EUR/USD: Setting the Trap - 12H for ClarityZooming out to the 12H for a clearer view—bullish intent is set, but I’m not biting just yet. The real move begins once inducement gets swept and that 4H order block (blue zone) gets mitigated.
That 30M supply (red zone)? Just an internal move that needs tapping before price pushes lower into the real demand. Once that happens, I’ll be watching for my confirmation to strike.
No chasing—just precision. Let the market show its hand first.
#Forex #EURUSD #SmartMoney #Inducements #OrderBlock #TradeWithPatience
Bless Trading!
Multiple Time Frame Analysis
EUR/GBP: Locked in & Waiting for the Perfect FlipWe’re sitting pretty inside a refined 30M order block, but patience is key. The game plan is set—waiting on a clean CHoCH flip to confirm bullish intent.
What I Need to See:
✅ Inducement taken—weak hands swept.
✅ 30M OB mitigation—price needs to respect structure.
✅ 5M confirmation entry—once the market tips its hand, I strike.
No guessing, no forcing—just letting the market show its cards. If it all lines up, I’m catching this move with precision.
#Forex #EURGBP #SmartMoney #CHoCH #Inducements #PrecisionTrading
Bless Trading!
EUR/GBP: Smart Money at Play - Ready for the Upside?The market just did its thing—swept liquidity, induced early sellers, and now we’re parked inside a clean 4H order block. That’s where the real game begins.
Breakdown:
✅ Major HH broken, clearing minor liquidity + inducement.
✅ 4H order block in play—watching for bullish momentum.
✅ 30M TF will confirm the execution—waiting for the market to tip its hand.
No chasing, no FOMO—just precision. If the market respects structure, I’ll be taking this ride to the upside.
#Forex #EURGBP #SmartMoney #Inducements #TradeWithPatience
Bless Trading!
YM (March 2025) - End of February Analysis- Closed out this month bearish, tickling all time highs but with more uncertainty than ever before. Februarys price range closed inside the previous monthly range
- 42605 bullish monthly order block in my scopes
- Playing the short term ranges going into March is the best solution as the monthly timeframe is indecisive
NQ (March 2025) - End of February Analysis- Feb candle gapped lower, rallied and attacked January’s monthly highs before closing inside of the lower encroachment of Jan’s wick low and close. Indicates weakness
- Efficient delivery to the upside means I can rely on the last up-close candles as a PD array to expect price to support it to the upside
- Monthly bias closed bearish
ES (March 2025) - End of February Analysis- 5807 monthly bullish order block pending if we see downside movement
- 1 month FVG // BISI @ 5669 – 5724 of interest if we are to close below 5807
- Februarys high created new all-time highs but price quickly declined shortly after. Suggests short term weakness- Monthly bias was bearish as ES has closed bearish this month
ZB1! - End of February Analysis- Monthly bullish order block has held up well, supporting the bullish narrative of price drawing up to 120.00
- Monthly candle closed convincingly above the 3 month rejection block @ 117.08.
- Monthly volume imbalance rests a little higher than where the monthly buyside liquidity pool is @ 120.25 – 121.23. Buyside rests @ 120.18 and this is the draw that I am looking forward to going into this months price action
- October 2024’s monthly candle prints a SIBI and this is also a area to study. Many confluences in this area making it high probability for a bullish draw. Bullish delivery with bonds mean bearish delivery for US10Y.
- Successful projection of February's draw on liquidity
USD/JPY 30M - Let the Market Come to MePatience is the name of the game. Price has been making strong moves up, but I’m not chasing. I see the bigger play setting up.
✔️ Inducement marked – Liquidity sitting right above, waiting to get swept.
✔️ Demand Zone Locked In – 148.800-149.000 is where the real game begins.
✔️ Waiting for the Pullback – Let price dip, clear out weak hands, and show its hand before I step in.
No FOMO, no chasing—just precision. If it mitigates properly and confirms, I’ll be ready to strike. Stay sharp.
#Forex #USDJPY #SmartMoney #Inducements #TradeWithPatience
Bless Trading!
