XAUUSD - 13th March 2025 - Scaling in Shorts The daily POI has been reached, and price is now trading above the Week 10 high. This is a key area of interest for us, and on M15, a possible Market Maker Sell Model (MMSM) is forming, aligning with our short thesis.
We are scaling into shorts, focusing on executing our edge with discipline. The market can do anything, but our job is to stay patient, take high-probability trades, and let price do the heavy lifting.
Check out the video for more.
Let’s see how price develops from here.
Multiple Time Frame Analysis
Post CPI Update: NAS still very well behaved in this range🎯 As previously mentioned, we were expecting the bearish imbalance to be the magnetic area. Price in this chart is behaving just as it should. As well with bearish imbalance or FVG, we expect price to find it as a trend continuation point.
If we do not get a bullish close over the previous day, we will expect a swift attack of the lows in the coming PA.
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US30 BUYOANDA:US30USD
We caught a massive sell on US30. At this moment, price is retesting a Key-Level on the Daily time frame. The break beneath the 41,736.5 area seems to be a huge liquidity grab while also retesting this structural level. If price fails to break this zone, there is a big chance that we will see a retest of the highs over the month. We enter this trade at the lows, and we're already in profit. Let's see how it holds up.
NZDCHF SHORTMarket structure bearish at AOi 3
Entry at Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Daily Rejection at AOi
Previous Structure point Daily
Around Psychological Level 0.50500
H4 EMA retest
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
Levels 5.07
Entry 100%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
SPX - Is it possible to bounce back from a support zone? It is true that the order flow on the daily and smaller time frames is bearish, but on the weekly time frame we are in an upward order flow.
Recently the price has reached a support area on the weekly time frame, which could lead to a price reversal to the upside in the short term.
Everything is indicated on the chart
What do you think?
GBPUSD - A bullish look, of course, along with correctionGiven the bullish order flow on both the upper and lower time frames (except weekly), I expect a correction and then a move to the upside. It is possible that the correction will be deeper and this will depend on the economic data (CPI) released today.
Be cautious today.
Your view on the GBP is bullish unless the price breaks below 1.28615 even with a shadow. Then consider a deeper correction.
Be profitable
XAU/USD 12 March 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis/Bias remains the same as analysis dated 07 March 2024.
Price has printed a bullish CHoCH according to analysis and bias dated 28 February 2025.
Price is currently trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price is now trading in premium of 50% internal EQ where we could see a reaction at any point. Price could also target H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal low, priced at 2,832.720
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 03 March 2023.
As mentioned in my analysis dated 28 February 2025, whereby price printed a bullish CHoCH but stated I would continue to monitor price.
On this occasion I have marked the previous bullish CHoCH in red as price did not pull back deeply enough to warrant internal structure breaks, additionally, there was minimal time spent .
Price has printed a further bullish CHoCH which is now confirmed. Price is not trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bullish, react at either premium of internal 50% EQ, or M15 supply zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 2,832.720.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
NAS Futures - LongsLooking for longs from this fib range off the 78.6 zone.
Targeting the immediate high from this 15m range to at least take partials because price can go higher.
Higher timeframe on daily I see that we could continue higher which is why I am playing the 15m trend building after visiting our Daily IPA.
Limit is set and we shall see how it turnes out. Let me know what yall think and follow to keep track of my journey.
CME_MINI:MNQ1!
XAG/USD Long Continuation Idea
As We see here on daily we had a daily BOS. Then Internally shifted back again bullish aligning with daily Structure.
On H4 we had a strong reaction from this demand which we broke again bullish internal after touch.
This is a simple continuation trade on XAGUSD following Daily, H4 and H1
WTI Crude Oil Analysis: Is the Downtrend Still in Play?Welcome back, guys! 👋 I'm Skeptic , and today we’re diving into a quick analysis of WTI Crude Oil (WTI) . Let’s break it down.
📉 4-Hour Time Frame Analysis
In the 4-hour time frame, WTI has shown a very strong corrective move, and despite trying to hold the support zone PRZ, it even failed to maintain it, suggesting a potential downtrend. Now, we have an opportunity to focus more on our short setups, but we’ll need to manage the risk as well.
🔮 Short Setup
For short positions, a break below the 4-hour support at 65.183 would be a good trigger to enter a short position. Place the stop loss just above the broken PRZ, around 67.024 , and keep an eye on price action as a sharp movement down could follow. If the support breaks, we’re likely to see a continuation towards the next support level, so the move could be pretty sharp, but make sure your stop loss is tight to manage risk effectively.
