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Multiple Time Frame Analysis

XAU/USD 26 November 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bullish. Bias/analysis remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 25 November 2024. Price Action Analysis: As mentioned in yesterday's analysis dated 24 November 2024, whereby price was expected to print a bearish CHoCH. This is how price printed. Currently, price is trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price is anticipated to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, which is marked in blue, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,721.420. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bearish. Price Action Analysis: Intraday expectation and analysis dated 25 November 2024 printed as anticipated, with price successfully printing a bearish iBOS after targeting the weak internal low. A correction from yesterday's intraday expectation: instead of targeting the weak internal high, price was expected to target the weak internal low. Price has since printed a bullish CHoCH, indicating, but not confirming, bullish pullback phase. We are now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price is anticipated to trade up to either the internal 50% EQ or the M15 supply zone before targeting the weak internal low at 2,605.310. Alternative Scenario: The H4 timeframe has printed a bearish CHoCH, indicating the initiation of a bearish pullback phase coupled with the fact that H4 TF is now trading in discount of internal 50%. However, this suggests that bearish momentum on M15 may face limitations as the broader H4 phase unfolds. Note: Given the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persistent geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is likely to remain elevated. Traders should remain cautious and prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
USDJPY: Your Trading Plan Explained 🇺🇸🇯🇵 USDJPY is trading within a rising parallel channel on a daily. The price is currently testing its support. To buy the market with a confirmation, watch carefully a bullish flag pattern on a 4H time frame. A bullish breakout of its resistance and a 4H candle close above will give you a strong bullish signal. With a high probability, the price will keep rising then and reach at least 155.3 level. Alternatively, a bearish breakout of a channel's support on a daily may push the prices lower. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Long
by VasilyTrader
2
Bullish Reversal OpportunityAnalysis: The daily demand zone is acting as a base in this emerging bullish market, as price failed to break below. We have two broken structures, followed by a sell-side liquidity sweep that cleared the swing high, providing displacement. Trade Idea: - Entry: Buy at the demand zone around 0.81500 - Stop Loss: Below the demand zone around 0.81300 - Target: 0.82300, based on the broken structures and liquidity sweep - Risk Management: Position sizing and stop-loss levels should be adjusted according to individual risk tolerance
by tokelohomi
is a 200% rally for Shoals Technologies about to print?This is a 6 month forecast. On the above 6 day chart price action has corrected 80%. A number of reasons now exist for a bullish outlook. They include: 1) Price action and RSI resistance breakouts. 2) Strong regular bullish divergence. 3) No share splits. 4) 12% short interest. 5) The forecast is to the upper channel resistance. Is it possible price action corrects further? Sure. Is it probable? No. Ww Type: trade Risk: you decide Timeframe for long: This month Return: 200% Stop loss: will say elsewhere
NASDAQ:SHLSLong
by without_worries
8
80% collapse for unicorn eVTOL manufacturer Archer Aviation?Following the successful “short” of eVTOL manufacturer Lilium (idea below), we’re going to target another. This time, Archer Aviation. The principles behind this idea are the same as was with Lilium, mixture of fundamentals and technical analysis. For some years I’ve been watching with interest the electrification attempts of the helicopter. Referred to as eVTOL (electric vertical takeoff and landing), various companies around the world are competing for market dominance with their winning design. There’s a realisation coming to many electric cars owners that will inevitably spill over to eVTOL. 1) Range anxiety. 2) Hazardous battery fires are hard to extinguish. 3) The mass-based energy density of batteries is in the range of 0.1 to 0.27 kWh/kg. In comparison, gasoline is 13 kWh/kg. For me, no. 3 is the killer of electric transportation via battery, whether it be on road or flight you carry weight than never depletes during use. 4) Proven certified technology. I’m a safety aerospace engineer by trade. When moving people around even for short flight, safety is above all. There can be nothing more important. eVTOL is complex technology, especially when compared to a regular helicopters. I’m not saying they are not safe, but proving they are remains a long way off. Almost all eVTOLs require an airfield to operate. Helicopters do not. Have been invited to a number of demonstrations over the years, the one thing that continues to strike me is how far certification for safe flight actually is. Easily 10+ years. These business are advertising a very different picture, which is disingenuous in my opinion. The chart - On the above 12 day chart price action has been printing lower highs for the last year. Since then there is broken market structure with uptrend channel support failure. The bear flag continuation pattern projects a 80% correction. On confirmation, such flag patterns meet the target 77% of the time. That’s a huge statistic to ignore. On RSI, a breakout of support is also visible. Is it possible price action grows? Sure. Is it probable? No. Ww Go short from anything near $4 Lilium short
NYSE:ACHRShort
by without_worries
46
QQQ Technical Short OpportunityTechnical SHORT opportunity in QQQ: 1. QQQ failed to fill gap from Friday. Very weak upward progression over the last 4 days 2. Thursday’s candle is a “bearish hanging man” 3. The last bearish wave retraced 66% of the prior upward move 4. There have been multiple tests of immediate support level (495-498) 5. QQQ has been weaker than S&P over the past 5 days Profit target can be placed near the high-volume node at 488 Please note that the long-term trend remains “bullish,” and a short-term downside auction does not indicate an immediate reversal.
