GBP/AUD - Weekly OutlookSmaller TF only for this Trade Idea.. let me explain
So far from market close we can see a fair amount of detail with why I believe we are about to see a large Bullish movement.
So far we have been respecting a strong Bearish Trend, we have come down into a strong Demand zone which also is tapping into my Golden OTE zone.
On the 1H TF we can notice a confirmed change of character telling me as long as we don't take out this swing low which we shouldn't as it protected due to taking previous swing Liquidity out. Because of this I only can see recent Buy side liquidity.
Price currently has Been respecting a 1H IFVG which ICT can use a confirmation for Entry Models.. I don't trade ICT concepts although this does give me confluence in this market.
Ideally we are taking a breakout trade from this Liquidity Trend Line for strong Bullish structure to follow. This could possibly be a nice intraday swing due to Overall Bullish Movements
Good Luck to all the Traders that decide to follow along
Multiple Time Frame Analysis
EURUSD 10-14 Feb 2025 W7 - Weekly Analysis - US CPI/PPI/PowellThis is my Weekly analysis on EURUSD for 10-14 Feb 2025 W7 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following:
Market Sentiment
Weekly Chart Analysis
Daily Chart Analysis
4H Chart Analysis
Economic Events for the Week
Market Sentiment
Mixed Labor Market Signals
The February 7 NFP report showed 143K new jobs (below expectations of 170K), signaling potential cooling in the labor market. However, strong wage growth (0.5% MoM, 4.1% YoY) and a 4% unemployment rate (down from 4.1%) suggest lingering inflationary pressures.
Markets may interpret this as a "Goldilocks" scenario: cooling job growth could delay Fed rate hikes, but elevated wage inflation keeps stagflation risks alive.
Tariff Volatility and Trade Uncertainty
Trump’s tariffs (10% on China, delayed 25% on Canada/Mexico) dominate market psychology. While tariffs are a negotiation tool, their sudden implementation and reversal create uncertainty. For example:
Automotive and energy sectors face direct risks due to integrated North American supply chains.
Consumer goods (e.g., electronics, produce) may see price hikes, amplifying inflation fears.
Retaliatory measures from China add to global trade tensions.
Week major news events
Fed’s Powell testifies
ECB Lagarde Speech
US CPI, PPI and Retail Sales
EU GDP
Given the forecasts and the recent NFP report showing slower job growth, market sentiment could be cautious. If the CPI and PPI readings come in higher than expected, it could reinforce concerns about inflation and lead to USD Strength. Investors might seek safe-haven assets.
Conversely, if the CPI and PPI readings are in line with or lower than expectations, it could provide some relief to the markets and support a more positive sentiment which will lead to Weaker USD.
Weekly Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bearish
🔹Internal Bearish
🔹In Swing Discount
🔹Swing Continuation Phase (Pro Swing + Pro Internal)
2️⃣
🔹INT structure continuing bearish with iBOS following the Bearish Swing. (End of 2023 till end of 2024 was a pullback phase after the first bearish iBOS)
3️⃣
🔹After the bearish iBOS we expect a pullback, price tapped into Monthly Demand and the liquidity below Nov 2022 which is above the weekly demand formed with the initiation of the bearish iBOS pullback phase.
🔹Price made a bullish CHoCH which indicated that the liquidity was enough as per previous week analysis to initiate a pullback phase for the bearish iBOS.
🔹Price pulled back after the Bullish CHoCH to the Weekly Demand formed and showed reaction after a volatile week.
🔹Price still looking bearish to target the Weak INT low to target the Weekly unmitigated demand. Ultimately targeting the Swing Weak Low.
🔹Noticing that the Bearish INT Low didn’t pullback to at least the INT Structure EQ (50%) so there is a chance that price could hold the current Weekly Demand to fulfil the i-BOS pullback phase which will require MTF to confirm this scenario.
🔹Expectation is set to Bearish continuation targeting the Weak INT Low and the unmitigated Weekly Demand.
Daily Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bearish
🔹INT Bearish
🔹Swing Continuation Phase (Pro Swing + Pro Internal)
2️⃣
🔹Following the Bearish Swing BOS, INT Structure continuing bearish tapping the weekly demand zone.
