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Multiple Time Frame Analysis

NZDUSD - The uptrend of the dollar is over?!The NZDUSD currency pair is below the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4-hour timeframe. In case of upward correction, we can see the supply zone and sell within that range with appropriate risk reward. A valid break of the support area will provide us with the continuation of the downward path of this currency pair. At the beginning of 2025, the US dollar has continued its upward trajectory, solidifying its position as one of the leading global currencies. After delivering a strong performance in 2023 and 2024, the dollar has now risen by more than 1% against the euro and the British pound, outpacing other major currencies. From an economic news perspective, recent reports have had little impact on the market. While data on jobless claims, affected by holiday factors, were assessed positively, reports such as construction spending and manufacturing PMI fell short of expectations. However, these statistics failed to create significant market movement, with US Treasury yields seeing only a slight uptick. According to data published by S&P Global, the US manufacturing PMI for December 2024 stood at 49.4, a slight decline from 49.7 in November. This figure remains below the 50-point threshold, indicating contraction in manufacturing activity. Nonetheless, there has been a slight recovery from the mid-month figure of 48.3. Manufacturing output in November declined for the fourth consecutive month, hitting its lowest level in 18 months. Additionally, new orders continued to fall, though at a slower pace compared to previous months. However, export orders experienced a steeper decline, primarily driven by economic weakness in Europe and Australia. In the employment sector, there has been modest yet positive growth for the second consecutive month, reflecting manufacturers’ efforts to retain their workforce. Input cost inflation has reached its highest level since August 2024, largely due to concerns over trade tariffs and potential protectionist policies. Approximately 25% of firms attributed their increased purchases to tariff threats, highlighting concerns over the inflationary effects of such policies. Despite current challenges, manufacturers are increasingly optimistic about the future. This optimism, which has reached its highest level in two and a half years, stems from reduced uncertainties following the elections and positive expectations of stronger economic growth and supportive government policies in 2025. However, the gap between current production levels and future expectations has reached its widest point in a decade, excluding the COVID-19 pandemic period. The main driver behind the strength of the US dollar is capital inflows. While the US economy appears robust, this alone does not explain the dollar’s growth. A confluence of positive factors has made US assets attractive, with the country’s stock markets outperforming other global markets. Currently, a significant portion of global capital formation is concentrated in the US dollar and its markets. Nevertheless, risks such as rising tariffs or restrictive fiscal policies could alter the dollar’s trajectory. For now, the market shows little concern about the Republican-led Congress, and the US dollar continues to assert its dominance in global markets. Donald Trump, the US President-elect, recently tweeted that tariffs have brought immense wealth to the country and that he plans to continue these policies after assuming office on January 20. Trump also referenced border issues, calling Joe Biden the “worst president in US history.” The chief asset strategist at HSBC Bank highlighted the hawkish messages from the Federal Reserve’s December meeting as a cause for concern. January is expected to be highly volatile, but these fluctuations could present intriguing investment opportunities.
Short
by Ali_PSND
BTCUSDT Rejecting off Fib Channel and Looking for Lower LowsBTC is currently rejecting off the bottom of the 161.8% Fib Channel Extension and is looking to make a lower low and test the supply zone in the region of 87k. Fibonacci Channels are notoriously subjective, which is why it is always important to validate any price interaction with these channel levels prior to making trading decisions. In this case with BTC, I have drawn the Fib Channel with these vertices marked in blue circles. Adding in the 3 extension levels (123.6%, 138.2%, 161.8%), indicated by the blue arrow, we can see that this channel is still proving to be a valid application beyond the 100% level. Zooming in to the lower timeframe (30min) provides further validation of these extension levels. Finally, applying a traditional Fibonacci retracement tool to the bearish move from 108k down to 92k, shows that the first extension take profit region (between 87.9k and 86.5k) aligns well with the yellow box that marks the demand zone from the initial consolidation in this region. Layering in a short position now, with a target of 87k is the goal of this idea. The idea is invalidated if we move above 95k again in the short term.
