Multiple Time Frame Analysis
XAU/USD 03 March 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 28 February 2025.
Price has printed a bearish iBOS as per alternative scenario mentioned over the last few weeks.
Price is now trading within an internal high and fractal low.
Bullish CHoCH positioning is marked with a blue dotted line.
Intraday Expectation:
Await for price to indicate bullish pullback phase initiation by printing a bullish CHoCH.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
As mentioned in my analysis dated 28 February 2025, whereby price printed a bullish CHoCH but stated I would continue to monitor price.
On this occasion I have marked the previous bullish CHoCH in red as price did not pull back deeply enough to warrant internal structure breaks, additionally, there was minimal time spent .
Price has printed a further bullish CHoCH which is now confirmed. Price is not trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bullish, react at either premium of internal 50% EQ, or M15 supply zone before targeting weak internal low priced at 2,832.720.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
Bitcoin - Bitcoin, waiting for another decline?!Bitcoin is located between the EMA50 and EMA200 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its descending channel. Bitcoin's downward correction and its placement in the demand zone will provide us with the opportunity to buy it again. It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and compliance with capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important. If the downward trend continues, we can buy in the demand range.
Donald Trump has issued an executive order on digital assets, directing the Presidential Task Force to move toward establishing a strategic cryptocurrency reserve that will include XRP, SOL, and ADA. He emphasized, “I will ensure that the United States becomes the cryptocurrency capital of the world.” Trump further added, “We are making America great again!”
He also highlighted Bitcoin and Ethereum as other valuable digital assets that will be central to this reserve, stating, “I love Bitcoin and Ethereum!” Following this announcement, Bitcoin responded positively to the news of the executive order.
On February 28, BlackRock made headlines after Bitcoin (BTC) dropped below $80,000. Amid speculation, some claimed that the company had sold $500 million worth of Bitcoin, playing a significant role in the price decline.
However, a closer analysis contradicts these claims. Data shows that BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) still holds 577,919 BTC. While this fund saw an outflow of 2,274 BTC on February 27 and a total of 10,595 BTC over the past week, this does not imply that BlackRock itself is selling Bitcoin.
These ETF outflows result from investors selling shares of the fund. In such scenarios, the ETF is required to sell Bitcoin proportionally to meet liquidity demands. Therefore, these movements are not directly tied to BlackRock’s own decision to offload BTC but rather reflect investor behavior.
Contrary to circulating rumors, BlackRock is not exiting Bitcoin; in fact, it has been increasing its exposure. Recent financial filings reveal that the company now holds a 5% stake in MicroStrategy (MSTR), up from 4.09% in September 2024.
Additionally, it has been announced that BlackRock plans to integrate its Bitcoin ETF into the firm’s $150 billion portfolio. This move suggests that rather than pulling out of the market, BlackRock is strengthening its position in Bitcoin-related assets.
Ultimately, this situation highlights how quickly rumors and speculation can spread during market downturns, but a detailed analysis of the data always provides a clearer picture of reality.
Meanwhile, Ronaldinho, the former Brazilian football star, has announced plans to launch his own cryptocurrency. He also warned his fans to stay vigilant against fraudulent meme coins.
NAS100 - Nasdaq, won't it go below 20k?!The index is below the EMA200 and EMA50 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its medium-term ascending channel. If the index rises towards the suggested zones, we can look for the next Nasdaq sell-off.
The composition of investors’ financial assets from 1990 to 2025 reveals shifts in the allocation of equities, bonds, and cash. Currently, the share of equities in investment portfolios has reached an all-time high of 54%, indicating a growing preference for the stock market among investors.
Conversely, the share of bonds and cash has declined to 18% and 13%, respectively, suggesting reduced interest in holding fixed-income assets and liquidity. At present, more than half of investors’ financial assets are concentrated in equities, which could reflect optimism about the market’s future growth.
This situation calls for increased caution from the Federal Reserve and the Trump administration, as a significant portion of American households’ surplus income is now directed toward stocks. As a result, any downturn in the U.S. stock market could have more severe consequences for the public than before.
Scott Bassett, the U.S. Treasury Secretary, responded to a recent survey indicating that Americans want President Donald Trump to focus more on reducing inflation. He stated that he is confident consumer price inflation in the United States will decline throughout the year.
In an interview with CBS and Face the Nation, Bassett defended Trump’s economic policies, emphasizing that the president is pursuing a comprehensive approach that includes tariffs, deregulation, and a gradual reduction in energy costs.
Meanwhile, following weaker-than-expected preliminary Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) data for February and a decline in the University of Michigan’s Consumer Sentiment Index, investors are now pricing in approximately 60 basis points of rate cuts by the Federal Reserve for this year. This projection is 10 basis points higher than the forecasts from the December dot plot.
Market pricing indicates that traders still expect the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates in June, particularly after the release of Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) data. However, with Trump ramping up tariff threats against key U.S. trading partners such as China, Canada, and Mexico, outlining a clear economic roadmap has become more challenging. Tariff impositions pose a serious risk of reigniting inflation, prompting many Federal Reserve officials who have recently expressed their views to adopt a “wait and see” approach.
This week, market attention will once again turn to employment data, as investors eagerly anticipate the release of the February Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report. Other key events include the preliminary Consumer Price Index (CPI) estimates for the Eurozone and the ISM U.S. Manufacturing PMI on Monday, the ADP Employment Report and ISM Services PMI on Wednesday, and the weekly jobless claims data on Thursday. Additionally, the European Central Bank’s monetary policy decision on Thursday will be closely watched, with economists expecting another interest rate cut.
