Multiple Time Frame Analysis
Market is currently in balanceAccording to my pure technical analysis the market is in a balance with no overall control of buyers or sellers. The best move would be to wait until one of the bears or bulls show significant control
If the market breaks above the Higher High then we can assume that buyers have overcome sellers and are now in control and are pushing the price high(We can buy). If the market breaks below the Solid low then we can sell the market because sellers are in control. For now the market is neutral it's best for Day traders to stay away
ASX 200 Futures: Finding a Signal Amid the NoiseWe're sandwiched between an incoming NFP report and the turbulence from Trump's tariffs. That could provide a double dose of 'fickle' price action, which we tend to see leading up to big events such as nonfarm payrolls or Fed meetings. With that in mind, I update my bearish bias on ASX 200 futures, using the intraday timeframe and a glance at Wall Street indices.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
USD/JPY: Dips below 154 have been short livedThis is a quick and simple setup based around the assumption that support will continue to hold for USD/JPY.
The market found support at a high-volume node (HVN) last week. And each time the market has either tested or traded beneath the 154 handle, it has been accompanied by heavier volumes and a subsequent move higher. This suggests bears have been burned trying to short at the cycle lows and then forced to capitulate.
Given we're in the Asian session with no top-tier calendar events, and for now at least Trump's tariff headlines are in the rear-view mirror, we're looking for another bounce from / false break of the 154 handle.
As this is simply a mean-reversion setup, we're not looking for a home run.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
EURUSD 5 Feb 2025 W6 - Intraday Analysis - EU PPI - US ADP/PMIThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 5 Feb 2025 W6 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following:
Market Sentiment
4H Chart Analysis
15m Chart Analysis
Market Sentiment
Investors remain cautious but are gradually finding footing after recent bouts of volatility linked to aggressive trade measures and policy uncertainty. The sentiment can best be described as a mix of risk aversion amid global trade tensions and a tentative willingness to engage as economic data remains broadly resilient.
The U.S. dollar has experienced modest strength but remains under pressure due to the broader uncertainty in trade dynamics and the potential for escalating tariffs, particularly from ongoing actions against major trade partners even with pause of tariffs on Canada and Mexico. The target is Europe.
Federal Reserve Outlook:
While the recent policy stance has been one of a pause, the Fed is expected to continue monitoring inflationary trends closely. Any future adjustments to monetary policy are likely to be data-dependent, with the current sentiment suggesting that policymakers will remain cautious amid trade-induced uncertainties.
4H Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bullish
🔹INT Bearish
🔹Reached Swing Extreme Demand
🔹Swing Continuation
2️⃣
🔹With the Bearish iBOS, price confirmed the Swing pullback phase.
🔹We reached the Swing extreme demand which triggered a V-shape reaction indicating the bullish continuation.
🔹Price is currently targeting the liquidity (CHoCH) at 1.04342 (15m Swing High).
3️⃣
🔹Expectations is set to continue Bullish for the Bullish 4H Swing Continuation after reaching the Swing Extreme Demand.
15m Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bearish
🔹INT Bullish
🔹Swing Pullback
2️⃣
🔹Swing turned bearish signaling the 4H/Daily bearish continuation.
🔹After a BOS we expect a Pullback, price pulled back with series of Bullish INT structures reaching the 4H Supply and the 15m Swing extreme.
🔹While the 4H Swing Structure is Bullish, 15m Swing still Bearish.
3️⃣
🔹Expectations is set to continue bullish to sweep the 4H liquidity (Forming a Bullish
“Waiting for 30M CHoch flip to Confirm Bullish bias”“Waiting for 30M CHoCH Flip to Confirm Bullish Bias”
I’m closely monitoring EUR/USD on the 30-minute timeframe. The price is sitting in a 4H demand zone/order block, and I’m waiting for a clear CHoCH (Change of Character) on the 30-minute chart to confirm bullish intent.
For a broader view, I’ve posted the 4H chart in my latest post, showing the demand zone and its significance to this setup.
Key Levels:
• 4H Demand Zone: Strong area of interest for bullish setups.
• Next Steps: Wait for CHoCH confirmation and refine the entry.
Patience is key in setups like these. Let’s see how this plays out!
Bless Trading!
GBP/USD - Long PositionHi all..
If you have been following my updates on this pair you may have been catching a few nice setups. I did in fact catch this previous impulse move which was predicted from that marked Demand zone..
What we have no though is a new trading range. This is quite an interesting range to try to breakdown as we don't really have many level to actually buy from.
All the potential levels found are all from very low TF which suggest they all possibly could be weak levels to buy from.
The only try level I currently see to buy from is the level right at the top where my first Demand zone is sitting, this is my safest Demand due to "true" market consolidation which occurs before the next impulse movement.
Its potential that the move we have seen actually isn't finished which is why i believe this range could be a good area to buy from.
for me personally its not enough confluence to set a trade idea as it doesn't meet my plan.
This is not financial advice.. Good luck to all the traders that decide to follow
Long trade
1Hr TF
Reason: Following recent sellside trade signalled (observing RED K Everrex indicator) the end of the downtrend and sellside momentum for this event indicative of a buyside trade.
