2025 Jan W5- Minor Retracement Idea [EU]Idea Qualifiers:
- Market is Extended
- Minor 4H High Hit
- 15m BoS with gap formed
Idea Invalidations:
- TP1 is hit before entry
Notes:
- The BoS is very tight compared to the general structure of the impulse.
- As this is related to a major OB, secondary swipe of liquidity is possible.
- Look for the market to swipe the highs and then drop, creating another BoS (look for the same retracement idea if this happens)
- A 1m refinement was used for the limit entry, experimenting to see how well I have a read on these.
#POI_MinorExternal #1mEntry #MajorOBBroken #GradeC
Multiple Time Frame Analysis
NKN Analysis: Breakout Brewing – Buy Zone IdentifiedA technical breakdown of NKN’s descending wedge pattern, buy-in levels, and key targets for traders.
COINBASE:NKNUSDC CRYPTO:NKNUSD
🔥 Key Takeaways from the Analysis:
Descending Wedge Breakout Setup: The chart shows a descending wedge pattern, a bullish indicator that often leads to upward price movement.
Accumulation Phase Identified: Prolonged sideways movement and volume patterns suggest significant accumulation, setting the stage for a potential breakout.
Double (or Similar) Bottom Confirmation: Key support levels around $0.076 have been tested and confirmed, solidifying the bottom.
Anticipated Pullback Zone: Expect a retracement to $0.79–$0.82 before the breakout. This zone offers a strong buying opportunity.
Breakout Target: Initial breakout target is $0.1075 (~20% gain). Further moves could extend higher if momentum sustains.
Volume & Bollinger Bands Analysis: A breakout will likely come with high volume. Watch for pullbacks to the Bollinger Bands' midline for re-entry opportunities.
Long-Term Perspective: Weekly chart suggests a larger trend reversal, signaling potential for sustained bullish movement.
📝 Video Summary:
Chart Overview:
NKN/USD daily chart shows a descending wedge pattern, often associated with bullish reversals.
Clear signs of accumulation over a prolonged range with high volatility.
Support Levels & Patterns:
Key support confirmed at $0.076 with consistent wicks rejecting that level.
Pattern resembles a double or "similar bottom," reinforcing the breakout potential.
Buy Zone & Strategy:
Anticipate a pullback to $0.79–$0.82.
Monitor behavior around this zone, including volume and Bollinger Band interaction, for entry.
Volume Insights:
High-volume spikes are expected at the breakout, but excessive volume may cause short-term pullbacks.
Use Bollinger Bands to gauge retracement levels before re-entering.
Breakout Targets:
Initial resistance at $0.1075 for a conservative 20% gain.
Potential for further gains depending on market momentum.
Weekly Chart Perspective:
Signals suggest a larger trend reversal with opportunities for significant upside.
Bollinger Band analysis highlights the importance of sideways consolidation before a major move.
Pro Tips:
Sell during high-volume spikes to avoid overextensions.
Watch mid-channel levels (Bollinger Bands) for support during retracements.
💡 Extra Notes for the Audience:
Patience Pays Off: Wait for the pullback to $0.79–$0.82 for an optimal entry.
Risk Management: Monitor $0.795 support. Closing below it could indicate a failure of the setup.
Be Ready for Profit-Taking: The $0.1075 target is a key resistance zone where traders might offload positions.
XAU/USD 27-31 January 2025 Weekly AnalysisWeekly Analysis:
Swing Structure -> Bullish.
Internal Structure -> Bullish.
Analysis/Bias remains the same as analysis dated 01 December 2024.
Price Action Analysis:
In my analysis dated 27 October 2024, it was noted that the first sign of a pullback would be a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH), indicated by a blue dotted line. Price's consistent upward momentum had positioned this CHoCH much closer to recent price levels as expected for weeks.
Now, for the first time since 23 November 2020, price has printed a bearish CHoCH. We are currently trading within a defined internal range.
Price is anticipated to trade down towards either the discount of the internal 50% Equilibrium (EQ), highlighted in blue, or the Weekly demand zone before targeting the weak internal high.
Note:
It is highly unlikely price will "crash" as many analysts are predicting. My view is this is merely a corrective wave of the primary trend.
Given the Federal Reserve's dovish policy stance alongside heightened geopolitical risks, market volatility is likely to remain elevated, influencing intraday price swings.
