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Multiple Time Frame Analysis

Brent - Peace returned to the Middle East?!Brent oil is above EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4-hour time frame and is moving in its upward channel. On the ceiling of the ascending channel, we will look for oil selling positions. In case of a valid break of the $80 range, we can see the continuation of the downward trend. On the other hand, within the demand zone, we can buy with a suitable risk reward. Brent crude oil prices have surpassed $80 per barrel. This price increase continues to be supported by declining U.S. crude oil inventories and uncertainties surrounding Russian oil supplies following new U.S. sanctions. The International Energy Agency (IEA) has stated that the latest U.S. sanctions have the potential to significantly disrupt Russia’s energy exports. These sanctions have blacklisted over one-fifth of the tanker fleet transporting Russian oil. Last week, 160 sanctioned tankers transported over 1.6 million barrels per day of Russian oil in 2024, accounting for approximately 22% of the country’s maritime exports. However, the IEA has maintained its current outlook on Russia’s oil supply and will update it based on future developments. Meanwhile, reports indicate that Israel and Hamas have reached a ceasefire agreement, though Israel’s Prime Minister’s Office stated that details are yet to be finalized. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu thanked U.S. President-elect Donald Trump for his role in the Gaza agreement and announced plans to meet him in Washington soon. Netanyahu also expressed gratitude to U.S. President Joe Biden for aiding in the hostage agreement. A senior Hamas official confirmed the group’s commitment to the ceasefire proposed by mediators. In the oil market, attention remains focused on uncertainties surrounding Russian oil supply after the announcement of stricter U.S. sanctions. Additionally, declining U.S. crude oil inventories provide further support for prices. According to the Energy Information Administration (EIA), U.S. commercial crude oil inventories fell by 1.96 million barrels last week to under 413 million barrels, the lowest level since March 2022. This decline was primarily due to a decrease in crude oil imports by 304,000 barrels per day and an increase in exports by 1 million barrels per day. In refined products, despite a 1.6% drop in refinery utilization, gasoline and distillate inventories rose by 5.85 million barrels and 3.08 million barrels, respectively. The Colonial Pipeline, which transports about 1.5 million barrels per day of gasoline from the U.S. Gulf Coast to the East Coast, is expected to remain closed until Friday following a leak earlier this week. This has provided limited upward support to gasoline prices. The IEA and OPEC have both released their monthly oil market reports. The IEA warned that new U.S. sanctions on Russia’s energy sector could lead to supply disruptions. Additionally, the agency revised its global oil demand growth forecast upward due to colder weather in the Northern Hemisphere. The IEA estimates that global oil demand in 2024 will increase by 940,000 barrels per day, 90,000 barrels per day higher than the previous estimate. For 2025, demand is expected to grow by 1.05 million barrels per day. OPEC, in its monthly report, maintained its 2025 oil demand growth estimate at 1.45 million barrels per day. For 2026, the group’s initial forecast predicts an increase of 1.43 million barrels per day. OPEC also kept its 2025 supply growth estimate for non-OPEC+ countries unchanged at 1.11 million barrels per day and expects a similar increase for 2026. OPEC’s production in December rose slightly to 26.74 million barrels per day, while overall OPEC+ output fell by 14,000 barrels per day to 40.65 million barrels per day due to reduced production in Kazakhstan. OPEC data indicates that demand for OPEC+ crude in 2025 will reach 42.5 million barrels per day and rise to 42.7 million barrels per day in 2026. Iraq’s Oil Minister Hayan Abdul-Ghani told Reuters that Iraq plans to sign a major oil and gas deal in Kirkuk with BP by early February. He noted that this deal will surpass the scale of the major 2023 agreement with TotalEnergies.
BLACKBULL:BRENTLong
by Ali_PSND
USDCAD - which direction will the Canadian dollar go?The USDCAD currency pair is above the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4-hour timeframe and is moving within the range. The correction of this currency pair towards the demand zone will provide us with the next buying position. The upward movement of this currency pair will make its selling positions attractive. Canada has initiated efforts to mitigate the economic impacts of new U.S. tariffs. These measures include the creation of a critical minerals management unit and defense procurement activities. Prime Minister Justin Trudeau emphasized that Canada would respond firmly and decisively if the U.S. imposes tariffs. Bloomberg reported that Canada is prepared to impose tariffs on $105 billion worth of American goods should the U.S. act first. Quebec’s Premier stated that no official announcements about retaliatory actions would be made until Trump’s plans are clearer, but no options are off the table. Ontario’s Premier added that any retaliatory measures against the U.S. must be stringent. Donald Trump, the U.S. President-elect, campaigned on promises such as imposing heavy import tariffs, tightening immigration policies, reducing regulations, and downsizing the government.However, the economy he is set to oversee may require a different approach from the policies implemented in 2017. Currently, the U.S. economy is growing at an above-average pace, unemployment is near full employment, and inflationary pressures remain significant. This suggests that the U.S. economy might not need fiscal stimulus measures like tax cuts. Furthermore, high asset valuations and rising bond yields could expose the economy to sharper corrections. When Trump took office in 2017, the U.S. economy was still recovering from the 2007-2009 financial crisis. Policies such as tax cuts and import tariffs had varying impacts then. However, today, inflation remains above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target, mortgage rates are near 7%, and government bond yields are close to 5%. These rising yields may reflect market concerns about inflation control and America’s fiscal discipline. In a recent Reuters survey, 25 out of 31 economists predicted that the Bank of Canada would cut interest rates by 0.25% at its January 29 meeting, while the remaining six expected rates to stay unchanged. Gravelle, Deputy Governor of the Bank of Canada, stated that quantitative tightening (QT) is expected to conclude in the first half of 2025. He noted that ending QT would require settlement balances to rise to a range of CAD 50-70 billion, up from the previous estimate of CAD 20-60 billion. Treasury bond purchases are set to commence in the last quarter of this year, initially in small volumes. Following the release of recent data, projections for real personal consumption expenditures in Q4 have risen from 3.3% to 3.7%, while real government spending growth for the same period increased from 2.9% to 3%. However, forecasts for real private domestic investment growth have been revised downward from -0.4% to -0.8%. In its updated forecast, Wells Fargo indicated that the Federal Reserve would cut interest rates twice this year by 0.25%, once in September and again in December. Previously, three rate cuts were anticipated for the year.
Short
by Ali_PSND
USD/JPY begins to unravelUSD/JPY has fallen nearly -2% in two days, and the required central bank divergence between the Fed and BOJ appears to be returning, which could see prices much lower from here. Prices are close to reaching my bearish target at the monthly pivot point (154.60) outlined in yesterday's video, and prices are less than a day's trading-range away from it. Perhaps it can tag that key level today. However, with a bullish RSI (2) divergence on the daily chart, and the 50-day SMA nearby, bears may want to remain nimble. Still, if we see a bounce from the monthly pivot, bears could seek to fade into minor rallies within Thursday's range in anticipation of a move down towards the 1534 handle. Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
Short
by CityIndex
Stock Of The Day / 01.16.25 / LRCX01.16.2025 / NASDAQ:LRCX #LRCX Fundamentals. Positive news background in the semiconductor chip manufacturing sector. Technical analysis. Daily chart: Exit upwards from a wide range with the upper limit of 79.36, formed on October 25, 2024 and confirmed by several touches of the level. Premarket: Gap Up on moderate volume. Trading session: The price formed a tightening to the level 79.36 after the opening of the session. We consider a long trade to continue the upward movement when the tightening is formed along the trend. Trading scenario: breakout (tightening) of the level 79.36 Entry: 79.67 after the breakout and retest. A more conservative entry is possible at the exit upwards from the trade range above the level. Stop: 79.31, we hide it below the level 79.36. Exit: Close part of the position at 82.15 when a trading range forms under the level of 82.50 and an unsuccessful attempt to break through it. Close the remaining part of the position at a price of 81.79 when the structure of the uptrend is broken. Risk Rewards: 1/6 P.S. In order to understand the idea of the Stock Of The Day analysis, please read the following information .
