Multiple Time Frame Analysis
XAUUSD: Gold will continue its upward trend?!Gold is above the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4-hour timeframe and is in its ascending channel. The continued rise of gold towards the supply zones will provide a position to sell it with a suitable risk reward.
The performance of commodities in 2024 was highly diverse. While investors turned to gold as a hedge against inflation, other commodities like iron ore experienced declines due to weak economic growth in China, the world’s largest metals consumer. It seems that the story this year will resemble that of the previous year.
Sabrina Chaudhry, Head of Commodities Analysis at BMI Research, stated, “Commodities will generally face pressure in 2025,” adding that the strong US dollar will limit demand for dollar-priced commodities.
Adrian Ash, Director of Research at BullionVault, a gold investment services company, said investors are optimistic about gold and silver in 2025 due to pessimism surrounding geopolitical conditions and rising government debt, emphasizing gold’s role as a risk hedge.
Analysts at J.P. Morgan also predict that gold prices will rise, especially if U.S. policies take a more “disruptive” turn through increased tariffs, heightened trade tensions, and greater risks to economic growth.
Gold recorded its best annual performance in over a decade last year. According to FactSet data, gold bullion prices rose by approximately 26% in 2024, driven by central bank purchases as well as retail investment.
Data indicates that China purchased gold for the second consecutive month in December. The country’s gold reserves increased to 73.29 million ounces in December, up from 72.96 million ounces in November. China’s gold buying pace has nearly doubled, with December’s 0.33 million-ounce increase significantly surpassing the 0.16 million-ounce rise in November. The value of China’s gold reserves is now estimated at around $191 billion, while its total foreign exchange reserves stand at $3.2 trillion.
Meanwhile, Goldman Sachs has postponed its previous forecast of gold prices reaching $3,000 per ounce by the end of 2025 to mid-2026. This adjustment is attributed to expectations of a slower pace of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve.
A slower reduction in interest rates in 2025 is likely to limit demand for gold-backed Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs). As a result, analysts such as Lina Thomas and Dan Stryon have forecasted gold prices to reach $2,910 per ounce by the end of the year. In a note, they mentioned that weaker-than-expected ETF inflows in December — attributed to reduced uncertainty following the U.S. elections — also contributed to a lower starting point for prices in the new year.
Analysts commented, “Counteracting forces — reduced speculative demand and increased central bank purchases — have effectively neutralized each other, keeping gold prices range-bound in recent months.”
They further emphasized that central bank appetite for gold purchases remains a key driver for prices in the long term. Analysts projected, “Looking ahead, we expect monthly gold purchases to average 38 tons through mid-2026.”
XAU/USD 08 January 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis/Intraday expectation remains the same as analysis dated 16 December 2024.
Price is clearly unable to target weak internal. This is due to the fact that Daily and Weekly Timeframe remain in bearish pullback phase.
Price Action Analysis:
Technically price is to target weak internal priced at 2,721.420. Price has sweeped liquidity,
for two possible reasons.
1. To assist price to complete bearish pullback phase, react at either discount of internal 50% or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high.
2. To assist Daily and H4 TF's to complete bearish pullback phase with price to print a bearish iBOS and target strong internal low priced at 2,536.855.
Intraday Expectation:
Intraday expectation and alternative scenario as per points 1 and 2.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price Action Analysis:
Price did not meet yesterday's intraday expectation targeting weak internal low, by printing a bullish iBOS.
Price has printed a bearish CHoCH indicating, but not confirming bullish pullback phase initiation.
We are now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Technically, price to trade down to discount of 50% internal EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high, priced at 2,664.330.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
GBPCAD: One More Bearish Confirmation?! 🇬🇧🇨🇦
GBPCAD forms one more bearish pattern on a 4H time frame
after a retest of a recently broken neckline of a head & shoulders pattern on a daily.
Chances are high that the price will go down and reach at least 1.7876 level.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Neutral on closeLeading on from yesterday where I'd used the weekly range, I now favour the accuracy of the daily levels since we have more data.
We're presented with a bearish candle that closed inside the range of the highlighted parent candle.
So, that FVG on DXY is still there, also the pound swept yesterday's high.
