High-Probability SWI20 Longs with 57.78% Achieving TPI am adopting a probabilistic approach to my trading strategy based on historical and statistical data.
This method allows me to identify patterns and trends that have proven effective in the past, enabling me to make informed decisions about entering long positions.
By applying mathematical rules derived from historical performance, I can assess the likelihood of price movements and manage risk effectively.
This systematic approach helps to minimize emotional decision-making and enhances the potential for successful trades.
Key Fundamentals Supporting a Bullish Bias:
- Swiss Economic Resilience: Despite global economic challenges, Swiss equities are showing signs of recovery, with the Swiss SMI index rising 2% this year, indicating a potential bullish trend ahead.
- Central Bank Policies: The Swiss National Bank (SNB) has indicated a favorable inflation outlook, which could lead to supportive monetary policies that benefit the stock market.
- Currency Dynamics: The recent correction in the Swiss franc may ease pressure on exporters, potentially leading to improved earnings for companies within the index.
- Investment Inflows: Swiss-domiciled funds have recorded their highest net inflows since 2022, reflecting growing investor confidence in the Swiss market.
These factors collectively support a bullish outlook for the Switzerland 20 Index, aligning with my trading strategy.
2W:
HOURLY ENTRY:
Multiple Time Frame Analysis
XAU/USD 4-8 November 2024 Weekly AnalysisWeekly Analysis:
Swing Structure: Bullish.
Internal Structure: Bullish.
Analysis/bias remains the same as last week's analysis dated 27 October 2024
Price has continued its surge, reaching new all-time highs with no signs yet of bearish pullback phase initiation.
The initial indication of a pullback would be a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH), marked by a blue dotted line. Price's ongoing ascent has now positioned CHoCH significantly closer to most recent price action.
Weekly Chart:
Daily Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Gold's price has maintained its upward surge after printing a bullish Internal Break of Structure (iBOS), fueled by softer U.S. macroeconomic data and intensified geopolitical tensions.
In my weekly analysis dated 27 October 2024, I mentioned that price could potentially reach new highs, moving the bearish CHoCH positioning closer to current price. This shift would create a realistic opportunity for price to indicate the start of a bearish pullback phase.
This forecast played out as expected, with CHoCH positioning now significantly nearer to recent price action, marked by a blue dotted vertical line.
Following the bullish iBOS, a bearish pullback is anticipated. While price is currently giving very early signs of this by printing a higher high that has brought the CHoCH positioning closer, this is still an indication, not a confirmation of a potential pullback. The first more concrete signal of a pullback would be a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH).
Daily Chart:
H4 Analysis:
Analysis/bias remains the same as analysis dated 31 October 2024
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Gold’s rally persists, driven by the Fed’s dovish stance and heightened geopolitical tensions, strengthening its safe-haven appeal.
Price has recently printed higher highs, bringing CHoCH positioning significantly closer to current price level. A bearish CHoCH has printed, signaling the first indication, though not a confirmation, of a potential bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to continue bearish, potentially reacting at the H4 demand zone or the discount of the H4 internal 50% EQ before targeting the weak internal high.
We should however remain mindful that Daily TF is showing very early signs of bearish pullback phase initiation. Therefore, price could potentially print a bearish iBOS.
H4 Chart:
XRP Scalping-Day trading HIGH RISKHigh Risk
BINANCE:XRPUSDT
XRP appears likely to respect the daily bullish FVG (Fair Value Gap), and it's rare to see such setups on this asset. Given this unique opportunity, I’ve decided to enter, aiming to close the trade around the Intermediate Term High (ITH).
This is a straightforward setup: stop-loss placed at the swing low, as a break there could indicate a move to seek liquidity at lower levels. Target profit is set in the premium zone.
Litecoin, and the "Falling Three Methods Candlestick Pattern"On November 27th, 2023 the “Collapse to $30” idea was published (below). The idea was met with some rebuttal, shall we say.
The evidence for a collapse in Litecoin price action has only grown in the past few months.
