Multiple Time Frame Analysis
US T-Bonds - End of January AnalysisNew month = more opportunities and with January closing just before a weekend, it gives me the added advantage of sitting down with price action whilst the market is not moving and gauging the next draw on liquidity on a macro scale.
This analysis goes over what to expect on a long term time frame; 6-months & 3-months retrospectively and also covers what I expect to take place in the next following weeks.
The monthly highs is 115.01
The monthly lows is 110.19
Is NZDUSD Set to Explode Higher? Next Stop 0.635?NZDUSD has been in free fall since late September last year, barreling straight toward the 0.55 Monthly support—a level that’s triggered two explosive reversals before.
Could this be the third? I’m already in the trade, and here’s why I’m feeling confident.
Let’s rewind a bit. Two weeks ago, we saw a clean break of the weekly trendline. Now, this is where a lot of “textbook” traders made a rookie mistake—jumping in on the trendline break, expecting the crash to continue, only to get blindsided.
Pro tip: When you see a trend breakout, don’t chase it. Wait for the first pullback and then dive into the lower timeframes to spot divergence signals or slowing momentum. That’s how you catch the real move.
On the daily chart, this setup was screaming at me. After a brutal drop, the price action shifted from a downtrend into accumulation mode as we approached the 0.55 support.
The MACD confirmed my suspicions—it started to flatline, then flashed bullish divergence, with price moving down while the MACD crept higher.
Then came Monday’s candle, and it was chef’s kiss. The market gapped down at the open, creating a new low, but buyers swooped in and gobbled it up, pushing the price right back to where it started. That’s a textbook bullish signal.
Why does this matter?
When you see a gap down like this, after a long downtrend, inside an accumulation zone with divergence signals—BAM! It’s the market telling you the current cycle is done, and we’re shifting into a bullish phase.
Now, if you’re a cautious trader, you could wait for a break and close above 0.57 (the top of the accumulation zone).
But when you know how to read these clues, you can front-run these moves and ride the wave alongside the whales.
My targets:
First target: 0.585, the level of previous support that got taken out in December. We’ll likely see some resistance here.
Second target: 0.635, the top of the range that’s held for years.
I’m strapped in and ready for the ride. Let me know what you think below! 🚀
XAU/USD 05 February 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
As mentioned in yesterday's analysis dated 04 February 2025 that price could continue bullish to bring CHoCH positioning closer to recent price action. This is how price printed.
CHoCH positioning has now changed, which is denoted with a blue dotted line.
Price is trading within an internal low and fractal high.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation by printing bearish CHoCH, which is denoted with a blue dotted line.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
As mentioned yesterday, whereby it was stated that I will continue to monitor price. You will note I have marked the bullish iBOS in red. This is due to the fact price did not pull back enough to substantiate a further bullish iBOS as this would have significantly narrowed the internal range relative to rent price action.
Price continues to make higher highs with current ChOCH positioning denoted with a blue dotted line
Intraday Expectation:
Price to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation by printing a bearish CHoCH.
Alternative scenario:
As H4 remains in bearish pullback phase, it would be viable to consider price targeting strong internal low, priced at 2,722.215.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
AUDUSD - 5 Feb 2025 SetupAUDUSD Market structure are making a breakout structure with strong bullish rally yesterday. and spotted demand area (Green Rectangle). its a very good demand area structure after the price creating a higher high and a break out.
Entry Position : Long
Profit Target : 1:3 Shown on the chart image (Green Line)
Stop Loss : Slightly below demand area (Red Line)
Follow me if u guys making any gains from this idea.
Thanks
Coffee Trade Team
GBPNZD - 3 Feb 2025 SetupGBPNZD Market structure are making N pattern on the market structure with strong bullish rally. Spotted demand area (Green Rectangle). its a very good demand area structure after the price creating a higher high.
Entry Position : Long
Profit Target : 1:3 Shown on the chart image (Green Line)
Stop Loss : Slightly below demand area (Red Line)
Follow me if u guys making any gains from this idea.
Thanks
Coffee Trade Team
Market is currently in balanceAccording to my pure technical analysis the market is in a balance with no overall control of buyers or sellers. The best move would be to wait until one of the bears or bulls show significant control
If the market breaks above the Higher High then we can assume that buyers have overcome sellers and are now in control and are pushing the price high(We can buy). If the market breaks below the Solid low then we can sell the market because sellers are in control. For now the market is neutral it's best for Day traders to stay away
ASX 200 Futures: Finding a Signal Amid the NoiseWe're sandwiched between an incoming NFP report and the turbulence from Trump's tariffs. That could provide a double dose of 'fickle' price action, which we tend to see leading up to big events such as nonfarm payrolls or Fed meetings. With that in mind, I update my bearish bias on ASX 200 futures, using the intraday timeframe and a glance at Wall Street indices.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
USD/JPY: Dips below 154 have been short livedThis is a quick and simple setup based around the assumption that support will continue to hold for USD/JPY.
The market found support at a high-volume node (HVN) last week. And each time the market has either tested or traded beneath the 154 handle, it has been accompanied by heavier volumes and a subsequent move higher. This suggests bears have been burned trying to short at the cycle lows and then forced to capitulate.
