USDCAD SHORTMarket structure bearish on HTFs 3
Entry at Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Daily Rejection at AOi
Rejection at Daily AOi
Previous Structure point Daily
Round Psych Level
H4 EMA retest
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
Levels 7.89
Entry 100%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
Multiple Time Frame Analysis
GBPCAD LONG Market structure bullish on HTFs DH
Entry at both Weekly and Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection At AOi
Daily Rejection at AOi
Daily EMA retest
Previous Structure point Daily
Around Psychological Level 1.78500
H4 Candlestick rejection
Levels 5.47
Entry 90
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
XAU/USD 20 February 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price printed as per analysis and bias dated 10 February 2025.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS.
Price is currently trading within an internal low and fractal high.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation by printing bearish CHoCH.
Bearish CHoCH is denoted with a blue dotted line.
Alternative scenario:
Given HTF (Daily and Weekly) have also printed bullish iBOS' it would not come as a surprise if price printed a bearish iBOS.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price printed as per analysis and bias dated 11 February 2025.
Price has printed a double bullish iBOS.
You will note the most recent bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH despite price not tapping in to discount of 50% internal EQ or M15 demand zone. I will consider this a bullish iBOS due to time spent, however, I will continue to monitor.
Intraday Expectation:
Await for price indicate bearish pullback phase initiation and print bearish ChOCH.
CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line.
Alternative scenario:
As we await for H4 TF to confirm bearish pullback phase initiation, it would be a realistic expectation for price to print a bearish iBOS.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
GBPCAD ENTRY CHARTON this pair, the trend is still BULLISH, we also have the mid-term trend still BULLISH,+ we have price resting on the 30minutes demand with some other confluences, like INDUCEMENT after the first BOS, also we had a LTF CHOCH on that DEMAND ZONE, So you can join us if thhis matches with your idea,But also we have CANADIAN CPI NEWS DROPPING SOON. THANK YOU.
EURUSD 20 Feb 2025 W8 - Intraday - US Unemployment ClaimsThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 20 Feb 2025 W8 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following:
Market Sentiment
4H Chart Analysis
15m Chart Analysis
Market Sentiment
Some USA economic news today:
US : Unemployment Claims & Philly Fed Manufacturing Index
The market still in the same sentiment detailed in my Weekly Analysis . Below a summary:
Short-Term Bias: Cautiously bullish for EUR/USD, driven by optimism over delayed tariffs, geopolitical progress, and hopes for softer inflation.
Key Risks:
A hot PCE report reviving Fed hawkishness.
Sudden tariff escalations or breakdowns in peace talks.
4H Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bullish (Reached Swing Extreme Demand)
🔹INT Bearish (Reached Extreme Supply)
🔹INT-INT Bullish (Reached EQ (50%)
🔹Swing Continuation
2️⃣
🔹With the deep pullback to the Bullish Swing extreme discount and mitigating the 4H/Daily demand zones, price turned Bullish forming a Bullish CHoCH.
🔹The current Bullish move from Swing extreme discount to current price level having 2 scenarios (Previously I’d the following 2 scenarios where now I favors the 2nd scenario due to the impulsive nature of the move):
Scenario 1: Pullback for Bearish INT Structure and with the recent Bearish CHoCK and Minor Demand zones are failing, I expect Bearish continuation to target the Weak INT Low which aligns with the Daily/Weekly Bearish Structure/Move. (Counter Swing – Pro Internal)
Scenario 2: Bullish Swing continuation to target the Weak Swing High. Which requires to have Demand holding and Supply failing. The first sign required to confirm this scenario will be the current Demand which price is currently at to hold and we form a Bullish CHoCH. (Pro Swing – Counter Internal)
🔹With the recent moves, Minor Supply is holding and demand is failing to facilitate the INT-INT Bullish structure Pullback which reached the structure EQ (50%).
3️⃣
🔹After the Bullish ii-BOS, price pulled in a corrective PA to the structure EQ (50%) and currently within the Daily Demand.
🔹Still expectation is set to continue Bullish targeting the Weak Swing High as long LTFs holds Bullish structures. Also, In my mind I’m not neglecting the current Bearish 4H INT structure and we already reached that structure extreme where we are getting the current corrective Bearish OF.
15m Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bullish
🔹INT Bearish
🔹Reached Swing EQ (50%)/Discount
🔹Swing Pullback Phase
2️⃣
🔹The 15m Bullish Swing pullback phase is still intact with continues Bearish INT structures.
🔹Price had reached Swing extreme demand in Swing Discount.
🔹With the recent Bearish iBOS, price had formed Liq. above the 15m Demand which was sept with the break of the Weak INT Low, mitigating the 15m Demand and forming a Bullish CHoCH to initiate the Bearish INT Structure Pullback.
🔹Technically Shorts is the straight forward play (Played very well yesterday as per expectations and executions), but keep in mind that the Bearish INT structures task is to facilitate the 15m Swing Pullback and we are currently in the Swing Discount Zone and if the Swing is going to continue Bullish, there is a high probability that the INT Structure is going to shift Bullish.
3️⃣
🔹It’s a crossroads! Expectations is for price to turn Bullish and create a Bullish INT structure to confirm the Swing Pullback is over and the start of the Swing Bullish continuation Phase (Bullish iBOS for confirmation).
🔹Will be looking for longs after Bullish iBOS. As for Shorts, not in my interest currently based on where we are within the 115m Swing (Discount)/15m & 4H Demand even with the INT structure is Bearish.
Why the Dow Jones might close its gap with S&P and NasdaqThe S&P 500 and Nasdaq have once again reached record high, leaving the Dow Jones for dust in its choppy consolidation. But I think we're now facing a relative shift in their performance, which could see the Dow lead the way and close its gap with its Wall Street Peers.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
NIFTY must sustain itself abv 23000 level to regain its strengthAs we can see despite the strength NIFTY failed to sustain ahlhe psychological levels of 23000 level and the trendline resistance showing weakness hence as long as it’s below the trendline it could remain negative to volatile so plan your trades accordingly and keep watching
NQ - Wednesday FrameworkLast week NQ ran out its external range high.
Tuesday ran out Monday (check 4h) high and low and closed bearish.
On the 4h and 1h, we have a cisd to the downside. Paired with ES smt at the highs (check 1h). Measure the manipulation leg on the 1h for STD extensions and targets align with daily fvg. This is giving me evidence of a possible short term retracement delivery cycle in price. We could see Wednesday offer a continuation lower.
What I would need to see to confirm shorts:
If Asia and London initially trade higher above new day and midnight opening price, then the intraday framework is setting up for a classic sell day. This is ideal for shorts. Either NY Continuation or NY Reversal daily profile is what I'm hunting. I need to see a 15m cisd. That would confirm the daily profile.
If Asia and London trade lower first, then conditions are not ideal for intraday framework I'm looking for and need to be cautious of shorts.
If Asia and London consolidate, then I will wait for the external range to be swept during NY session. A 15m cisd will confirm direction after sweep on liquidity and I will target opposing liquidity.
If 4h fvg is closed though, that confirms ifvg and shorts will no longer be consider.
Short trade
Sellside Trade
Pair: EURUSD
Date: Monday, 17th February 2025
Time: 3:00 AM (NY Time)
Session: Tokyo to London Session AM
Trade Details:
Entry: 1.04734
Profit Level: 1.04092 (+0.61%)
Stop Level: 1.04987 (-0.24%)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 2.54
Sellside trade is structured around a bearish market structure, liquidity grabs, and session timing,
GBP/USD Analysis & Key Trading Zones🚀 GBP/USD is at a crucial point, showing signs of potential movement. Here’s what to watch:
🔹 Daily Structure:
GBP/USD remains in a choppy range, showing indecision at key price levels.
Major liquidity zones remain below recent lows, making downside sweeps possible before any bullish continuation.
50% retracement level aligns with the next area of interest, suggesting a potential reaction point.
🔹 4H Structure & Liquidity Grabs:
The pair has tapped into a fresh 4H demand zone, which could fuel the next upside move.
Internal liquidity sweeps suggest GBP/USD may be gathering momentum for a push higher.
If price breaks a key 1H fractal high, it could confirm a shift in structure.
🔹 Key Levels to Watch:
✅ Support Zones:
1.2600 - 1.2580: Potential liquidity grab & bounce zone.
1.2550: Deeper support for high-probability longs.
❌ Resistance Zones:
1.2680 - 1.2700: A key supply area.
1.2750: Break above = bullish confirmation.
🔹 Trading Plan:
📊 If GBP/USD retests demand & holds, long positions targeting 1.2680+ are valid.
📊 If the dollar index weakens further, GBP/USD may see additional bullish momentum.
📊 If support fails, look for a break-and-retest of 1.2550 before considering longs again.
⚡ What’s your bias on GBP/USD? Bullish or Bearish? Drop your thoughts below! 👇📉📈
#GBPUSD #ForexTrading #PriceAction #SmartMoney #Liquidity #TradingView
XAU/USD 19 February 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 11 February 2025.
As mentioned in analysis dated 10 February 2025 that it is highly likely price will print a bullish iBOS is how price printed.
Price is currently trading within an internal low and fractal high.
ChoCH positioning to indicate, but not confirm bearish pullback phase initiation is denoted with a blue dotted line.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bearish and react at either discount of internal 50%, or H4 demand zone, before targeting weak internal high, priced at 2,942.780.
Alternative scenario:
Given HTF (Daily and Weekly) have also printed bullish iBOS' it would not come as a surprise if price printed a bearish iBOS.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 11 February 2025.
Price printed as per yesterday's analysis whereby it was mentioned price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ or nested H4/M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,942.780.
Alternative Scenario:
As all HTF's are in bearish pullback phase it would be viable if price targeted strong internal low, printing a bearish iBOS.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
Long trade
Buyside Trade
Date: Tuesday, 18th February 2025
Time: 6:05 AM (NY Time)
Session: Tokyo Session PM
Timeframe: 5-Minute (Entry TF)
Trade Details:
Entry: 2661.05
Profit Level: 2719.46 (+2.19%)
Stop Level: 2648.24 (-0.48%)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 4.56
Reason: Buyside trade is based on short-term bullish structure, liquidity sweeps, and demand zone confirmation
Bitcoin Intraday - Wednesday 19th FebruaryBitcoin has been in a tight bearish channel on the Daily timeframe. Yesterday (Tuesday 18th February) price took an internal daily low at $94,002. Today we are looking for the potential for price to mitigate the inducement POI created from price taking the daily low yesterday. Also aware of the potential for shorts from $96,177 although expecting price to move a little higher. Overall HTF picture is for bitcoin to push lower to take out the daily low at $91,375.
EURUSDHello, I hope you are well🌹
I really don't know what you are looking for!!
I publish the Euro trend on the page every day with the highest accuracy but I don't get any support from you and this is very painful...😪
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