Weekly Chart:
Daily Analysis:
-> Swing -> Bullish.
-> Internal -> Bullish.
Analysis/Bias remains the same as analysis dated 01 December 2024
Price Action Analysis:
Price has shown a reaction from discount of internal 50% EQ. Currently price has been unable to target the weak internal high
Given the current internal range dynamics, price is expected to target weak internal high, priced at 2,790.170 However, considering the signs of a pullback phase on the Weekly timeframe, there remains a possibility of price printing a bearish Internal Break of Structure (iBOS). Price has yet to tap into Daily demand.
Note:
With the Fed maintaining a dovish policy stance and the continued rise in geopolitical tensions, we should anticipate elevated market volatility, which may impact both intraday and longer-term price action.
Daily Chart:
H4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 21 January 2025, however, CHoCH positioning has changed, bringing it closer to current price action.
Previous analysis has been met. Following price printing bearish CHoCH, price has printed a further bullish iBOS. This has significantly narrowed the internal range.
Price did not trade into either discount of 50% or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high, however, on this occasion I will remain systematic in my approach and revisit later.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate, but not confirm bearish pullback phase initiation. Bearish CHoCH positioning is denoted with s blue dotted line.
It would be useful to remember that Daily TF swing and internal range are bullish.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:https://www.tradingview.com/x/tPRFgn8w/
Short trade
1Hr TF overview
Sellside trade
Sat 25th Jan 25
7.00 pm
NY to Tokyo Session PM
Entry 104746.6
Profit level 103083.0 (1.70%)
Stop level 105573.8 (0.79%)
RR 2.15
Reason: Sellside trade based on the narrative of supply and demand observed the 4Hr to 1Hr TF along with trendline liquidity for directional bias, target (0.618) Golden ration for a risk-reward of 2.1
BNT to $27 in 4000% moveOn the above 12 day chart price action has corrected 96% from $9 in early 2021. A number of reasons now exist for a bullish outlook. They include:
1) Price action and RSI resistance breakouts.
2) Support on past resistance, look left.
3) That bull flag forecasts a 4000% move and more to $25 area.
Is it possible price action continues downtrend? Sure.
Is it probable? No.
Ww
Type: trade
Risk: you decide
Timeframe for long: remainder of this month
Return: Lambo
NIFTY getting weak..?As we can see despite hitting the untested demand zone, it failed to recover strongly and can be seen again trading at its lows and forming more like an inverted flag-pole pattern which is also a bearish continuation pattern hence we might see a sudden breakdown which can create a panic but may lead to a trap in bigger time frame so plan your trades accordingly and keep watching
TradeWithMky on POL chart🔥 MATIC Analysis 🔥
MATIC is holding strong at a key support zone, perfectly aligned with the 38-61% Fibonacci retracement. The reversal pinbar 🕯️ is flashing a potential bounce signal 📈. Eyes on the charts 👀—a move toward the resistance zone might be in the works! 🚀
Trader: TradeWithMky
Hashtag: #tradewithmky 💡
@TradeWithMky
GBP/NZD - Weekly OutlookThis is an extremely strong Analysis for not just a Long Term Point of view but also a short term scale, let me explain.
Monthly/Weekly markets are both bullish. We can notice that price has reacted 3 times off a strong Weekly Imbalance. Price that makes 3 touches is considered a strong zone so now I would suggest we would have a final pullback off this zone before creating a new MSS in smaller time frames. We have market out the 50% level on the Fib to show our Discount zones before looking for any entry models.
So far on the Daily/4H we can see a large Bullish move but.. we are not sure whether this Bullish leg has actually just finished nor just started so we will have to wait and assess this Bullish Price action and adjust our Fib as the market move to work out our pull back points.
I have set up a strong Demand zone which does happen to be at our OTE right now but again this may change due to the Bullish movement not currently showing any sights of a pullback.
We only enter trade will the highest possibility's and currently this market is showing extremely strong signs of possible trade entry's but we still need to work out what those entries are.
Good luck to the traders that want to follow this market and would be interested in my entry model in this Market
Band to print 6000% move to $90Price action has corrected over 90% on the above 16 day chart since early 2021. A number of reasons now exist for a bullish outlook. They include:
1) Price action and RSI resistance breakouts.
2) Support on past resistance, look left.
3) That bull flag forecasts a 6000% move and more to $90.
Is it possible price action continues downtrend? Sure.
