EURUSD Waiting for confirmation1. Time Frame:
- Daily: FVG Identification
- H4: FVG Identification
- H1: Entry Signal
2. Fair Value Gap (FVG):
On the H4 chart noted a Fair Value Gap (FVG) between 1.0325 - 1.0346
On the Daily chart also note FVG between 1.0310- 1.0345
3. Trend Confirmation:
Price has broken support at 1.0345, which now serves as a resistant level.
Price is rising back to the Daily & H4 FVG area.
4. Position:
Entry: TBA
Stop Loss : 1.0350
Take Profit: 1.0085 - 1.0100
RRR : 1:9
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Disclaimer
The analysis and content provided here are intended solely for personal journal and educational purposes. This information does not constitute financial advice, investment advice, or a recommendation to buy or sell any securities. Trading involves significant risk, and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Multiple Time Frame Analysis
NZD/USD: Key Monthly Zone – Watch for Reversal SignalsWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** NZDUSD Analysis !
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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Short trade
4Hr TF observation
Sellside trade
Sat 11th Jan
2.30 (GMT)
Pair BTCPERP
NY to Tokyo Session AM
Entry 94267.0
Profit level 93491.0
Stop level 94464.0
RR 3.94
Sellside delivery: The price action on the 5-minute TF seemed indicative of a sell-side trade based on the supply-demand narrative. I assume the price will retrace to the demand level (highlighted green) before CHoch to the upside.
Massive Reversal Incoming? USDCAD Showing Exhaustion Signals!(Apologies if the video is hard to understand—I bit my tongue during boxing sparring this morning!)
USDCAD has been on an incredible 17-week rally, but the price now appears extremely overextended and is showing signs of exhaustion.
Yesterday's NFP report brought a huge upside surprise, fueling a strong USD rally against all major currencies. While EURUSD, GBPUSD, NZDUSD, and AUDUSD all hit multi-year lows, USDCAD initially spiked higher but then sold off sharply, closing the day just above 1.44.
This marks the first clear sign of buying exhaustion—despite USD strength across the board, USDCAD failed to make new highs.
Additionally, this week’s candle formation caught my eye. It looks like a classic hanging man pattern, which typically appears at the top of a move, signaling an imminent reversal.
Zooming into the daily charts, we can see a clear distribution range forming, with sideways price action after a strong rally. The MACD is showing divergence, and recent price increases have been accompanied by negative volume—another strong indicator of a potential reversal.
As explained in the video, I see two likely scenarios for entering this trade:
False Breakout: A spike above the distribution range, potentially towards or just above 1.45, followed by a sharp sell-off. This would be my preferred entry.
Big Red Candle: A strong bearish candle early next week, signaling it’s time to enter short.
For this position, my first target is the previous monthly resistance at 1.405, and my second target—more likely—is 1.385, which is now a support level.
While I expect some bounce at these levels, I believe the longer-term move will see USDCAD fall back into its range, with a potential drop toward 1.32 very much on the cards.
Let me know your thoughts below!
Waiting for a correctionPrice action created a lower low, waiting for it to correct, i'll be watching for a sell setup in one of the two following levels:
1.2375
1.2494
if I get a sell setup based on my entry rules in one of these level, i'll enter a sell setup, with a 1% manual stop loss, and 2% automatic stop loss. this is how I manage risk in my entries.
Stock Of The Day / 01.10.25 / EIX01.10.2025 / NYSE:EIX
Fundamentals. The second day of active sales amid wildfires in California.
Technical analysis.
Daily chart: Level 64.56 is ahead, which is formed by a trend break in April 2024.
Premarket: Low activity.
Trading session: After an attempt to grow from the opening, the price bounced off the level 70.50 and went below the opening price, where it found support and began to tighten to level 68.00. We are considering a short trade to continue the downward movement. The stop will be too large If we enter aggressively into the breakdown, so we wait for a retest after the breakdown to open a position.
Trading scenario: #breakdown_retest (#tightening_retest) of level 68.00
Entry: 67.55 below the low of the retest.
Stop: 68.03 we hide it behind the level with a small reserve.
Managing the Trade: After a confident downward movement from the moment the position was opened we observe a pullback at 10:45 a.m. occurred in the form of two long candles. At the same time, we pay attention to the fact that the volumes for purchase are rapidly decreasing during the pullback. We watch the reaction to the level 66.50, if the sellers hold it, then we continue to hold the position, otherwise we close part of the position.
Exit: Close part of the position before the daily level of 64.56. Close the remaining part of the position at a price of 64.57 when the structure of the downtrend is broken.
Risk Rewards: 1/6
P.S. In order to understand the idea of the Stock Of The Day analysis, please read the following information .
GBPJPY - Weekly forecast, Technical Analysis & Trading IdeasMidterm forecast: (Daily Time-frame)
While the price is below the resistance 199.790, resumption of downtrend is expected.
Technical analysis:
The descending flag taking shape suggests we will soon see another leg lower.
A peak is formed in daily chart at 198.945 on 12/30/2024, so more losses to support(s) 191.884, 189.477, 186.231 and minimum to Major Support (182.782) is expected.
Take Profits:
196.006
193.510
191.884
189.477
186.231
182.782
178.409
Total Profit: 2742 pip
Closed trade(s): 384 pip Profit
Open trade(s): 2358 pip Profit
Trade Setup:
We opened 8 SELL trades @ 196.68 based on 'Peak' entry method at 2024-12-30, signaled by DTO
Closed Profit:
TP1 @ 196.006 touched at 2024-12-31 with 67 pip Profit.
TP2 @ 193.510 touched at 2025-01-09 with 317 pip Profit.
67 + 317 = 384 pip
Open Profit:
Profit for one SELL trade is 196.68(open price) - 192.746(current price) = 393 pip
6 trade(s) still open, therefore total profit for open trade(s) is 393 x 6 = 2358 pip
__________________________________________________________________
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ETH.D% PitchFan StackCRYPTOCAP:ETH.D
Ethereum Dominance % has had multiple sharp declines that have led to nice runs after.
I think the rise of other cryptos have had a change on Ethereum dominance the most.
Bitcoin dominance not much of a change from rise of other cryptos.
These changes can be because of multiple factors like market cap increases, different positioning, different market structure, etc.
Ethereum still looks good to have a nice run in strong dominance in crypto.
Physical commodity comparison:
Bitcoin with a Gold Comparison: There was a time when gold backed multiple currencies all around the world and Gold was the most important commodity to the Financial system. Bitcoin backs all of crypto as it is paired to all cryptos, one way or another. Making Bitcoin the most important of the Cyber Financial Crypto Ecosystem as well as one of the most important digital currencies worthy of an allocation as a Strategic Financial Reserve Asset as gold is.
Ethereum with a Silver Comparison: Ethereum can much better than Silver comparison due to the many different opportunities it has to grow and advance in other areas. Silver is seen as a second to Gold so the comparison is still there. Ethereum can continue to be a valuable second to Bitcoin and grow with the Cyber Financial Crypto Ecosystem.
CRYPTOCAP:ETH.D
QS one to put in the booksYes they are dirt cheap and have been but this company is in position to have explosive results. They are operating right now at a negative balance per year. However They have somewhere around $821 million to use for R&D and just signed a deal with one of The V named Car Companies I want to say Volkswagen.
-QuantumScape (NYSE:QS) soared by more than 20% in trading on Thursday after the company announced that it has entered into a collaboration with Volkswagen’s (OTC:VWAGY) battery unit PowerCo....
There you have it. The kick is I was in an option play on this when it was still Low $5 and it leaped to +$6.
Because of this (I know all those lines its going to give me a seizure. or it looks like spaghetti.) To anyone that doesnt like the indicator let me say this. It makes me money. And I am not the only one that understands it now. ChatGPT can read it too. So know there are at least two smart people in the world that appreciate this indicator.
Using the indicator I can find quickly Everything I need to know about a company just by waiting for specific conditions to align.
I think this stock hits double digits in the next 3 months if not sooner.
That Said I NEVER talk about stocks that are less then Bili. Bili Bili is the cheapest company I will talk about because its proven to hit $30 and come back to low Teens several times a year.
So for me to post an idea on this, really says a lot.
The indicator, timing of the news after the signals. The Pop to $6 to show its going into expansion phase. Its all aligning.
by iCantw84it
01.02.25
Dollar Set to rally Before Trump is in office? #USDCHF UPDATEIn this video, we provided a quick update on our USDCHF trade that we analyzed and entered yesterday. We took some profits, broke even on the original position, and added a new position for a short-term play.
We still anticipate higher prices for the USD Dollar overall, especially as we approach President Trump’s upcoming term in office.
If you found this video helpful and want to see more like it, be sure to boost, follow, and share with your fellow traders.
Have a specific pair you’d like us to analyze? Drop it in the comments, and we’ll do our best to cover it this weekend.
Happy trading, and enjoy your weekend!
