XAU/USD 04 February 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Previous analysis was met with price targeting weak internal high, priced at 2,817.215.
Price has printed a further bullish iBOS.
CHoCH positioning and internal low are the same level.
Price is trading within an internal low and fractal high.
Should price trade down to discount of 50% EQ, I would be happy to mark internal high.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bearish to either discount of 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,830.755.
Price could also continue bullish to bring CHoCH positioning closer to recent price action.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Yesterday's intraday expectation was met with price targeting weak internal high priced at 2,817.215
Price has printed a further bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH to indicate, buit not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range, however, I will continue to monitor price.
Intraday Expectation:
Price is expected to continue bearish to either discount of 50% EQ, or M15 demand zone, before targeting weak internal high, priced at 2,830.755
Alternative scenario:
As H4 remains in bearish pullback phase, it would be viable to consider price targeting strong internal low, priced at 2,722.215.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
Multiple Time Frame Analysis
GOLD SEEMS TO SELL CORRECTION
Hello Traders, here is the full analysis for this pair,
let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions,
the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be
satisfied. I suggest you keep this pair on your watch list and see if
the rules of your strategy are satisfied.
Dear Traders,
If you like this idea, do not forget to support it with a like and follow.
PLZ! LIKE COMMAND AND SUBSCRIBE
Long trade
15min TF overview
Buyside Trade
Pair: ETHUSDT
Date: Sunday, 2nd February 2025
Session: NY Session AM (9:00 PM)
Trade Details:
Entry: 2385.65
Profit Level: 3079.23 (+29.07%)
Stop Level: 2359.51 (-1.01%)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 55.72
Reasoning: Following the Wyckoff narrative, observing a thermal shakeout (long wick) alongside a selling climax helped confirm the directional bias for the buyside trade.
Long trade
15min TF overview
Buyside trade
Mon 3rd Feb 25
NY Session AM
1. 45 pm
Entry 0.000015682
Profit level 0.000018691 (19.19%)
Stop level 0.000015628 (0.34%)
RR 55.72
Reason: Observing the full structure of SHIB and incorporating the Wyckoff narrative—specifically Phase A (Selling Climax) and Phase B (Secondary Retest)—was pivotal in mapping directional bias for the buyside trade.
USD/CAD got absolutely 'hammered' on MondayTrump's trade negotiations provided USD/CAD with its most volatile daily range since the height of the Pandemic. Yet the surprise announcement that Trump is pausing Canada's tariffs for 30 days saw prices reverse sharply lower, to close the day with an elongated bearish hammer.
Does that pave the way for an immediate reversal lower? Not necessarily. Using price action and market position, I explain why.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
GBP/USD - Trade SetupHi all, I predicted that last move literally to the PIP perfectly, you can check out that post on my page.
Im now looking to make my next move.
I will break this down in a fast and simple terms as I have already broken this paid down from Top Down Analysis.
First 4H CHoCH has been showing taking out the previous swing high.
Then then saw a slight pullback with some consolidation before pushing into our TP.
Our next two entry setups are a 4HR Discount zone which is my preferred zone after taking that imbalance on both the 1H and the 4H. That mitigation zone looks very strong.
We have Identified the new swing range from the 4H view. Id like to see this pullback have some slower price action especially around that 1H Mitigation Block before looking to Buy as we are currently respecting a strong Unmitigated Supply zone. I personally believe this Trend Line will break giving us a lot of institutional volume with buyers Demand.
Good luck to the traders that decide to follow and remember to trade with strict risk management.
Bitcoin's Bullish Momentum Holding Strong
Bitcoin has reached the $94,500 entry point outlined in the previous idea and showed a strong bullish reaction. This confirms the level as an area of interest. However, there is strong potential for price to revisit $94,500 once more, presenting a great buying opportunity for the next leg up.
As long as market conditions align, we can look for confirmations to target $126,500. Patience remains key, but the setup is developing well.
Will Bitcoin offer another perfect entry before continuing its bullish breakout?
