Mid-Session Market ReviewMid-Session Market Review
S&P 500: After some initial volatility from the 8:30 news, the market accepted above the prior day’s levels but has since pulled back within range, consolidating just below the highs.
NASDAQ: The NASDAQ remains above all of yesterday’s levels and is currently balancing between the high of the day and the 23,100 level, showing a rotational pattern.
Russell 2000: This market is rotational within the prior day’s range and has accepted below the CVA and PVA. Potential trade opportunities might come with a pullback to the 2,245 area.
Gold: Gold has accepted below the prior value area and is still rotational within the CVA. Trade opportunities could present themselves near the prior day’s low.
Crude Oil: The market is quite choppy, hovering around the prior day’s low and value area low. Caution is advised, with potential long opportunities on a pullback, as long as conditions align.
Euro Dollar: The Euro is dropping significantly, moving below all key levels without much respect for them. This could provide short opportunities if there’s a pullback.
Yen: Similar to the Euro, the Yen is also pushing below previous levels. It’s getting choppy near the CVA low, so caution is needed until it shows more respect for those levels.
Natural Gas: The market is rotational within the prior day’s range and respecting the CVA high. Long opportunities might be possible if conditions are right.
Aussie Dollar: It’s showing some respect for the CVA low and is still rotational. There could be a potential long setup forming, depending on how it plays out.
British Pound: The Pound has accepted below all key levels, and a pullback to the CVA low might provide short opportunities, though caution is needed around the VWAP.
Multiple Time Frame Analysis
July 2025 - New Kind of Network (NKN) 4000% before October 2025** The months ahead **
On the above 8 day chart price action has corrected 99% since 2021. The chart now displays a compelling technical setup that suggests a strong bullish continuation could be on the horizon.
Bullish Arguments:
Price action forms a clear bull flag pattern
A classic continuation pattern typically appears after a strong upward movement (the "flag pole" or impulsive wave) and is followed by a period of downward consolidation (the "flag"). Albeit the formation rarely prints over such a long period of time for a crypto. The downtrend resistance is now broken with a support confirmation suggesting price action is preparing for another leg up, resuming its prior bullish momentum from 2020.
Strong support confirmation on past resistance
Look left. Historical price zone has proven its significance in the past, acting as both a ceiling and a floor for price movements. The current bounce off past resistance, marked by a higher low, indicates buyers are stepping in at this area. The volume entering the market, collecting emotional seller capitulations, is notable.
Relative Strength Index (RSI) confirms resistance breakout
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) reinforces the bullish outlook. Notice prior to the resistance breakout the index would now print a higher low from the same support area as in 2020.
Money Flow Index (MFI) resistance breakout
The Money Flow Index (MFI) in the lower panel provides excellent confirmation of the bullish sentiment, follow the money! The new money shows a clear pattern of resistance breakout, mirroring previous instances (marked as 1 and 2) where similar money flow preceded to see strong upward moves in price action. This indicates that money is flowing back into the token, for whatever reason I do not know.
Considering the clear bull flag formation, the strong bounce off a critical support/resistance zone, and the confirming signals from RSI and MFI indexes (or indices?!) NKN appears poised for a significant upward continuation.
Is it possible price action continues to print lower lows? Sure.
Is it probable? No.
Ww
Is it right time and choice to buy UNH Stock - {15/07/2025}Educational Analysis says that UNH Stock (USA) may give trend Trading opportunities from this range, according to my technical analysis.
Broker - NA
So, my analysis is based on a top-down approach from weekly to trend range to internal trend range.
So my analysis comprises of two structures: 1) Break of structure on weekly range and 2) Trading Range to fill the remaining fair value gap
Let's see what this Stock brings to the table for us in the future.
Please check the comment section to see how this turned out.
DISCLAIMER:-
This is not an entry signal. THIS IS FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY.
I HAVE NO CONCERNS WITH YOUR PROFIT OR LOSS,
Happy Trading.
AUDUSD ENTRY CHARTOn this pair, we are still BEARISH, First we have our trend still on the a DOWNTREND, also on the Hourly, we got a strong KEY LEVELs+ INDUCEMENT/IMBALANCE,we got our confirmation on the LTF already, we are waiting for Price to get us IN, we also have other additional confluence on this PAIR, So if this matches with your IDEA, you can look to join us with a good risk, also note that we have got STRONG INFLATION RATE NEWS on the DOLLAR, so be watchful. THANK YOU>
Pre-Market PrepToday’s market insights show a lot of potential opportunities across the board:
S&P 500: We’re in a strong upward imbalance, trading above the prior day’s range and value area. The focus is on long opportunities, but waiting for confirmation on any pullbacks.
NASDAQ & Russell 2000: Similar to the S&P, both are also in an upward imbalance. For the Russell, there’s a specific focus on looking for long setups around the prior day’s high.
Gold: The market is rotational within the prior day’s range and value area, with a slight bias toward looking for long opportunities from the lower end of that range.
Crude Oil: After some initial volatility, it has settled back into the prior day’s range. Long opportunities look promising, especially on a pullback to the CVA low.