Short
by DoryFish
3
GLPI truly bottom bouncing and another dirt cheap stockIt doesn't have a lot of attention. All I know is the chart looks right to me and its spent enough time down here and its not getting cheaper. Gaming and Leisure Properties, Inc. (GLPI) is a real estate investment trust (REIT) specializing in gaming and leisure properties across the United States. **Recent Developments:** - **Analyst Coverage:** Barclays initiated coverage on GLPI with an "equal weight" rating and a price target of $54.53. - **Dividend Announcement:** GLPI declared a quarterly dividend of $0.76 per share, yielding approximately 6.54% annually. - **Financial Performance:** In Q3 2024, GLPI reported total revenue of $385.3 million, a 7.2% increase year-over-year, and adjusted funds from operations (AFFO) of $268.2 million. **Considerations:** Investors should note that while GLPI offers a strong dividend yield and has shown revenue growth, the "equal weight" analyst rating suggests a balanced risk-reward profile. It's essential to conduct thorough research and consider current market conditions before making investment decisions related to GLPI. Here’s a **1-to-10 scoring** for Gaming and Leisure Properties, Inc. (GLPI) based on interest and investment appeal: --- ### **1. Retail Investor Interest (Forums, Social Media): 6/10** - Moderate mentions on investment forums and dividend-focused communities. - GLPI attracts income-focused retail investors due to its high dividend yield. ### **2. Institutional Interest (Analyst Coverage, Funds): 7/10** - Well-covered by analysts with stable ratings, including a recent "equal weight" rating from Barclays. - REIT-focused funds often include GLPI due to its steady cash flow and sector positioning. ### **3. Dividend Appeal (Yield and Consistency): 9/10** - A strong dividend yield of ~6.54%, combined with consistent quarterly payouts, makes it highly attractive for income investors. ### **4. Growth Potential (Industry and Market Position): 7/10** - Positioned in the gaming and leisure sector, which has shown resilience and growth in recent years. - Steady revenue growth of 7.2% year-over-year adds to its long-term appeal. ### **5. Speculative/Breakout Interest (Short-Term): 5/10** - Lacks high volatility or speculative buzz, with more focus on stability and consistent returns. - Limited short-term breakout interest due to its REIT nature. --- ### **Overall Interest Score: 7/10** GLPI is a strong pick for income-focused and long-term investors seeking stable dividends and exposure to the gaming and leisure sector. It’s less appealing for short-term traders or speculative plays but holds steady interest due to its robust fundamentals and reliable payouts. by iCantw84it 01.02.25
NASDAQ:GLPILong
by iCantw84it
OHI Setting up for a Break out Not a lot of news on this one. But the chart is setting up for another Breakout. On the daily it already hit bottom and Manipulated it so in my book its accomplished everything it needs to start a climb up. Daily Chart On the Hourly Chart it shows early signs of Volume pushes and Breaking out over my lines. Refer to the QS idea for a break down of how the indicator works pls. In option calls on this Looking for it to Reclaim the $40-43 Range in the next 30 days. by iCantw84it 01.02.25
NYSE:OHILong
by iCantw84it
Ripple XRP Huge BULL FLAG formation? XRP ALERT!Not my typical trade setup but when they are as obvious as this one has to take note.❗️ With such a strong rally over the past 24hrs or so you would be forgiven for expecting XRP to take a breather and have some sort or retracement but two things I always teach is: 🟢 Every strong trend starts with a breakout and 🟢 An asset can retrace in TIME rather than in PRICE, more commonly viewed as a consolidation on the chart. If you plan on taking on this setup remember to consider entry on a lower timeframe to manage risk and reduce the stop level if you use one. I know alot of you younger guys refuse to use stops "YOLO" you say BUT like I say "you can't trade without CAPITAL" so always manage your risk.👌
COINBASE:XRPUSDLong
by seekingpips
1
Stock Of The Day / 12.31.24 / BDMD12.31.2024 / NASDAQ:BDMD #BDMD Fundamentals. Neutral news background. Technical analysis. Daily chart: Strong squeeze on a range movement. We mark levels 2.58 (high of the daily candle from 12.19) and 7.88 (high of the candle after the gap). Premarket: Gap Up on moderate volume. Trading session: The price consolidated above the level of 2.58 after an impulse growth at the opening and breakout 2.58. An attempt to return below 2.58 at 10:06 a.m. was unsuccessful and the price began to tighten to the level. We are considering a long trade to continue the movement in case the tightening structure is broken upward. Trading scenario: pullback along the trend (false tightening) to the level 2.58 Entry: 2.94 after the tightening structure is broken and held the price above the level. Stop: 2.49 we hide behind the level and behind the round number 2.50 Exit: Close part of the position near ​​6.66 when signs of weakness in the upward movement appear. Close the remaining part before the daily level of 7.88 Risk Rewards: 1/10
NASDAQ:BDMDLong
by AlexX31
2
