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Multiple Time Frame Analysis

XAU/USD 12 December 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bullish. Bias/analysis remains the same as analysis dated 25 November 2024. Awaiting candle closure to confirm bullish iBOS Price Action Analysis: As mentioned in yesterday's analysis dated 24 November 2024, whereby price was expected to print a bearish CHoCH. This is how price printed. Currently, price is trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price is anticipated to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, which is marked in blue, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,721.420. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bearish. Price Action Analysis: As highlighted in yesterday's analysis dated 11 December 2024, price was expected to print a bullish iBOS to narrow the internal range, and this is precisely how price printed. Following bullish iBOS, price printed a bearish iBOS. We are now trading within an established internal range. While price has not yet printed a bearish CHoCH, it has traded up to the premium of the 50% internal EQ. Intraday Expectation: Price is currently trading within the premium of internal 50% EQ. Technically, price is expected to target the weak internal low at 2,700.810. Alternative Scenario: Price may potentially seek further liquidity to complete a bullish iBOS on the H4, therefore, bearish momentum may face limitations. Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
BTC DOMINANCE- BEARISH AFLife and Trading: Decisions Shape Outcomes Life can shift dramatically in a single day—either for the better or worse. Everything boils down to the decisions you make, whether in heated moments or calm reflection. When chaos and panic dominate, your best refuge lies in creativity, knowledge and balls. During the recent shakeout, I stayed silent—not because I lacked an opinion, but because moments like these require clarity. It’s like a car crash—you first ensure your safety before analyzing the damage. So, I distanced myself from the noise and dove deep into the charts. Key Observations: Bitcoin Dominance Bitcoin dominance, a critical indicator during altcoin crashes, was rising but met resistance at significant levels. Bearish arguments at that time included: Weekly Bearish FVG respected Daily Bearish FVG respected Trendline retest confirming the break Current Bearish Arguments: PMH & PML respected PWH & PWL respected Weekly and Daily Bearish FVG respected 4H swing highs/lows respected 4H Bearish FVG respected Strategy: Given these signals, it’s tempting to go all-in on altcoins. However, I anticipate a ranging market until Christmas, followed by a dip below the 50% level—a precursor to a true altcoin bull market. Be cautious: I expect another shakeout around December 18 or 23, where I plan to take significant positions. Always have a clear entry and exit plan to navigate these volatile waters. Follow me to stay updated, and remember—this market rewards patience and preparation. God bless you. -Jay
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DShort
by Jaytradermb
BTC 1h updateIt looks like the market's been moving sideways on the 1-hour chart. Yesterday, December 10, 2024, the price slowly climbed to the resistance level at 98,341 and then took a sharp dive. We were hoping for a more obvious fake-out at that resistance, but instead, the price just touched the level and dropped. After that steep fall, buyers pushed the price back up, but with less volume than during the drop. Given that the daily and weekly charts show resistance around 100,000, I'm expecting a clearer fake-out at the 1-hour resistance level, followed by a drop to the 1-hour support. Since the daily chart also shows a sideways movement, it's not too far-fetched to think the price might hit the daily support around 90,800. Let's wait and see how things play out.
Short
by MrXade
XAUUSD BuySetupHi everyone. As we broke the structure stronger than previous one with higher volume, so I think this trend is going to continue to meet the weekly orderblock. I think this area is good to set an order. This order has a tight SL, so please consider the risk management. I'll send another setup for this entry in the comment below. don't forget to check it ;) Dear traders, please support my ideas with your likes and comments to motivate me to publish more signals and analysis for you. Best Regards Navid Nazarian
FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSDLong
by NavidNazarian
Why BATT Could Be A Great ETF To Buy & HoldHere I have AMEX:BATT Amplify Lithium & Battery Technology ETF on a Multi-Timeframe Analysis with a Monthly & Weekly Chart! Technicals: Starting with the Monthly Chart, taking the Fibonacci Retracement Tool from the All Time Low @ $5.91 to the All Time High @ $20.78, we see that the Selling Pressure is waning with the Price Exhaustion happening in the Fibonacci 78.6% - 88.6% "Kill Zone" Range from ( $9.09 - $7.61 ) -Bears are losing grip on the asset Zooming down to the Weekly where Price has visited the Kill Zone, we can see a ICT Concept Method called the Bullish Order Block taking place! After Price found Support, Price created a New Swing Low Breaking Sellside Liquidity, then shortly after, Breaking Structure again while surpassing the Swing High! -The Week Starting Monday, 29th of July 2024 creates the Bullish Order Block we should suspect Price to revisit before continuing its Uptrend behavior. -This High of the Weekly candle sits right at the Upper Limits of the Support Zone and at the 50% Fibonacci Retracement Level! **Price also could potentially make a deeper Retracement to the 61.8% Level to visit the LH it created before Breaking up through the Support Zone! -Will be looking for Buy Entries in the ( $8.96 - $8.67 ) Range! Fundamentals: Lithium Stocks hit alot of hype in 2023 with the expectations of the EV Industry being our Near-Future way of transportation as a move toward a greener way of living! EV sales wax and wane but as time as gone on, the look for the essential metal and mineral components needed for this industry to boom has began to fill as we are finding more and more vast and rich deposits of Lithium and other Rare Earth Minerals! -https://www.tradingview.com/news/zacks:e90ae995b094b:0-bullish-views-power-long-term-lithium-etf-prospects/ With that, EV Demand will come -https://www.tradingview.com/news/benzinga:5ead3a15a094b:0-arkansas-may-be-sitting-on-19m-tons-of-lithium-amid-rising-demand-for-ev-batteries-how-to-invest-in-what-elon-musk-calls-the-new-oil/ ** Once Price goes Bullish, I have upcoming Areas of Value that it may contend with on the way up!
AMEX:BATTLong
by Novi_Fibonacci
USDJPY Trade SetupTime Frame: - Daily: FVG Identification - H4: FVG Identification - H1: Entry Signal 1. Trend Confirmation: Price has consolidated after the break from support at 153.27, down to 148.64. Price has now rise to 153.00 area, which is inside H4 & Daily FVG zone. 2. Fair Value Gap (FVG): On the H4 chart noted a Fair Value Gap (FVG) between 152.75 - 153.00 On the Daily chart also note FVG between 1.5195 - 1.5300 3. Position: Entry: H1 Engulfing candle Close : 152.29 Stop Loss : 153.10 Take Profit: 144.30 (fibo 161.8) RRR : 1:9.8x Note: The price has not yet reflected the end of the consolidation phase, as it has not formed a lower low. Therefore, this trade carries higher risk and a higher risk-to-reward (RR) ratio. To mitigate the risk, it is advisable to wait until the price forms a new low or breaks out of the consolidation trend. ------------- Disclaimer The analysis and content provided here are intended solely for personal journal and educational purposes. This information does not constitute financial advice, investment advice, or a recommendation to buy or sell any securities. Trading involves significant risk, and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Short
by Phoenix-Rise-Trade
4
AUDCHF: ITF CURVE ANALYSIS (5D) - UPTREND - DAYTRADER✨ AUDCHF: ITF CURVE ANALYSIS (5D) ✨ (UPTREND) BLO1 @ 0.5632 - TRIGGERED BLO2 @ 0.5566 ⏳ TP1 @ 0.59807 TP2 @ 0.6285 TP3 @ 0.65369 TP3 @ 0.68883 SLO @ 0.69859⏳(DO NOT SET, ANTICIPATE PB/REANALYZE AFTER TP4) 🔑 BLO = BUY LIMIT ORDER ITF = INTERMEDIATE TIME FRAME SLO = SELL LIMIT ORDER TP = TAKE PROFIT NOTE: Because there is an opportunity for more immediate paychecks, I've decided to provide the daytrade view to combat the long term trade I just posted, which will take some time to play out. This not so much. Quicker profits and less wait... depending on the strategy. Either way, just sharing what I'm doing. Intermediate time frames (4 hours to 6 day): — Offer a clearer picture of the underlying trend compared to short-term frames. — Provide more opportunities for confirmation signals and technical analysis. — Allow for more flexible trading schedules, trades can be held overnight. — Suitable for swing traders and some positional traders.
Long
by oktane
AUDCHF: HTF CURVE ANALYSIS (3W) - UPTREND✨ AUDCHF: HTF CURVE ANALYSIS (3W) ✨ (UPTREND) BLO1 @ 0.5632 - TRIGGERED BLO2 @ 0.5566 ⏳ TP1 @ 0.61564 TP2 @ 0.6500 TP3 @ 0.6866 TP4 @ 0.73143 TP5 @ 0.7585 SLO1 @ 0.7685 ⏳ SLO2 @ 0.7725 ⏳ 🔑 BLO = BUY LIMIT ORDER HTF = HIGH TIME FRAME PA = PRICE ACTION SLO = SELL LIMIT ORDER TP = TAKE PROFIT NOTE: Our BLO has triggered but further analysis shows a potential area of interest between 0.5575 to 0.5546. Due to market conditions, PA might not make it back down to this area. However, if it does, I have a set up there to grab an deeper entry for this long term trade. Let's see what happens. Long-term time frames (1 week to 1 year): — Shows the big picture, revealing major trends and economic factors. — Less volatile, price movements are slower and smoother. — Suitable for long-term trend trading and position trading. — Requires less frequent monitoring but may offer fewer trading opportunities.
