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Multiple Time Frame Analysis

XAU/USD 02 April 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Since last analysis price has continued extremely bullish. This is most likely due to market jitters caused by Trump's tariff policy which is driving up the price of gold. This solidifies gold as a safe haven asset and could lead to repricing. Price has printed a bearish CHoCH indicating, but not confirming bearish pullback phase initiation. Price is now contained within an established internal structure. I will however continue to monitor price to evaluate depth of pullback. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,149.090. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 01 April 2025 Since last analysis price has continued extremely bullish. This is most likely due to market jitters caused by the trump tariffs. This solidifies gold as a safe haven asset and could lead to repricing. You will note price has printed a bearish CHoCH which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor price. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high, priced at 3,149.090. Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
A New Approach to Market Analysis: How IA Simplifies TradingClarity on the Chart. Smart Trading Decisions Approaches to Market Analysis and the Challenges Traders Face When we first start trading and investing, we encounter various methods for predicting price movements. Over time—and with enough persistence, patience, and experience—we find the approach that helps us make profitable trades. Among the most popular are oscillators and channel indicators, Dow Theory, Elliott Waves, Fibonacci levels, supply and demand, Volume Spread Analysis (VSA), Market Auction Theory, and concepts like Inner Circle Trader/Smart Money Concept (ICT/SMC). Many traders combine elements from different methods to build a strategy that works best for them. However, the road to consistent profits is rarely easy—most face similar challenges. 🔹 Lack of Knowledge and Experience Complexity of Technical Analysis: Too many tools, conflicting signals on different timeframes, and unclear logic can be overwhelming. No Clear Trading Plan: Many traders rely on intuition or others' advice instead of having a structured strategy. Poor Risk Management: Ignoring capital and risk controls leads to losses. Emotional Decision-Making: Fear and greed get in the way of sound decisions. 🔹 Time Constraints Trading Takes Time: Analyzing charts, scanning assets, and finding entry points all require time and focus. Slow Learning Curve: Gaining consistent results takes years of practice and study. Can Trading Be Made Simpler and More Effective? ________________________________________ A New Perspective: The Concept of Initiative Analysis (IA) Today I’d like to present Initiative Analysis —a concept that: ✅ Simplifies how you understand technical analysis ✅ Speeds up learning through a structured approach ✅ Reduces time spent on daily analysis ✅ Provides elements of a working trading strategy What is IA? Imagine looking at your chart and instead of seeing just candles, you see blocks of directional movement—called initiatives. An initiative is the action of buyers or sellers that causes price movement. It is limited by both price range and time, which helps clearly identify who dominates the market at any given moment. • If buyers dominate, price rises. These phases are shown with blue zones. • If sellers dominate, price falls. These are shown with red zones. This visual method allows you to not just see price movements, but also the underlying battle between buyers and sellers as it unfolds. How IA Differs from Traditional Analysis To understand how IA stands out, think about the classic tools traders use: • Candle patterns (e.g., hammer, doji, engulfing) • Chart figures (e.g., head and shoulders, double top, flag) • Indicators (e.g., oscillators, moving averages, channels) • Elliott Waves, Market Profile, Order Flow • Smart Money Concepts (ICT/SMC) These tools often focus on outcomes and results. Some attempt to capture the "fight" between buyers and sellers within fixed time intervals (like hourly or daily candles). Elliott Wave Theory, for example, offers a cyclical interpretation through structured wave sequences. IA, by contrast, focuses on identifying and visualizing real-time initiative without forcing a pre-defined structure. Another key distinction: IA allows for initiative shifts within a range—a buyer-to-seller transition can occur without breaking range boundaries, as often happens in sideways markets. This new method offers a fresh lens for viewing market dynamics. Instead of dividing charts by time or volume, candles are grouped by initiative blocks, each with its own duration. Comparing these blocks helps you "read" the market—who is gaining strength and who is losing it. Even more importantly, this approach can help predict shifts in market control and estimate potential price targets. Look at these charts 📉 Trend When one side controls the market strongly, we see a single background color in price ranges. In this case, it makes sense to look for trades in the direction of the move. But it’s important to check the higher timeframe for confirmation (!). In the chart: A blue target line means a bullish target (thin line = 1H, thick = 1D). A red target line means a bearish target (same logic for thickness). Targets are calculated using a custom method that includes the initiative range, candle structure inside the initiative, and traded volumes. Once a candle crosses the target line, the target is considered reached. If a new target appears, it will be shown. If the price leaves the buyer zone, the blue target disappears until the price returns. Same rule for seller zones. 📉 Sideways Market (Range) If the chart background changes between red and blue in one price range, it means the market is in consolidation (sideways) — temporary balance between buyers and sellers. In this case, targets also switch: blue = buy target, red= sell target. 🔀 Transitional Phase Sometimes, two price zones may appear at the same time — one above (buyers), one below (sellers). This is a transition period. It may turn into a sideways range or develop into a trend. During transitions: It’s better to avoid trading. Check who controlled the price before, and who is in control on the higher timeframe (this is always important). For example, if sellers were in control before, and the higher timeframe confirms it, sellers are likely to stay dominant. However, a short-term bounce or trend reversal is possible. With IA You Can: ✅ Identify buyer/seller initiative in real time ✅ Anticipate initiative shifts ✅ Visualize control zones and key levels ✅ Compare strength between buyers and sellers ✅ Forecast potential price targets IA lets you objectively assess market dynamics, identify the dominant side, and estimate the most probable direction. ________________________________________ How IA Helps Solve Key Trading Challenges 📌 Complex Analysis → Simplified visual zones make market context easy to read—even for beginners. 📌 Lack of Strategy → IA covers 3 of the 5 essential trading questions (direction, entry zone, and target), and can be combined with other tools or techniques to answer the remaining two: entry timing and stop-loss placement: Trade direction: Buy in a buyer block, sell in a seller block. Entry zone: Buy below 50% of a buyer block, sell above 50% of a seller block. Profit-taking: Estimate target using visualized zones. While IA gives market context, final decisions still depend on patterns, volume, and risk management. 📌 Time Management → Visual structure saves hours of scanning and comparing charts. “Now I scan for trade setups in 15 minutes, just by checking the visual layout. Before, I’d spend hours deciding if an asset was trending or in a range.” — trader review. 📌 Learning Speed → Think of it like driving: learning on a modern automatic car is much easier than on a 50-year-old manual. You don’t need to know how the transmission works—just how to drive. Same with IA. It’s not an autopilot, but a powerful navigator that helps you orient in the market. IA simplifies analysis, but the trader is still responsible for decisions, risk, and mindset. Fewer tools = faster learning. You don’t need to know how indicators are built—just how to use them. IA focuses your attention on what matters. It reduces noise and highlights structure. ________________________________________ Final Thoughts IA introduces a new way of analyzing markets—not just reading the result, but watching the fight unfold in real time. It helps traders make more confident decisions, simplifies analysis, and adds structure to the chaos of the market. Clarity on the Chart. Smart Trading Decisions. If this approach speaks to you—share the article, leave a comment, and stay tuned for more insights in upcoming posts!
Education
by AlexeyWolf
IAG Airlines Group what next? $261 Reached & Breached! $172?🤔 IAG Airlines Group what next? ℹ️ $261 Reached & Breached! Will the $261 be regained and start to offer some support or is $172 NEXT?❓️❔️❓️ 🌍 To be completely transparent I have no horse in this race at the moment BUT I really would like a serious flush to try and accumulate a long-term POSITION. 🟢SeekingPips🟢 is not interested at current price at all unless we start to see some SERIOUS VOLUME START TO COME IN TO PLAY
LSE:IAG
by seekingpips
LTR longs potential-IS price retesting demand zone in the future? price allowing good r/r ratio LTF analysis could be seen as exhausted sellers. -remember its only revisiting zone ATM -confirmed buyers will show bullish PA if its ready or NOT we still need multiple things down here to confluence before entering in .. -zones are only zones when there's reactions - price structure has to play out firstly -stay unbias with no emotions. My NEUTRAL status until PA presents THEN TURNING shlong.
ASX:LTRLong
by Permaculture
1
Stock Of The Day / 04.01.25 / ICCT04.01.2025 / NASDAQ:ICCT #ICCT Fundamentals. Neutral news background. Technical analysis. Daily chart: Short Squeeze on 2nd day after a strong close in the previous session. Premarket: Gap Up on increased volume. Trading session : There was a pullback, which was stopped at the level of 3.70 after the initial impulse at the beginning of the session. After that, the price began to tighten to the level against the initial movement, making pullbacks, each subsequent one was smaller than the previous one. We are considering a long trade in case the level holds. Trading scenario: pullback along the trend (false tightening) to level 3.70 Entry: 3.86 when trend line is broken upwards, tightening structure is broken Stop: 3.66 we hide it below the level with a small reserve Exit: Close part of the position after the impulse movement on increased volume at 12:00 p.m. We close the rest of the position at a price of 4.49 when exit down the trade range. Risk Rewards: 1/3 P.S. In order to understand the idea of the Stock Of The Day analysis, please read the following information .
NASDAQ:ICCTLong
by AlexX31
Incoming $3 trillion dollar market explosion for crypto...** Forecast to occur inside the next 5 months ** Is the market bottom in? More correction to come? The next move in the market is going to fill many recent sellers with regret and for the few that don't use emotions.. According to social media, Youtube influencers etc.. the bear market is just beginning. In addition there is no shortage of messages with topics from tariffs to political instability informing me why the bull market is now over. Fair enough, understandable. Investors and traders are capitulating at the worst possible moment. Sell it all before it goes to zero. Well what if I told you market makers are about about to rug-pull all? In December Without Worries published: “Incoming $1trillion dollar correction for crypto people…” (see below.. ) The reason for publishing that idea are now mirrored by the reasons for publishing this idea. On the above daily chart price action has corrected $1.1 trillion dollars or 30% since the bearish divergence. A number of reasons now exist for a bullish outlook: 1) Price action and RSI resistance breakouts. Use linear chart to see price action breakout. 2) Support on past resistance. 3) Higher low follows regular bullish divergence. 4) ** Death cross ** !!! That is when the 50 day SMA crosses down the 200 day SMA with price action under the 200 day SMA. Every rookie trader knows moving averages don’t lie. Unfortunately almost all of them can’t look left. A death cross is very bullish for this market. 5) Why $3 trillion move to $6 trillion market capital? See the bull flag below. There’s more reasons on this forecast area and especially on the timing, which is discussed on my website. Is it possible speculators keep selling? Sure. Is it probable price action keeps correcting? No. Ww $6 trillion flag forecast Incoming $1trillion dollar correction for crypto people…
CRYPTOCAP:TOTALLong
by without_worries
19
GER40 (DAX 40) AnalysisThe German DAX 40 index (GER40) recently tested key support around 22,063.63 and exhibited a bullish reaction.​ 📈 Bullish Scenario: If GER40 sustains above 22,063.63, it may push towards the 22,775.84 resistance zone.​ A break above 22,775.84 could open the way for a break and retest, potentially leading to a continuation towards the 23,395.75 resistance level.​ 📉 Bearish Scenario: If the price fails to hold above 22,063.63, further downside towards 21,231.97 may be observed.​ ⚠ Risk Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice or a trading signal. Market conditions can change rapidly, especially in light of recent geopolitical developments. Always confirm market conditions using your own strategy before making any trading decisions.
THINKMARKETS:GER40
by juniormoseki1