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Multiple Time Frame Analysis

USDCAD - Bank of Canada keeps interest rates unchanged!The USDCAD pair is below the EMA200 and EMA50 on the 4-hour timeframe and is in its descending channel. The continuation of the downward movement of this pair will provide us with a buying position with a good risk-reward ratio. If the correction continues, we can sell within the specified supply zone. On Wednesday, oil prices climbed by approximately 1%, driven by renewed optimism in the markets regarding potential trade talks between the United States and China. However, lingering concerns about the trade war’s negative effects on global energy demand limited further gains in oil prices.Initially, oil prices declined, but market sentiment shifted after Bloomberg reported—citing an anonymous source—that China was seeking greater respect from the Trump administration before agreeing to new negotiations. The same source also stated that China had requested a new outreach from the U.S. to initiate the discussions. Giovanni Staunovo, an analyst at UBS, commented that easing trade tensions between the two nations could help reduce constraints on economic growth and energy demand, potentially exerting downward pressure on oil prices. Meanwhile, the International Energy Agency (IEA) reported that global oil demand is expected to rise by just 730,000 barrels per day this year—well below both its previous projections and those of OPEC. In a new report, the Fitch rating agency warned that the intensifying global trade war has significantly weakened the outlook for economic growth. According to the report, China’s economic growth will fall below 4% in both this year and the next, while the eurozone is projected to grow by less than 1%. Fitch further estimates that global economic growth in 2025 will fall below 2%, marking the weakest performance since 2009 (excluding the COVID-19 pandemic period). Despite the sharp decline in the U.S. growth outlook, Fitch expects the Federal Reserve to delay any interest rate cuts until Q4 of 2025. Conversely, deeper rate cuts are anticipated for the European Central Bank and emerging market economies. In the energy sector, Fitch lowered its short-term oil price forecast due to risks stemming from weaker demand and trade disruptions but left its natural gas price forecast unchanged. Additionally, the Bank of Canada maintained its policy rate at 2.75%. Highlights from the Bank’s monetary statement include: • Tariffs and logistical challenges are driving price increases. • New U.S. trade policies have heightened uncertainty, slowed growth, and sparked inflation fears. • The Bank supports economic growth with inflation control but urges caution due to elevated domestic risks. • Both upside risks (higher costs) and downside risks (weaker growth) to inflation are under close watch. • Beginning in April, the removal of carbon taxes and cheaper oil are expected to temporarily lower inflation for about a year. • The recent rise in inflation reflects renewed commodity price growth and the end of temporary sales tax relief. • Due to high uncertainty related to U.S. trade tariffs, the Bank is refraining from issuing an economic forecast. • The output gap in Q1 2025 was estimated between 0% and -1%. • Annualized GDP growth for the same quarter was 1.8%, down from the January forecast of 2%. • Two scenarios are under consideration: one involving tariff reduction via agreement, and another involving a prolonged global trade war. • In the first scenario, Canadian and global growth temporarily decline, inflation drops to 1.5%, and later returns to the 2% target. • In the second, the global economy slows sharply, inflation surges, and Canada enters a severe recession. Inflation surpasses 3% by mid-2026 before returning to the 2% target. • In both scenarios, the neutral interest rate is estimated to be around the midpoint of the 2.25%–3.25% range.
Long
by Ali_PSND
Ethereum, ridiculously oversold - $2.5k soon - April 16th, 2025Currently Without Worries has a higher timeframe “short” opened on Ethereum since $3800. It was not popular. (see idea below - By the way, 32 likes 2.7k views? You want me to keep posting or not?! Like to let me know otherwise off I go!) Corrections in price action are never in a straight line, just as within a bull market. At this moment in time on the above 8 day chart price action has not been this oversold since the bear market of 2018 with an RSI below 30. The mindset of sellers today is 100% emotional. What should you expect? A rally to $2500, which is market structure. This rally will draw in fresh exit liquidity and no doubt invite a number of spiteful public comments “You’re wrong!”. Regardless, the chart is our News, a rejection from market structure will take price action down to the long anticipated forecast area of circa $700 (see below) and confirm the expected bull trap. Ww Ethereum $3800 short idea Ethereum to $700 idea
INDEX:ETHUSDLong
by without_worries
3
23400 is here but weekly candle is yet to close! As we can see NIFTY did manage to close itself above 23400 level showing signs of bullishness but this level has acted as a strong support previously and hence expected to act as a strong resistance. Hence we must wait for a weekly candle to close above 23400 level for confirmation for further upmove else our view is bearish and can result in good fall as the gap has already been filled and can result in sharp fall as it is already trading in strong supply zone so plan your trades accordingly and keep watching.
