NIFTY heading for 21000 levels now!!? Another strong correction!As we can see NIFTY got rejected exactly from the level we expected with proper reasoning of previously acting SUPPORT which now acted as a RESISTANCE! Now we may see NIFTY making new low finding new demand zones around 21800-21600-21400-21000 levels respectively hence keep shorting unless NIFTY closes above the given stricture so plan your trades accordingly and keep watching.
Multiple Time Frame Analysis
DXY Breakdown: Major Support in Play or More Downside Ahead?Welcome back, guys! 👋
I'm Skeptic , and let's kick off the week with a unique and exciting analysis of DXY.
🔍 Daily Time Frame Analysis
Starting with the daily time frame, DXY recently hit a significant peak at 109.655 , followed by a sharp decline, breaking below the critical support zone at 107.405 . This breakdown resulted in forming lower highs and lower lows, confirming a bearish structure. Afterward, DXY retraced sharply to the 0.618 Fibonacci level of its major uptrend, signaling a potential corrective phase.
Although the sentiment remains bearish for now, we must consider the possibility of a price reversal from this crucial support zone.
⏳ 4H Time Frame Analysis
Now, moving to the 4-hour time frame, as discussed in the previous analysis, we anticipated a breakdown of 104.235 , which indeed played out, hitting our target of 103.398 . Currently, the 104.235 level serves as a 4H resistance, while 103.303 acts as a daily support.
These two levels form our main triggers:
💚 Long Trigger: Above 104.259 (confirming a potential reversal)
🔴 Short Trigger: Below 103.303 (aligned with the short-term downtrend)
The short trigger has a higher win rate and risk-to-reward ratio since it aligns with the ongoing bearish trend.
💡 Final Thoughts
Thanks for sticking with me through this analysis! I hope your week ahead is profitable and insightful.
Remember, planning and executing trades with clarity is the key to long-term success.
Catch you on the next breakdown! 🚀
GBPCAD buy trade the price is in up trend
after breaking the HH structure zone and complate the BREAKOUT phase I waited for the retest on the same broken zone
when the price made the retest I shifted to lower Tame frame to identify the structure (the structure on the Pulback phase)
my confirmation was at the break of the LL on the pullback phase so after getting it I took the trade .
GBPUSD Week 11 Swing Zone/LevelsLast week marked the first losing week of the year.
With a strong upward trend, a price pullback is expected.
By using tight stop losses and effective trade management, we keep losses small while aiming for larger gains. To achieve this, the stop loss is moved to break even once the price gains 20 pips.
a or b? Only price can tell
USDCHF SHORTMarket structure Bearish on HTFs DH
Entry at both Daily And Weekly AOi
Weekly rejection at AOi
Weekly EMA retest
Daily Rejection at AOi
Previous Structure point Daily
Around Psychological Level 0.89000
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
Levels 5.16
Entry 100%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
XAU/USD 10 March 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis/Bias remains the same as analysis dated 07 March 2024.
Price has printed a bullish CHoCH according to analysis and bias dated 28 February 2025.
Price is currently trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price is now trading in premium of 50% internal EQ where we could see a reaction at any point. Price could also target H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal low, priced at 2,832.720
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 03 March 2023.
As mentioned in my analysis dated 28 February 2025, whereby price printed a bullish CHoCH but stated I would continue to monitor price.
On this occasion I have marked the previous bullish CHoCH in red as price did not pull back deeply enough to warrant internal structure breaks, additionally, there was minimal time spent .
Price has printed a further bullish CHoCH which is now confirmed. Price is not trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bullish, react at either premium of internal 50% EQ, or M15 supply zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 2,832.720.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
BTCUSDT - Last station: Chance to re-enterAfter the recent successful analysis, which you can see the link to on the right side of this page, I am here with another new analysis.
Let me be honest. Bitcoin needs to break $99,500 to continue its upward movement. Otherwise, we expect Bitcoin to soon reach its last station, the $60,000-$65,000 range. This range is, in my personal opinion, the best range for buying Bitcoin heavily and taking profits in the third and fourth quarters.
On the four-hour time frame, we have two good liquidity levels that are likely to clear very soon. Overall, my view on Bitcoin is bearish in the short term and this view will not change until I see a break of $99,500.
In the next few days, we have important economic data such as the NFP. This data is likely to lead to a lot of volatility in the stock and crypto markets. So please be careful.
I hope you have benefited from this analysis.
Please support my newly established page.
