GBPJPY in Premium Zones of 2008 Financial Crisis - {17/07/2025}Educational Analysis says that GBPJPY (FX pair) may give trend Trading opportunities from this range, according to my technical analysis.
Broker - FXCM
So, my analysis is based on a top-down approach from weekly to trend range to internal trend range.
So my analysis comprises of two structures: 1) Break of structure on weekly range and 2) Trading Range to fill the remaining fair value gap
Will Jpy start to lose value like it is doing since 2019 or it will do free fall same like 2008 crisis.
Let's see what this FX pair brings to the table for us in the future.
Please check the comment section to see how this turned out.
DISCLAIMER:-
This is not an entry signal. THIS IS FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY.
I HAVE NO CONCERNS WITH YOUR PROFIT OR LOSS,
Happy Trading.
Multiple Time Frame Analysis
NZDCAD SHORT Market structure bearish on HTFs DH
Entry at both Weekly and Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Daily Rejection at AOi
Previous Structure point Daily
Around Psychological Level 0.82000
H4 EMA retest
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
Levels 2.66
Entry 100%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
Long trade
15min TF
BTCUSD Perpetual – 15-Minute Chart Analysis
Key Trades Highlighted
Trade #1:
Type: Buyside trade
Entry: 114,171.5
Profit Level: 118,677.0 (+3.97%)
Stop Level: 113,635.5 (–0.47%)
Risk/Reward: 8.63
Entry Time: Thu 10th July 25, 5:15 pm (NY Session PM)
Target Reached: Fri 11th July 25, 5:30 pm
Trade Duration: ~24 hrs 15 min
Trade #2:
Type: Buyside trade
Entry: 116,411.5
Profit Level: 121,406.0 (+4.29%)
Stop Level: 115,751.0 (–0.57%)
Risk/Reward: 7.56
Entry Time: Tue 15th July 25, 11:30 am (NY Session AM)
Chart Structure & Technicals
Trend: Strong bullish impulse, minor retracement, continuation attempt.
Moving Averages:
EMA (blue): 117,873.4 (dynamic support/resistance)
WMA (yellow): 117,858.0 (price riding above, confirming bullish momentum)
Key Levels:
Resistance: 121,406 – 121,390 zone (Profit Target)
Support: 116,416 – 116,411 zone (entry confluence for current trade), 115,751 (stop)
Major Swing Low: 113,635 (protective stop on previous trade)
Volume/Orderflow Insights
Impulse up from below 114k, pausing at 121k resistance.
Volume is considered likely to increase at key support zones (116,400–116,000) and around target/profit-taking regions.
Actionable Trade Ideas
If Long:
Stay in: As long as price holds above the 116,411–116,416 support, with stops below 115,751.
Targets: 121,406 (major), consider partials at prior swing highs or if momentum stalls.
If Not In:
Re-entry Zone: Watch for bullish reaction at 116,416–116,000; enter on confirmation (engulfing, break of LTF structure).
Invalidation: Clean 15-min close below 115,751, or signs of heavy sell pressure.
If Short Bias:
Wait for a break and retest below 115,751 for a possible short to 114,700, but primary bias remains bullish above this zone.
Summary Table
Trade Direction Entry Stop Target R: R Duration Status
#1 Long 114,171.5 113,635.5 118,677.0 8.63 24h 15m Closed TP
#2 Long 116,411.5 115,751.0 121,406.0 7.56 In Progress Active trade
Outlook
Maintain bullish bias as long as 116,400 holds.
Look for trend continuation toward 121k+ on breakout.
Monitor for reversal signals if price fails to reclaim/hold above WMA or EMA.
