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Multiple Time Frame Analysis

Is a Big Move Coming in Crude Oil?Crude oil has been limping for most of this year, and now some traders may see risk of a bigger drop. The first pattern on today’s chart is the relentless series of lower highs since September 2023. The trend lines along these peaks have dropped at steeper angles, which potentially reflects increased selling pressure. The second pattern is the series of slightly higher lows since September 2024. That may be viewed as a bearish flag. Third, consider the 50-, 100- and 200-day simple moving averages (SMAs). They swung earlier in the year, with the faster above the slower at times but that changed 2-3 months ago. They’re now in a clearer sequence, with the faster SMAs below the slower SMAs. All three are also falling. That could also indicate a longer-term downtrend has developed. Next is the support zone around 64.50 to 67.75. Prices bounced quickly from this range between March and June of 2023, but are now spending more time in the same area. That could suggest longer-term support is fading. Speaking of longer-term support, the second chart uses 2-week candles to compare the current environment with late 2014. Both saw long periods of sideways movement with lower highs. The earlier moment saw an accelerated downtrend once the weekly support level broke. Could a similar move be coming soon? TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. See our Overview for more. Please add the futures disclosure: Security futures are not suitable for all investors. To obtain a copy of the security futures risk disclosure statement visit www.TradeStation.com . Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors. Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges. TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
NYMEX:CL1!
by TradeStation
Trading Strategy for AMD and QCOM1. Fibonacci Retracement: AMD: The chart shows Fibonacci levels drawn from the recent peak to the trough. Key levels are around 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, and 78.6%. Entry Points: Look for buying opportunities at the 38.2% and 50% retracement levels, which historically act as strong support zones where price often reverses. Exit Points: Set targets around the 23.6% retracement level or the previous high, considering volume and momentum. QCOM: Similar Fibonacci strategy applies. Identify retracement levels from recent highs to lows. Entry: Buy at 38.2% or 50% if the price shows reversal patterns like bullish engulfing or hammer at these levels. Exit: Aim for the 23.6% level or previous resistance zones. 2. Market Segment Analysis: AMD: Given its position in the semiconductor industry, especially with advancements in AI and gaming, AMD's price movements can be influenced by tech sector trends, competitor news, and broader market sentiment towards tech stocks. Strategy: Keep an eye on industry news, competitor earnings, and broader market indices like NASDAQ for correlation. QCOM: As a key player in mobile technology and IoT, QCOM's stock can be influenced by mobile device sales cycles, 5G adoption rates, and regulatory news concerning its licensing model. Strategy: Monitor global smartphone market trends, regulatory news, and advancements in 5G/6G technology for potential impact on stock price. 3. Risk Management: Stop Losses: Place stop losses below the last significant low for long positions or above significant highs for shorts, adjusted for volatility. Position Sizing: Ensure no single trade risks more than 1-2% of your total trading capital to manage risk effectively. 4. Integration with Other Tools: Volume Analysis: Use volume spikes to confirm trend strength or potential reversals. Earnings Reports: Both stocks are sensitive to earnings. Plan trades around these events, considering options for less risk if expecting volatility. This strategy leverages technical analysis with Fibonacci retracement for entry/exit points, aligns with broader market trends, and considers segment-specific news for AMD and QCOM, aiming for a balanced approach between technical precision and fundamental awareness.