3️⃣
🔹After the failure to close below the Weak INT Low, price continued bullish sweeping the liquidity above Dec 30 and mitigating a Daily supply zone within the INT Structure Premium Zone.
🔹With the mitigation of the Daily supply, price created a Bearish CHoCH signaling the end of the Pullback Phase of the INT structure and the start of the Bearish move targeting the Weak INT Low.
🔹Price failed for the 2nd time to close below the Weak INT Low after mitigating the Daily Demand formed from the failure to close below the Weak INT Low which triggered aggressive Bullish reaction and mitigating the Daily Supply Zone formed from the recent Bearish CHoCH.
🔹After Supply mitigation, price continued Bearish following the Bearish INT Structure continuation phase.
🔹Expectations is price to continue Bearish to target the Weak INT Low and hopefully we get a confirmed close which is fulfilling the Weekly target of continuing Bearish.
🔹Notice that if the Daily formed a Bullish CHoCH (Currently above the recent mitigated Supply) this will shift my outlook to the Weekly Scenario of a deep pullback of the Weekly INT Structure to at least the Structure EQ (50%). MTF required to shift Bullish to confirm.
4H Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bullish
🔹INT Bearish
🔹Reached Swing Extreme Demand
🔹Swing Continuation
2️⃣
🔹With the deep pullback to the Bullish Swing extreme discount and mitigating the 4H/Daily demand zones, price turned Bullish forming a Bullish CHoCH.
🔹The current Bullish move from Swing extreme discount to current price level having 2 scenarios:
Scenario 1: Pullback for Bearish INT Structure and with the recent Bearish CHoCK and Minor Demand zones are failing, I expect Bearish continuation to target the Weak INT Low which aligns with the Daily/Weekly Bearish Structure/Move. (Counter Swing – Pro Internal)
Scenario 2: Bullish Swing continuation to target the Weak Swing High. Which requires to have Demand holding and Supply failing. The first sign required to confirm this scenario will be the current Demand which price is currently at to hold and we form a Bullish CHoCH. (Pro Swing – Counter Internal)
3️⃣
🔹Expectations is set to Bearish to target the Weak INT Low as long LTFs are staying Bearish.
Economic Events for the Week
XAUUSD Buy Limit OrderWow, we have a strong push to the up, and I think in this pull back we'll have some reaction in this area.
Let's see what happens...
Dear traders, please support my ideas with your likes and comments to motivate me to publish more signals and analysis for you.
Best Regards
Navid Nazarian
Xauusd Buy Limit OrderHi everyone.
We've missed our previous trade.
Now in higher TF I think this area has a good potential to set a buy limit order.
Dear traders, please support my ideas with your likes and comments to motivate me to publish more signals and analysis for you.
Best Regards
Navid Nazarian
Gold Buy Limit OrderOur previous order was based on the higher TF and it's still valid.
I think for the lower we can use this area to set order.
Let's see what happens...
Dear traders, please support my ideas with your likes and comments to motivate me to publish more signals and analysis for you.
Best Regards
Navid Nazarian
Inverted Double Hammer with Doji (A RARE FORMATION) !!! BTCUSDFolks,
An ' Inverted Double Hammer with Doji ' pattern is potentially forming by the end of this week on the daily timeframe.
An Inverted Double Hammer with Doji consists of two inverted hammer candles followed by a doji and then fourth candle that closes green above the closing prices of the previous three candles.
On the weekly timeframe, a similar pattern appeared during August 2023. If an Inverted Double Hammer with Doji successfully forms, we may likely see a trend reversal for the BTCUSD pair.
BTCUSD has resistance at 10 D SMA & 50 D SMA and also has support at $95,500 which is very closer to 100 D SMA trend line, If the Sunday (February 9, 2025) candle closes above the closing value of the previous three candles, which is ~ $96,600, then I plan to initiate a long position with at least 10x leverage, targeting a close at the weekly highest closing value (~$104,400).
Let's see what happens this Monday. Wish me good luck. Play safe, b]#DisciplineWithStopLoss before you invest. 🤞
#ChartPatterns
#SwingTrading
#BTCUSD
#PatienceIsKey
#RektProofTrade
#ProtectYourCapital
170% rally for Koma INU ??Requested TA, more than once.