Skeptic | XAG/USD Analysis: Precision Triggers for Spot & FutureHey everyone, it’s Skeptic! 😎 Ready to ride XAG/USD’s next wave? Let’s dive into XAG/USD (Silver) to uncover long and short triggers that can deliver solid profits. Currently trading around $ 36.31 , we’re analyzing Daily and 4-hour timeframes to pinpoint high-probability setups. Here’s the no-nonsense breakdown to keep you sharp. 📊
📈 Daily Timeframe
On the Daily timeframe, we saw a strong primary uptrend sparked by a V-pattern breakout at $ 33.68317 , which drove a 10% rally, as flagged in my previous analyses—hope you caught it! We’re now in a consolidation box, potentially acting as accumulation or distribution. Today’s candle faced a strong rejection from the box ceiling. If it closes this way in 9 hours, the odds of breaking the box floor increase significantly.
Key Supports: If the floor breaks, watch $ 34.78648 and $ 34.41291 as strong reaction zones for potential bounces.
4-Hour Timeframe (Futures Triggers)
On the 4-hour timeframe, let’s lock in long and short triggers:
Long Trigger: Break above resistance at $ 37.29163 , confirmed by RSI entering overbought. Check my RSI guide for how I optimize setups with RSI.
Short Trigger: Break below support at $ 35.59660 , with volume confirmation. Additional confirmation: RSI entering oversold.
Confirmation Timing: Choose your confirmation timeframe based on your style—4-hour, 1-hour, or even 15-minute. I typically confirm triggers on 15-minute closes for precision, but if 1-hour momentum kicks in, I use 1-hour candle closes. Focus on candle body closes, not just shadows, to avoid fakeouts.
Pro Tip: Stick to 1%–2% risk per trade for capital protection.
Final Vibe Check
This XAG/USD breakdown arms you with precise triggers: long at $37.29163, short at $35.59660, with volume and RSI as your allies. The Daily consolidation signals a big move is brewing—stay patient for the ceiling or floor break. Want more cycle-based setups or another pair? Drop it in the comments! If this analysis sharpened your edge, hit that boost—it fuels my mission! 😊 Stay disciplined, fam! ✌️
💬 Let’s Talk!
Which Silver trigger are you eyeing? Share your thoughts in the comments, and let’s crush it together!
USDCHF ENTRY CHARTWe are BULLISH on this Pair, as we have a shift in trend at yesterday's daily close, the INTRA-DAY TF trend as also shifted to the upside, on our h1, we got a breaker block+ inducement with other confluences, if this matches with your idea, you can add to your watch-list. THANK YOU
CRUDE OIL (WTI): Your Trading Plan Explained
Do not forget that today we expect Crude Oil Inventories data
release - it will be 10:30 am NY time.
Ahead of this news, the market is testing a significant daily support cluster
that is based on a rising trend line and a horizontal structure.
You signal to buy will be a bullish breakout of a minor intraday
horizontal resistance on a 4H.
4H candle close above 66,5 will be your confirmation.
A bullish continuation will be expected to 67.6 then.
I suggest waiting for the news release first and then check how
the market prices in the news. If our technicals align with fundamentals,
it will provide an accurate setup.
Alternatively, a bearish violation of a blue support will push the prices lower.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
XAU/USD 16 July 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
You will note that price has targeted weak internal high on two separate occasions forming a double top which is a bearish reversal pattern. This is in-line with HTF bearish pullback phase.
Remainder of analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025.
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
H4 Timeframe - Price has failed to target weak internal high, therefore, it would not be unrealistic if price printed a bearish iBOS.
The remainder of my analysis shall remain the same as analysis dated 13 June 2025, apart from target price.
As per my analysis dated 22 May 2025 whereby I mentioned price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe despite internal structure being bearish.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH, which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor, with respect to depth of pullback.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,451.375.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
DOLLAR INDEX (DXY): Bearish Move From Key Level
I think that Dollar Index may drop from a key daily horizontal resistance level.
As a confirmation, I spotted an inverted cup & handle pattern on an hourly time frame
and a bearish violation of its neckline.
The market will most likely continue falling at least to 98.36
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Silver. The price has pulled backHi traders and investors!
On the daily timeframe, the price has broken out of the sideways range through the upper boundary at 37.31.
