Skeptic | EURCHF: Trend Strength or Weakness? Trade SetupsWelcome back, guys! 👋I'm Skeptic.
Today, I’m bringing you a multi-time frame analysis of EURCHF , including both long and short triggers, along with a few educational tips. Let's dive in!
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🕰️ Daily Time Frame Analysis:
After a solid accumulation phase and breaking above resistance, we've successfully shifted the trend to uptrend . Given the major trend direction, it's better to focus on long positions .
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⏳ 4-Hour Time Frame Analysis:
Following the uptrend, we've formed a bullish ascending triangle, indicating a potential continuation. You might think that the RSI downtrend signals trend weakness, but here’s the key point:
- Lack of follow-through on the downside shows trend strengt h. If it was genuine weakness, we’d have seen a sharp downward move already.
This makes the bias towards long positions stronger .
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🚀 Long Setup:
After breaking the resistance at 0.9649 7, we can consider a long position. A breakout of the RSI trendline to the upside would be an extra confirmation.
📉 Short Setup:
To go short, we first need a breakdown from the ascending triangle, followed by a break below the key support at 0.95726.
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🎯 Target Setting:
You can use the height of the triangle or your own support/resistance levels to set targets. I’m not here to tell you where to place your stop loss or take profit since that heavily depends on your strategy, stop size, and R/R ratio.
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💬 Final Thoughts:
I always provide the key levels and setups, but it's up to you to adapt them to your own strategy.
Thanks for sticking around until the end of this analysis.
See you on the next one!💪🔥
Multiple Time Frame Analysis
NIFTY still looks weak! As expected NIFTY still seems to be consolidating between our levels and yet to decide its upcoming trend but looking at global cues, we can expect NIFTY to open weak but the zones could act as a strong demand and supply done hence till NIFTY sustains below our above either zones, the trend will not be confirmed so wait for proper setups and confirmations and plan your trades accordingly and keep watching.
12/23/24 - PFE: new BUY mechanical signal.12/23/24 - PFE: new BUY signal chosen by a rules based, mechanical trading system.
PFE - BUY
Stop Loss @ 24.80
Entry BUY @ 26.71
Target Profit @ 29.54
Analysis:
1. On the Higher timeframe - Prices have stayed above the lower channel line of the ATR (Average True Range) Channel
2. Higher timeframe - Trader Vic's (Victor Sperandeos) 1-2-3/2B Buy pattern...where the lowest current bottom breakout price is greater than the preceding bottom price
1/21/25 - RIGL: new BUY mechanical trading signal.1/21/25 - RIGL: new BUY signal chosen by a rules based, mechanical trading system.
RIGL - BUY
Stop Loss @ 16.25
Entry BUY @ 21.81
Target Profit @ 27.80
Analysis:
Higher timeframe: Prices have stayed above the lower channel line of the ATR (Average True Range) Keltner Channel and reversed.
Higher timeframe: Victor Sperandeo's (Trader Vic) classic 1-2-3 BUY pattern...where the current lowest bottom breakout price is greater than the preceding bottom price.
Higher timeframe: Price peaked below the ATR (Average True Range) breakout low and then reversed.
IAG Stock Took some heat! Is there anything to take here?🟢SeekingPips🟢 has this on the radar.
⭐️ Have your levels ready and wait for your A+⭐️ Setup.
ℹ️ Our levels are here marked out.
I have ZERO interest in taking a position here however a deeper sell-off and I will start paying attention.❗️
⚠️ ALERTS set and LEVELS marked.
🟢Now go away and ENJOY your WEEKEND and lets HURRY UP AND WAIT and lets see what NEXT WEEK has for us👍
Daily Edge – March 29, 2025Friday Close – Week 13 Wrap + Week 14 Setup Preview
Context
Week 13 closed bullish, forming a double distribution profile and finishing just below all-time highs.
Week 14 opens on the final day of March + Q1 — a high-stakes inflection point.
Red folder news events dominate the week ahead, including Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) on Friday.
