: $7.20/contract, $9.97/contract
Downward trend on microsoft share in daily We see that on October 27, 2021, there was a very large volume to push the stock up but unfortunately it was without impact, because we see that there were 3 pullbacks and finally on January 05, 2022 our support was broken in force what gave us a very good selling signal.
$MSFT short term bounce wouldn't be a surprise The amount of bearish takes on the market have grown rapidly as of the past week, many traders are chasing shorts to the downside (I don’t believe this is smart as your risk/reward is poor.) otherwise known as shorting in the hole. If a contrarian view point holds true the market will provide a bounce next week stopping these traders out, after that can re-access price action. We are extended off the moving averages and a bounce back into them would not be surprising. The gap has filled and there is 300 psych level just below, in the short term I think a bounce is likely. I would take a long over previous days high, lets see how this pans out. Also to note: QQQ has held key support zone so far.
$MSFT: TIME TO SHORTNext in the FAANMG correction cycle. Microsoft is providing us with a great short opportunity. It has tested 339 over and over and over. The next time it breaks down from 339, I'm loading up puts with a tight SL.
TRADE IDEA:
$MSFT puts below 339.
Targets: 327, 310, 297
SL: $342.24
Buy time on your puts. I plan to buy 340P for 01/21.
AAPL, MSFT, & NFLX ShortNow I just got Pro+ on Black Friday sale so I'm having some fun with the chart layout.
Here's the reasoning for my shorts:
AAPL:
- Bearish Rising Wedge
- Decreasing volume to pair
MSFT:
- Bear Flag in massive pivot zone
NFLX:
- Quite large double top after significant uptrend
- Neckline recognized as pivot point
- Decreasing volume to pair
Note: I would only short these two on the breakout below and possibly a retest.
Happy Shorting,
Stefan
MSFT Weekly Options PlayDescription
MSFT cooling off of ATH. Looking to take advantage of this by selling some TVP on the end-of-month contracts.
MACD looking to cross
Call Credit Spread
Levels on Chart
SL > 340
*Stops based off underlying stock price, not mark to market loss
The Trade
BUY
11/26 345C
SELL
11/26 340C
R/R & Breakevens vary on fill.
Looking to make 18% return on collateral in 2 weeks.
The short call is placed above previous ATH for good balance of potential success and maximum profit.
The long call is placed 5 points away IAW collateral requirements and risk tolerance.
Manage Risk
Only invest what you are willing to lose
MICROSOFT Daily TIMEFRAMESNIPER STRATEGY
This magical strategy works like a clock on almost any charts
Although I have to say it can’t predict pullbacks, so I do not suggest this strategy for leverage trading.
It will not give you the whole wave like any other strategy out there but it will give you huge part of the wave.
The best timeframe for this strategy is Daily, Weekly and Monthly however it can work any timeframe above three minutes.
Start believing in this strategy because it will reward believers with huge profit.
There is a lot more about this strategy.
It can predict and also it can give you almost exact buy or sell time on the spot.
I am developing it even more so stay tuned and start to follow me for more signals and forecasts.
MSFT Short position Microsoft Corporation is an American multinational technology corporation which produces computer software, consumer electronics, personal computers, and related services.
From mid-May, we can see an increasing trend of the Microsoft Corporation. However, according to the MACD indicator that shows a bearish confirmation, we expect a decrease in the stock price. Also, RSI recently reached 70 and is showing a decrease these days. Moreover, the price hit an upper boundary of the Keltner channel.
Position: SHORT
Stop-loss $302.81
Entry range: $299.93-$302.81
Target I: $286.88
Target II: $274.82
As soon as target I is reached, we recommend repeating the test again and deciding whether to continue with a short position hence, to target II, or to go a long position.
Microsoft - Daily Chart - Short ScenarioPlanning to take a Short if
1. Price moves against Resistance level ( upper blue line)
2. Price falls under Trendline (orange line)
3. Would also like to see the Gap (orange circle) beeing filled before breaking down
Target:
Strong Support level (lower blue line) - there is also a gap above it.
Dont forget:
- Watch your Risk management
- DYOR (Do-Your-Own-Research)
- This information / article is only for educational purporses and not a recommendation to buy or sell. I'm not a Financial Advisor.
Thanks for reading!
trader_se