1/17/25 - RS: new BUY mechanical trading signal.1/17/25 - RS: new BUY signal chosen by a rules based, mechanical trading system.
RS - BUY
Stop Loss @ 264.20
Entry BUY @ 288.06
Target Profit @ 323.11
Analysis:
Higher timeframe: Prices have stayed above the lower channel line of the ATR (Average True Range) Keltner Channel and reversed.
Higher timeframe: Victor Sperandeo's (Trader Vic) classic 2B BUY pattern...where the current lowest bottom breakout price is only slightly peaking lower than the preceding bottom price.
Higher timeframe: Price peaked below the ATR (Average True Range) breakout low and then reversed.
Multiple Time Frame Analysis
Starknet (STRK) 800% move to print? April 5th, 2025** for the months ahead **
On the above 2 day chart price action has corrected 80% since late 2024. A number of reasons now exist to consider a long position. They include:
1. Price action and RSI resistance breakouts.
2. RSI trend reversal.
3. Regular bullish divergence.
4. There are two resistance levels to consider look out for, one at 400% and the next at 800%
Is it possible price action continues to correct? Sure.
Is it probable? No.
Ww
GBPUSD: Potential Pullback Trade Explained 🇬🇧🇺🇸
GBPUSD closed this week, respecting a key daily horizontal support cluster.
Analyzing the intraday price action, I spotted a nice double bottom pattern
on an hourly time frame.
To buy the pair with a confirmation after the market opening,
I suggest waiting for a bullish breakout of its neckline.
An hourly candle close above will confirm a violation.
A bullish move will be expected at least to 1.296 level then.
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$VIX spike to $80-100 incomingI think there's a large spike coming in VIX despite most people turning bullish on the market and bearish on the VIX.
Price has maintained elevated levels for the past few months, all of the RSIs are in extreme bullish territory and the move looks very similar to the spike that we got on August 5th.
Have no clue what will cause it, whether it's the fed meeting, gov't shutdown or some other outside factor, but the chart is looking like we should see a spike next week up to the $80-103 level.
Let's see how it plays out.
Stock Of The Day / 04.04.25 / AREB04.04.2025 / NASDAQ:AREB #AREB
Fundamental. Increased media activity of Andy Ross CEO of American Rebel Holdings.
Technical analysis.
Daily chart: A protracted downtrend, the stock is trading near the historical minimum. There is a possibility of a Short Squeeze.
Premarket: Gap Up on increased volume.
Trading session: After an unsuccessful attempt to break through the 6.0 level downwards, the price turned around and formed an uptrend. We observe a price tightening to the 9.0 level against the upward trend with a very clear hold of the level in the interval from 10:30 am to 11:30 am. We consider a long trade to continue the upward movement in case the tightening structure is broken upwards.
Trading scenario: pullback along the trend (false tightening) to level 9.0
Entry: 9.89 aggressive entry on the breakout of the tightening structure and exit upwards on increased volume.
Stop: 8.89 we hide it below the level with a small reserve.
Exit: Close part of the position around 14.90 when a reversal candlestick pattern appears (RR1/5), close the remaining part of the position on the impulse with increased volume (RR 1/10).
Risk Rewards: 1/10 max
P.S. In order to understand the idea of the Stock Of The Day analysis, please read the following information .
PL Dot Shapes (Detailed Summary)This idea shall focus on the behavior and structure of PL Dot Shapes, which are crucial in identifying market trends, congestion phases, and potential reversals. Let's deep dive on how to interpret PL Dot formations and recognize patterns that signal market movements.
1. Understanding PL Dot Behavior
- Trend:
PL Dots form a straight line, indicating a clear market direction. A trend stops when the market enters congestion.
- Congestion:
PL Dots move horizontally or “snake” sideways, signaling indecision or balance between buyers and sellers.
- Higher Time Period (HTP) Influence:
PL Dots from the HTP influence those in the Lower Time Period (LTP). Inconsistencies between them may indicate no clear pattern.
- Dot Distance:
Refers to the vertical price difference between consecutive PL Dots.
- Increasing Dot Distance: Indicates trend continuation or strength.
- Decreasing Dot Distance: Suggests trend exhaustion or potential reversal.
2. Key PL Dot Patterns
✅ Yes Pattern (Energy Termination Pattern)
Indicates the end of a trend and potential reversal. This pattern is characterized by signs of exhaustion:
1. PL Dot Pullback: PL Dot moves off the main trend channel, and the angle starts sloping down.
2. Decreasing Dot Distance: Dots get closer together, signaling waning momentum.
3. Exhaustion Signs: The dot pulls within range, with closes moving towards the PL Dot, causing congestion entrance.
4. Block Occurrence: Price likely returns to the area of 2-3 dots back.
5. Crest Formation: A PL Dot crest forms, indicating a potential market top.
6. Directional Shift: Dot directions begin turning downward.
7. Challenges: Be alert to price challenging PL Dot crests and valleys.
---
❌ No Pattern (Non-Termination Pattern)
Indicates that the trend is likely to continue without exhaustion:
1. Similar early behavior to the Yes Pattern but lacks signs of exhaustion.
2. No Significant Pullback: PL Dot may pull within range, but no congestion entrance signs appear (bullish).
3. Price Holds: Prices do not return to the 2-3 dots back area.
4. Weak Crests: No strong crest formation, or it's shallow.
5. Stable Direction: Dot direction struggles to turn down.
6. No Challenges: No challenges to PL Dot crests or valleys, confirming trend strength.
---
3. Trend Pattern (Trend Continuation Pattern)
Describes the start or continuation of a trend, especially in the LTP:
1. Dot Opening: PL Dot opens up, with increasing distance between dots, signaling strong momentum.
2. No Exhaustion: Continuation without signs of exhaustion.
3. Energy Refresh: If price reaches the area of 2-3 dots back, expect high energy on any PL Dot refresh.
4. Dots Out of Range: PL Dots move outside the prior bar’s range, confirming a strong trend.
5. Strong Challenges: Challenges to crests only add momentum to the trend.
6. Stable Direction: Dot direction maintains strength with minimal reversals.
---
4. PL Dot Shapes in Congestion
When the market is in congestion, expect the following:
1. Sideways Dots: PL Dots snake sideways, indicating market indecision.
2. Support/Resistance Holding: The 6-1 lines hold both sides of the congestion area.
3. Congestion Exit Signs: Look for signs indicating the market is ready to break out of congestion.
---
Key Takeaways:
- Trend Continuation: Increasing dot distance and out-of-range dots suggest a strong trend.
- Trend Exhaustion (Yes Pattern): Decreasing dot distance, dot pullbacks, and crest formation signal potential reversals.
- No Pattern: Indicates no exhaustion, suggesting the trend will continue.
- Congestion Behavior: PL Dots snake sideways with key support/resistance levels holding firm.
Understanding these patterns helps traders anticipate market behavior, identify trend reversals early, and manage trades effectively.
SHORT ON EUR/USDEUR/USD has finally given a change of character to the downside and is currently pulling back into a supply area.
The dollar is gaining strength due to Tariffs and looks like it will rise.
I will be selling EUR/USD with a sell limit order looking to catch over 200-300 pips over the next few days.
XAU/USD 04 April 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Since last analysis price has printed a bearish CHoCH which is the first indication, but not confirmation of bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,187,835
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Price has printed as per yesterday's alternative scenario whereby price has printed a bearish iBOS due to H4 TF being in, although not as yet confirmed, in bearish pullback phase.
Intraday Expectation:
Price has already traded up to premium of internal 50% EQ, therefore, price to target weak internal low priced at
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
Trump's tariff announcement will most likely cause considerably increased volatility and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
DOLLAR INDEX (DXY): Long-Awaited Recover
It looks like Dollar Index is going to pullback
after a test of a significant support cluster on a daily.
A strong bullish imbalance candle that was formed on an hourly
time frame shows a strong buying interest from that zone.
I expect a bullish movement at least to 102.35
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IAG Additional Price Levels • LSE • Airlines Group Stock • FTSE⚠️ IAG Going to plan, looks like it's a TRUMP DUMP 🤣
Now is the TIME TO HUNT the stocks for your PORTFOLIO.
ℹ️ When TRUMP causes a DUMP I accumulate SIT BACK and just WAIT fornthe PUMP...🚀
These additional price levels will be used as an additional filter to TIME an ENTRY ONLY IF the BIDS come in 🟢SeekingPips🟢 NEEDS to see some VOLUME🚀🚀🚀
The bearish trend is just beginning: Short Gold!Good morning, bros! With the gold price falling by LSE:100H yesterday, there is no doubt that the market is currently dominated by bears! As the gold high gradually moves down, it is difficult to hold even 3100, further weakening the bullish momentum and exacerbating panic selling to a certain extent!
Obviously, as gold completes the regional conversion, the previous support has been transformed into an important resistance area in the short term, and the short-term resistance effect of the 3115-3125 zone is very obvious; and the current area near 3090 does not play a structural support role, so the area near 3090 is easy to be broken, and the short-term support below is in the 3075-3065 zone.
So in terms of short-term trading, before the NFP market, we can still short gold with the resistance of the 3115-3125 zone, with the first target pointing to the 3075-3065 zone, followed by the 3055-3045 zone.
The trading strategy verification accuracy rate is more than 90%; one step ahead, exclusive access to trading strategies and real-time trading settings
Not Even Gold Escaped the Volatility of Liberation DayWe finally saw the shakeout on gold I was expecting around $3000. This clearly changes things for gold traders over the near-term, even though the fundamentals remain in place for bulls. I highlight key levels for gold and take a look at the devastation left across key assets on Thursday.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
Stock Of The Day / 04.02.25 / JYD04.02.2025 / NASDAQ:JYD #JYD
Fundamentals. Negative sentiment amid tariffs with China
Technical analysis.
Daily chart: More than 80% down from the previous session. All-Time Low of 0.42 is ahead.
Premarket: Giant Gap Down on increased volume.
Trading session: The initial momentum from the opening of the session was stopped at 0.55, followed by a deep pullback, but then the price returned to 0.55 again and broke through it on increased volume. We are considering a short trade to continue the downward movement in case of holding the level from below.
Trading scenario: breakdown with retest of level 0.55
Entry: 0.5315 if the level is held below and goes below the candlewick of the breakdown candle.
Stop: 0.56 we hide it above the high of the retest.
Exit: Close part of the position before the all-time low of 0.42. Close the remaining part of the position at a price of 0.3565 when the structure of the downward trend is broken.
Risk Rewards: 1/5 (1/6 maximum)
P.S. In order to understand the idea of the Stock Of The Day analysis, please read the following information .
Skeptic | GBP/USD Deep Dive: Major Trend, Trade Setups!Hey guys, welcome back! 👋 I'm Skeptic.
Let’s dive into GBP/USD , a pair that’s been in a strong uptrend and has the potential for another solid price jump. We’ll break it down across multiple timeframes , do a deep analysis , and at the end, I’ll share high-probability long & short setups with clear triggers—so stick around!
Daily Timeframe Analysis
As you can see, GBP/USD has been respecting an uptrend channel , reacting well to both the upper, lower, and midlines —a key characteristic of a strong trend. Each time price makes a jump, it enters a range box (re-accumulation phase) before breaking out to continue the trend.
Currently, we’re inside another range between 1.28720 - 1.29883 . A breakout in either direction can give us a trading opportunity, but given the major trend is bullish , I prefer trading in the direction of the trend unless we get a clear reversal signal.
4H Timeframe Analysis
The uptrend channel remains intact , and we’re still within the Consolidation phase . We recently saw a fake breakout , which could mean that the next breakout might happen with stronger momentum.
Trade Setups
✅ Long Setup:
- Entry: After a confirmed breakout of 1.29883
- Confirmation: RSI breaking above 65.33 (which acts as an overbought signal in this case)
- Preferred Order: Stop Buy above resistance to catch momentum
❌ Short Setup:
- Entry: After a confirmed break of 1.28682
- Risk Management: Since this is against the trend, take quick profits and use a tighter SL to manage risk efficiently.
What are your thoughts on GBP/USD? Drop your opinions in the comments! Let’s grow together, not alone. 🚀🔥