USDCHF - Potential downside incominglooking at UCHF we have just swept a level of liquidity.
We have had a Change of Character on the 15min to the downside and left a nice inducement / liquidity level alongside a nice FVG that has left a nice bearish orderblock
Once the spreads calm down I will set my pending order on this level and hope to be tagged into this position.
Due to the time it will be a reduced risk entry as I won't be able to manage the trade during the night.
Multiple Time Frame Analysis
GBPAUD SHORTMarket structure bearish on HTFs DH
Entry at both Daily and Weekly Rejection
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Daily Rejection At AOi
Previous Structure point Daily
Around Psychological Level 2.09000
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
Levels 4.22
Entry 95%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
Stock Index: ES, NQ, YM Weekly Update📈 S&P 500, Nasdaq & Dow Jones – All-Time Highs, But Caution Creeping In
🟩 S&P 500 | Nasdaq | Dow Jones
All three indices hit new all-time highs to close out June.
Powered by:
🔋 AI optimism
💰 Solid earnings
🕊️ Dovish Fed tone and falling bond yields
SPX continued its breakout run
Nasdaq surged as big tech led the charge
Dow followed with slower but steady strength
⚠️ But Watch the Signs Beneath the Surface
Consumer confidence dropped sharply
Home sales weakened
Fed speakers remained non-committal on cuts
All three indices now look extended — particularly Nasdaq
Momentum remains bullish, but these rallies are now resting on softening macro, yield compression, and hope that the Fed stays on hold.
🧠 Key Takeaway
Price action is euphoric — but fundamentals are flashing mixed signals.
When tech leads the market at extremes, volatility risk is elevated.
EURUSD: Another Pullback Trade for Today 🇪🇺🇺🇸
EURUSD formed a double bottom pattern on a key daily horizontal support.
Its neckline violation signifies a local strength of the buyers.
I think that the pair may move up and reach 1.1753 level.
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GBPUSD Long Re-entry, 07 JulyAsia Fill & Volume-Based Setup
This is a momentum-driven long based on Asia Fill and a strong bullish shift on LTF, with clear DXY correlation. HTF doesn't offer major confluence, but intraday price action supports the idea.
📍 Entry: Waiting for a retest of the 5m OB left behind after a strong bullish move
📈 Confluence: 1m BOS + 15m Extreme OB + high buyer volume
🔁 Risk: Price may not return to 5m OB – if missed, it's a no-trade
🎯 Target: Asia high (but first 1:3 RR), quick BE if we catch the move
Clean setup with structure and volume in our favor – execution depends on retest.
Could Gold slide below 3000?Could Gold slide below 3000?
On the monthly charts, price action shows an imbalance when Gold surged to 3500. Equilibrium must be restored and price action suggests, Gold has to correct by mitigating demand at 2700 price levels. On the weekly and daily charts, there are signs of price weakening suggesting a reversal is not so far. On the daily chart, Gold has mitigated a short term FVG and formed an intermediate low. Once this low is broken, it will confirm our reversal of Gold targeting the monthly FVG at 2760
AUDJPY OUTLOOKOn the monthly charts, the AUDJPY has shifted in market structure indicating the long term outlook is bearish. In the interim (weekly), price action is pushing higher to mitigate price inefficiency and fair value gaps. After mitigation, we will look for sell opportunities targeting liquidity below the relative equal lows.
USDJPY LONGMarket structure bullish on HTFs DH
Entry at both Weekly and Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Daily Rejection At AOi
Previous Structure point Daily
Around Psychological Level 144.000
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
Levels 2.91
Entry 95%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
GBPNZD SHORT Market structure bearish at AOi DW
Entry at Weekly and Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Previous Structure point Weekly
Daily Rejection at AOi
Previous Daily Structure Point at AOi
Around Psychological Level 2.26000
H4 Candlestick rejection
Levels 5.14
Entry 95%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
Bullish Maple Syrup (USD/CAD)Setup
USD/CAD has broken below its long term uptrend line and is making lower lows while below the 30 week SMA, indicating a downtrend.
Signal
The daily chart shows a steep downtrend with RSI having twice been oversold at the May and June lows. However, on the most recent re-test of the lows RSI has held up. A double bottom pattern confirmed by a break back over 50 RSI could signal a more sustained bounce.
TRENDLINE BREAKOUT [LONG]In this analysis we're focusing on 4H timeframe. As we know that price move impulse toward upside and break trendline, now I'm waiting for retracement. Once price reach my zone and give any type of bullish confirmation than we'll execute our trade. This is a higher time frame analysis and key levels. Let's analyze more deeply into smaller time frame and potential outcomes.
