Multi-Timeframe Analysis - Week 08Tracking Key Levels: XAUUSD Monitors High-Timeframe POIs Amid Bullish Expansion
Market Context
Quarterly Chart
XAUUSD remains in a bullish breakout, printing higher highs and higher lows for the last six quarters.
No pullbacks in six quarters, reinforcing strong trend continuation.
Monthly Chart
February follows a short consolidation after expansion, with a slight pullback forming a ST-HL at 2536.
Price closed above November’s open (2745) and remains above the ST-HH at 2780.
Imbalance between 2770 (high) and 2730 (low) may act as a retracement zone, but a test is not required.
Weekly Chart
Week 07 closed bullish, but formed a long bearish wick toward the end of the week.
Imbalance between 2860-2820 is expected to be tested in Week 08.
No significant pullbacks since January 2025, reinforcing breakout structure.
Daily Chart
Consolidation range between 2940 high and 2860 low—key POIs for Week 08.
Weekly levels at 2820-2860 remain critical for long re-entries.
4H Chart
Price reached a high of 2942 and a low of 2860, consolidating through Thursday and Friday.
Friday’s close near 2860 open price kept the range intact.
Bearish signs have appeared, but HTF POIs remain in focus for buying interest.
Plan for Week 08
Monitor HTF POIs
Weekly imbalance at 2820-2860 is key for potential long re-entries.
React to Price Action
Look for reversal confirmations if buying interest appears at key levels.
If buying pressure is weak, adjust the weekly plan accordingly.
Stay Objective Ahead of Key Events
FOMC on Wednesday & PMI on Friday could increase volatility.
Watching for a bullish reversal pattern between Monday-Wednesday to confirm a weekly low.
Be Open to Lower Prices if Momentum Shifts
If bearish price action strengthens, lower prices could become a draw.
No short positions unless confirmed selling pressure emerges.
Reflection Prompt
How does staying objective at key high-timeframe POIs improve execution and risk management in volatile market conditions?
#XAUUSD #Gold #TradingView #MarketAnalysis #PriceAction #PipsnPaper
Multiple Time Frame Analysis
Short trade
15min TF overview
Sellside Trade
Pair: BTCUSD
Date: Sunday, 16th February 2025
Session: London Session AM
Time: 7:15 AM (NY Time)
Entry 30min TF
Observed 4Hr TF
Trade Details:
Entry: 97,198.0
Profit Level: 96,863.5 (+0.34%)
Stop Level: 97,320.5 (-0.13%)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 2.73
Reason: This sellside trade is based on market structure, liquidity sweeps, and session timing, proceeding from NY to LND Session.
Short term bullish Weekly time frame can be seen creating equal lows and a retracement has started towards Fibonacci golden zone.
On Daily time frame
Nzdusd has broken resistance heading towards a demand zone here we can look for a pull back to untested resistance turned support. For a continuation to the upside. For a deeper pull back on higher timeframes
EURUSD 17-21 Feb 2025 W8 - Weekly Analysis -EU ZEW - US FOMC/PMIThis is my Weekly analysis on EURUSD for 17-21 Feb 2025 W8 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following:
Market Sentiment Weekly Chart AnalysisDaily Chart Analysis4H Chart AnalysisEconomic Events for the WeekRelated PostsLatest Weekly Analysis
Market Sentiment
Inflation Data Mix
U.S. CPI and PPI came in hotter than expected, signaling lingering inflation pressures.
However, softer underlying PPI components linked to the Fed’s preferred PCE metric raised hopes for a moderation in inflation next week.
Fed Policy Expectations
Investors are cautiously optimistic about potential Fed rate cuts later in 2025, despite the Fed’s current "wait-and-see" stance.
A softer PCE report next week could solidify bets on easing monetary policy, supporting risk assets like the Euro.
Trump’s Tariff Strategy
Markets dismissed Trump’s reciprocal tariff threats as negotiation tactics rather than a prelude to a trade war.
Investors expect delays in implementation, reducing immediate fears of economic disruption.
Geopolitical Optimism
Progress in Ukraine-Russia peace talks (e.g., territory swap discussions) eased global risk aversion, weakening the USD’s safe-haven appeal.
Reduced geopolitical tensions benefit the Eurozone economy, indirectly lifting the Euro.
Central Bank Divergence
The ECB may cut rates further in 2025, but improving Eurozone data and reduced trade-war risks provide short-term EUR support.
