ES (March 2025) - Open Interest @ $2.1MWhen aiming for low hanging fruits, it is imperative to understand the boundaries that price cannot go to within a certain time period if the bias is going to play out.
Ideally, I would want to see Monday to Wednesday's price action to book the highs of the week before declining through the weekly BISI FVG @ 5797.75 - 5752.
Sunday gap opening will determine the likelihood of this bias delivering
Multiple Time Frame Analysis
Dollar Index - We Are Seeing Heaviness To The DownsideIt is important to note that although we have recently seen huge decline in the dollar, there is still a possibility for a minor relief rally into the monthly BISI which is now a inverted FVG @ 104.636 - 104.420 which could seek out small movements to the downside for GBPUSD and EURUSD.
Fully aware that dollar can continue to present risk on conditions, taking out 103.373 lows and making its way into the longer term monthly bias of the 101.917 - 103.373 FVG.
ZB1! - Perfection With SIBI RejectionThis weeks delivery has efficiently delivered into a PD array mentioned previous weeks back.
Although bullish, the goal was not to predict the weeks close, just anticipate the draw on liquidity.
Aiming for low hanging fruits, I am looking at the 115.18 weekly EQ as a possible draw going into next week.
US10Y - You Can Make Money And Be WrongLast weeks bias was bearish and although we have closed out bullish this week, the bearish PD array @ 4.126% - 4.104% which I was expecting has materialised.
This goes to show that you don't have to predict the weekly close. It's the draw on liquidity that is important.
ada ANALYSISAs per our analysis, ADA is expected to experience a downward movement for a certain period before shifting towards an upward trend. This decline may be driven by liquidity hunts, market corrections, or the need to mitigate overbought conditions. However, once key support levels are reached and liquidity is generated, we anticipate a shift in market structure, leading to a bullish reversal. Traders should closely monitor critical price zones and confirmation signals to capitalize on potential buying opportunities as the trend shifts.
NZDUSD SHORTMarket structure bearish on HTFs 3
Entry at Daily AOi
Weekly rejection at AOi
Daily Rejection at AOi
Daily EMA retest
Previous Structure point Daily
Around Psychological Level 0.57000
H4 EMA retest
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
Levels 6.11
Entry 105%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
Selling the RISE as per our PLAN!! As we can see NIFTY has recovered considerably despite the weak opening and weak global cues which could be due the factored fall which has already taken place in NIFTY. Hence any weakness is not impacting NIFTY any further. Now we will stick to our plan and sell the rise as it can still be seen trading around resistance which previously acted as a SUPPORT hence as long as we are below the structure and doesn’t closes above 600 levels every rise can be sold so plan your trades accordingly and keep watching.
AUD/NZD Multi-Timeframe Breakdown: Trend Shift or Retracement?Welcome back, guys! 👋 I’m Skeptic , and today we’re diving into a multi-timeframe analysis of AUD/NZD. (As I mentioned this pair on our weekly watchlist on March 9th.) At the end, I’ll also share some solid long and short triggers that you definitely don’t want to miss—so let’s get into it!
📉 Daily Time Frame Analysis
In the daily time frame, we can clearly see a strong major uptrend that has been holding the price upward. However, recently, the upward trendline has broken, which could indicate the start of a retracement . This break hints at a potential shift or correction rather than a complete trend reversal, so we need to stay cautious.
🔍 4H Time Frame Analysis: Finding Triggers
Moving on to the 4-hour time frame, it’s clear that we’ve had a clean pullback to the previous upward trendline. As I pointed out in my weekly watchlist analysis, the main trigger for a short position was at 1.10115 , which has just been activated . If you took that trade with me, you’re in profit right now!
But don’t worry if you missed it—you still have a chance to catch the next move. Since the trendline is broken, we could see a sharp uptrend retracement movement if the price breaks our 4h support level.
Short Trigger: I’ll be waiting for a breakout below 1.10087 to look for another short opportunity.
