MSFT close negative for 5 weeksMSFT close negative for 5 weeks
This chart shows the weekly candle chart of Microsoft stock for the past year. The graph overlays the bottom to top golden section of October 2022. As shown in the figure, the highest point of Microsoft's stock just hit the 3.000 level of the golden section at the bottom, while the recent low point hit the 2.000 level! Due to Microsoft's stock closing negative for 5 consecutive weeks since its recent peak, it has only rebounded in the past two weeks, not reversed! In the future, Microsoft's stock market is likely to continue to weaken. Let's explore the strong support below, with the bottom of the chart facing the 1.618 gold split!
Msftstock
MSFT Microsoft Options Ahead of Earnings ! Growth Thesis !If you haven`t bought MSFT when they Bought 49% Stake in OpenAI, creator of ChatGPT:
Or sold on their warning to investors:
Then analyzing the options chain and chart patterns of MSFT Microsoft prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 345usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-1-19,
for a premium of approximately $28.95.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
The investment by Microsoft in OpenAI signifies a significant boost to their artificial intelligence capabilities. OpenAI's advanced technologies and expertise in AI research and development could potentially enhance the capabilities of Microsoft's Bing search engine. With access to powerful AI algorithms and resources, Bing may be able to offer more personalized and accurate search results, thereby attracting users who seek a more refined search experience.
Microsoft has been making strategic moves to expand its presence in various sectors, including cloud computing and enterprise services. By integrating Bing into its ecosystem of products and services, Microsoft can leverage its existing user base and partnerships to promote Bing as a viable alternative to Google.
In recent years, Google has faced scrutiny over data privacy concerns and antitrust issues, which could create an opportunity for Bing to gain traction among users seeking more privacy-focused alternatives. Additionally, Microsoft has been actively investing in marketing and advertising efforts to raise awareness about Bing and improve its market positioning.
While Google currently holds a dominant position in the search engine market, the landscape is dynamic and subject to change. If Microsoft successfully leverages its partnership with OpenAI to enhance Bing's capabilities, coupled with strategic marketing initiatives, it could potentially chip away at Google's market share over time.
The implementation, by Microsoft, of a chatbot like ChatGPT, powered by OpenAI's advanced natural language processing capabilities, could indeed provide an opportunity for consumers to find the cheapest price online for the same product. In an era where price comparison and cost-saving measures are highly valued by customers, this feature could be a valuable asset for Bing.
Amazon's reputation for having expensive and overvalued prices has been a topic of discussion among consumers. While Amazon provides a wide range of products and convenient shopping experiences, some users have expressed concerns about the pricing competitiveness on the platform. This presents an opening for Bing to attract cost-conscious consumers who are actively seeking better deals.
The concern over the origin of products, particularly those manufactured in China, has gained attention in recent years. Some consumers prefer to avoid purchasing Chinese-made products due to quality, safety, or political reasons. If Bing can provide a search experience that allows users to filter or identify the origin of products more effectively, it could cater to a segment of consumers who prioritize alternative sourcing.
I think MSFT will be one of the winners of the AI race.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
MSFT suppressed by the 3.000 level of the golden sectionMSFT suppressed by the 3.000 level of the golden section
This chart shows the weekly candle chart of Microsoft stock in the past two years. The graph overlays the low point at the end of October 2022 against the golden section. As shown in the figure, Microsoft's stock has reached another new high this week, breaking through the highest point at the end of 2021! But the weekly pattern of Microsoft stock this week is a long shadow line, with the highest point precisely suppressed by the 3.000 level of the golden section in the figure! Based on last week's weekly pattern, Microsoft's stock market is likely to enter a contraction triangle consolidation state in the future!
FTC Appeals to Block Microsoft Activision MergerI am providing a crucial update regarding the recent news of the Federal Trade Commission's (FTC) decision to appeal against the proposed merger between Microsoft and Activision. This development has significant implications for the tech industry, particularly for those who have invested or are considering investing in Microsoft stock.
The FTC's decision to appeal the merger indicates that regulatory authorities are scrutinizing the potential consequences of this consolidation. While mergers and acquisitions can often lead to positive outcomes, such as improved products and services, it is essential to approach this situation cautiously, considering the potential risks and uncertainties ahead.
As tech traders, it is crucial to carefully evaluate the potential impact of this appeal on Microsoft's stock performance. The uncertainty surrounding the outcome of the appeal, coupled with potential delays or even the possibility of the merger being blocked, could significantly influence the company's stock value in the short to medium term.