NASDAQ:QQQShort
by hermes_trisme
2
S&P 500 Weekly Recap: A Struggle to RecoverLast week’s market action reflected the ongoing struggle for recovery after the previous week’s sell-off. The market opened cautiously, with buyers stepping in to regain ground lost during the prior downturn. Despite early hesitation, bulls managed to push prices higher, eventually filling the gap created by the earlier sell-off. However, this recovery faced significant resistance from sellers, resulting in minimal upward progression in daily closes. Strength in the recovery was primarily driven by Financials (XLF), which set a new all-time high. Other sectors, however, remained subdued, aligning with the broader market's hesitant tone. While this selectivity isn’t necessarily negative on its own, when combined with other signals, it may indicate growing risk aversion and a lack of conviction among market participants. It is also worth zooming into the lower timeframes. The 584 level provided key support but was retested multiple times during the week, which is not a good sign for buyers. Persistent tests of support typically indicate weakening demand, and bulls should be cautious of this development. Additionally, it was remarkable to observe how the rally went precisely to the Value Area Low ( 596 ) of the previous consolidation zone. Buyers should note that the market failed to push higher and close within the value area, signaling potential exhaustion of the current recovery attempt. The immediate objective for the bulls is to push above 596 , reclaiming the previous value area, which would provide stronger validation for the recovery. On the other hand, bears will be focused on taking down the 584 level, where there is likely big liquidity pool. Next week is rich in terms of key events. The FOMC minutes are scheduled for release on Tuesday, preceded by significant economic data on Wednesday. These releases will be closely scrutinized as investors remain deeply concerned about the possibility of a recession. Any signals pointing toward a slowing economy could spark fear and trigger increased volatility. While the long-term market trend remains intact, the warning signs outlined above suggest that investors should hold off on adding to their positions for the time being. P.S. ES futures are currently rising in the pre-market session. If this momentum doesn't transform into a sell-off after the bell, it will certainly be a positive sign for the buyers.
AMEX:SPY
by hermes_trisme
HAL:NSE FLAG&PoleBullishPAT.1Yr. ReadyForBO DTF/WTF SWING/POSIT. HAL Stock Analysis Trade Plan: Entry: 25% of the total quantity at 4676 DTF Close, with an additional 50% added at 4078 DTF Close Price. Add Balance progressively Stop Loss: 4075 Target 1: 5650 Target 2: 6150 Hold for a period of SIX months to ONE year or until the target 2 is reached. Chart Pattern: The stock has Formed a FLAG&POLE PATTERN in About a Year to touch an all-time high (ATH) of 5674. Technical Indicators: The stock’s daily timeframe (DTF) shows that the price is currently trading between 50 and 200 EMA. The EMAs are in Transitional sequence of alignment. A potential bullish FLAG Channel trend in formation on the DTF/WTF timeframe. Wait for BO & Retest to seek Entry as above. Volume Analysis: There has been a gradual decline in Volumes since the price correction Started Four months ago, the Sellers have reduced considerably, wait for the Flag Structure BO on DTF to seek Entry. Prioritize Watch List: Keep this stock in your watch list for further analysis and potential trading opportunities. Disclaimer: This information is solely for educational and reference purposes. Trading inherently carries risks, and it’s crucial to exercise caution and conduct comprehensive research before making any investment decisions. Make sure you have a well-defined risk appetite, proper position sizing, and a stop-loss order based on your risk tolerance. Review your Portfolio periodically. Exit positions when the price closes 7-8% below your entry point or Earlier basis your Risk profile. Consider re-entering the market when the trend reverses.Before engaging in any trading activities, it is paramount to thoroughly comprehend these technical analysis concepts and conduct extensive research on the stocks you are interested in. Furthermore, consulting a certified financial advisor can offer valuable insights and guidance before making investment decisions. Technical Analysis Concepts: Multiple Time Frame Analysis (MTFA): Daily Time Frame (DTF): Used for short-term analysis and identifying trends. Weekly Time Frame (WTF): Provides a broader perspective and helps in trend confirmation. Monthly Time Frame (MTF): Ideal for long-term analysis and trend analysis. All-Time High (ATH): The highest price reached on a specific chart. Lifetime High (LTH): The highest price reached over the entire chart’s history. Stop Loss (SL): A predetermined price level at which an investment is automatically exited to limit potential losses. Swing Trade: A trading strategy that involves holding positions for a significant period, typically few weeks to months. Positional Trade: A trading strategy that aims to capitalize on long-term trends and position oneself accordingly. CHART PATTERNS Rounding Bottom Cup/Handle (RBC&H): A pattern that signals a potential reversal from a downtrend. Breakout (BO): A price move closure above a resistance or below a support level. Flag & Pole BO: (F&P BO) Bullish Continuation Pattern Consolidation : Price Typically Swings between a Range for a period of Time Long or Short basis the MTFA. Breaking out of this range UPWARDS is an opportunity to BUY and DOWNWARDS is SELL opportunity. Moving Averages: Exponential Moving Average (EMA): A popular moving average that places more weight on recent price data. Volume-Weighted Moving Average (VWMA): A moving average that gives more weight to high-volume stocks. Fibonacci Retracement/Extension: Trend-based Fibonacci Retracement: Used to identify potential support and resistance levels during re-tracements. Trend-based Fibonacci Extension: Used to identify potential breakout levels during extensions.
NSE:HALLong
by billpramod