Multiple Time Frame Analysis
May 8, 2025 EURUSD Buy📈 Bias: Countertrend Long | Risk: 1% (2 entries)
🎯 Target: Fill Asia range / 15mOB for LH
🧠 Reasoning:
London session opened inside a 5m OB, followed by a BOS in our direction.
Even though it's a countertrend trade, it aligns with the idea of forming a lower high from a strong reaction zone.
Waiting for 2 entries:
🔹 1 at the 5m OB
🔹 1 at a refined 1m OB
US500 - Which way will the stock market go?!The index is trading above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. If the index moves down towards the specified demand zone, one can look for further S&P buy positions with a good risk-reward ratio.
In its meeting last night, the U.S. Federal Reserve decided to keep the federal funds rate steady within the 4.25% to 4.50% range. This decision comes amid growing concerns about simultaneous rises in inflation and unemployment, particularly driven by the tariff policies of the Trump administration.
This marks the third consecutive time this year that the Fed has held rates unchanged, reflecting mounting economic uncertainty and fears of stagflation.Fed Chair Jerome Powell warned that the combination of high inflation, slow economic growth, and rising unemployment could lead the economy into stagflation. He noted that newly imposed tariffs could delay the disinflation process for up to a year or more.
The Trump administration has introduced steep tariffs, including a 145% levy on imports from China. These measures have contributed to rising prices and slower economic growth, placing additional strain on monetary policymakers.
Following the Fed’s announcement, stock markets exhibited volatility. The S&P 500 initially fell but ended the day higher. Bond yields declined, while the U.S. dollar strengthened.
Powell emphasized that future monetary policy decisions will be heavily data-dependent, and the central bank stands ready to act swiftly if necessary. He acknowledged that the economic outlook remains uncertain, requiring cautious and adaptive policy management.
Faced with escalating uncertainty and inflationary pressures stemming from new trade measures, the Fed has adopted a cautious stance. Given the current mixed economic indicators, the central bank is expected to maintain its interest rate policy until the economic picture becomes clearer.
Economists at Goldman Sachs have issued a warning that U.S. inflation is on the rise and may reach 3.8% by the end of 2025. According to their analysis, the weakening of the U.S. dollar and the implementation of tariff policies are the main drivers of increased inflationary pressure. Additionally, changes in import demand could elevate production costs and further intensify price increases.
The Wall Street Journal reported that new tariffs may raise the prices of smartphones and laptops by up to 30%. Contrary to popular belief, this inflationary impact may not be temporary and could result in sustained upward pressure on prices.
Meanwhile, ahead of the FOMC meeting, Alphabet (Google’s parent company) saw its stock plunge over 8%, falling to $149.50. Eddy Cue, a senior executive at Apple, disclosed that for the first time in April, user activity on browsers and search engines had declined. In response, Apple is exploring the integration of AI-powered search into its browsers—a move that could pose a serious threat to Google’s advertising revenue.
Simultaneously, President Trump announced he would not enforce the AI content restriction law, initially introduced during the Biden administration and scheduled to take effect on May 15. This decision comes just before his trip to the Middle East, where countries like Saudi Arabia and the UAE have voiced frustration over chip access restrictions.
Trump administration officials are currently drafting new legislation aimed at tightening control over the export of advanced chips. This initiative may form part of a broader agreement, as the UAE has pledged to invest up to $1.4 trillion in U.S. technology and infrastructure over the next decade.
Bitcoin near 100K$ resistance zone(breakout and 114K$ or ...)As we can see two major resistance which are red trendline and 100K$ resistance zone are ahead so major Sell zone and resistance zone now is 100K$ to 102K$ so we can expect fall or short-term correction now here near this major resistance zone like red arrow But we should consider this that soon or late after maybe more range price will also break this resistance zone and heavy pump is ahead to the targets like 114$ at least in our long-term plan or even more.
DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision))
<<press like👍 if you enjoy💚
CadChf daily bias confirmedGood day traders, I’m back with CadChf but this one is special cause it provides us a clean setup where I will get an opportunity to explain some of ICT concepts that I look for and have made me the trader I am today but I’m not here to talk about Michael!! Just his thoughts behind this type of setup.