It seems neutral, eh?
I still think there will be short term buying.
At this moment in time, it's still too soon for me to enter this trade. I will check the 9am open for any potential after the red flag news. Otherwise, see you after 5pm EST.
EURUSD POTENTIAL BUYING OPPERTUNITY Currently approaching a nice area of interest. Although I am overall short EURUSD doesn't mean I can't look for intraday trades to capitalise on the moves in between.
2H internal is bullish so I am waiting for the 15 min to align with the higher time frame a take a long trade targeting the 2H high.
If price breaks below this area I will have to re-evaluate and possibly short along with the 15 min time frame until I am wrong.
GBPCAD - Weekly Forecast - Technical Analysis & Trading Ideas!Midterm forecast (Daily Time-frame):
While the price is below the resistance 1.82310, beginning of downtrend is expected.
Technical analysis:
A peak is formed in daily chart at 1.82320 on 12/19/2024, so more losses to support(s) 1.79228, 1.78439, 1.76819 and minimum to Major Support (1.74790) is expected.
Take Profits:
1.79228
1.78439
1.76819
1.75765
1.74790
1.72705
1.70900
1.69267
1.67670
1.65599
1.63703
1.60894
Short-term forecast (H4 Time-frame):
A Head and Shoulder Reversal Pattern has formed and the neckline has also been broken.
Price is touching the neckline again.
It is very likely that the downward wave will start from this area.
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2000% Parabolic extension for CarParts.com??On the above 6 week chart price action has corrected 98% since February 2021. A few reasons now exist for a long interest, they include:
1) Price action and RSI resistance breakouts
2) Price action confirms support on past resistance.See 15 year chart below.
3) Regular bullish divergence. This divergence prints on legacy support / resistance.
4) No share splits!
Is it possible price action corrects further? Sure.
Is it probable? No.
Ww
Type: Trade
Risk: Small market cap, keep positions sizes small
Timeframe for long entry: Weeks
Return: 500-2000%
Stop loss: will say elsewhere
15 year chart
GBPUSD SHORT #2ndMarket structure Bearish on HTFs 3
Entry at both Daily and Weekly AOi
Weekly Rejection At AOi
Previous Weekly Structure Point
Daily Rejection At AOi
Previous Structure point Daily
Around Psychological Level 1.25500
H4 EMA retest
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
Levels 5.74
Entry 120%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
VERY VERY BULISH ON BTC -- Current range will break towards up
Very Bullish on BTC in higher time frames, huge amount of shorts coming to the market currently, which is a good sign. i believe they will fuel the upward move as they will get liquidated.🤔
However, first the market will create an elusion that seems is making Lower Lows to onboard more shorts creating a down trend, Hence allocate SL minimum below the Daily FVG and wait for the created trend to be broken.
Cheers Shah
Will Gold continue to be Bullish on 2025?Along with rising geopolitical tension around the world, the world eyes for safe haven for their economy to be resilient. 2664.8 would be the nearest decision point for Gold as of now. Any break to the upside would be possible to long for Gold for buy on high . Breaks south would mean to sell on low.
USDJPY trade idea buy and sell levels 05/January 4 hour chartUSDJPY traded bullish all week you can see this as a conformation on the daily and weekly trend lines.
My bias would be bullish if we can break through resistance at 158.059
Entry for a buy would be 158.160 expecting to reach 160.276 which is next resistance.
For a sell I would enter at 156.724 , need to watch out for 156.233 but if broken would expect a retrace to next support at 154.923 level
As always use proper risk ,amagement and secure some pips when in profit
SILVER POTENTIAL BOUNCE PLAY BUY OPPORTUNITYHey everyone hope you are having an amazing day! I just wanted to come make another post here on this Thanksgiving week here in the States and give some insight to what I see for the commodity Silver! Hope this brings some value and you guys can pull some nuggets from this! Cheers
OK so here is a breakdown based on each timeframe for what I am seeing!!