The Fed’s cautious tone limits USD upside, creating a balanced tug-of-war.
Short-Term Bias
Cautiously bullish for EUR/USD, driven by optimism over delayed tariffs, geopolitical progress, and hopes for softer inflation.
Key Risks:
A hot PCE report reviving Fed hawkishness.
Sudden tariff escalations or breakdowns in peace talks.
This balance of factors suggests choppy but upward-leaning trading for EUR/USD.
Weekly Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bearish
🔹Internal Bearish
🔹In Swing Discount
🔹Swing Continuation Phase (Pro Swing + Pro Internal)
2️⃣
🔹INT structure continuing bearish with iBOS following the Bearish Swing. (End of 2023 till end of 2024 was a pullback phase after the first bearish iBOS)
3️⃣
🔹After the bearish iBOS we expect a pullback, price tapped into Monthly Demand and the liquidity below Nov 2022 which is above the weekly demand formed with the initiation of the bearish iBOS pullback phase.
🔹Price made a bullish CHoCH which indicated that the liquidity was enough as per previous weeks analysis to initiate a pullback phase for the bearish iBOS.
🔹Price pulled back after the Bullish CHoCH to the Weekly Demand formed and showed reaction after volatile week.
🔹With the previous week solid Bullish close, the Demand did hold and there is a high probability that price could continue Bullish to facilitate the INT structure pullback phase.
🔹If price to continue Bullish, price will be targeting the liquidity above Dec 2024, INT Structure EQ (50%) at 1.06933 to target the Weekly Supply in premium before continuing down to target the Weak INT Low.
🔹Expectations is for price to continue Bullish if it managed to break 1.05333 27 Jan High to facilitate the INT structure pullback.
Daily Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bearish
🔹INT Bearish
🔹Swing Continuation Phase (Pro Swing + Pro Internal)
2️⃣
🔹Following the Bearish Swing BOS, INT Structure continuing bearish tapping the weekly demand zone.
3️⃣
🔹After the failure to close below the Weak INT Low, price continued bullish sweeping the liquidity above Dec 30 and mitigating a Daily supply zone within the INT Structure Premium Zone.
🔹With the mitigation of the Daily supply, price created a Bearish CHoCH signaling the end of the Pullback Phase of the INT structure and the start of the Bearish move targeting the Weak INT Low.
🔹Price failed for the 2nd time to close below the Weak INT Low after mitigating the Daily Demand formed from the failure to close below the Weak INT Low which triggered aggressive Bullish reaction and mitigating the Daily Supply Zone formed from the recent Bearish CHoCH.
🔹After Supply mitigation, price continued Bearish following the Bearish INT Structure continuation phase.
🔹Previous week I mentioned “if the Daily formed a Bullish CHoCH (Currently above the recent mitigated Supply) this will shift my outlook to the Weekly Scenario of a deep pullback of the Weekly INT Structure to at least the Structure EQ (50%). MTF required to shift Bullish to confirm”. And with that happened I’d shifted to Bullish expectation and there is expectations of a deep pullback within the Daily Bearish INT structure.
🔹The expected targets for the current bullish move is 1st to sweep the liquidity above the equal highs (17 Dec & 27 Jan) 2nd Break of the Strong INT High to facilitate the Daily Bearish Swing pullback and the Weekly Bearish INT pullback.
🔹Currently Supply is failing and Demand is holding confirms the short-term Bullish scenario and setting my expectations for continuing Bullish. Price could pullback to the recent Daily Demand before continuing Bullish.
4H Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bullish
🔹INT Bearish
🔹Reached Swing Extreme Demand
🔹Swing Continuation
2️⃣
🔹With the deep pullback to the Bullish Swing extreme discount and mitigating the 4H/Daily demand zones, price turned Bullish forming a Bullish CHoCH.
🔹The current Bullish move from Swing extreme discount to current price level having 2 scenarios (Previously I’d the following 2 scenarios where now I favors the 2nd scenario due to the impulsive nature of the move):
Scenario 1: Pullback for Bearish INT Structure and with the recent Bearish CHoCK and Minor Demand zones are failing, I expect Bearish continuation to target the Weak INT Low which aligns with the Daily/Weekly Bearish Structure/Move. (Counter Swing – Pro Internal)
Scenario 2: Bullish Swing continuation to target the Weak Swing High. Which requires to have Demand holding and Supply failing. The first sign required to confirm this scenario will be the current Demand which price is currently at to hold and we form a Bullish CHoCH. (Pro Swing – Counter Internal)
🔹With the recent moves, Supply is failing and Demand is holding solidifying the scenario that the Bullish 4H Swing continuation in play.
