BTC Swing Trade
Trade conditions were building after that retest of 4hr BreakBlock.
Asian & London Lows were taken out.
Price fell into Bullish gap and also coinicding with OTE levels around 103.8k
Trade has 1:22 risk reward but i will start taking partials out once ATH is broken and then more at subsequent Targets.
Full Swing target is at 110k
Use risk management while trading & do not follow my analysis on its own.
Multiple Time Frame Analysis
When is altcoin season?When examining the “ CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS.D ” 12-monthly chart, a clear pattern emerges for altcoin seasons. We observe three years of downward ▼ momentum and consolidation, followed by a year or more of upward ▲ momentum.
This pattern could be attributed to market cycles and investor behavior, where extended periods of consolidation are followed by explosive growth. During the consolidation phase, prices stabilize, creating a base for future gains. Once market sentiment shifts, upward momentum takes over, often leading to significant price increases.
In previous cycles, we noticed that the altcoin season typically starts after major market cycles. For example, the 2017 altcoin season followed the 2016 cycle, and the 2021 altcoin season followed the 2020 cycle. When zoomed in on the monthly chart, both the 2017 and 2021 altcoin seasons started in January. This consistent timing suggests that the next altcoin season could commence in January 2025.
However, there has already been a bullish candle close in November, which could indicate a shift in the pattern. If December also closes bullish, we might see a two-month variance in the current cycle.
By examining fractals from past cycles, we can attempt to predict where the current altcoin season might peak. The 2017 fractal indicates a duration of 151 days, with dominance potentially reaching 22% around May or June 2025. In contrast, the 2021 fractal suggests a longer cycle of 365 days, with dominance peaking at approximately 24.5% around December 2025 or January 2026.
All charts 📈 indicate that the bottom is in, and all dips are opportunities for buying. Next year's growth looks incredibly promising. 🚀
What do you think? Will the 2024/2025 Altcoin cycle follow the same pattern, or will we see a deviation?
BTC 1h updateWe've broken out of balance and are now leaning more towards short positions. A HAMMER signal appeared on the 1D chart, which could suggest a potential reversal. In my view, a strong sell zone would be around 104,730 for now, but it's important to wait for supporting signals. Stay tuned for updates! 🚨📉
BTC 1D updateIf today’s price closes above the 1D sell level at 104,630, it means we’ve broken out of the current range and are back in an uptrend. However, if it doesn’t close above this level, it could be a false breakout, and the market might stay range-bound for now. Let’s keep an eye on that close!
BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P
BTCUSDT. Where to expect the buyer’s resumption?Hey traders and investors!
On the 4-hour timeframe, there is a sideways range. The lower boundary is 90,500, and the upper boundary is 104,088.
The buyer effectively broke out above the upper boundary in the 12-13 vector. The seller returned the price to the range, and the buyer resumed from the 103,333 level, forming a test level. Below this test level is the buyer’s zone (green rectangle on the chart, upper boundary of the zone is 102,540).
If the buyer does not defend the 103,333 test level, the next buyer resurgence is possible from the buyer’s zone, most likely in the 100,500-102,000 range.
The third possible place for a buyer’s resurgence is around 50% of the last buyer’s impulse: 98,574 on the 4-hour timeframe and 99,426.5 on the daily timeframe.
Considering the three buyer interest zones and the buyer's trend on the daily timeframe, searching for sell opportunities based on the 13-14 vector within the sideways range, with a potential target of 94,150 (90,500), is risky.
I wish you profitable trades.
Profitable SMC Smart MoneyConcept Strategy Explained
I will teach you how to trade liquidity grab, a trap, inducement, order block and imbalance.
I will share with you my Smart Money Concept strategy for trading forex & gold.
We will study a real SMC trading setup that I took on a live stream with my students.
Trend Analysis With Structure Mapping
The first step in our trading strategy will be the analysis of a market trend on a daily time frame with structure mapping.
Analyzing GBPNZD on a daily time frame, we can see that the conditions for a bullish trend are met.
Liquidity Zones Analysis
The second step will be to find liquidity - supply and demand zones on a daily time frame.
According to our rules, here are 3 liquidity zones that I spotted on GBPNZD. We see 2 demand zones and 1 supply zone.
Test of Liquidity Zone
The third step will be to wait for a test of a liquidity zone.
And on that step, we should remember an important rule:
We will wait only for a test of a liquidity zone that ALIGN with the market trend.
It means that we will wait for a test of a demand zone in a bullish trend.
We will wait for a test of a supply zone in a bearish trend.
The only demand zones that meets these criteria on GBPNZD is Demand Zone 1.
It aligns with a bullish trend.
We don't consider Demand Zone 2, because a bearish violation of a Demand Zone 1 will be a Change of Character and a violation of a bearish trend.
And here is how a test of a liquidity zone should look like. The price should simply reach that.
Liquidity Grab & Imbalance
After we identified a test of a significant liquidity zone that aligns with a market trend, we will start analyzing lower time frames.
We will look for a liquidity grab, order block and imbalance on 4H and 1H time frames.
Here is a liquidity grab that is confirmed by a bullish imbalance.
We see a false violation of a liquidity zone, followed by a high momentum bullish candle.
It will be our strong bullish signal.
Order Block Zone
In order to identify the entry point, the next step will be to identify the order block zone.
According to our rules, here is the order block zone on a 4H time frame.
Entry Level
Our entry level will be the level of the upper boundary of the order block zone.
Here is such a level on GBPNZD.
A buy limit order should be set on that level.
Please, note that in that particular case we don't need a 1H time frame analysis, because we have a confirmation signal on a 4H time frame. We will analyse an hourly time frame only when THERE IS NO SIGNAL on a 4H time frame.
Stop Loss & Take Profit
Safe stop loss should be below the lowest low of a bearish movement.
To safely calculate a stop loss in pips for the trade, simply take 0.5 ATR - Average True Range.
For Average True Range indicator , take the default settings - 14 length.
Here is a safe stop loss level on GBPNZD. ATR is 55 pips. Our stop loss for the trade is 28 pips.
Take profit for the trade will be based on the closest 4H liquidity - supply zone.
That is the closest supply zone that I spotted on GBPNZD on a 4H time frame.
Your target level should be a couple of pips below a supply zone.
Look how perfectly the market reached the target!
As you can see, that trading strategy is quite complex and combines different important elements. But what I like about this SMC trading strategy is that it truly makes sense.
The intentions of Smart Money are crystal clear here and the trade execution rules are straight forward.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
CADJPY: Long Trade From Support 🇨🇦🇯🇵
CADJPY looks bullish after a test of a key daily/intraday horizontal support.
A strong confirmation is a formation of a cup & handle pattern
on that on an hourly time frame and a breakout of its neckline.
The price will most likely go up at least to 107.57
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Stock Of The Day / 12.17.24 / NUKK12.17.2024 / NASDAQ:NUKK
Fundamentals. Acquisition of a controlling stake in Star 26.
Technical analysis.
Daily chart: Accumulation during 2024.
Premarket: Gap Up by more than 100% on increased volume. We mark the premarket high at 3.88.
Trading session: An attempt to go below 2.00 at the beginning of the session was unsuccessful and the price makes a clear retest of the 3.88 level on increasing volume. Then there is a shallow pullback and a breakout at 10:27 a.m. with an increase in volume. After the breakout, we observe a decrease in volume on the return movement to the level and its holding. We are considering a long trade to continue the upward movement.
Trading scenario: breakout with retest of level 3.88
Entry: 4.15 on the growth of volumes after the retest and holding of level 3.88
Stop: 3.73 we hide it behind the tails of the trade range above the level.
Exit: Close part of the position around 12.00 when signs of weakness of the uptrend is appear. Close the rest of the position around 9.84 after an unsuccessful attempt to update higher low.
Risk Rewards: 1/13
XLMUSDT Short Idea - Struggling to Maintain Bullish MomentumXLMUSDT has had a strong run up to ~$0.63, as have many other alts, but is now struggling to maintain that bullish momentum.
Looking at a fib retracement view of the bullish push, we can see that the price action has been oscillating between the 0.5 and 0.618 fib levels and has once again been rejected off the bottom of the 0.5 level.
This chart shows a lower timeframe snapshot of that price action rejection off the bottom of the 0.5 fib.
From a bearish push fib retracement view, we can see that there is confluence between the 0.5 bullish fib level and the 0.618 bearish fib retracement region. We can see this level holding well and a potential rejection back down towards another bearish move.
The target for this short idea is a combination of the supply order block level sitting around 0.26, and the -0.618 fib extension level of the bearish fib retracement fib. Stop placement is above the order block flip zone indicated by the yellow box. For lower timeframe traders, a tighter stop could be attempted if you watch the price action closely following a breakdown below the last point of support at 0.38.
Order in to buy $MOVEUSD @ 0.6101COINBASE:MOVEUSD
Ladies and gentlemen, I've been compiling a watchlist all day, no time to make any videos yet though I've had some requests, I'll get to it ASAP, first I have to pay my bills...
