XAU/USD 07 March 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Price has printed a bullish CHoCH according to analysis and bias dated 28 February 2025.
Price is currently trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price is now trading in premium of 50% internal EQ where we could see a reaction at any point. Price could also target H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal low, priced at 2,832.720
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 03 March 2023.
As mentioned in my analysis dated 28 February 2025, whereby price printed a bullish CHoCH but stated I would continue to monitor price.
On this occasion I have marked the previous bullish CHoCH in red as price did not pull back deeply enough to warrant internal structure breaks, additionally, there was minimal time spent.
Price has printed a further bullish CHoCH which is now confirmed. Price is not trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bullish, react at either premium of internal 50% EQ, or M15 supply zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 2,832.720.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
Multiple Time Frame Analysis
The Dollar's Demise May Not Be Over Just YetThe US dollar index is on track for its worst week in nearly two and a half years. It is also nearly 6% off from the January high, which is similar in depth to the two previous selloffs seen in 2023 and 2024. Yet I do not think we've seen the low just yet, even if there is evidence of a potential bounce on the daily chart.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
My Idea on GBP/USDBias
Weekly - Bearish
Daily - Bullish
Idea
Because of the Simple Rule HTF is King (In my Scenario Weekly > Daily). We are currently in the weekly 70% Zone. So I assume a continuation in the weekly trend -> Weekly LL.
Daily is still bullish so right now we should be careful. If Market gives us a Sign on H4/H1 (which is difficult rn because EUR flew crazy), I would short to potentially take out the daily low which would follow the weekly trend. If Market decides to go higher, i would look at the same short scenario as here.
Potential Longs are also possible because as you see daily internal aligned with daily again.
So all in all I am careful right now because 1. Market is crazy right now 2. Weekly vs daily 3. NPF Tomorrow (maybe we know more tomorrow)
Stock Of The Day / 03.06.25 / VG03.06.2025 / NYSE:VG #VG
Fundamentals. Earnings report did not meet expectations.
Technical analysis.
Daily chart: Downtrend. All-time low.
Premarket: Gap Down on increased volume. We mark the premarket level of 11.40.
Trading session: The impulse from the opening was stopped at 10.15, after that we observe the pullback and breakout the level of 11.40. The price returned below the level after 10:15 a.m. and entered the trading range below the level. We are considering a short trade to continue the initial impulse in case of holding 11.40. Note the significant decrease in buy volumes after 10:15, which is an additional signal for a change in the balance of power between buyers and sellers.
Trading scenario: #pullback along the trend (#false breakout with retest) of level 11.40
Entry: 11.19 when exit down from the trading range below the level
Stop: 11.48 we hide it behind the high of the trading range
Exit: Close part of the position before level 10.15. Close the remaining part of the position at a price of 10.02 when the structure of the downward trend is broken.
Risk Rewards: 1/4
P.S. In order to understand the idea behind the Stock Of The Day analysis, read the following information .
End of RELIEF..?As we can see NIFTY is now trading at important resistance which previously acted as a Support. Hence as long as we are below the structure, every rise can be sold but if it closes above the structure then we may see another 5-10 percent upmove in coming trading sessions so plan your trades accordingly.
BTC at a Crossroads: Key Levels & Market Triggers Ahead of NFPWelcome back, guys! I'm Skeptic, and let's dive into today's BTC analysis.
Daily Time Frame Overview
As previously mentioned in past analyses, the 85K level , followed by the 80-82K range , has been a crucial support zone for BTC. So far, price has reacted well to this level, showing strong buying pressure. Additionally, BTC has reached the Pivot Point 4 weekly level , meaning we could expect either a range-bound movement or a potential price rebound. However, the market remains highly volatile due to external factors—mainly Trump's recent actions.
On Sunday , Trump’s tweet triggered a market pump, only to be reversed the following day after his tariff war statements. Given this unpredictability, if you’re looking to buy BTC for a long-term hold, here are two key triggers to consider:
Trigger 1 : Wait for daily candle closure above 90,700 before entering, with a stop-loss below 80,645.37 (~12-13% SL size).
Trigger 2: A breakout above 106,378.17 could be another entry point, with a stop-loss below 90,555.54 (~15% SL size).
💡 Risk Management Tip: In case of a stop-loss hit, limit losses to a max of 5% of your capital to preserve long-term profitability.
4H Time Frame - Futures & Short-Term Setups
Currently, the market lacks direction and is dominated by FOMO trading. Why? Because of high-impact events happening tomorrow, which include:
📊 NFP (Non-Farm Payroll) Data Release🎤 Trump & Powell’s Speeches
These could create significant volatility, making any positions riskier than usual. If you’re looking to trade BTC futures, consider these setups:
Long Trigger: Above 92,200, but for a safer entry, you can wait for confirmation at 94,628.59 or even 98,600 to ride the uptrend confidently.
