Multiple Time Frame Analysis
Stock Of The Day / 02.20.25 / PLTR02.20.2025 / NASDAQ:PLTR #PLTR
Fundamentals. Negative background due to information about the reduction of the US defense budget.
Technical analysis.
Daily chart: Correction on an uptrend.
Aftermarket/Premarket: Gap Down on increased volume. We mark the aftermarket low of 106.00.
Trading session: The primary upward impulse from the opening was stopped at 106.00. We are considering a short trade in case of retest and holding the level.
Trading scenario: False breakout with retest of the level 106.00
Entry: 104.20 upon re-touching the level and exit downwards.
Stop: 106.25 we hide it behind the tail of the candle above the level of 106.00.
Exit: Close part of the position at 97.10 when the price accelerates and a reversal candlestick pattern appears. Close the rest of the position at 100.01 when the lower high is updated and the structure of the downward trend is broken.
Risk rewards: 1/3
P.S. In order to understand the idea behind the Stock Of The Day analysis, read the following information .
AAPL long SwingWhy to trust your setup? Today, even though the indices were bearish AAPL did not drop signaling strength in the asset and any retracement in indices meant that AAPL would soar. Based on the setup, the institutional orderflow was bullish, the higher time frame draw on liquidity was the Weekly Equal Highs and lower time frame confirmations of bullish market structure. The only hard part on this trade was the mental capital needed to hold the trade and the time the asset took to deliver to the pre-determined target.
EURUSD 21 Feb 2025 W8 - Intraday Analysis - EU & US PMI Day!This is my Intraday analysis on FX:EURUSD EURUSD for 21 Feb 2025 W8 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following:
Market Sentiment
4H Chart Analysis
15m Chart Analysis
Market Sentiment
It's PMI Day today:
EU: Flash Manufacturing PMI - Flash Services PMI
US: Flash Manufacturing PMI - Flash Services PMI
The market still in the same sentiment detailed in my Weekly Analysis . Below a summary:
Short-Term Bias: Cautiously bullish for EUR/USD, driven by optimism over delayed tariffs, geopolitical progress, and hopes for softer inflation.
Key Risks:
A hot PCE report reviving Fed hawkishness.
Sudden tariff escalations or breakdowns in peace talks.
4H Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bullish (Reached Swing Extreme Demand)
🔹INT Bearish (Reached Extreme Supply)
🔹INT-INT Bullish (Reached EQ (50%)
🔹Swing Continuation
2️⃣
🔹With the deep pullback to the Bullish Swing extreme discount and mitigating the 4H/Daily demand zones, price turned Bullish forming a Bullish CHoCH.
🔹The current Bullish move from Swing extreme discount to current price level having 2 scenarios (Previously I’d the following 2 scenarios where now I favors the 2nd scenario due to the impulsive nature of the move):
Scenario 1: Pullback for Bearish INT Structure and with the recent Bearish CHoCK and Minor Demand zones are failing, I expect Bearish continuation to target the Weak INT Low which aligns with the Daily/Weekly Bearish Structure/Move. (Counter Swing – Pro Internal)
Scenario 2: Bullish Swing continuation to target the Weak Swing High. Which requires to have Demand holding and Supply failing. The first sign required to confirm this scenario will be the current Demand which price is currently at to hold and we form a Bullish CHoCH. (Pro Swing – Counter Internal)
🔹As expected yesterday, price managed to continue Bullish after reaching the INT-INT structure EQ (50%) in a solid impulsive move aligns with the Swing continuation move.
3️⃣
🔹Still expectation is set to continue Bullish targeting the Weak Swing High as long LTFs holds Bullish structures. Also, In my mind I’m not neglecting the current Bearish 4H INT structure and we already reached that structure extreme where we are getting the current corrective Bearish OF.
15m Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bullish
🔹INT Bullish
🔹Reached Swing EQ (50%)/Discount
🔹Swing Continuation Phase
2️⃣
🔹The 15m Bullish Swing pullback phase is still intact with continues Bearish INT structures.
🔹Price had reached Swing extreme demand in Swing Discount.
🔹With the recent Bearish iBOS, price had formed Liq. above the 15m Demand which was sept with the break of the Weak INT Low, mitigating the 15m Demand and forming a Bullish CHoCH to initiate the Bearish INT Structure Pullback.
🔹With the Bullish iBOS yesterday, we confirmed that the Swing Pullback phase may have ended and we are in a new Bullish continuation phase.
3️⃣
🔹With the recent iBOS, price is currently in Pullback Phase to HP POIs to then continue Bullish.
🔹As yesterday expectation of continuing Bullish, still on the expectations of price continuing Bullish targeting the 15m Weak Swing High / 4H Weak Swing High.
USOIL Reversal in Motion? Key Levels You Can’t Ignore!Market Structure Breakdown:
🔸 Daily Timeframe:
• We initially identified a double-bottom formation, signaling a bullish push to grab liquidity above previous highs.
• However, buyers failed to sustain momentum, leading to a structural shift.
🔸 H4 Timeframe:
• Strong impulse move downward, breaking key structure.
• Formed a lower high, indicating seller control.
🔸 H1 Timeframe:
• Entry confirmation: Lower high + structure break + retest.
• Current Position: Short trade floating +142 pips in profit.
• Stops secured in profit = No risk on the trade.
🎯 Next Targets & Key Levels:
✅ Target 1: Sweep 7040 low.
✅ Target 2: Potential drop to 7026 if momentum continues.
