GBPUSD SHORTMarket structure bearish HTFs 3
Entry at both Weekly and Daily at AOi
Weekly Rejection At AOi
Daily Rejection at AOi
Previous Structure point Daily
Around Psychological Level 1.24000
H4 Candlestick rejection
Levels 6.18
Entry 95%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
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Multiple Time Frame Analysis
Can Micron Undo the DeepSeek Selloff?Micron Technology plunged two weeks ago when China’s DeepSeek model disrupted Silicon Valley. But some traders may see potential for a rebound.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the gap from Monday, January 27. Does that empty space create potential for prices to fill?
Second is the September 12 low at $84.12. MU remained above the level despite the DeepSeek fears. That higher low on the weekly timeframe may be consistent with resumption of a longer-term uptrend.
Third, cautious guidance drove prices lower in December but the memory-chip maker held its September low. That could reflect optimism about business improving.
Next, the stock is below its 200-day simple moving average (SMA). Given secular growth in its business thanks to AI, some investors may see a long-term value opportunity.
Finally, MU has traded an average 215,500 options contracts per day in the last month. (It’s the 13th most active underlier in the S&P 500 in that time, according to TradeStation.) That could help traders looking to position for a rebound with vertical spreads.
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XRP SeekingPips is strictly Technical - XRPUSDT BUYING LONG ONLY⚠️ SeekingPips has ZERO interest in FINANCIAL NEWS.
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The Daily Edge – Feb 11, 2025XAUUSD Approaching Key Levels – 2900 in Focus
Market Overview
Price broke above 2882 after printing a new ST-HL at 2834
closing above 2900, with 3000 as the next key level
Key Zones
2870-2880: POI for re-entry if price retraces
2895: Intraday low – possible liquidity sweep
2890: Friday’s high – watch for reaction
Next Steps
Scale out risk, but prepare to re-enter at POIs
Wait for retracements into key levels for confirmation
Monitor 1H timeframe for setups near 2895-2890 & 2870-2880
Market Insight
We are in the retracement phase—continuation or reversal next?
How do you use retracements to refine execution?
#XAUUSD #Gold #TradingView #MarketAnalysis
XAU/USD 11 February 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
As mentioned in yesterday's analysis dated 10 February 2025 that it is highly likely price will print a bullish iBOS is how price printed.
Price is currently trading within an internal low and fractal high.
ChoCH positioning to indicate, but not confirm bearish pullback phase initiation is denoted with a blue dotted line.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bearish and react at either discount of internal 50%, or H4 demand zone, before targeting weak internal high, priced at 2,942.780.
Alternative scenario:
Given HTF (Daily and Weekly) have also printed bullish iBOS' it would not come as a surprise if price printed a bearish iBOS.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price printed as per yesterday's analysis whereby it was mentioned price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ or nested H4/M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,942.780.
Alternative Scenario:
As all HTF's are in bearish pullback phase it would be viable if price targeted strong internal low, printing a bearish iBOS.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart :
long trade Mon 10th Feb 25
7.30 pm (NY time)
Pair SOLUSDT
Entry 2min TF
Observed 30i=min TF
RSI cross (directional bias)
Entry 201.822
Profit level 205.861 (2.00%)
Stop level 201.161 (0.33%)
RR 6.11
Reason: Mapping SOLUSDT on the 30min TF suggested a buyside trade based on the narrative of supply and demand.
EURUSD 11 Feb 2025 W7 - Intraday Analysis - Powell & Tariffs!This is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 11 Feb 2025 W7 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following:
Market Sentiment
4H Chart Analysis
15m Chart Analysis
Market Sentiment
My Weekly Analysis HERE still the same as Tariffs is the main theme but market reaction is the key.
Is the market got used to the Tariffs news so reactions will be soft and fade or we are going to see more fear in the market with Tariff War narrative?
Today Powell will be the market mover as investors are waiting for a clue for direction.
