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Multiple Time Frame Analysis

USD/CAD rallies for fourth day into resistanceUSD/CAD has continued higher for a fourth day, but I suspect this is part of a countertrend move around a larger move lower. Market positioning his extreme levels of record short exposure to CAD futures last year, and many of these bears refused to return despite USD/CAD continuing higher. The sharp reversal lower from 1.48 also suggests we have seen a significant top on the pair. I am now seeking evidence of a swing high around the 1.4386 HVN (high-volume node) and for momentum to realign with the sharp selloff witness at 1.48. Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
Short
by CityIndex
AUD/USD dip could be nearing its inflection pointAfter a 3-week rally which stalled around the 64c handle with a shooting star candle, a pullback was almost inevitable. but we have already seen AUD/USD fall for four consecutive days, and recent history shows its bearish streaks tend to max out at five down days. Given support is nearby and the AU-US 2-year yield is rising, I am now seeking a swing low around the 0.62750 - 0.6300 area for at least a minor bounce. But if the recent swing low on the US dollar index gives way, perhaps something much bigger. A break above 0.6420 opens up a run to 0.6500. Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
Long
by CityIndex
1
Incoming $1trillion dollar correction for crypto people... ** weeks ahead ** Is the market top in? This next move in the market will certainly convince the crypto folks that it is. According to social media, Youtube influencers etc.. the bull run is just beginning. That is in despite of a swathe of News article headlines “Bitcoin reaches new all time high $100k” and the janitor I have not spoken to in 10 years asking me if I'm buying Bitcoin. The signs are there. On the above 6 day chart, the TOTAL crypto market capitalisation, currently 3.57 trillion dollars price action has risen 46% since the November breakout. A number of reasons now exist for a bearish outlook: 1) Price action and RSI support breakdowns. Indeed the November breakouts requires confirmation of support on past resistance to allow for continuation. That's a long way down. 2) Support is exactly $1 trillion below at $2.57 trillion. 3) Price action is at a significant Fibonacci extension, look left. 4) This signal is found across the entire crypto market on both 6 day and weekly charts, in other words there is confluence across timeframes. That is important. Is it possible speculators keep throwing good money after bad in the hope price go up? Sure. Is it probable? No. Ww Bulls make money. Bears make money. Pigs get slaughtered. TOTAL3 - Hanging man OTHERS total - Hanging man
CRYPTOCAP:TOTALShort
by without_worries
62
GBPUSD Weekly Review: Feb 24th - 28thThe cable is still showing bullish with dollar concerns on the rates and the pound being stronger at the moment. Last week Monday & Tuesday: Consolidation Wednesday: Downward breakout, filling the imbalance, forming the week's low Thursday: Price rallied higher, taking out buy-side liquidity and ERL @1.2666 Friday: Price traded lower to close the week, closing in a 4hr buy-side imbalance Forecast and Key Levels: Immediate bounce off @1.2630 Potential targets if trading lower: Weekly BISI @1.2560 Lower @1.2550 Targets on the upside: Last week's high @1.26800 Buy-side liquidity @1.27300 Ultimate target @1.28000 which is at the monthly sibi DXY Confluence: DXY has a daily FVG (Fair Value Gap) to be filled, which could lead to a move lower targeting @105.40 EU and the world will aslo be following closely the Germany elecions 23rd/feb/2025.
Long
by hskarue
XAU/USD 26 January 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 21 February 2025. Price printed as per yesterday's analysis and bias. Price has printed a bearish CHocH indicating, but not confirming bearish pullback phase initiation. Price is now trading within an established internal range. Intraday Expectation: Price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ, or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high, priced at 2,954.955 Alternative scenario: Given HTF (Daily and Weekly) have also printed bullish iBOS' it would not come as a surprise if price printed a bearish iBOS. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bearish. Price has printed as per alternative scenario analysis whereby I mentioned that as we await for H4 TF to confirm bearish pullback phase initiation, it would be a realistic expectation for price to print a bearish iBOS, which price printed. As a result of the bearish iBOS, we now have a confirmed swing high. Price has also printed a bearish CHoCH and traded in to premium of internal 50% EQ. Intraday Expectation: Technically, price should target weak internal low priced at 2,888.180. Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
EURUSD 26 Feb 2025 W9 - Intraday AnalysisThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 26 Feb 2025 W9 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following: Market Sentiment 4H Chart Analysis 15m Chart Analysis Market Sentiment Today economic news: No Major economic news scheduled today. The market still in the same sentiment detailed in my Weekly Analysis . Below a summary: Short-Term Bias: Cautiously bullish for EUR/USD, driven by optimism over delayed tariffs, geopolitical progress, and hopes for softer inflation. Key Risks: A hot PCE report reviving Fed hawkishness. Sudden tariff escalations or breakdowns in peace talks. 4H Chart Analysis 1️⃣ 🔹Swing Bullish (Reached Swing Extreme Demand) 🔹INT Bearish (Reached Extreme Supply) 🔹INT-INT Bullish (Reached EQ (50%) 🔹Swing Continuation 2️⃣ 🔹With the deep pullback to the Bullish Swing extreme discount and mitigating the 4H/Daily demand zones, price turned Bullish forming a Bullish CHoCH. 🔹The current Bullish move from Swing extreme discount to current price level having 2 scenarios (Previously I’d the following 2 scenarios where now I favors the 2nd scenario due to the impulsive nature of the move): Scenario 1: Pullback for Bearish INT Structure and with the recent Bearish CHoCK and Minor Demand zones are failing, I expect Bearish continuation to target the Weak INT Low which aligns with the Daily/Weekly Bearish Structure/Move. (Counter Swing – Pro Internal) Scenario 2: Bullish Swing continuation to target the Weak Swing High. Which requires to have Demand holding and Supply failing. The first sign required to confirm this scenario will be the current Demand which price is currently at to hold and we form a Bullish CHoCH. (Pro Swing – Counter Internal) 🔹With this week open, price continued Bullish as expected and created another ii-BOS after which price started PB for the ii-BOS and reached the recent Demand which we could see the next Bullish move from. 3️⃣ 🔹Still expectation is set to continue Bullish targeting the Weak Swing High as long LTFs holds Bullish structures. Also, In my mind I’m not neglecting the current Bearish 4H INT structure and we already reached that structure extreme. 15m Chart Analysis 1️⃣ 🔹Swing Bullish 🔹INT Bullish 🔹Reached Swing EQ (50%)/Discount 🔹Swing Continuation Phase 2️⃣ 🔹After the 15m Bullish BOS, price initiated the Swing PB Phase. 🔹Price reached the 15m Swing EQ (50%) and turned Bullish after the INT structure changed to Bullish iBOS indicating that the Swing PB maybe over and we are currently starting the Swing Bullish continuation Phase. 🔹As price continued Bullish yesterday with Bullish iBOS. Currently with the recent iBOS we started the pullback and reached the INT structure extreme Demand where price can start the INT structure Bullish continuation and target the Weak INT High and ultimately the Weak 15m Swing High. 🔹If price failed to hold the INT structure Bullish and Turned Bearish, there is a high probability that we will continue Bearish based on the DXY PB Phase on 4H (PB after Bearish iBOS) and price may target the Strong 15m Swing Low. 3️⃣ 🔹Expectations is set to continue Bullish with the 15m / 4H INT & Swing are all Bullish while also cautious about the possibility of price to turn Bearish iBOS.
by Amr-Sadek