NASDAQ:AMD
by stocktechbot
XAU/USD 06 December 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bullish. Bias/analysis remains the same as analysis dated 25 November 2024. Price Action Analysis: As mentioned in yesterday's analysis dated 24 November 2024, whereby price was expected to print a bearish CHoCH. This is how price printed. Currently, price is trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price is anticipated to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, which is marked in blue, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,721.420. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bearish. Today's analysis and bias will remain the same as analysis dated 26 November 2024. Price Action Analysis: Intraday expectation and analysis dated 25 November 2024 printed as anticipated, with price successfully printing a bearish iBOS after targeting the weak internal low. A correction from yesterday's intraday expectation: instead of targeting the weak internal high, price was expected to target the weak internal low. Price has since printed a bullish CHoCH, indicating, but not confirming, bullish pullback phase. We are now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price is anticipated to trade up to either the internal 50% EQ or the M15 supply zone before targeting the weak internal low at 2,605.310. Alternative Scenario: The H4 timeframe has printed a bearish CHoCH, indicating the initiation of a bearish pullback phase coupled with the fact that H4 TF is now trading in discount of internal 50%. However, this suggests that bearish momentum on M15 may face limitations as the broader H4 phase unfolds. Note: Given the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persistent geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is likely to remain elevated. Traders should remain cautious and prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
GBPUSD longs to close off the week.Having a look at W1, we can see that the previous week closed strong bullish engulf. This, to me, indicates and possible shift in momentum. The current weekly opened and pushed straight down and is currently making the top side of the candle. With NFP due today in like 5-6 hours, we could see a huge buy-up of price. Having a look at the current daily, confluence for buys can be seen as the candle formation is favourable. Waiting to see a break of 1.27750 to see price continue with an immediate push to the upside. 1 hour left till the H4 close, so will most likely wait for that. :)
Long
by LeruoM
1
BTC 1h updateWe've initiated a short position on the 1-hour chart, setting our sell level at 99,134, which aligns with the base of the sell effort bar. Currently, trading volume has decreased, indicating a lack of strong interest from both buyers and sellers. I'm anticipating that the price will approach this sell zone with minimal buying activity, at which point I expect sellers to assert themselves. At that juncture, we can look for a reliable upthrust pattern on the 5-minute chart to identify a suitable short entry point. Let's observe how this scenario unfolds.
Short
by MrXade
BTC 1D updateOn Thursday, December 5, 2024, the market formed a substantial upthrust bar at the resistance level established on November 23. This upthrust bar exhibited significant volume, with a positive delta volume indicating that buying pressure slightly exceeded selling pressure. However, an upthrust bar, characterized by a wide range and high volume closing near the low, often signals potential price declines. Therefore, a downward movement toward 86,702 is possible. However, the price may attempt to retest the sell zone and the upthrust level, potentially trapping early sellers. Caution is advised in this scenario.
Short
by MrXade
BTCUSDT. Short term analysisHello traders and investors! Daily Timeframe Analysis On the daily time frame, a range was formed on November 14, with the lower boundary at 85,072 and the upper boundary at 93,265.64. The seller's vector 5-6 is currently in play, with a potential target of 86,128.21 (85,072). Yesterday, the seller attempted for the second time to push the price back into the range below 93,265.64, but the buyer is still buying up. Hourly Timeframe Analysis On the hourly time frame, the seller has formed an impulse, with the impulse starting at 104,088 and ending at 90,500. Currently, the buyer has pushed the price back above 97,416.59, which is the start of the last buyer's impulse. The first resistance for buyers is 98,828-99,000. In a situation like this, it’s difficult to give priority to either the buyer or the seller. Formally, as long as the price is above 97,416.59, buying opportunities can be considered. If the price drops below 97,416.59, selling opportunities can be considered. It’s preferable to see strength from one of the sides (spread and volume), such as in the form of a buyer’s or seller’s zone, and then join the buying from the buyer's zone or selling from the seller’s zone upon their resumption. Good luck with your trading and investments!
by AlexeyWolf
UBER Technologies, Inc to crash 35%And that might just be the beginning of the end for UBER. ** A forecast for the months ahead ** On the above 6 day chart price action has rallied an astonishing 300% in the past 24 months. A number of reasons now exist for a bearish outlook. They include. 1) “Insider Has Just Sold Shares In Uber Technologies” “Chief Marketing Officer and Senior Vice President of Communications & Public Policy recently netted about US$2.0m selling shares at an average price of US$72.90.” simplywall.st Don’t ignore insider selling. 2) Price action and RSI support breakouts. 3) Regular bearish divergence. 4) The Put/Call ratio. Calls outnumber Puts 3 to 1. Is it possible price action continue up? Sure. Is it probable? No. Ww
NYSE:UBERShort
by without_worries
43
STELLAR BULLISH MOMENTUM-XLMCRYPTO:XLMUSD XLM Continuation Rally: An Analysis Bullish Arguments: PMH (Previous Monthly High) disrespected PML (Previous Monthly Low) disrespected Weekly Bullish FVG respected PWL (Previous Weekly Low) disrespected PWH (Previous Weekly High) disrespected PDL (Previous Daily Low) disrespected 4H swing low disrespected 4H Bullish FVG respected Bearish Arguments: PDH (Previous Daily High) respected 4H swing high respected Bullish 81.82%- Bearish 18.18% Trade Management: This setup involves high risk and requires close monitoring of price action. Use a tight stop-loss (SL) to manage risk, and aim for a take-profit (TP) near the 2021 ATH zone. Staying alert to market movements is critical for this trade
CRYPTO:XLMUSDLong
by Jaytradermb
Intel 50% bear market rally** short term study ** ** This is not an investment opportunity, a trade only ** Since the 60% correction call (below) the market has oversold extensively leaving gaps behind. Gaps get filled. On the above daily chart price action has printed strong positive divergence together with a price action resistance breakout. The Gap is actually the break of market structure on the short idea. Buyers at this level will be a source of exit liquidity for the bear market continuation. Is it possible price action continues correcting? Sure. It it probable? No. Ww Type: trade Risk: You decide Return: 50% 60% correction call
NASDAQ:INTCLong
by without_worries
12
#BTC - Bitcoin to $100K - What's Next? Major milestone for #BTC hitting $100K After a short correction we saw a break to the long awaited $100K Why I believe a sweep below is in the forming for the nex 5-10 days: The highest liquidity was above 100K, it got swept Price retraced to 60%, then extended to the current zone with forming a HTF FVG Given the liquidity now is way low, it needs to extend a bit more to the 1.382 - 1.618, which is a deviation, form some liquidity then trick everyone that we'll continue to 110-115k Plenty of retail will now go long on it given it passed the psychological barrier - will attract even more late longs the #TOTAL market cap is already extended and the funding rates are heating up quite fast Be on the lookout, take some profits if possible and prepare for the next leg up in around a week!