A new candle prints on the above 2-month chart in 14 days. If it prints as is, it will be a Gravestone DOJI. Such candlesticks on this timeframe represent significant profit taking and selling pressure.
The yellow arrows identify bearish engulfing candles. The last one printed on September 2023, confirming legacy support as resistance.
The print was followed by three green candles. Do you recognise them? And the red one that now follows it?
This candlestick pattern is called the “Falling Three Methods Candlestick Pattern”. It is a continuation pattern. When three Green candles in-between the bearish engulfing and DOJI are unable to close above the bearish engulfing candle, a significant sell off prints. Overall the pattern is informing you of the inherent weakness in price action.
Litecoin bulls, you’ve been warned!
Ww
FINCABLES NSE BULLISH FLAGFINCABLES has broken out of a Bullish Flag on DTF
Price is above 200EMA. Currently Price is below 21EMA is below 50 suggesting a Flat Trend
CAMS is trading above the 38.2%% FIBO Retracement Range
FINCABLES is currently consolidating in a Range, Enter when Range is broken on WTF.
SL below the consolidation Range @1360. enter at current price with 25% Quantity ADD 25% when price closes above @1495 in WTF ..Add progressively. at higher Close and 21EMA crosses 50EMA in DTF
KEEP Strict SL
QUESS NSE 6Yr Trend LINE Breakout WTF/MTF QUESS NSE , Price has Broken out of a 6Yr Trendline on the Weekly and Monthly time Frame (WTF/MTF)
Price is currently hovering above 50 EMA with 21EMA above 50 and 200 respectively in DTF suggesting a Corrective/Pullback of a Bullish Trend
QUESS is trading above the 50% FIBO Retracement Range on DTF
Enter when Price closes above High on WTF with 25% Quantity.
SL @720
Add progressively. at higher Close Add 50% when price closes above 1000 completing the RBC with a retest.
SEQUENT:NSE RBC&H 2Y-8M onDTF/WTF/MTF PositionalSEQUENT Analysis WTF
TRADE PLAN
ENTRY -200-205 25%Qty, 25% Qty @ 190 Add further above 225
SL -187
TARGET --01-243 @27% gain, TGT02--335 @75% gain from 202
Hold For a Year or TGT 2
Keep in your Priority Watch List
Chart Pattern :
STOCK has recently broken its 52W HIGH of 202 forming a 2Y-8M RBC on the DTF/WTF/MTF. Currently on a Pullback to form a Handle ON DTF. The FVG on WTF, can get an Entry price of 190
INDICATORS EMA :
The Price is Currently Trading above 20EMA, and 20EM crossed above 50EMA in DTF/WTF early July. 50EMA came close to 200EMA in June in WTF then turned upwards confirming the Bullish Continuation. STOCK EMAs are currently aligned in a ascending order 200 to 20 and moving apart indicating a bullish Trend continuation on DTF/WTF/MTF.
FIBO E :
After the Bounce-back from 61%FIBO Retracement Level, Price is currently trading near the 127% FIBO Extension level of 211 on WTF Impulse uptrend with ChoCH at 174 on DTF
Volumes: There is a uptrend in Volume on the Weekly Charts for1 Weeks and currently in Pullback.
Disclaimer: For Education/Reference Purpose Only, Trade at your Own Risk with correct position sizing and SL based on your Risk-apetite. Trail Your SL progressively. Learn/Know and Review the Stock trading Technical Terminology. Check Verify the Financial fundamentals of the Stock and Seek Advice from a Certified Financial Advisor prior to Investing. Prefer Entry with 25% quantity, Add in Tranches of 25%-50% as prices moves upwards recommended.