1W (Weekly) Timeframe:
**price is overall bullish
**price is coming back to a previous area of demand (buyers)
**weekly fib retracement confluence with level
1D (Daily) Timeframe:
**price is coming to previous demand around $29 per ounce
**will be at a extreme discount zone (relevant to current market trend)
**may be in oversold conditions on the RSI tool
4H (Hourly) Timeframe:
**waiting to watch how price momentum from sellers is coming into zone
**waiting for lower timeframe confluence
Hope you guys enjoy this post please boost and follow the page for more analysis and potential setups! Cheers!
XRPUSD Current 10 ¢ Range - Looking For Buying Opportunities ONLℹ️ XRP Remains at the top of the Daily chart BULL FLAG.
Considering many XRP holders are holding for the long run periods of sideways price action is often welcomed and is often considered a stronger bullish indicator compared to a price retracement.
Whilst XRPUSD flounders around the decending trendline of the flag top, we note the current 10¢ tracing range of this coin @ 2.3650 - 2.4675.
🟢Our current PLAN looks to accumulate more XRP on decent dips if and when they turn up.✅️
Often when these deep and often fast dips appear traders chuck their plan of trying to buy the dip in the bin then try to sell into the momentum and often end up getting trapped SHORT.
⚠️Below Is A Copy Of My Earlier Education Post You May Find Useful👍
I would consider the following as a GOLD STAR LESSON TO BE SAVED.
Yesterday created a great reminder opportunity that you must have a PLAN & RULES.
Even SeekingPips is human and therefore sometimes will deviate from the plan.
The GOLD SECRET is to realise the error and get back on track as soon as possible.
I was very clear on the chart share on 01/01/2025 that I only wanted to accumulate XRP
Here is the copy of that paragraph :
"ℹ️ However whilst price remains above 2.10 USD I do not want to take the short side of XRP."
By the next chart share the next day 02/01/25 it was clear to me where price was and that I was seeing a clear BULL FLAG on the DAILY CHART.
✅️ With that information I had a plan❕️✅️
ℹ️So what's the lesson you ask?❔️
⭐️Well Seeking Pips didn't stick to the plan.
Price was still well above 2.10 but shared a short chart idea.
This is why a TRADE JOURNAL is a GREAT idea.
In real time you may not see or notice any TRADING ERRORS but by having a journal it's in black and white and you can spot any problems early.✅️
⚠️So what were the KEY POINTS from yesterday?
🟢 Based on the D1 timeframe chart there was no valid reason according to my PLAN to conditioner any short positions.
🟢 Even based on the intra day timeframes that I use my RED LINE on my chart share at 2.3268 was never traded below.
🟢 Too zoomed in to price on lower timeframes. Seeking Pips considered the intra day timeframes and price action over what the Daily and Weekly charts were indicating.
🟢 Quantity over quality, wanting to be active and share some content, even given the fact that the DAY, WEEK and EVEN YEAR had just started.
🟢 NOT GIVING the IDEA time to play out. Barely two hours earlier I had already decided that my bias was to the long side.
There was no trigger to invalid that bias.
⭐️THE LESSON⭐️
Trading is not all about Lambos and penthouses. Yes that can be a final goal if you want it to be BUT to get to that point you really do have to iron out all of the ugly stuff first...
If this post helps even one peron on their trading journey it has done it's job.👌
PLEASE LIKE AND SHARE THIS POST IF YOU FOUND IT USEFUL. 👍
[Vienmelodic] USDCHF - 3 Jan 2025 SetupUSDCHF Since the Market structure are still Bullish. we only have to look for long position for this pair, Spotted demand area (Green Rectangle). its the very good demand candle formation.
Entry Position : Long
Profit Target : 1:3 Shown on the chart image (Green Line)
Stop Loss : Slightly below demand area (Red Line)
Follow me if u guys making any gains from this idea.
Thanks
[Vienmelodic] AUDCHF - 3 Jan 2025 SetupAUDCHF Are making 2 important moves, both Ema's and bearish Structure are now broken. Spotted demand area (Green Rectangle). its the first demand area from a long bearish.
Entry Position : Long
Profit Target : 1:3 Shown on the chart image (Green Line)
Stop Loss : Slightly below demand area (Red Line)
Follow me if u guys making any gains from this idea.
Thanks
Vienmelodic