Multiple Time Frame Analysis
NEAR Harmonic Reversal Setup with Clear Demand ConfirmationNEAR is shaping up beautifully within a bullish harmonic formation, completing around the 1.239 Fibonacci zone, precisely where price tapped into a major structural low and bounced back into the immediate buyback zone. This bullish reaction aligns with a clean demand retest and marks the beginning of a potential macro reversal.
Price action is now gearing towards the mid-range resistance near 4.91, and a break above this level will serve as a high-conviction trigger toward the major target at 9.05. Final projected leg leads into the high extension region of 23.99, forming a long range bullish continuation model.
As long as the demand zone holds firm, this remains one of the most structurally sound altcoins to monitor for exponential upside. Full validation will be confirmed once we reclaim above 4.91 with volume.
XLM: The bull flag that wants $1.50Time Frame: Midterm (expect to close before end of 2025
Entry point: 19-33c
Exit: $1.40-$1.50
Stellar, often seen as a younger brother of XRP, hasn’t seen much of the spotlight from its more well known older brother, but has performed better than almost all major currencies since the Trump election win in November 2024. Where as ETH and other currencies are performing poorly since Trump’s election win, Stellar has performed amazingly and still 200% up from Nov 5th 2024. So with that great gain already, why does Ralfetto believe there is more to come?
So what is XLM?
XLM, is an open-source, decentralized payments network. It uses blockchain technology to allow users to transfer funds quickly and at a very low cost. The payments network does not show preference to any national currency; instead, the network has its own native cryptocurrency, Stellar Lumens.
So why is XLM worth investing in?
Firstly, at Ralfetto, our views are our own and we are just providing our thesis why we like it, your investment decisions are your own. We are of the belief that XLM will be part of the new X/Grok ecosystem as its payment option. We see alot of evidence pointing to it (alongside XRP). XLM is also ISO compliant which makes it one of a few that supports this technology.
What is the chart telling us?
XLM looks like a bull flag with a target to push it to $1.5. With that type of move, we do expect some fall back given a 5x return.
How we are investing
We believe XLM/Stellar will reach two major targets within 3 years. The first in 2025 of $1.40-150 which is our take profit level 2. After that we expect some volatility before it reaches its final destination of $4.50. There may be further upside but we will be having moving stops once it hits both targets.
EURUSD Daily analysis $$$OANDA:EURUSD 1H : Bullish MSS + OB + IMB 15m : Bullish BOS + OB + IMB
One hour after taking the ssl and forming the mss, it has become bullish
15: After the formation of the bos ob, I think the market will turn around and react to this ob, or if this ob breaks, I will look for confirmation to sell in the formed bearish zone until the one-hour ob
XAUUSD Daily analysisOANDA:XAUUSD 1H: Bearish BOS + OB + IMB 15m : Bearish BOS + liquidity + OB + IMB
Well, the one-hour timeframe for gold is very clearly bearish. But in the last few breaks, there are many imbs left, I think that maybe the bos is the last liquidity and the market will not react to it.
15: The market is bearish in 15 minutes, but in the ceiling area of the last break, there is a lot of liquidity left and the market has already met the 15-minute ob that has formed and has also given confirmation, but it is risky, I will wait for liquidity and confirmation.
GOLD (XAUUSD): Detailed Technical Outlook & Trading Plan
As we discussed on the yesterday's live stream,
Gold is currently in a consolidation stage.
The price is stuck within a wide horizontal channel on a daily
and we see a test of its support at the moment.
With the absence of high impact news in the economic calendar,
I assume that a consolidation will continue and there is a high
chance to see a pullback.
Your confirmation signal will be a bullish breakout and a 4H candle close
above 3271 - upper boundary of the intraday horizontal range.
There will be a strong possibility of a rise to at least to 3320 level.
Alternatively, a bearish violation of a support of the range on a daily
and a daily candle close below that may trigger a further decline.
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CHF/JPY For Bearish as pull-backyou can go short now
or
wait for pull-back near by entry point and then go short
general trend is up trend
current phase is pull-back
CHF under pressure
your confirmation will be break current support area (green arrow) and back to retest it and then fall down to targets
have fun :)
Nasdaq 100 set for 25k?The Nasdaq 100 is in a technical bull market, having rebounded 20% from its cycle low. While the risk remains that this is simply a 'bear market bounce' that could sucker punch bulls, I believe bulls have got this and we could be headed for 25k.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
Short trade
5min TF entry
🟥 Sellside Trade Log
📉 Pair: BTC/USD
🏷️ Type: Intraday | NY Session PM
🧠 Setup: Breakout (Downside)
📅 Date: Tuesday, 13th May 2025
🕔 Time: 5:55 PM
🔹 Entry Price: 104,320.89
🔹 Profit Target: 103,710.98 (-0.58%)
🔹 Stop Loss: 104,475.64 (+0.15%)
🔹 Risk-Reward Ratio: 3.94
🔍 Reasoning:
The sellside breakout trade was initiated following a clean breakdown through local support during the NY PM session. Price action showed strong momentum and follow-through beneath the key structural level, confirming bearish intent. The setup aligned with a downside liquidity run and order flow shift, with stop placement just above the breakout level to minimise risk exposure.
Short trade 🟥 Sellside Trade Log
📉 Pair: ETH/USD
🏷️ Type: Intraday | NY Session PM
🧠 Setup: Breakout (Downside)
📅 Date: Tuesday, 13th May 2025
🕕 Time: 6:20 PM
🔹 Entry Price: 2,702.20
🔹 Profit Target: 2,654.27 (-1.77%)
🔹 Stop Loss: 2,710.31 (+0.30%)
🔹 Risk-Reward Ratio: 5.91
🔍 Reasoning:
Sellside breakout trade assumes a clear momentum-driven directional bias during the NY PM session. The move was reinforced by forming a Fair Value Gap (FVG) on the lower timeframe (5min), indicating institutional selling pressure and inefficiency. Price broke below a key structural level and continued into the FVG, confirming bearish intent. Entry was taken with confluence from the gap, targeting the next liquidity pool while maintaining tight stop control above the invalidation zone.
5min TF entry