MTFA- Multiple Time Frame Analysis
DTF -Daily Time Frame
WTF-Weekly Time Frame
MTF- Monthly Time Frame
ATH-All Time High
RBC&H-Rounding Bottom Cup/Handle
BO- Breakout Close
EMA -Exponential Moving Average
FIBO R/E -Trend based Fibonacci Retracement/Extension
SL Stop Loss
TBD- To be Decided
CHoCH- Change of Character Bullish/Bearish
MSB/BOS -Break Out Structure
FVG Fair Value Gap
SWING/POSITIONAL Trade
SAREGAMA:NSE ATH+RBC 3Y-8M BO on DTF/WTF/MTF PositionalSAREGAMA Analysis WTF
TRADE PLAN
ENTRY -580-590
SL -550 DTF CLOSE
TARGET -01-817
Hold For a Year or TGT
Chart Pattern :
SAREGAMA has a clear 3Y-8M RBC&H completed
STOCK has recently broken its ATH of 581 forming a 3Y-8M RBC&H on the DTF/WTF/MTF. Pullback to form a Handle completed.
INDICATORS EMA :
The Price is Currently Trading above 20EMA, and 20EM crossed above 50EMA in DTF in Last Week of Sept. STOCK EMAs are currently aligned in a ascending order 200 to 20 indicating a bullish Trend on DTF/WTF/MTF.
FIBO E :
After the Bounce-back from 50% FIBO/R Level, Price is currently trading near the 50% FIBO/E level of 597 on DTF Impulse uptrend with Bullish ChoCH at 550 on DTF
Volumes: There is a uptrend in Volume on the Weekly Charts for3 Weeks after the BO & Retest..
Keep in your Priority Watch List
Disclaimer: For Education/Reference Purpose Only, Trade at your Own Risk with correct position sizing and SL based on your Risk apetite (Exit when price closes 7to8% below your Entry).
Trail Your SL progressively. Learn/Know and Review the Stock trading Technical Terminology. Check Verify the Financial fundamentals of the Stock and Seek Advice from a Certified Financial Advisor prior to Investing. Prefer Entry with 25% quantity, Add in Tranches of 25%-50% as prices moves upwards recommended.
MTFA- Multiple Time Frame Analysis
DTF -Daily Time Frame
WTF-Weekly Time Frame
MTF- Monthly Time Frame
ATH-All Time High
RBC&H-Rounding Bottom Cup/Handle
BO- Breakout Close
EMA -Exponential Moving Average
FIBO R/E -Trend based Fibonacci Retracement/Extension
SL Stop Loss
TBD- To be Decided
CHoCH- Change of Character Bullish/Bearish
MSB/BOS -Break Out Structure
FVG Fair Value Gap
SWING/POSITIONAL Trade
AUROPHARMA NSE BULLISH FLAG /RBC&H 7M AUROPHARMA WTF Analysis
TRADE PLAN
ENTRY -1510 -1550 On BO of Bullish Fage DTF Close
SL -1405 or Weekly Low Close Price
TARGET --01-1719 , TGT02--1931
Hold For a Year or TGT 2
Chart Pattern :
STOCK has recently touched its LTH of 1592. Previously Impulse after forming a 2Y-7M RBC on the DTF/WTF. The recent 7Month Swing has now ripened to a Bullish Flag Pattern on a Pullback ready to BO above 1510. The Swing Target to the Recent ATH will give 12%+ return,
INDICATORS EMA :
The Price is Currently Trading below 20EMA, and 20EM above 50EMA in DTF. STOCK EMAs are currently aligned in a ascending order 200 to 20 indicating a bullish Trend on DTF/WTF.
FIBO E :
After the Bounce-back from 23.6% FIBO Retracement Level, Price is currently trading near the 11490 on DTF Impulse uptrend
Volumes: There CURRENTLY not Encouraging Though on the Weekly timeframe
Keep in your Priority Watch List
Disclaimer: For Education/Reference Purpose Only, Trade at your Own Risk with correct position sizing and SL based on your Risk apetite (Exit when price closes 7to8% below your Entry).
Trail Your SL progressively. Learn/Know and Review the Stock trading Technical Terminology. Check Verify the Financial fundamentals of the Stock and Seek Advice from a Certified Financial Advisor prior to Investing. Prefer Entry with 25% quantity, Add in Tranches of 25%-50% as prices moves upwards recommended.