EURUSD 3-7 Mar 2025 W10 - Weekly Analysis- EU Rate - US NFP WeekThis is my Weekly analysis on EURUSD for 3-7 Mar 2025 W10 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following:
Market Sentiment
Weekly Chart Analysis
Daily Chart Analysis
4H Chart Analysis
Economic Events for the Week
Market Sentiment
The EUR/USD pair faces a slightly bearish bias this week, driven by key economic events, geopolitical risks, and trade uncertainties.
Key Events to Watch:
🔹 ECB Interest Rate Decision (March 6) – Markets expect a 25 bps rate cut to 2.50%. A dovish ECB could pressure the euro, while any hints of a pause may provide support.
🔹 U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls (March 7) – Forecast at +133K jobs, with unemployment steady at 4.0%. Weak data could weigh on the USD, while stronger payrolls and wage growth may boost it.
🔹 Trump’s Tariffs & Trade War Risks – New U.S. tariffs on Mexico, Canada, and China take effect March 4, with potential auto tariffs on Europe looming. These policies favor the dollar by driving risk-off sentiment.
🔹 Geopolitical Tensions – U.S.-Ukraine relations deteriorated after a public Oval Office clash between Trump and Zelenskiy. Further instability could impact investor confidence and increase safe-haven demand for the USD.
Trading Strategy:
✅ Bearish Scenario: A dovish ECB, strong U.S. NFP, and escalating trade risks could push EUR/USD down.
✅ Bullish Scenario: If the ECB signals a rate-cut pause and U.S. jobs data disappoint, EUR/USD may test 1.055–1.06 .
Overall, the fundamental backdrop leans in favor of the USD, but volatility is expected, especially around the ECB and NFP releases. Traders should stay alert to geopolitical developments and tariff announcements that may shift sentiment.
Weekly Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bearish
🔹Internal Bearish (Pullback Phase)
🔹In Swing Discount
🔹Swing Continuation Phase (Pro Swing + Pro Internal)
2️⃣
🔹INT structure continuing bearish with iBOS following the Bearish Swing. (End of 2023 till end of 2024 was a pullback phase after the first bearish iBOS)
3️⃣
🔹After the bearish iBOS we expect a pullback, price tapped into Monthly Demand and the liquidity below Nov 2022 which is above the weekly demand formed with the initiation of the bearish iBOS pullback phase.
🔹Price made a bullish CHoCH which indicated that the liquidity was enough as per previous weeks analysis to initiate a pullback phase for the bearish iBOS.
🔹Price pulled back after the Bullish CHoCH to the Weekly Demand formed and showed reaction after volatile week.
🔹With the previous week Bearish close, weekly is consolidating between 1.05xx and 1.02xx
🔹Still the recent Bullish Fractal and Demand holding but failed to break the high (1.0533) so there is a probability to target the low 1.0285/10 and could extend to continue the Bearish INT Structure with iBOS.
Daily Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bearish
🔹INT Bearish
🔹Swing Continuation Phase (Pro Swing + Pro Internal)
2️⃣
🔹Following the Bearish Swing BOS, INT Structure continuing bearish tapping the weekly demand zone.
3️⃣
🔹After the failure to close below the Weak INT Low, price continued bullish sweeping the liquidity above Dec 30 and mitigating a Daily supply zone within the INT Structure Premium Zone.
🔹With the mitigation of the Daily supply, price created a Bearish CHoCH signaling the end of the Pullback Phase of the INT structure and the start of the Bearish move targeting the Weak INT Low.
🔹Price failed for the 2nd time to close below the Weak INT Low after mitigating the Daily Demand formed from the failure to close below the Weak INT Low which triggered aggressive Bullish reaction and mitigating the Daily Supply Zone formed from the recent Bearish CHoCH.
🔹After Supply mitigation, price continued Bearish following the Bearish INT Structure continuation phase.
🔹With the Weekly is consolidating the Daily consolidation range showing that we are failing to continue Bullish and with the recent Bearish CHoCH we are back to the Bearish INT Structure continuation and we may target the Weak INT Low (At least 1.0285).
🔹Price could pullback to the recent Daily Supply before continuing down.
🔹Expectation is set to Bearish with cautious of the Liq. built above 1.05333 and the range we are in.