Key Weekly Levels (Week 13)
MPH: 3086
VAH: 3046
POC: 3016 (below W12 POC at 3034)
VAL: 3004
MPL: 3002
Last Week’s Play Recap
Entered a Failed Auction Long early in W13 near W12 VAL (3014–3020)
Structure evolved into clean IB Breakout, then full range extension and continuation toward highs
Late-week close confirmed expansion above AMR High and value structure
Some live positions remain open, awaiting Monday’s open for management decisions
Looking Ahead to Week 14
Monday is observation-only — waiting for the Initial Balance (IB) to form on the 4H TPO Weekly Profile
This week also prints:
The February IB (from Daily/Monthly TPO)
The Week 14 IB (Weekly TPO)
The Q2 Opening Profile (Quarterly TPO)
Higher timeframe structure remains bullish, but entries will only follow confirmed setups from the PNP playbook
Execution Plan for the Week
Let Monday define IB
Match structure to historical high-probability patterns
Tag validated setups: FA, IBX, Reversion, etc.
Execute using the scaling-in model only after confirmation
Maintain consistent VAR and clarity on exit plan
“Structure prints the story. Data confirms the play. We only act when both align.”
Ready to trade with clarity and control?
Hand-drawn charts + structured execution = Calm. Confident. In Control.
Join the PipsnPaper community.
Bitcoin Analysis - Bear Trap Complete - Bullish Reversal StartedBitcoin recently swept the liquidity resting at the $78K level, taking out the previous lows before initiating a strong reversal with a double break of structure to the upside. This signals that smart money has engineered liquidity to trap retail traders and induce early shorts before driving price in the intended direction.
The move up has left behind a well-defined bullish order block in confluence with a fair value gap, which held firmly on the retracement. This confirms that institutional positioning is present, and the market is now efficiently repricing higher. The fact that price reacted strongly from this zone further reinforces that smart money has absorbed sell-side liquidity, and the path of least resistance is now to the upside.
With liquidity now resting above the descending bearish trendline, price has a clear target. The bearish trendlines, especially in the context of a corrective move, act as a liquidity magnet. Retail traders shorting into this structure are providing the fuel for the next leg up, as their stops accumulate above each lower high. The market makers and algorithmic liquidity providers understand this, and price is now gravitating towards that liquidity pool. The inefficiencies left on the chart from the recent aggressive down move also suggest that these imbalances need to be filled, further strengthening the case for continued bullish expansion.
The entire bearish move preceding this was nothing more than a well-structured inducement. It served to lure in breakout sellers, create the illusion of a sustained downtrend, and trap liquidity at the lows before the true direction was revealed. This is a classic example of manipulation before expansion. This principle repeats across all timeframes and market conditions.
With this in mind, the most probable scenario now is a continuation towards the next major liquidity pool above the bearish trendline, likely leading price into the 92K–98K range where a significant daily order block sits. This area will be critical to observe, as it could act as a distribution zone where smart money starts offloading positions. However, until then, the structure remains decisively bullish, and every retracement into demand zones should be seen as an opportunity to position long, rather than a sign of weakness.
GBPUSD | APRIL 2025 FORECAST | Chopping Block is Hot!GBP/USD is approaching the psychological 1.3000 level, a key battleground for bulls and bears. The pair has been trading within a rising channel, but recent price action suggests momentum could be shifting.
🔹 Trend & Structure: GBP/USD remains in a broader uptrend but is struggling to maintain bullish momentum above 1.3000. A confirmed break could signal continuation, while rejection may trigger a retracement toward 1.2800-1.2750.
🔹 Technical Outlook:
Support Levels: 1.2850, 1.2750
Resistance Levels: 1.3050, 1.3150
Indicators: RSI hovers near 65, signaling slight overextension; MACD shows bullish momentum but weakening.
🔹 Fundamental Factors:
BOE policy expectations vs. Fed’s stance on rate cuts.
US & UK economic data—watch CPI and employment figures.
If GBP/USD clears and holds above 1.3000, it could open doors for a rally toward 1.3150. But if sellers defend this level, we might see a pullback toward 1.2850-1.2750 before the next move.
Will 1.3000 hold, or is a reversal on the horizon? Drop your predictions below! 📉📈 #GBPUSD #ForexTrading #MarketAnalysis
GBPJPY | APRIL 2025 FORECAST| Will GJ fly to the SKY?GBP/JPY has been riding strong volatility, reacting to both BOE and BOJ policy shifts. As we head into the new month, the pair is testing a critical resistance zone near , with momentum signaling a potential breakout or rejection.