Euro Dollar: The market is a bit low on volume and holding below the CVA. Longs are considered if we see acceptance back into that area, while shorts are on the table if we remain below the prior day’s value area.
Yen Dollar: Trading below the prior day’s range and value area, the focus is on short opportunities, especially if we see continued acceptance below key levels.
Aussie Dollar: It’s rotational and currently above the prior day’s value area, making both long and short opportunities viable, depending on how the market moves.
Nat Gas: It’s also rotational within the prior day’s range, but further analysis is needed after updating levels.
Overall, the strategy is to trade smart, confirm setups, and stay aware of the bigger trends while managing risk.
XAU/USD 15 July Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
You will note that price has targeted weak internal high on two separate occasions forming a double top which is a bearish reversal pattern. This is in-line with HTF bearish pullback phase.
Remainder of analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025.
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
H4 Timeframe - Price has failed to target weak internal high, therefore, it would not be unrealistic if price printed a bearish iBOS.
The remainder of my analysis shall remain the same as analysis dated 13 June 2025, apart from target price.
As per my analysis dated 22 May 2025 whereby I mentioned price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe despite internal structure being bearish.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH, which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor, with respect to depth of pullback.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,451.375.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart:
End-of-Session Market ReviewToday was a solid trading day with some interesting moves across the markets:
S&P 500: The market trended upwards from the open, gradually moving into and above the prior day’s value area, closing near the high of that range.
NASDAQ 100: After some initial back-and-forth, it climbed above the prior day’s high and value area, showing strength into the close.
Russell 2000: This market was quite choppy and balanced for a good part of the session, but eventually pushed up to close near the prior value area high.
Gold: It stayed range-bound, moving between the CVA high and the prior day’s value area without breaking out.
Crude Oil: We saw a significant drop right from the start, with prices falling about 1.5 points and ending the day lower, though still within the prior day’s range.
Euro Dollar: It tested the CVA low, dipped below the prior day’s low, and then bounced back to close around that level.
Yen Dollar: It started near the prior value area low, accepted below it by midday, and remained balanced in that lower range.
Aussie Dollar: Initially, it held above the CVA area and tested a higher level before sharply dropping below the prior day’s low and then balancing in that lower area.
In total, I took eight trades today. Two of them were in the Yen, both valid setups that didn’t work out and ended in stop-outs. I also took some long trades in the Aussie Dollar that I probably could have avoided since the market was choppy.
On the positive side, I managed risk well and ended up with two winning trades that put me in the green by about $1,200. Overall, I’d rate today as an A- day. Moving forward, I’ll focus on staying out of choppy markets, paying attention to the developing value area, and possibly using Heikin Ashi bars for better clarity.
GBPCAD SHORTMarket structure bearish on HTFs DH
Entry at both Weekly and Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Daily Rejection at AOi
Daily EMA retest
Previous Structure point Daily
Around Psychological Level 1.85500
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
Levels 4.04
Entry 100%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
WIF/USDT: Dog back on track?WIF is building a "Cup And Handle" pattern alongside a (hopefully) last trendline, Trendline 1.
That breakout would lead back to the main keylevel, which is also the neckline of a H&S formation on a higher timeframe. To make it even more funny, that H&S is "the handle" of a even bigger cup n handle pattern on the next HTF.
So the break of trendline 1 might bring us to the keylevel, and that might start the H&S being "priced".
USD/JPY sell opportunity approaching?USD/JPY is approaching previous swing high and resistance zone.
Bullish closure above the swing high (148.031) could indicate further push up.
Failure to close above swing high (bullish candle tapping into it, but only with the wig) and second bearish candle closing below the previous bullish opens sell opportunity.
SELL IDEA
entry: 147.928
SL: 148.196
TP: 145.970 (around 0.618 Fib retracement)
Potential second TP at 145.378 (0.5 Fib retracement).
PLEASE NOTE THIS IS ONLY AN IDEA
I am not a professional trader, but learning to analyse and looking to share ideas and get feedback.
Mid-Session Market InsightsMid-Session Market Insights
In today's session, I'm closely monitoring eight different futures markets: S&P 500, NASDAQ 100, Russell 2000, Gold, Crude Oil, Euro Dollar, Yen Dollar, and Aussie Dollar.
S&P 500: We're seeing a rotational pattern within the prior day's value area and the CVA. I'm eyeing long opportunities from the prior value area low up to the high.
NASDAQ 100: The market is a bit choppy around the PVA and CVA highs, with a slight upward intraday trend. I'm staying cautious here.
Russell 2000: Also choppy, but we've got acceptance within the CVA. I'm looking for long opportunities from the CVA low, which aligns with the prior day's low.
Euro Dollar: I'm currently short from the CVA high, with the first target at the prior day's low. We've broken below the prior value area, so I'll trail this trade and see how it develops.
Yen Dollar: It’s been a bit of a mixed bag. I took a short below the CVA and prior day's low, got stopped out, but it was still a decent setup.
Aussie Dollar: I took some long positions that weren't the best setups, as it was quite choppy near the CVA high and prior day's low. Lesson learned for next time.
