Msftshort
MSFTA lot going on here I’m watching...
1) ABC up (green) appears to be near completion with impulse wave c near/at a lot of key levels. This would suggest potential reversal.
2) Currently between 618 and 786 retrace levels of overall market drop, suggesting ABC up is near complete.
3) Currently sitting in an important supply level, suggesting potential opportunity to short especially with a completion of the ABC. HOWEVER, the yellow 175 is the top of the previous wave B of the initial ABC market down. If price were to push past this level then...
i) this suggests potential continuation higher as in a regular correction, once price pushes past prior wave B down it can be a signal for an entry LONG.
Sorry a little long, but just my thoughts and opinion. I’m currently just watching price action with no positions entered yet.
Microsoft hidden bullish divergenceWeekly chart, first off this goes against my case for a depression however I believe tech stocks will prop the market up during these rough market conditions, which is congruent with another one of my previous analyses. The divergence is hidden as RSI shows lower lows while price maintains higher highs, a parabolic move can be seen on MSFT if this continues it may lead to a bearish divergence on the RSI. Best move is to buy here and sell at $160-165 for short term profits, or just go long lol.
MSFT - Weekly View - Up Before Down by XmasMSFT showing a buy signal on Daily although Weekly view showing capitulation and downtrend has started.
In my opinion, we do not see previous weeks high of $152.50 before going down into Xmas.
White channel was added to pink ascending wedge. Wick down on this week confirmed channel.
Breakdown of white channel around $146.65 will confirm downtrend.
We need to break the 10WeekMA which will occur in 2 weeks or less in my opinion.
Capitulation has started and going back in chart, does not stop until a selloff occurs.
Based on previous trends, we should start accelerating the downtrend into the Xmas week (2.5 weeks).
I am overall bullish on MSFT. However, the chart shows a pullback is warranted. This doesn't mean I don't like MSFT.
I am not active in this position. I am updating for the community.
Thank you for liking, commenting, throwing up a chart, following, or viewing.
I am not a financial advisor. My comments and reviews are based on what I do with my personal accounts.
Disclosure - I am long MARA, GBTC, BTCUSD, GDX, and VIXY.
Short SPY, AAPL, ROKU
MSFT - Update - Weekly ViewTo be clear - I like MSFT and I am long term bullish on them. I play the pattern and the chart. Chart is bearish currently. This doesn't mean I don't like MSFT.
Weekly view shows MSFT is just beginning the downtrend.
I think we go down to yellow support at least with current correction. This will fill top 2 gaps.
Bottom gaps may all fill with broader market direction.
RSI weekly trend looks to breakdown in the next week or sooner.
We normally go under RSI 50 on the weekly with a correction like we currently have.
Next trend on the weekly is bearish.
Thank you for liking, commenting, throwing up a chart, following, or viewing.
I am not a financial advisor. My comments and reviews are based on what I do with my personal accounts.
Disclosure - I am long MARA, GBTC, BTCUSD, GDX, and VIXY.
Short SPY and AAPL.
MSFT - Ready for Downturn - Short/Puts2nd glance at this chart showed an ascending wedge pattern, instead of the channel from previous chart.
Ascending wedge is normally bearish. Slope of wedge is high indicating break to downside.
MSFT barely broke daily trend line today (thin white line).
Max entry price for shorts/puts which I was considering was $155. I do not think we will get to $155.
All bottom indicators either broke trend to downside at end of day, or are going to break tomorrow (Bottom filter dots indicator).
Several down gaps to fill. Fractal from blue box shows same retracement will fill all gaps (with wick down into bottom box).
MSFT declines previously seem to take longer than usual.
For this reason, I will be using a put option (30 days out) and adjusting as we decline further out or taking profits to exit trade.
I expect this market downturn to last through Christmas as people take profits. Banks and institutions are not leaving profits in before year start.
They are able to write off losses, increase shareholders earnings, and then recycle back into the market in January.
Thank you for liking, commenting, throwing up a chart, following, or viewing.
I am not a financial advisor. My comments and reviews are based on what I do with my personal accounts.
Disclosure - I am long MARA, GBTC, BTCUSD, GDX, VIXY.
Short SPY and AAPL.
MSFT put tomorrow 11/21.
MSFT - Almost Ready to Short/Puts - Watch Close!I am overall long MSFT, but nothing goes up forever.
MSFT is becoming overbought on the Daily, as much of the market.
All red boxes are gaps to fill.
Price may stop at $134 first support (filling top 2 gaps).
Watch to exit or price to continue to drop for Final Exit.
The bottom gap may be filled quickly, as the price increase was quick. Quick gap up equals quick gap down often.
RSI and Fisher are almost maxed out.
This should be ready for Put entry, or shorting, by Thanksgiving. I will update as we get closer and I enter position.
For those who cannot afford the GOOGL short/put, this MSFT offers the same payout. 10 MSFT Puts equal 1 GOOGL Put.
This makes it more affordable and easier to Dollar Cost Average into the position if desired.
MSFT and AAPL make up over 50% of the cap of XLK (Spider Technology ETF).
MSFT and AAPL are also major components of SPY.
If MSFT and AAPL both have a selloff at same time during December, this will confirm SPY selloff and market being overbought.
While MSFT has actual revenue and cash flow, AAPL has not increased revenue since 2015 (except through share buybacks not actual growth).
This means shareholders are paying more for AAPL, with same value as 2015. Overbought and correction is certain.
Thank you for liking, commenting, throwing up a chart, following, or viewing.
I am not a financial advisor. My comments and reviews are based on what I do with my personal accounts.
Disclosure - I am long MARA, GBTC, BTCUSD, GDX, VIXY.
Short SPY and AAPL.
Microsoft broke the All-Time High !Hello, Traders!
Monfex is at your service and today we overview Microsoft .
Last Friday, the Pentagon selected Microsoft as the winner of its winner-takes-all cloud contract, which could be valued as high as $10B.
The Global 2000: The World’s Best Employers List consists of 500 companies.
In the second place - Microsoft !
A Flat top triangle pattern was broken and the price is over the resistance zone with a bullish formation and it's a good buy signal. Bulls dominance.
The target is 127% Fibonacci.
The target zone ~ $155
The local support zone ~ $142-142.5
The support zone ~ $136-137
Market Cap
1096.412B
Share your thoughts, ideas about the market under the chart.
Watch for our Updates to be the first who gets well-timed signals !
GOOD LUCK AND LOTS OF PROFITS !!
Disclaimer
This report is for information purposes only and should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any trading assets. Monfex accepts no responsibility for any consequences resulting from the use of this material. Any person acting on this trade idea does so entirely at their own risk.
Microsoft Showing WeaknessMy Arguments why it is showing bearish signs.
1. SLKB 1 gave a Bullish impulse and a genuine one on an existing uptrend and made a good progress to push the price higher.
2. SLKB 2 gave a bullish impulse too, but progress was not made as it made in previous impulse, means loosing bullish momentum
3. This price is between A and B trendline, but it had ND and a SB. which acted as a resistance where EVRT(SLKT to RFSB) and SB appears this is confirmation of Bearish signs and loosing Bullish Momentum.
High Chance of Breaking down of Line B and find Support near Line C or next support where NS+DB occurred.
Abbreviations;
NS= No supply
DW= Demand Wave
RFSB= Resistance from Supply Bar
SFDB support from Demand Bar
SLK= Stop Loss killer
SLKB= Stop Loss Killer Bottom
DB= Demand Bar
EVRB= effort vs Result Bottom
My Mentors and Inspiration
Volume Analysis - Oleg Alexandrov
Money and risk Management - Dmitriy Lavrov-
The strongest resistance for all-time of Microsoft !Hello, dear Traders!
Monfex is at your service and today we overview MSFT.
Microsoft's report exceeded analysts expectations. Since the company's forecast for cloud services was higher than expected.
A Flat top triangle pattern is here, the price near resistance zone by breakout of which will be a stong signal to buy.
Another side: a bearish divergence by RSI and by breakout the support line of this triangle will be a sell signal to 50% Fibonacci .
The resistance zone ~ $142-142.5
The support zone ~ $120
Market Cap
1073.602B
Share your thoughts, ideas about the market under the chart.
Watch for our Updates to be the first who gets well-timed signals !
GOOD LUCK AND LOTS OF PROFITS !!
Disclaimer
This report is for information purposes only and should not be considered a solicitation to buy or sell any trading assets. Monfex accepts no responsibility for any consequences resulting from the use of this material. Any person acting on this trade idea does so entirely at their own risk.
MSFT Short Opportunity after Pre-market pushApple is looking to regain market cap from Microsoft after its 6 month rush. apple look to release new iphone priced at 399
Major company moves have been done by apple with many new products that came out so recently and many to come that are new to apple completely. Earning coming out soon with apple ready to beat exceptions setting up to break all times high
Sell entry 1 $142.00
entry 2 $144.00
sl 146.00
tp.1 $140.00
tp.2 $138.00
tp.3 $136.00
MSFT short - updated version!!Upon reviewing my trade, I decided to zoom out and PROBABLY try to complete the wave pattern. It seems that the original ending diagonal of a 5th wave may be wrong but price may still be trading in the 5th wave, i.e a parallel channel. I also notices that before the start of the 5th wave, there was indeed a correction ( double three) and MAY indicate that the steep and strong wave before the correction was an extended 3rd wave.
SO, its still likely that the sell trade may be still valid (unless it breaks the upper trendline) and based on guidelines, 2 potential support zone may be tested (horizontal lines- red).
P/S: Still a newbie, but worth taking a risk and seeing if it does play out. Risk on trade: 1.5%
MICROSOFT - BLUE STOCK OF DEATH INCOMING :(We are slowly in the end zone of the ABC retracement up.
Currently we are undergoing the C wave, within that we have 5 waves.
There is two bearish scenariosus here: While the 3rd wave didnt go above the 1.618 we could think that the 5th wave could be extended to 2.618 (120 USD)
We could also drop here from the 2. to 2.272 extension. due to the RSI making 4 double tops on the 4H, which i would say is the most likely scenario.
note: The red box is the sell area.
Take profit for this short term short would be at 106 USD, if it breaks that we would go to 98,5 USD next.
MSFT ViewThere will be a time for this stock for fall off the clip for at least a healthy correction. The only thing can do that is Financial Crisis. Great fundamental, great persons behind, great product, having their own audience, development is massive. All the way up. I wish MSFT keep going on it's project developing blockchain.