GOLD (XAUUSD): Potential Scenarios Explained
Here is my updated technical outlook for Gold with potential scenarios.
Bullish Scenario
The price is currently testing a significant daily resistance cluster.
Its bullish breakout and a daily candle close above 3368 will
provide a strong confirmation.
More growth will be expected then.
Bearish Scenario
For now, the market is consolidating on the underlined resistance.
The price is stuck within a horizontal range on a 4H time frame now.
Your bearish signal will be a breakout of its support and a 4H candle
close below 3310.
It will provide a strong bearish confirmation.
The market might be weak and remain within a 4H range today.
But, everything can happen, so watch carefully.
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Multiple Time Frame Analysis
Skeptic | Dogwifhat (WIF): Precision Triggers for Spot & FuturesWelcome, traders, Its Skeptic! 😎 Is Dogwifhat (WIF) the next meme coin rocket or a risky gamble? I’m diving into a pro-level breakdown of WIF, the Solana-based meme coin with a $882.06M market cap, ranked #75 globally. This analysis covers recent performance, ecosystem strengths, and technical triggers for spot and futures trading, grounded in cycle-based strategies. Trade with no FOMO, no hype, just reason. Let’s dissect WIF! 🚖
📰 Recent Performance & Key Events
Dogwifhat (WIF) , a Solana-based meme coin launched in late 2023, trades at 0.886 with a $882.06M market cap, ranking #75 globally. Featuring a Shiba Inu in a pink beanie, it leverages Solana’s high-speed, low-fee blockchain and a deflationary burn mechanism with a 998.9 million token supply. Listed on major exchanges like Binance, KuCoin, and Gate.io, WIF enjoys strong liquidity. In July 2025, it’s up 5.26% in 24 hours and 24.57% over 7 days, with a 24-hour trading volume of $450M. However, it’s down 80.94% from its all-time high of $4.84 (March 31, 2024), reflecting meme coin volatility :)
Technical & Market Position
WIF benefits from Solana’s scalable ecosystem, a hub for DeFi and NFTs, with 160,000+ TPS and low fees, outpacing slower networks. Its community-driven appeal, active on X, Reddit, and Discord, fuels its momentum, with posts highlighting a cult-like following. Compared to Pepe ($4.08B market cap, 456,000+ holders, 37% holding over a year), WIF’s smaller but vocal community shows dedication. However, its lack of real-world utility and reliance on social media hype mirror Pepe’s 25.7% year-to-date drop, raising concerns about sustainability.
Risks : Speculative volatility, pump-and-dump schemes, and dependence on Solana’s performance and social media sentiment make WIF a high-risk bet. Use stop loss to manage swings.
📈 Technical Analysis
Daily Timeframe
The Weekly (HWC) is bearish, entering a major bearish trend after forming a double bottom and breaking support. However, the Daily (MWC) started an uptrend, achieving 350 % growth before correcting to the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement —a healthy correction without breaking the uptrend momentum. Key support zones are $0.635–$0.679 . A break below could resume the Weekly bearish trend, so stay alert.
Spot Trigger (Long): Break above resistance at $ 1.047 , confirmed by a volume surge (ideally 2x the average of the prior 5–7 candles). Volume is critical—technical analysis is an art, not a science, so don’t fixate on exact numbers.
Key Insight: The Daily uptrend holds, but a volume spike is essential to confirm bullish moves and avoid fakeouts.
4-Hour Timeframe (Futures Triggers)
On the 4-hour chart (LWC), for longs:
Trigger: Break of the downward trendline and resistance at $ 0.958 , with volume confirmation (strong volume seen in the prior uptrend leg). Additional confirmation: RSI re-entering overbought.
Shorts: No short trigger currently. Despite the Weekly bearish HWC, the Daily MWC uptrend and strong support at $0.635–$0.679 make shorting illogical. Wait for a support break and MWC turning bearish for a safer short with better R/R.
Pro Tip: Longs are viable with volume and RSI confirmation. Avoid shorts until the MWC aligns bearish to minimize fakeout risk. Always use MAX 1%–2% risk per trade.
Final Vibe Check
This WIF breakdown delivers precise triggers for spot ($1.047) and futures ($0.958 long, no short yet), leveraging cycle-based strategies. With a bearish Weekly but bullish Daily, prioritize volume confirmation to navigate meme coin volatility. Solana’s ecosystem and exchange listings give WIF an edge, but its hype-driven nature demands caution. Want more cycle setups or another pair? Drop it in the comments! If this analysis sharpened your game, hit that boost—it fuels my mission! 😊 Stay disciplined, fam! ✌️
💬 Let’s Talk!
Which WIF trigger are you watching? Share your thoughts in the comments, and let’s crush it together!
GBPJPY - Bullish Bias • Waiting to Execute from LTFPair: GBPJPY
Bias: Bullish
HTF Overview (2H): Price delivered the sweep I was patiently waiting for—textbook clean across multiple timeframes. The market has now tapped into the deeper range where real interest lies.
LTF Confirmation: All I need now is a structure shift + inducement on the 5M/1M to step in. I only move when the market shows its hand.
Entry Zone: Green zone marked on chart—expecting LTF sweep + shift before executing.
Targets: Short-term target is near the previous structure high around 198.200+.
Mindset Note: This setup has been cooking all week. Now the prep is done, I just need precision. Watching like a hawk. When it confirms—I strike.
Bless Trading!
AUDCAD SHORT Market structure bearish on HTFs DW
Entry at both Daily and Weekly AOi
Weekly Rejection At AOi
Previous Weekly Structure Point
Weekly EMA retest
Daily Rejection at AOi
Previous Structure point Daily
Around Psychological Level 0.89500
H4 Candlestick rejection Y
Levels 4,17
Entry 95%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
Skeptic | SUI Breakdown: Precision Triggers for Spot & FuturesWelcome, traders, its Skeptic! 😎 Ready to unlock SUI’s next big move? I’m delivering a pro-level breakdown of SUI, the #12 crypto with a $10.4B market cap.This Analysis dives into recent performance, ecosystem growth, and technical triggers for spot and futures trading, all rooted in cycle-based strategies. Trade with no FOMO, no hype, just reason , Let’s conquer SUI! 🚖
Recent Performance & Key Events
SUI , trading at $ 2.98 with a $ 10.4 billion market cap, ranks as the # 12 cryptocurrency globally. A Layer-1 blockchain using the Move programming language, it boasts parallel transaction processing with over 160,000 TPS. In July 2025, SUI showed strong momentum, surging 10% in 24 hours and 12% weekly after bottoming in the $2.30–$2.40 range. However, a 44 million token unlock ($122M) on July 1 introduces potential selling pressure. 📊
Technical & Market Position
SUI’s Total Value Locked ( TVL ) reached $ 2.1 billion in early 2025, ranking it the 8th largest blockchain by TVL. Its DeFi ecosystem is exploding, with stablecoin volume jumping from $ 400M to $ 1.2B . Bitcoin integration and a Microsoft partnership bolster institutional adoption, signaling strong fundamentals despite volatility.
Technical Analysis
Daily Timeframe
The Daily (HWC) is in an uptrend, holding above the upward trendline (marked in blue). The major trend remains bullish unless this trendline breaks. However, the MWC is bearish, with declining volume during recent price rises suggesting a secondary corrective trend rather than a primary bullish trend. As Mark Andrew Lim notes in The Handbook of Technical Analysis, rising prices need increasing volume to confirm trader conviction and bullish momentum. Low volume indicates trend weakness, typical of corrective moves.
Spot Trigger (Long): Break of the downward corrective trendline with consolidation above resistance at $ 3.0408 . The last series breaking this trendline saw 85 % growth, but don’t rush in. Confirm with:
Falling BTC.D (Bitcoin dominance).
Total 3 long triggers (market-wide altcoin signals).
SUI/BTC uptrend, with an initial trigger on breaking its downward trendline and a primary trigger at 0.00003998 resistance.
Key Insight: Volume confirmation is critical. Without a volume surge on breakout, the risk of fakeouts is high.
4-Hour Timeframe (Futures Triggers)
On the 4-hour chart, if price reacts again at resistance $ 3.0890 , you can go long on a breakout, confirmed by RSI entering oversold. If it rejects sharply, the next long trigger is a break of $3.1606. For shorts, a break below support at $2.6593 is a strong trigger, especially with volume confirmation.
Pro Tip: Volume is king for all triggers. Without a volume spike on breakout, fakeout risk is high. Always apply capital management—1%–2% risk per trade to stay safe.
Final Vibe Check
This SUI Analysis equips you with precise triggers for spot ($3.0408) and futures ($3.0890/$3.1606 long, $2.6593 short) trading, leveraging cycle-based strategies. Want more cycle setups or another pair? Drop it in the comments! If this analysis sharpened your edge, hit that boost—it fuels my mission! 😊 Stay disciplined, fam! ✌️
💬 Let’s Talk!
