XAU/USD - Bullish Setup in Progress Gold looking ripe, just waiting for the perfect strike.
4H:
Bullish momentum is clear, but no liquidity sweep or order block mitigation yet — patience is key.
30M:
Structure still holding bullish. IDM liquidity already taken out. Now it’s all about that order block tap.
5M:
Once price hits the order block, I’ll be locked in, waiting for that CHoCH flip and liquidity entry to ride gold’s move up. Timing is everything.
Bless Trading!
Multiple Time Frame Analysis
EUR/GBP - Bullish Momentum Locked InPlaying the continuation smart and precise.
4H:
Liquidity already taken out, and price has mitigated the order block, setting up for that clean push to the highs.
30M:
Structure stays bullish — liquidity swept, mitigation respected at the refined order block, and demand holding strong. Bulls still in control.
5M:
Now it’s all about timing. Waiting for that CHoCH flip and liquidity entry to ride this wave higher. Let’s make it count.
Bless Trading!
USD/JPY - Precision Play on SMC FoundationsLocked in on this one from top-down analysis.
4H:
Price swept IDM liquidity and is now mitigating a clean 4H order block — textbook SMC move.
30M:
Waited for liquidity to be taken out here too, and price didn’t disappoint. It struck my refined 30M order block perfectly, showing respect to structure and order flow.
5M:
Now it’s time for patience. Waiting for that CHoCH flip and liquidity grab to confirm my entry. Once that trigger hits, I’m in. Let’s run it.
Bless Trading!
Gold - Fundamentals And Technicals Are Pointing To The UpsideAnother week of continuation in bullish price action and Gold managed to book new all-time highs @ $2,942 per oz.
Many investors and traders are speculating the price of Gold by the end of the year could reach $3,000 but I believe our dreams may come true sooner than expected.
Expect short term retracements to immediate imbalances in price action on the daily timeframe but in the grand scheme of things, It's up up and up!
Long Trade
30min TF overview
Buyside Trade
Pair: NZDUSD
Date: Friday, 13th February 2025
Time: 8:30 PM (NY Time)
Session: NY to London Session PM
Trade Details:
Entry: 0.57188
Profit Level: 0.58820 (+2.85%)
Stop Level: 0.56837 (-0.61%)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 4.65
Reson's Buyside trade is based on a bullish market structure, liquidity grabs, and demand zone reactions, for this buyside trade idea.
Gold (XAU/USD) - Double Top Formation & Potential Bearish MoveGold (XAU/USD) has formed a double-top pattern at a key resistance zone around $2943, aligning with a bearish engulfing candlestick on the daily timeframe. This suggests a possible shift in momentum from bullish to bearish.
The price is currently retracing into a potential sell zone, where a rejection could lead to further downside movement. The fixed range volume profile and market structure indicate that sellers may step in, pushing the price lower towards key demand areas.
🔹 Key Technical Highlights:
Double Top Resistance: $2943
Bearish Engulfing on Daily TF 📉
Break of Structure (BOS) on lower timeframes
Potential Retracement Zone: If price fails to reclaim resistance, further downside is expected.
Target Areas: First key support around $2850, with a deeper target near $2780 - $2760.
Trading Plan:
📍 Look for bearish confirmation signals around the retracement zone for short opportunities. If price decisively breaks above $2950, reassess the bearish bias.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own analysis and risk management before taking any trades. 🚀
#XAUUSD #Gold #Forex #PriceAction #SmartMoneyConcepts
Long trade
1Hr TF Overview
Buyside Trade
Pair: EURGBP
Date: Thursday, 13th February 2025
Time: 5:00 PM (NY Time)
Session: London to NY Session PM
Trade Details:
Entry: 0.83237
Profit Level: 0.83538 (+0.36%)
Stop Level: 0.83086 (-0.18%)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 1.99
This buyside trade is based on a multi-timeframe approach, aligning structure across the 1H, 4H, and daily timeframes to confirm bullish momentum.
