Multiple Time Frame Analysis
Long trade
Pair USDCAD
Buyside trade
Mon 31st March 25
5.00 pm (NY Time)
NY Session PM
Structure - (Day)
Entry 4Ht TF
Entry 1.43382
Profit level 1.47241 (2.69%)
Stop level 1.42525 (0.60%)
RR 4.5
Buyside trade idea:
Reason: Break of channel to the upside
Indicators: WMA (100) EMA (50) observed as additional bias
Bitcoin - Where will Bitcoin go?!Bitcoin is trading below the EMA50 and EMA200 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its descending channel. The continuation of Bitcoin’s downward trend and its placement in the demand zone will provide us with the opportunity to buy it again.
The continued rise of Bitcoin will also lead to testing of selling transactions from the supply zone. It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and compliance with capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important. If the downward trend continues, we can buy in the demand range.
Since March 14, inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs have maintained a positive trend. For seven consecutive days, these ETFs have recorded net capital inflows without any outflows. This marks the first instance in 2025 of such a consistent streak of inflows into Bitcoin ETFs.
The assets under management (AUM) of actively managed ETFs in the United States have surged over the past two years, surpassing $1 trillion—a more than threefold increase. This remarkable growth indicates a rising investor interest in strategies beyond index-based funds.
Bitcoin had an overall positive week, whereas the S&P 500 and global equity markets suffered declines due to ongoing concerns over tariffs and persistent inflation. The S&P 500 closed the week lower, dropping to $5,580—just 1.2% above its recent low from March 13. Meanwhile, despite experiencing pullbacks, Bitcoin remains 9.3% above its previous low of $77,000, recorded on March 10.
Strategy, following its latest acquisition, now holds 2.41% of the total global Bitcoin supply.Given that a significant portion of Bitcoin has either been lost or remains dormant in wallets, this stake represents nearly 4% of the actively circulating supply.
About a month and a half ago, Eric Trump, son of former President Donald Trump, tweeted that it was the perfect time to buy Ethereum. Since that tweet, however, Ethereum’s price has dropped by approximately 35%. This highlights the risk of making investment decisions solely based on endorsements from well-known individuals.
Trump Media & Technology Group, owned by U.S. President Donald Trump, has announced a partnership with the cryptocurrency exchange Crypto.com to launch a range of exchange-traded products (ETPs) and exchange-traded funds (ETFs). This includes a multi-crypto ETF (the first of its kind) and ETPs comprising digital assets and securities from various sectors, including the energy industry. Crypto.com will provide the underlying technology, custodial solutions, and crypto asset management services.
In the second half of March, the cryptocurrency market experienced a significant rebound, reigniting optimism among traders. However, historical analysis suggests that the crypto market often moves contrary to mainstream expectations. When bullish sentiment—such as the phrase “To the Moon”—becomes widespread on social media, it may signal an impending price drop. Conversely, when negative sentiments like “Crypto is dead” or “Bitcoin is a scam” become dominant, this could indicate a potential price surge.
Therefore, investors should pay close attention to market sentiment and exercise caution in their decision-making. Recognizing that markets may move against the prevailing consensus can help in formulating more strategic investment approaches.
NZDCHF: Bear Trap & Pullback From Support 🇳🇿🇨🇭
It looks like we have a bearish trap on NZDCHF after
a test of a key daily support.
The price went way below that but recovered steadily,
forming a double bottom pattern.
A formation of a bullish imbalance candle on an hourly
indicate a very likely bullish movement.
Goal - 0.5035
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SUPERUSDT P: Analyzing the Pattern of Explosive GainsAnalyzing SUPERUSDT P's historical cycles with gains ranging from 236% to 361% over consistent time intervals. Key support and resistance zones identified for potential entries and exits:
Entry Strategy: Accumulate near strong support zones ($0.50 - $0.53) after correction phases.
Exit Strategy: Target resistance levels between $1.20 - $1.75 for potential profits based on previous price action.
Tracking volume surges and cyclical trends for optimal timing.
EU LONG SETUP UPDATEJust a small update on my long setup. Last week we closed below the previous week's low without taking the high and that's all I need to consider it a valid pullback. This week onwards I would expect price to eventually continue going higher towards that the weekly liquidity.
On the daily timeframe we can either start going higher following lower time frame structure but if we go lower and create a new internal range I will wait for price to give bullish internal structure before targeting the weekly high.
SPY $545 Downtrend ContinuesSymbol: SPY
Timeframe: 30-minute chart (for your analysis)
Bias: Short (after the anticipated bounce)
Prediction: I anticipate a short-term bounce in SPY from Friday's sell-off towards the upper level of the weekly regression channel, around 560. I plan to look for a short entry at this level, expecting the price to then continue its downtrend towards the monthly regression channel support around 545.
Analysis:
Weekly Trend Channel (Blue Double Lines): The blue double lines on my chart represent a weekly trend channel for SPY. This channel was determined by performing a linear regression on the price action over the past week. The upper and lower boundaries of the channel are set at two standard deviations away from this linear regression line. This method helps to identify the statistically probable range within which the price is likely to trade over the weekly timeframe.
Monthly Trend Channel (Yellow Double Lines): Similarly, the yellow double lines indicate a monthly trend channel. This channel is derived from a linear regression of SPY's price action over the past month, with the boundaries set at two standard deviations. I expect SPY to eventually find support within this monthly channel, with the lower boundary currently around the 545 level. This is my primary downside target.
Recent Price Action and Anticipated Bounce: The aggressive 2% downtrend on Friday likely pushed SPY towards the lower end of the weekly channel, potentially creating oversold conditions in the short term. I am anticipating a bounce from this sell-off towards the upper boundary of the weekly channel, which I estimate to be around 560. This level is expected to act as resistance.
Short Entry Opportunity: I will be closely watching price action around the 560 level, which coincides with the upper boundary of the weekly regression channel. If I observe signs of rejection or bearish confirmation at this resistance, I will look to enter a short position.
Contributing Factors: President Trump's aggressive tariff policies continue to contribute to market uncertainty and the overall bearish sentiment, supporting the technical outlook for further downside.
Conclusion:
I am predicting a short-term bounce in SPY to approximately 560, which aligns with the upper level of the weekly regression channel. I will be looking for a short entry at this level with the expectation of a subsequent move down towards the monthly regression channel support around 545. This strategy aims to capitalize on a potential retracement within the established downtrend, guided by regression-based trend channels and influenced by fundamental concerns regarding tariff policies.
Disclaimer: This is my personal analysis and not financial advice. Please conduct your own research before making any trading decisions.
Skeptic | EURCHF: Trend Strength or Weakness? Trade SetupsWelcome back, guys! 👋I'm Skeptic.
Today, I’m bringing you a multi-time frame analysis of EURCHF , including both long and short triggers, along with a few educational tips. Let's dive in!
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🕰️ Daily Time Frame Analysis:
After a solid accumulation phase and breaking above resistance, we've successfully shifted the trend to uptrend . Given the major trend direction, it's better to focus on long positions .
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⏳ 4-Hour Time Frame Analysis:
Following the uptrend, we've formed a bullish ascending triangle, indicating a potential continuation. You might think that the RSI downtrend signals trend weakness, but here’s the key point:
- Lack of follow-through on the downside shows trend strengt h. If it was genuine weakness, we’d have seen a sharp downward move already.
This makes the bias towards long positions stronger .
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🚀 Long Setup:
After breaking the resistance at 0.9649 7, we can consider a long position. A breakout of the RSI trendline to the upside would be an extra confirmation.
📉 Short Setup:
To go short, we first need a breakdown from the ascending triangle, followed by a break below the key support at 0.95726.
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🎯 Target Setting:
You can use the height of the triangle or your own support/resistance levels to set targets. I’m not here to tell you where to place your stop loss or take profit since that heavily depends on your strategy, stop size, and R/R ratio.
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💬 Final Thoughts:
I always provide the key levels and setups, but it's up to you to adapt them to your own strategy.
Thanks for sticking around until the end of this analysis.
See you on the next one!💪🔥
NIFTY still looks weak! As expected NIFTY still seems to be consolidating between our levels and yet to decide its upcoming trend but looking at global cues, we can expect NIFTY to open weak but the zones could act as a strong demand and supply done hence till NIFTY sustains below our above either zones, the trend will not be confirmed so wait for proper setups and confirmations and plan your trades accordingly and keep watching.
12/23/24 - PFE: new BUY mechanical signal.12/23/24 - PFE: new BUY signal chosen by a rules based, mechanical trading system.
PFE - BUY
Stop Loss @ 24.80
Entry BUY @ 26.71
Target Profit @ 29.54
Analysis:
1. On the Higher timeframe - Prices have stayed above the lower channel line of the ATR (Average True Range) Channel
2. Higher timeframe - Trader Vic's (Victor Sperandeos) 1-2-3/2B Buy pattern...where the lowest current bottom breakout price is greater than the preceding bottom price
1/21/25 - RIGL: new BUY mechanical trading signal.1/21/25 - RIGL: new BUY signal chosen by a rules based, mechanical trading system.
RIGL - BUY
Stop Loss @ 16.25
Entry BUY @ 21.81
Target Profit @ 27.80
Analysis:
Higher timeframe: Prices have stayed above the lower channel line of the ATR (Average True Range) Keltner Channel and reversed.
Higher timeframe: Victor Sperandeo's (Trader Vic) classic 1-2-3 BUY pattern...where the current lowest bottom breakout price is greater than the preceding bottom price.
Higher timeframe: Price peaked below the ATR (Average True Range) breakout low and then reversed.
IAG Stock Took some heat! Is there anything to take here?🟢SeekingPips🟢 has this on the radar.