The price has pulled back close to levels where potential buy patterns could form — 37.54, 37.47, and 37.31.
This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA).
Wishing you profitable trades!
Gold Pullback in Play – Still Aiming for 3450 📌 In yesterday’s analysis, I argued that bulls likely won the battle and that a new leg up toward 3450 could be next from a swing trade perspective. I also mentioned that buying dips remains the preferred strategy.
And indeed – we got that dip.
📉 Price pulled back to 3340 and bounced,
but it hasn’t yet touched my key area of interest: 3330–3335.
What now?
My view stays the same –I still expect a move toward the 3450 zone,but I also believe a deeper dip toward support is still on the table – likely a liquidity grab before the next leg up.
Trading Plan:
✅ Buying dips remains the core strategy
🚫 Invalidation only comes on a break below 3305–3310
🎯 Upside target remains well above 3400, aiming for 1000+ pips
Let’s stay focused and let price come to us.
🚀
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
XAUUSD ANALYSISOn gold currently we're analyzing 2H time frame. As we know that current trend was bullish. At this stage, I'm anticipating a retracement towards my Point of Interest (POI), where I’ll be looking for a clear bullish confirmation, ideally through candlestick structure or solid price action. Only upon receiving that confirmation will I consider entering a buy position.
This outlook is based on the higher time frame structure. For now, I'm observing patiently to see how price unfolds. Until the market sweeps the SSL liquidity, I will remain on the sidelines no entries until that key liquidity level has been taken. Confirmation is key.
Always use stoploss for your trade.
Always use proper money management and proper risk to reward ratio.
#XAUUSD 2H Technical Analysis Expected Move.
Starknet (STRK) 800% move to print? April 5th, 2025** for the months ahead **
On the above 2 day chart price action has corrected 80% since late 2024. A number of reasons now exist to consider a long position. They include:
1. Price action and RSI resistance breakouts.
2. RSI trend reversal.
3. Regular bullish divergence.
4. There are two resistance levels to consider look out for, one at 400% and the next at 800%
Is it possible price action continues to correct? Sure.
Is it probable? No.
Ww
Trading Day SummaryTrading Day Summary
Today wasn’t a winning day on the books, but it was a major win in discipline.
I hit my daily loss limit before 10 AM, stopped live trading, and switched over to paper trades to protect my capital.
The setups I took—especially in Gold and Euro—lacked full confirmation, and one overnight trade didn’t align with my plan.
I experienced around $200 in slippage, which added to the loss.
The bright side? I stayed in control. No revenge trades. No emotional spirals.
My paper trade afterward was textbook—5R+ potential. That tells me the strategy is sound. Execution and timing just need to be sharper.
Bottom line: this is a marathon, not a sprint. I’m proud of the discipline and the mindset. Tomorrow, we reset and refocus.
PVSRA Bitcoin AnalysisMay 08 2025 a bullish candle's parallel volume bar broke the threshold in the below pane; indicating price instability, or unfilled orders if you will. June 22 price returns to that full candle body and dips $500 below it, to feel the opposing force and realize orders have been filled and we are in equilibrium. This set up is usually set up and finished in 1-2 weeks (volume absorption) so this 1.5 month setup was an outlier and a grind that paid off BIG patience and knowing your plan of attack is everything in this game, you have to have a plan for every single variable and NEVER stray.
Present day, a 30 minute candle has broken our volume threshold, and weve moved aggressively away from that magnetic force inevitably pulling price back towards it EVENTUALLY as it did june 22nd. Due to the commonality and the recentness of the move that just happened of 5/8-6/22, we can suspect price pattern will repeat and price will be bid up, from 115-120k, where we will then reverse to 103. The bar pattern from the 5'8 6'22 move was copied, pasted, and retrofitted to current time.
Regardless of the exact pattern of the move we expect price eventually to resolve those orders at the 103 mark and our moves are based in that zone. This seems like a range out as we capitulate these 6 figures whilst remaining in a bull market.