🔹Price swept Liq. above 30 Jan on 4H and Daily where I’d noted in the previous days analysis which can provide a decent pullback. (Bearish CHoCH is required to confirm the Sweep of Liquidity. Otherwise, it’s not enough and price will continue from the recent 4H Demand formed).
3️⃣
🔹Expectations is set to continue Bullish to target the Weak 4H Swing High to facilitate to the Daily and Weekly expected Bullish move.
Economic Events for the Week
AUDUSD. Medium-term analysisHey traders and investors!
It might be time to look for buying opportunities in the Australian dollar
Weekly Timeframe Analysis
The Australian Dollar (AUD) against the US Dollar (USD) has been in a sideways range since January 2023 (point 4 was formed).
Range Boundaries: Upper Boundary: 0.71578. Lower Boundary: 0.61702
Range Vector Analysis
The last realized range vector 6-7 was a seller's vector, which broke through the lower boundary of the range (0.61702). The weekly volumes of this vector are concentrated at the end of October - early November. Above the 0.65124 level, three weekly bars with increased volume are concentrated.
A buyer's vector 7-8 is now forming, with a potential target of 0.69426. In the emerging buyer's vector, there are three bars with increased volume, which may indicate buyer interest at these price levels.
The first resistance on the buyer's path on the weekly TF is the level of 0.65124, as above it, volumes are concentrated in the seller's vector, and this price level is slightly below the 50% mark of the last seller's vector.
Daily Timeframe Analysis
On the daily timeframe, the price has broken through the upper boundary of the range 0.63308, which formed in January.
Range Boundaries: Upper Boundary: 0.63308. Lower Boundary: 0.60878
Range Vector Analysis
The last realized vector 9-10 was a buyer's vector. The volumes are concentrated in the upper part of the vector. Note the daily bars on February 7 and 12, when the seller tried to start the implementation of their vector 10-11 with increased volume. The buyer absorbed these attempts and, on decreasing volume, broke through the upper boundary of the range 0.63308.
Conclusions
Buying (buying patterns) should be considered as long as the price remains above the upper boundary of the range on the daily TF - 0.63308 (priority option). This idea aligns with the implementation of the buyer's vector on the weekly TF.
Selling (selling patterns) is risky, as the buyer's vector is active on the weekly TF, and the price has exited the range upwards on the daily TF. Even if the seller returns the price to the range on the daily TF, volumes under the lower boundary of the range may trigger a buyer's reaction.
I wish you profitable trades!
GOLD SHORT VIEW
Hello Traders, here is the full analysis for this pair,
let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions,
the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be
satisfied. I suggest you keep this pair on your watch list and see if
the rules of your strategy are satisfied.
Dear Traders,
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XAUUSD LONG VIEW THIS WEEK
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reliance on the information contained within this channel including
data, quotes, charts and buy/sell signals.
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GbpUsd could continue its reboundAfter breaking above the falling trendline from the end of January, GBP/USD has entered a consolidation phase between 1.23 and 1.25.
Recently, the pair tested the support zone once more and began to rebound.
In my opinion, the upward movement will continue, and we could see a test of the next resistance above 1.26.
In conclusion, I am looking to buy dips below 1.24, with invalidation occurring on a daily close below 1.23.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
$SAND $.14 bottom, then $2+ long term?NYSE:SAND looks like it's almost to a bottom here. To me, the chart looks like it has one more move lower and then that'll setup a long term bull trend.
We're below the 200DMA and have tested that and rejected it so far, if price can't make it above that area, then it looks like we'll have a leg lower.
If it makes it down to $.14, then that will be a level to buy.
I think there's a lot of upside in this over the next year, should the move play out as expected, then it looks like there's 1800% or so from bottom to top.
S&P 500 (March 2025) - A Whole Heap Of Mumbo JumboThe markets is not presenting low resistance liquidity runs due to all the politics and tariffs being implemented right now but once things settle, ES will be in for the chance to test all time highs once again.
What we saw is perfection with the alignment of my bearish bias and how price respected the daily FVG @ $5,950 (mapped out with the red rectangle tool) on the Sunday going into Monday before repricing higher inside of the gap.