MTFA- Multiple Time Frame Analysis
DTF -Daily Time Frame
WTF-Weekly Time Frame
MTF- Monthly Time Frame
ATH-All Time High
LTH/ATH -LifeTime High
RBC&H-Rounding Bottom Cup/Handle
BO- Breakout Close
EMA -Exponential Moving Average
FIBO R/E -Trend based Fibonacci Retracement/Extension
SL Stop Loss
TBD- To be Decided
CHoCH- Change of Character Bullish/Bearish
MSB/BOS -Break Out Structure
FVG Fair Value Gap
20VMA -20Volume Moving Average
SWING/POSITIONAL Trade
PPLPHARMA NSE POLE & FLAG BO DT/WTF SWING/POSITIONALPIRAMAL PHARMA STOCK Analysis
TRADE PLAN
ENTRY -230 50% Qty, Add 50% qty 243 DTF Close
SL -186 (Note: SL is deep below the Weekly Low since there is a FVG in WTF
TARGET --01-243 (Swing) , TGT02--306
Hold For a 06M-1 Year or TGT 2
Chart Pattern :
STOCK had a 6 Month Streak to Touch an ATH of 243, Retracing in Equal time to 23.6% FIBO Level forming a Bullish Flag Pattern indicating a Bullish continuation..
INDICATORS EMA :
The STOCK Price has Trading above 50EMA, and bouncing up from 20EMA in DTF. STOCK EMAs are currently in ascending alignment 20 to 200EMA where on 1th an 5.3%+ price rise with Volumes indicating start of a bullish Flag Breakout Trend on DTF/WTF.
FIBO/E :
Currently the price is above 20% FIBO Retracement Level, Early Entry can be take as per your risk ability. Safe Traders Enter above 230.
Volumes: There is a uptrend in Volume above the 20VMA on the DTF & Weekly Charts for10-12 Weeks even during the Pullback.
Keep in your Priority Watch List
Disclaimer: For Education/Reference Purpose Only, Trade at your Own Risk with correct position sizing and SL based on your Risk appetite (Exit when price closes 7to8% below your Entry).and re enter when trend reverses...
Trail Your SL progressively. Learn/Know and Review the Stock trading Technical Terminology. Check Verify the Financial fundamentals of the Stock and Seek Advice from a Certified Financial Advisor prior to Investing. Prefer Entry with 25% quantity, Add in Tranches of 25%-50% as prices moves upwards recommended.
MTFA- Multiple Time Frame Analysis
DTF -Daily Time Frame
WTF-Weekly Time Frame
MTF- Monthly Time Frame
ATH-All Time High
LTH -LifeTime High
RBC&H-Rounding Bottom Cup/Handle
BO- Breakout Close
EMA -Exponential Moving Average
FIBO R/E -Trend based Fibonacci Retracement/Extension
SL Stop Loss
TBD- To be Decided
CHoCH- Change of Character Bullish/Bearish
MSB/BOS -Break Out Structure
FVG Fair Value Gap
20VMA -20Volume Moving Average
SWING/POSITIONAL Trade
IONEXCHANGE NSE FLAG&POLE BO WTF SWING/POSITIONALIONEXCHANGE STOCK Analysis
TRADE PLAN (DTF Close Price for SWING)
ENTRY -687 25 to 50% Qty, Add 50% qty 710 DTF Close
SL -605
TARGET -SWING 768, 01-991
Hold For a 1-2 Year or TGT 01
Chart Pattern :
STOCK was in a BEARISH SUBTREND for 8M touching the previous ATH of 687, with 1Month Streak to Touch an new ATH of 768, after retracing and BO of the 8M RBC its showing signs of Recovery forming a Bullish Flag Pattern from in 50-61% FIBO Level .
INDICATORS EMA :
The Price is Currently Trading above 50EMA, and 20EMM below 50EMA in DTF. STOCK EMAs are currently in Transitional stage of alignment, indicating early start of a bullish reversal Trend on DTF/WTF.