Which SUI trigger are you eyeing? Share your thoughts in the comments, and let’s crush it together!
EURUSD Short, 03 JuneHTF shows clear Bearish OBs on both W and D, with doji & hammer formations hinting at buyer exhaustion. Expecting a pullback into imbalance below.
On LTF, we’ve had a clean BOS in Asia, followed by a retrace into the last 15m extreme OB – an ideal scenario for forming a new lower high in the ongoing bearish trend.
📉 Entry: 1m BOS + reaction from 15m POI
🧩 Confluence: Asia BOS, LTF structure, DXY alignment
🎯 TP: Asia Low (less than 3RR), potential to run further into HTF imbalance
🛡️ Context: All factors align – HTF bias, LTF trend, and precise entry logic.
A textbook continuation play – if we’re going to turn, this is the zone to do it.
$JSESOL - Sasol: 5301 cps The Key Level To WatchTrade summary:
The major correction from 43860 cps has seen the share price decline by 87.91%.
The decline traced out a zigzag pattern and has potentially bottomed at 5301 cps, which is the key invalidation level.
The bounce from 5301 can be labelled as a five-wave advance when looked at in the daily timeframe.
Any retracement must hold above 5301 cps for the bullish outlook to remain valid.
LONG ON USD/JPYUSD/JPY has given us a CHOC (change of character) from down to up.
It has engineered sell side liquidity right above a demand zone.
I expect price to sweep sell side liquidity, tap into the demand zone then take off to the upside.
looking to catch 150-250 pips on UJ. (Economic News could set this trade on Fire!)
GBPAUD ENTRY CHARTOn this pair, we are anticipating for a SELL CONTINUATION, the intra-day time is BEARISH, but also we have strong BEARISH ENGULFING CANDLE on the daily close, the H1 is bearish, with a BB that is in confluence with the H4 SUPPLY, also we have additional confluence on this pair, So if this matches with your Idea, You can do well to join us with a Good Risk. THANK YOU and HAPPY NEW MONTH.
Gold Analysis – Daily Outlook
I initially anticipated a deeper move toward 3225 — the 25–30% retracement zone of the discount array — but price bounced quickly during Monday’s open, then confirmed a market structure shift by breaking above 3350. However, the buy signal wasn’t convincing at the time, as Silver lagged and leaned bearish.
Following the latest 4H chart, Silver has now invalidated the short idea by trading above 36.83, which offers stronger confirmation for the bullish bias — far clearer than what was seen on Monday.
Retracement might occur around last week’s high at 3394, offering a possible discount re-entry point before further upside. Still, price could head straight toward ATH, so keeping 3394 in view remains wise.
NZDUSD LONG Market structure bullish on HTFs DW
Entry at both Daily and Weekly AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Previous Weekly Structure Point
Daily Rejection at AOi
Previous Daily Structure Point
Around Psychological Level 0.60000
H4 Candlestick rejection
Levels 3.07
Entry 95%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
EURUSD Long, 02 JulyAsia Fill Trade
Despite being inside a Daily Bearish OB, this trade is purely an Asia fill setup, so HTF bias is not heavily weighted here.
We had clear 1m BOS and retrace into the 1m OB, right inside a 15m Decisional POI, backed by inverted hammer rejections on both EU and DXY.
📉 Entry: 1m OB after BOS
📊 Confluence: DXY reacting from 15m POI + Asia
🎯 TP: Asia Low (1:3 RR)
🛡️ BE: 1.5RR or LTF BOS continuation
Clean execution based on intraday logic & structure, with correlation as additional confidence.
XAU/USD 02 July 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
You will note that price has targeted weak internal high on two separate occasions forming a double top which is a bearish reversal pattern. This is in-line with HTF bearish pullback phase.
Remainder of analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025.
Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200.
Note:
The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively.
Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
H4 Timeframe - Price has failed to target weak internal high, therefore, it would not be unrealistic if price printed a bearish iBOS.
The remainder of my analysis shall remain the same as analysis dated 13 June 2025, apart from target price.
As per my analysis dated 22 May 2025 whereby I mentioned price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe despite internal structure being bearish.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH, which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor, with respect to depth of pullback.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bearish, react at either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,451.375.
Note:
Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment.
Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws.
M15 Chart: