MSTR
MSTR - The Saylor in the Storm!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈MSTR has been overall bullish trading within the rising channel marked in blue. (log chart)
Currently, it is in a correction phase within the falling red channel.
Moreover, the red zone is a strong demand.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of demand and lower trendlines acting as non-horizontal support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #MSTR approaches the blue circle, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
MSTX: The Coiled SpringFollowing MSTX's descent to $60, technical indicators are painting a picture that screams opportunity.
Daily Chart:
Weekly Chart:
The CM_Ult_MaCD has bottomed out completely, and if you've traded long enough, you know what that means - upward momentum is coming, and it's coming fast.
The setup is textbook perfect. We're seeing the Stochastic oscillator flirting with oversold territory, and anyone who's been in this game knows that's when you want to position yourself. It's not just about timing - it's about recognizing the patterns that repeat themselves.
What's really getting my attention is the SQZMOM_LB indicator. Those VIX spikes we're seeing aren't random noise - they're telling us a squeeze is brewing. When this pressure cooker blows, we could see rapid upside movement that'll catch the shorts off guard.
Speaking of shorts, they've shown their hand at the $60 VWAP level. Both daily and weekly charts confirm this sweet spot, and I'm seeing all the signs of a short sweep setting up. This is exactly the kind of technical confluence that precedes significant moves.
I'm anticipating MSTX to first reclaim the $100 level, with potential to test previous highs around $175-200. The short squeeze, when it triggers, could accelerate this movement significantly. Smart money will be watching these levels closely.
The key here is patience.
Let the technicals confirm what we're seeing. When that squeeze triggers - and it will - you'll want to be positioned ahead of the crowd.
Stay tuned for updates as this play develops.
MicroStrategy Buys the Dip Amidst $BTC Crash to $92KThe cryptocurrency market witnessed another headline-grabbing move by MicroStrategy as the firm added 2,138 BTC to its holdings for $209 million. While Bitcoin’s price experiences a significant dip, this acquisition reflects a continued belief in its long-term potential. Let’s dive into the technical and fundamental aspects of Bitcoin’s current state.
MicroStrategy’s Strategic Buy
On Monday, MicroStrategy announced its latest Bitcoin purchase, acquiring 2,138 BTC at an average price of $97,837. This marks yet another chapter in the company’s aggressive Bitcoin accumulation strategy. However, critics like Peter Schiff were quick to note that these purchases are involving less capital, and the acquisition price consistently overshoots the market rate.
Despite such criticism, MicroStrategy’s move underscores institutional confidence in Bitcoin’s long-term trajectory. The company’s continued investment is seen as a vote of confidence amidst bearish market sentiment, reinforcing Bitcoin’s role as a digital store of value.
Technical Analysis
Bitcoin’s price action is currently confined within a horizontal channel, with support at $92,200–$94,200 and resistance at $98,700–$101,000. As of now, CRYPTOCAP:BTC is testing the lower boundary of this channel. A decisive move in either direction could dictate the asset’s next major trend.
Bullish Scenario
Should buyers step in with strength, Bitcoin could rebound and retest the $98,700–$101,000 resistance zone. A breakout above this level may act as a catalyst for further gains, potentially marking the start of a sustained uptrend. Historically, Bitcoin has shown a tendency to gain momentum after the New Year’s pause, making January 8, 2024, a key date to watch for heightened volatility and potential upside movement.
Bearish Scenario
Conversely, a breakdown below the $92,200 support could trigger a retest of the $90,800 level. A more severe downturn might lead to Bitcoin revisiting its major support at $85,000. This psychological level will play a pivotal role in determining whether BTC can stage a trend reversal or face further downside as sellers shake out weak hands.
Market Sentiment and Outlook
The broader market sentiment remains cautious as Bitcoin’s price consolidates within its current range. MicroStrategy’s recent purchase has injected some optimism, but the market awaits stronger signals of a directional move. Traders are closely monitoring the $101,000 resistance level, which could act as a springboard for greater gains if breached.
Conclusion
Bitcoin’s price is at a critical juncture, with key support and resistance levels in focus. MicroStrategy’s continued investment highlights institutional confidence, while technical indicators suggest potential for both recovery and further downside. As the market navigates this pivotal phase, all eyes are on Bitcoin’s next move, which could shape its trajectory for the months ahead.
It’s Not Over Yet for $MSTR: New highs in Q1Looking at MicroStrategy NASDAQ:MSTR
I’m watching the $320-$330 range for a potential buy opportunity. This zone represents key support, and I believe it could be an ideal entry point for a potential bounce if it holds.
If that price zone fails to hold, I will be potentially looking to add below $300 to fill the gap.
MICROSTRATEGY Is it shifting towards a new paradigm?Microstrategy (MSTR) is defying all odds during this bull run and recently it achieved perhaps its most important one: it broke above its All Time High (ATH) of $335.00 registered in March 2000. This historic feat took place on the same month (November) that it broke and closed above its historical Channel Up pattern, which has been dictating its trend since the bottom of the Dotcom Bubble correction in 2002.
This is perhaps ushering a new era for the company. Along with Bitcoin it may be shifting to a new paradigm and the uptrend may be accelerated in a similar way as it did in 1998 - 2000. Technically we will be in a position to know that if the current pull-back bounces of the top of the former historic Channel Up.
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Microstrategy $MSTR at 50% Fibonacci Retracement Level📉 Stock Update: MicroStrategy NASDAQ:MSTR 💻✨
NASDAQ:MSTR found support at the 50% Fibonacci retracement level, but our proprietary algorithm has triggered a sell alert. ⚠️
Our strategy? Simple. We don’t short growth stocks or indexes. Instead, we wait patiently for the next buy alert to add to our current position. 🚀 Stay disciplined, stay focused.
#Stocks #TradingStrategy #MicroStrategy #GrowthInvesting
2024 Santa Rally and More - Up/Down/SidewaysIt's that time of year again. The final trading weeks of 2024 and the technical "Santa Rally" (trading through Christmas and New Year's) is upon us.
Unfortunately the FED put a bit of a cap on the extremely optimistic and borderline euphoria that was bubbling over going into the FOMC Rate Decision.
100 bps of cuts, yet the US10Y (10 year yield) has virtually moved in the exact opposite direction. Inflation is now a concern and this is a big reason for the FED's "hawkish cut" in December. The market will have to figure out how 1-2 cuts in 2025 looks compared to 4-6 cuts that was anticipated.
I don't think the 1 day FED move is enough of a correction to justify loading up on longs, so I'm looking for 200 EMA tests and better prices all around. If I don't get them, I suppose I'll just wait longer :)
Happy Holidays to everyone
Thanks for watching!!!
NSTR - Technical Analysis of Key Bullish and Bearish LevelsKey Observations:
Expanded Volume Profile:
The volume profile on the left indicates significant trading activity (support/resistance zones).
The high-volume node around 360–380 suggests a key area of interest where the price might consolidate or face resistance/support.
Bullish Levels:
Bullish Week (376): A breakout above this level could trigger upward momentum toward 400 and potentially higher.
Close Week Swing (363): Currently being tested. Sustained strength above this level would be a sign of bullish continuation.
Key Target at 400: Bullish swing level acting as a psychological and technical resistance point.
Bearish Levels:
Bear Swing (348): A breakdown below this level could lead to further downside, with the next support at Bear Week (325).
Week ATR (328): If the price approaches this level, it signals a deeper bearish sentiment.
Price Action:
The yellow line shows a recovery attempt after a sharp drop. The price appears to be testing resistance at Close Week Swing (363).
The upward trend from lower levels near 325 suggests some buying interest at lower prices.
Annotations and Targets:
Close Week Swing (363) is pivotal; crossing this level with volume might lead to a test of higher resistance levels.
The area around 325–328 has shown strong support previously, and a retest might attract buyers.
Analysis:
Bullish Scenario:
The price needs to decisively close above 363 to gain bullish momentum. If this happens, look for targets at 376 and then 400.
Volume supporting an upward move would confirm bullish sentiment.
The Bullish Week (376) level is critical for mid-term trend confirmation.
Bearish Scenario:
Failure to hold above 363 could lead to a retest of 348 (Bear Swing) and possibly further downward moves toward 325–328.
Increased volume at lower levels might indicate bearish control.
Neutral Scenario:
Consolidation between 348 and 363 could signal indecision, with a breakout or breakdown likely depending on market sentiment.
Recommendations:
For Bullish Traders:
Look for strong volume above 363 and consider targets at 376 and 400.
Watch for consolidation near 360–363 as a possible entry point.
For Bearish Traders:
A rejection at 363 or a breakdown below 348 would signal opportunities to target 325–328.
Use volume and candlestick patterns to confirm breakdowns.
Risk Management:
Stops should be placed slightly beyond key levels (e.g., above 376 for shorts or below 348 for longs).
This setup emphasizes the importance of the 363 level as a tipping point for direction. Let me know if you'd like further insights!
MICROSTRATEGY: Hit the 1D MA50 and bounced, but is it a buy now?MSTR has made a rapid turn from overbought to neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 48.944, MACD = 14.210, ADX = 17.986) as it reached today a -40% decline from its ATH but eventually hit the 1D MA50 and rebounded. This is the first contact with the 1D MA50 since September 19th. Even though it seems like a strong technical buy opportunity, Microstrategy has had its best buy entries in the last 2 years, under the 1D MA50. As this chart shows there have been 8 such buy signals, so even though the current rebound is tempting, we ideally want to see the price under the 1D MA50 and $300 before issuing a buy signal. Once this is filled, we can target the December 5th High minimum (TP = 400).
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MSTR: Prime Opportunity for a Rebound as Buyers Take Control Bullish Analysis for MSTR:
MicroStrategy (MSTR) has recently dropped alongside the broader crypto market, but strong buying momentum is emerging as buyers step in to buy the dip . The RSI is coming back from oversold levels, signaling potential for a rebound. As Bitcoin stabilizes and recovers, MSTR’s stock is likely to benefit from both the crypto rebound and its solid business fundamentals.
Trade Setup:
Take Profit 1: $370
Take Profit 2: $430
Stop Loss: $310
This setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward opportunity, with MSTR potentially poised for a bullish reversal.
Why MSTR Could Hit $350 by April 2025Why MSTR Could Hit $350 by April 2025
MicroStrategy (MSTR) has positioned itself uniquely in the financial landscape by heavily investing in Bitcoin, making it not just a tech firm but also a significant player in the cryptocurrency space. Here's why MSTR might reach $350 by April 2025:
Bitcoin's Performance and MicroStrategy's Strategy:
Bitcoin has been on an upward trajectory, with recent spikes fueled by events like political developments (e.g., Trump's crypto-friendly stance). If Bitcoin continues this trend or even surpasses expectations, MSTR's stock, which acts almost as a leveraged bet on Bitcoin, could see substantial gains. Analysts have noted a strong positive correlation between Bitcoin's price and MSTR's stock value, sometimes suggesting a premium on MSTR due to its Bitcoin strategy.
MicroStrategy's Bold Bitcoin Acquisition:
Recent posts on X have highlighted MicroStrategy's commitment to the biggest Bitcoin buy ever at $42B. This aggressive accumulation could signal to investors that MSTR believes in a significant future value increase for Bitcoin, thereby potentially boosting investor confidence in MSTR shares.
Market Sentiment and Institutional Interest:
There's growing institutional interest in Bitcoin, which benefits companies like MicroStrategy. For instance, South Korea’s National Pension Service's investment in MSTR indicates a broader acceptance of crypto through established companies. Such moves could lead to increased demand for MSTR stock, pushing its price higher.
Inclusion in Major Indices:
Discussions around MSTR's potential inclusion in major indices like the S&P 500 could significantly boost its stock price. If MSTR becomes eligible for such an index due to its market cap or liquidity, it would attract more institutional investors, driving the price up.
Earnings and Accounting Changes:
With the adoption of new accounting standards allowing for digital assets to be measured at fair value, MSTR could report more favorable earnings. This could lead to a re-rating of the stock as the market recognizes the true value of its Bitcoin holdings, potentially pushing the stock towards the $350 mark or beyond.
Bullish Predictions and Analyst Upgrades:
Analysts from various platforms have shown optimism, with some forecasts indicating that MSTR could trade between $175.94 and $310.25 by 2025. While these aren't exact to $350, the sentiment is clear: there's an expectation of significant growth.
Supply Shock from Bitcoin Halving:
The Bitcoin halving event, which reduces the reward for mining new blocks, historically impacts Bitcoin's price positively due to the reduced supply growth rate. If this event leads to a substantial Bitcoin price increase, MSTR's stock should follow suit.
Macro-Economic Environment:
If the global economic environment continues to favor alternative investments like cryptocurrencies, MSTR, with its Bitcoin strategy, stands to benefit. Lower interest rates or inflation fears might drive more capital towards assets like Bitcoin, indirectly benefiting MSTR.
16/12/24 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $106,649.88
Last weeks low: $94,177.33
Midpoint: $100,413.61
A new ATH for BTC last week as we saw $106K for the first time, truly amazing price action since the Trump election win. NASDAQ:MSTR , IBIT and other massive institutions are continuing to buy with more companies having rumoured to add BTC to their balance sheet, demand is strong and does not seem to be going away as we go into the end of the quarter/year.
This week we have many different data releases from the UK, US & ECB. Naturally volatility is expected around these events, it also makes traders a little tentative to enter into trades, I would say this is more accurate during bear markets/ choppy conditions. Right now we're in a strong Bullrun and therefor the momentum is less news data driven and more a race for institutional buying, It's a given at this point that we're in a period of rate cuts and so that is factored into price.
Altcoins have seen a recent pullback despite BTC pushing higher, this is as a result of the BTC.D chart tanking when alts took the liquidity from BTC profits and so dominance did see a correction. This latest BTC move up while alts are down is just a continuation of BTC.D continuing its surge as it always does in the Bullrun before the true altseason where alts outpace BTC after a blow-off top.
This week I'd like to see BTC come through data events unscathed with altcoins bouncing off the 4H 200EMAs and starting the next leg up going into year end.
BTC Miner "Valuation" ChartThis is not advice on who to invest in, or what, do your own due diligence in checking through the total overall hashrate, the future plans of these companies and how diversified they are in their business operations. IE do they outsource some compute for data centers etc. Hint: Data center usage will be gigantic since it's already built and ready to plug and play so to say.
This is just a super simple analysis of the YTD of some miners I think are pretty decent. This is an incredibly risky "sector" but the larger guys with tons of built or in process of being built Megawatts available are not only positioned to benefit from the rise of bitcoin, and the potential for larger companies to scoop them up for their own ai / data center needs. Just my two cents. As always feel free to reach out for questions or leave a question in the comments. GL
MSTR 4H: Potential Breakout from Descending TrendlineMicroStrategy (MSTR) has been forming a descending trendline resistance since its recent peak around 520. The price has been consolidating near the trendline convergence point, showing signs of a potential breakout. Current price action suggests accumulation with higher lows forming.
Key Levels:
Major resistance: Descending trendline (currently ~410)
Current price: ~400
Trade Setup:
Looking for a confirmed breakout above the descending trendline with increased volume. A successful breach could signal the end of the current corrective phase and potential trend reversal.
Risk Management:
Place stops below recent swing lows. Watch for false breakouts and monitor Bitcoin correlation as it significantly influences MSTR's price action.
MSTR100 | Pennant | Potential LONGSitting onto a nice Volume Shelf here. What we see is a Pennant or a Ascending triangle forming here for a higher move up especially with the Price sitting onto a volume shelf.
Next PT is at the first Fibonacci PT 1.618 ratio at 1.2582266. If Price can get above that and hold we can move higher. For now a DCA strategy on this coin would work if pennant doesn't get invalidated.
I personally will buy at around .82 and then .73. Below that pattern will be invalidated and will need to change strategy.
PT based on Fibonacci ratio:
1.25 > 1.69 > 2.13 > 2.40 then ATH and maybe higher if hype follows.
MSTR - Inverse H&S Pattern with Clear Breakout TargetThis is an Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern on MSTR 1-hour
Risk/Reward Analysis:
Entry Price: $440
Stop Loss: $400
Target Price: $520
Risk/Reward Ratio: 1R:2R
Details
Clear neckline breakout level around $440
Downside risk zone marked in red (-$40 from entry)
Upside potential marked in green (+$80 from entry)
The setup presents a favorable technical structure with a strong risk-reward ratio above 1:2.