4H Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bullish
🔹INT Bearish
🔹Reached Swing Extreme Demand
🔹Swing Continuation
2️⃣
🔹With the deep pullback to the Bullish Swing extreme discount and mitigating the 4H/Daily demand zones, price turned Bullish forming a Bullish CHoCH.
🔹The current Bullish move from Swing extreme discount to current price level having 2 scenarios:
Scenario 1: Pullback for Bearish INT Structure and with the recent Bearish CHoCK and Minor Demand zones are failing, I expect Bearish continuation to target the Weak INT Low which aligns with the Daily/Weekly Bearish Structure/Move. (Counter Swing – Pro Internal)
Scenario 2: Bullish Swing continuation to target the Weak Swing High. Which requires to have Demand holding and Supply failing. The first sign required to confirm this scenario will be the current Demand which price is currently at to hold and we form a Bullish CHoCH. (Pro Swing – Counter Internal)
3️⃣
🔹Expectations is set to Bearish to target the Weak INT Low as long LTFs are staying Bearish.
15m Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bearish
🔹INT Bearish
🔹Swing Continuation
2️⃣
🔹Price reached the Strong Swing High (4H CHoCH) sweeping the liquidity and turning INT structure to bearish with iBOS.
🔹INT Structure continuing Bearish following the 4H Bearish INT structure Continuation.
🔹Since yesterday market open, price is ranging within the Bearish INT structure.
🔹Current INT High is the 4H CHoCH which could be taken out as liquidity for continuation down.
🔹After reaching the Bearish INT structure extreme price is moving down in a corrective PA and currently in the extreme discount of the INT Structure.
🔹For me, I’d prefer to short from the 4H Supply after sweeping the 15m INT High (4H CHoCH). No Long setups/confirmations are clear for me.
3️⃣
🔹Expectation is for price to continue Bearish targeting the 15m Weak Swing Low.
BTC BUY STOP OrderBTC/USDT Analysis 🟢 | 30m Timeframe
🔹 The price is approaching the key range high zone. If a valid breakout and confirmation above this level occur, the probability of reaching 100,493 USDT will increase.
🔹 If the breakout fails and a candle closes below 50% of the range, a correction toward the range low may follow.
🔹 Possible scenarios are illustrated on the chart.
📊 What’s your opinion on this analysis? 👇 #Bitcoin #Crypto #Trading
GpPa Model / EUR/USD Dynamic Limit Order Long EntryGpPa Analysis / Entry Justification under the GpPa Model
*The Analysis is the same as the conservative and dynamic entry*
The main entry is conservative, so, the analysis remains beside this part:
A long entry can be considered at the strong minimum, but I'll not go too far with the SL or TP. It can be used as a hedge if you're holding a position that performs well as the US Dollar does (like Magnificent 7 or other shorts in x/USD currency). Beside that, I'll consider this position the riskier of all.
1. Liquidity
a. Liquidity Related to Structure
The price’s liquidity is distributed within a relatively narrow range, marked by several highs and lows and a false manipulative bias (indicated as internal liquidity in a lighter color). This liquidity distribution suggests a long-term and mid-term bearish trend (notably from the M3 and M1 timeframes backward) that has weakened in the short term, evolving into a chaotic structure.
b. Liquidity Related to Directionality
The diagonal liquidity—responsible for driving the price to manipulate highs and lows—is more pronounced at the highs. However, the directional bias appears to favor mitigating the lows.
c. Decision Regarding Liquidity
Recent price action indicates the development of a retracement. This retracement could either continue the bearish trend or lead to a range-bound structure due to an exhausted bearish trend.
2. Trajectory / Direction (Structure)
a. Coefficient of Trajectory, Direction, and Validation
(-41.20%; -58.80%) 19.10%
These coefficients confirm the signals derived from the liquidity analysis. While the price shows a clear long-term and mid-term bearish trend, the opposing validation factor may indicate an exhaustion of the retracement—or even of the trend itself—thus reinforcing the possibility of a range-bound market.