⭐️ Have your levels ready and wait for your A+⭐️ Setup.
ℹ️ Our levels are here marked out.
I have ZERO interest in taking a position here however a deeper sell-off and I will start paying attention.❗️
⚠️ ALERTS set and LEVELS marked.
🟢Now go away and ENJOY your WEEKEND and lets HURRY UP AND WAIT and lets see what NEXT WEEK has for us👍
Daily Edge – March 29, 2025Friday Close – Week 13 Wrap + Week 14 Setup Preview
Context
Week 13 closed bullish, forming a double distribution profile and finishing just below all-time highs.
Week 14 opens on the final day of March + Q1 — a high-stakes inflection point.
Red folder news events dominate the week ahead, including Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) on Friday.
Key Weekly Levels (Week 13)
MPH: 3086
VAH: 3046
POC: 3016 (below W12 POC at 3034)
VAL: 3004
MPL: 3002
Last Week’s Play Recap
Entered a Failed Auction Long early in W13 near W12 VAL (3014–3020)
Structure evolved into clean IB Breakout, then full range extension and continuation toward highs
Late-week close confirmed expansion above AMR High and value structure
Some live positions remain open, awaiting Monday’s open for management decisions
Looking Ahead to Week 14
Monday is observation-only — waiting for the Initial Balance (IB) to form on the 4H TPO Weekly Profile
This week also prints:
The February IB (from Daily/Monthly TPO)
The Week 14 IB (Weekly TPO)
The Q2 Opening Profile (Quarterly TPO)
Higher timeframe structure remains bullish, but entries will only follow confirmed setups from the PNP playbook
Execution Plan for the Week
Let Monday define IB
Match structure to historical high-probability patterns
Tag validated setups: FA, IBX, Reversion, etc.
Execute using the scaling-in model only after confirmation
Maintain consistent VAR and clarity on exit plan
“Structure prints the story. Data confirms the play. We only act when both align.”
Ready to trade with clarity and control?
Hand-drawn charts + structured execution = Calm. Confident. In Control.
Join the PipsnPaper community.
GBPUSD | APRIL 2025 FORECAST | Chopping Block is Hot!GBP/USD is approaching the psychological 1.3000 level, a key battleground for bulls and bears. The pair has been trading within a rising channel, but recent price action suggests momentum could be shifting.
🔹 Trend & Structure: GBP/USD remains in a broader uptrend but is struggling to maintain bullish momentum above 1.3000. A confirmed break could signal continuation, while rejection may trigger a retracement toward 1.2800-1.2750.
🔹 Technical Outlook:
Support Levels: 1.2850, 1.2750
Resistance Levels: 1.3050, 1.3150
Indicators: RSI hovers near 65, signaling slight overextension; MACD shows bullish momentum but weakening.
🔹 Fundamental Factors:
BOE policy expectations vs. Fed’s stance on rate cuts.
US & UK economic data—watch CPI and employment figures.
If GBP/USD clears and holds above 1.3000, it could open doors for a rally toward 1.3150. But if sellers defend this level, we might see a pullback toward 1.2850-1.2750 before the next move.
Will 1.3000 hold, or is a reversal on the horizon? Drop your predictions below! 📉📈 #GBPUSD #ForexTrading #MarketAnalysis
GBPJPY | APRIL 2025 FORECAST| Will GJ fly to the SKY?GBP/JPY has been riding strong volatility, reacting to both BOE and BOJ policy shifts. As we head into the new month, the pair is testing a critical resistance zone near , with momentum signaling a potential breakout or rejection.
🔹 Trend Analysis: The pair remains in a strong , with price respecting the as dynamic support/resistance.
🔹 Key Levels: Resistance at , support at . A break above could open the door to .
🔹 Technical Outlook: RSI divergence hints at possible exhaustion, while Fibonacci retracements suggest key reaction zones around .
Will GBP/JPY continue its bullish momentum, or are we looking at a deeper correction? Share your insights below! 📉📈 #GBPJPY #ForexForecast #MarketAnalysis
Realtime markups: Indices tailspin to the weekly range lowsAfter rejecting the weekly highs aggressively on Wednesday, we had a clear run toward the low of the same weekly range candle's low. I believe this low will be hit before anything else.
We will see what the Monday open sequence looks like. See you then 🫡
AUDUSD | APRIL 2025 FORECAST| This Next Move will be Massive!AUD/USD is shaping up for a critical month, with price action hovering around a key support zone near . The pair has been reacting to , influencing both bullish and bearish momentum.
🔹 Trend Analysis: The pair remains in a on the higher timeframe, with acting as dynamic support/resistance.
🔹 Key Levels: Support at , resistance at .
🔹 Momentum & Structure: A break above could trigger bullish continuation, while failure to hold may lead to a deeper retracement.
With fundamentals aligning with technicals, this month could present solid trading opportunities. Will AUD/USD push higher, or are we in for a reversal? Drop your thoughts below! 🚀📊 #AUDUSD