Long Trigger: I’ll be watching for a higher high and higher low to confirm that the uptrend is still intact. Specifically, a breakout above 1.10544 would signal a potential long entry.
💡 Always remember:
trading in the direction of the main trend typically yields higher R/R and win rates. Don’t trade against the trend unless you have a very strong reason to do so.
I’d love to hear your thoughts on AUD/NZD —drop your opinions in the comments below! Also, if you have any questions about trading or strategy, just ask—I’ll make sure to reply. Let’s keep growing together, not alone! 💪
USDCAD - Correction and then move towards 1.44999Given the flow of bearish orders on the higher timeframes (weekly and daily, four-hour), I think the price could move towards 1.44999 after a minor correction and liquidity clearing.
This move is just a pullback on the higher timeframes, and with this move, the price is trying to reach the fifty percent level of the structure on the higher timeframe.
Intraday Update: Indices may be ready for the SMT reversal👀 Clearly we have a bullish reversal from the clearing of a previous daily imbalance range. Of course we expect NAS to get a head start on achieving it's buyside targets and that's just what we get on today.
🧼 Clean buyside ideas happening although we are technically still bearish on the daily until we get a higher close over a previous daily block. This is fine, it just means we will still see heavy bearish flow above lower time frame highs until then no sweat!
Share this with someone trying to learn 🫡
BTCUSD most likely has bottomed out for the time beingThe 1.618 Fibonacci extension at approximately $78,600 on the medium-term timeframe (weekly) appears to be providing strong support. On the long-term logarithmic chart, BTC has now entered the lower boundary of the Schiff Pitchfork, historically a key reversal zone. This suggests a solid entry point, with an initial rebound toward $90,000 or higher within the next 2–3 weeks.
That said, market movements remain uncertain—especially as the Fisher Transform indicator has yet to dip into the -3 to -4 range, which would further improve the odds of a sharp rebound in the near term. However, if this is indeed a third wave of an Elliott Wave Grand Supercycle (years to decades), I expect BTC to hold above its November 2021 high (~$68,000) without major retracement.
As long as this level holds, my outlook remains bullish, with a potential rally toward $250,000+ before a significant correction back to the $90,000–$120,000 range, consistent with past market cycles.
Stay patient and trade wisely—good luck!
For Bitcoiners:
TP: What’s that? We HODL.
SL: Buy the dip! 🚀
For Traders:
TP: $89,000 – $91,000
SL: $76,500 (though, be aware of a daily wick to the downside, which could break through this level before going back up within minutes)
Short trade
15min TF overview
Sell side trade
Pair EURBBP
Tue 11th March 25
05.15 am
LND Session AM
Entry and Structure - 30 min TF
Enrty 0.84365
Profit level 0.84151 (0.25%)
Stop level 0.84445 (0.09%)
RR 2.67
Reason: Price reached a pivotal supply zone 30min TF that seemed indicative of a sellside trade along with the narrative of supply and demand for direction bias.
Long trade
30 min TF overview
Buyside trade
Pair GBPJPY
Tue 11th March 25 4.30 am
Tokyo Session AM
Entry 190.204
Profit level 190.924 (0.38%)
Stop level 190.026 (0.09%)
RR 4.04
Reason: Observing price action since Monday, 10th March 2025 and using the Asia session for liquidity, I assumed a buyside trade idea. Target Asia high
AUD/CAD stalls around 91c, pullback pending?A 3-wave move has developed from the January low, that for now appears hesitant to hold above 91c or its 50% retracement level. Twice we have seen false breaks of the 91c level on the daily chart, and Monday presented a bearish pinbar which closed below the 200-day SMA.
Bearish divergences have also formed on the weekly and daily RSI (14) and daily RSI (2). Perhaps a pullback is brewing.
Bears could fade into moves towards the 200-day SMA, in anticipation for a move down to at least 90c, just above the 50-day SMA and weekly VPOC (volume point of control).
