Tesla May Be StallingTesla bounced between early April and late May, but now it may be stalling.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the weekly low of $331.39 from May 22. TSLA fell below that level two weeks ago and was rejected at the same price area last week. Has old support become new resistance?
Second, the stock has fallen under its 8- and 21-day exponential moving averages (EMAs). The 8-day EMA is also at risk of slipping below the 21-day EMA. Such patterns may reflect short-term bearishness. Falling MACD paints a similar picture.
Third, the EV stock peaked at $488.54 in December -- above its previous high of $414.50 from November 2021. But it failed to hold, which could be viewed as a false breakout.
Those signals could focus traders’ attention on the April low of $214.15, which is still more than $100 below TSLA’s close on Tuesday.
Finally, TSLA is an active options underlier. (Its average daily volume of 2.6 million contracts last month ranked third in the entire market, according to TradeStation data.) That could make it easier for traders to take positions with calls and puts.
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Multiple Time Frame Analysis
DOW JONES Analysis This is U30 through my current lens, investigations of price action from W - D - 4H suggest Bullish.
factoring in the current fundamental conditions, I observe the US Dollar.
Monitor the US100 & US500 for any irregular correlation in price delivery between the 4H - 15M
I seek price to attack "Highs" and sustain strong "Lows".
Short trade
📍 Pair: CADJPY
📅 Date: Tuesday, June 17, 2025
🕒 Time: 3:00 PM (NY Session PM)
⏱ Time Frame: 1 Hour
📈 Direction: Sell-side
📊 Trade Breakdown:
Entry Price 106.484
Profit Level 106.029 (0.43%)
Stop Loss 106.603 (0.11%)
Risk-Reward Ratio 3.82
🧠 Context / Trade Notes:
1H Structure-Based Entry:
Trade was observed on the 1-hour chart, and sell-side trade was undertaken due to a clear bearish market structure in play.
Long trade
📍 Pair: GBPUSD
📅 Date: Tuesday, June 17, 2025
🕒 Time: 3:00 PM (NY Session PM)
⏱ Time Frame: 1 Hour
📈 Direction: Buyside
📊 Trade Breakdown:
Entry Price 1.34293
Profit Level 1.35653 (+1.01%)
Stop Loss 1.34086 (−0.15%)
Risk-Reward
Ratio 6.57 : 1
🧠 Context / Trade Notes:
Higher Timeframe Confluence:
Trade took off a 1-hour bullish order block following consistent higher highs and higher lows.
Choch + BOS Confirmed:
Clear change of character and break of structure gave the green light for a continuation long.
Skeptic | DXY Crash Alert: Epic Bearish Triggers Unleashed!heyy, traders, what’s good? It’s Skeptic ! 😎 Let’s dive into a full-on breakdown of DXY—the Dollar Index is making waves, and I’m hyped to unpack it. The 98.801 level looks busted with a pullback in play, and I’m expecting more action. Stick with me to the end as we rip through Daily and 4-Hour timeframes to catch the vibe and nail those triggers! 🚖
Daily Timeframe: The Big Picture
So, US inflation data came in softer than expected recently, but DXY still dumped. You might be like, “Wait, shouldn’t lower inflation juice up the dollar?” Nah, here’s the deal: markets move on expectations, not just news. When something grows in the markets, it’s ‘cause traders are betting it’ll keep growing—and vice versa. For DXY, traders are sniffing out a US economic slowdown and expecting the Federal Reserve to cut rates soon, which could spark higher inflation later. That’s the double-whammy driving DXY’s drop, despite the tame inflation numbers. This is the biggest secret in markets—nobody talks about it, but it’s what I learned in econ class and see every day: markets run on expectations. 📚
Major Trend: Per Dow Theory, we’re in a bearish trend as long as we’re below 98.801 .
Game Plan: While under this level, hunt longs on USD pairs like EUR/USD. If we break above 98.801, chill and let the market reform before jumping in.
4-Hour Timeframe: Long & Short Triggers
Now, let’s get to the 4-hour chart for the real action—our long and short triggers:
Short Trigger: A break below support at 98.017 could keep the bearish vibe rolling. RSI hitting oversold would be a dope confirmation. 😤
Long Trigger: Since the major trend is bearish, longs are against the flow, so keep risk tight and take profits quick. The trigger is a break above 98.801, but the main long trigger is smashing through 99.244. So, 99.244 is your go-to for longs. 💪
Pro Tip: Shorts align with the trend, so they’re safer, but longs need extra caution—small positions, tight stops, and don’t get greedy!
Final Vibe Check
That’s the DXY lowdown, fam! Markets are tricky, but if you stick to reasoning over hype, you’ll stay ahead. No FOMO, no hype, just reason —that’s how we roll at Skeptic Lab. Wanna dive deeper into risk management or another pair? Let me know! 🙌
💬 Let’s Talk!
If this analysis got you pumped, smash that boost—it means a ton! 😊 Got a pair or setup you want me to tackle next? Drop it in the comments. Thanks for vibing with me—keep trading sharp! ✌️
XAU/USD 18 June 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Following previous high, and printing of bearish CHoCH, price has pulled back to an M15 supply zone, where we are currently seeing a reaction. Therefore, I shall now confirm internal high.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
The remainder of my analysis shall remain the same as analysis dated 13 June 2025, apart from target price.
As per my analysis dated 22 May 2025 whereby I mentioned price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe despite internal structure being bearish.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH, which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor, with respect to depth of pullback.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,451.375.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
USDCHF: Pullback From Resistance 🇺🇸🇨🇭
USDCHF is going to retrace from a key daily horizontal resistance cluster.
As a confirmation, I spotted a bearish breakout of a support line of a rising
wedge pattern on an hourly time frame.
We see its retest now.
Goal - 0.815
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BTCUSDT. Initiative Analysis Market OverviewHey traders and investors!
📍 Context
On the daily and 4H timeframes, the market is in a sideways range (Black lines = range boundaries).
Buyer initiative is active on 4H. The target initiative is 108,952.
However, on the daily timeframe, the seller initiative is in control, and a seller zone has formed. The seller zone is the red rectangle on the chart.
📊 Key actions
The buyer attempted to break out of the range on the daily timeframe twice, but both times the seller pushed the price back inside.
The price is currently interacting with the seller zone. Watching for the reaction.
🎯 Trade Idea
🔸 Long positions — with caution. Only valid if the price holds above 105,336, aiming for the target at 108,952.
🔸 Until that happens, the priority is on further downside, in line with the current seller initiative on the daily. It’s reasonable to look for short setups if the seller defends 105,336.
This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA).
Wishing you profitable trades!
USDCAD POTENTIAL LONG OPPORTUNITY...HISTORY REPEATS ITSELFHey hey TradingView fam! It has been a minute (more like months lol) since I've done a post on here for you guys so just wanted to come on and drop an potential swing trade opportunity I see on the USDCAD currency pair! So let's get straight to it
OK so it is pretty straight forward (at least in my eyes) but as you can see on the chart USDCAD is coming into a weekly demand zone. IF you are unfamiliar with what a "demand zone" is it is actually very simple. Think of it this way...a buyer zone/area. Literally simple as that. It is a previous zone that a buyer was interested in before. How do we know that? One of the most incredible thing about the charts is that it is like a receipt. It shows the transactions that have taken place.
SO...when we look left back @ the 1.3600 price handle we can see that there was aggressive buying that took place here. How do we know? THE CHART LITERALLY ROSE/SKYROCKETED FROM THIS LEVEL. Ever heard of the phrase history repeats itself? It is ESPECIALLY true in the markets!
OK so hopefully you guys got some nuggets from this post was more of a psychological breakdown than anything but truly want to help those of you who may see the charts as this complicated phenomena to realize that it is actually so so simple. And my main goal is to make trading simple again.
Love & appreciate you all! Thanks for tuning in! If you found some value in this please boost this post & follow my page for accurate analysis and simple trading! Cheers!
GOLD - Selling opportunity on the horizonLooking at gold.
We have a nice bearish continuation orderflow on the 15min TF.
We have a nice potential inducement level of liquidity that we are more than likely to take before moving lower.
This is a reduced risk entry due to where we are on the higher TF as we are pulling into a potential demand zone on the higher timeframe.
ITS REALLY IMPORTANT to remember where we are in terms of structure and as we well know Gold doesn't tend to fall for to long as it remains bullish the majority of the time. so in regards to the HTF like I mentioned above we are still bullish so we are expecting a reversal for the longer term at some point in the near future so this could be a case of get what we can from the market and then look for our LTF orderflow to switch Bullish before then looking for them long entries
NZDUSD SHORTMarket structure bearish on HTFs DW
Entry at both Weekly and Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection At AOi
Daily Rejection at AOi
Previous Structure point Daily
Around Psychological Level 0.59500
H4 EMA retest
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
Levels 4.48
Entry 100%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
GBPUSD - Next point of interestAfternoon All,
So our GBPUSD trade from earlier didn't quite go to plan however I knew full well that we were building liquidity to the left on the higher timeframe.
This will be my next point of interest for a potential long.
Lets see how price plays out when we get down there.
GBPUSD - LongUnfortunately I can't post the idea on the 5min to give you a better idea of where we are at in terms of the entry for this.
However I am looking to be tagged into this trade and have a limit order where I have set it.
Hoping to be tagged in. If we aren't we move on. and if we lose we move on.
If im able to help with any questions you may have do send them my way
XAU/USD 17 June 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Following previous high, and printing of bearish CHoCH, price has pulled back to an M15 supply zone, where we are currently seeing a reaction. Therefore, I shall now confirm internal high.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
The remainder of my analysis shall remain the same as analysis dated 13 June 2025, apart from target price.
As per my analysis dated 22 May 2025 whereby I mentioned price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe despite internal structure being bearish.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH, which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor, with respect to depth of pullback.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,451.375.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
Long term trendThe long term trend line is long and strong with this one. We’re a good ways off of it though, so a mellowing while the Stochastic RSI resets could result in doubt that equates to a slight pullback. The trend line should provide ample support, due to the aforementioned length and strength, so new highs should be in order by the end of the month. 🎢
XAU / USD ANALYSIS [Bullish Bias]Gold continues to show strong bullish momentum, supported by key technical levels and favorable market structure. Price action remains constructive above the major support zone, indicating potential for further upside.
I'm closely monitoring the following levels for a high-probability long setup:
Demand Zone / Support Level:
Entry key level: 3375 - 3370
As long as gold holds above this support, the bias remains bullish with potential for a continuation toward higher resistance levels. A break and sustained move above the entry zone would confirm bullish strength and could trigger the next leg up.
Risk management remains key waiting for clear confirmation before entering is advised.
#GOLD, #FOREX , # VeloraFXReal