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Multiple Time Frame Analysis

Is a massive correction for alt tokens about to print?This is a short term forecast affecting anything inside the TOTAL2 market cap. That is the entire crypto market excluding Bitcoin. The crash is forecast to occur over the next 14-20 days. In four days from now a “life cross” will print on the above daily chart, it is inevitable. What is a life cross? It is when the 50 day simple moving average (blue line) crosses up the 200 day simple moving average (red line) AND Price action is above the 200 day simple moving average. The majority of market participants see this as a positive sign. A green light to enter long positions. However for you lucky what is it now wow 14,000 followers (thank you!), you’ll now know it is not what it seems. Like me you're scientific about all this and look left. But before we look left, I want you memorise how far TOTAL2 market capital is above the 200 day SMA, about 30% November 12th, 2023 life cross -10% correction Price action was 20% above the 200 day SMA February 18th, 2023 life cross -15% correction Price action was 15% above the 200 day SMA February 2020 and May 2020, -70% and -17% corrections Price action was 57% and 20% above the 200 day sma April 13th, 2019. Life cross -23% correction Price action was 34% above the 200 day sma In summary, the further price action was above the 200 day SMA the harder it dropped. We can infer that a 15-20% correction should be expected across TOTAL2. Use this low as an opportunity to collect your favourite token from emotional sellers. Ww
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2
by without_worries
9
EURGBP - BOE decisions will make the GBP rise!?The EURGBP currency pair is below the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe and is moving in its descending channel. In case of an upward correction due to economic data this week, we can see a supply zone and resell within that zone with a suitable risk reward. Reaching the demand zone of this currency pair will lead to scalp buying opportunities. The UK energy regulator has approved a £2 billion funding package to build a high-voltage “electricity superhighway” beneath the North Sea. This project, known as the “Eastern Green Link 1,” involves laying 196 kilometers of cable to transfer wind power from Scotland to northern England. The initiative is expected to supply electricity to approximately two million homes. Rachel Reeves, the UK’s finance minister, stated that the government aims to achieve broad and resilient economic growth. She also reaffirmed the Bank of England’s target of maintaining a 2% inflation rate. Andrew Bailey, Governor of the Bank of England, noted that inflation in the services sector remains above levels compatible with the inflation target. He stressed the need for close monitoring of this sector, as it reflects labor market developments. Bailey further mentioned that a gradual approach to easing monetary policy restrictions would help manage inflation-related risks more effectively. Meanwhile, the European Commission has warned of heightened risks in its economic outlook due to the war in Ukraine, tensions in the Middle East, and protectionist trade policies. The Commission estimates Germany’s GDP growth to rise by 0.7% in 2025, down from an earlier forecast of 1.0%. Additionally, public debt in the Eurozone is expected to increase from 89.1% in 2024 to 90.0% by 2026. Inflation rates are projected at 2.4% for 2024, 2% for 2025, and 1.9% for 2026. A Bloomberg survey revealed that economists now believe Germany may face a second consecutive year of declining output. Analysts expect Germany’s GDP to shrink by 0.1% in 2024 following a 0.3% contraction in 2023.A month ago, predictions still pointed to an economic slowdown only for this year. Fabio Panetta, a member of the European Central Bank (ECB), stated that persistent weakness in domestic demand might drive inflation below 2%. He suggested that the ECB should consider shifting toward a neutral or even expansionary monetary policy. Panetta noted that the Eurozone economy remains weak, with no turning point visible in the manufacturing sector. He emphasized the need for the ECB to adopt a forward-looking approach, as excessive tightening of current monetary policies is no longer necessary. Robert Müller, another ECB official, remarked that there is no need for larger-scale measures at this time. He also hinted at the possibility of a 25-basis-point rate cut in December.
Short
by Ali_PSND
1
BTCUSDT / LONG / M15BTCUSDT may rise from the Bullish Order Block Bullish Order Block :- 91,811 and 91,502 BTCUSDT is shaping up for a potential bullish move, with a bullish order block identified between 91,811 and 91,502. This zone acts as a significant demand area where institutional buy orders are likely to cluster, offering a high-probability setup for traders. The current price is still above this level, providing an excellent opportunity to prepare for a possible long entry. Historical patterns and market behavior suggest that these zones often lead to strong reversals or trend continuations, making them crucial points for consideration. Monitoring this level closely can help capitalize on a potential upward movement once the price retraces into the order block. Using Smart Money Concepts (SMC) and analyzing across multiple timeframes, this trade has a high probability of success. Once the price taps into the order block, there is a strong expectation of bullish momentum, potentially leading to significant upside. Stay tuned—this could be a rewarding trade opportunity! Always remember to use proper risk management while trading. 🚀
Long
by PraveenTrader1
2
Trade Recap: AUDUSD - LONG, 20/11/2024AU Bias Analysis: With a clear bearish leg on the 1D as a result of a bullish dollar, Price has now established a Counter Trend towards 1D EPD. The long entry is in line with the current bullish 1H range and price retraced to the 50% fib retracement level on the initial entry and the 79% fib retracement level on the second entry which is floating at BE. Grade: High Risk What I did well or could've done better: - I was not confident in he initial entry due to multiple factors indicating that price would retrace deeper into 1H discount but I followed the plan and executed regardless of what I thought would happen.
