Multiple Time Frame Analysis
Tsla Lesson Tesla Stock Always Pay YOURSELFI say this time and time again and this is a PRIME EXAMPLE SO FAR.
🌍Now I suggested THAT IF YOU WERE A TESLA BULL that you might want to start to PAY ATTENTION TO THE STOCK TWO WEEKS AGO.
❓️"OK SO WHAT'S THE LESSON"❓️
I emphasise ALWAYS that TIME TRUMPS PRICE...
TESLA has been rather docile since its initial POP.
But take a look at the HIGHER TIMEFRAME WEEKLY CHART❗️
Whats clear to see is that although the PRICE RANGE hasn't been MASSIVE there has been plenty OF ⏳️TIME TO CAPITALISE AND PAY YOURSELF. £$€¥ 💰
Two 📈HIGHER CLOSES ON THE WEEKLY and the call made whilst the weekly looked EXTREMELY BEARISH📉
EVEN RIGHT NOW we are currently UP ON THE WEEK UNTIL NOW.
ℹ️ If you WERE UNABLE to STRUCTURE A TRADE TO TAKE advantage of this PRICE RANGE whilst DAY TRADING you may need to LOOK BACK and STUDY WHY NOT.
⚠️You could have paid yourself several times over already and even if TESLA was to seek lower prices from here you SHOULD HAVE BACKED SOMETHING ALREADY.
✅️AS ALWAYS TRADE YOUR PLAN & WAIT FOR YOU SIGNAL✅️
NIFTY weak below 23400As we can see NIFTY did try closing itself above our zone but failed and hence unless it closes above the supply zone every rise could be sold as the previously acting demand zone could now act as a strong supply zone which could show another rejection and continuation of downtrend so plan your trades accordingly and keep watching
NZDUSD SHORTMarket structure bearish on HTFs 3
entry at Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Daily Rejection at AOi
Daily EMA retest
Previous Daily Structure Point
Around Psychological Level 0.57000
H4 EMA retest
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
Levels 5.01
Entry 105
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
GBPCAD SHORTMarket structure bearish on HTFs DH
Entry at Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Daily Rejection at AOi
Previous Structure point Daily
Around Psychological Level 1.85500
H4 EMA retest
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
Levels 5.03
Entry 90%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
XAU/USD 02 April 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Since last analysis price has continued extremely bullish. This is most likely due to market jitters caused by Trump's tariff policy which is driving up the price of gold.
This solidifies gold as a safe haven asset and could lead to repricing.
Price has printed a bearish CHoCH indicating, but not confirming bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now contained within an established internal structure. I will however continue to monitor price to evaluate depth of pullback.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of internal 50% EQ or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 3,149.090.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 01 April 2025
Since last analysis price has continued extremely bullish. This is most likely due to market jitters caused by the trump tariffs.
This solidifies gold as a safe haven asset and could lead to repricing.
You will note price has printed a bearish CHoCH which indicates, but does not confirm, bearish pullback phase initiation. I will however continue to monitor price.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ or M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high, priced at 3,149.090.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
NASDAQ INDEX (US100): Great Opportunity to Sell
NASDAQ Index formed a strong bearish pattern after a test of a key daily
resistance area.
I see a head & shoulders pattern on an hourly time frame
and a confirmed breakout of its horizontal neckline.
The index can continue decreasing.
Next support - 19240
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
SHORT ON AUD/NZDAUD/NZD has given a perfect setup for a sell.
I has bearish divergence as well as a rising channel/wedge into a Major Supply Area from the Higher TF.
We have also change structure from Up to Down on the Lower Timeframe.
I will be selling AUD/NZD to the pervious swing low / demand area for about 100 pips. OANDA:AUDNZD
A New Approach to Market Analysis: How IA Simplifies TradingClarity on the Chart. Smart Trading Decisions
Approaches to Market Analysis and the Challenges Traders Face
When we first start trading and investing, we encounter various methods for predicting price movements. Over time—and with enough persistence, patience, and experience—we find the approach that helps us make profitable trades. Among the most popular are oscillators and channel indicators, Dow Theory, Elliott Waves, Fibonacci levels, supply and demand, Volume Spread Analysis (VSA), Market Auction Theory, and concepts like Inner Circle Trader/Smart Money Concept (ICT/SMC).
Many traders combine elements from different methods to build a strategy that works best for them. However, the road to consistent profits is rarely easy—most face similar challenges.
🔹 Lack of Knowledge and Experience
Complexity of Technical Analysis: Too many tools, conflicting signals on different timeframes, and unclear logic can be overwhelming.
No Clear Trading Plan: Many traders rely on intuition or others' advice instead of having a structured strategy.
Poor Risk Management: Ignoring capital and risk controls leads to losses.
Emotional Decision-Making: Fear and greed get in the way of sound decisions.
🔹 Time Constraints
Trading Takes Time: Analyzing charts, scanning assets, and finding entry points all require time and focus.
Slow Learning Curve: Gaining consistent results takes years of practice and study.
Can Trading Be Made Simpler and More Effective?