NSE:NIFTY
by Wealthcam
Intel on the verge of a 80% plummet to $5** The months ahead ** After decades of semiconductor dominance, Intel faces unprecedented threats to its business model. AI computing revolution, manufacturing missteps, and relentless competition from AMD and NVIDIA have created what some analysts call "a potential death spiral" for the tech giant. The floor could be much lower than anyone realises, especially as the 2 month candle draws to a close in 14 days. On the above 2 month chart price action has closed under 30 years of legacy support. A trend line that gave up support on July 2024. That was shortly after publishing the “Incoming 60% correction for Intel Corporation” idea (below). Buckle up, we’re now looking at a 80% correction to $5. Why? Market structure has been comprehensively destroyed. For whatever reason, America does not want the rest of the world purchasing its products… internal orders only! This decision coupled with internal demand collapse creates the death spiral. Orders shall resume once the the protectionist experiment has come to pass, but until then, our greatest teacher.. history.. tells us nothing good will come from this experiment on businesses dependant on the world marketplace. Double tops in price, especially parted by some months, together with a confirmed bear flag are particularly powerful. Take the collapse of the Finnish bank OmaSp (below). Despite the negatively commentary, (really good contrarian confirmation!), the collapse to the floor follows. Is it possible price action ignores all the hullabaloo and reclaims legacy support? Sure. Is it probable? No. Ww “incoming 60% correction for Intel Corporation” Finnish Bank OmaSp collapse
NASDAQ:INTCShort
by without_worries
17
Long trade 15min TF overview Entry at a discount within a 15m bullish leg 📈 Trade Breakdown – Buy-Side (GBP/USD) 📅 Date: Tuesday, April 15, 2025 ⏰ Time: 5:00 AM (NY Time) – London Session AM 📉 Pair: GBP/USD 🧭 Direction: Long (Buy) ⏱️ Entry TF: 2-minute (LTF precision entry) Trade Parameters: Entry: 1.32335 Take Profit (TP): 1.33771 (+1.09%) Stop Loss (SL): 1.32007 (–0.25%) Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 4.38 London AM continuation setup: Built on a bullish structure shift post-Tokyo sweep for a buyside trade idea.
Long
by davidjulien369
Short trade 15min TF overview 📉 Trade Breakdown – Sell-Side (GC!1 – Gold Futures) 📅 Session: Tokyo to London AM ⏰ Time: 4:45 AM 📉 Pair: GC! 1 (Gold Futures) 🧭 Direction: Short (Sell) Trade Parameters: Entry: 3324.7 Take Profit (TP): 3288.2 (–1.10%) Stop Loss (SL): 3331.3 (+0.20%) Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 5.53 ✅ 🧠 Trade Narrative: A short setup during the transition between Tokyo and London. The trade idea is based on combining session timing with the sweep of Tokyo high, where gold often reacts to macro flow and liquidity grabs for a sellside trade idea.
COMEX:GC1!Short
by davidjulien369
1
EURUSD Short IdeaI see that we broke structure to the downside on 15m, isnt the best break but i will still count it based on the fact where we are on HTF (D/W OB) and the mini-gap which got created in current asia. I cant cover the highs with a 10 pip stop so i will wait to see some bearish confirmation either a clear 1m bos to the downside, or nice price action on 5/15m indicating reversal in price. TP will be as always 1:3 and extendet TP will be unfilled previous asia sessions.
Short
by sTax11
1