Good luck, dear friends.
AUD vs DXY: Analysis of Both ChartsWE can see a clean bearish intent on DXY right now so we may be able to get a good long going against the DXY rn 🔑
If we stick to our closes being our guiding light, we will await the close to get our entry after if this bulls take a fib correction into buyside 🎯
Share with a friend 🙏🏾
General Market Ramblings - $BTCUSD, $TSLA, $GDX, $DAL, $BBEUHi, all. Wanted to get something published for the first time in awhile. Unfortunately my mom passed away recently and that has been something I have been going through. It is therapeutic to record something and get it out to you all. I am approaching feature film length on this one, so kudos if you make it through the whole video.
I just wanted to discuss some general market thoughts here - especially as we are now in an interesting time. I hope you do find some value here! Believe me, this really is just scratching the surface of my market thoughts and the different stocks that I have thoughts on. But again, really just wanted to get something out to you guys. Even if you tune in for a minute or two, thanks for watching! It means a lot. Feel free to provide feedback as well of course.
As always, a lot of my thoughts are based on the "Time @ Mode" method that we discuss in the Key Hidden Levels TradingView chat.
Also, as always, these are strictly my thoughts and opinions. I am not a professional and I encourage you to do your own research before making investment/trading decisions. These opinions are not financial advice.
Assets in this video: COINBASE:BTCUSD , COMEX:GC1! , NASDAQ:TSLA , AMEX:GDX , CBOE:BBEU , NYSE:DAL , maybe others I forgot about.
XAU/USD 10-14 March 2025 Weekly AnalysisWeekly Analysis:
Swing Structure -> Bullish.
Internal Structure -> Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 09 February 2025.
Price has printed a further bullish iBOS.
Price is currently trading within an internal low and fractal high. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dashed line.
Price Action Analysis:
In my analysis dated 27 October 2024, it was noted that the first sign of a pullback would be a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH), indicated by a blue dotted line. Price's consistent upward momentum had repositioned previous CHoCH much closer to recent price levels as expected for weeks. Current CHoCH positioning is quite a distance away from price, therefore, it would be viable if price continued bullish to reposition ChOCH.
Note:
It is highly unlikely price will "crash" as many analysts are predicting. My view is this is merely a corrective wave of the primary trend.
Given the Federal Reserve's dovish policy stance alongside heightened geopolitical risks, market volatility is likely to remain elevated, influencing intraday price swings.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
Weekly Chart:
Daily Analysis:
Swing -> Bullish.
Internal -> Bullish.
As per analysis dated 16 February 2025 price has printed a bearish CHoCH which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation
Price is now trading within an established internal range. I will however continue to monitor price and depth of pullback.
Expectation is for price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or Daily demand zone before targeting weak internal high, priced at 2,956.310.
Note:
With the Fed maintaining a dovish policy stance and the continued rise in geopolitical tensions, we should anticipate elevated market volatility, which may impact both intraday and longer-term price action.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
Daily Chart:
H4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis/Bias remains the same as analysis dated 07 March 2024.
Price has printed a bullish CHoCH according to analysis and bias dated 28 February 2025.
Price is currently trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price is now trading in premium of 50% internal EQ where we could see a reaction at any point. Price could also target H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal low, priced at 2,832.720
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
Short trade
4Hr TF
Pair DOGEUSDT
Sellside trade
NY to Tokyo Session PM
Sat 8th March 25
7.00 pm
Entry 0.19316
Profit level 0.14457 (25.16%)
Stop level 0.19435 (0.62%)
RR 40.83
Reason: Observing price action on the Dy TF seemed indicative of a sellside trade using the narrative of supply and demand for directional bias.