NASDAQ:LRCXLong
by AlexX31
Bitcoin - Weekly Forecast - Technical Analysis & Trading IdeasMidterm forecast: 73777.00 is a major support, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be uptrend. Technical analysis: A trough is formed in daily chart at 88963.75 on 01/13/2025, so more gains to resistance(s) 102643.85, 108293.92, 110000.00 and more heights is expected. Take Profits: 99607.07 102643.85 108293.92 110000.00 115000.00 118110.67 120000.00 125000.00 130000.00 134142.91 Total Profit: 5567500 point (55%) Closed trade(s): 506200 point Profit Open trade(s): 5061300 point Profit Trade Setup: We opened 11 BUY trades @ 94545.07 based on 'Hammer' entry method at 2025-01-13. Closed Profit: TP1 @ 99607.07 touched at 2025-01-15 with 506200 point Profit. (5%) Open Profit: Profit for one BUY trade is 99606.37(current price) - 94545.07(open price) = 506130 point (5%) 10 trade(s) still open, therefore total profit for open trade(s) is 506130 (5%) x 10 = 5061300 point (50%)
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by ForecastCity
25
GBP/JPY Bears in Control: Here’s Why You Can’t Miss This SetupWhat’s going on, everyone? It’s January 16, 2025, and we’re back with an update on GBP/JPY. Let’s dive right into the action. In this update, we’re reviewing the trade we entered midweek and breaking down why we’re still bearish on the pound versus the yen. We’re seeing lower highs consistently forming on the higher timeframes, and volume suggests that the bears are firmly in control. While the 190.05 area remains a key level for a potential weekly breakdown, we’ve already locked in 164 pips on our first take profit from the earlier trade. Reentries were strategically placed based on CPI reactions and pullback confirmations. Targets remain set at 188.93, 188.01, and a possible extension to 187.19 if the momentum holds. With consistent lower lows and lower highs on the H1 and H4 timeframes, this trade is shaping up beautifully for those who stayed disciplined and followed the setup. This isn’t just about signals—it’s about understanding the why behind the trades and using volume and structure to guide the way. Want to see the exact setups, volume plays, and key levels? Watch now to catch the breakdown in detail, and don’t miss the live trade results, including a $17,000 GJ win we just closed! Make sure to boost, follow, and share this with your fellow traders!
Short
by BlueOceanFxAcademy
2
Miracle.xyz " Ripple on Fire "hello there in this chart we have some patters that happend before many Long postions Entries that happend in chart I recently used this strategi to combine some smart money and price actions and classic patters togheter and got some points Consider that its not a funantial advice and you are all responsible for your actions My analysis in this Crypto is Open while we got Stop lost or Take Profits more than 91% winrate Live in TradingViw Dont lose next Analysis #TradeWithMky #Miracle.xyz Miracle STRONG BULLISH MOVEMENT COMMING SOON
Long
by TradeWithMky
XAU/USD 16 January 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis/Intraday expectation remains the same as analysis dated 16 December 2024. Price is clearly unable to target weak internal. This is due to the fact that Daily and Weekly Timeframe remain in bearish pullback phase. Price Action Analysis: Technically price is to target weak internal priced at 2,721.420. Price has sweeped liquidity, for two possible reasons. 1. To assist price to complete bearish pullback phase, react at either discount of internal 50% or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high. 2. To assist Weekly and Daily TF's to complete bearish pullback phase with price to print a bearish iBOS and target strong internal low priced at 2,536.855. Intraday Expectation: Intraday expectation and alternative scenario as per points 1 and 2. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price Action Analysis: Recent Intraday expectation was not met with price failing to target weak internal low, by printing a bullish iBOS. It would be noteworthy to remember that H4 and Daily TF internal structure is bullish. Price has printed a bearish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. Price seems to be targeting weak internal high, which, in my view, is premature, however, I will remain structured in my approach. At the time of preparing analysis M15 candle remains open. Intraday Expectation: Price has yet to trade in to discount of internal 50% EQ or M15 demand zone. Expectation is for price to target weak internal high, priced at 2,702.260 Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK