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Multiple Time Frame Analysis

NZDUSD SELL OFF (Counter-Trend Setup)(Daily) - Price hit Key resistance level at (0.60308 - 0.59985) and consolidated at the level attempting to breakout but failing and forming double top in 4H. (4H) - Price formed double top at the Key resistance level (0.60308 - 0.59985) which is reversal pattern, neckline of the DT at (0.60031). (4H) - Bearish market structure at the level price forming new lower high and lower low at (0.60578 - 0.60535) (4H) - Rising trendline connecting low of the price at (0.58522 - 0.59556). Entry ; -We have 2 entry models; 1.Aggressive Entry at the Double top after the close of the bearish Engulfing Candle SL above double top at 0.60808 2.Conservative Entry wait for the break of the rising trendline to signal trend change from an uptrend to downtrend then execute.
Short
by Victor_Kinyanjui
Preponderance of (or Preposterous?) Evidence I was just proposing yesterday staying neutral in SPY (the S&P 500 ETF). The FOMC meeting today (Jun 18th) was a big-nothing burger (so far), which supports my (non)position, but we'll see. I will update that post when the time is right (ATH, 200dma, or bust). Today, though, the IWM (the Russell 2000 Small Cap Index ETF) and, surprisingly, a potential short position. First, the IWM (see below) is overbought on a weekly chart, with the Stochastics being above 80 (more on Stochastics and weekly charts at a later date). For now, let's go with IWM being a little overbought, in the longer-term view. Now, let's switch to the big daily chart at the top and look at the evidence for going short; - IWM never really got above it's 200-day moving average (purple line), - That same level was consistent with a lot of resistance ~213 (yellow circles), - IWM has trailed this whole rally. - It has broken and somewhat retested a trendline (light blue) from this most recent rally, - It bounced off it's 61.8% Fibonacci level (orange line, not my favorite indicator for ETFs, but I often sneak a peek), - It's at its previous resistance high around 209 (blue circles). On the not-bearish side; - The daily chart is less overbought (this has to happen on weakness, though), - There's (a little) support at 199 but not really again until 172, - I still feel like the All-Time-High (ATH) is a magnet for the S&P (but IWM has trailed). That's (a lot) more (and better) points for being bearish. I'll go short (via a ~90 day ITM put position*) if IWM breaks below 207.50, between that and 202. If it opens lower than 202, I'll wait for a pull-up. The stop will be a close above the 200 day. The target is 172 (the previous tariff low), but I will lighten/tighten up (by selling OTM puts* and/or moving stop down) as IWM drops (if it drops). It may seem a bit duplicitous to be neutral on SPY while being bearish on IWM. But sometimes you have to go with the Preponderance of Evidence (or will it prove Preposterous Evidence?) An update will be coming. *Sorry for bringing up options. One can just go short IWM. I will explain my option choice one day. My ideas here on TradingView are for educational purposes only. It is NOT trading advice. I often lose money and you would be a fool to follow me blindly.
AMEX:IWMShort
by TheUncertainTrader
TSLA: Don't Sleep on the PullbackTesla’s bullish momentum is still in control – the weekly chart shows we’re still in an uptrend, and the trend is still our best friend. After a strong bounce from support a couple weeks ago, price is now rejecting off a weak resistance zone. Ideally, this pulls it back into my entry zone to retest the bottom or the 50% mark of the current swing. I’m using trend lines for guidance and expecting the next swing to push up into that confluence area. My golden zone is set between $367–$390, with partial profits be taken at $367 (top of the channel) and the rest near $390, where we meet the trend line. Stop loss is placed at $241, just below the level where momentum would likely shift.
