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Multiple Time Frame Analysis

XAUUSD Update – Watching 4H Consolidation After ATH📺 Watch the video for more details. Price has printed a 4H consolidation following the ATH. Key focus now: 🔹 Watching the high of consolidation for a potential breakout, retracement, and continuation. 🔹 Ideal scenario: False breakout & manipulation of the high, followed by a retrace back into the range. 🔹 Daily swing high in play, with Monday trading inside Friday’s range – opportunities for both continuation and retracement setups. 🔹 1H price action shows liquidity buildup below – potential fuel for a move lower. 📍 Still focused on a retracement back into discount levels of the current bullish expansion leg. Let’s see what prints at Tuesday’s open.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by PipsnPaper
NAS100 - Stock Market Enters Downtrend?!The index is trading below the EMA200 and EMA50 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its descending channel. If the index moves down towards the specified demand zone, we can look for further buying opportunities in Nasdaq. A break of the channel ceiling will also continue the short-term upward trend in Nasdaq. According to EPFR data reported by Bank of America, investors withdrew $2.8 billion from equity funds last week, marking the largest outflow of the year so far. Meanwhile, U.S. government bonds saw an inflow of $6.4 billion, the biggest weekly increase since August. Scott Basnett, the U.S. Treasury Secretary, stated in an interview that there are no guarantees to prevent an economic recession. He welcomed the decline in stock markets, viewing it as a sign of a healthy market. Analysts believe this shift in tone—unusual for a Treasury Secretary who typically reassures economic strength—suggests an effort to prepare the public for a possible recession. According to data from the Polymarket betting platform, the probability of a U.S. recession in 2025 is currently estimated at 41%. Reuters reports that American households are increasingly pessimistic about the economic outlook. However, the Federal Reserve may be reluctant to respond aggressively to a weakening economy, given growing concerns that the Trump administration’s trade policies could further fuel inflation. These concerns were reflected in financial markets on Friday, as the University of Michigan’s consumer sentiment survey showed a decline in consumer confidence for March. Additionally, consumers now expect inflation to reach 3.9% over the next five years, the highest level in more than 30 years. In an interview with Breitbart, Basnett emphasized the need to remain vigilant against persistent Biden-era inflation and expressed support for deregulation to lower costs. He also stressed that while tackling inflation, the government must also address affordability concerns. Additionally, he backed interest rate cuts to help reduce housing costs and auto loan payments. This week will be packed with major economic events, creating a high-risk environment for precious metals traders amid ongoing geopolitical developments during Trump’s second term. Central banks are back in the spotlight, as several key monetary institutions are set to announce their policy decisions in the coming days: • Tuesday: Bank of Japan • Wednesday: Federal Reserve • Thursday: Swiss National Bank & Bank of England Furthermore, a series of macroeconomic data releases could influence market sentiment, including: • Monday: Retail sales & Empire State Manufacturing Index • Tuesday: Housing starts & building permits • Thursday: Weekly jobless claims, existing home sales & Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index The Federal Reserve is expected to keep interest rates unchanged in its upcoming meeting. Market participants will closely watch the Fed’s updated economic projections and Jerome Powell’s press conference for insights into future monetary policy. According to a Bloomberg survey, economists anticipate two rate cuts by the Fed this year, likely starting in September. However, despite declining stock indices and rising recession concerns, Powell is expected to maintain a cautious stance, avoiding any rushed rate cuts. While consumer and business confidence has weakened, the Federal Reserve has limited flexibility to lower rates due to persistently high inflation indicators.
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by Ali_PSND
Bitcoin - Will Bitcoin Go Up Again?!Bitcoin is trading below the EMA50 and EMA200 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its descending channel. The continuation of Bitcoin’s downward trend and its placement in the demand zone will provide us with the opportunity to buy it again. As long as Bitcoin is above the drawn trend line, we can think about buying transactions. The continued rise of Bitcoin will also lead to testing of selling transactions from the supply zone. It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and observing capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important. If the downward trend continues, we can buy within the demand range. In recent days, Bitcoin’s price has experienced a significant decline, reaching its lowest level in several weeks. This price drop coincides with growing concerns about a potential economic recession in the U.S. and the impact of Donald Trump’s recent statements on financial markets. As a result, many investors have shifted towards safer assets. Analysts believe that Trump’s remarks have intensified market volatility, leading to increased selling pressure across financial markets. Consequently, riskier assets like Bitcoin have also seen a decline in price. Given the uncertainty in the market and doubts surrounding the future of the U.S. economy, experts predict that Bitcoin’s price fluctuations will persist. While some investors see this drop as a buying opportunity, the lack of clarity on upcoming economic policies has heightened overall risk. On March 14, Bitcoin broke its long-standing 12-year ascending support trend against gold (XAU). A well-known analyst, NorthStar, has warned that if Bitcoin remains below this level for a week or more, it could signal the end of its 12-year bullish trend. This breakdown occurred as spot gold prices surged by 12.80% since the beginning of the year, reaching a new record high above $3,000 per ounce. In contrast, Bitcoin—often referred to as “digital gold”—has fallen 11% so far in 2025. Arthur Hayes, co-founder of BitMEX, who previously predicted that Bitcoin would drop below $80K, now believes its decline will likely bottom out around $70K. Meanwhile, reports indicate that Russia is increasingly using cryptocurrencies in its oil trade, which is valued at $192 billion. Digital assets are facilitating the conversion of yuan and rupees into rubles, streamlining transactions. According to sources, Russian oil companies have been utilizing Tether, Bitcoin, and Ethereum in their trades.While digital assets currently represent a small portion of the oil trade, their adoption is growing rapidly.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Ali_PSND
1
GBPUSD Monday 17thKey Observations: Asian High: Swept during the London session. Weak High @1.29464: Expected liquidity sweep before heading lower. First Target: Asian Low with a low-resistance liquidity run @1.2976. Second Target: Today’s open @1.29170. Ultimate Target: Price @1.29111. Points of Interest (POI): 1-Hour SIBI (Sell-Side Imbalance and Buy-Side Inefficiency): Anticipated reaction around 1.29060. New Entry: Liquidity Taken & 1-Minute Inversion: Entry based on 1-minute inversion setup following a liquidity grab. Strategy Overview: Wait for liquidity sweeps at key levels, watch for price action confirmations at POIs like the 1-hour SIBI (1.29060), and utilize the 1-minute chart for precise entries.
Short
by hskarue
SPX : The Bottom is not IN yetMost likely we'll bounce from here and will get some relief on our bags. But don't get too much excited at that point, According to me it will be the time to de-risk some positions. I'm expecting this bounce to be a lower high and price to trade lower. Reason : We have broken the weekly structure which is not a small thing. Last time when we broke the Weekly structure we saw a bottom at 27% decrease. I'm not saying that it will drop 25% this time as well but this downside movement ( that we have experienced ) is not enough. I'm expecting at least 15% drop. Invalidation : Invalidation of this idea is weekly closing above 6,121. Until it doesn't happen, I'm bearish on equities. GL!
SP:SPXShort
by Hunter_tv_