Long
by The_Modern_Day_Trader
XAU/USD 20 November 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bearish. Price Action Analysis: In my analysis dated 12 November 2024, I highlighted the anticipation of a bullish Change of Character (CHoCH) as an indication of a bullish phase initiation. Price has now confirmed this by printing a bullish CHoCH. Currently, price is trading within an established internal range and remains consistent with the broader pullback requirements of higher timeframes. This internal range forms the basis for today's expectations. Intraday Expectation: Price is anticipated to trade up to the premium of the internal 50% equilibrium (EQ), where it is currently positioned. Alternatively, price may trade higher to reach the H4 supply zone before targeting the weak internal low at 2,536.855. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price Action Analysis: As stated in yesterday's analysis, I mentioned that it would not be surprising if price printed a bearish internal Break of Structure (iBOS). This expectation materialised; however, the bearish momentum was short-lived as price subsequently printed a bullish iBOS. Price has now printed a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH), which allows us to establish an internal range. Currently, price is trading near the extreme of a strong internal low and has wicked into the M15 demand zone, showing a reaction. Intraday Expectation: Technically, price is expected to target the weak internal high at 2,641.940, reacting from the current M15 demand zone. Alternative Scenario: The H4 timeframe remains in a bullish pullback phase and is trading within the premium of its internal 50% equilibrium (EQ), where a reaction is observed. Consequently, it would not be surprising if the M15 timeframe printed a bearish iBOS. Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish policy stance and geopolitical tensions persisting, Gold price volatility is expected to remain elevated. Traders should stay cautious and remain prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
AUDUSD - Trump continues to influence the dollar!The AUDUSD currency pair is located between EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe and is moving in its downward channel. In case of an upward correction due to the release of economic data this week, we can see the supply zone and sell within those limits with the appropriate risk reward. As long as the drawn upward trend line is maintained, the target of this corrective movement will be the ceiling of the descending channel. The recent U.S. elections have sparked two contrasting narratives about the country’s economic future. One emphasizes economic growth through tax and regulatory cuts, while the other highlights downside risks stemming from tariffs and overall policy uncertainty. However, the business cycle’s strong performance to date remains a key consideration. Forecasts suggest that U.S. economic growth will slightly slow to 2% in 2025, with unemployment rising modestly to 4.5%. Additionally, the Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (Core PCE) index is expected to decrease by 0.5% next year, settling at 2.3%. The Federal Reserve is likely to cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December and reduce them further to 3.75% by the end of Q3 2025. On the trade policy front, significant tariff increases on China are anticipated, though no major changes are expected elsewhere. These tariffs could reduce trade volumes and raise import prices. According to a recent Federal Reserve Bank of New York report, credit application rejection rates in 2024 are projected to be significantly higher than in 2019. The report also indicates that households are expected to be less inclined to apply for credit next year. Rejection rates for mortgage refinancing and auto loans have reached record highs in the survey’s history. Furthermore, the share of Americans refraining from applying for credit due to discouragement is on the rise. Meanwhile, Goldman Sachs has revised its 2025 economic growth forecast for Australia downward, citing potential negative spillovers from the expected increase in U.S. tariffs on China. In its 2025 Australia and New Zealand Outlook report, Goldman now predicts a 1.8% rise in Australia’s GDP for next year, down from its earlier 2% forecast. This adjustment reflects the anticipated impact of tariffs on Australia’s exports, given that China is its largest trading partner. President-elect Donald Trump has threatened to impose a 60% tariff on Chinese exports, aiming to protect American businesses and jobs. In response, Chinese President Xi Jinping has remarked that China-Australia relations have maintained a positive trajectory of growth. He emphasized the need for enhanced coordination and cooperation between the two nations, stating that there are no fundamental conflicts of interest between them. Xi also called on Australia to create fairer trade conditions, announcing China’s readiness to increase imports of high-quality Australian products and encourage Chinese companies to invest in the country.
Short
by Ali_PSND
USDJPY - The weakness of the yen will stop?!The USDJPY currency pair is above the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe and is moving in its upward channel. In case of correction due to the release of economic data this week, we can see demand zone and buy within that range with appropriate risk reward. Breaking the downtrend line and the specified resistance range will pave the way for the currency pair to rise to the supply zone. We will sell currency pairs in that range. Bank of Japan (BOJ) to Release Review of Monetary Policy Tools According to Reuters, the Bank of Japan (BOJ) is set to release the findings of a comprehensive review next month, evaluating the advantages and drawbacks of various unconventional monetary policy tools employed over the past 25 years to combat deflation. This review is seen as a symbolic step towards ending BOJ’s era of massive stimulus measures. The report will include findings and surveys that justify BOJ’s plan to gradually normalize its monetary policies. The review’s results are expected to be published after the final BOJ policy meeting of the year, scheduled for December 18–19, and may include a potential rate hike from the current level of 0.25%. Japan’s ruling coalition, comprising the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) and Komeito, has reached an agreement with the opposition Democratic Party for the People (DPP) on an economic stimulus package. The package includes cash handouts for low-income households, subsidies to assist with utility bill payments, and additional investments in artificial intelligence and semiconductors. The three parties have agreed to raise the income tax threshold and continue discussions on reducing gasoline taxes. This agreement requires legislative revisions to be addressed during next year’s parliamentary session. Following the ruling coalition’s loss of its majority in the lower house, DPP’s support has become crucial for advancing the package. However, some economists have expressed skepticism about the package’s limited impact on boosting consumer spending. BOJ Chief Kazuo Ueda’s Remarks: Kazuo Ueda, the BOJ Governor, stressed the need for the government to monitor medium-term financial sustainability. He stated that the policies of the new U.S. administration will be closely examined and integrated into Japan’s economic outlook as a key priority.Ueda also highlighted the transformative impact of generative AI on the financial industry. Massive Treasury Bond Sell-Off by Japan and China Meanwhile, Bloomberg reports that Japan and China, two of the largest holders of U.S. government debt, sold significant amounts of U.S. Treasury bonds during the third quarter of this year. Japanese investors offloaded a record $61.9 billion worth of these bonds in the quarter ending September 30, while Chinese funds sold $51.3 billion in the same period, marking the second-largest volume recorded. These sell-offs occurred ahead of the U.S. presidential election and Donald Trump’s victory.
Long
by Ali_PSND
EURNZD / LONG / M15EURNZD may rise from the Bullish Order Block BULLISH ORDER BLOCK :- 1.79863 and 1.79783 EURNZD has tapped into a key bullish order block and is showing early signs of a potential reversal. This zone represents a significant area of institutional interest where buy orders are likely concentrated. The market structure remains bullish, making this an ideal level to consider entering a long position. Using Smart Money Concepts (SMC), this setup has been meticulously analyzed to align with high-probability trading zones. The price has already touched the order block, suggesting it’s time to take action. With a favorable risk-to-reward ratio, this trade offers an excellent opportunity for upside momentum. Stay tuned and let’s see how this plays out—there’s a strong chance of ending in profits! As always, remember to manage your risk effectively while trading. 🚀 EURNZD / LONG / M15 LOT :- 0.1 Entry Profit :- 1.79838 Take Profit :- 1.80048 Stop Loss :- 1.79628
Long
by PraveenTrader1
Ethereum time to shine-Swing trading LONGEthereum: Your Time to Shine BINANCE:ETHUSDT Ethereum, it’s your moment. You’re in a prime setup for traders, where psychology is playing a crucial role. As Bitcoin consolidates sideways, Ethereum is retesting a key zone, preparing for what could be its true breakout. This is your time to shine. Remember, this is not financial advice. Always use a responsible risk management strategy. My trade is targeting the ATH zone, where I plan to take profits and wait for a similar setup to reposition myself strategically
Long
by Jaytradermb
AUD/USD: Seeking dips for move to 66cAUD/USD has risen for a thirds day from its multi-week low, and shows the potential to head for 66c It is the second day in a row the market closed just off its daily high and the daily RSI (2) is not yet overbought. However, the October high makes a likely interim resistance level which could spark a pullback before dip buyers return. Bulls could seek dips down towards the weekly pivot near 0.6500 in anticipation of its next leg higher, with 0.6560, 0.6584 (November VPOC) and the 0.6600 handle coming into focus.
Long
by CityIndex
Xunlei Limited to print 300% extension?This is a short term forecast between now and the year end. On the above 2 week chart price action has corrected 80% from resistance to test support on past resistance. Reasons to be bullish: 1) The next resistance confirms support (red circles). 2) RSI resistance breakout and support confirmation. 3) No share splits. 4) Off-Exchange Short Volume Ratio 29.83% ;-) Is it possible price action continues to correct? Sure. Is it probable? No Ww Type: trade Risk: small market cap. Low exposure. Timeframe for long: 3 days Return: 300%
NASDAQ:XNETLong
by without_worries
5
Trade Recap: GBPJPY - SHORT, 19/11/2024GJ Bias Analysis: Price, still trading at a 1D premium, the pro-trend had been established on the 4H timeframe and short entries were in line with the bearish 1H range. Equilibrium was achieved relative to the minor swing after price protracted higher and a short entry executed after entry confirmation was received. Grade: High Risk What I did well or could've done better: - I was too risk averse when using discretion in the management of this position, which led to being stopped out at BE before an aggressive sell off to TP.
Short
by The_Modern_Day_Trader
1