USD/JPY - 4H Supply Still UntappedThe 4H structure is bearish, with a clear break to the downside. However, there’s an unmitigated 4H supply zone that price has yet to tap into. My plan is to ride the bullish move on the 30M for a continuation up into the 4H order block before reassessing for potential shorts.
Waiting for price to confirm, but the setup is lining up clean. Let’s see how it plays out.
Bless Trading!
Multiple Time Frame Analysis
Appetite For Risk Through the Lens of Nasdaq and BitcoinBitcoin tends to track Wall Street sentiment well, particularly compared to the Nasdaq. Growing concerns that Trump's policies will tip the US (and therefore the global economy) into a recession, which currently has the Nasdaq on the ropes and bitcoin getting dragged along for the ride. And there could be further losses to follow, though a cheeky bounce at a minimum could be due first.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst and City Index and Forex.com
AUDCAD LONG Market structure bullish on HTFs DW
Entry at both Weekly and Daily AOi
Weekly rejection at AOi
Weekly EMA Retest
Weekly Previous Structure point
Daily Rejection at AOi
Daily EMA retest
H4 EMA retest
H4 Candlestick rejection
Levels 5.05
Entry 95%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
Short trade
30 min TF overview
Sellside tarde
Pair EURGBP
Tue 11th March 25 2.00 pm
LND to NY Session PM
Entry and Structure - 30 min TF
Entry 0.84450
Profit level 0.84219 (0.27%)
Stop level 0.84497 (0.06%)
RR 4.91
Target fib level 0.382
Reason: Observing price action on EURGBP and the narrative of supply and demand, I assumed the price reached a pivotal supply zone indicative of a sellside trade.
XAUUSD - Sit On Your Hands And Get Rich!Last week was the first week this year to close lower.
$3,000 is a huuuge psychological level for gold to reach so it is expected for price action to faulter and present rangebound conditions just below that price.
The weekly BISI @ 2817 - 2860 has been respected, with the consequent encroachment holding weight but there is still a chance on the lower timeframes for gold to drop back into this area
EURUSD - Bulls Laughing As We Book 490+ Pips!Massive draw to the upside with EURUSD booking highs @ 1.08890 for this week.
This draw to the upside was 100% aligned with my monthly bias which has now been met which means I must keep my powder dry.
This does not mean i can't make a few risky plays here and there...
Although aware of the bullish nature of price action, I am interested in a minor retracement back down into the 3-month bearish order block @ 1.07440. I am not anticipating a weekly closure, just a mere draw on liquidity.
GBPUSD - Bulls Full Steam Ahead!Exceptional delivery to the upside this week with GBPUSD disregarding the weekly SIBI outlined @ 1.28340 - 1.27149 as a form or resistance.
GBPUSD failed to tag the lower portion of the inverted BISI @ 1.29452 - 1.31100 indicating the possibility of a short term retracement for this week.
I am well aware that GBPUSD is presenting more bullish signatures than bearish at this current time but it's the manipulation in price action that i try to spot and take advantage of.
With that being said, I would ideally like the lows to be booked this week by Wednesday latest before seeing an expansion higher
BREAKOUT push to the upsideThere a high chance that EURJPY will break above the Zone and continue heading up for sometime. We can see according to the price analysis that the downtrend is finished and market formed a strong Invert H&S pattern which indicates strong buyers. Price is now in the Major Key Level with a high chance of breaking through due to the strong bullish momentum and if a clear breakout occurs then that means price will continue heading up
YM (March 2025) - Pay Close Attention To Dow JonesWhen comparing the three pairs; YM, NQ and ES, it is evident that the weekly lows has still not been made, indicating the weakness bears have to push price lower.
The mean threshold of the 6th Jan 2025 has been respected, indicating the potential for a short term retracement on the lower time frames back up into 43409 - 43024 weekly previous bullish order block.
The most important days to study is Sunday to Wednesday.
Nasdaq (March 2025) - Aiming For Low Hanging FruitsAs we have seen a recent delivery through a higher timeframe Sellside liquidity pool @ 20248.75 as well as tagging the weekly bullish order block @ 20011.25 I am not really seeing any signatures on this timeframe to suggest that Nasdaq is bullish at the moment.
However, on the lower timeframes, there is a potential for Nasdaq to attack premium PD arrays before reversing and continuing it's bearish trend.
I want to see the highs for the week created by Wednesday latest.
Sunday gap opening will determine the likelihood of this bias delivering
ES (March 2025) - Open Interest @ $2.1MWhen aiming for low hanging fruits, it is imperative to understand the boundaries that price cannot go to within a certain time period if the bias is going to play out.
Ideally, I would want to see Monday to Wednesday's price action to book the highs of the week before declining through the weekly BISI FVG @ 5797.75 - 5752.
Sunday gap opening will determine the likelihood of this bias delivering
Dollar Index - We Are Seeing Heaviness To The DownsideIt is important to note that although we have recently seen huge decline in the dollar, there is still a possibility for a minor relief rally into the monthly BISI which is now a inverted FVG @ 104.636 - 104.420 which could seek out small movements to the downside for GBPUSD and EURUSD.
Fully aware that dollar can continue to present risk on conditions, taking out 103.373 lows and making its way into the longer term monthly bias of the 101.917 - 103.373 FVG.
ZB1! - Perfection With SIBI RejectionThis weeks delivery has efficiently delivered into a PD array mentioned previous weeks back.
Although bullish, the goal was not to predict the weeks close, just anticipate the draw on liquidity.
Aiming for low hanging fruits, I am looking at the 115.18 weekly EQ as a possible draw going into next week.
US10Y - You Can Make Money And Be WrongLast weeks bias was bearish and although we have closed out bullish this week, the bearish PD array @ 4.126% - 4.104% which I was expecting has materialised.
This goes to show that you don't have to predict the weekly close. It's the draw on liquidity that is important.
ada ANALYSISAs per our analysis, ADA is expected to experience a downward movement for a certain period before shifting towards an upward trend. This decline may be driven by liquidity hunts, market corrections, or the need to mitigate overbought conditions. However, once key support levels are reached and liquidity is generated, we anticipate a shift in market structure, leading to a bullish reversal. Traders should closely monitor critical price zones and confirmation signals to capitalize on potential buying opportunities as the trend shifts.
NZDUSD SHORTMarket structure bearish on HTFs 3
Entry at Daily AOi
Weekly rejection at AOi
Daily Rejection at AOi
Daily EMA retest
Previous Structure point Daily
Around Psychological Level 0.57000
H4 EMA retest
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
Levels 6.11
Entry 105%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
Selling the RISE as per our PLAN!! As we can see NIFTY has recovered considerably despite the weak opening and weak global cues which could be due the factored fall which has already taken place in NIFTY. Hence any weakness is not impacting NIFTY any further. Now we will stick to our plan and sell the rise as it can still be seen trading around resistance which previously acted as a SUPPORT hence as long as we are below the structure and doesn’t closes above 600 levels every rise can be sold so plan your trades accordingly and keep watching.
AUD/NZD Multi-Timeframe Breakdown: Trend Shift or Retracement?Welcome back, guys! 👋 I’m Skeptic , and today we’re diving into a multi-timeframe analysis of AUD/NZD. (As I mentioned this pair on our weekly watchlist on March 9th.) At the end, I’ll also share some solid long and short triggers that you definitely don’t want to miss—so let’s get into it!
📉 Daily Time Frame Analysis
In the daily time frame, we can clearly see a strong major uptrend that has been holding the price upward. However, recently, the upward trendline has broken, which could indicate the start of a retracement . This break hints at a potential shift or correction rather than a complete trend reversal, so we need to stay cautious.
🔍 4H Time Frame Analysis: Finding Triggers
Moving on to the 4-hour time frame, it’s clear that we’ve had a clean pullback to the previous upward trendline. As I pointed out in my weekly watchlist analysis, the main trigger for a short position was at 1.10115 , which has just been activated . If you took that trade with me, you’re in profit right now!
But don’t worry if you missed it—you still have a chance to catch the next move. Since the trendline is broken, we could see a sharp uptrend retracement movement if the price breaks our 4h support level.
Short Trigger: I’ll be waiting for a breakout below 1.10087 to look for another short opportunity.
Long Trigger: I’ll be watching for a higher high and higher low to confirm that the uptrend is still intact. Specifically, a breakout above 1.10544 would signal a potential long entry.
💡 Always remember:
trading in the direction of the main trend typically yields higher R/R and win rates. Don’t trade against the trend unless you have a very strong reason to do so.
I’d love to hear your thoughts on AUD/NZD —drop your opinions in the comments below! Also, if you have any questions about trading or strategy, just ask—I’ll make sure to reply. Let’s keep growing together, not alone! 💪
USDCAD - Correction and then move towards 1.44999Given the flow of bearish orders on the higher timeframes (weekly and daily, four-hour), I think the price could move towards 1.44999 after a minor correction and liquidity clearing.
This move is just a pullback on the higher timeframes, and with this move, the price is trying to reach the fifty percent level of the structure on the higher timeframe.
Intraday Update: Indices may be ready for the SMT reversal👀 Clearly we have a bullish reversal from the clearing of a previous daily imbalance range. Of course we expect NAS to get a head start on achieving it's buyside targets and that's just what we get on today.
🧼 Clean buyside ideas happening although we are technically still bearish on the daily until we get a higher close over a previous daily block. This is fine, it just means we will still see heavy bearish flow above lower time frame highs until then no sweat!
Share this with someone trying to learn 🫡
BTCUSD most likely has bottomed out for the time beingThe 1.618 Fibonacci extension at approximately $78,600 on the medium-term timeframe (weekly) appears to be providing strong support. On the long-term logarithmic chart, BTC has now entered the lower boundary of the Schiff Pitchfork, historically a key reversal zone. This suggests a solid entry point, with an initial rebound toward $90,000 or higher within the next 2–3 weeks.
That said, market movements remain uncertain—especially as the Fisher Transform indicator has yet to dip into the -3 to -4 range, which would further improve the odds of a sharp rebound in the near term. However, if this is indeed a third wave of an Elliott Wave Grand Supercycle (years to decades), I expect BTC to hold above its November 2021 high (~$68,000) without major retracement.
As long as this level holds, my outlook remains bullish, with a potential rally toward $250,000+ before a significant correction back to the $90,000–$120,000 range, consistent with past market cycles.
Stay patient and trade wisely—good luck!
For Bitcoiners:
TP: What’s that? We HODL.
SL: Buy the dip! 🚀
For Traders:
TP: $89,000 – $91,000
SL: $76,500 (though, be aware of a daily wick to the downside, which could break through this level before going back up within minutes)
Short trade
15min TF overview
Sell side trade
Pair EURBBP
Tue 11th March 25
05.15 am
LND Session AM
Entry and Structure - 30 min TF
Enrty 0.84365
Profit level 0.84151 (0.25%)
Stop level 0.84445 (0.09%)
RR 2.67
Reason: Price reached a pivotal supply zone 30min TF that seemed indicative of a sellside trade along with the narrative of supply and demand for direction bias.