Well my excitement is that this setup is happening on the daily timeframe so hopefully it’ll be much more understandable. First let’s start with some tape reading on the left hand side we can see that price has been bearish and have reason to believe that price has bottomed as we can see that price left a low only to later take out creating a new one than made a run higher shifting structure on the lower TF’s but here on the daily what price did was leave the first presented FVG which you can see on the chart I have marked it. Back to the tape, if you take a closer look at that F.PFVG you’ll see that price only touch the upper quarter of the level and price made a move higher. Here why I said this one was special👂 ICT teaches how to look at price from a naked eye just by dividing gaps, FVG and OB’s and more.. by 4 quarters and FIB retrace works wonders here 0,25,50,75,100. 50 being the midpoint. Price from experience since paying attention to details always comes for the F.PFVG midpoint ATLEAST!🔊
If you look at the chart again you’ll see a red arrow pointing to that wick’cosidered a gap’, now if we consider that wick a gap than we gonna treat it as one. If you take you FIB and get the levels you’ll see price was a few pips shy of the midpoint of that gap!!👂
Our narrative than becomes…we wanna see price reach the midpoint of that wick considered a gap. Than we gonna shoot down if we can just get to that midpoint 🤞🏾
Because we cannot I repeat we cannot trust price, we can expect it to disrespect that buyside but not close higher 🛑✋, our draw on liquidity is the one below.
Please study this setup carefully 🙏🏽🙏🏽
Still Holding GBPUSD – Clean Price Action, No Reason to ExitStill holding strong on GU. Price action’s been textbook—clean structure, beautiful flow, and no signs of weakness yet.
No rush to close when the market’s moving this smooth. Eyes still locked on TP levels.
This is one of those trades where patience is profit.
Let’s see it through.
#GBPUSD #GU #Forex #SmartMoney #SMC #PatiencePays #DayTrading #PriceAction #FundedTraderGrind
Bless Trading!
Gold Long – Patience Paid OffBeen stalking this setup all session…
Price swept 30M liquidity and gave that clean CHoCH. I locked in once 5M confirmed with a juicy liquidity grab + OB mitigation. Classic SMC flow—no rush, just precision.
This is that type of move where you sit back and let the market come to you.
Entry locked, targeting those 30M highs.
Let’s ride this wave.
#XAUUSD #Gold #SMC #SmartMoney #Forex #Liquidity #OrderBlock #CHoCH #DayTrading #FundedTraderGrind
Bless Trading!
USD/CAD Hints at Bullish ReversalBearish momentum has continued to wane on USD/CAD, as bears continue to make hard work of fresh cycle lows. That has allowed a bullish RSI divergence to form on the daily chart alongside a falling wedge pattern.
That is has formed around historical VPOC (volume point of controls) adds further weight to the potential bullish reversal. Also note that a bullish engulfing candle formed on Wednesday to suggest a bullish breakout could be pending.
Bulls could seek dips towards the September VPOC in anticipation of a bullish breakout, and retain a bullish prices while they remain above recent swing lows. The core target is the base of the wedge, just below 1.4.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
Stock Of The Day / 05.07.25 / CPNG05.07.2025 / NYSE:CPNG
Fundamentals . Positive earnings report.
Technical analysis.
Daily chart: No clear trend. We mark the levels 25.70 and 26.90 formed by the trend break in February 2025 and November 2024.
Premarket: Trading volumes are small.
Trading session: We observe an uptrend after the opening of the trading session. The level 25.70 is confirmed by a touch at 10:46 a.m. The price breaks through the level after a pullback and forms a narrow trading range above the level. We are considering a long trade to continue the upward movement in case of holding the level 25.70.
Trading scenario: #breakout with retest of the level 25.70
Entry: 25.83 when exiting upward from accumulation above the level.
Stop: 25.64 we hide it below the level with a small reserve.
Exit: Cover part of the position before the level of 26.90 (RR 1/5) after the price accelerates on increased volume, cover the remaining part of the position at the price of 26.86 (RR 1/5) when a reversal candlestick pattern forms at the level.
Risk Rewards: 1/5
P.S. In order to understand the idea of the Stock Of The Day analysis, please read the following information .