Therefore, I strongly advise you to exercise prudence and consider holding off on buying Microsoft stock until further clarity emerges regarding the outcome of the FTC's appeal. By doing so, you can better protect your investment and mitigate potential risks associated with this merger.
It is important to understand this is not financial advice but rather an alert to the potential implications of the FTC's appeal on Microsoft's stock performance. As always, I encourage you to consult your financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
In conclusion, the FTC's decision to appeal the Microsoft-Activision merger has introduced an element of uncertainty into the market. By adopting a cautious approach and refraining from immediate stock purchases, you can better position yourself to make informed investment choices once more clarity on the situation emerges.
Microsoft I Pullback and rise upwardWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
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Microsoft A Great Selling Opportunity 🤨👌Trade Proposal:
There is a probability of first tp to the proposed ( 200,00 ) Direction line. So, Traders can set orders based on Price Action and expect to reach short-term goals.
Technical analysis:
Microsoft is in Downtrend and It is Expected to Continue Downtrend.
Microsoft -> It's Now Or NeverHello Traders,
welcome to this free and educational multi-timeframe technical analysis .
On the weekly timeframe Microsoft stock just recently created an awesome double bottom and also already broke above the neckline confirming the weekly pattern.
As we are speaking the market is retesting the neckline of the double bottom which is now turned support so from a weekly perspective I just do expect the continuation towards the upside from here.
On the daily timeframe however the market is currently massively bearish and I definitely don't want to catch a falling knife so I am now just waiting for some bullish structure on the daily timeframe before I will look to enter longs to capitalize on the continuation towards the upside.
Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
You can also check out my previous analysis of this asset:
Microsoft -> All Timeframes Are BullishHello Traders,
welcome to this free and educational multi-timeframe technical analysis .
Microsoft is looking extremely juicy right now. From a weekly perspective we just created a long term double bottom and we also broke above a long term downtrend line.
There is definitely the possibility that after a short term pullback, we will start the next bullrun from here, creating new all-time-highs in the process.
From a daily perspective I am just waiting for a short term retest of the weekly neckline of the double bottom and then there is a very high chance that we will also see the daily continuation to the upside from here.
Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
You can also check out my previous analysis of this asset:
Microsoft -> Very Bullish Inverted Head And ShouldersHello Traders,
welcome to this free and educational multi-timeframe technical analysis.
Microsoft just recently perfectly tested and rejected a quite strong and obvious previous support/resistance zone towards the upside. It also seems like Microsoft is about to create a double bottom from a weekly perspective, which is generally speaking a very bullish pattern, leading to more upside potential.
On the daily timeframe we actually have a quite interesting situation. You can see that the market is currently crating an inverted head and shoulders and just yesterday and today broke above and retested the neckline, which again is simply previous resistance which is now turned support.
Now from here I do expect further continuation towards the upside, confirming the bullish inverted head and shoulders pattern.
Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
MSFT - Cup and Handle Continuation NarrativeMSFT has definitely gone parabolic. But how does price continue from here?
I think a larger pullback is in order. Forming the handle of the cup and handle structure.
The parabolic move can be encompassed as a cup structure
Lets see how it goes. This is the Monthly chart so longing is appropriate. Or wait for the larger pullback.
Microsoft Analysis 01.12.2022Hello Traders,
welcome to this free and educational analysis.
I am going to explain where I think this asset is going to go over the next few days and weeks and where I would look for trading opportunities.
If you have any questions or suggestions which asset I should analyse tomorrow, please leave a comment below.
I will personally reply to every single comment!
If you enjoyed this analysis, I would definitely appreciate it, if you smash that like button and maybe consider following my channel.
Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
Microsoft Analysis 23.11.2022Hello Traders,
welcome to this free and educational analysis.
I am going to explain where I think this asset is going to go over the next few days and weeks and where I would look for trading opportunities.
If you have any questions or suggestions which asset I should analyse tomorrow, please leave a comment below.
I will personally reply to every single comment!
If you enjoyed this analysis, I would definitely appreciate it, if you smash that like button and maybe consider following my channel.
Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
MSFT Microsoft Issued a Warning to InvestorsMicrosoft lowered its fiscal fourth-quarter earnings per share guidance:
$2.24 to $2.32 per share VS $2.28 to $2.35 per share prior VS $2.33 per share consensus expectations
Revenue guidance:
$51.94 - $52.74 billion VS $52.4 billion - $53.2 billion prior VS $52.87 billion consensus expectations
The price targets that i am watching for buying puts are $245 and $232.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
Microsoft - Slammed after the earnings report Prior to the beginning of the current earnings season, we warned investors that this would be a volatile period preceding the ECB and FED meetings, characterized by companies narrowly beating market expectations or failing to fulfill them. We also stated that this would enforce our thesis about the second stage of the bear market and progression deeper into the recession.
It did not take long before earning season arrived, and companies started to prove our predictions true (Adidas, Alphabet, Mattel, etc.). Unfortunately, we expect this trend to continue in the next earning season; indeed, we believe it will be far worse than the current one.
Yesterday, Microsoft announced its earnings for the third quarter of 2022, in which it reported an 11% increase in revenue and a 6% increase in operating income. Additionally, the company reported a 14% decrease in net income and a 13% decrease in diluted earnings per share. That subsequently led to a drop in the price of MSFT stock by more than 6.5% after hours.
In our opinion, this merely highlights what we have been reiterating for a while. The market is in recession, and the recent bounce off the 2022 lows represents merely another bear market rally predestined to fall later. With that being said, we expect economic conditions to worsen next week with another FED rate hike.
Illustration 1.01
Illustration 1.01 shows the daily chart of Microsoft stock. It can be seen closing at 250.66 USD yesterday; however, after the close and earnings report, it plunged more than 6.5% to 234 USD. This dramatic price action occurred despite Microsoft announcing an increase in revenue and operating expenses compared to the same period a year ago.
Technical analysis - daily time frame
RSI, MACD, and Stochastic are all bullish. DM+ and DM- are also bullish. Overall, the daily time frame is bullish; however, the data does not reflect the drop after earnings. Therefore, we expect the daily time frame to turn bearish today.
Illustration 1.02
Illustration 1.02 displays the daily chart of MSFT stock and simple support/resistance levels.
Technical analysis - weekly time frame
RSI, MACD, and Stochastic are flattening, trying to reverse. DM+ and DM- are bearish. Overall, the weekly time frame remains bearish.
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
Agressively buying Microsoft.Microsoft - Intraday - We look to Buy a break of 251.11 (stop at 241.98)
We are trading at oversold extremes.
A break of yesterdays high would confirm bullish momentum.
Bullish divergence can be seen on the daily (the chart makes a lower low while the oscillator makes a higher low), often a signal of exhausted bearish momentum, or at least a correction higher.
Bullish divergence is expected to support prices.
Although we remain bullish overall, a correction is possible with plenty of room to move lower without impacting the trend higher.
Our profit targets will be 274.98 and 279.98
Resistance: 250.00 / 260.00 / 267.00
Support: 235.00 / 220.00 / 210.00
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group.
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MSFT Microsoft Corporation Technical ReboundIf you haven`t sold MSFT after they Issued the Warning to Investors:
Then you should know that the chart reached our price target perfectly and is now ready for a technical rebound.
A technical rebound refers to a recovery from a prior period of losses when technical signals indicate that the move was oversold.
In this case, the Relative Strength Index momentum indicator of MSFT Microsoft Corporation is at 24.30.
Even though i am overall bearish on the economy, buying a strong financial instrument when the RSI is below 30, would make a case for a potential short term reversal.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
MSFT stock idea trade setup - 9/26/2022The next level of support is at 233 levels, I would go long at 233, with a stop at 230 level and target at 241 levels.
Based on how this stock is falling, I feel this should happen around its earnings timeframe.
P.S. The only worry is that quite a bit of revenue for Microsoft is generated from rest of the world. With this strengthening of dollar, the revenue is getting crushed. Eg. A year ago, 1 USD = 1050 KRW. Now it is 1 USD = 1450 KRW(south korean won). So, if microsoft was selling office for 100000 KRW(approximately 100 USD) a year ago, now microsoft is making only 72 USD.
Though the stock does well, because of the FX rates things are not looking good.
MSFT possible pullbackHere is a possible pullback considering possible prices of resistance including the lowest price of an old candle, the 50% of the fibonacci retracement (where retracements are more likely to happen). The price already hit the zone but it is common for the price to come back up before the day end. Furthermore, the 50% fibonacci retracement also happens with the weekly timeframe. The risk/reward ratio do not consider the current trend, therefore it is better to maybe take out the TP to see how far the price might go down.