Short Trigger: Due to the PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone) around 85K and 82K, I personally won’t short here. However, if you must, you could enter a short below 88,213.36, but only if volume confirms the move and RSI enters oversold territory.
🔔 Final Thoughts:
BTC remains highly volatile due to fundamental catalysts.
If you’re unsure, staying out of the market is also a position.
Drop a comment if you want me to analyze a specific coin or forex pair next!
Let’s grow together, not alone. Help me help you! ❤️
ANALYSIS ON THE USD/JPY PAIR (1D & 1H TF)On the Monthly TF, this pair has slowly been on an uptrend while taking impulsive moves and pullbacks along the way.
Despite retesting the last temporary support zone around the 140 price level (in Sept 2024), recent events are showing that it may break below that region as we have seen a strong resistance around the 160 region.
If it breaks below 139 we might see it dropping below to the 120. If it doesn't, then it will continue its Impulsive move and pullback pattern to a new ATH.
Let's see how it plays out.
PS: Don't forget that FA often affects TA (positively or negatively - depending on your analysis). #UseRiskManagement
EUR/USD Dominating the Charts with Strong Technicals over Cable.The Euro has been making significant moves, driven by uncertainties in the US tariffs positions, the strength in Euro bonds, and the EU's commitment to increased defense spending. The Pound is also benefiting from these developments.
Currently, the price is moving steadily on the DXY. With ECB President Christine Lagarde speaking, it's advisable to focus on trading the Euro. We anticipate a pullback to the 15-minute Fair Value Gap (FVG) at 1.08046 before targeting the buy-side at 1.08530 during the New York session.
Additionally, the price is in a daily Supply and Demand Imbalance (SIBI) zone, and we will be looking to see if the price will break that high. The overall trend has been bullish. Note that Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) data is scheduled for release tomorrow, which could bring further volatility to the market.
The New York AM session took out buy-side liquidity, which we would have preferred it not to, but since it did, we will now target the New York AM high. Buying below 4Hr open.
USDCAD...PULLBACK OR REVERSAL? Hello TradingView family! Hope you guys are all doing fantastic! Just wanted to come on here and provide some insight for you guys on USDCAD based on my 13 years of experience in these markets and with technical trading...SO let's dive in!
OK so I am going to keep it very simple on this post for what I may see for USDCAD. You know what...lets go old school and do some bullet points for my bias...HERE WE GO
1. Failed to break multi year highs around 1.46800 zone of price (although it tried coming as high as 1.47800)
2. Gave a fake out (false breakout) above these highs
3. Very strong response from the seller (I like to say BOOM or BAM!)
4. #1 sign of a reversal is power/strength (which those sellers displayed)
5. Buyer has struggled to respond to that seller move (showing the seller dominance)
6. Fib retracement alignment/ Fib extension alignment (with a downward move happening)
7. New zones of supply created
etc...etc...etc.
I think you guys can see my point :) Lots of confluence! Lots of momentum! Lots of seller...stuff! SO what is next as a analyst/trader? WAIT...a traders least favorite word lol
We must wait to see how this pullback (if we get one) comes in to show us the true dominance of the seller and the buyers showing us they are slowing down...because TECHNICALLY price is still in a uptrend...BUT my bias lies behind this being a REVERSAL...keep your eyes out!
IF you guys enjoyed show some love boost this post, follow my page & comment if you'd like! Looking forward to the next time & hope this gives you all some good nuggets to use!
Cheers!
XAU/USD 06 March 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Price has printed a bullish CHoCH according to analysis and bias dated 28 February 2025.
Price is currently trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price is now trading in premium of 50% internal EQ where we could see a reaction at any point. Price could also target H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal low, priced at 2,832.720
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 03 March 2023.
As mentioned in my analysis dated 28 February 2025, whereby price printed a bullish CHoCH but stated I would continue to monitor price.
On this occasion I have marked the previous bullish CHoCH in red as price did not pull back deeply enough to warrant internal structure breaks, additionally, there was minimal time spent .
Price has printed a further bullish CHoCH which is now confirmed. Price is not trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bullish, react at either premium of internal 50% EQ, or M15 supply zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 2,832.720.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
EURGBP: Bearish Chart Pattern?! 🇪🇺🇬🇧
EURGBP broke a support line of a symmetrical triangle pattern
after a test of key daily resistance.
I think that the pair may retrace at least to 0.836
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Unswervingly short goldBrothers, good morning. Gold is still fluctuating in a narrow range. From the hourly chart, it is difficult for the price of gold to break through the upper resistance area of 2930-2940 in the short term. In the following trading rhythm today, we still maintain the attitude of shorting gold. The short-term focus below is to fall back to the support area of 2910-2900.
Brothers, profit is the ultimate goal of trading. Accumulating profits is what changes life and destiny. Wise choices are far more important than hard work. If you want to copy trading signals and earn stable profits, or want to learn in depth about correct trading logic and techniques, you can consider joining the channel at the bottom of this article.