Made in England.. FTSE 100 Triangle BreakoutFinally the long term triangle pattern in blue chip UK stocks has broken - and the weekly chart for the FTSE 100 index is looking very positive.
The breakout weekly candle is a long one with a close right near the highs - showing bulls are well in control of the market.
We can see the triangle break in more granular detail on the daily chart with the break confirmed on Thursday and a strong follow-through move on Friday.
Support is found first at the former all time high (8450-8475) then back at the broken trendline from the triangle pattern.
These support levels define our risk - the price back inside the triangle will inform us the breakout has failed - this time at least.
But if things move as we expect, using the height of the triangle pattern as a price objective from the breakout point, the UK 100 could reach 9,000.
But - as always - that’s just how the team and I are seeing things, what do you think?
Share your ideas with us - OR - send us a request!
Comments welcome :)
cheers!
Jasper
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2x Potential of TEVA. Possible Buying AreasIt looks like it has a possible 2x potential, I think the chart is pretty good. Around 15.25 as a buying place and if it comes, the 13.5-14 area looks good. If it goes directly from 15 or from here, it can be bought when it breaks and tests 18.5.
When we look at the chart from further back, we see that the price has risen above the price movement from May 2019 to May 2024. This movement is also positive as it comes with a voluminous candle. For this reason, it can be a good investment tool.
Stock Of The Day / 02.14.25 / BABA02.14.2025 / NYSE:BABA #BABA
Fundamentals. Positive news about the planned meeting of Xi Jinping with top private sector leaders, including Alibaba.
Technical analysis.
Daily chart: The price is near the upper limit of the wide range of 60-120.
Premarket: The price is trading in range on increased volume after the Gap Up. We mark the premarket low of 125.30.
Trading session: The price goes below 125.30 after an unsuccessful attempt to update the premarket high. Then we observe retest the level from the opposite side around 10:00 am. We consider a short trade to continue the downward movement in case the level of 125.30 is hold.
Trading scenario: #pullback along the trend to level 125.30
Entry: 124.80 when the level is held and the exit down from the trading range under the level.
Stop: 125.43 we hide it behind the level with a small reserve.
Exit: The trade is opened against the global trend, so we fix the profit at the first signs of weakness of the downward movement. Close part of the position at a price of 121.76 when a reversal candlestick pattern with an increase in volume appears. Close the remaining part of the position near the 122.70 when the higher high is updated and the structure of the downward trend is broken.
Risk Rewards: 1/4
P.S. In order to understand the idea behind the Stock Of The Day analysis, read the following information .
LONG TERM TRADE BREAKDOWN USING ONLY TECHNICALS...EURUSD EXAMPLEHey everyone! Hope you are all having an amazing weekend so far! I just wanted to come on here and make a post on a potential longer term outlook I have on the EURUSD currency pair using ONLY technical analysis and some confluence I am seeing technically on this pair. So let's dive in!
OK so to start we want to actually look back to the past. A lot of the time when we are looking to take a trade for a "future" move we have to look back at the "past" as well. Because you guys have probably heard the saying that "history repeats itself" and that is absolutely true when it comes to the financial markets and historical, significant levels of price.
Quick side note: PAST LEVELS OF PRICE ARE REALLY PSYCHOLOGICAL ZONES. WHAT DO I MEAN? Well if you look at price when it returns to previous areas of buying or selling; whether you call that demand/support or supply/resistance these levels are displaying to us that SOME BIGGER PLAYERS; or players in general; had a INTEREST to buy or sell at that zone whatever the reason may be. Which if you break that down means they have a MEMORY of that zone and MAY WANT THAT PRICE AGAIN in the future. If they still like the deal. THAT is why it is psychological. Okay moving on...
So when looking at this chart we can see back starting in October of 2022 we saw an upward move in the market happen that took prices from multi-decade lows around 0.9500-0.9700 area to highs around the 1.1300 price zone. This is a LARGE move in the markets and represents a macro move in the EUR vs the US DOLLAR.
We can see that back in August of 2024 (current year) that prices came up to test those 1.1300 highs that were formed in July of 2023 but ultimately FAILED to break higher leading to now months of downward movement and weakening of the EUR vs the US DOLLAR.