Crude Oil: I took a short from the CVA and PVA highs, hit my target at the low of those areas, and we’re currently hovering around that level.
EURUSD Short re entry, 14 JulyHTF Downtrend with Clean LTF Setup
Bias remains bearish with HTF downtrend, W imbalance resting above, and 4H 50EMA close to our zone.
📉 Confluence:
Textbook LTF structure, expecting LH → LL
DXY reacting from 15m POI + Asia low to fill
15m Extreme OB + 5m OB as entry zone
Clean 1m BOS confirming sellers stepping in → add another 50%
🎯 Entry: 50% tap of 5m OB after 1m BOS
🛡️ SL: Above LH structure
📌 TP: At least 1:3 RR down to Asia low
⚠️ Minor risk with W imbalance above, but strong trend and confirmations to support the trade.
3 hours ago
Trade active
We got an 1mBOS from the 15m POI
Got 2 entry points now : The one from the 5m OB marked out on the photo and one at the lower 5m that created the break. Will see what happens
EURUSD Short, 14 JulyHTF Downtrend with Clean LTF Setup
Bias remains bearish with HTF downtrend, W imbalance resting above, and 4H 50EMA close to our zone.
📉 Confluence:
Textbook LTF structure, expecting LH → LL
DXY reacting from 15m POI + Asia low to fill
15m Extreme OB + 5m OB as entry zone
Clean 1m BOS confirming sellers stepping in → add another 50%
🎯 Entry: 50% tap of 5m OB after 1m BOS
🛡️ SL: Above LH structure
📌 TP: At least 1:3 RR down to Asia low
⚠️ Minor risk with W imbalance above, but strong trend and confirmations to support the trade.
Verizon May Be Rolling OverVerizon Communications has been rangebound for more than a year, and now some traders could think it’s rolling over.
The first pattern on today’s chart is the May 2022 low of $45.55. VZ fell below that level in late 2022 and rebounded to it by mid-2024. The stock has been stuck below the same level since, including a rejection in March. Has old support become new resistance?
Second, prices have slipped below the 50- and 200-day simple moving averages (SMAs). The two SMAs are also close to each other. Those points may reflect weakening longer-term trends.
Third, the telecom stock has made lower highs since April -- even as the broader market broke out to new all-time highs.
Next, VZ just had its lowest weekly close since February. The 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) is also below the 21-day EMA. Those points may suggest that bearishness is taking hold in the short term.
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Capital Flow Outlook – BTC Leads, Alts Await a SignalOver the past two quarters, Tether's (USDT) market cap has expanded by over 66%, rising from ~$95B in late 2024 to ~$159.5B by mid-July 2025. This confirms a strong capital injection into the crypto space — reminiscent of early bull market cycles.
But where that capital flows tells the deeper story:
USDT.D is in a clean downtrend, showing that capital is actively rotating out of stables — a risk-on signal.
BTC.D continues climbing, confirming Bitcoin as the primary recipient of inflows. While the current move hasn’t reached exhaustion, the nearest potential reversal point is the weekly volume imbalance at ~67.5%.
Should that level fail to trigger a reaction, the next major reversal zone lies near 73% — the last known macro ceiling for dominance.
ETH.D has shown a structural shift, bouncing from a key macro low with a clear Change in State of Delivery (CSD). A revisit to the April high around 8.55% is looking increasingly likely.
SOL.D is fighting for structure, having reacted to a mid-point imbalance situated in the discount zone. This positioning is favorable for buyers, but structurally it still leans toward sweeping the April low at 2.13% before a valid CSD can form.
---
🧠 Conclusion:
While capital is clearly flowing back into the market, Bitcoin remains the primary destination. Until we see:
A reaction or rejection at BTC.D reversal zones
ETH.D continuing upward toward prior range highs
And SOL.D confirming a structural shift from discount
...a full altseason expansion remains premature.
> The capital is here — but the rotation isn’t.
Altseason is still brewing — and could take the rest of the year to fully materialize.
— Silent Edge
Bitcoin Fractal, increase to $116k Hi Everyone☕👋
BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Been such a long time since I posted. Today I'm looking at BTCUSDT, and I'm looking at the previous all time high cycle and what we were seeing (the pattern aka fractal).
Here's why we're likely going a little higher.
First correction of -32%
Followed by first peak, ATH
Correction, then the second peak and the REAL ath. Which is where we likely are:
Interesting to note that the previous time, the second ath was NOT THAT MUCH HIGHER. This should be considered to manage expectations in terms of how high we can go. Anything above +6% is a bonus.
XAU/USD 14 July 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
You will note that price has targeted weak internal high on two separate occasions forming a double top which is a bearish reversal pattern. This is in-line with HTF bearish pullback phase.
Remainder of analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025.
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
H4 Timeframe - Price has failed to target weak internal high, therefore, it would not be unrealistic if price printed a bearish iBOS.
The remainder of my analysis shall remain the same as analysis dated 13 June 2025, apart from target price.
As per my analysis dated 22 May 2025 whereby I mentioned price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe despite internal structure being bearish.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH, which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor, with respect to depth of pullback.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,451.375.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart: