GBPUSD Monthly close Feb Price Action Overview:
Price broke out lower after sweeping Monday and Tuesday's high.
President Trump's speech discussed a 25% tariff on EU exports to the US and uncertainties in the UK.
This led to a stronger dollar, breaking the perceived Tuesday weekly low and making Wednesday the weekly high above @1.2700.
Market Relationships:
Trump and UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer have maintained a good relationship, which might result in a beneficial bilateral agreement, potentially leading to a tariff-free exchange.
Session Analysis:
Asian session lows have already been taken out.
Expectations are for the Asian highs to be reached after filling the imbalances left in the early London session @1.2590.
Price will target the sell-side imbalance (SIBI) left on Thursday (yesterday) @1.2645, taking out yesterday’s NY highs.
From that point, the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) data could move the price lower.
Weekly and Monthly Outlook:
Today is the final day of the week (bearish), which left a buy-side imbalance (BISI) unfilled @1.2560, which might be filled later.
This is also the final day of the month (bullish).
Keep in mind the PCE data release today.
Confluence Analysis:
The DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) has made a higher high, while EURUSD has made a higher low, indicating a potential confluence and divergence.
This confluence suggests that the price might run in the opposing direction shortly after, adding to the overall market dynamics.Price Action Overview:
Price broke out lower after sweeping Monday and Tuesday's high.
President Trump's speech discussed a 25% tariff on EU exports to the US and uncertainties in the UK.
This led to a stronger dollar, breaking the perceived Tuesday weekly low and making Wednesday the weekly high above @1.2700.
Market Relationships:
Trump and UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer have maintained a good relationship, which might result in a beneficial bilateral agreement, potentially leading to a tariff-free exchange.
Session Analysis:
Asian session lows have already been taken out.
Expectations are for the Asian highs to be reached after filling the imbalances left in the early London session @1.2590.
Price will target the sell-side imbalance (SIBI) left on Thursday (yesterday) @1.2645, taking out yesterday’s NY highs.
From that point, the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) data could move the price lower.
Weekly and Monthly Outlook:
Today is the final day of the week (bearish), which left a buy-side imbalance (BISI) unfilled @1.2560, which might be filled later.
This is also the final day of the month (bullish).
Keep in mind the PCE data release today.
Confluence Analysis:
The DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) has made a higher high, while EURUSD has made a higher low, indicating a potential confluence and divergence.
This confluence suggests that the price might run in the opposing direction shortly after, adding to the overall market dynamics.
Multiple Time Frame Analysis
XAU/USD 28 February 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Price has printed a bearish iBOS as per alternative scenario mentioned over the last few weeks.
Price is now trading within an internal high and fractal low.
Bullish CHoCH positioning is marked with a blue dotted line.
Intraday Expectation:
Await for price to indicate bullish pullback phase initiation by printing a bullish CHoCH.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Price has printed a bearish iBOS in accordance with analysis and bias dated 26 January 2025.
You will note price has printed several bullish CHoCH's followed by bearish iBOS's, however, I have left them unmarked due to low volume candles printing erratically. This would in-turn distort internal structure.
Price has printed a further bullish CHoCH, which indicates, but does not confirm bullish pullback phase initiation, however, I will continue to monitor price action.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bullish, react at either premium of internal 50% EQ, or M15 supply zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 2,851.115.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
Zerebro autonomous AI system to 15x ??On the above 16hr chart price action has corrected 96%. A number of reasons now exist to be bullish. They include:
1) Price action and RSI resistance breakouts.
2) Trend reversal.
3) Regular bullish divergence. 9 oscillators print positive divergence with price action.
4) Falling wedge forecasts 2000% move to 70 cents.
Is it possible price action continues correcting? Sure.
Is it probable? No.
Ww
CRUDE OIL (WTI): Nice Setup to Sell
WTI OIL looks bearish after a test of a key daily horizontal resistance.
A formation of a head & shoulders pattern on that and a violation of its neckline
indicate a highly probable intraday bearish movement.
The price will reach at least 69.3 level soon.
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EURUSD 28 Feb 2025 W9 -Intraday Analysis- US PCE Day! EOM FlowsThis is my Intraday analysis on FOREXCOM:EURUSD for 28 Feb 2025 W9 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following:
Market Sentiment
4H Chart Analysis
15m Chart Analysis
Market Sentiment
Heavy economic news:
EU : German Prelim CPI m/m
US : the most awaited report Core PCE Price Index m/m - Personal Spending m/m - Chicago PMI
The market sentiment detailed as following:
Trump's Tariff Announcements:
President Trump's announcements regarding new and increased tariffs significantly impacted market sentiment. Uncertainty surrounding trade relations with various countries, including the European Union, Mexico, and Canada, created volatility.
These tariff announcements created fears of trade wars, which negatively impacted investor confidence.
Economic Data:
Reports of declining new home sales in the U.S. and concerns about overall economic health contributed to market unease.
Also, the release of various economic data points, and the anticipation of the PCE inflation data release, influenced market movement.
NVIDIA's Performance and AI Competition:
While NVIDIA beat earnings estimates, concerns about increased competition from Chinese AI companies, particularly DeepSeek, led to a significant drop in its stock price, impacting the broader tech sector.
Geopolitical Uncertainty:
Geopolitical factors, such as the removal of Chevron's oil license in Venezuela, contributed to fluctuations in commodity prices, particularly oil.
Bank of Japan governor Ueda's statements regarding the uncertainty of US policies also added to uncertainty.
Additional Factors:
Geopolitical Resolution: A sudden de-escalation in a prior crisis (e.g., eased tensions in a conflict zone) might have reduced safe-haven demand for gold, though this was secondary to dollar strength.
Technical Factors: End-of-month rebalancing or options expirations could have amplified downward moves.
The interplay of a hawkish Fed, a resilient dollar, and risk aversion triggered broad-based declines. The overarching theme was a recalibration of investor expectations around tighter monetary policy and its implications for global growth and asset valuations.
4H Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bullish (Reached Swing Extreme Demand)
🔹INT Bearish (Adjusted my INT structure to align with the previous Bullish move)
🔹Complex Swing INT Structure
2️⃣
🔹As the Swing is Bullish, expectations were set to continue Bullish targeting the Weak Swing High and create a Bullish BOS after the Deep Pullback to the Swing Demand.
🔹During the Swing Bullish Continuation after the Deep Pullback, INT Structure kept holding Bullish to fulfill the Bullish continuation phase.
🔹With price reaching the Swing Extreme Premium zone and the expectation of breaking the Weak Swing High, price failed 2 times and with the 3rd attempt it created a Bearish iBOS. This indicated that the Swing INT structure is Complex and the Daily/Weekly TFs are still in play.
3️⃣
🔹After the Bearish iBOS, we expect PB, there is no clear POI for price to initiate PB except the Liq. at 1.03730 and 1.03173 before mitigating the last clear 4H Demand.
🔹It’s not a must to reach these Liq. points as we already in a Daily partially mitigated Demand Zone and maybe some orders reside there. But Will need LTFs to show clear Bullish OF to confirm the 4H Bearish INT structure is staring the PB.
🔹Expectations is set to Bearish continuation till we have a clear Bullish OF. Also, keep in mind that Daily and Weekly are still Bearish and we may target the 4H Strong Swing Low to fulfill the Daily and Weekly move.
15m Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bearish
🔹INT Bearish
🔹Swing Pullback
2️⃣
🔹Swing structure turned Bearish with confirmed BOS. And after BOS we expect PB phase to start.
🔹We didn’t mitigate any HP POI/Liq. to initiate the Swing PB phase.
🔹Will need a clear INT Structure shift to Bullish with momentum in order to play the PB phase otherwise price will continue Bearish till the sweep of Liq. on the 4H TF at 1.03730 and 1.03173 before tapping the clear 4H Demand.
3️⃣
🔹Expectations is set to continue Bearish with cautious from the Swing PB phase that can start at any time.
🔹Also keep in mind the End of Month Flows and PCE report today.
BTCUSDT. We can start looking for medium-term purchases.Hey traders and investors!
Looks like price is close to downside targets as expected in the linked post.
I assume that the most capitalized coins have not yet reached their short targets (for example BTC, BNB, SOL). This means that there will probably be further price reductions.
The price has almost reached the level of 50% of the last impulse on the monthly TF.
We can start looking for medium-term purchases.
I wish you profitable trades!
Will the bitcoin bloodbath send prices below its 200-day SMA?Currently lower for a sixth day, bitcoin futures have just tested the 200-day average for the first time this year. This clearly marks a pivotal moment for bulls and bears over the near term, but we also have to factor in the higher timeframes.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
$MSFT: Rhymes of $BA Diamond NASDAQ:MSFT with a 🔷 look on the weekly and monthly. Not quite NYSE:BA 2019 level; however, a concerning look. Lower BB on both daily and weekly open and moving down 🚩
If wanting to "invest" in this #M7 name better to wait for potential drop or for it to recover above $420. Otherwise we may be looking at a backtest of that large cup and handle breakout and a visit to 200ema on weekly
Daily Market Update.#ETHUSDI am providing a ethusd latest demand supply points where you can see and take Idia where market Will going and what will happened currently market trade at support if break this support we will see Down level to test market and give us trend change on these points.
Are You Understand My Daily Analysis If You Understand Then Thumbs Up In Comments!
A BEAR TRAP coming up!!??As we can see NIFTY has formed more like an inverted flag-pole structure which signified bearish continuation but since it is trading around strong demand zone, it can potentially give false breakdown resulting in a TRAP and this trap could potentially change the overall structure of the market and can close inside the pattern hence we should wait for closing below the pattern to confirm the breakdown else the bear trap could trap us so plan your trades accordingly.
Short gold, Target: 2940-2930Bros, I want to say that 2868 is definitely not the lowest point at the current stage, and the bears have not stopped roaring. After gold falls below 2970, market panic will lead to deep selling, which will drive gold prices further down.
So the bears have not left yet, and any rebound is an opportunity to short gold. As the center of gravity of gold prices moves down, the current resistance has moved down to the 2895-2905 zone again. If gold remains below this area, I think gold is likely to move towards the 2940-2930 zone next!
Bros, profits are the ultimate goal in trading. Accumulating profits is what changes lives and destinies. Choosing wisely is far more important than just working hard. If you want to replicate trade signals and earn stable profits, or if you want to deeply learn the correct trading logic and techniques, you can consider joining the channel at the bottom of this article!
Third time's the Charm? Waiting for Re-Entry on DOW MonthlyAfter successfully buying and offloading chunks twice, I’m now eagerly waiting for the price to revisit my Potential Entry Box to buy back the already offloaded chunk. If the pattern holds, I’ll likely offload again in the next target zone (new offload chunk box). 😊
Before you launch a rocket of anger 🚀 😅 Let me tell you that Last time, I forgot to take a screenshot of the first buy & offload chunk area & updated my chart straight away. 😅
Today, I finally learned how to add an image! 🎉
Note: I’m still learning, this is NOT financial advice. Do your own research, and I’m happy to have constructive criticism! Let’s learn together. 📈
GBPUSD LONGMarket structure bullish on HTFs 3
Entry at both Daily And Weekly AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Daily Rejection at AOi
Previous Daily Structure Point
Around Psychological Level 1.26000
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
Levels 7.05
Entry 105%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King
CEX hacks turn attention to DEX once again, AEVOas market participants quietly allowed themselves to forget about the CEX Ponzi scheme that was FTX supported by its wealthy social media shills, Bybit is hacked by North Korea for $1.5b... not hours after Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong claims lawsuits against the industry will be dropped. What further evidence is needed as to why this industry is doomed to fail?
On the above 6 day chart price action on the decentralised exchange token AEVO has corrected 95% since February last year. Market participants are now bearish, just in the knick of time…. a number of reasons now exist to be long, they include:
1) Price action and RSI resistance breakouts. (see linear chart below)
2) Regular bullish divergence as measured over a one month period.
3) Hook reversal pattern. You either know or you don’t. You’ll see an HRP on the Bitcoin pair also.
4) Two significant areas of resistance are shown, one at 280% and the other at 750%.
Is it possible price action continues correcting? Sure.
Is it probable? No.
Ww
breakouts
News source:
www.trmlabs.com
CRUDE OIL (WTI): Waiting For a Signal to Buy
WTI Crude Oil is stuck on a major rising trend line on a daily.
To buy the market with a confirmation, I am waiting for a bullish
breakout of an intraday 4H resistance.
4H candle close above 69.3 will be a strong bullish signal.
A bullish continuation will be expected at least to 69.9 level then.
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