Given we're in the Asian session with no top-tier calendar events, and for now at least Trump's tariff headlines are in the rear-view mirror, we're looking for another bounce from / false break of the 154 handle.
As this is simply a mean-reversion setup, we're not looking for a home run.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
EURUSD 5 Feb 2025 W6 - Intraday Analysis - EU PPI - US ADP/PMIThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 5 Feb 2025 W6 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following:
Market Sentiment
4H Chart Analysis
15m Chart Analysis
Market Sentiment
Investors remain cautious but are gradually finding footing after recent bouts of volatility linked to aggressive trade measures and policy uncertainty. The sentiment can best be described as a mix of risk aversion amid global trade tensions and a tentative willingness to engage as economic data remains broadly resilient.
The U.S. dollar has experienced modest strength but remains under pressure due to the broader uncertainty in trade dynamics and the potential for escalating tariffs, particularly from ongoing actions against major trade partners even with pause of tariffs on Canada and Mexico. The target is Europe.
Federal Reserve Outlook:
While the recent policy stance has been one of a pause, the Fed is expected to continue monitoring inflationary trends closely. Any future adjustments to monetary policy are likely to be data-dependent, with the current sentiment suggesting that policymakers will remain cautious amid trade-induced uncertainties.
4H Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bullish
🔹INT Bearish
🔹Reached Swing Extreme Demand
🔹Swing Continuation
2️⃣
🔹With the Bearish iBOS, price confirmed the Swing pullback phase.
🔹We reached the Swing extreme demand which triggered a V-shape reaction indicating the bullish continuation.
🔹Price is currently targeting the liquidity (CHoCH) at 1.04342 (15m Swing High).
3️⃣
🔹Expectations is set to continue Bullish for the Bullish 4H Swing Continuation after reaching the Swing Extreme Demand.
15m Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bearish
🔹INT Bullish
🔹Swing Pullback
2️⃣
🔹Swing turned bearish signaling the 4H/Daily bearish continuation.
🔹After a BOS we expect a Pullback, price pulled back with series of Bullish INT structures reaching the 4H Supply and the 15m Swing extreme.
🔹While the 4H Swing Structure is Bullish, 15m Swing still Bearish.
3️⃣
🔹Expectations is set to continue bullish to sweep the 4H liquidity (Forming a Bullish
“Waiting for 30M CHoch flip to Confirm Bullish bias”“Waiting for 30M CHoCH Flip to Confirm Bullish Bias”
I’m closely monitoring EUR/USD on the 30-minute timeframe. The price is sitting in a 4H demand zone/order block, and I’m waiting for a clear CHoCH (Change of Character) on the 30-minute chart to confirm bullish intent.
For a broader view, I’ve posted the 4H chart in my latest post, showing the demand zone and its significance to this setup.
Key Levels:
• 4H Demand Zone: Strong area of interest for bullish setups.
• Next Steps: Wait for CHoCH confirmation and refine the entry.
Patience is key in setups like these. Let’s see how this plays out!
Bless Trading!
GBP/USD - Long PositionHi all..
If you have been following my updates on this pair you may have been catching a few nice setups. I did in fact catch this previous impulse move which was predicted from that marked Demand zone..
What we have no though is a new trading range. This is quite an interesting range to try to breakdown as we don't really have many level to actually buy from.
All the potential levels found are all from very low TF which suggest they all possibly could be weak levels to buy from.
The only try level I currently see to buy from is the level right at the top where my first Demand zone is sitting, this is my safest Demand due to "true" market consolidation which occurs before the next impulse movement.
Its potential that the move we have seen actually isn't finished which is why i believe this range could be a good area to buy from.
for me personally its not enough confluence to set a trade idea as it doesn't meet my plan.
This is not financial advice.. Good luck to all the traders that decide to follow
Long trade
1Hr TF
Reason: Following recent sellside trade signalled (observing RED K Everrex indicator) the end of the downtrend and sellside momentum for this event indicative of a buyside trade.
Buyside trade
Sun 2nd Feb 25
Tokyo Session AM
9.00 am (NY Time)
Entry 2356.48
Profit level 2871.41 (21.85%)
Stop level 2341.42 (0.76%)
RR 28.62
ANOTHER MAKE or BREAK area for NIFTY…?NIFTY has rallied over 1000++ points from our demand zone and has now reached another MAKE or BREAK level trendline which has been acting as a crucial zone hence we may see rejection around this trendline if opens flat but will eventually breakout for new highs so plan your trades accordingly.
600% falling wedge extension for VARA Network?On the above 4 day chart price action has corrected 90%. A number of reasons now exist for long entries, they include:
1) Price action and RSI resistance breakouts.
2) Support and resistance. Past resistance confirms support.
3) Point no. 2 confirms a “double bottom” in price action.
4) Notice the 4 day hammer candle?
5) The falling wedge confirmation forecasts a 600% move in price action.
Is it possible sellers keep selling? Sure, I hear their supplies are endless.
Is it probable? No.
Ww
Type: trade
Risk: small, tiny market cap.
Timeframe for long: Now
Return: 600%