MSM
$MSM with upside potential of 70% ??
Technical Wise:
After breaking out of the downtrend, it has been consolidating with healthy volume. Price also moving in higher low while the share price holding above 200-EMA. With this formation, I am expecting to see the price to challange recent high again and has upside potential of 70% which can meet RM 2.7, in mid-to-long term.
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I believe Malaysian sure has clues of brand of Gula Prai, and the company behind that is MSM, which they produce produces, markets and sells refined sugar products. After years down-trending, finally the share price finally break made a comeback in after FEB2021 , followed by good financial turnaround for 4Q2020 after 2 years of loss-making.
I remain bullish with the counter as the trading setup has sparks my interest. On its prospects wise:
🍬 The positive earnings can be sustained as the recovery of domestic sales as economy reopens and more socioeconomic activities leading to more product consumption including sugar.
🍬 Room to grow for the current utilisation rate of 47%, which the company aimed to grow the rate above 50% as mentioned in AR2020. This shall better improve efficiency and result in lower refining and production cost.
🍬 Increasing exposure potential in exports would benefit MSM, as the global sugar retail price has gone up. This put their exports segment to better margin given that they are able to sell at higher price. As in Malaysia, sugar price has capped at ceiling price of RM 2.85 per kg, if any news to revise the capped price would be good for MSM in general.
🍬 Good hedging position in raw sugar price. As the global raw sugar price has gone up to 19usd, it would not reduce MSM margin because the group has fully hedged its raw sugar for 2021 at 0.13-0.14 usd/lbs while 85% of for 2022 at 0.16-0.17 usd/lbs. It can secure better margin for MSM.
MSM Major Support & ResistancePersonally, what I learnt is there must be a Technical Analysis Strategic Plan in order to increase the risk-to-ratios favourable risks.
1. Draw Support & Resistance
2. Identify the stages (Accumulation, Advancing, Distribution, Declining)
3. Entry Triggers
4. Stop Loss
5. Exits
I have learnt during my past mistakes that we should let the stock price comes to us, rather than us chasing the stock prices!
JSE:MSM Massmart The CO is BuyingHigh volumes in Massmart is pushing the price higher and buying is becoming ever increasingly desperate. A bigger bar than has been seen with some volume but not that high is showing that the has been bought up by the "Composite Operators"/"Strong Hands" and there is not enough stock to satisfy the demand. This should push the price higher.
MSM - Bearish candle (Shooting Star)A move below Friday's lows of R34.60 will trigger the short idea with a stop loss above R36.30. Target will be R30.
MASSMART HOLDING - MSMThis is not a financial advice - Open to criticism and feedback
MSM -MASSMART HOLDING LTD
Current Price R24.68
I'll be honest I looked at all timeframe to try and find something bullish about this chart but all I can see is the price going to R20 at the very least. If you want to play this I suggest placing orders at R19.45 - R18.85 or there about to try and catch the wick (Weekly Block).
Only one thing that you can keep an eye is the RSI which oversold on the Monthly and weekly
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JSE:MSM Massmart AccumulationMassmart has seen high volume from buyers pushing price up. After a short accumulation range price is now being marked up. Price has broken the 200 day sma. The relative strength has turned up and there is negative divergence on the volume RSI indicating effort without response.
9 Similarities Between Poker Vs TradingMassmart is looking like it's going down big time thanks to a weekly Double Top formation...
In today's article we'll discuss the 9 Similarities Between Poker Vs Trading...
Enjoy...
Is trading a form of gambling?
With hesitance, I would say yes.
However, I would rather call trading a form of strategic gambling as both require elements of risk, reward, strategy and decision making.
In the next two weeks or so, I'm planning to publish a new online FREE book called “Poker Vs Trading”.
Who knows, by the end of it all you may take up professional poker playing as well as trading…
Let’s start with the similarities.
SIMILARITY #1:
We can choose when to play (Strategy)
Traders and poker players don’t play every hand that is dealt to them.
With poker, when a hand is dealt, we can choose to either play the hand, based on how strong it is, or we can choose to fold and wait for the next hand...
With trading, we wait for a trading setup based on the criteria of our strategy i.e. MATI Trader System.
You’ll then have the exact criteria and money management rules to follow in order to take a trade or wait for the next trade.
SIMILARITY #2:
Amateur poker players and traders tend to go the ‘tilt’ (Emotional roller-coaster)
Emotions are a main driver which leads to traders losing their cash in their account or poker players losing their chips very quickly.
With poker, you get players who let their emotions take over where they start betting high with an irrational frame of mind. These emotions lead them to losing their chips very quickly. This is when they enter the state of what is called ‘going the tilt’.
With trading, amateur traders also tend to act on impulse and play on gut, instinct, fear and greed after they’ve undergone a losing streak or a winning streak. This often leads them to:
· Taking a series of losses.
· Losing huge portions of their portfolio.
· Holding onto losing trades longer than they should.
· Entering a mindset of revenge trading.
SIMILARITY #3:
We know when to hold ‘em and when to fold ‘em (Cut losses quick)
We have the choice to reduce our losses when it comes to betting a hand or taking a trade.
With poker, if the players start upping the stakes and you believe you have a weaker hand in the round, you can choose to ‘fold’ and lose only the cost of playing the ‘ante’.
With trading, if you’ve taken a trade and it turns against you, you have a stop loss which will get you out at the amount of money you were willing to risk of your portfolio…
SIMILARITY #4:
We know the rake (Costs involved)
There are always costs associated with each trade we take or each hand we play, which eats into our winnings.
With poker, it’s the portion of the pot that is taken by the house i.e. the blinds and the antes.
With trading, it’s the fees charged by your broker or market maker, in order to take your trade. These fees can be either the tax, spread and/or the brokerage.
SIMILARITY #5:
Aggressive trading and betting before the flop (High volatility)
There will always be a time of strong market moves and high betting.
With poker, you get times where players like to bet aggressively and blindly before the flop is revealed. It’s these times that lead to the amateur poker players losing their chips very quickly.
With trading, you get economic data i.e. Non-Farm-Payrolls, black swan events and Interest Rate decisions when big investors and traders like to drive the market up or down before the news even comes out.
NOTE: I ignore both forms of hype as it is can lead to a catastrophic situation.
SIMILARITY #6:
We bet and trade based on the unknown
Every bet and trade we take and play is based on incomplete information of the future.
With poker, we are dealt hands then bet on decisions based on not knowing what cards our opponents have and/or what is shown on the river. We then have the options to call, bet, raise or fold during the process.
With trading, we take trades based on probability predictions without knowing where the price will end up at.
This is due to new information which comes into the market including (demand, supply, news, economic indicators, micro and macro aspects).
SIMILARITY #7:
We lose A LOT! (Losses are inevitable)
Taking small losses are part of the game with both poker and trading.
With poker, it is important to wait patiently until you have a hand with a high probability of success.
Some of the best poker players in the world, fold 90% of the starting hands, they receive. Some professional poker players can go through weeks and months without a win.
With trading, we can lose over 40% to 50% of the time.
In general, I expect around two losing quarters a year. I know that when there are better market conditions, it will make up for the small losses.
SIMILARITY #8:
You must learn to earn (Education is vital)
You need to understand and gain as much knowledge as you can about poker and trading before you commit any money.
With poker, you need to understand:
• The rules of the game.
• The risk per move.
• The amount of money you should play per hand.
Once you know these points, you’ll be able to develop some kind of game plan with each hand you play.
With trading, you need to understand:
• The MARKET (What, why, where are how?)NB*
• The METHOD (What system to follow before taking a trade).
• The MONEY (Risk management rules to follow with each trade)
• The MIND (The frame of mind you must develop to succeed)
SIMILARITY #9:
Perseverance is the key ingredient to success
You need to take the time and have the determination to become a successful trader and poker player.
With poker, you’ll need to keep at it and apply strict money management rules with each hand played.
With trading, you’ll need to know your trading personality, know which trading method best works you and understand your risk profile…
I’ll leave you with a quote from Vince Lombardi (American football player, coach, and executive):
“Practice does not make perfect. Only perfect practice makes perfect”
Do you have any similarities between trading and poker?
Let me know and I’ll add it to my new book “Trading Vs Poker”, and I’ll send it straight to your email address…
You can email me at www.timon@timonandmati.com.
Massmart setting up for a move higher? $JSEMSMMassmart has been a serious under-performer in the retail sector this year, shedding some 37% off its levels seen at the end of last year. With the SARB likely to cut interest rates at their meeting next week, perhaps this will be a little kicker for consumers which should benefit most of our local retailers. The share may be just a little too oversold for the time being, and should we manage to break out this box between R61.50 to R67.60, we could see the counter make a counter trend rally up into the R77 - R80 range. This level of R80.00 was previously significant horizontal support which could now turn into resistance if we get there. What makes this R80 level more significant is the fact that this also coincides with a major downtrend which has been in place since the highs in March 18, which the stock has battled to overcome on 4 prior tests. The RSI indicator on the daily is also making higher lows, notwithstanding price which has gone sideways which further adds conviction to my bullish call in the short term. I would take my bets on a rally from current levels up to R77-R80, and perhaps if we do see that level it could be a great area to reverse the position short.
Flash note: Massmart (MSM)"On Wednesday the share tested and rebounded off the prior swing lows between 102 and 103.50. This appears to be a range-trading opportunity, with the upside target being the prior highs of 119. " Lester Davids, Trading Desk analyst, Unum Capital.
Keep an eye on USDZAR as this will continue to impact South African retailers.