Right now at 3:36 PM Eastern standard time I have placed an order to buy a whole bunch of COINBASE:MOVEUSD at $.61, and I plan to sell in the very short term @.6714, possibly .66 depending on apparent momentum. Likewise, if price direction is a slow and steady increase, it may not produce rapid expansion until higher in which case I'll try to take advantage of that… But the very least will be roughly 61 to 66. Which is about 8%, a nice little afternoon for me.
It appears to be moving upward now, but I am anticipating a little wick down to hopefully fill this order before rapidly recovering its current price. If it doesn't, it doesn't, I have dozens of others I'm lining up. But the nature of these things is to test departure levels at least once before moving on - the initial run is usually not all there is in whatever timeframe you're looking at. I want opportunities that appear unlikely. I look at dozens of charts and set alerts at unlikely but hardly impossible retracements and if they don't happen, that's fine, but if they do, and they very often do, it presents a much lower risk and a higher return.
EurUsd wave 5 done. Heading to wave C!What I see!
Wave Pattern!
EurUsd completed wave 5 and now going to complete wave C! We will get in when wave b done. Make sure you have your own rules on RR and follow them. This is just a trading idea to help you/ give better knowledge. If you have any question ask me in comments.
Learn& Earn!
GbpAud should start to fall soon!What I see!
Looking for Impulse Down!
GbpAud touched the critical level. It might start to reverse soon. Make sure you have your own rules on RR and follow them. This is just a trading idea to help you/ give better knowledge. If you have any question ask me in comments.
Learn & Earn!
EurGbp Completed 4 legs to break the WedgeWhat I see!
Looking for Impulse Up.
EurGbp formed wedge pattern and it will try to break soon. Make sure you have your own rules on RR and follow them. This is just a trading idea to help you/ give better knowledge. If you have any question ask me in comments.
Learn & Earn!
AudJpy will move down after taking all STOPS!What I see!
Looking for Impulse Down!
AudJPy will move down soon. It will take all stops before moving down. Make sure you have your own rules on RR and follow them. This is just a trading idea to help you/ give better knowledge. If you have any question ask me in comments.
Learn & Earn!
Trading with Multiple Time Frames: A Balanced ApproachWhy Use Multiple Time Frames ?
In trading, understanding flow and target areas across different time frames is essential for precision. Each time frame provides a unique insight:
Higher Time Frame (HTP) : Establishes the direction and target areas.
Focal Time Frame : Serves as your primary or main frame of focus for trading decisions.
Lower Time Frame (LTP) : Confirms the HTP’s direction and offers entry/exit points.
Examples: If you are position trading (holding longer than 1 month) you focal time frame is the monthly, the weekly is the time frame that offers entry/exits and the Quarterly is the time frame that establishes the direction and target areas. If you are swing trading (holding longer than 1 week) then you focal time frame is the weekly, LTP is the daily for entry/exists and HTP is the monthly. If you trade intraday then HTP is the hourly, focal is 15min and LTP is the 5min.
🔎 Key Principles for Multi-Time Frame Analysis
HTP Determines the Flow:
Strong resistance or support on the higher time frame drives the market flow.
Example: If HTP resistance is strong, the LTP will typically trend downward
LTP Monitors the Setup:
Use lower time frames to observe and confirm HTP predictions.
Lower time frame bars should progressively move away from strong HTP levels
Focus on Nearby and Further Out Areas:
Nearby areas provide short-term strength or weakness.
If a nearby area breaks, targets shift to further-out energy zones
🧩 Example Strategy: Integrating Time Frames
Step 1: Identify a strong support/resistance area on the HTP (e.g., Weekly Chart).
Step 2: Use the focal time frame (e.g., Daily Chart) to monitor for trend setups.
Step 3: Zoom into the LTP (e.g., Hourly Chart) to:
Confirm the setup.
Look for price reactions and ideal entry points.
Step 4: Set targets based on the HTP structure, while managing risk on the LTP.
🎯 Tips for Target Setting
Targets are often defined where price terminates energy (e.g., HTP resistance/support levels).
Monitor flow: If LTP flow aligns with HTP direction, the trade is on track.
If nearby energy breaks, shift your target to the next further-out area
🚀 Final Thoughts
The HTP shows the big picture; the LTP provides execution clarity.
Always let the HTP guide you, and the LTP confirm your trade entries/exits.
Remember: “Strength is strength until proven otherwise.”
By combining multiple time frames, traders can trade confidently, anticipate targets, and stay in sync with the market flow.