by tamastery
3
POTENTIAL USDJPY REVERSAL TRADE...SWING TRADE OPPORTUNITYHello everyone! Hope you guys are all seriously doing amazing...just wanted to come on here and make a post for potential I see on USDJPY! So let's dive right in! Here is the breakdown for what I see and what I will be using each timeframe for with this potential setup! Weekly Timeframe (1W): **coming off multi-decade highs/ all time highs from July of 2024 **previous weekly candle was a very strong bearish engulfing (showing us potential reversal/continuation) Daily Timeframe (1D): **daily broke structure and breach lows around 151.400 **now in a bearish trend **waiting for pullback into supply zone/ with fib confluence 4 Hour (hourly) Timeframe (4H: **strong momentum from the sellers **watching buyer momentum coming back into supply **look to see how price forms when coming into supply for potential shorts ALRIGHT guys! That is my breakdown for USDJPY nice and simple. Very straight forward potential higher timeframe reversal trade here especially now with the daily forming that lower lower in price with strong sellers! Big clues! Hope you all enjoyed please boost this post and follow my page for more high quality content! Have a blessed one! Cheers
Short
by JosePips
XAU/USD 05 December 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bullish. Bias/analysis remains the same as analysis dated 25 November 2024. Price Action Analysis: As mentioned in yesterday's analysis dated 24 November 2024, whereby price was expected to print a bearish CHoCH. This is how price printed. Currently, price is trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price is anticipated to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, which is marked in blue, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,721.420. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bearish. Today's analysis and bias will remain the same as analysis dated 26 November 2024. Price Action Analysis: Intraday expectation and analysis dated 25 November 2024 printed as anticipated, with price successfully printing a bearish iBOS after targeting the weak internal low. A correction from yesterday's intraday expectation: instead of targeting the weak internal high, price was expected to target the weak internal low. Price has since printed a bullish CHoCH, indicating, but not confirming, bullish pullback phase. We are now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price is anticipated to trade up to either the internal 50% EQ or the M15 supply zone before targeting the weak internal low at 2,605.310. Alternative Scenario: The H4 timeframe has printed a bearish CHoCH, indicating the initiation of a bearish pullback phase coupled with the fact that H4 TF is now trading in discount of internal 50%. However, this suggests that bearish momentum on M15 may face limitations as the broader H4 phase unfolds. Note: Given the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persistent geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is likely to remain elevated. Traders should remain cautious and prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
BTC ATH updateBitcoin has recently achieved an all-time high, surpassing $100,000. Currently, there is no sell zone on the 1-hour chart, and the price has moved beyond the sell zone on the 1-day chart. However, since the price is near the 1-day sell zone, caution is advised when considering long positions. A potential buy zone exists between 97,500 and 98,200 USDT on the 1-hour chart. If the price declines to this range today, it would re-enter the 1-day sell zone, potentially invalidating a long position. It's common for the market to test traders' patience at key levels on the 1-day chart. Proceed carefully.
by MrXade
GBPUSD: The 38% Fib Correction – A Prime Shorting OpportunityWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments! ** GBPUSD Analysis ! We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met. Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support! Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
Short
by OGT_Forex