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Multiple Time Frame Analysis

XAU/USD 18 December 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis/Intraday expectation remains the same as analysis dated 16 December 2024. Price is clearly unable to target weak internal. This is due to the fact that Daily and Weekly Timeframe remain in bearish pullback phase. Price Action Analysis: Technically price is to target weak internal priced at 2,721.420. Price has sweeped liquidity, for two possible reasons. 1. To assist price to complete bearish pullback phase, react at either discount of internal 50% or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high. 2. To assist Daily and H4 TF's to complete bearish pullback phase with price to print a bearish iBOS and target strong internal low priced at 2,536.855. Intraday Expectation: Intraday expectation and alternative scenario as per points 1 and 2. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bearish. Price Action Analysis: I have been mapping systematically. Since last analysis, price has been printing erratically, printing a bearish iBOS, followed by a double bullish iBOS and most recently a bearish iBOS. Price is trading within an established internal structure. Intraday Expectation: Price is currently trading at premium of internal 50% EQ and has minimally tapped in to M15 supply zone. Price is expected to target weak internal low priced at 2,642.830 Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
GBP/USD Short bias - Targeting Last week's low.The GBP/USD pair saw a bullish trend yesterday following better-than-expected claimant data. However, today's inflation rate increase to 2.6% from 2.3% has put pressure on the pound With the Federal Reserve expected to lower rates later. Following the bullish Monday and Tuesday days, this means might just show price opened and rallied above last week's close and might now be distributing lower. The pair saw Asian highs and lows taken out, leaving a sell-side imbalance in the 1-minute timeframe. With the short bias identified, this creates a near-perfect entry targeting sell-side liquidity on previous weekly lows and partials along the road. Bias: Short Entry: 1.27070 Targets: Previous weekly lows
Short
by hskarue
1
When is altcoin season?When examining the “ CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS.D ” 12-monthly chart, a clear pattern emerges for altcoin seasons. We observe three years of downward ▼ momentum and consolidation, followed by a year or more of upward ▲ momentum. This pattern could be attributed to market cycles and investor behavior, where extended periods of consolidation are followed by explosive growth. During the consolidation phase, prices stabilize, creating a base for future gains. Once market sentiment shifts, upward momentum takes over, often leading to significant price increases. In previous cycles, we noticed that the altcoin season typically starts after major market cycles. For example, the 2017 altcoin season followed the 2016 cycle, and the 2021 altcoin season followed the 2020 cycle. When zoomed in on the monthly chart, both the 2017 and 2021 altcoin seasons started in January. This consistent timing suggests that the next altcoin season could commence in January 2025. However, there has already been a bullish candle close in November, which could indicate a shift in the pattern. If December also closes bullish, we might see a two-month variance in the current cycle. By examining fractals from past cycles, we can attempt to predict where the current altcoin season might peak. The 2017 fractal indicates a duration of 151 days, with dominance potentially reaching 22% around May or June 2025. In contrast, the 2021 fractal suggests a longer cycle of 365 days, with dominance peaking at approximately 24.5% around December 2025 or January 2026. All charts 📈 indicate that the bottom is in, and all dips are opportunities for buying. Next year's growth looks incredibly promising. 🚀 What do you think? Will the 2024/2025 Altcoin cycle follow the same pattern, or will we see a deviation?
CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS.DLong
by azad.motala
BTCUSDT. Where to expect the buyer’s resumption?Hey traders and investors! On the 4-hour timeframe, there is a sideways range. The lower boundary is 90,500, and the upper boundary is 104,088. The buyer effectively broke out above the upper boundary in the 12-13 vector. The seller returned the price to the range, and the buyer resumed from the 103,333 level, forming a test level. Below this test level is the buyer’s zone (green rectangle on the chart, upper boundary of the zone is 102,540). If the buyer does not defend the 103,333 test level, the next buyer resurgence is possible from the buyer’s zone, most likely in the 100,500-102,000 range. The third possible place for a buyer’s resurgence is around 50% of the last buyer’s impulse: 98,574 on the 4-hour timeframe and 99,426.5 on the daily timeframe. Considering the three buyer interest zones and the buyer's trend on the daily timeframe, searching for sell opportunities based on the 13-14 vector within the sideways range, with a potential target of 94,150 (90,500), is risky. I wish you profitable trades.
by AlexeyWolf
EurNzd could rise to 1.85On October 1st, EUR/NZD reached a local low at the psychological level of 1.75, followed by a reversal that lasted until November 1st, gaining nearly 1300 pips. A normal correction then occurred, and from mid-November, the pair started consolidating between the 1.78 and 1.80 levels. December brought a breakout above the key 1.80 level, and since then, EUR/NZD has been in a nice uptrend. As of now, the price is 1.8230, and it looks like a breakout above resistance is imminent. In this scenario, the next target for the bulls is the 1.85 level.
