Multiple Time Frame Analysis
2/21/25 - VTRS: new BUY mechanical trading signal.2/21/25 - VTRS: new BUY signal chosen by a rules-based, mechanical trading system.
VTRS - BUY
Stop Loss @ 10.60
Entry BUY @ 11.25
Target Profit @ 13.14
Analysis:
Higher timeframe: Prices have stayed above the lower channel line of the ATR (Average True Range) Keltner Channel and reversed.
Higher timeframe: Victor Sperandeo's (Trader Vic) classic 1-2-3 BUY pattern...where the current lowest bottom breakout price is greater than the preceding bottom price.
Higher timeframe: Price peaked below the ATR (Average True Range) breakout low and then reversed.
GLOBAL MARKET shows no RESPITE Following the global cues we can expect NIFTY to open very weak which could be followed by further weakness but the demand zone seems to be eminent hence can lead to volatility so no new longs should be made positional unless signs of REVERSAL is seen so plan your trades accordingly.
GBPUSD SHORT Market structure bearish on HTFs DH
Entry at Both Daily and Weekly AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Daily Rejection at AOi
Previous Daily Structure point
Around Psychological Level 1.26000
H4 EMA retest
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
Levels 5.14
Entry 100%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
USD/CAD – High Probability Long SetupHey guys, welcome back! I'm Skeptic, and today I want to share an interesting long setup on USD/CAD that could present a solid trading opportunity. Let's break it down!
📌 1D Timeframe Analysis
After the previous uptrend, USD/CAD entered a long consolidation phase within a daily range.
Recently, we saw a fake breakout of the range low, followed by strong bullish momentum, indicating a potential attempt to break the key resistance at 1.45172.
If this breakout is successful, we could see higher targets being tested.
📌 4H Timeframe & Entry Plan
🔹 Trigger: Entry after the breakout of 1.44545 resistance.
🔹 Execution: You can either place a stop-buy order or wait for a breakout confirmation on lower timeframes.
🔹 Stop-Loss: Below 1.43677 (safe level).
🔹 Target: Holding towards the daily resistance at 1.45172 and beyond.
📌 Why take this trade?
We are anticipating the daily breakout before it happens, rather than chasing it after the fact.
If you wait for confirmation above 1.45172, you may need a wider stop-loss, making the entry less favorable due to increased volatility.
📉 Risk management remains key! Make sure to size your position accordingly and avoid overleveraging.
💬 What’s your take on this USD/CAD setup? Drop your thoughts below!
🚀 See you in the next analysis!
EURUSD Short Idea. Last week there were 3 strong bearish days on OANDA:EURUSD , leaving an imbalance behind and a Weekly bearish candle. Today, as I find it with a strong bullish movement from the open and London, I keep my eyes on shorts. This move might just end up being the weekly top wick, as nothing goes up or down in a straight line.
I found an imbalance with, what I perceive as, liquidity nearby. With a red folder news coming up at 10:00am NY time, it might reach it. Let's wait and see. This is my thought and move for today. For now.
EURUSD - Minor correction and upward movement this weekGiven the CH in the 4-hour timeframe, we can see a correction in the upper timeframe to continue the flow of bearish orders and a temporary upward move in the lower timeframe.
Given the flow of bearish orders in the daily timeframe, we cannot see a significant growth and in fact this upward move in the lower timeframe is a corrective wave in the flow of bearish orders in the upper timeframe.
So this week we can see a rise to the range of 0.04528 to 0.04770.
So I repeat, do not forget that this upward move is temporary because there is still a downward flow of orders in the daily timeframe.
LONG ON NZD/USDNZD/USD is giving nice uptrend structure from the higher TF.
Currently it has pulled back to a key support area and is looking good for a rise.
Dollar (DXY) is overall bearish and currently falling. (This has a inverse correlation with XXX/USD pairs)
I will be buying NZD/USD to the next resistance level / previous high for about 150-200 pips.
XAU/USD 03 March 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 28 February 2025.
Price has printed a bearish iBOS as per alternative scenario mentioned over the last few weeks.
Price is now trading within an internal high and fractal low.
Bullish CHoCH positioning is marked with a blue dotted line.
Intraday Expectation:
Await for price to indicate bullish pullback phase initiation by printing a bullish CHoCH.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
As mentioned in my analysis dated 28 February 2025, whereby price printed a bullish CHoCH but stated I would continue to monitor price.
On this occasion I have marked the previous bullish CHoCH in red as price did not pull back deeply enough to warrant internal structure breaks, additionally, there was minimal time spent .
Price has printed a further bullish CHoCH which is now confirmed. Price is not trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bullish, react at either premium of internal 50% EQ, or M15 supply zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 2,832.720.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
Bitcoin - Bitcoin, waiting for another decline?!Bitcoin is located between the EMA50 and EMA200 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its descending channel. Bitcoin's downward correction and its placement in the demand zone will provide us with the opportunity to buy it again. It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and compliance with capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important. If the downward trend continues, we can buy in the demand range.
Donald Trump has issued an executive order on digital assets, directing the Presidential Task Force to move toward establishing a strategic cryptocurrency reserve that will include XRP, SOL, and ADA. He emphasized, “I will ensure that the United States becomes the cryptocurrency capital of the world.” Trump further added, “We are making America great again!”
He also highlighted Bitcoin and Ethereum as other valuable digital assets that will be central to this reserve, stating, “I love Bitcoin and Ethereum!” Following this announcement, Bitcoin responded positively to the news of the executive order.
On February 28, BlackRock made headlines after Bitcoin (BTC) dropped below $80,000. Amid speculation, some claimed that the company had sold $500 million worth of Bitcoin, playing a significant role in the price decline.
However, a closer analysis contradicts these claims. Data shows that BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) still holds 577,919 BTC. While this fund saw an outflow of 2,274 BTC on February 27 and a total of 10,595 BTC over the past week, this does not imply that BlackRock itself is selling Bitcoin.
These ETF outflows result from investors selling shares of the fund. In such scenarios, the ETF is required to sell Bitcoin proportionally to meet liquidity demands. Therefore, these movements are not directly tied to BlackRock’s own decision to offload BTC but rather reflect investor behavior.
Contrary to circulating rumors, BlackRock is not exiting Bitcoin; in fact, it has been increasing its exposure. Recent financial filings reveal that the company now holds a 5% stake in MicroStrategy (MSTR), up from 4.09% in September 2024.
Additionally, it has been announced that BlackRock plans to integrate its Bitcoin ETF into the firm’s $150 billion portfolio. This move suggests that rather than pulling out of the market, BlackRock is strengthening its position in Bitcoin-related assets.
Ultimately, this situation highlights how quickly rumors and speculation can spread during market downturns, but a detailed analysis of the data always provides a clearer picture of reality.
Meanwhile, Ronaldinho, the former Brazilian football star, has announced plans to launch his own cryptocurrency. He also warned his fans to stay vigilant against fraudulent meme coins.
NAS100 - Nasdaq, won't it go below 20k?!The index is below the EMA200 and EMA50 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its medium-term ascending channel. If the index rises towards the suggested zones, we can look for the next Nasdaq sell-off.
The composition of investors’ financial assets from 1990 to 2025 reveals shifts in the allocation of equities, bonds, and cash. Currently, the share of equities in investment portfolios has reached an all-time high of 54%, indicating a growing preference for the stock market among investors.
Conversely, the share of bonds and cash has declined to 18% and 13%, respectively, suggesting reduced interest in holding fixed-income assets and liquidity. At present, more than half of investors’ financial assets are concentrated in equities, which could reflect optimism about the market’s future growth.
This situation calls for increased caution from the Federal Reserve and the Trump administration, as a significant portion of American households’ surplus income is now directed toward stocks. As a result, any downturn in the U.S. stock market could have more severe consequences for the public than before.
Scott Bassett, the U.S. Treasury Secretary, responded to a recent survey indicating that Americans want President Donald Trump to focus more on reducing inflation. He stated that he is confident consumer price inflation in the United States will decline throughout the year.
In an interview with CBS and Face the Nation, Bassett defended Trump’s economic policies, emphasizing that the president is pursuing a comprehensive approach that includes tariffs, deregulation, and a gradual reduction in energy costs.
Meanwhile, following weaker-than-expected preliminary Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) data for February and a decline in the University of Michigan’s Consumer Sentiment Index, investors are now pricing in approximately 60 basis points of rate cuts by the Federal Reserve for this year. This projection is 10 basis points higher than the forecasts from the December dot plot.
Market pricing indicates that traders still expect the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates in June, particularly after the release of Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) data. However, with Trump ramping up tariff threats against key U.S. trading partners such as China, Canada, and Mexico, outlining a clear economic roadmap has become more challenging. Tariff impositions pose a serious risk of reigniting inflation, prompting many Federal Reserve officials who have recently expressed their views to adopt a “wait and see” approach.
This week, market attention will once again turn to employment data, as investors eagerly anticipate the release of the February Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report. Other key events include the preliminary Consumer Price Index (CPI) estimates for the Eurozone and the ISM U.S. Manufacturing PMI on Monday, the ADP Employment Report and ISM Services PMI on Wednesday, and the weekly jobless claims data on Thursday. Additionally, the European Central Bank’s monetary policy decision on Thursday will be closely watched, with economists expecting another interest rate cut.
Following the trend on Xauusd with daily support zonetaking a look at the market today without any prior bias but as a trader, the first step is identifying your Point of interest which is the "support/resistance" zones in the market. I have identified the support and resistance I see on the daily timeframe in this 10 mins video for you guys here and we'll be expecting a bounce up from there. Happy Trading week to you guys!
PS: Please work with risk management as not to loose all your money
GBPUSD LONGOn the Daily Timeframe, price moved out from an Area of interest and and might be seeking the next area of value due to the lower timeframe of Price Action forming.
4H/1H - Price is trading around the base of an ascending channel which might be signifying a possible change of lower timeframe trend. If the base hold then I'll be waiting for a M15 Flag which I will taking a RE or RRE on it.
BTC. Weekly Candle Hints at New ATHHey traders and investors!
The closing of the weekly candle increases the likelihood of updating the all-time high (ATH).
Weekly Timeframe Analysis
On the weekly chart, the price has formed a range with boundaries:
Lower boundary: 89,256
Upper boundary: 109,588
The weekly candle with a large selling wick within the seller's vector 5-6 dropped below the lower boundary of the range (89,256) but closed above this level. At the same time, this candle had the highest volume in 2025 (!).
The key volume of this candle is concentrated below 89,256 (!) in the 87,000-84,000 range (highlighted by a blue band on the chart).
Another important fact is that the 87,000-84,000 range is within the key candle of the penultimate buyer's impulse on the weekly timeframe (!). This candle had an even larger volume (KC on the chart), which increases the significance of this zone.
The price has reached the level of 50% (78676) of the last impulse on the monthly TF (!).
4 key signals (!) indicate a higher probability of updating the ATH: the candle closing above 89,256, the concentration of volume in the 87,000-84,000 range, and the presence of even greater volume in the key candle of the previous impulse.
Within the range, the current buyer's vector is 6-7, with potential targets at 99,550, 102,500, and 109,588.
To refine entry points, let's analyze the hourly timeframe.
Hourly Timeframe Analysis
The hourly chart shows a strong buyer impulse. The key candle (KC on the chart) is highlighted on the chart. The priority zone for identifying buy patterns is within the key candle range or near 50% of the buyer's impulse, as this level often serves as a support point after a strong movement. It represents a balance between buyers and sellers, where major market participants may show interest in continuing the trend, which corresponds to the 91,200 – 85,100 range (marked with a rectangle on the chart).
I wish you profitable trades!
EUR/USD: Liquidity Grab in Motion - 2H View for Precision Lining up the play on the 30M, but posting the 2H for a cleaner look—this setup is all about patience. Buy-side liquidity (BSL) needs to get swept first before I entertain any sells. Once that liquidity grab is in the bag, I’m looking to ride price down into the 4H order block (blue zone) for the real reaction.
No guessing, no forcing—just calculated execution. Let the market tip its hand first.
#Forex #EURUSD #SmartMoney #LiquiditySweep #OrderBlock #PrecisionTrading #NoFOMO
Bless Trading!
EUR/USD: Setting the Trap - 12H for ClarityZooming out to the 12H for a clearer view—bullish intent is set, but I’m not biting just yet. The real move begins once inducement gets swept and that 4H order block (blue zone) gets mitigated.
That 30M supply (red zone)? Just an internal move that needs tapping before price pushes lower into the real demand. Once that happens, I’ll be watching for my confirmation to strike.
No chasing—just precision. Let the market show its hand first.
#Forex #EURUSD #SmartMoney #Inducements #OrderBlock #TradeWithPatience
Bless Trading!