Nano market cap RC365 Holding to explode 10,000% / 100x ???** high risk, tiny market cap **
On the above 4 day chart price action has corrected 99% since mid 2023. A number of reasons now exist for a bullish outlook, they include:
1) Price action and RSI resistance breakouts.
2) Support on past resistance since October last.
3) Strong positive divergence. Multiple oscillators print positive divergence with price action.
4) Should the monthly candle close as is (below), then a rapid move to the 20 Pounds area followed by a move to 126 should be observed.
5) The forecast to 140 is taken from the top and lower wedge touch points.
Is it possible price action falls further? Sure.
Is it probable? No.
Ww
Type: trade
Risk: Seriously small position size
Timeframe for long: This month
Return: 100x
Stoploss: N/A
Monthly chart
XAUUSD - The NFP indicator will determine the direction of gold!Gold is above the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4-hour timeframe and is in its ascending channel. In case of weakness in the data of the employment market and increase in the unemployment rate, you can look for opportunities to buy gold.
A lower-than-expected unemployment rate release and a strong NFP headline will lead to a breakout of the bullish and bearish channel in gold.
While most major economies are expected to pursue expansionary monetary policies this year, the pace of these measures will likely slow. According to Bloomberg’s forecast, the overall interest rate index in advanced economies is projected to decrease by only 72 basis points in 2025, which is lower than the rate of decline in 2024.
Donald Trump, with his electoral promises and economic policies, has become a source of concern for central banks worldwide.If Trump enforces his threats to impose trade tariffs, these policies could harm economic growth and, in the case of retaliatory measures, drive up consumer prices.
Analysts at Bank of America (BofA) highlighted the “complex” impacts of Trump’s proposed tariffs on metal prices in a recent note. The proposed 25% tariffs on imports from Mexico and Canada—two of the main suppliers of metals to the U.S.—are expected to have both direct and indirect effects on the market.
The bank identified two main concerns. First, the potential negative impact on global growth and the fundamentals of the metals market, particularly if the tariffs escalate into a full-blown trade war. However, BofA predicts that a more “measured approach to trade barriers is likely to prevail,” which would mitigate the overall damage. Second, regional metal prices will need to adjust to the potential tariffs.
Bank of America warned that tariffs could strengthen the dollar, increase inflation, and lead to higher interest rates—all of which could pose challenges for the U.S. economy. Nevertheless, they concluded that metal prices are likely to stabilize after the initial volatility subsides, especially if the tariffs are targeted and investments in energy transition continue.
Jerome Powell, the Federal Reserve Chair, downplayed expectations of continued monetary easing in 2025 during his December 18, 2024, press conference. Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester’s dissenting vote against a rate cut was surprising, but the major shock to markets came from the Fed members’ projections (dot plot).
The Fed members forecast only two rate cuts for 2025, signaling that the monetary easing cycle, which began in September 2024, will slow significantly in the coming year.
Powell also admitted that inflation forecasts for the end of the year had been overly optimistic, suggesting that inflation is not yet fully under control. The Fed is increasingly concerned about Trump’s policies, as tools like tariffs could raise import prices and, subsequently, inflation.
Forecasts for Friday’s NFP data:
• Average estimate: 165K
• Lowest estimate: 120K
• Highest estimate: 190K
The importance of the labor market for monetary policy has slightly diminished following Powell’s December 18 press conference. This indicates that the Fed has some confidence in easing price pressures stemming from the labor market. However, recent data suggests that the labor market has not fully cooled. The upcoming NFP report is expected to show a 160,000 increase in nonfarm payrolls, while the unemployment rate and hourly wage growth are likely to remain steady at 4.2% and 4%, respectively.
If these expectations are unmet, especially with job growth below 50,000, the likelihood of a Fed rate cut in Q1 2025 will increase. Currently, markets anticipate a 25-basis-point rate cut by June 2025, but this move could occur sooner if labor market data remains weak.
XAU/USD 10 December 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis/Intraday expectation remains the same as analysis dated 16 December 2024.
Price is clearly unable to target weak internal. This is due to the fact that Daily and Weekly Timeframe remain in bearish pullback phase.
Price Action Analysis:
Technically price is to target weak internal priced at 2,721.420. Price has sweeped liquidity,
for two possible reasons.
1. To assist price to complete bearish pullback phase, react at either discount of internal 50% or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high.
2. To assist Daily and H4 TF's to complete bearish pullback phase with price to print a bearish iBOS and target strong internal low priced at 2,536.855.