EURGBP - Europe will pass this winter safely!?The EURGBP currency pair is below the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4-hour timeframe and is moving in its descending channel. If the resistance range is broken, we can witness the upward movement of this currency pair. A valid break of the drawn upward trend line will provide us with the downward path of this currency pair to the level of 0.82400. Bloomberg has reported that the cessation of Russian natural gas flow to Europe via Ukraine is likely to heighten competition with Asia and drive up the cost of alternatives. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky stated on Wednesday that Ukraine hopes increased gas supplies from the U.S. and other producers to Europe will make prices more acceptable. The flow of gas from Russia to Europe through Ukraine stopped on Wednesday, marking the end of over five decades of this route being the primary channel for gas to the Eurozone. While this move was anticipated after months of political tension, Europe still needs to replace about 5% of its gas supply and may increasingly rely on storage levels that have now dropped below average. The European Commission noted that the suspension of gas flow via Ukraine on January 1st was a foreseen scenario, and the EU is prepared for it. Christine Lagarde, President of the European Central Bank (ECB), expressed optimism that the ECB could achieve a 2% inflation rate by 2025. She stated, “We have made significant progress in reducing inflation in 2024 and hope that 2025 will be the year we reach our target as expected and planned in our strategy. However, we will continue our efforts to ensure inflation stabilizes at the 2% medium-term target.” Meanwhile, UBS has noted that the value of the U.S. dollar has increased, suggesting that investors can sell dollars more robustly and convert them to currencies such as the British pound or the Australian dollar. Despite the recent rise in the dollar’s value, driven by shifts in expectations around Federal Reserve policies and U.S. government actions, the bank believes the dollar remains overvalued. While UBS does not anticipate a sharp decline in the dollar’s value in the short term, it sees opportunities for investors to pivot toward more attractive currencies. The British pound (GBP) and Australian dollar (AUD) are among its top picks due to their potential to perform well amidst evolving global monetary conditions. Additionally, according to data from Nationwide, house prices in the UK reached near-record levels at the end of last year. This indicates that the real estate market continues to gain momentum. Nationwide reported that house prices rose by 0.7% on a monthly basis, reaching an average of £269,426 (equivalent to $337,500). This figure is only slightly below the record high of £273,751 recorded in the summer of 2022.
Long
by Ali_PSND
USDCAD: political crisis and tariff crisis in Canada!The USDCAD currency pair is above the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4-hour timeframe and is moving in its upward channel. The correction of this currency pair towards the demand zones will provide us with the next buying position. The political crisis surrounding Justin Trudeau is deepening, with an increasing number of Liberal Party members publicly calling for the Canadian Prime Minister to step down and allow a new leader to take charge before the 2025 elections. Chad Collins, a Member of Parliament from Ontario, stated that nearly 50 elected Liberals are part of a growing group advocating for Trudeau’s resignation. Other Liberal opponents have reported similar numbers, representing approximately one-third of the 153 Liberal MPs in the House of Commons. The resignation of Chrystia Freeland, Trudeau’s influential Finance Minister and longtime deputy, has been a significant blow to the Prime Minister. Collins remarked that this resignation has caused irreparable harm to Trudeau. Freeland explained that she decided to resign after being informed of a reassignment within the cabinet. She mentioned that Trudeau informed her of the decision only three days before an important speech intended to update the nation on its financial and economic status. Criticizing Trudeau’s leadership, Collins said, “I don’t know who is advising him, but I can guess. This advice is far from effective. Ultimately, he is responsible for his decisions, and we are now witnessing consequences that many consider to be a clear demonstration of poor judgment.” Trudeau, now 52, has been under mounting pressure to resign for months. In June, the Liberals lost a by-election in a Toronto district they had held for decades. Similarly, they lost another seat in Montreal in September. However, Freeland’s resignation, amid economic threats posed by Trump’s incoming administration, has turned discontent into a full-blown crisis for Trudeau. The Prime Minister has canceled all of his usual year-end television interviews. Collins warned that more Liberals would exit politics if Trudeau insists on staying in power. Meanwhile, Ian de Verteuil, an equity strategist at CIBC Capital Markets, discussed Donald Trump’s tariff threats against Canada in an interview with Bloomberg. He argued that Trump’s threat to impose sweeping tariffs on Canadian imports on his first day in office could hurt American consumers and is unlikely to proceed without major revisions. De Verteuil emphasized that Trump should be taken seriously, though not always literally. He added that Trump’s slogan, “Make America Great Again,” would be put to the test if a 25% tariff were imposed on Mexican and Canadian goods. Such tariffs could harm American consumers and are unlikely to be implemented. He further noted that tariffs are unlikely to target fossil fuels or auto parts from Canada, given the U.S. economy’s heavy reliance on these imports. However, companies exporting consumer goods such as clothing and vehicles to the U.S. are at greater risk. De Verteuil also highlighted that Mexican companies exporting goods to the U.S. would face more significant impacts, as Trump’s border concerns primarily focus on America’s southern neighbor. In conclusion, he stated that Canada remains a vital trade partner for the U.S., and major challenges for Canada in 2025 are highly improbable.
Long
by Ali_PSND