And if the BOC refrain from promising further cuts while delivering an expected 25bp cut tomorrow, it could further strengthen the Canadian dollar and weaken AUD/CAD further.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
SHORT ON EUR/CHFEUR/CHF is currently at a major resistance level and his recently mitigated a FVG sitting in the same zone.
Price has been rising in what seems like forever on this pair, we finally have gotten our change of character (choc) to the downside with sweeps of liquidity and fvg's now balanced out.
I expect price to fall to the next demand level where plenty of liquidity sits.
I am selling EUR/CHF now looking to make over 200 pips to the downside.
XAU/USD 11 March 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis/Bias remains the same as analysis dated 07 March 2024.
Price has printed a bullish CHoCH according to analysis and bias dated 28 February 2025.
Price is currently trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price is now trading in premium of 50% internal EQ where we could see a reaction at any point. Price could also target H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal low, priced at 2,832.720
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 03 March 2023.
As mentioned in my analysis dated 28 February 2025, whereby price printed a bullish CHoCH but stated I would continue to monitor price.
On this occasion I have marked the previous bullish CHoCH in red as price did not pull back deeply enough to warrant internal structure breaks, additionally, there was minimal time spent .
Price has printed a further bullish CHoCH which is now confirmed. Price is not trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bullish, react at either premium of internal 50% EQ, or M15 supply zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 2,832.720.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
REASONS WHY NZDUSD WILL PUSH DOWNGreeting everyone, it's been a while since I posted but let's get to it
These are my reason why NZDUSD will shoot down
1. As we can see our Uptrend Trendline was broken, this shows us a sign of bear/sellers coming into play to push the price down
2. Price failed to create a New Higher High showing that bulls/buyers are losing momentum to push the price higher, meaning sellers are gaining strength, furthermore we can see the formation of Double top
3. Our Major Low(NECKLINE) which was the final mark of Uptrend was broken meaning sellers
are more than buyers and the price will Push down
Best time to enter?
It would be to wait for a clear powerful breakout of sellers and a retest of the Major low, this will confirm that sellers are in total control indeed, then enter all the way to TP1/ Major Key Level
Best of luck traders
BTC Major Pullback - Before Huge Upside PotentialI anticipate a significant retracement in Bitcoin over the next 12 to 24 months. If the price falls below $50,000, it may decline further to around $25,000, followed by a period of consolidation.
Renewed interest from new investors and institutional funds could ignite the next bull run.
What are your thoughts?
Gold seems to have found support for the week✈️ As we see the bullish imbalances print on the hourly chart, we will attempt to use these as support for higher targeting 🎯 Clear targets right above the range and clear support levels make for great long opportunities.
My bias is still remaining bearish for the moment as you all know we only change bias when we get a close to the other side. We have yet to have the opportunity to close bullish on the daily (our bias time frame), so we play our targets close since these bullish targets are technically counter trend.
Share with a friend in need of great levels 🔑
Bitcoin Uptrend Continuation AnalysisQuick analysis of BTCUSD downside targets. Remains to be seen whether the near-term Bitcoin lows will hold, but if they don't, a "bear trap" setup could be in play. There's a daily demand zone (77075-74305) wedged between the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci retracements. The bear trap will be dependent on momentum, but watch this area if we get a flush below 78180. If bullish divergences form, bulls could look to trap bears and buy within said range.
That said, keep the focus on longer-term charts. Larger timeframe buy zones are ~70K. Should the weekly RSI take a dive < 40, look for reversal signals on smaller timeframes before getting long. The high of the corrective segment denoting ideal buys is 73808 and the anchor low securing the long-term uptrend is 49351. Entries within that range, which is wide, are viable. Also multiple support/resistance "flip zones" in play circa the abovementioned levels.
Bitcoin found some support ~50% Fib retrace, anchored VWAP, and sub-daily demand. It could hold here (trying to put in a intraday higher low as I type this), but I'm hoping it trades lower before higher.
Godspeed!
JHart