EURNZD ENTRY IDEAOn this pair, we are anticipating for a SELL CONTINUATION, first we had a shift in trend yesterday, from the Daily,leaving us to a HANGING MAN CANDLESTICK PATTERN, also we have a 3omins tf confluences, plus the fact that the NZD is beginning to gain strength. You can join us if you are interested in this setup. update will be given in the UPDATE SESSION.
Multiple Time Frame Analysis
EURUSD: Optimal Selling Zone!Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** EURUSD Analysis !
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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Dogecoin $DOGE/USDT - 200D SMA Bull Regime DetectionThis indicator helps traders identify market regimes using the powerful combination of 50 and 200 SMAs. It provides clear visual signals and detailed metrics for trend-following strategies.
We've just had our bull regime print and are trading 43 days of bull regime duration.
Key Features:
- Dual SMA System (50/200) for regime identification
- Colour-coded candles for easy trend visualisation
- Metrics dashboard
Core Signals:
- Bullish Regime: Price > 200 SMA
- Bearish Regime: Price < 200 SMA
- Additional confirmation: 50 SMA Cross-over or Cross-under (golden cross or death cross)
NZDUSD - The uptrend of the dollar is over?!The NZDUSD currency pair is located between the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe. In case of a downward correction, we can see the demand zones and buy within that zones with the appropriate risk reward.
Although Trump has announced plans to impose tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and several other countries, closer analysis suggests that these measures are more related to addressing issues like migration and drug trafficking than economic policies. Therefore, these actions are not considered a serious threat to international trade and may be interpreted differently by the markets.
The appointment of Scott Bassant, a seasoned expert in currency markets and hedge funds, as the head of the economic team under President-elect Trump, has brought greater confidence to the markets. Bassant, who leans towards boosting the stock market, is likely to pursue more moderate policies, including reducing reliance on tariffs.
One of Bassant’s proposed approaches involves using a weaker dollar instead of trade wars and tariffs to achieve economic goals such as increasing domestic production, improving trade balance, and strengthening the stock market. If international agreements, particularly with China, are reached, this strategy could put additional pressure on the dollar.
Conway, Chief Economist of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand, has stated that Trump’s policies are currently viewed as a medium-term risk to inflation and economic volatility. Moreover, forecasts have not yet accounted for potential U.S. tariffs. Conway has also predicted that house prices in New Zealand will rise by 6.8% next year. While he does not expect a significant boom in housing prices, he anticipates a modest revival in the real estate market.
Meanwhile, Silk of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand has announced that for February, a rate cut of 25 or 50 basis points is under consideration. During this week’s meeting, all options were reviewed, but the committee quickly reached consensus on a 50-basis-point cut. He clarified that a reduction beyond this level was deemed unnecessary as there remains a need to focus on controlling domestic inflation.
XAGUSD - Silver will stabilize above $30?!Silver is located between EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe and is moving in its medium-term ascending channel. If the decline continues, we can see the demand zones and buy within that zones with the appropriate risk reward.
The first range is suitable for short-term transactions and the second range is suitable for medium-term transactions.
Peter Krauth, author of The Great Silver Bull and publisher of SilverStockInvestor, has stated that silver could achieve substantial gains during a rate-cutting cycle, with advancements in artificial intelligence potentially emerging as a new driver of demand. Krauth examined the silver market and investment opportunities for 2025, highlighting the significant impact of Federal Reserve rate cuts on silver prices, a point supported by historical data.
He explained, “In the last three rate-cutting cycles, if you look at silver prices from trough to peak, silver has, on average, risen by 332%.” Krauth added, “This process might take about one to two years, but it still offers remarkable returns, doesn’t it? You can review the data—this is how silver has historically performed.”
He further noted that if the U.S. economy enters a recession—an outcome many analysts forecast for the first half of 2025—silver could deliver outstanding performance.
Meanwhile, Donald Trump, the U.S. President-elect, has outlined extensive plans to reshape the nation’s energy policies. According to news sources, Trump intends to request funding from Congress to replenish the Strategic Petroleum Reserve. His transition team is preparing a comprehensive energy policy agenda to be implemented shortly after he assumes office.
Trump also aims to repeal President Biden’s clean energy initiatives and prioritize natural gas. He may condition U.S. financial support for the International Energy Agency (IEA) on its refocusing towards oil and gas while countering its emphasis on green energy.