3. Entries
a. Conservative Entry
The VWAP is placed alongside an additional FRVP at the major fractal preceding the M1 structure to define a conservative entry. Once positioned, this setup confirms the bearish character and the established range, allowing the identification of a high-probability entry at the manipulated high. This entry is validated by:
- Long-term volume
- A high-probability VWAP zone for shorts within the range
- A long-term order block (M1)
i. Coefficients of the Conservative Entry
- Fractal Quality Coefficient: 50.00%
- Entry Quality Coefficient: -19.82%
- Entry Probability: -50.00%
- Stop Loss Probability: -100.00%
- Take Profit Probability: -50.00%
The entry is highly likely to be mitigated over the long term, with the conservative analysis expiring on March 25, 2025. Although the quality is decent, it is not optimal since the evaluation was based solely on the VWAP.
The Stop Loss is set at 2 ATR from the last manipulated high (calculated from the median of the data) and is strongly protected by volume, two highs, two order blocks, and the VWAP level. This setup reflects an extremely optimistic scenario for the euro, which does not fully align with recent fundamental news—suggesting that a significant move would be necessary to breach this level.
The Take Profit should be seen not as a final objective but rather as a target for partial profit-taking and for moving the stop to breakeven once the objective is reached.
4. Other Comments
- The price is currently in a zone that attracts little interest from swing traders. As of February 10, 2025, the price is in a well-developed retracement, which discourages taking shorts lightly.
- A long trade might be considered at the manipulated minimum below the structure; however, given the euro’s recent fundamentals and the prevailing long-term and mid-term bearish trend, such a trade should only be executed with carefully adjusted Stop Loss and Take Profit levels.
Do you like my analysis?
Follow me on social media: thewayofrichie
Let's trade,
Richie
GpPa Model / EUR/USD Balanced Limit Order Short EntryGpPa Analysis / Entry Justification under the GpPa Model
*The Analysis is the same as the conservative and dynamic entry*
The main entry is conservative, so, the analysis remains beside this part:
If we're not sure if the conservative entry can be mitigated, we can use the balance one. It uses the same VWAP level at the following fractal, just one maximum below.
1. Liquidity
a. Liquidity Related to Structure
The price’s liquidity is distributed within a relatively narrow range, marked by several highs and lows and a false manipulative bias (indicated as internal liquidity in a lighter color). This liquidity distribution suggests a long-term and mid-term bearish trend (notably from the M3 and M1 timeframes backward) that has weakened in the short term, evolving into a chaotic structure.
b. Liquidity Related to Directionality
The diagonal liquidity—responsible for driving the price to manipulate highs and lows—is more pronounced at the highs. However, the directional bias appears to favor mitigating the lows.
c. Decision Regarding Liquidity
Recent price action indicates the development of a retracement. This retracement could either continue the bearish trend or lead to a range-bound structure due to an exhausted bearish trend.
2. Trajectory / Direction (Structure)
a. Coefficient of Trajectory, Direction, and Validation
(-41.20%; -58.80%) 19.10%
These coefficients confirm the signals derived from the liquidity analysis. While the price shows a clear long-term and mid-term bearish trend, the opposing validation factor may indicate an exhaustion of the retracement—or even of the trend itself—thus reinforcing the possibility of a range-bound market.
3. Entries
a. Conservative Entry
The VWAP is placed alongside an additional FRVP at the major fractal preceding the M1 structure to define a conservative entry. Once positioned, this setup confirms the bearish character and the established range, allowing the identification of a high-probability entry at the manipulated high. This entry is validated by:
- Long-term volume
- A high-probability VWAP zone for shorts within the range
- A long-term order block (M1)
i. Coefficients of the Conservative Entry
- Fractal Quality Coefficient: 50.00%
- Entry Quality Coefficient: -19.82%
- Entry Probability: -50.00%
- Stop Loss Probability: -100.00%
- Take Profit Probability: -50.00%
The entry is highly likely to be mitigated over the long term, with the conservative analysis expiring on March 25, 2025. Although the quality is decent, it is not optimal since the evaluation was based solely on the VWAP.
