Multiple Time Frame Analysis
EURUSD Reversal in Sight: Is a Bounce to 1.095 Next Or 1.05?In my last EURUSD trade post from August, we anticipated a strong sell-off from the 1.12 level (see related post). Price action has unfolded just as expected, with a sharp decline in recent weeks.
So, what’s next? Looking at the charts, a short-term correction toward 1.09500 could be on the horizon. Let’s break down the charts.
Starting with the Monthly charts, we can clearly see that EURUSD has been range-bound for nearly two years, fluctuating between 1.12 and 1.055.
Zooming into the weekly charts, the recent sell-off has driven the price deep into this range, reaching two key support levels: diagonal support and the August low, both highlighted in the image below.
However, we can’t start buying at these levels just yet. The next step is to zoom into the daily charts to check for any signs of momentum shifting.
On the daily charts, the downward move is clearly overextended, and the market is extremely oversold—my first clue that a potential buying opportunity may be approaching.
To confirm this analysis, I’ve zoomed into the 4-hour chart, and here I’m seeing divergence on the MACD, suggesting that sellers may be running out of steam.
My strategy for this setup is to wait for a break of the 4-hour trendline, then watch for the next correction downward. Once that happens, I’ll use my TRFX indicator and enter on the first 4-hour signal.
The target for this trade will be the 1.095 resistance level, as I expect buyers to re-enter here, potentially pushing the market back down to the bottom of the range.
Let me know your thoughts below!
A Full Scope View of The Magnificent 7Today, we look at the Mag 7 via the following methods.
MAC (Moving Average Channel).
Valuation with Trend.
High Timeframe Divergence.
To summarize, overall, these markets are generally bullish. I outline areas of interest where I will be looking for trades to the long side.
Have a great weekend.
Nasdaq Breakdown: Today’s Metrics and Analysis 18-OCT-2024Good morning, traders! As a seasoned price action trader, I'll share my Nasdaq insights to help you improve your trading skills.
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Pure Price Action Top Down Analysis of EURUSD2023 saw EU create a bullish opening range in H1, and H2 2023 opened only to raid stop orders from early trading that year before expanding to the upside. This PA created a bullish range which was retraced to the demand zone left in the wake of that previous expansion in April 2024, leaving behind what I suppose should be the low of the year.
The Fiber has since continued bullish but appears to be stalling now in order to gather further internal bullish liquidity (SSL) to garner enough momentum for the move towards the BSL from 2022. Anticipation here is to capitalize on the bullish continuation towards the liquidity above the current dealing range but we are also aware of internal levels price might bounce from before that reversal happens. As EU approaches the nearest demand, we anticipate it could find support there for a retracement of the recent selloff experienced which potentially can be a decent opportunity to go long momentarily.
Ultimately, the lower demand zone below the SSL(1.071) is where we expect to see major longs come in.
Feel free to leave comments, reviews and criticisms, we look forward to building a very strong community of price action wizards with you all.
GLGT,
LloydFx