USDJPY POTENTIAL LONG OPPORTUNITY (MEAN REVERSION TRADE)Alright hello awesome TradingView community! Hope you guys have had a fantastic weekend so far. I always love creating posts for you guys knowing that I have an awesome community of hungry and focused traders/investors potentially looking at this analysis and I really do hope you guys can pull some nuggets from this post! So let's dive in
OK so for USDJPY I am really looking for just a simple reversal (mean reversion) type of trade here. IF you guys look at USDJPY on a macro technical perspective it is coming off of multi-decade highs (YEN at multi-decade lows) and the USD has been moving lower against the JPY for a few months now. Fundamentally (which I am just building off of general bias) speaking I do see the YEN grabbing some strength with heavy optimism coming for the YEN. With that in mind when looking at price and my simplistic approach to trading I see prices coming down to a weekly/daily level of strong demand (previous buying area). AMAZING thing about the charts is it is a footprint/receipt of the bigger players and we can see they were buying at this zone before which as retail traders should leave us to believe they may be buying this zone again...ever heard of "history repeats itself?" It is true in the markets as well
SO when looking at this trade some technical confluences I have that helped me build this bias were:
1. Prices has been dropping for weeks/daily downtrend is overextended
2. Weekly/Daily RSI (relative strength index) is oversold on 4H,1D & 1W timeframes
3. Weekly/Daily previous buyer demand zone
4. Fib alignment confluence for reversal and target zones
ALRIGHT guys hope this all made sense nice and simple potential short term reversal setup on the USDJPY currency pair. IF you guys enjoyed this analysis please boost this post & follow my page for more highly accurate trade analysis & setups! Until next time...Cheers!
GBP/USD March 10th - 14th Will uptrend continue?Last Week's Record Surge: The British pound experienced a significant surge last week, driven by weak U.S. economic data and increased expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts. The pound's strength was further supported by positive economic reports from the UK and the Eurozone.
The British pound has been performing well, mainly due to the weakness in the U.S. dollar and prevailing uncertainties. There's a weekly Bullish Institutional Sponsorship Index (BISI) at 1.3131, attracting price and liquidity at 1.3050, which suggests a continued bullish bias.
Key Levels to Watch:
Weekly BISI: 1.3131
Liquidity: 1.3050
On the daily chart, there's a BISI at 1.2865 and a daily inversion fair value gap (FVG) at 1.2850. Price is likely to fill these gaps before heading higher.
Key Daily Levels:
Daily BISI: 1.2865
Daily Inversion FVG: 1.2850
Additionally, on the 4-hour chart, there's liquidity at 1.2866 and a 1-hour BISI at the daily inversion FVG of 1.2850.
4-Hour and 1-Hour Chart Insights:
4-Hour Liquidity : 1.2866
1-Hour BISI: 1.2850 (Daily Inversion FVG)
Targets for the Week:
Target 1: 1.2945
Psychological Level: 1.3000
Target 2: 1.3050
DXY Confluence : The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is being attracted to the sell-side at 103.400.
Note: This week is packed with significant news events, including the CPI release, which could impact market movements.
NIFTY doesn’t looks good!! At strong RESISTANCEAs we can see NIFTY is trading at important supply zone which previously acted as a support but has been broken down. Hence unless 22600 is broken above, every rise can be shorted keeping SL above 22600 on closing basis so plan your trades accordingly and keep watching
Short trade
1Hr TF overview
Sellside trade
Sat 8th March 25
6.00 pm
Tokyo Session PM
Structure/Day
Entry 4Hr TF
Entry 0.6715
Profit level 0.5840 (13.03%)
Stop level 0.6794 (1.18%)
RR 11.08
Reason: Observing price action, the Day TF seemed indicative of a Sellside trade using the narrative of supply and demand for overall direactional bias.
Short trade
4Ht TF overview
Sellside trade
Sat 8th March 25
Pair BNBUSDT
3.00 pm
NY to Tokyo Session PM
Entry 595.31
Profit level 560.03 (5.93%)
Stop level 595.74 (0.07%)
RR 82.05
Reason: Observing price action on the 4Hr TF seemed indicative of a sellside trade using the narrative of supply and demand for direational bias
Welcome To The Long Awaited BTC Bear Market Fade the trend at your own risk.. It's always a good idea to SELL into WEAKNESS, and BUY into STENGTH.
The daily btc chart is confirmed bearish. Only the monthly and weekly chart are still bullish, but if the downtrend continues on the daily trend, then it will make its way to the Weekly chart and eventually the monthly chart.. This is going to happen slowly or a mega dump could speed it up. but the target remain the same.
We were all promised a "SUPER-CYCLE" and alot of people are still riding the narrative fueled by social media and constantly getting rekt . Trust ONLY what you see on charts ONLY !!.
I already started shorting the market way back since January when i stopped listening to the hype and started focusing on trading the trend on the chart as soon my trend indicator gave me a sell signal on the daily timeframe, everyone taught i was crazy in the chats for my bearish call outs. So far its been the BEST DECISION EVER !!
If you want to buy anything, just make sure its on Spot, you buy with the mindset that you are buying to hold until at least 2027 .There is no magical super cycle..The party is over until something crazy bullish happens or trump does something that sparks a new rally.