Is a massive correction for alt tokens about to print?This is a short term forecast affecting anything inside the TOTAL2 market cap. That is the entire crypto market excluding Bitcoin.
The crash is forecast to occur over the next 14-20 days.
In four days from now a “life cross” will print on the above daily chart, it is inevitable.
What is a life cross?
It is when the 50 day simple moving average (blue line) crosses up the 200 day simple moving average (red line)
AND
Price action is above the 200 day simple moving average.
The majority of market participants see this as a positive sign. A green light to enter long positions. However for you lucky what is it now wow 14,000 followers (thank you!), you’ll now know it is not what it seems. Like me you're scientific about all this and look left.
But before we look left, I want you memorise how far TOTAL2 market capital is above the 200 day SMA, about 30%
November 12th, 2023 life cross -10% correction
Price action was 20% above the 200 day SMA
February 18th, 2023 life cross -15% correction
Price action was 15% above the 200 day SMA
February 2020 and May 2020, -70% and -17% corrections
Price action was 57% and 20% above the 200 day sma
April 13th, 2019. Life cross -23% correction
Price action was 34% above the 200 day sma
In summary, the further price action was above the 200 day SMA the harder it dropped.
We can infer that a 15-20% correction should be expected across TOTAL2.
Use this low as an opportunity to collect your favourite token from emotional sellers.
Ww
Multiple Time Frame Analysis
Gold- Towards target after confirmation?In yesterday's post, I highlighted the high probability of an upward breakout above the 2655–2660 resistance zone. As anticipated, XAU/USD successfully broke through this key level, confirming its importance.
Following the breakout, the price reached a high near 2675 before undergoing a normal correction. This pullback was healthy for the trend, as it retested and confirmed the previously broken resistance zone (2655–2660) as new support. This successful retest reinforces the strength of the bullish momentum.
Looking ahead, my outlook remains optimistic. I anticipate a new leg higher, with the price likely targeting the 2685 resistance zone. I will maintain my bullish stance as long as the 2660 area holds firm as support. My preferred strategy is to "buy the dips," taking advantage of pullbacks within the broader uptrend.
BTC 1h updateOn the daily chart, the market is in a consolidation phase, showing both a single-bar upthrust and a double-bar spring. On the 1-hour chart, a downtrend began on December 9 at 11:00 PM. For a potential short position, watch for an upthrust near the 98,320 resistance level, confirmed by strong volume and price action.
Gold- 2655-2660 zone remains key for bulls on medium-termLast week's price action was mostly range-bound, characterized by sharp spikes in both directions but lacking a clear trend—challenging conditions for medium-term swing traders.
In my last two posts, I shared a moderately bullish bias and even managed a sniper entry at the NFP low. However, Gold failed to sustain upward momentum, so I opted to close the trade with a modest 100-pip profit.
Looking at the bigger picture, bulls have shown resilience around the 2620 level. Even last night’s losses were quickly reversed after the market opened, which is another encouraging sign for bullish momentum.
That said, a critical resistance level around 2655 continues to cap any medium-term uptrend. For a more substantial move—potentially 400-500 pips—this resistance must be decisively broken .
I maintain my bullish outlook and will look to enter on dips. If and when the price breaks above the 2655 resistance level, I plan to double my position to capitalize on the potential upside.
However, a daily close below 2620 would invalidate this scenario and prompt me to reassess my strategy.
EURUSD / M15 / SHORTEURUSD May Fall from the Bearish Order Block
Bearish Order Block: 1.05683 and 1.05632
EURUSD is currently following a downtrend, and a potential bearish order block has been identified between 1.05683 and 1.05632 on the M15 timeframe. If the price retraces to this order block, it presents an opportunity for a short position. With strong bearish momentum in place, there is a high probability that the price will respect this zone and continue downward, aligning with the overall market structure.
I've outlined two take profit targets for this trade setup, offering clear risk management and reward opportunities. Let’s monitor how the price reacts to the order block and unfolds further.
EURUSD / M15 / SHORT
LOT :- 0.2
Entry Price :- 1.05630
Take Profit :- 1.05222
Stop Loss :- 1.05752
EURUSD prime setupWeekly timeframe ()
- First time trying to switch from a bullish to a bearish market structure
- Bullish candle (retracement)
- Bullish supply and demand zone: bears could have kicked in yet the bulls managed to close back above this zone (false break trading back above)
Daily timeframe ()
- Bullish M
- Inverse head and shoulders
- At least weekly relief so daily market structure irrelevant
4H timeframe ()
- Inverse head and shoulders without break of structure (SL below head)
- When dissecting the pattern on the 1H/2H timeframe there is no immediate reaction on the high making it valid to execute
XAU/USD 10 December 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Bias/analysis remains the same as analysis dated 25 November 2024.
Price Action Analysis:
As mentioned in yesterday's analysis dated 24 November 2024, whereby price was expected to print a bearish CHoCH. This is how price printed.
Currently, price is trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price is anticipated to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, which is marked in blue, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,721.420.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Today's analysis and bias will remain the same as analysis dated 26 November 2024.
Price Action Analysis:
Intraday expectation and analysis dated 25 November 2024 printed as anticipated, with price successfully printing a bearish iBOS after targeting the weak internal low.
A correction from yesterday's intraday expectation: instead of targeting the weak internal high, price was expected to target the weak internal low.
Price has since printed a bullish CHoCH, indicating, but not confirming, bullish pullback phase. We are now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price is anticipated to trade up to either the internal 50% EQ or the M15 supply zone before targeting the weak internal low at 2,605.310.
Alternative Scenario:
The H4 timeframe has printed a bearish CHoCH, indicating the initiation of a bearish pullback phase coupled with the fact that H4 TF is now trading in discount of internal 50%. However, this suggests that bearish momentum on M15 may face limitations as the broader H4 phase unfolds.
Note:
Given the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persistent geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is likely to remain elevated. Traders should remain cautious and prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
Does the Canadian dollar have a bullish surprise up its sleeve?This is the question I am asking myself as we head into 2025. CAD has been the weakest major for some time now based on the BOC's easing cycle, and we saw a record level of net-short exposure against it in August, and another surge of shorts in November. This strikes me as a stale trade that is vulnerable to a shakeout, and it might not require a particularly large catalyst for CAD bears to capitulate and send USD/CAD lower.
MS
60% crash for SOLANA to $100 on the horizon?
** A forecast for the months ahead **
SOLANA bulls are tenacious, their resolve for project and price appreciation is unshakable. But we're in the business of making money not pandering to reclusive developers and empty promises.
As with all Ponzi schemes, they melt down as fast as they melt up. We can benefit from those opportunities or supply them. 90% of those reading this volunteer the supply route.
Why should profits now be taken?
On the above 5 day chart:
1) Price action is up 2400% from floor.
2) Price action and RSI Support breakouts.
3) Regular bearish divergence. Unlike other divergences, this one is measured over the same period of time as the bullish divergence in October 2022 that started the bull market. You think this time is different?
4) Gravestone DOJI candle print. (see chart below).
Is it possible price action continues upward? Sure.
Is it probable? No
Ww
5 day Gravestone DOJI
GBPUSD Sell AnalysisAs we didn't see a sharp bearish move to create a bearish OB, So I think the price will go higher to touch the supply area and then starts to go down sharply.
We have to wait for more confirmation...
Dear traders, please support my ideas with your likes and comments to motivate me to publish more signals and analysis for you.
Best Regards
Navid Nazarian
GBPUSD Sell Limit OrderHi everyone.
I think with this bearish engulfing candle we have an area with a good potential to go short.
Lets see what happens...
Dear traders, please support my ideas with your likes and comments to motivate me to publish more signals and analysis for you.
Best Regards
Navid Nazarian
Gold Buy Limit OrderI think we're going to have a pull back in 1H TF and I think this area is good enough to set a buy limit order.
there's a FVG and OrederBlock waiting for us.
Dear traders, please support my ideas with your likes and comments to motivate me to publish more signals and analysis for you.
Best Regards
Navid Nazarian
NZDCHF SHORT Checklist
Market structure bearish on HTFs 30
Entry at Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Daily Rejection at AOi
Previous Daily Structure Point
H4 EMA Retest
H4 Candlestick rejection Y
Rejection from Previous structure Y
Levels 9.8
Entry 95%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King
GBPJPY Short Market structure Bearish on HTFs 30
Entry at Daily and Weekly AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Weekly EMA retest
Daily Rejection at AOi
Previous Daily Structure point
Around Psychological Level 192.000
H4 EMA retest
H4 Candlestick rejection
Levels 7.97
Entry 105%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King
NZDJPY SHORTMarket Structure Bearish on HTFs DH
Entry at both Daily and Weekly
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Daily Rejection at AOi
Previous Daily Structure Point
Around Psychological Level 88.000
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
Levels 6.79
Entry 90%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King
AUDUSD SHORTMarket structure bearish on HTFs 30
Entry at Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection At AOi
Strong bearish weekly momentum
Previous Weekly Structure Point
Daily rejection at AOi
Previous Daily Structure Point
Around Psychological Level 0.64500
H4 EMA retest
H4 Candlestick rejection
Levels 6.52
Entry 100%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King