Timeframe Breakdown:
1H Timeframe: Entry confirmation based on price action signals, involving a break of structure (BOS)and or retest of a demand zone.
4H Timeframe: Provides higher timeframe context, showing a shift in market structure favouring upside movement.
Daily Structure: Ensures that the trade aligns with overall market bias, avoiding counter-trend setups.
Short trade
4HR TF Overview
Sellside Trade
Date: Thursday, 13th February 2025
Time: 3:00 AM (NY Time)
Trade Details:
Entry: 2662.45
Profit Level: 2586.43 (+2.86%)
Stop Level: 2689.10 (-1.00%)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 2.85
Reason: Observing price action since the Mon 10th of February I assumed we had reached a pivotal supply level indicative of a sellside trade.
EUR/USD - Are We On The Verge Of A Sustained Bull-Run?From the opening on Monday to Fridays close, Euro has been on an absolute TEAR to the upside with little to no manipulated spikes to the downside confirming this weeks bullish bias with flying colours.
Originally, the first point of interest was the 1.04542 - 1.04444 daily inverted SIBI but as we saw aggression when trading through it, 1.05368 is the next bullish draw.
We have yet to reach buyside liquidity yet but we have attacked the consequent encroachment of the last up close candle wick @ 1.05127 in which we saw a rejection.
Bullish projection this week has been superb! Looking out for a continuation to the upside, closing 1.25127 and a rally up to 1.05368.
Longer term bullish draw up to 1.06826 - 1.06098 is still in play but I want to see how the delivery above 1.05368 plays a role in the possible continuation of bullish price action.
Dow Jones (March Contract) - I Am Sceptical About All-Time HighsUnlike Nasdaq and S&P 500 where their PD arrays was discounted, Dow Jones is showing a different story.
45000 is a stanch psychological resistance level for a number of reasons. For one, a weekly liquidity void in the past aligns with a prior daily SIBI (which price redelivered into and rebalanced 100% of the range) and another gap in the form of a volume imbalance created last week Thursday 6th going into Friday 7th which Dow has rejected this Friday.
Very tight range Dow is working in at the moment and I don’t have the confidence yet to predict Dow jones reaching up into the all-time highs territory yet. There is still a lot more resistance levels to break through compared to ES or NQ.
Going into next week, I want to see 45000 cleared.
Ideally, I want to see a candle body closure above 45227.
Dow Jones is last in the race to attack ATH.
Nasdaq (March 2025) - Taking Nasdaq On A DateMe and Nasdaq had a GREAT time last week; riding the lows and highs from sunrise to sunset. Even though the initial target of Mon 27th Daily candles wick encroachment was met, the upside potential was astounding.
Besides that, NASDAQ’s price action over the past 2 months has been lacklustre, struggling to trend and stay in one direction but it’s no surprise as with all the geopolitical drama happening all over the world has caused many institutional traders to sit on their hands and wait.
S&P 500 (March 2025) - A Whole Heap Of Mumbo JumboThe markets is not presenting low resistance liquidity runs due to all the politics and tariffs being implemented right now but once things settle, ES will be in for the chance to test all time highs once again.
What we saw is perfection with the alignment of my bearish bias and how price respected the daily FVG @ $5,950 (mapped out with the red rectangle tool) on the Sunday going into Monday before repricing higher inside of the gap.
Dollar Index - Trump & TariffsWith a lot of fundamental conflicts at play, one being the tariffs war on China, EU, Mexico and Canada (we don’t know yet if any more countries will be affected), we are seeing the result in price action.
We are trading in a range from 110.176 - 106.969 and so far, Dollar has managed to support the weekly BISI @ the 107.500 region but also trade up to and reject the 109.770 HTF PD array.