Long
by oktane
ATOM- BULLISH MOMENTUMEyeing Altcoins Near Their March 2024 Highs BINANCE:ATOMUSDT I focus on setups where altcoins are approaching their potential March 2024 peaks. These trades are straightforward in strategy but challenging emotionally, as we can expect turbulence and liquidation cascades along the way. Bullish Arguments PMH being disrespected PML being disrespected PWH being disrespected PWL being disrespected PDL being disrespected PDH being disrespected Bearish Arguments: 4H swing high being respected 4H swing low being respected Trade Management I keep a tight SL to protect capital in case the market hunts liquidity. If stopped out, I’ll reassess and re-enter if price action confirms. TP is around the March 2024 zone, but partial profits may be taken earlier. A Word of Caution As futures trading intensifies, we’ll encounter frequent liquidation cascades and stop hunts. This is where discipline and resilience truly matter. The hardest phase starts now. Trade wisely, stay focused, and take care.
Long
by Jaytradermb
POLKADOT - Strategic Patience for the Next MovePolkadot: Strategic Patience for the Next Move I've been holding Polkadot since $5.82 and still have my trade open. While I haven’t taken profits yet, this time I plan to secure gains once it approaches $10 again, as I anticipate a correction around December 18th. This pullback could last until December 23rd, where I aim to significantly increase my position. 📈 Scalping Opportunities: For now, patience is key. However, scalpers will find plenty of opportunities leading up to December 17–18. Be vigilant during those dates, as volatility may spike. 💡 Swing Trading Insight: Any swing trades entered on December 23rd or the early hours of the 24th could offer exceptional returns. ⚠️ Key Advice: Always stick to your plan. Don’t let greed cloud your judgment—secure partial profits to maintain liquidity. From January onward, the market's psychological and analytical demands will increase. Be prepared and don’t get distracted by noise. 🔑 Closing Thoughts: This market rewards discipline and foresight. Stay sharp, stay humble, and remember: the best opportunities often come to those who are patient and prepared. May your trades be fruitful. God bless you. —Jay
Long
by Jaytradermb
1
ETHEREUM - BULLISH AFEthereum: A Technical Masterpiece with a Psychological Challenge Ethereum's price action showcases remarkable technical precision. However, the real test lies in managing emotions: impatience and impulsive decisions often lead traders to quick losses. 📈 Projection: Expect a steady climb toward $4,300 until around December 17–18. At that point, a correction of -15% to -30% is likely, though the exact scale will depend on market conditions. 📅 Key Date: By December 23, ensure your positions are set. As the market evolves, navigating increased difficulty will require discipline—this phase is not for the unprepared. 📊 Comparison: The current price movement mirrors Ethereum’s 2020 trend, proving that while history doesn’t repeat, it often rhymes. ⚠️ Plan Ahead: Approach the market with a clear strategy. Maintain well-defined entry and exit plans, and avoid emotional decision-making. Recklessness has no place here. 🚀 Looking Ahead: January promises explosive growth, likely peaking around mid-month. This period demands focus and resilience—those who stay disciplined stand to benefit the most. 💡 Takeaway: Ethereum’s journey is more than just price action; it’s a test of patience and strategy. Stick to your plan, trust the process, and let the market work for you. 💼 Upcoming Trade: I’m about to open a new trade, which I’ll share with you here—just like the one I posted at $3,100. Now’s the time to make money and stay laser-focused. Don’t hesitate to follow me and keep an eye out for updates! Stay sharp, stay grounded, and may the odds be in your favor. God bless you. —Jay
CRYPTO:ETHUSDLong
by Jaytradermb
2
Ethereum time to shine-Swing trading LONGEthereum: Your Time to Shine BINANCE:ETHUSDT Ethereum, it’s your moment. You’re in a prime setup for traders, where psychology is playing a crucial role. As Bitcoin consolidates sideways, Ethereum is retesting a key zone, preparing for what could be its true breakout. This is your time to shine. Remember, this is not financial advice. Always use a responsible risk management strategy. My trade is targeting the ATH zone, where I plan to take profits and wait for a similar setup to reposition myself strategically
Long
by Jaytradermb
2
Is there any bearish case against the ES?Hope you enjoy the video. I finished my trade on the 6E this morning from 1.037ish to 1.063, so I came back to look at the ES and see how I felt things were looking for a bearish case scenario. Ultimately, while I want to find one, I don't see one, and will likely continue to stay out of my beloved ES for the moment, in spite of my urge to short this overbought market. I am getting signals all over, but most will require a decision at EOD today or I could always make the decision Sunday evening or early Monday before markets open. Safe trading, and remember your risk management plan!
CME_MINI:ES1!
by SemperTrader
XAUUSD - Gold waiting for the inflation index!Gold is above EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. If we maintain the drawn blue upward trend line, we can witness the continued rise of gold and the limited visibility of the channel ceiling. Within the zone of supply, we can sell with appropriate risk reward. Returning below this trend line paves the way for gold to fall and you can buy within the zone of demand. According to a report by Bank of America, gold remains on track to reach $3,000 per ounce next year. However, investors need to be patient, as the current price consolidation phase may continue through the first half of the year. Michael Widmer, Head of Metals Research at Bank of America, stated during the bank’s 2025 Outlook webinar: “Currently, gold is stuck in an environment where there’s nothing tangible to draw investors back into the market.” The second-largest U.S. bank has highlighted that gold faces significant challenges in the upcoming year, including weak demand from China and pressures on Western investors, who are dealing with the prospect of higher bond yields and a strengthening U.S. dollar. The report noted, “The Trump administration is likely to pursue a mixed economic policy that, through stronger growth, higher inflation, higher interest rates, and a stronger dollar, could limit investors’ willingness to increase gold purchases in the short term.” Bank of America strategists predict that Trump’s economic policies, such as potential trade tariffs and similar measures, may force the Federal Reserve to slow down its pace of interest rate cuts in 2025. Analysts expect only two rate cuts next year, one in March and the other in June. Despite these challenges, precious metals experts believe that gold and silver will remain well-supported in the coming year as economic uncertainties and geopolitical turmoil continue to boost demand for safe-haven assets. According to a recent Reuters poll of economists, 56 out of 97 respondents forecast that the Federal Reserve will lower its interest rate to 3.50–3.75% or lower by the end of 2025. Furthermore, 93 out of 103 economists surveyed predict that the Fed will cut rates by 25 basis points during its December 18 meeting, bringing the rate to a range of 4.50–4.25%. Investors are now focusing on the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI), which is expected to have increased by 0.3% in November. This data could shape expectations regarding the Federal Reserve’s 2025 policy stance. Kyle Rodda, a financial markets analyst at Capital, commented: “An expected CPI number essentially gives the Federal Reserve the green light to cut interest rates next week, and this could be the catalyst that gold has been waiting for.” Meanwhile, Goldman Sachs views the recent decline in gold prices as merely a fluctuation and expects the metal to resume its upward trajectory soon. Goldman Sachs cited the following reasons for its outlook: • Accommodative monetary policies • Central bank purchases of gold • A return of investors to the gold market The bank also pointed out that during the 2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine and the subsequent freezing of Russian assets by Western nations, gold emerged as an attractive alternative to the U.S. dollar. Many central banks around the world turned to gold to diversify their reserves. Goldman Sachs stated: “We do not expect central bank demand for gold to decline. With the Federal Reserve reducing interest rates, investors will also reenter the market. We project that gold prices will reach $3,000 per ounce by the end of 2025.”
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Ali_PSND
XAGUSD Buy SetupTime Frame: - H4 & Daily : FVG Identification - H1 Entry Signal 1. Trend Confirmation: Identified a Break of Structure by the break of the previous resistance at 31.52, indicating a bullish in market sentiment. 2. Fair Value Gap (FVG): On the Daily chart noted a Fair Value Gap (FVG) between 31.43 - 31.70. On the H4 chartnoted a Fair Value Gap (FVG) between 31.15 - 31.55. 3. Position: Entry after Bullish Engulfing Candle: 31.70 Stop Loss : 31.40 (below daily FVG) Take Profit: 33.00 (below fibbo 1.618) RRR : 1:4.3x Additional Note: Stop Loss is within H4 FVG. ------------- Disclaimer The analysis and content provided here are intended solely for personal journal and educational purposes. This information does not constitute financial advice, investment advice, or a recommendation to buy or sell any securities. Trading involves significant risk, and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
FX:XAGUSDLong
by Phoenix-Rise-Trade