SO what to take away from all that? WELL on a macro level I am seeing that price wasn't ready to make new highs...so that means 1 of 2 things:
1. There wasn't enough buyers to break the previous highs
2. It wasn't the right deal for price for the bigger players to buy up enough to push it past those July of 2023 highs
SO what that is now leading me to believe based on the technical here and what they are displaying is that we can now see prices come back down to a weekly demand (psychological) zone that was formed back in June/July of 2022 when that original large move happened, and SEE IF THAT IS THE DEAL that buyers on a macro level want to send prices ultimately higher on a macro perspective...even higher than the July of 2023 highs.
Technically we can see that obviously there is a level of significant demand/support. We also have a fib alignment in that zone of the 78.6% retracement level (80% DISCOUNT!) ANDDDD we have a potential equal measured move aligning with multi-year supply up at the 1.17500-1.1800 price handle...oh and did I mention the -0.27% fib extension lines up with it also? Some nice CONFLUENCE with that as well
OKAY guys I know this was a long breakdown but this is a longer term perspective and wanted to appropriately break this analysis down for you guys so for all the longer term outlook traders/investors this is the level (if it comes back down to) to keep an eye on!
Hope you all enjoyed please boost this post and follow my page if you enjoyed this analysis and would like to see more accurate analysis and potential trade ideas. Cheers! Merry Christmas!
GBP/JPY Market Shift or Liquidity Grab? Here’s What I’m Seeing!Yesterday, we were focused on GBP/JPY selling off after a major support break, but today’s price action is revealing a potential shift in momentum. While the larger structure still suggests a bearish outlook, recent price behavior is showing signs of a liquidity grab before any major move.
On the H4 and H1 timeframes, we’re seeing slow but steady higher highs forming after a key support at 191.58 held. This suggests that before any deeper drop, GBP/JPY may need to sweep liquidity above recent highs at 192.50 and 193.18. The price action is creeping upward, with candle closures above key resistance levels—a major sign of potential upside before sellers truly take control.
Here’s what I’m watching:
📌 A breakout and liquidity sweep above 193.18 before a possible reversal
📌 Holding above 192.50 could indicate a continued bullish push toward 194.74
📌 If buyers fail and price rejects the highs, we may see a strong downside continuation
This is a crucial turning point—will GBP/JPY fake out buyers before dumping, or are we seeing the start of a larger move up?
META short term top at $750?I've been watching people on Twitter trying to short meta all week and get squeezed.
META has had a really strong move over the past few weeks and is now in parabolic blow off top stage, however, I think the run comes to an end between here $738 and $752.
I'll be buying puts if price can reach $750-752. Not trying to short it below that level.
NZDCHF - Analysis and Potential Setups (Intraday- 14.02.25)Overall Trend & Context:
The pair is in an overall downtrend on the higher time frames and lower time frames.
Technical Findings:
Price is at strong levels of supply.
HTF oversold conditions.
Extreme zone is still valid.
Will look for re-entries on LTF's to get a better RR of this setup.
Potential Scenarios:
Potential to reach new lows at 0.50600 levels.
GBPJPY Short ideaOn a solely technical analysis trade idea, I'm placing a short on OANDA:GBPJPY for the day on pre-NY session and hopefully keeping it thru the day and re-assessing how it evolves.
With a weekly bearish close, and yesterday's bearish close, I saw a Asia sweep during the london session, leaving an imbalance where I'm trading off of. The easy target is yesterday's low for a 1:3, but I'll watch it as it could go deeper if the week were to close bearish.
The Daily Edge - 14th Feb 2025Bulls Hold Control as XAUUSD Targets Higher Prices
Market Overview
Thursday’s session confirmed bullish momentum, closing above Tuesday’s bearish open and establishing a new POI for long entries near 2910.
Price opened and closed above 2900, forming a Short-Term Higher Low (ST-HL) at 2864 from Wednesday’s session.
The weekly candle continues expanding bullishly, with 2942 as the first target and a possible extension to 3000.
Key Observations
Bullish structure intact: Thursday’s close above 2910 POI reinforces the uptrend.
4H chart confirms trend strength: Consolidation → Expansion → Retracement → Continuation pattern remains valid.
Weekly expansion holding: Higher timeframe structure supports continued bullish momentum.
Our Next Steps
Manage long positions, holding as long as price respects the trend.
Monitor 4H POIs at 2910 and 2920 for re-entry opportunities.
Be mindful of pullbacks while momentum remains strong.
How does recognizing higher timeframe expansion help refine trade entries and management?
#XAUUSD #Gold #TradingView #MarketAnalysis #PriceAction #PipsnPaper