Intraday Expectation:
Intraday expectation and alternative scenario as per points 1 and 2.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price Action Analysis:
Yesterday's intraday expectation was met with price successfully targeting weak internal high priced at 2,667.150.
Price has yet to print a bearish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm bearish pullback phase initiation. Bearish CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line.
We are currently trading within an internal low and fractal high.
Price has traded in to discount of internal 50% EQ.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation by printing a bearish CHoCH. Technically price to then trade down to discount of internal 50% EQ, or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
Nvidia: Nvidia is still at the top!In the daily timeframe, Nudia stock is above EMA200 and EMA50 and is moving in its upward channel. In case of valid failure of the support range, we can see the downward trend of this share. On the other hand, within the demand zone, you can make purchases for investment purposes with a suitable risk reward.
The stocks of the seven tech giants, often referred to as the Magnificent 7, have grown approximately 30 times over the past decade—more than twice the growth seen in any previous market bubble. Notably, the term “Magnificent 7” was first coined by a Bank of America analyst in early 2023. Therefore, no one could have exclusively invested in these companies a decade ago, as this categorization didn’t exist at the time.
To compare this growth with other market indices, we can look at the Nasdaq 100 in the 1990s, which grew 12 times before the dot-com bubble burst.A significant part of this recent growth is attributed to the surging stock price of NVIDIA. The company has surpassed Apple to become the world’s largest by market value. Since 2019, NVIDIA’s stock has skyrocketed by 3,776%, creating unprecedented wealth among its employees:
• 78% of employees are now millionaires.
• Half of them possess assets worth over $25 million.
However, behind these massive payouts lies a relentless work culture. Employees have reported working seven-day weeks and shifts at 2 AM. The current challenge is motivating “semi-retired” employees whose wealth has diminished their engagement levels. Despite this, NVIDIA maintains an employee turnover rate of just 2.7%, compared to the industry average of 17.7%. The company also ranked second in Glassdoor’s “Best Places to Work” for 2024.
NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang has stated that the performance of the company’s AI chips is advancing faster than the historical rates defined by Moore’s Law. Speaking at CES in Las Vegas to an audience of 10,000, Huang told TechCrunch, “Our systems are advancing much faster than Moore’s Law.”
Moore’s Law, introduced in 1965 by Intel co-founder Gordon Moore, predicted that the number of transistors on a chip would roughly double every year, effectively doubling the chip’s performance. This prediction held true for decades, driving rapid advancements and cost reductions, but the trend has slowed in recent years. However, Huang claims that NVIDIA’s AI chips are advancing at an even faster rate. He further announced that the company’s new data center superchip is over 30 times faster than its predecessor for AI inference tasks.
Huang added, “We can design the architecture, chip, system, libraries, and algorithms simultaneously. If you do that, you can move faster than Moore’s Law.”
He also revealed that MediaTek, a Taiwan-based semiconductor company and one of the largest producers of chipsets for mobile devices and other electronics, is now leveraging NVIDIA’s technology for its products. Huang praised MediaTek’s expertise in designing system-on-chip (SoC) solutions, stating that this collaboration could drive significant technological advancements and innovation.
At CES, Huang introduced new products and highlighted the emerging concept of “physical AI” as the next frontier in artificial intelligence. This domain includes humanoid robots and autonomous vehicles, both requiring advanced processing chips like those NVIDIA provides. Analysts predict that by 2050, there will be approximately 648 million humanoid robots worldwide, all relying on complex models to navigate the world.
To sustain its growth, NVIDIA is focusing on expanding into new addressable markets (TAMs) while increasing its share in the AI chip market. Huang noted that physical AI is reaching a transformative moment similar to what ChatGPT achieved.
EURGBP - Will the pound continue to fall?The EURGBP currency pair is above the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4-hour timeframe and is moving in its upward channel. The continued rise of this currency pair towards the supply zone will provide a position to sell it with a suitable risk reward. In case of downward correction, we can buy within the demand zone.
Yesterday, Reeves, the UK Chancellor of the Exchequer, faced questions from Members of Parliament following a significant increase in the sale of UK government bonds. Sir Lindsay Hoyle, the Speaker of the House of Commons, accepted an urgent query raised by Conservative opposition members. This compelled Reeves to appear in Parliament on Thursday morning, as the yield on 10-year UK government bonds surged to 4.93%, the highest level since 2008.
The pound also dropped during this market turmoil, reaching $1.224, its weakest level since November 2023. The rising yields on UK government debt have posed a serious challenge to Reeves’ fiscal plans, constraining the government’s borrowing capacity under its budgetary rules. Borrowing costs have spiked as investors grow increasingly concerned about the government’s heavy borrowing needs and the mounting risk of stagflation.