On the above daily chart price action has dropped over 80% since early December. A number of reasons now exist for a long position, they include:
1) Price action and RSI resistance breakouts.
2) Volume, a lot of new volume. See MFI breakout.
3) Reversal / hammer candle.
4) Resistances as shown, first 170% above. After that, blue sky.
Is it possible for price action to correct further? Sure.
Is it probable? No.
Ww
Type: trade
Risk: high, tiny market cap
Timeframe for long: sooner than you think
Forecast: 170%
GBP/USD - Weekly Market OutlookHi all,
Last week we had a very successful week capturing 5-6 big moves all over 300Pips...
Due to the market being closed I will be doing my review of my preferred Currency Pairs.
First pair being GBP/USD -
Weekly view is Bearish
Daily View is still Bearish
Due to higher TF being Bearish I will be looking for overall sell setups.
I will be posting smaller TF analysis also on my page so be sure to follow and comment if you like the way I break down the charts
On this view being the Daily Time frame I see price has returned to a strong Supply zone, price reacted off this before climbing back up to the Supply and making another rejection. This time price gave us a Double Top giving me strong confluence of a Reversal being strong Sellers Volume, price also pushed away with a 6H Order Block BUT... price did NOT return back to this Order Block and measuring on the Fib for the OTE zone we also didn't tap into the 71% Level.
This means we cannot jump straight into a sell but I do see price having a run here so I would like to see a smaller TF pullback before looking to enter a sell Position of which I will breakdown on the page.
Hope this helps you guys and please keep up with the Support.
Nasdaq (March 2025) - Weakness Across The Board #S1E6In this episode, I will take you through the devastation NFP left in it's wake and what we can draw from the signatures left behind.
With many expecting 2025 to start off with a bang, we have seen nothing but inconsistencies in price action.
Trump and his tariffs also doesn't help but the good news is, once w get through this period, we will see price action loosen up.
70% Dot.com crash to repeat for Microsoft?** long term forecast, the years ahead **
On the above 2 month chart price action has rallied 700% in the last 9 years. A number or reasons now exist for a bearish outlook. They include:
1) Price action and RSI support breakouts.
2) Legacy support confirms resistance.
3) A rising wedge formation confirms breakout, with 50% correction forecast to $220. (see below)
4) Regular bearish divergence as measured across a 10 month period. It is in fact the highest number of oscillators to negatively with price action.
5) Confirmed monthly Gravestone DOJI candle. (see below)
6) A 70% correction would still leave Microsoft with a market capital of $915b !!
Is it possible price action continues to print higher highs? Sure.
Is it probable? No.
Ww
Rising wedge breakout
Monthly Gravestone DOJI
Stock Of The Day / 02.05.25 / BBAI02.05.2025 / NYSE:BBAI #BBAI
Fundamentals. The company signed a contract with the Department of Defense's chief digital and artificial intelligence office to develop an AI solution.
Technical analysis.
Daily chart: Uptrend. Exit from two-month accumulation. Level 6.77 formed by the trend break in February 2023 is ahead. The screenshot shows a more informative weekly chart.
Premarket: Gap Up on increased volume.
Trading session: The primary impulse from the opening was stopped at 5.80, after that the price began to tighten to this level, forming pullbacks, each subsequent one smaller than the previous one. We are considering a long trade when the 5.80 level is broken.
Trading scenario: #breakout (#tightening) of the 5.80 level
Entry: 5.85 aggressive entry into the breakout.
Stop: 5.63 we hide it behind the last pullback.
Exit: Close part of the position before the daily level of 6.77. Close the rest around 7.22 when the candle closed below the trend line.
Risk Rewards: 1/5
P.S. In order to understand the idea behind the Stock Of The Day analysis, read the following information .
NZDUSD - 5 Feb 2025 SetupNZDUSD Market structure are making a bullish breakout with strong bullish rally. Spotted demand area (Green Rectangle). its a very good demand area structure after the price creating a higher high.
Entry Position : Long
Profit Target : 1:3 Shown on the chart image (Green Line)
Stop Loss : Slightly below demand area (Red Line)
Follow me if u guys making any gains from this idea.
Thanks
Coffee Trade Team