At the same time, analysts at Deutsche Bank have expressed concerns that the Federal Reserve might cancel its anticipated December rate cut. These concerns stem from stronger-than-expected economic resilience, a stable labor market, and persistent inflation above 2.5%.
Although the analysts still forecast a rate cut in December, the risk of a delay has increased. They predict that the federal funds rate will reach 4.375% by the end of 2025, exceeding the estimated neutral range. This suggests that the Fed may maintain higher rates for an extended period.
Furthermore, Deutsche Bank expects the Federal Reserve to lower rates to a neutral range of 3.75-4.00% in 2026 and 2027, as the impact of tariffs is likely to gradually reduce private domestic demand, creating room for more rate cuts in the long term.
XAU/USD 29 November 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Bias/analysis remains the same as analysis dated 25 November 2024.
Price Action Analysis:
As mentioned in yesterday's analysis dated 24 November 2024, whereby price was expected to print a bearish CHoCH. This is how price printed.
Currently, price is trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price is anticipated to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, which is marked in blue, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,721.420.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Today's analysis and bias will remain the same as analysis dated 26 November 2024.
Price Action Analysis:
Intraday expectation and analysis dated 25 November 2024 printed as anticipated, with price successfully printing a bearish iBOS after targeting the weak internal low.
A correction from yesterday's intraday expectation: instead of targeting the weak internal high, price was expected to target the weak internal low.
Price has since printed a bullish CHoCH, indicating, but not confirming, bullish pullback phase. We are now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price is anticipated to trade up to either the internal 50% EQ or the M15 supply zone before targeting the weak internal low at 2,605.310.
Alternative Scenario:
The H4 timeframe has printed a bearish CHoCH, indicating the initiation of a bearish pullback phase coupled with the fact that H4 TF is now trading in discount of internal 50%. However, this suggests that bearish momentum on M15 may face limitations as the broader H4 phase unfolds.
Note:
Given the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persistent geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is likely to remain elevated. Traders should remain cautious and prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
FACT(NSE) Stock - Applying Bullish Breaker Concept on TradingTrading is simple!
All you need to know is Premium / Discount Arrays to understand market dynamics.
Choose the Higher Time Frame (HTF) PD array and trade Lower Time Frame (LTF) PD array.
Time Frame Alignment
HTF - H4
LTF - M15
HTF PD ARRAY - Bullish Breaker
LTF PD Array - Bullish Breaker
Higher Time Frame gives you market direction.
Lower Time Frame gives you entry opportunity
NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup (29-NOV-2024) Price Framework : Price Expansion (Market Makers Buy Model)
Price Delivery : ERL to ERL
Time Frames :
Higher Time Frame : D1
Lower Time Frame : H1
Entry Time Frame : M15
Discount PD arrays :
1. Daily Inverse Fair Value Gap (iFVG) on HTF
2. Bullish Breaker Block on LTF (M15)
3. Bullish Fair Value Gap on LTF (M15)
Draw on Liquidity (DOL) :
Premium PD array : Supply Order Block
Bitcoin tends to falter the day after ThanksgivingThe 124k target remains in play overall, but for now I suspect the shakeout from its 100k milestone has more to offer bears. And while bitcoin prices are showing a nice breakout from a flag pattern on the 1-hour chart, bulls should take note that today (the day after Thanksgiving) tends to be a bearish day on average. And that could make any moves towards 100k tempting for bears to fade into over the near term.
MS
STELLAR (XLMUSD): Classic Trend Following Pattern
Stellar recently broke and closed above a key weekly horizontal resistance.
Retesting the broken structure, the price broke a resistance line of a falling
wedge pattern on a 4H time frame.
It indicates a strong bullish potential and a highly probable coming up movement.
I expect a growth at least to 0.6 level.
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Trade Recaps: GBPJPY-SHORT, EURUSD-SHORT, 28/11/2024GJ Bias Analysis: The bearish pro-trend was clear with price trading lower from a premium. After printing the weekly low and beginning to correct higher, price mitigated the 50% equilibrium during New York Killzone where I waited for further confirmation by way of a LTF TBL sweep before executing a short position.
EU Bias Analysis: The 4H had established a counter trend as price pulled back into the 1D OB and while short entries were not in line with the bullish range, IPDA was clear. Liquidity was being generated to the upside as price corrected and after a TBL sweep to the upside during New York killzone, a short entry was executed.
Grade:
- UJ: High Risk
- EU: Low Risk
USDCAD: Retesting the support zoneWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** USDCAD Analysis !
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future.
Thanks for your continued support! Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!