Jones, a senior official at the UK Treasury, stated that only the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) could predict the impact of bond market movements on the fiscal outlook. He emphasized that the government remains committed to strict fiscal rules, ensuring public spending stays within budget limits. He also noted that public services must operate within their allocated resources, dismissing the need for any emergency intervention by the Treasury.
Meanwhile, Breeden, a member of the Bank of England, commented that recent data suggest it may be time to ease restrictive policies.She expressed the need to understand the causes behind the slowdown in economic activity and how employers are coping with higher hiring costs. While economic activity appears somewhat subdued, Breeden added that it is expected to rebound.
According to a Citi/YouGov survey, UK households’ one-year inflation expectations have risen to 3.7%, while their long-term inflation expectations have climbed to 3.9%. Concurrently, the UK Debt Management Office plans to syndicate and reissue the 4.375% 2040 bonds in the week starting January 20. This move aims to finance the government and manage public debt.
Separately, Cipollone of the European Central Bank remarked that monetary policy should enable the Eurozone economy to operate at full capacity while avoiding demand reductions that could trigger inflationary shocks. He highlighted structural issues in Europe’s industrial sector, including declining productivity relative to the US and excessive reliance on foreign technological solutions. Cipollone further noted that Europe has lost its edge in innovation and scalability due to fragmented markets and a defensive, nationalist approach.
Crypto market or Your dream world-Maybe it is Whale's Dream landHi in the Summary of what is going on on this Educational post we have these topics:
1. How much is percentage of BTC pump from low and is it saving spot here?
2. How did market react previous time when every one rush to buy crypto?
3. are these short-term falls and soon after that pump back above 100K$ any sign?
4. Future of Bitcoin(long-term)?
5. Where is better Buy zone for me to enter after i miss +600% 700% pump on most of the tokens?
1. How much is percentage of BTC pump from low and is it saving spot here?
The answer is crazy +500% to 580% pump:
from the low to ATH is something around 580% gain and from range zone of daily low to above 100K$ it would be around 500% rise.
and if you take a look at that chart you can see at July 2024 we had short-term fall of 32% which is what i am looking for now, 30% dump here as a correction is nothing but it may definitely liquid so many Traders and new investors with Low leverage even.
And we can not say how much it fall not sure to say 20% or 30% or 40% But it needs range or correction soon.
2. How did market react previous time when every one rush to buy crypto?
you can read the chart the info and most investors feeling is also mentioned on the chart.
3. are these short-term fall and soon after that pump back above 100K$ any sign?
I can not talk about this very sure because it may be sign for two possible scenarios:
1. the Bull candles and market is strong and every time it is getting back near ATH.
2. The Whales or ... are pumping it soon after they sell huge amount to New investors then after it pumps and so many other investor come To buy because it may break ATH and ... they sell huge more amount and this processes of selling usually takes a lot because we are talking about huge amount of sell and they need more investors to bring and sell them token and after that dump it and range it down there in -40% or more and get back their tokens.
So yes i think the price is getting back up is Because of More sells to new investors which are rushing to come to the market.(But these are all my experience and you always do your own research)
4. Future of Bitcoin(long-term)?
IF we are talking about long-term i should say my view is also Bullish.
Why not we all know the benefits of Bitcoin and crypto market and we all know it is not like our money which we are using daily and banks can easily print them and ... and day by day the value of them decreasing and the amount of them are increasing But Bitcoin or most crypto the tokens are Fixed number and day by day they are getting more valuable and acceptable in world and.........
5. Where is better Buy zone for me to enter after i miss +600% 700% pump on most of the tokens?
As i mentioned above this is my personal Analysis of where to buy and .. and it may be right and it may be false so always in market open different analysis and also do your own analysis and do research.(Because it is my analysis but that one in your hand is your money so take care)
So i think the major buy zone and major daily support if it touches and also it holds is :
70K$ to 80K$ for now i may update after i see candles.
Conclusion:
Crypto market or Your dream world---Maybe it is Whale's Dream land
The answer is this:
Yes the crypto market is your Dream world + also it is Whales Dream world too(😊)
And it is all about who hunt first? and who is hunted?
Please if you like the content like this post also lets talk about your experience in market and any questions in comments Below.
DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision))
and also remember this may happen or not and this was my own view so always keep searching and learning and good luck and i provide this post to give you some warning and learning about BTC or your own Tokens