Is it probable? No.
Ww
Type: trade
Risk: you decide
Timeframe for long: Yesterday
Return: Lambo
EUR/GBP - Monthly OutlookThis in my own opinion is one of my strongest Monthly Outlooks so far. Let me explain
HTF - This chart can how a very strong fast Bullish push towards the Upside ALTHOUGH, HTF's do suggest Bearish movements. Sells in this market are currently proffered due to the Monthly time line being Bearish. On the weekly and the Daily we are waiting for price to fall a bit before continuing this bullish leg. Higher TF's suggest this pullback could be part of a correctional stage of Elliot's wave. Im looking for price to return into the 50% range on the Fib to fall into a discount stage before looking to buy. Due to recent Price action there isnt a huge amount of information. We have two possible buy locations marked out, we also have our OTE zone marked out that is between those two entry models.
Lower Timeframes here so far are pretty basic. I expect price in the lower timeframes to give us a bit more clarity further into the month when price returns into the HTF Imbalance which may give us a little bit of choppy price action. This may help us determine some entries without the guess work currently other than an OTE zone and two Demand zones.
I will keep this Outlook Update further into this trading month.
Goodluck to the traders that follow.
ADA Cardano Only Your Opinion Counts! ADAUSD No Trigger No TradePlease read the chart annotations for 🟢SeekingPips🟢 insight.
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EURUSD 27-31 Jan 2025 W5 - Weekly Analysis - EU&US Interest RateThis is my Weekly analysis on EURUSD for 27-31 Jan 2025 W5 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following:
Market Sentiment
Weekly Chart Analysis
Daily Chart Analysis
4H Chart Analysis
Economic Events for the Week
Market Sentiment
Weaker Dollar Sentiment: A softer tone on tariffs reduced market fears of escalating trade wars. This decreased safe-haven flows into the USD, as such rhetoric often bolsters the dollar's demand during heightened global uncertainties.
Improved Global Trade Outlook: Easing trade tensions generally supports global economic activity, benefitting risk-sensitive assets like the euro. The USD could weaken as investors seek higher-yielding opportunities outside the U.S.
Market Expectations for the Federal Reserve: If the U.S.-China trade relationship stabilizes, it could lower inflationary pressures caused by tariffs, potentially leading to a more dovish tone from the Federal Reserve. This would further weaken the dollar.
Lagging Economic Growth in Europe: While the euro could see short-term gains, its long-term strength depends on the eurozone’s ability to address its economic challenges. Structural issues in major economies like Germany and Italy could cap the euro’s upside.
Upcoming important news: EUR & USD Interest rate decision, FOMC Meeting and PCE.
Weekly Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bearish
🔹Internal Bearish
🔹In Swing Discount
🔹Swing Continuation Phase (Pro Swing + Pro Internal)
2️⃣
🔹INT structure continuing bearish with iBOS following the Bearish Swing. (End of 2023 till end of 2024 was a pullback phase after the first bearish iBOS)
3️⃣
🔹After the bearish iBOS we expect a pullback, price tapped into liquidity below Nov 2022 which is above the weekly demand formed with the initiation of the bearish iBOS pullback phase.
🔹Price made a bullish CHoCH which indicates that the liquidity was enough as per previous week analysis to initiate a pullback phase for the bearish iBOS.
🔹Price currently looking to target the liquidity built up during September 2024 and maybe reaching the Weekly supply zone (In INT structure Premium).
🔹Expectations of price to continue bullish to sweep the liquidity/mitigate supply zone while putting in consideration that we can have a pullback after the bullish CHoCH to weekly newly demand formed.
Daily Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bearish
🔹INT Bearish
🔹Swing Continuation Phase (Pro Swing + Pro Internal)
2️⃣
🔹Following the Bearish Swing BOS, INT Structure continuing bearish approaching the weekly demand zone.
3️⃣
🔹After the failure to close below the Weak INT Low, price continued bullish sweeping the liquidity above Dec 30 and currently mitigating a Daily supply zone within the INT Structure Premium Zone.
🔹The current Daily supply zone could provide an intraday pullback to daily demand formed to continue bullish and target the INT High as this is the weekly liquidity currently to be targeted. Also, I put in consideration that the structure is bearish and we should be continuing down to target the Weak INT low. But I want to see more development on LTF to confirm this scenario.