The Stop Loss is set at 2 ATR from the last manipulated high (calculated from the median of the data) and is strongly protected by volume, two highs, two order blocks, and the VWAP level. This setup reflects an extremely optimistic scenario for the euro, which does not fully align with recent fundamental news—suggesting that a significant move would be necessary to breach this level.
The Take Profit should be seen not as a final objective but rather as a target for partial profit-taking and for moving the stop to breakeven once the objective is reached.
4. Other Comments
- The price is currently in a zone that attracts little interest from swing traders. As of February 10, 2025, the price is in a well-developed retracement, which discourages taking shorts lightly.
- A long trade might be considered at the manipulated minimum below the structure; however, given the euro’s recent fundamentals and the prevailing long-term and mid-term bearish trend, such a trade should only be executed with carefully adjusted Stop Loss and Take Profit levels.
Do you like my analysis?
Follow me on social media: thewayofrichie
Let's trade,
Richie
WTI crude bulls eye $74Crude oil prices fell over 11% from the January high before support was found at the 200-day SMA and 50% retracement level on Friday. Trump's latest tariffs saw commodities rise on inflationary concerns, and that allowed WTI futures to post a daily gain of 1.6% - its best day since the January high.
The 1-hour chart shows an impulsive move with no immediate threat of a top forming, and it seems plausible that the market is now reaching for $74 as part of a counter trend move, near the monthly pivot point and weekly R2.
However, as Monday's trading volume was the lowest of the year, it shows a lack of bullish enthusiasm. So unless we see volumes rising alongside prices, I am to assume the current bounce is simply a correction against the drop from the January high.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
GpPa Model / EUR/USD Conservative Limit Order Short EntryGpPa Analysis / Entry Justification under the GpPa Model
1. Liquidity
a. Liquidity Related to Structure
The price’s liquidity is distributed within a relatively narrow range, marked by several highs and lows and a false manipulative bias (indicated as internal liquidity in a lighter color). This liquidity distribution suggests a long-term and mid-term bearish trend (notably from the M3 and M1 timeframes backward) that has weakened in the short term, evolving into a chaotic structure.
b. Liquidity Related to Directionality
The diagonal liquidity—responsible for driving the price to manipulate highs and lows—is more pronounced at the highs. However, the directional bias appears to favor mitigating the lows.
c. Decision Regarding Liquidity
Recent price action indicates the development of a retracement. This retracement could either continue the bearish trend or lead to a range-bound structure due to an exhausted bearish trend.
2. Trajectory / Direction (Structure)
a. Coefficient of Trajectory, Direction, and Validation
(-41.20%; -58.80%) 19.10%
These coefficients confirm the signals derived from the liquidity analysis. While the price shows a clear long-term and mid-term bearish trend, the opposing validation factor may indicate an exhaustion of the retracement—or even of the trend itself—thus reinforcing the possibility of a range-bound market.
3. Entries
a. Conservative Entry
The VWAP is placed alongside an additional FRVP at the major fractal preceding the M1 structure to define a conservative entry. Once positioned, this setup confirms the bearish character and the established range, allowing the identification of a high-probability entry at the manipulated high. This entry is validated by:
- Long-term volume
- A high-probability VWAP zone for shorts within the range
- A long-term order block (M1)
i. Coefficients of the Conservative Entry
- Fractal Quality Coefficient: 50.00%
- Entry Quality Coefficient: -19.82%
- Entry Probability: -50.00%
- Stop Loss Probability: -100.00%
- Take Profit Probability: -50.00%
The entry is highly likely to be mitigated over the long term, with the conservative analysis expiring on March 25, 2025. Although the quality is decent, it is not optimal since the evaluation was based solely on the VWAP.