💡 Long Setup
For the long setup, we’ll wait for a potential fake breakout below the support and then look for a return above 67.024 . If we break above the resistance at 67.639 , we’ll look for a possible long continuation. However, since the current trend is bearish, we’ll reduce our risk and wait for confirmation from the 4-hour or daily time frames before entering.
Let me know your thoughts and ideas on WTI! 💬 Drop any questions in the comments, and I’ll be happy to discuss them. Let’s grow together, not alone! 🔥
EURCHF: Correctional Movement Started 🇪🇺🇨🇭
EURCHF started a correctional movement after a test of a key daily resistance.
Inverted cup & handle pattern on an hourly time frame on that
provides a strong intraday bearish confirmation.
We can expect a bearish continuation at least to 0.96 today.
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USD/JPY - 4H Supply Still UntappedThe 4H structure is bearish, with a clear break to the downside. However, there’s an unmitigated 4H supply zone that price has yet to tap into. My plan is to ride the bullish move on the 30M for a continuation up into the 4H order block before reassessing for potential shorts.
Waiting for price to confirm, but the setup is lining up clean. Let’s see how it plays out.
Bless Trading!
Appetite For Risk Through the Lens of Nasdaq and BitcoinBitcoin tends to track Wall Street sentiment well, particularly compared to the Nasdaq. Growing concerns that Trump's policies will tip the US (and therefore the global economy) into a recession, which currently has the Nasdaq on the ropes and bitcoin getting dragged along for the ride. And there could be further losses to follow, though a cheeky bounce at a minimum could be due first.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst and City Index and Forex.com
AUDCAD LONG Market structure bullish on HTFs DW
Entry at both Weekly and Daily AOi
Weekly rejection at AOi
Weekly EMA Retest
Weekly Previous Structure point
Daily Rejection at AOi
Daily EMA retest
H4 EMA retest
H4 Candlestick rejection
Levels 5.05
Entry 95%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
Short trade
30 min TF overview
Sellside tarde
Pair EURGBP
Tue 11th March 25 2.00 pm
LND to NY Session PM
Entry and Structure - 30 min TF
Entry 0.84450
Profit level 0.84219 (0.27%)
Stop level 0.84497 (0.06%)
RR 4.91
Target fib level 0.382
Reason: Observing price action on EURGBP and the narrative of supply and demand, I assumed the price reached a pivotal supply zone indicative of a sellside trade.
XAUUSD - Sit On Your Hands And Get Rich!Last week was the first week this year to close lower.
$3,000 is a huuuge psychological level for gold to reach so it is expected for price action to faulter and present rangebound conditions just below that price.
The weekly BISI @ 2817 - 2860 has been respected, with the consequent encroachment holding weight but there is still a chance on the lower timeframes for gold to drop back into this area
EURUSD - Bulls Laughing As We Book 490+ Pips!Massive draw to the upside with EURUSD booking highs @ 1.08890 for this week.
This draw to the upside was 100% aligned with my monthly bias which has now been met which means I must keep my powder dry.
This does not mean i can't make a few risky plays here and there...
Although aware of the bullish nature of price action, I am interested in a minor retracement back down into the 3-month bearish order block @ 1.07440. I am not anticipating a weekly closure, just a mere draw on liquidity.
GBPUSD - Bulls Full Steam Ahead!Exceptional delivery to the upside this week with GBPUSD disregarding the weekly SIBI outlined @ 1.28340 - 1.27149 as a form or resistance.
GBPUSD failed to tag the lower portion of the inverted BISI @ 1.29452 - 1.31100 indicating the possibility of a short term retracement for this week.
I am well aware that GBPUSD is presenting more bullish signatures than bearish at this current time but it's the manipulation in price action that i try to spot and take advantage of.
With that being said, I would ideally like the lows to be booked this week by Wednesday latest before seeing an expansion higher
BREAKOUT push to the upsideThere a high chance that EURJPY will break above the Zone and continue heading up for sometime. We can see according to the price analysis that the downtrend is finished and market formed a strong Invert H&S pattern which indicates strong buyers. Price is now in the Major Key Level with a high chance of breaking through due to the strong bullish momentum and if a clear breakout occurs then that means price will continue heading up
YM (March 2025) - Pay Close Attention To Dow JonesWhen comparing the three pairs; YM, NQ and ES, it is evident that the weekly lows has still not been made, indicating the weakness bears have to push price lower.
The mean threshold of the 6th Jan 2025 has been respected, indicating the potential for a short term retracement on the lower time frames back up into 43409 - 43024 weekly previous bullish order block.
The most important days to study is Sunday to Wednesday.