Buyside trade
Sun 2nd Feb 25
Tokyo Session AM
9.00 am (NY Time)
Entry 2356.48
Profit level 2871.41 (21.85%)
Stop level 2341.42 (0.76%)
RR 28.62
ANOTHER MAKE or BREAK area for NIFTY…?NIFTY has rallied over 1000++ points from our demand zone and has now reached another MAKE or BREAK level trendline which has been acting as a crucial zone hence we may see rejection around this trendline if opens flat but will eventually breakout for new highs so plan your trades accordingly.
600% falling wedge extension for VARA Network?On the above 4 day chart price action has corrected 90%. A number of reasons now exist for long entries, they include:
1) Price action and RSI resistance breakouts.
2) Support and resistance. Past resistance confirms support.
3) Point no. 2 confirms a “double bottom” in price action.
4) Notice the 4 day hammer candle?
5) The falling wedge confirmation forecasts a 600% move in price action.
Is it possible sellers keep selling? Sure, I hear their supplies are endless.
Is it probable? No.
Ww
Type: trade
Risk: small, tiny market cap.
Timeframe for long: Now
Return: 600%
XAU/USD 04 February 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Previous analysis was met with price targeting weak internal high, priced at 2,817.215.
Price has printed a further bullish iBOS.
CHoCH positioning and internal low are the same level.
Price is trading within an internal low and fractal high.
Should price trade down to discount of 50% EQ, I would be happy to mark internal high.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bearish to either discount of 50% EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,830.755.
Price could also continue bullish to bring CHoCH positioning closer to recent price action.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Yesterday's intraday expectation was met with price targeting weak internal high priced at 2,817.215
Price has printed a further bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH to indicate, buit not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range, however, I will continue to monitor price.
Intraday Expectation:
Price is expected to continue bearish to either discount of 50% EQ, or M15 demand zone, before targeting weak internal high, priced at 2,830.755
Alternative scenario:
As H4 remains in bearish pullback phase, it would be viable to consider price targeting strong internal low, priced at 2,722.215.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
GOLD SEEMS TO SELL CORRECTION
Hello Traders, here is the full analysis for this pair,
let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions,
the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be
satisfied. I suggest you keep this pair on your watch list and see if
the rules of your strategy are satisfied.
Dear Traders,
If you like this idea, do not forget to support it with a like and follow.
PLZ! LIKE COMMAND AND SUBSCRIBE
Long trade
15min TF overview
Buyside Trade
Pair: ETHUSDT
Date: Sunday, 2nd February 2025
Session: NY Session AM (9:00 PM)
Trade Details:
Entry: 2385.65
Profit Level: 3079.23 (+29.07%)
Stop Level: 2359.51 (-1.01%)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 55.72
Reasoning: Following the Wyckoff narrative, observing a thermal shakeout (long wick) alongside a selling climax helped confirm the directional bias for the buyside trade.
Long trade
15min TF overview
Buyside trade
Mon 3rd Feb 25
NY Session AM
1. 45 pm
Entry 0.000015682
Profit level 0.000018691 (19.19%)
Stop level 0.000015628 (0.34%)
RR 55.72
Reason: Observing the full structure of SHIB and incorporating the Wyckoff narrative—specifically Phase A (Selling Climax) and Phase B (Secondary Retest)—was pivotal in mapping directional bias for the buyside trade.
USD/CAD got absolutely 'hammered' on MondayTrump's trade negotiations provided USD/CAD with its most volatile daily range since the height of the Pandemic. Yet the surprise announcement that Trump is pausing Canada's tariffs for 30 days saw prices reverse sharply lower, to close the day with an elongated bearish hammer.
Does that pave the way for an immediate reversal lower? Not necessarily. Using price action and market position, I explain why.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
GBP/USD - Trade SetupHi all, I predicted that last move literally to the PIP perfectly, you can check out that post on my page.
Im now looking to make my next move.
I will break this down in a fast and simple terms as I have already broken this paid down from Top Down Analysis.
First 4H CHoCH has been showing taking out the previous swing high.
Then then saw a slight pullback with some consolidation before pushing into our TP.
Our next two entry setups are a 4HR Discount zone which is my preferred zone after taking that imbalance on both the 1H and the 4H. That mitigation zone looks very strong.
We have Identified the new swing range from the 4H view. Id like to see this pullback have some slower price action especially around that 1H Mitigation Block before looking to Buy as we are currently respecting a strong Unmitigated Supply zone. I personally believe this Trend Line will break giving us a lot of institutional volume with buyers Demand.
Good luck to the traders that decide to follow and remember to trade with strict risk management.
Bitcoin's Bullish Momentum Holding Strong
Bitcoin has reached the $94,500 entry point outlined in the previous idea and showed a strong bullish reaction. This confirms the level as an area of interest. However, there is strong potential for price to revisit $94,500 once more, presenting a great buying opportunity for the next leg up.
As long as market conditions align, we can look for confirmations to target $126,500. Patience remains key, but the setup is developing well.
Will Bitcoin offer another perfect entry before continuing its bullish breakout?
🔗 Check the original idea: