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MSTR MicroStrategy Puts and the Cryptocurrency LandscapeIf you haven`t sold MSTR here: Then you need to understand the recent crypto landscape: Binance disputes the SEC's allegations of mishandling customer funds, deceiving investors, and violating securities laws. The legal battle between Binance and the SEC has sent shockwaves through the cryptocurrency community. Binance and its affiliates assert that the SEC is overreaching its jurisdiction on digital assets, especially without any clear legislative guidance from Congress. The original lawsuit, filed in June, accused Binance of unlawfully listing unregistered securities. Historically, the actions of whales have been instrumental in shaping the price movements of Bitcoin and the broader cryptocurrency market. Non-whale addresses, those holding less than 100 BTC, now account for over 41% of the total Bitcoin supply. Meanwhile, whales, entities holding between 100 and 100,000 BTC, have witnessed a decline in their collective holdings to 55.5%, marking their lowest ownership level since May. The decrease in whale holdings could signal a potential change in the market's dynamics, potentially leading to increased volatility and uncertainty. These developments collectively cast a shadow over the cryptocurrency market's near-term prospects. In this context, I`m considering the following puts for MSTR MicroStrategy: 2023-10-20 expiration date $307.50 strike price $12.60 premium Looking forward to read your opinion about it!
NASDAQ:MSTRShort
by TopgOptions
MSTR next FTX bubble MicroStrategy owns 152,800 BTC bought for $4.53 billion.The company has $2.2 billion of debt issued by MicroStrategy, the parent company, consisting of $500 million of 6.125% senior secured notes due 2028 (the “secured notes”) and two series of convertible notes, one maturing in 2025 and the other in 2027 (together, the “convertible notes”). The secured notes are guaranteed by MicroStrategy’s subsidiaries (other than MacroStrategy and its subsidiaries) and are secured by substantially all of MicroStrategy’s assets, which include its software business and, as of Sept. 30, 2022, a total of 14,890 bitcoin. Although MacroStrategy and its subsidiaries are technically restricted subsidiaries under MicroStrategy’s secured notes, in many ways they have the freedom of an unrestricted subsidiary, including their ability to incur debt secured by their bitcoin holdings.MacroStrategy is carved out from the limitations of the debt covenant, so it can incur unlimited debt. In addition, any crypto assets held by MacroStrategy at the time the secured notes were issued are carved out of the liens covenant; as a result, MacroStrategy may incur unlimited debt secured by the bitcoin that it held on the date the secured notes were issued. The fact is that FTX and Alameda were created by one person - Sam Bankman-Freed. And from the very beginning, Alameda served as a liquidity provider on FTX. Alameda wallets interacted with FTX even before the launch in May 2019 and apart from other addresses, it was the only clearly identifiable counterparty. In 2020, the chief engineer of the FTX crypto exchange made secret changes to the exchange software. They allowed Alameda Research, owned by Sam Bankman-Fried, to continue to borrow funds from FTX regardless of the value of the collateral. Weller said the prospect of such a fund coming to market after about a decade of trying by a number of issuers could pose a "big risk" for MicroStrategy. “Many investors are buying MicroStrategy shares as a widely available proxy to gain exposure to bitcoin,” he said. “But if a simple, low-fee alternative emerges, much of the current demand for the stock could dry up, leaving a costly, slow-growing operating company to manage a cumbersome, unstable balance sheet.” The Spot Bitcoin ETF, if approved, “won’t offer the same leverage returns as MicroStrategy,” Saylor said during the company’s Aug. 1 earnings announcement. However, he acknowledged that a subset of institutional investors would choose Bitcoin ETFs to participate in this space. I'll draw an analogy. Think of the rest yourself. The debtor company has doubled its capital. This is Carl's air, emptiness! Bitcoin-ETF no longer needs an intermediary in the form of this company, which can repeat the fate of FTX. Half of the Bitcoins will have to be sold on the market if the Bitcoin ETF spot is approved, because 2.2 billion debts and unlimited lending to yourself may end. Even now, investors will have a reason to doubt Michael Saylor and withdraw their funds, which will deprive the company of reliability. Will he repeat the fate of Sam? Time will show.
NASDAQ:MSTRShort
by almatradebusiness
1
MicroStrategy Coiled: Are Bitcoin Bulls Ready for $35,000 in AugMicroStrategy Incorporated provides enterprise analytics software and services in the United States, Canada, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and internationally. It offers MicroStrategy, an enterprise analytics software platform that enables users to create visualizations, customize apps, and embed analytics directly into workflows; and MicroStrategy Cloud Environment, a managed software-as-a-service solution, which offers always-on threat monitoring and enables rapid analytics development and deployment to deliver security and data privacy requirements. The company also provides MicroStrategy Support that helps customers to achieve their system availability
NASDAQ:MSTRLong
by noam_chom
RIOT - Rising Trend Channel [MID -TERM]🔹POSITIVE signals inverse head and shoulders formation with resistance breakout at 14.72 and potential next resistance at 24.50. 🔹RSI curve shows rising trend to supporting POSTIIVE trend. 🔹RSI above 70 indicates strong short-term POSITIVE momentum. 🔹Technically POSITIVE for the medium long term. Chart Pattern: 🔹DT - Double Top | BEARISH | 🔴 🔹DB - Double Bottom | BULLISH | 🟢 🔹HNS - Head & Shoulder | BEARISH | 🔴 🔹REC - Rectangle | 🔵 🔹iHNS - inverse head & Shoulder | BULLISH | 🟢 Verify it first and believe later. WavePoint ❤️
NASDAQ:RIOTLong
by wavepoint99
Will $MSTR finally become a market leader?The leader of the industry right now is NASDAQ:MDB , but those not have any exposure to the #crypto market. MicroStrategy provides enterprise-ready analytics, mobility and security software platforms for various industries. Historically, NASDAQ:MSTR has outperformed AMEX:BITQ , I chose this ETF as a proxy of its peers as is better balanced than $AMEX:CRPT. Since the beginning of the year, the stock its been in a bottoming process as the volatility continues to decline. And its relative strength line is in a trading range. Recently, they announced a new multi-year partnership with NASDAQ:MSFT that will integrate MicroStrategy’s advanced analytics capabilities with Azure OpenAI Service. Maybe this added to the volatlity contraction can help the price to breakout above $350 and start trending higher.
NASDAQ:MSTR
by dpuleo19
MSTR - Rising Trend Channel [MID TERM]- MSTR shows strong development within a rising trend channel in the medium long term. - The stock has broken an inverse head and shoulders formation. - A decisive break of the neckline at approximately 311 will signal a further rise to 660 or more. - The stock is between support at 284 and resistance at 354. - Overall assessed as technically positive for the medium long term. *EP: Enter Price, SL: Support, TP: Take Profit, CL: Cut Loss, TF: Time Frame, RST: Resistance, RTS: Resistance to be Support LT TP: Long Term Target Price *Chart Pattern: DT - Double Top | BEARISH | RED DB - Double Bottom | BULLISH | GREEN HNS - Head & Shoulder | BEARISH | RED REC - Rectangle | BLUE iHNS - inverse head & Shoulder | BULLISH | GREEN Verify it first and believe later. WavePoint ❤️
NASDAQ:MSTRLong
by wavepoint99
MSTR BULL RALLY AHEADFor more updates, please follow my TradingView page, and if you find the content useful, kindly hit the "thumbs up" button to show your support. If you have any queries regarding trading, please feel free to send me a direct message on TradingView. Additionally, please share this content with your friends who may find it beneficial. Please note that any trading updates provided here are for educational purposes only, and it is always advisable to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. It is important to ensure that all conditions are met before following any trade plan suggested in this update.
NASDAQ:MSTRLong
by traderchamp_
MSTR Long -Daily is Testing the Daily 20 and 50 ema area -Daily is in a clear up trend making HH / HL -MSTR is highly correlated with BTC and Crypto in general which is currently in an uptrend as well -Entry came at the break of the 1h wedge -The wedge pattern could also be taken as a flag which is a reversal pattern (in this case going long) -MACD -Price is testing a good support level which once was a major resistance level at 290 -Expiration for 5/19 looking to take this to the upside
NASDAQ:MSTRLong
by moreno34
MSTR D1 UPDATE ( TECHNICAL )For more updates, please follow my TradingView page, and if you find the content useful, kindly hit the "thumbs up" button to show your support. If you have any queries regarding trading, please feel free to send me a direct message on TradingView. Additionally, please share this content with your friends who may find it beneficial. Please note that any trading updates provided here are for educational purposes only, and it is always advisable to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. It is important to ensure that all conditions are met before following any trade plan suggested in this update.