Long
by Mihai_Iacob
Profitable SMC Smart MoneyConcept Strategy Explained I will teach you how to trade liquidity grab, a trap, inducement, order block and imbalance. I will share with you my Smart Money Concept strategy for trading forex & gold. We will study a real SMC trading setup that I took on a live stream with my students. Trend Analysis With Structure Mapping The first step in our trading strategy will be the analysis of a market trend on a daily time frame with structure mapping. Analyzing GBPNZD on a daily time frame, we can see that the conditions for a bullish trend are met. Liquidity Zones Analysis The second step will be to find liquidity - supply and demand zones on a daily time frame. According to our rules, here are 3 liquidity zones that I spotted on GBPNZD. We see 2 demand zones and 1 supply zone. Test of Liquidity Zone The third step will be to wait for a test of a liquidity zone. And on that step, we should remember an important rule: We will wait only for a test of a liquidity zone that ALIGN with the market trend. It means that we will wait for a test of a demand zone in a bullish trend. We will wait for a test of a supply zone in a bearish trend. The only demand zones that meets these criteria on GBPNZD is Demand Zone 1. It aligns with a bullish trend. We don't consider Demand Zone 2, because a bearish violation of a Demand Zone 1 will be a Change of Character and a violation of a bearish trend. And here is how a test of a liquidity zone should look like. The price should simply reach that. Liquidity Grab & Imbalance After we identified a test of a significant liquidity zone that aligns with a market trend, we will start analyzing lower time frames. We will look for a liquidity grab, order block and imbalance on 4H and 1H time frames. Here is a liquidity grab that is confirmed by a bullish imbalance. We see a false violation of a liquidity zone, followed by a high momentum bullish candle. It will be our strong bullish signal. Order Block Zone In order to identify the entry point, the next step will be to identify the order block zone. According to our rules, here is the order block zone on a 4H time frame. Entry Level Our entry level will be the level of the upper boundary of the order block zone. Here is such a level on GBPNZD. A buy limit order should be set on that level. Please, note that in that particular case we don't need a 1H time frame analysis, because we have a confirmation signal on a 4H time frame. We will analyse an hourly time frame only when THERE IS NO SIGNAL on a 4H time frame. Stop Loss & Take Profit Safe stop loss should be below the lowest low of a bearish movement. To safely calculate a stop loss in pips for the trade, simply take 0.5 ATR - Average True Range. For Average True Range indicator , take the default settings - 14 length. Here is a safe stop loss level on GBPNZD. ATR is 55 pips. Our stop loss for the trade is 28 pips. Take profit for the trade will be based on the closest 4H liquidity - supply zone. That is the closest supply zone that I spotted on GBPNZD on a 4H time frame. Your target level should be a couple of pips below a supply zone. Look how perfectly the market reached the target! As you can see, that trading strategy is quite complex and combines different important elements. But what I like about this SMC trading strategy is that it truly makes sense. The intentions of Smart Money are crystal clear here and the trade execution rules are straight forward. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
FX:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
5
Stock Of The Day / 12.17.24 / NUKK12.17.2024 / NASDAQ:NUKK Fundamentals. Acquisition of a controlling stake in Star 26. Technical analysis. Daily chart: Accumulation during 2024. Premarket: Gap Up by more than 100% on increased volume. We mark the premarket high at 3.88. Trading session: An attempt to go below 2.00 at the beginning of the session was unsuccessful and the price makes a clear retest of the 3.88 level on increasing volume. Then there is a shallow pullback and a breakout at 10:27 a.m. with an increase in volume. After the breakout, we observe a decrease in volume on the return movement to the level and its holding. We are considering a long trade to continue the upward movement. Trading scenario: breakout with retest of level 3.88 Entry: 4.15 on the growth of volumes after the retest and holding of level 3.88 Stop: 3.73 we hide it behind the tails of the trade range above the level. Exit: Close part of the position around 12.00 when signs of weakness of the uptrend is appear. Close the rest of the position around 9.84 after an unsuccessful attempt to update higher low. Risk Rewards: 1/13
NASDAQ:NUKKLong
by AlexX31
XLMUSDT Short Idea - Struggling to Maintain Bullish MomentumXLMUSDT has had a strong run up to ~$0.63, as have many other alts, but is now struggling to maintain that bullish momentum. Looking at a fib retracement view of the bullish push, we can see that the price action has been oscillating between the 0.5 and 0.618 fib levels and has once again been rejected off the bottom of the 0.5 level. This chart shows a lower timeframe snapshot of that price action rejection off the bottom of the 0.5 fib. From a bearish push fib retracement view, we can see that there is confluence between the 0.5 bullish fib level and the 0.618 bearish fib retracement region. We can see this level holding well and a potential rejection back down towards another bearish move. The target for this short idea is a combination of the supply order block level sitting around 0.26, and the -0.618 fib extension level of the bearish fib retracement fib. Stop placement is above the order block flip zone indicated by the yellow box. For lower timeframe traders, a tighter stop could be attempted if you watch the price action closely following a breakdown below the last point of support at 0.38.
Short
by DoryFish
4
Order in to buy $MOVEUSD @ 0.6101COINBASE:MOVEUSD Ladies and gentlemen, I've been compiling a watchlist all day, no time to make any videos yet though I've had some requests, I'll get to it ASAP, first I have to pay my bills... Right now at 3:36 PM Eastern standard time I have placed an order to buy a whole bunch of COINBASE:MOVEUSD at $.61, and I plan to sell in the very short term @.6714, possibly .66 depending on apparent momentum. Likewise, if price direction is a slow and steady increase, it may not produce rapid expansion until higher in which case I'll try to take advantage of that… But the very least will be roughly 61 to 66. Which is about 8%, a nice little afternoon for me. It appears to be moving upward now, but I am anticipating a little wick down to hopefully fill this order before rapidly recovering its current price. If it doesn't, it doesn't, I have dozens of others I'm lining up. But the nature of these things is to test departure levels at least once before moving on - the initial run is usually not all there is in whatever timeframe you're looking at. I want opportunities that appear unlikely. I look at dozens of charts and set alerts at unlikely but hardly impossible retracements and if they don't happen, that's fine, but if they do, and they very often do, it presents a much lower risk and a higher return.
COINBASE:MOVEUSDLong
by Hollywood260AB