The Stop Loss is set at 2 ATR from the last manipulated high (calculated from the median of the data) and is strongly protected by volume, two highs, two order blocks, and the VWAP level. This setup reflects an extremely optimistic scenario for the euro, which does not fully align with recent fundamental news—suggesting that a significant move would be necessary to breach this level.
The Take Profit should be seen not as a final objective but rather as a target for partial profit-taking and for moving the stop to breakeven once the objective is reached.
4. Other Comments
- The price is currently in a zone that attracts little interest from swing traders. As of February 10, 2025, the price is in a well-developed retracement, which discourages taking shorts lightly.
- A long trade might be considered at the manipulated minimum below the structure; however, given the euro’s recent fundamentals and the prevailing long-term and mid-term bearish trend, such a trade should only be executed with carefully adjusted Stop Loss and Take Profit levels.
Do you like my analysis?
Follow me on social media: @thewayofrichie
Let's trade,
Richie
EUR/UISD - Strong Trade Setup (XCI Model)Hi all, If you have been following you would have seen I have been winning a lot of trades recently.... well, I have a new entry model Ive been playing with that works on any time frame in any market. Im naming it XCI.
I wont be posting with how it works in here but I will be sharing my trade setups I use it in.
This is one of them
Liquidity Sweep taken on a Long Term Bearish Market. Market jump left Imbalance to fill giving us a strong level to sell from. We have our OTE Zone Marked out with the discount zone we want to see price move into before selling off
Good Luck to the traders that follow
NIFTY seems to be retesting its BREAKOUT structure !As we can see despite the favourable result of winning the centre by ruling party, NIFTY failed to show its strength and fell unidirectionally as analysed in our previous post that if manages to remain below the trendline, we should be cautious. Now NIFTY can be seen re-testing the breakout structure and hence possible bullishness can be witnessed which could be short term unless it break sways the structure for change of characteristic and structure of overall market so plan your trades accordingly and keep watching.
Silver's Next Big Move? Dont Miss This High Probability Short!In this analysis, I break down my short trade setup on Silver (XAG/USD) using a multi-timeframe approach to identify key levels, structure shifts, and liquidity targets.
• Monthly Outlook: Strong bullish close in January, but price is trading within a range between 32.67 - 28.77.
• Weekly Structure: Consecutive bullish candles since December with no real retracement, signaling potential liquidity grab to the downside.
• H4 Breakdown: Clear market structure shift with a lower high at 32.65, rejecting key resistance and breaking prior lows.
• Entry & Target: Shorting from 32.07, with stops above 32.67, targeting a 1:2 risk-reward down to 30.68 initially, with a possible extension toward 29.69.
Looking for liquidity sweeps and a healthy pullback before further continuation. Already in profit—let’s see how it plays out!
If you find this useful, make sure to like, share, and drop your thoughts in the comments!
GBPUSD INTRADAY IDEAWe are anticipating for a SELL CONTINUATION on GBPUSD, cause we have a Short Shift in Market trend on the DXY to the upside, despite it's overall BEARISH trend, also on the GBPUSD, we had a break of structure , and also an inducement, with our entry confirmation on the LTF, if this matches with your idea, you can join or add to your watch-list. Thank YOU, Update will be given in the UPDATE SECTION.
XRPUSD Still Bullish? SeekingPips XRP Ripple Long Term BUY ONLYIs XRP still a BUY?
🟢SeekingPips🟢 says keep it SIMPLE.
✅️If one was accumulating XRP Ripple for the LONG TERM and liked it at $3 why do you not like it NOW?✅️
ℹ️ Like I said before EVERYONE WAITS for the PULLBACK but when it turns up TRADERS/INVESTORS get SCARED to enter at these LOWER PRICES and some EVEN go SHORT and TRADE AGAINST their OWN BIAS.
💡It is a strange phenomenon but its VERY TRUE.
Do what the 1% do and you will be OK.