🔹Expectations is set to continue bullish with cautious on the bearish scenario.
4H Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bullish
🔹INT Bullish
🔹Swing Continuation after BOS
2️⃣
🔹INT structure continuing bullish after the bullish BOS. We expect that at anytime the Swing Pullback will start.
🔹Currently price at a Daily Supply Zone that can initiate at least INT Structure Pullback and may extend to Swing Pullback to at least Swing EQ (50%)/Daily and Weekly Demand.
3️⃣
🔹Expectation is price to initiate a pullback for the Bullish INT structure and then continue bullish from demand to target the Daily INT High/Weekly Liquidity.
🔹More development required on LTFs/Intraday Analysis.
Economic Events for the Week
Long trade
2min Overview
Pair SOLUSD
Buyside trade
Sat 25th Jan 25
7.20 am (NY Time)
1Hr TF Entry
4Hr Structure
Entry 248.70
Profit level 260.96 (4.93%)
Stop level 247.16 (0.62%)
RR 7.96
Reason: Mapping price action from 4Hr to 1Hr time-frame seemed indicative of a buyside trade. Based on the narrative of supply and demand, the ascending triangle formation is utilised as support with directional bias and buyside trade.
EURGBP Short for the coming week.Price has been bullish the previous week, and we've taken PDH . We expect price to target IRL before it continues bullish.
We expect price to rally up to our BB for our entry before it pushes down towards the IRL .
Our IRL is at OTE of the range, with a clean Daily FVG that we expect will hold as our LL before pushing price to HHs.
EURUSD OUTLOOK JAN 27 - 31On the daily we had a choch on Wednesday and a continuation on Friday. Internal structure on the daily is bullish.
There is a good chance that we continue higher next week targeting the daily swing high. The black like shows simple market structure going towards the target. However if there is a bearish choch and internal structure remains bearish I will target the low.
There is also a possibility that there will be some sort of complex pullback. Early in the week if we get a daily choch but fail to go below the previous weeks low there is a possibility that price will continue higher on the lower timeframes but if that does happen I will do my best to share a good analysis.
For now this is what I'm sharing, be sure to do your own analysis and mark out key areas you would look to take trades at.
CAD/CHF - Weekly OutlookHey guys, im starting to get a Following pretty quickly and I appreciate all the kind words and support. The more I get from you guys the more Ill do in return.
Weekly Breakdown for CAD/CHF.
Starting off in the Weekly TF we can notice clearly we are Bearish. We will be following suit for this Trend but starting things off market out the 50% level on the Weekly for my Discount zone. Also marked out two zones of Imbalance that I could possibly see price move into. Below our first Imbalance we can see a Mitigation Block which could be a point where we see our reversal after Liquidity has been taken OR we could see price move into the second zone of Imbalance of which price could hit a marked Supply zone before having a reversal. Both of those options are possible.
On the Medium Time frame being the Daily we can see a clear shift in the Market which created Buy side Liquidity and an Imbalance (not market)... We also created a pullback to following a strong Bullish Trend then opening a Strong Mitigation Block for us of which price has respected and move from by simply tapping into with the wick on the 4H. The wick also took our that Sell side Imbalance/Liquidity now helping us create our Second Leg for a Buying opportunity. I have marked out a possible target for Liquidity. Once price move back into that higher TF Discount zone then I will be looking for my next entry for a Sell.
4H shows Bullish Price action. Although I have another Idea ive shared for that Entry.
Thank you all again for all the support. I will be trying to do Weekly Market Outlooks on the weekend consistently so make sure to follow me and share my trade Ideas
Cheers and good luck.
NZDUSD - LongTerm + MidTerm forecast, Technical AnalysisMonthly TimeFrame:
Weekly TimeFrame:
LongTerm forecast (Monthly Timeframe):
Price is in a Downtrend, But 0.5470 is a Major support.
Considering that this support line has not been broken since 2009, there is a high probability that the price will be rejected and a long-term upward trend will be formed.
But this process will also take years.
MidTerm forecast (Daily Timeframe):
0.57992 is a major resistance, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be downtrend.
We would set buy orders based on Daily-Trading-Opportunities and expect to reach MidTerm targets.
Beginning of entry zone (0.5540)
Ending of entry zone (0.5470)
Take Profits:
0.5664
0.5750
0.5799
0.5863
0.5916
0.6036
0.6118
0.6259
0.6368
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