Ultimately, it will be fundamental news that will grant dollar the necessary volatility to run to liquidity pools. My guess, to the downside
Long trade
Buyside Trade
Pair: BTCUSD
Date: Sunday, 16th February 2025
Session: London Session AM
Time: 8:15 AM (NY Time)
Trade Details:
Entry: 96,672.5
Profit Level: 97,635.5 (+1.00%)
Stop Level: 96,626.0 (-0.05%)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 20.17
Reason: Observing price reached a pivotal demand level confirmed with a buyside momentum once the price reached 96,672.5...
ZB1! - Immaculate Draw on Buystops! What’s Next?This weeks breakdown covers the similarities bonds and yields have and as mentioned in my most recent analysis with Yields, I was loooking for a draw down to discounted prices.
With that bias in mind, Bonds would be more likely to trade higher as they both highly correlated.
XAU/USD 17-21 February 2025 Weekly AnalysisWeekly Analysis:
Swing Structure -> Bullish.
Internal Structure -> Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 09 February 2025.
Price has printed a further bullish iBOS.
Price is currently trading within an internal low and fractal high. CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dashed line.
Price Action Analysis:
In my analysis dated 27 October 2024, it was noted that the first sign of a pullback would be a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH), indicated by a blue dotted line. Price's consistent upward momentum had repositioned previous CHoCH much closer to recent price levels as expected for weeks. Current CHoCH positioning is quite a distance away from price, therefore, it would be viable if price continued bullish to reposition ChOCH.
Note:
It is highly unlikely price will "crash" as many analysts are predicting. My view is this is merely a corrective wave of the primary trend.
Given the Federal Reserve's dovish policy stance alongside heightened geopolitical risks, market volatility is likely to remain elevated, influencing intraday price swings.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
Weekly Chart:
Daily Analysis:
Swing -> Bullish.
Internal -> Bullish.
Since my last weekly analysis price has printed a bullish iBOS. Bias and analysis has been accurate over the last few months.
Price is now trading within a fractal high and internal low.
Bearish ChOCH positioning is denoted with a blue shorter dotted line and is very well positioned to print bearish CHoCH which is the very first indication, but not confirmation of bearish pullback phase initiation
Note:
With the Fed maintaining a dovish policy stance and the continued rise in geopolitical tensions, we should anticipate elevated market volatility, which may impact both intraday and longer-term price action.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
Daily Chart:
H4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 11 February 2025.
As mentioned in yesterday's analysis dated 10 February 2025 that it is highly likely price will print a bullish iBOS is how price printed.
Price is currently trading within an internal low and fractal high.
ChoCH positioning to indicate, but not confirm bearish pullback phase initiation is denoted with a blue dotted line.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bearish and react at either discount of internal 50%, or H4 demand zone, before targeting weak internal high, priced at 2,942.780.
Alternative scenario:
Given HTF (Daily and Weekly) have also printed bullish iBOS' it would not come as a surprise if price printed a bearish iBOS.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
GBP/USD Analysis for the Coming Week (Feb 17 - 21)
Market Overview: Last week, the pound experienced significant gains, driven by stronger than expected UK GDP reports. Despite strong CPI figures, the dollar generally weakened due to Trump's reciprocal tariffs wait.
Price Action:
Weekly Performance: Price bounced off the weekly iFVG to close higher, taking out previous weekly highs.
Imbalances: Multiple imbalances were left, most notably the daily FVG which aligns with the 4-hour and 1-hour buy-side imbalances.
Targets: Price is expected to fill these imbalances and move higher, targeting:
Last week's high at 1.2630
External range liquidity at 1.2665 and 1.2700
Monthly Outlook : The monthly candle is being pulled towards the imbalance at 1.2800.
Monday is a holiday no news will be waiting for trump speech on tuesday a, uk cpi y/y wednesday together with FOMC.
Conclusion: Overall, GBP/USD is set to continue its upward momentum, with key levels to watch being 1.2630, 1.2665, 1.2700, and 1.2800.