PEPPERSTONE:TSLA.US_24Long
by GoldenEyeTrading
GBPUSD Weekly: Price Action at Key Supply Zone Confluence• Long-Term Resistance Zone: The chart displays a significant purple-shaded "Key Level" resistance zone, approximately spanning from 1.3600 to 1.3800. Price has previously reacted to this zone as strong resistance on multiple occasions (e.g., in 2018 and 2021), indicating a historical area of supply. The current price action shows the market testing this zone once again. • Bullish Market Structure from 2022 Lows: Following a substantial decline through 2022, the GBPUSD pair initiated a strong recovery, characterized by a clear sequence of higher highs and higher lows since late 2022. This upward movement is encapsulated within a robust green ascending trend channel, signifying a dominant bullish bias on this timeframe. • Identified Support Areas: A notable support zone is evident around the 1.2100-1.2200 levels. This area has historically acted as a strong demand zone, providing significant bounces for the price, most recently in late 2022 and early 2024. • Current Price at Critical Confluence: Price is currently situated at the upper boundary of its long-term ascending trend channel and is simultaneously interacting with the established "Key Level" resistance zone. This confluence of technical elements suggests a pivotal point for the pair, where a decisive reaction from either buyers or sellers is anticipated. Disclaimer: The information provided in this chart is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Trading and investing involve substantial risk and are not suitable for every investor. You should carefully consider your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The creator of this chart does not guarantee any specific outcome or profit and is not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of using this information. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Use this information at your own risk. This chart has been created for my own improvement in Trading and Investment Analysis. Please do your own analysis before any investments.
by ManiMarkets
GBPUSD 1H OutlookGBPUSD 1H Chart: Technical Analysis of Bearish Channel and Key Support Bearish Channel and Price Structure: The chart illustrates an initial bullish move followed by the formation of a descending red channel, suggesting a shift in short-term momentum to bearish. Price recently broke down from an earlier ascending structure, confirming a potential change in trend dynamics. The current price action shows a retracement back towards the upper boundary of this bearish channel and previous resistance levels. Resistance Zone Confluence: The red-shaded area at the top represents a significant supply zone, indicating an area where sellers have previously dominated. This zone also converges with the upper boundary of the newly formed descending red channel, creating a strong confluence of resistance where selling pressure is anticipated to emerge. Fibonacci Retracement Levels: A Fibonacci retracement tool has been applied from the recent high (1.3624) to the recent low. The key retracement levels of 0.5 (1.3518), 0.618 (1.3543), and 0.71 (1.3563) fall within or immediately below the identified red resistance channel. These levels are often watched by traders as potential turning points or areas of re-accumulation/distribution. Key Support Area & Target Zone: Below the current price, a wide green-shaded "Key Support Area" is identified, stretching from approximately 1.3440 down towards 1.3360. This zone likely represents a significant demand area where buyers are expected to re-enter the market, potentially serving as a target for a continued bearish move or a strong bounce point. Disclaimer: The information provided in this chart is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Trading and investing involve substantial risk and are not suitable for every investor. You should carefully consider your financial situation and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. The creator of this chart does not guarantee any specific outcome or profit and is not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of using this information. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Use this information at your own risk. This chart has been created for my own improvement in Trading and Investment Analysis. Please do your own analysis before any investments.
Short
by ManiMarkets
Tesla May Be StallingTesla bounced between early April and late May, but now it may be stalling. The first pattern on today’s chart is the weekly low of $331.39 from May 22. TSLA fell below that level two weeks ago and was rejected at the same price area last week. Has old support become new resistance? Second, the stock has fallen under its 8- and 21-day exponential moving averages (EMAs). The 8-day EMA is also at risk of slipping below the 21-day EMA. Such patterns may reflect short-term bearishness. Falling MACD paints a similar picture. Third, the EV stock peaked at $488.54 in December -- above its previous high of $414.50 from November 2021. But it failed to hold, which could be viewed as a false breakout. Those signals could focus traders’ attention on the April low of $214.15, which is still more than $100 below TSLA’s close on Tuesday. Finally, TSLA is an active options underlier. (Its average daily volume of 2.6 million contracts last month ranked third in the entire market, according to TradeStation data.) That could make it easier for traders to take positions with calls and puts. Check out TradingView's The Leap competition sponsored by TradeStation. TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. If you're born to trade, we could be for you. See our Overview for more. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors. Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges. Options trading is not suitable for all investors. Your TradeStation Securities’ account application to trade options will be considered and approved or disapproved based on all relevant factors, including your trading experience. See www.TradeStation.com . Visit www.TradeStation.com for full details on the costs and fees associated with options. Margin trading involves risks, and it is important that you fully understand those risks before trading on margin. The Margin Disclosure Statement outlines many of those risks, including that you can lose more funds than you deposit in your margin account; your brokerage firm can force the sale of securities in your account; your brokerage firm can sell your securities without contacting you; and you are not entitled to an extension of time on a margin call. Review the Margin Disclosure Statement at www.TradeStation.com . TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by TradeStation
3
Long trade 📍 Pair: GBPUSD 📅 Date: Tuesday, June 17, 2025 🕒 Time: 3:00 PM (NY Session PM) ⏱ Time Frame: 1 Hour 📈 Direction: Buyside 📊 Trade Breakdown: Entry Price 1.34293 Profit Level 1.35653 (+1.01%) Stop Loss 1.34086 (−0.15%) Risk-Reward Ratio 6.57 : 1 🧠 Context / Trade Notes: Higher Timeframe Confluence: Trade took off a 1-hour bullish order block following consistent higher highs and higher lows. Choch + BOS Confirmed: Clear change of character and break of structure gave the green light for a continuation long.
Long
by davidjulien369
Skeptic | DXY Crash Alert: Epic Bearish Triggers Unleashed!heyy, traders, what’s good? It’s Skeptic ! 😎 Let’s dive into a full-on breakdown of DXY—the Dollar Index is making waves, and I’m hyped to unpack it. The 98.801 level looks busted with a pullback in play, and I’m expecting more action. Stick with me to the end as we rip through Daily and 4-Hour timeframes to catch the vibe and nail those triggers! 🚖 Daily Timeframe: The Big Picture So, US inflation data came in softer than expected recently, but DXY still dumped. You might be like, “Wait, shouldn’t lower inflation juice up the dollar?” Nah, here’s the deal: markets move on expectations, not just news. When something grows in the markets, it’s ‘cause traders are betting it’ll keep growing—and vice versa. For DXY, traders are sniffing out a US economic slowdown and expecting the Federal Reserve to cut rates soon, which could spark higher inflation later. That’s the double-whammy driving DXY’s drop, despite the tame inflation numbers. This is the biggest secret in markets—nobody talks about it, but it’s what I learned in econ class and see every day: markets run on expectations. 📚 Major Trend: Per Dow Theory, we’re in a bearish trend as long as we’re below 98.801 . Game Plan: While under this level, hunt longs on USD pairs like EUR/USD. If we break above 98.801, chill and let the market reform before jumping in. 4-Hour Timeframe: Long & Short Triggers Now, let’s get to the 4-hour chart for the real action—our long and short triggers: Short Trigger: A break below support at 98.017 could keep the bearish vibe rolling. RSI hitting oversold would be a dope confirmation. 😤 Long Trigger: Since the major trend is bearish, longs are against the flow, so keep risk tight and take profits quick. The trigger is a break above 98.801, but the main long trigger is smashing through 99.244. So, 99.244 is your go-to for longs. 💪 Pro Tip: Shorts align with the trend, so they’re safer, but longs need extra caution—small positions, tight stops, and don’t get greedy! Final Vibe Check That’s the DXY lowdown, fam! Markets are tricky, but if you stick to reasoning over hype, you’ll stay ahead. No FOMO, no hype, just reason —that’s how we roll at Skeptic Lab. Wanna dive deeper into risk management or another pair? Let me know! 🙌 💬 Let’s Talk! If this analysis got you pumped, smash that boost—it means a ton! 😊 Got a pair or setup you want me to tackle next? Drop it in the comments. Thanks for vibing with me—keep trading sharp! ✌️