NASDAQ:MSTRLong
by traderchamp_
$BTC $170K by Halloween 2023, believe it. If the same technicals of growth, volatility, and previous lows and highs math estimates are correct, then as strange as it may sound, Bitcoin is 23% likely to reach $170,000 by Oct 31st 2023. Not to mention the fertile environment for Bitcoin given; 1. The recent turmoil in the regional banking world and the lack of trust of the banking system being reinforced. 2. The decline of BTC in 2022 was arguably related to the massive interest rate hikes by the Fed, and they (The FED) are now likely to stop raising rates due to #1. 3. The correlation btwn Gold and Bitcoin has re-emerged in recent weeks
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by jgeno
The Melt Up Moonshot The melt up moonshot... The market is incredible miss positioned for this bull run, this is actually worse then 2020 as Fund managers had an entire year of stacking short positions for the coming recession. Things like ATH Credit Card Debt and FED rate hike BS was feed to the masses and they ate it up, meanwhile all of my businesses(and everyone I know who owns a business) have been making record month after record month revenues. Yes CC debt is at an ATH and Yes people have pulled a record amount of equity out of their homes and guess where it landed? Not in Amazon junk, that was 2021. In 2022 in landed in our pockets, main street is booming! Take a look at MMF's, where main street business owners hold their cash before they need it. Its at a record high. Let me ask you something, you think its gonna stay in a MMF for .5% interest? Or will it go into the stock market and get a 2% a week return in the s&p 500? My guess, the stock market..... My position: MSTR 29 $900 Calls for 12/15 5 $350 Calls for 7/16 - These will be rolled at $600 to increase leverage for the big move higher.
NASDAQ:MSTRLong
by Johnny_Rockets88
3
Quick Bitcoin "Spot ETF" Comparison ($BTC.X $MSTR $GBTC $BITO)Still as expected. NASDAQ:MSTR is a bit of a leveraged play... $BITO (so far) is still working out as the most pure spot play... and $GBTC yeah... there's Grayscale always in the news with the 40-50% sale. LOL Can you stomach the potential risk/reward of GBTC? Are we still using it as an informal technical indicator for coin movement? In my opinion, BITO is probably the smart choice for tax advantaged IRAs etc. Otherwise, just buy and hodl the actual coins in your cold wallet. Will revisit down the road. Good luck!
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by gr-
Future of MSTRI've had a position in MSTR for a few months now and even though it's one of the worst companies in terms of stability and providing rising returns to investors, I think that it has strong potential for a large upswing. With the price of Bitcoin recovering and 28.36% of it's shares being shorted, I think that a short squeeze is imminent. I would even see it becoming the next AMC or GME if people start mentioning the corporate stupidity of Michael Saylor. I think that it's the riskiest asset in my portfolio and I don't intend holding it for long, I'm currently targeting the 600$-700$ range which is very possible if Bitcoin claims back it's previous highs. Finally, I don't think MSTR has much of a future, their entire existence is based on Bitcoin which at the moment isn't the most stable. To be totally honest, there are barely any fundamentals behind my position, just hopium.
NASDAQ:MSTRLong
by mikamaster_
NASDAQ BLOCKCHAIN ECONOMY INDEX🧾 Intro The Nasdaq Blockchain Economy Index is designed to measure the returns of companies that are committing material resources to developing, researching, supporting, innovating or utilizing blockchain technology for their proprietary use or for use by others. The Index began on December 1, 2017 at a base value of 1,000.00. TOP 10 HOLDINGS and Index Weight • As of June 30, 2021: 1. COINBASE GLOBAL (COIN): 2.26 2. IBM (IBM): 1.87 3. ACCENTURE (ACN): 1.82 4. SILVERGATE CAPITAL (SI): 1.81 5. FUJITSU (6702): 1.80 6. OVERSTOCK.COM (OSTK): 1.79 7. MICROSTRATEGY (MSTR): 1.78 8. BAIDU (BIDU): 1.78 9. JD.COM (JD): 1.76 10. SQUARE (SQ): 1.73 --------------------- Total = 18.41 Source: indexes.nasdaqomx.com 📈 Graphic Analysis I believe this week we will see the breakout of that orange diagonal line, peaking up to the 0.5 retracement at $1443.60.
NASDAQ:RSBLCNLong
by andre_007
MSTR hitting support but then further downside to fill the gap.Okay guys look at this beautiful chat. Here you are looking at MSTR on the Daily TF and you have a lot of stuff going on. Notice the wedge pattern that is forming from the down slopping (yellow) line and the parallel (green) support line. That is forcing action to the corner of the wedge. You will also notice that before the continued downward movement in the stock there was an attempted breakout (purple box). Now, this is where most investors would have jumped on board and though that this was a true break out, however there wasn't any confirmation. Without confirmation there isn't a true breakout. Also notice how the big gap up represented by the green line is now serving as a major support and goes back to 2020. This line has been tagged times now and is beginning to weaken. Once the green line is weakened enough it will break and head down to the gap fill (represented by the blue line) and you will see a bounce off of that level. We will continue to monitor the progress of this chart and see if there is enough bullish price action to get through the yellow resistance line or if the bears will win and fill that gap. Let me know what you think will happen. Cheers,
NASDAQ:MSTRShort
by GarethSolowayOfficial
1
MicroStrategy Graph and Fundamental Analysis (MSTR)1. Graphic Analysis Since March 2020, the company has been showing a strong correlation with Bitcoin (as shown at the bottom). The price is "respecting" the white diagonal line in a big triangle 3 times. It remains to be seen whether this line will be restored or whether it will now take off for good. Perhaps the fundamentalist analysis below indicates a subtle change in operating results, to the point of enacting the bottom of this cycle. 2. Fundamental Analysis The result was announced on November 1st. 2.1. Income Statement 2.1.1. Revenues Sales increased by 2.69%, going from $122M to $125M. 2.1.2. Expenses Operating expenses have been flat since inception, ranging quarterly from $111 million to $122 million. 2.1.3. Net Income Net Income shows how much money a company earns after expenses. Since the year 2020, net income has had a negative performance. Despite sales increasing by 2.69%, this has not changed. The positive point is that in relation to the previous quarter, the negative profit deteriorated, going from -$ 1.06 Billion to -$ 27.08 M 2.1.4. Earnings Per Share (EPS) Earnings per Share is the amount of earnings per share of issued, ordinary shares. Analyzing since the 1st quarter of 2021, this indicator has remained negative, signaling that those who bought the company's shares suffered a loss, in line with Net Income . ------------------------------------------------------------ 2.2. Balance Sheet 2.2.1. Asset x Liability 2.2.2. Total Assets The total value of assets decreased by 2.13%, due to a reduction in current and non-current assets. 2.2.3. Total Debt Debts remain stable, in the range of $2.24 billion to $2.45 billion. 2.2.4. Net Debt Net Debt represents the amount of debt that would remain after a company had paid off as much debt as possible with its liquid assets. This value also remains stable. 2.2.5. Net worth It is what's left after subtracting total liabilities from total assets. Equity was positive until the first quarter of 2022. But in the last two quarters it was negative by -$200 million. ------------------------------------------------------------ 2.3. Cash flow 2.3.1. Cash From Operating Activities Cash From Operating Activities represents the amount of cash that a company gets from its ongoing, regular business activities, such as the production and sale of goods or the provision of services to its customers. Considering the period since 2021, Q2 2022 (the previous one) was the one in which there was a negative flow of -$18.37M. In the current quarter, positively, this negative flow has stopped, standing at $1.10 M. But still far from the last positive value of the first quarter of 2022 which was $ 46 M. 2.3.2. Cash From Investing Activities Cash From Investing Activities represents the amount of cash that a company brings in from its investing activities. It includes any cash inflows or outflows from the company's long-term investments. A negative value of Cash From Investing Activities can show poor performance, but it can also be a sign of increased investment activities. Spending on investments has been declining. From a peak of -$1B in Q1 2021, in the current quarter of 2022(3) the amount spent was -$6M. This signals a trend towards the end of investment activities. It may be due to the higher cost of money, and/or the lack of need for such an investment. 2.3.3. Cash From Financing Activities Cash From Financing Activities is the amount of cash that a company receives or pays to finance its activities. That is, the company invests this money in itself, specifically in the development of its business. A positive value may indicate an organization's intentions regarding expansion and growth. A negative value may be a sign of improvement in the company's liquidity if debts are paid off. A negative value can also provide information on the dividend policy of the organization. In the same way as investment activities, the value follows a downward trend, that is, the company continues to prioritize the consolidation of its activities, or prioritizing the settlement of its debts. 2.3.4. Free Cash Flow Free Cash Flow (FCF) represents the cash that a company generates as a result of its activities, excluding expenses on assets. Free Cash Flow is sometimes considered the hardest financial metric to fake because of its calculation and for that reason, it's a popular financial metric in the investor community. The current value remains positive at $769k, but far from the peak of $64M in Q1 2021. Last quarter the balance was negative at -$19M, so we could at least consider this reversal as something positive. 2.3.5. Price to cash flow Ratio It measures how much cash a company generates relative to its share price. Formula: Market Value/Cash Flow from main activities The indicator remains positive and peaked at 69.46 in this current quarter.
NASDAQ:MSTR
by andre_007