FIBO/E :
Currently the price has recovered above 61.8 to 50% FIBO support Level, Early Entry can be take as per your risk ability. Safe Investors Enter above 686 with 25% Qty and Add progressively after a retracement.
Volumes: There is a uptrend in Volume on the Weekly Charts since June and above the 20VMA.
Keep in your Priority Watch List
Disclaimer: For Education/Reference Purpose Only, Trade at your Own Risk with correct position sizing and SL based on your Risk appetite (Exit when price closes 7to8% below your Entry).and re enter when trend reverses in the direction of your POV...
Trail Your SL progressively. Learn/Know and Review the Stock trading Technical Terminology. Check Verify the Financial fundamentals of the Stock and Seek Advice from a Certified Financial Advisor prior to Investing. Prefer Entry with 25% quantity, Add in Tranches of 25%-50% as prices moves upwards recommended.
MTFA- Multiple Time Frame Analysis
DTF -Daily Time Frame
WTF-Weekly Time Frame
MTF- Monthly Time Frame
ATH-All Time High
LTH -LifeTime High
RBC&H-Rounding Bottom Cup/Handle
BO- Breakout Close
EMA -Exponential Moving Average
FIBO R/E -Trend based Fibonacci Retracement/Extension
SL Stop Loss
TBD- To be Decided
CHoCH- Change of Character Bullish/Bearish
MSB/BOS -Break Out Structure
FVG Fair Value Gap
20VMA -20Volume Moving Average
SWING/POSITIONAL Trade
COUNTER-TREND TRADING...SAFE OR RISKY?....EURCAD LIVE EXAMPLEWhat is going on everybody! Hope you are having an amazing weekend so far! Just wanted to come on here and speak a little bit about one of my favorite trading subjects which is counter-trend trading! I personally do counter-trend trading as one of my trading strategies so I wanted to come on here and share a real life example of some things I look for and the mentality behind trading against the current trend of price
Hope you guys enjoy! Please boost and follow my page for more breakdowns! Appreciate you all!
Cheers!
SUIUSDT / SHORT / M15SUIUSDT.P may fall from the bearish order block.
Bearish Order Block: 1.9177 and 1.9332
SUIUSDT is positioned to decline from the bearish order block. With a high probability setup, we’re watching closely to see how price action unfolds here. Let’s stay tuned!
SUIUSDT / SHORT / M15
LEVERAGE :-75X
Entry Price :- 1.9181
Take Profit :- 1.8740
Stop Loss :- 1.9622
Near-term Bullish DXY Bias
Monthly chart for DXY hints a possible distribution zone formation.
As there is a bullish candlestick pattern formed at last month, bullish bias seems to be the higher possible trend for now.
Weekly Bullish trend channel formation suggest higher upside is likely, however, last bar doji candlestick pattern suggest indecision.
Near-term support and resistance at 100.25 and 106.50.
Last Friday bullish bar closes back near Monday's opening reinforced near term bullish bias.
Looking forward, next week 5 Nov being US presidential elections day will add volatility to the market.
So, price may likely to go the next higher order block area.
Metal DAO (MTL) about to print a 2500% move?On the above weekly chart price action has corrected over 90% since early 2021. A number of reasons now exist to be long, including:
1) Price action and RSI resistance breakouts.
2) Support and resistance. Look left. Price action has now confirmed support on past resistance.
3) A weekly life cross prints.
4) Lastly, price action has exited a bull flag. The extension measures a 2500% move to target.
Is it possible price action continues to correct? Sure.
Is it probable? No
Ww
Type: Trade
Risk: <6%
Timeframe for long: This month
Return: 2500%
Internet Computer (ICP) 50% crash incoming.... On the above chart price action has been trading sideways since June. Recent developments suggest a bearish outlook. They include:
1) Price action and RSI support breakdowns.
2) Trend reversal confirmation with double top print.
3) Rising wedge confirmation with 50% correction forecast to $4 area.