4H Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bullish (Reached Swing Extreme Demand)
🔹INT Bearish (Adjusted my INT structure to align with the previous Bullish move)
🔹Complex Swing INT Structure
2️⃣
🔹As the Swing is Bullish, expectations were set to continue Bullish targeting the Weak Swing High and create a Bullish BOS after the Deep Pullback to the Swing Demand.
🔹During the Swing Bullish Continuation after the Deep Pullback, INT Structure kept holding Bullish to fulfill the Bullish continuation phase.
🔹With price reaching the Swing Extreme Premium zone and the expectation of breaking the Weak Swing High, price failed 2 times and with the 3rd attempt it created a Bearish iBOS. This indicated that the Swing INT structure is Complex and the Daily/Weekly TFs are still in play.
3️⃣
🔹After the Bearish iBOS, we expect PB, there is no clear POI for price to initiate PB except the Liq. at 1.03730 which was swept on Friday and 1.03173 before mitigating the last clear 4H Demand.
🔹With the recent Bearish iBOS, the PB could start at anytime. The Liq. swept from 1.0373 could provide that PB otherwise we will continue Bearish till the clear 4H Demand (Which I doubt that it could provide the continuation) but with LTF shifting Bullish, we can follow that.
Economic Events for the Week
NIFTY heading towards 21800..?NIFTY did close its weekly candle in red against our expectation. Now watching the structure, next eminent support can be seen around 21800. Hence till we are above 21800, we can again start adding our new longs keeping SL below 21500 on CBSL so plan your trades accordingly and keep watching.
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GOLD (XAUUSD): Bullish After the Market Opening
Friday's turmoil in the White House pumped Gold prices
during the New York session.
Analyzing the intraday price action, I see 2 confirmed bullish signals:
the price broke both the resistance line of a falling channel
and a neckline of a cup & handle pattern on an hourly.
Odds are high, that the price will grow more and reach at least 2864 level
after the opening.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Price is reaching support levels - Bulls are about to take over.Price is mainly driven by wedges, We have a falling wedge on the weekly chart which hasn't been broken yet and we also seem to have an ascending wedge on the daily chart, which price has broken out of without forming a proper correction, And we also have an ascending wedge on the hourly time frames initiating a correction towards the broken daily wedge.
I am expecting a rejection when price reaches current support levels, which could push the price higher for a proper correction before falling long term.
GBP/USD Kicking Off March 2025 and Ending Q1Monthly View:
The February monthly candle closed bullish, remaining within the Buy Side Imbalance (BISI) formed in November, which is still being respected.
Liquidity was swept in January, indicating that price is still being magnetized towards the imbalance and the level of 1.2800.
I anticipate that price might trade below the monthly close before making an upward move.
Weekly View:
The weekly candle closed bearish and tapped into a weekly BISI at 1.2560, where a reaction could occur.
My main focus is on the daily Fair Value Gap (FVG) at 1.2550, which could act as the final support before targeting 1.2700 and possibly higher.
Note that after recent meetings, the dollar strengthened, causing price to drop and leaving behind a daily sell-side inefficiency. I would like to see price fill this inefficiency before taking out liquidity at 1.2550 and 1.2800.
Daily View:
The daily FVG at 1.2550 is crucial and could be the final support level before targeting 1.2700 and potentially higher.
4-Hour View:
There is a bearish FVG and liquidity at 1.2645, which might influence price movements.
1-Hour View:
The 1-hour chart is heavily bearish and currently in a Sell Side Imbalance (SISI) that might drive the price lower at the open.
I expect price to potentially take out 1.2550 and find support at 1.2530 before heading upwards.
Keep an eye on upcoming news this week including nfp
Key Levels to Watch:
1.2800 (monthly target)
1.2560 (weekly BISI)
1.2550 (daily FVG and potential support)
1.2645 (4-hour bearish FVG and liquidity)
1.2550 and 1.2530 (1-hour support levels)
Sell gold after 2950-65 sweepAfter a lot of bullish week, we may assist to an huge retracement.
I will take care about last week hight and assume there will be a bullish momentum to around 2960-65.
If this level is sustained it will probably go to the 3000.
If the 2960-65 level mark an huge sell off, this could lead us to the weekly retracement
Sell idea
Entry : ~2950-65
SL : 3% Risk
TP1 : 2920
TP2 : 2900
TP3 : 2880
TP4 : 2832
USD/JPY - Fresh Outlook for the WeekThe setup is lining up clean—(4H SSL swept), priming the market for bullish intent. My focus? (Buys on the 30M TF,) targeting either (4H internal supply ) or a full reach toward (4H highs).
Game plan is simple:
• Wait for the market to open.
• Watch for bullish momentum and confirmation on the 30M TF.
Now, (one thing to note)—we still have (untapped internal supply )from recent structure that could cause a reaction. But here’s what’s giving me conviction:( major 4H/12H SSL inducement has been taken,) signaling that price could push higher.
At this point, it’s all about (letting price show its hand.) I’ll wait, watch, and (strike when the confirmations align. )Let’s see how it plays out.
Bless Trading!
S&P 500 (March 2025) - End of January AnalysisS&P breaks the two week winning streak, finishing 1% down in rough trading conditions as China’s AI push weights amid bevy of corporate reports.
With the news being released by Donald Trump that 25% tariffs will be imposed on Mexico and Canada + 10% for China, this could be seen as a bullish signal for the stock index. But sometimes bullies don’t always get their way and we could be in for a short term retracement targeting the lows of October’s bullish order block @ $5,856 - $5,776
Weekly Edge – Week 09 Reflection & Prepping for Week 10### Weekly Edge – Week 09 Reflection & Prepping for Week 10
## Market Overview & Higher Timeframe Structure
### Quarterly Chart – Bullish Expansion Continues
- Q1 2025 remains bullish, trading above Q4 2024 and holding within the upper 50% of its overall range.
- The last six consecutive quarters have printed higher highs and higher lows, demonstrating strong momentum and breakout behavior.
### Monthly Chart (February Close) – Key Points of Interest (POIs)
- Imbalance POIs:
- 2780 aligns with the October 2024 short-term high (2790).
- 2730 serves as another imbalance level of interest.
- November 2024 high at 2760 remains untested on the monthly chart.
- Price Action Observations:
- February closed above January, reinforcing bullish continuation.
- Wick rejections at higher prices signal some resistance.
- These POIs provide opportunities for long continuation trades and short-term targets for potential pullbacks before continuation.
## Weekly Chart – First Bearish Close of 2025
- Week 09 printed the first bearish weekly candle of the year, closing below the last two weekly periods and engulfing both.
- Price traded into the weekly imbalance (2820–2860) and saw profit-taking into Friday’s close, showing intraday bullish sentiment.
- Despite the bearish close, weekly structure remains bullish overall, with no confirmed trend reversal yet.
## Daily Chart – Initial Structural Shift
- Break in structure to the downside:
- The daily range low of 2860 was taken out, and price closed below it.
- For a confirmed daily trend change from bullish to bearish, price needs to print a lower high followed by another lower low.
- Short-Term Intraday Bias:
- Looking for longs back into the recent consolidation range around 2860.
- Watching for short setups from POIs within the range, particularly if price prints a lower high.
### Key POI for Shorts
- 2900–2920 (Failed imbalance, now acting as an inversion level).
- This area sits within the premium end of the recent bearish swing and aligns with the most recent 4H consolidation before expanding to new lows.
## March Trading Focus & Community Themes
### Scaling In Model Success
- February’s execution of scaling in at springs and upthrusts worked well.
### Profit-Taking Optimization
- March’s priority is to refine systematic exits, balancing drawdown control while letting winners run.
### Market Structure & Multi-Time Frame Analysis
- Continuing to map structure across timeframes using hand-drawn charts.
- Improving recognition of daily swing trades aligned with lower timeframe setups.
### Exit Strategy Refinement
- Monitoring price action to develop clear exit rules.
- Ensuring profits are protected while allowing strong trades to run.
## Looking Ahead – Key Plans for Week 10
- Monitoring longs off the weekly imbalance high (2860) back into the daily POI.
- Tracking how price responds at 2900–2920 for potential short setups.
- Continuing to develop and optimize scaling, exits, and market structure recognition in March.
The focus remains on trading with clarity, confidence, and control.
#WeeklyEdge #HandDrawnCharts #ScalingIn #MarketStructure #TradeExecution