Following the trend on Xauusd with daily support zonetaking a look at the market today without any prior bias but as a trader, the first step is identifying your Point of interest which is the "support/resistance" zones in the market. I have identified the support and resistance I see on the daily timeframe in this 10 mins video for you guys here and we'll be expecting a bounce up from there. Happy Trading week to you guys!
PS: Please work with risk management as not to loose all your money
GBPUSD LONGOn the Daily Timeframe, price moved out from an Area of interest and and might be seeking the next area of value due to the lower timeframe of Price Action forming.
4H/1H - Price is trading around the base of an ascending channel which might be signifying a possible change of lower timeframe trend. If the base hold then I'll be waiting for a M15 Flag which I will taking a RE or RRE on it.
EUR/USD: Liquidity Grab in Motion - 2H View for Precision Lining up the play on the 30M, but posting the 2H for a cleaner look—this setup is all about patience. Buy-side liquidity (BSL) needs to get swept first before I entertain any sells. Once that liquidity grab is in the bag, I’m looking to ride price down into the 4H order block (blue zone) for the real reaction.
No guessing, no forcing—just calculated execution. Let the market tip its hand first.
#Forex #EURUSD #SmartMoney #LiquiditySweep #OrderBlock #PrecisionTrading #NoFOMO
Bless Trading!
EUR/USD: Setting the Trap - 12H for ClarityZooming out to the 12H for a clearer view—bullish intent is set, but I’m not biting just yet. The real move begins once inducement gets swept and that 4H order block (blue zone) gets mitigated.
That 30M supply (red zone)? Just an internal move that needs tapping before price pushes lower into the real demand. Once that happens, I’ll be watching for my confirmation to strike.
No chasing—just precision. Let the market show its hand first.
#Forex #EURUSD #SmartMoney #Inducements #OrderBlock #TradeWithPatience
Bless Trading!
EUR/GBP: Locked in & Waiting for the Perfect FlipWe’re sitting pretty inside a refined 30M order block, but patience is key. The game plan is set—waiting on a clean CHoCH flip to confirm bullish intent.
What I Need to See:
✅ Inducement taken—weak hands swept.
✅ 30M OB mitigation—price needs to respect structure.
✅ 5M confirmation entry—once the market tips its hand, I strike.
No guessing, no forcing—just letting the market show its cards. If it all lines up, I’m catching this move with precision.
#Forex #EURGBP #SmartMoney #CHoCH #Inducements #PrecisionTrading
Bless Trading!
EUR/GBP: Smart Money at Play - Ready for the Upside?The market just did its thing—swept liquidity, induced early sellers, and now we’re parked inside a clean 4H order block. That’s where the real game begins.
Breakdown:
✅ Major HH broken, clearing minor liquidity + inducement.
✅ 4H order block in play—watching for bullish momentum.
✅ 30M TF will confirm the execution—waiting for the market to tip its hand.
No chasing, no FOMO—just precision. If the market respects structure, I’ll be taking this ride to the upside.
#Forex #EURGBP #SmartMoney #Inducements #TradeWithPatience
Bless Trading!
YM (March 2025) - End of February Analysis- Closed out this month bearish, tickling all time highs but with more uncertainty than ever before. Februarys price range closed inside the previous monthly range
- 42605 bullish monthly order block in my scopes
- Playing the short term ranges going into March is the best solution as the monthly timeframe is indecisive
NQ (March 2025) - End of February Analysis- Feb candle gapped lower, rallied and attacked January’s monthly highs before closing inside of the lower encroachment of Jan’s wick low and close. Indicates weakness
- Efficient delivery to the upside means I can rely on the last up-close candles as a PD array to expect price to support it to the upside
- Monthly bias closed bearish
ES (March 2025) - End of February Analysis- 5807 monthly bullish order block pending if we see downside movement
- 1 month FVG // BISI @ 5669 – 5724 of interest if we are to close below 5807
- Februarys high created new all-time highs but price quickly declined shortly after. Suggests short term weakness- Monthly bias was bearish as ES has closed bearish this month
ZB1! - End of February Analysis- Monthly bullish order block has held up well, supporting the bullish narrative of price drawing up to 120.00
- Monthly candle closed convincingly above the 3 month rejection block @ 117.08.
- Monthly volume imbalance rests a little higher than where the monthly buyside liquidity pool is @ 120.25 – 121.23. Buyside rests @ 120.18 and this is the draw that I am looking forward to going into this months price action
- October 2024’s monthly candle prints a SIBI and this is also a area to study. Many confluences in this area making it high probability for a bullish draw. Bullish delivery with bonds mean bearish delivery for US10Y.
- Successful projection of February's draw on liquidity
USD/JPY 30M - Let the Market Come to MePatience is the name of the game. Price has been making strong moves up, but I’m not chasing. I see the bigger play setting up.
✔️ Inducement marked – Liquidity sitting right above, waiting to get swept.
✔️ Demand Zone Locked In – 148.800-149.000 is where the real game begins.
✔️ Waiting for the Pullback – Let price dip, clear out weak hands, and show its hand before I step in.
No FOMO, no chasing—just precision. If it mitigates properly and confirms, I’ll be ready to strike. Stay sharp.
#Forex #USDJPY #SmartMoney #Inducements #TradeWithPatience
Bless Trading!