🔹 Trend Analysis: The pair remains in a strong , with price respecting the as dynamic support/resistance.
🔹 Key Levels: Resistance at , support at . A break above could open the door to .
🔹 Technical Outlook: RSI divergence hints at possible exhaustion, while Fibonacci retracements suggest key reaction zones around .
Will GBP/JPY continue its bullish momentum, or are we looking at a deeper correction? Share your insights below! 📉📈 #GBPJPY #ForexForecast #MarketAnalysis
Realtime markups: Indices tailspin to the weekly range lowsAfter rejecting the weekly highs aggressively on Wednesday, we had a clear run toward the low of the same weekly range candle's low. I believe this low will be hit before anything else.
We will see what the Monday open sequence looks like. See you then 🫡
AUDUSD | APRIL 2025 FORECAST| This Next Move will be Massive!AUD/USD is shaping up for a critical month, with price action hovering around a key support zone near . The pair has been reacting to , influencing both bullish and bearish momentum.
🔹 Trend Analysis: The pair remains in a on the higher timeframe, with acting as dynamic support/resistance.
🔹 Key Levels: Support at , resistance at .
🔹 Momentum & Structure: A break above could trigger bullish continuation, while failure to hold may lead to a deeper retracement.
With fundamentals aligning with technicals, this month could present solid trading opportunities. Will AUD/USD push higher, or are we in for a reversal? Drop your thoughts below! 🚀📊 #AUDUSD
XAU/USD 28 March 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has met expectations and analysis by printing a further bullish iBOS, however, pullback was minimal and with price not trading down to either discount of 50% EQ or Daily/H4 demand zone.
I will therefore, at present, not classify this as a bullish iBOS in order not to distort internal range
Intraday Expectation:
Price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate, bnut not confirm bearish pullback phase initiaiton. Price to then trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or nested Daily and H4 demand levels before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,086.090.
Alternative scenario:
Price could potentially continue to print higher.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias was not met with pricing printing a bullish iBOS.
Price has printed a bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range. I will however continue to monitor price.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,086.090.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
Skeptic | GBP/USD Deep Dive: Major Trend, Trade Setups!Hey guys, welcome back! 👋 I'm Skeptic.
Let’s dive into GBP/USD , a pair that’s been in a strong uptrend and has the potential for another solid price jump. We’ll break it down across multiple timeframes , do a deep analysis , and at the end, I’ll share high-probability long & short setups with clear triggers—so stick around!
Daily Timeframe Analysis
As you can see, GBP/USD has been respecting an uptrend channel , reacting well to both the upper, lower, and midlines —a key characteristic of a strong trend. Each time price makes a jump, it enters a range box (re-accumulation phase) before breaking out to continue the trend.
Currently, we’re inside another range between 1.28720 - 1.29883 . A breakout in either direction can give us a trading opportunity, but given the major trend is bullish , I prefer trading in the direction of the trend unless we get a clear reversal signal.
4H Timeframe Analysis
The uptrend channel remains intact , and we’re still within the Consolidation phase . We recently saw a fake breakout , which could mean that the next breakout might happen with stronger momentum.
Trade Setups
✅ Long Setup:
- Entry: After a confirmed breakout of 1.29883
- Confirmation: RSI breaking above 65.33 (which acts as an overbought signal in this case)
- Preferred Order: Stop Buy above resistance to catch momentum
❌ Short Setup:
- Entry: After a confirmed break of 1.28682
- Risk Management: Since this is against the trend, take quick profits and use a tighter SL to manage risk efficiently.
What are your thoughts on GBP/USD? Drop your opinions in the comments! Let’s grow together, not alone. 🚀🔥
$NTLA almost time to buy for long-term holdingsThis is another chart that I've been watching for years that looks almost time for a trend reversal into a new bull run.
You could start averaging in now, but I'm really looking for the two bottom supports to be hit for this to start the next run --
$4.53 first support
$3.15 second support
If either of those two levels hit, I'm buying. I can see price going all the way back up to test the highs and eventually going much higher.
Resistance levels on the chart