⏳ Crucial Confirmation Needed:
• If today’s bearish candle closes above average, it will confirm a true lower high and increase chances of breaking consolidation to move lower.
🛠 Trade Management:
• Profits taken at: +30 pips, +60 pips, +100 pips.
• Current floating: +142 pips.
• Overall target: +212 pips (1:5 / 1:6 RR).
• If we break consolidation, we’ll trail TP and maximize gains.
This trade is a textbook example of a failed bullish push leading to a structural breakdown. With stops locked in profit, we’re letting the trade play out risk-free, while looking for further downside expansion.
If you’re tracking USOIL, keep an eye on these key levels and watch how price reacts! 🚀📊
AUD/USD: Smart Money Loading Up or Another Trap?AUD/USD – Bullish Momentum or Liquidity Grab?
Technical Breakdown:
The Australian Dollar vs. US Dollar (AUD/USD) is showing an interesting setup, with price action hinting at potential continuation to the upside. Let’s dive into the analysis across multiple timeframes to see if buyers are in control or if we’re facing another liquidity trap.
Weekly Timeframe:
• AUD/USD experienced a strong bearish move after reaching 0.6938 in September 2024, followed by a relentless downtrend to 0.6085 by mid-November.
• Since then, we’ve seen a three-week bullish push off the lows, suggesting a potential shift in sentiment.
• A higher low has been established, but the key question remains: Will buyers maintain control?
Daily Timeframe:
• A structural break above 0.6311 signals bullish intent.
• The market previously swept early buyers, forming a double bottom, before pushing back above resistance.
• Current price action is retesting this level, potentially building liquidity for the next leg up.
H4 Timeframe (Trade Execution Level):
• Price printed a higher low at 0.6371, and bullish momentum is attempting to reclaim the recent highs.
• A strong bearish retracement provided a potential early buy entry, setting up a high reward-to-risk trade.
• If price holds above the 0.6359 entry zone, we could see further upside targets.
Entry & Risk Management:
• Entry: 0.6359
• Stop Loss: 0.6371 (tight 5-pip stop)
• First Target: 0.6408 (1:6 RR)
• Final Target: 0.6446 (1:9-1:10 RR)
Market Psychology & Liquidity Play:
• Many traders chased the highs and placed stop losses below local support—these were swept out.
• A large bullish volume candle remains significant, hinting at strength in buyers.
• If the market sustains momentum, we could see a move toward higher resistance at 0.6446.
Conclusion:
AUD/USD is setting up for a potential bullish breakout, but traders must watch for confirmations on lower timeframes. If price structure holds, this could be a highly profitable swing trade.
Like this breakdown? Follow, boost the post, and drop your thoughts in the comments! Let’s see where AUD/USD heads next.
XAU/USD 21 February 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price printed as per yesterday's analysis and bias.
Price has printed a bearish CHocH indicating, but not confirming bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high, priced at 2,954.955
Alternative scenario:
Given HTF (Daily and Weekly) have also printed bullish iBOS' it would not come as a surprise if price printed a bearish iBOS.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price printed as per yesterday's analysis and bias.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
You will note my comments in yesterday's analysis whereby I mentioned that as we await for H4 TF to confirm bearish pullback phase initiation, it would be a realistic expectation for price to print a bearish iBOS.
This scenario seems underway, price has targeted strong internal low, however, price has, thus far, not been able to close below.
Intraday Expectation:
Technically price should target weak internal high priced at 2,954.955, however, my alternative scenario remains live.
Alternative scenario:
As we await for H4 TF to confirm bearish pullback phase initiation, it would be a realistic expectation for price to print a bearish iBOS.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
Nasdaq (March 2025) - Brass Tax #S1E10In episode 10, I share how challenging price has been over the past couple of days but also, what you can do in order alleviate the need to feel like you must enter the market.
I go over price projections covered in Episode 9, how it played out in Thursday and what could be done better.
With one more day left this week and 13 high impact news events, I am anticipating high levels of volatility
NIFTY looks very weak below 22800 !!As we can see NIFTY has not closed itself above 23000 levels due to which fear of weakness is still lurking as it has formed more like an inverted flag pole pattern and any break of 22800 level can lead to 22500 levels in NIFTY which is its next demand zone so plan your trades accordingly and keep watching these important levels.
GBPCAD ENTRY CHARTON this pair, the trend is still BULLISH, we also have the mid-term trend still BULLISH,+ we have price resting on the 30minutes demand with some other confluences, like INDUCEMENT after the first BOS, also we had a LTF CHOCH on that DEMAND ZONE, So you can join us if thhis matches with your idea,But also we have CANADIAN CPI NEWS DROPPING SOON. THANK YOU.
USDCHF Short Market structure bearish on HTFs DH
Entry at Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Daily Rejection at AOi
Daily EMA retest
Previous Structure point Daily
Around Psychological Level 0.90500
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
Levels 4.96
Entry 90%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
USDCAD SHORTMarket structure bearish on HTFs 3
Entry at Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Daily Rejection at AOi
Rejection at Daily AOi
Previous Structure point Daily
Round Psych Level
H4 EMA retest
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
Levels 7.89
Entry 100%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
Happening Now: AUDJPY Swing Move Setup Buy- on Weak JPYBased on a strong AUD and weak JPY - see the currency index charts.
We've had a rejection off an area and Weekly candle last week closed engulfing - confirming bullishness.
Major news this week may create the conditions for volatility.
Will wait for a reversal pattern in price action before confirming the Buy.