🔗 Check the original idea:
USDCAD LONG Market structure bullish on HTFs 3
Entry at Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection At AOi
Previous Weekly Structure Point
Daily Rejection At AOi
Previous Daily Structure Point
Around Psychological Level 1.44000
H4 EMA retest
H4 Candlestick rejection
Levels 6
Entry 100%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King
BTCUSDT Technical AnalysisSell Bias Explanation
Risky Entry Zone:
Observation: Price entered the "RISKY ENTRY" zone.
Explanation: This area indicates a potential entry point for short trades. Traders should be cautious and ensure they have confirmation before entering, as it is labeled "risky."
Resistance Zone:
Observation: The chart highlights a "RESISTANCE ZONE."
Explanation: This area acts as a barrier for the price to move higher. The presence of a resistance zone suggests that the price may struggle to break above, creating an opportunity for sellers to step in
Price Closed Below the Protected High:
Observation: An annotation states, "PRICE CLOSED BELOW THE PROTECTED HIGH."
Explanation: This indicates that the price failed to break a critical high point, only sweeping and hunting stops suggesting a bearish sentiment. It reinforces the sell bias as buyers are unable to push the price higher.
Liquidity Grab and Break of Structure (BOS):
Observation: "Liquidity grabbed and BOS" is annotated on the chart.
Explanation: This means that liquidity was taken out, and a structural level was broken, indicating a shift in market sentiment towards the bearish side.
Liquidity Grab and Break of Structure (BOS):
Observation: "Liquidity grabbed and BOS" is annotated on the chart.
Explanation: This means that liquidity was taken out, and a structural level was broken, indicating a shift in market sentiment towards the bearish side.
Confirmation Entry Zone:
Observation: The chart highlights a "confirmation entry zone."
Explanation: This area provides additional confirmation for entering short trades. Traders looking for a safer entry can consider entering here once the price confirms the bearish setup.
P.R Area (Secure Position):
Observation: "P.R AREA(Possible rejection area) = secure position" is marked on the chart.
Explanation: This area suggests a point where traders can consider securing their positions, either by taking partial profits or tightening stop losses to minimize risk.
Disclaimer 📢
Remember, trading involves risk. Past successful setups do not guarantee future performance. Always conduct your own analysis and use proper risk management strategies.
US 10Y Yields - End of January AnalysisToday is an important day as it marks the first day of a new month, giving me the added advantage of analysing the full month’s candle close as well as a weekly close.
Here, I share with you how fundamentals this month affected price action and where in the medium to long term the market can reprice up/down into.
The highs for the month is 4.809%
The lows for the month is 4.488%
Candle body closure above 4.818% will negate my bearish notion of retracing down into the November 2024 monthly bullish order block.
long trade
15min TF
Buyside trade
Mon 3rd Feb 25
12.45 pm (NY time)
NY Session AM
Entry 32.470
Profit level 32.815 (1.06%)
Stop level 32.415 (0.17%)
RR 6.27
Reason: Observing price action I assume there's still enough buyside dominance to continue with a directional bias to the upside. Target liquidity highs
RETEST DONE!! Ready for uptrend now!! As we can see despite the weakness nifty managed to close strong and following in daily time frame, we can see retesting at the breakout level hence we may expect NIFTY to continue its uptrend and its direction towards 24000++ in coming days so plan your trades accordingly.
Long trade
15min TF overview
Buyside trade
Mon 3rd Feb 25
11.00 am (NY time)
LND to NY Session AM
Entry 32.515
Profit level 32.815 (0.92%)
Stop level 32.420 (0.29%)
RR 3.16
Target Asia High
Fri 31st Jan 25
Reason: Trade 3 in succession seemed indicative of a buyside trade and I assume the price level is heading for the old Asia high Fri 31st Jan 25. (look left)
ES Trade Idea: Key Levels and Strategies Amid Macro UncertaintyCME_MINI:ES1!
ES futures opened with a gap down on Sunday.
With numerous macro headlines, President Donald Trump’s comments on the Fed’s decision last week, and ongoing trade war tariffs, traders may struggle to distinguish what truly matters for the markets from the noise.
In our opinion, do not let macro headlines cloud your judgement. Have a trade plan and be ready to adjust with market conditions and volatility. One way to mitigate risk is by utilizing micro CME contracts , allowing for more precise risk management during volatile market conditions. Additionally, you can participate in the CME and TradingView paper trading competition, giving you the opportunity to test your skills in The Leap without risking real money.
Remember, it's NFP week, and several other key economic data releases are also on the calendar.
In our view, it is important to zoom out and reduce key levels on your charts to ones that are significant.
Key Levels:
Key levels represent areas of interest and zones of active market participation. The more significant a key level, the closer we monitor it for potential reactions and trade setups in alignment with our trading plan.
(mcVAH) micro composite value area high: 6,134.25
Key LIS/Yearly Open: 5,949.25
(mcVAL) micro composite value area low: 5,914.25
(CVAH) Composite Value Area High: 5,924
Scenario 1: Long above Key LIS
Our key LIS is still Yearly open as it was discussed in last week’s idea. We are looking for long trade setups at this level.
Scenario 2: Short below Key LIS
If the price moves lower and holds below a key level, we will look for short trade setups targeting our green support zones on the chart from mcVAL and CVAH confluence.
CL Trade Idea: Key Levels & Strategies Amid VolatilityNYMEX:CL1!
With Trade War 2.0 unfolding, managing risk in futures trading is more crucial than ever. One way to mitigate risk is by utilizing micro CME contracts , allowing for more precise risk management during volatile market conditions. Additionally, you can participate in the CME and TradingView paper trading competition, giving you the opportunity to test your skills in The Leap without risking real money.
Crude Oil Futures:
It’s the start of a new month. We saw our last week’s idea “scenario 1” partially play out before prices pulled back higher towards our neutral LIS.
As mentioned above, it is our opinion that current situations and macro news may result in heightened volatility, so it is important to trade what you see and not what you think.
Do not get fixated on your view on the market. Be ready to shift and adapt as the markets evolve on the hard right edge.
Instead of recapping and presenting a macro update today, we will shift our focus on the charts. Looking purely at price, time, volume, and key levels to create a plan for the week.
Key Levels to Watch
Key levels represent areas of interest and zones of active market participation. The more significant a key level, the closer we monitor it for potential reactions and trade setups in alignment with our trading plan.
Micro Composite Value Area High (mCVAH) January 2025 : 76.00
January 2025 mid- range: 74.96
February Monthly Open: 74.14
Micro Composite Value Area Low (mCVAL) January 2025 : 71.82
Yearly Open: 70.52
2024 Mid- Range: 70.40
Scenario 1: Rejection confirmation at January 2025 Mid
Price has attempted to push above January 2025 mid and was rejected. This was a key level of interest to validate longs in our last week’s trade plan. Rejection of this level and price now below monthly open. There is room for prices to shift lower towards mcVAL Jan 2025 and test of key bull support at yearly open and 2024 mid range.
Scenario 2: mcVAL 2025 to act as intermediate support
If we see this level hold, in our opinion, Crude oil may be establishing a new range capped within mcVAH and mcVAL Jan 2025 until we see a break of either side. That said, intra day volatility may increase with headline news impacting prices.
As always it is paramount to manage your risk as losses are an inherent part of trading.
What are you focusing on amid all the headline news? We'd love to hear your thoughts!
EURUSD - The price can go down to the range of 1.02921Given the Bearish OF on the higher time frames, Fractal CHoCH in the daily time frame, as well as the formation of a bearish movement on the 15-minute time frame, I predict the price to decline to the level of 1.02921.
supports: 1.02800, 1.02313
resistances: 1.04793, 0.05200
GBPCAD LONG Market structure bullish on HTFs 3
Entry at both Daily and Weekly
Weekly rejection at AOi
Previous Weekly Structure Point
Daily Rejection At AOi
Previous Daily Structure Point
Around psychological Level 1.80000
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
Levels 6.85
Entry 105%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King