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A New Perspective: The Concept of Initiative Analysis (IA)
Today I’d like to present Initiative Analysis —a concept that:
✅ Simplifies how you understand technical analysis
✅ Speeds up learning through a structured approach
✅ Reduces time spent on daily analysis
✅ Provides elements of a working trading strategy
What is IA?
Imagine looking at your chart and instead of seeing just candles, you see blocks of directional movement—called initiatives.
An initiative is the action of buyers or sellers that causes price movement. It is limited by both price range and time, which helps clearly identify who dominates the market at any given moment.
• If buyers dominate, price rises. These phases are shown with blue zones.
• If sellers dominate, price falls. These are shown with red zones.
This visual method allows you to not just see price movements, but also the underlying battle between buyers and sellers as it unfolds.
How IA Differs from Traditional Analysis
To understand how IA stands out, think about the classic tools traders use:
• Candle patterns (e.g., hammer, doji, engulfing)
• Chart figures (e.g., head and shoulders, double top, flag)
• Indicators (e.g., oscillators, moving averages, channels)
• Elliott Waves, Market Profile, Order Flow
• Smart Money Concepts (ICT/SMC)
These tools often focus on outcomes and results. Some attempt to capture the "fight" between buyers and sellers within fixed time intervals (like hourly or daily candles). Elliott Wave Theory, for example, offers a cyclical interpretation through structured wave sequences. IA, by contrast, focuses on identifying and visualizing real-time initiative without forcing a pre-defined structure. Another key distinction: IA allows for initiative shifts within a range—a buyer-to-seller transition can occur without breaking range boundaries, as often happens in sideways markets.
This new method offers a fresh lens for viewing market dynamics. Instead of dividing charts by time or volume, candles are grouped by initiative blocks, each with its own duration. Comparing these blocks helps you "read" the market—who is gaining strength and who is losing it.
Even more importantly, this approach can help predict shifts in market control and estimate potential price targets.
Look at these charts
📉 Trend
When one side controls the market strongly, we see a single background color in price ranges. In this case, it makes sense to look for trades in the direction of the move. But it’s important to check the higher timeframe for confirmation (!).
In the chart:
A blue target line means a bullish target (thin line = 1H, thick = 1D).
A red target line means a bearish target (same logic for thickness).
Targets are calculated using a custom method that includes the initiative range, candle structure inside the initiative, and traded volumes.
Once a candle crosses the target line, the target is considered reached.
If a new target appears, it will be shown.
If the price leaves the buyer zone, the blue target disappears until the price returns. Same rule for seller zones.
📉 Sideways Market (Range)
If the chart background changes between red and blue in one price range, it means the market is in consolidation (sideways) — temporary balance between buyers and sellers. In this case, targets also switch: blue = buy target, red= sell target.
🔀 Transitional Phase
Sometimes, two price zones may appear at the same time — one above (buyers), one below (sellers). This is a transition period. It may turn into a sideways range or develop into a trend.
During transitions:
It’s better to avoid trading.
Check who controlled the price before, and who is in control on the higher timeframe (this is always important).
For example, if sellers were in control before, and the higher timeframe confirms it, sellers are likely to stay dominant. However, a short-term bounce or trend reversal is possible.
With IA You Can:
✅ Identify buyer/seller initiative in real time
✅ Anticipate initiative shifts
✅ Visualize control zones and key levels
✅ Compare strength between buyers and sellers
✅ Forecast potential price targets
IA lets you objectively assess market dynamics, identify the dominant side, and estimate the most probable direction.
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How IA Helps Solve Key Trading Challenges
📌 Complex Analysis → Simplified visual zones make market context easy to read—even for beginners.
📌 Lack of Strategy → IA covers 3 of the 5 essential trading questions (direction, entry zone, and target), and can be combined with other tools or techniques to answer the remaining two: entry timing and stop-loss placement:
Trade direction: Buy in a buyer block, sell in a seller block.
Entry zone: Buy below 50% of a buyer block, sell above 50% of a seller block.
Profit-taking: Estimate target using visualized zones.
While IA gives market context, final decisions still depend on patterns, volume, and risk management.
📌 Time Management → Visual structure saves hours of scanning and comparing charts.
“Now I scan for trade setups in 15 minutes, just by checking the visual layout. Before, I’d spend hours deciding if an asset was trending or in a range.” — trader review.
📌 Learning Speed → Think of it like driving: learning on a modern automatic car is much easier than on a 50-year-old manual. You don’t need to know how the transmission works—just how to drive.
Same with IA. It’s not an autopilot, but a powerful navigator that helps you orient in the market. IA simplifies analysis, but the trader is still responsible for decisions, risk, and mindset.
Fewer tools = faster learning. You don’t need to know how indicators are built—just how to use them.
IA focuses your attention on what matters. It reduces noise and highlights structure.
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Final Thoughts
IA introduces a new way of analyzing markets—not just reading the result, but watching the fight unfold in real time.
It helps traders make more confident decisions, simplifies analysis, and adds structure to the chaos of the market.
Clarity on the Chart. Smart Trading Decisions.
If this approach speaks to you—share the article, leave a comment, and stay tuned for more insights in upcoming posts!