TVC:DXY
by SkepticWise
1
XAU/USD 18 June 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 April 2025 Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH according to my analysis yesterday. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,500.200. Note: The Federal Reserve’s sustained dovish stance, coupled with ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, is likely to prolong heightened volatility in the gold market. Given this elevated risk environment, traders should exercise caution and recalibrate risk management strategies to navigate potential price fluctuations effectively. Additionally, gold pricing remains sensitive to broader macroeconomic developments, including policy decisions under President Trump. Shifts in geopolitical strategy and economic directives could further amplify uncertainty, contributing to market repricing dynamics. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Following previous high, and printing of bearish CHoCH, price has pulled back to an M15 supply zone, where we are currently seeing a reaction. Therefore, I shall now confirm internal high. Price is now trading within an established internal range. The remainder of my analysis shall remain the same as analysis dated 13 June 2025, apart from target price. As per my analysis dated 22 May 2025 whereby I mentioned price can be seen to be reacting at discount of 50% EQ on H4 timeframe, therefore, it is a viable alternative that price could potentially print a bullish iBOS on M15 timeframe despite internal structure being bearish. Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH, which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor, with respect to depth of pullback. Intraday Expectation: Price to continue bearish, react at either M15 supply zone, or discount of 50% internal EQ before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,451.375. Note: Gold remains highly volatile amid the Federal Reserve's continued dovish stance, persistent and escalating geopolitical uncertainties. Traders should implement robust risk management strategies and remain vigilant, as price swings may become more pronounced in this elevated volatility environment. Additionally, President Trump’s recent tariff announcements are expected to further amplify market turbulence, potentially triggering sharp price fluctuations and whipsaws. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
BTCUSDT. Initiative Analysis Market OverviewHey traders and investors! 📍 Context On the daily and 4H timeframes, the market is in a sideways range (Black lines = range boundaries). Buyer initiative is active on 4H. The target initiative is 108,952. However, on the daily timeframe, the seller initiative is in control, and a seller zone has formed. The seller zone is the red rectangle on the chart. 📊 Key actions The buyer attempted to break out of the range on the daily timeframe twice, but both times the seller pushed the price back inside. The price is currently interacting with the seller zone. Watching for the reaction. 🎯 Trade Idea 🔸 Long positions — with caution. Only valid if the price holds above 105,336, aiming for the target at 108,952. 🔸 Until that happens, the priority is on further downside, in line with the current seller initiative on the daily. It’s reasonable to look for short setups if the seller defends 105,336. This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA). Wishing you profitable trades!
by AlexeyWolf
USDCAD POTENTIAL LONG OPPORTUNITY...HISTORY REPEATS ITSELFHey hey TradingView fam! It has been a minute (more like months lol) since I've done a post on here for you guys so just wanted to come on and drop an potential swing trade opportunity I see on the USDCAD currency pair! So let's get straight to it OK so it is pretty straight forward (at least in my eyes) but as you can see on the chart USDCAD is coming into a weekly demand zone. IF you are unfamiliar with what a "demand zone" is it is actually very simple. Think of it this way...a buyer zone/area. Literally simple as that. It is a previous zone that a buyer was interested in before. How do we know that? One of the most incredible thing about the charts is that it is like a receipt. It shows the transactions that have taken place. SO...when we look left back @ the 1.3600 price handle we can see that there was aggressive buying that took place here. How do we know? THE CHART LITERALLY ROSE/SKYROCKETED FROM THIS LEVEL. Ever heard of the phrase history repeats itself? It is ESPECIALLY true in the markets! OK so hopefully you guys got some nuggets from this post was more of a psychological breakdown than anything but truly want to help those of you who may see the charts as this complicated phenomena to realize that it is actually so so simple. And my main goal is to make trading simple again. Love & appreciate you all! Thanks for tuning in! If you found some value in this please boost this post & follow my page for accurate analysis and simple trading! Cheers!
Long
by JosePips