Is it possible this is all gibberish and fundamentals don’t care for Technical Analysis? Sure.
Is it probable price action will correct as forecast? Very likely.
Ww
SMCI *Huge Update*I know my charts are not pretty and I look pretty stupid a lot of the times. BUT.
I noticed something very strange with the time cycle charting tool. I was measuring the tops and bottoms to find out that the bottoming process on SMCI is scheduled to happen just before NVDA earnings.
Meaning... if SMCI follows the cycle we will see a huge dump before the 22nd-23rd of May. Then, after all retail investors are shaken out and people fear the recession/earnings, it will rocket up to make one more all time high run :)
High chance of being wrong but I love to share my ideas with you all! Let me know what you see and lets talk about it.
EUR/USD LONG (SWING)According to my analysis, the EUR/USD will be strongly bullish, in order to correct the significant downward expansion and also to reach the order block located precisely at the 1.1000 level, which has not been touched since the bearish expansion. Additionally, the EUR/USD will also capture a significant amount of liquidity in order to continue its immense downward expansion, which we can foresee if we look at the chart in the '1Y' timeframe.
For my baguette eaters : L'eur/usd selon mon analyse sera fortement haussier ceci dans l'objectif de corriger l'énorme expansion à la baisse mais aussi pour aller chercher l'orderblock situé exactement au niveau 1.1000 qui n'a encore pas été touché depuis l'expansion baissière. De plus l'eur/usd va aussi cherché enormement de liquidité ceci dans l'objectif de continué son immense expansion baissière que l'on peux envisager si l'on regarde le graphique en "1Y"
A BIG SHOUT OUT TO : HUGO FX
Funtoken to 10xOn the above weekly chart price action has corrected over 90% since April 2021. A number of reasons now exist to be long, including:
1) Price action and RSI resistance breakouts.
2) Price action confirms support on past resistance. Look left.
3) Trend reversal. Price action replaces lower highs lower lows with higher highs and higher lows.
4) The forecast is taken from the flag pattern.
Is it possible price action corrects further? Sure.
Is it probable? No.
Ww
Type: trade
Risk: <=6%
Time to long: Now
Return: 10x
Streamr (DATA) - Bullish divergenceOn the above 5-day chart price action has corrected over 90% since April 2021. Now is a good opportunity to go long. Why?
1) Price action and RSI resistance breakouts.
2) Price action finds support on past resistance.
3) Strong positive divergence between price action and multiple oscillators. This divergence occurs over a 90 day period as was the previous.
4) The flagpole measures out at 800% to target.
Is it possible price action could fall further? Sure.
Is it probable? No.
Ww
Type: trade
Risk: <=6% of portfolio
Timeframe for long: now
Return: 800%
Cosmos (ATOM ) to $2.50But first price action shall move to the 11-12 dollar resistance before the downtrend continues.
** trading opportunity **
On the above weekly chart pice action has confirmed a bear flag breakout. The flagpole measurement forecasts an eventual target of $2.50.
Meanwhile a breakout of RSI resistance prints with a weekly bullish engulfing candle. The weeks ahead shall likely print a strong upward move at first until resistance.
Is it possible this resistance test at $12 fails to hold? Sure.
Is it probable? No.
Ww
Type: Trade
Risk: <=6%
Timeframe: Long now this month until resistance
Return: 50% or thereabouts
Is ANKR about to print a 1500% move?On the above 8-day chart price action has corrected over 90% since the month of May 2021. A number of reasons now exist to be long, including:
1) Price action and RSI resistance breakouts.
2) Price action prints support on past resistance. Look left.
3) The macro bull-flag breakout plus confirmation of support.
4) A number of tradingview.com ideas are ‘short’. Remember the 9 out of 10 market participants will lose money. Be the 10%.
5) Bonus observation, see chart below.
Is it possible price action falls further? Sure.
Is it probable? no.
Ww
Type: Trade
Risk: <6%
Timeframe: Act now
Return: 1500%
Little bull flag with 250% projection