Always use stoploss for your trade.
Always use proper money management and proper risk to reward ratio.
#XAUUSD 4H Technical Analysis Expected Move.
GBPUSD Long, 07 JulyAsia Fill Setup
This is a pure Asia Fill trade, backed by recent bullish LTF structure and a clean reaction from a 15m decisional OB. Although HTF isn’t perfectly aligned for longs, the momentum and intraday structure make this setup valid.
📍 Entry: 1m BOS from 15m OB, refined entry from 1m OB
📈 Confluence: Trend, structure, and Asia high as a clear target
🔁 Risk: SL doesn’t fully cover the OB, but BOS + clean reaction justifies the entry
🎯 Target: Asia High (1:3 RR), with BE secured quickly if price moves favorably
Not a perfect setup HTF-wise, but strong intraday alignment makes it worth the shot.
NAS100 - Stock market is waiting for tariffs!The index is above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. Maintaining the ascending channel will lead to the continuation of the Nasdaq's upward path to higher targets, but if it does not rise and corrects towards the demand limits, you can buy the Nasdaq index with appropriate reward and risk.
Three months ago, Donald Trump postponed the imposition of severe retaliatory tariffs, granting America’s major trading partners more time to reach new agreements that Washington views as “fairer.” Now, as the White House’s July 9 deadline approaches, only two official trade deals have been finalized—one with the United Kingdom and another with Vietnam. As for China, merely a fragile temporary truce has been reached, which has so far prevented any additional tariffs from being enforced.
Although reports suggest promising progress in negotiations with India, Japan, and South Korea, no final agreements have been secured with these countries yet. Interestingly, talks with the European Union—which had previously stalled—have suddenly taken a positive turn, and prospects for a deal with Canada in the coming days have also improved.
However, given the limited time left, it seems unlikely that trade agreements with all of America’s 18 key partners will be reached before the deadline. This situation has raised a critical question for the markets: Will Trump set a new deadline for the remaining countries, or will the suspended tariffs be reinstated?
The prevailing view is that the U.S. president will once again resort to threats before granting any extensions—this time not merely by reviving the “Liberation Day” tariffs, but also by promising even heavier tariffs to extract the last concessions from the remaining trade partners.
U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bassett stated that if no agreements are reached by August 1, tariffs will revert to the levels announced in April. He also emphasized that Washington’s core strategy in these trade talks is to apply maximum pressure. According to Bassett, letters will be sent to various countries, outlining the August 1 deadline for reaching deals. This news, which broke during the market’s closing hours, sparked a wave of risk appetite in the financial markets.
In a week when the U.S. economic calendar is notably devoid of major data releases, investors are focusing their attention on the minutes from the Federal Reserve’s June FOMC meeting—a document that could offer fresh insights into the trajectory of interest rates for the second half of the year.
June’s strong employment report, which exceeded market expectations, has effectively dashed hopes for an interest rate cut this month. Now, if the positive economic momentum persists, the likelihood of a rate cut in the September meeting may also gradually be priced out by the markets.
According to data from Challenger, Gray & Christmas, U.S. employers announced 47,999 job cuts in June, marking a sharp decline from 93,816 in the previous month. Compared to June of last year, layoffs have dropped by 2%. However, total job cuts in the second quarter of 2025 reached 247,256—a 39% increase from the same period last year (177,391) and the highest second-quarter layoff figure since 2020.
With no significant economic reports scheduled for the coming days, investors will be closely analyzing Wednesday night’s Fed minutes and the limited remarks from central bank officials—statements where every word has the potential to significantly move the markets.
CADJPY: Bullish Move From Support Confirmed?! 🇨🇦🇯🇵
CADJPY may bounce from a key daily horizontal support cluster.
As a confirmation signal, I spotted a bullish imbalance candle
on a 4H time frame after its deep test.
I expect a pullback to 106.65
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OPUSDT: Buyers try to regain control inside the rangeHi traders and investors!
On the daily timeframe, OPUSDT is trading in a sideways range. The price has repeatedly dipped below the lower boundary at 0.545, but each time, buyers managed to bring it back.
Now, we’re seeing another attempt to return into the consolidation zone — a possible sign of renewed buyer initiative.
If the price secures above 0.545, the path opens toward the next targets at 0.844 and 0.954. However, a short-term dip below 0.52 may occur within this bullish scenario.
Therefore, buying becomes a priority once the price is firmly back above 0.545.
This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA).
Wishing you profitable trades!