Incoming $1trillion dollar correction for crypto people... ** weeks ahead **
Is the market top in? This next move in the market will certainly convince the crypto folks that it is.
According to social media, Youtube influencers etc.. the bull run is just beginning.
That is in despite of a swathe of News article headlines “Bitcoin reaches new all time high $100k” and the janitor I have not spoken to in 10 years asking me if I'm buying Bitcoin.
The signs are there.
On the above 6 day chart, the TOTAL crypto market capitalisation, currently 3.57 trillion dollars price action has risen 46% since the November breakout. A number of reasons now exist for a bearish outlook:
1) Price action and RSI support breakdowns. Indeed the November breakouts requires confirmation of support on past resistance to allow for continuation. That's a long way down.
2) Support is exactly $1 trillion below at $2.57 trillion.
3) Price action is at a significant Fibonacci extension, look left.
4) This signal is found across the entire crypto market on both 6 day and weekly charts, in other words there is confluence across timeframes. That is important.
Is it possible speculators keep throwing good money after bad in the hope price go up? Sure.
Is it probable? No.
Ww
Bulls make money.
Bears make money.
Pigs get slaughtered.
TOTAL3 - Hanging man
OTHERS total - Hanging man
Multiple Time Frame Analysis
BTC/USD continuation to the downside If you go through my previous analysis on Btc there as a clear and understable analysis from Montly to Daily T_F
There was obvious Rising Wedge which the market respects
Tradingview says 1m+pips from the very top of my analysis that's -13.87%
Now... there's about to be a Retest on the break out of the rising Wedge also the trend line onthe 4hrs T_F
More bearish move to go watch out
Note this is base on technical factors.
EURUSD Trade Setup1. Time Frame:
- Daily: FVG Identification
- H4: FVG Identification
- H1: Entry Signal
2. Fair Value Gap (FVG):
On the H4 chart noted a Fair Value Gap (FVG) between 1.0380 - 1.0466
On the Daily chart also note FVG between 1.0422- 1.0480
3. Trend Confirmation:
Price has break support at 1.0453 with massive net sell volume.
Price has rise back to Daily & H4 FVG area.
4. Position:
Entry: 1.0430
Stop Loss : 1.0480
Take Profit: 1.0345 & 1.0240 (fibo 161.8 & previous low)
RRR : 1:1.7x - 1:3.8x
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Disclaimer
The analysis and content provided here are intended solely for personal journal and educational purposes. This information does not constitute financial advice, investment advice, or a recommendation to buy or sell any securities. Trading involves significant risk, and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Vaxart, Inc. to print 5000% impulsive wave ?? ** The months ahead **
On the above 6 day chart price action has corrected over 96% since February 2021. A number of reasons now exist for a bullish outlook, they include:
1) Price action and RSI resistance breakouts.
2) Confirmation of support on past resistance.
3) Regular positive divergence. The divergence prints at a time price action breaks out after 4 years of active resistance.
4) The forecast is determined from a 2nd impulsive move as measured from the first.
Is it possible price action continues to correct? Sure.
Is it probable? No
Ww
Type: Trade
Risk: You decide
Timeframe for long: Remainder of the year.
Return: 4000-5000%
Stop loss: Will say elsewhere
ASSETARTISAN 1. Break of Structure (BOS): A clear break of structure occurred, as indicated in the chart, signaling a shift in market momentum. This often aligns with a continuation of the prevailing trend.
2. Change of Character (ChoCH): The marked ChoCH points indicate shifts in market sentiment, transitioning from bearish to bullish. These are often early signals of trend reversals or continuations.
3. Order Block Reaction: The price reacted strongly within a demand zone (blue-shaded area). This suggests that institutional buying was present, driving prices upward toward the target.
4. Momentum and Volume: The strong bullish momentum (indicated by large candlestick bodies) supported the price's rapid movement to the target.
5. Trend Continuation: The price is in a clear bullish trend, with higher highs and higher lows forming, reinforcing the likelihood of hitting higher levels.
In summary, the combination of structural breaks, demand zone reactions, and bullish momentum contributed to the target being achieved.
GOLD (XAUUSD): Intraday Bearish Bias
Gold nicely retested a recently broken key daily horizontal support.
After its test, I see very intraday bearish price action with
a confirmed local Change of Character CHoCH.
The price will most likely drop lower at least to 2585.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
[Vienmelodic] AUDCHF - 16 Dec 2024 SetupAUDCHF are breaking the market structure on friday last week. now its retesting our demand area (Green Rectangle). its the first demand area from extreme low and ussually its a very good area.
Entry Position : Long
Profit Target : 1:3 Shown on the chart image (Green Line)
Stop Loss : Slightly below demand area (Red Line)
Follow me if u guys making any gains from this idea.
Thanks
Vienmelodic
[Vienmelodic] EURGBP 16 Dec 2024 SetupAfter a long downward EURGBP create a break out structure which the sight of trend changing,
i spotted a really nice demand area on M55 as shown on the image.
the idea is to place a long pending order on the area and take profit target 1:3 RRR (Green Line)
with Stop Loss slightly below the demand area (Red Line)..
We'll See the updates on the next several days.
~Cut the Losses and let the Profits Run~
Vienmelodic
Long trade
4Hr TF overview
Trade Setup Breakdown:
Trade Type: Buyside (Long position)
Date: Monday, December 16, 2024
Time: 5:00 AM
Timeframe: 4-hour (4H) chart
Session: Tokyo to London (AM session)
Entry 1.42471
Profit level 1.45600 (2.20%)
Stop level 1.42119 (0.25%)
RR 8.89
Reason: Overlooking the 4Hr TF and monitoring USDCAD indicates buyside momentum at this time.
[Vienmelodic] AUDNZD 16 Dec 2024 SetupAUDNZD The market structure are creating an upward momentum since 12 December. now its retesting our demand area (Green Rectangle). its the first demand area from extreme low and ussually its a very good area.
Entry Position : Long
Profit Target : 1:3 Shown on the chart image (Green Line)
Stop Loss : Slightly below demand area (Red Line)
Follow me if u guys making any gains from this idea.
~Cut the Losses and let the Profits Run :)
Vienmelodic
[Vienmelodic] AUDNZD 16 Dec 2024 - Wait & See ModeAfter breakout structure on H4 this is the spotted possible retesting area.
ussually i take the lowest area for long possition,
but if theres any H1 bullish candlestick formed anywhere within the first area, i will take long entry with market execution..
Let see on the next several days for the updates.
~Cut the Losses and let the Profits Run~
Vienmelodic
Long trade
1Hr TF entry
Buyside trade
Mon 16th Dec
LND to Ny Session AM
8.00 am
Entry 1.49665
Profit level 1.51248 (1.06%)
Stop level 1.49231 (0.29%)
RR 3.65
Reason: Overview of the 1Hr TF we buyside momentum indicates buyside pressure since Mon 16th Dec 24, and narrative based on supply and demand for directional bias.