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Multiple Time Frame Analysis

XAU/USD 13 January 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis/Intraday expectation remains the same as analysis dated 16 December 2024. Price is clearly unable to target weak internal. This is due to the fact that Daily and Weekly Timeframe remain in bearish pullback phase. Price Action Analysis: Technically price is to target weak internal priced at 2,721.420. Price has sweeped liquidity, for two possible reasons. 1. To assist price to complete bearish pullback phase, react at either discount of internal 50% or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high. 2. To assist Daily and H4 TF's to complete bearish pullback phase with price to print a bearish iBOS and target strong internal low priced at 2,536.855. Intraday Expectation: Intraday expectation and alternative scenario as per points 1 and 2. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price Action Analysis: Intraday expectation was met with price successfully targeting weak internal high. Price subsequently printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH. We are currently trading within an established range Price has traded in to discount of internal 50% EQ. Intraday Expectation: Price to target weak internal high, priced at 2,697.950. Price could potentially trade down to M15 demand zone to sweep liquidity before targeting weak internal high. Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
EUR/USD (EU) Analysis (Daily Timeframe)Recently, we’ve observed a distribution phase in EUR/USD, followed by a markdown , confirming the overall bearish trend visible on both the daily and weekly timeframes. Key Observations: Bearish Structure: On the daily timeframe, price is consistently creating supply zones and showing strong reactions to them. The market structure confirms the downtrend with the formation of lower lows and breaks to the downside. EMA Interaction: The price is currently surfing downward along the EMAs , which are acting as dynamic resistance and reinforcing the bearish momentum. Scenarios to Watch: Continuation: Price could continue its markdown, heading toward the short-term target and potentially testing the psychological level of 1.0000. Re-distribution: There’s also a possibility of a move upward, creating a re-distribution phase to accumulate enough liquidity for a stronger push below 1.0000 . Fundamental Insights: Strength of the US Economy: The US dollar remains strong due to: Higher interest rates maintained by the Federal Reserve to combat inflation, which increases the demand for USD-denominated assets. Strong labor market data , with low unemployment and rising wages supporting consumer spending. Positive GDP growth , reflecting resilience in the US economy despite global economic challenges. Weakness in the Eurozone: European economies are facing multiple headwinds, including: Energy concerns driven by geopolitical tensions, leading to higher costs for businesses and consumers. Slow economic growth as inflation continues to weigh on consumer spending. Divergence in monetary policy , with the European Central Bank (ECB) appearing more cautious about aggressive rate hikes compared to the Fed. The combination of these factors makes the USD fundamentally stronger, while the EUR struggles under the weight of economic and geopolitical challenges. My Perspective: Given the strong bearish structure, EMA surfing, and fundamental backdrop, I expect further downside momentum. However, the possibility of a re-distribution phase cannot be ruled out, especially if liquidity is needed to push below the 1.0000 level. Staying cautious and reactive to price action around key levels will be crucial.
Short
by TraderOuss_LumaNex
GOLD Analysis (Daily Timeframe)Gold has been extremely bullish for a while, consistently breaking to the upside and creating higher highs , accompanied by the formation of demand zones that were later mitigated for continuation. The last significant move was a reaccumulation (Re-acc) phase, which revisited unmitigated demand zones. From there, we saw a bullish reaction. However, due to low year-end volume , Gold hasn't been able to break its previous high. Since then, it has been ranging in the same area. Key Observations: Bullish Volume Returning: Recently, bullish volume seems to be picking up, signaling the potential start of the next leg upward. EMA Interaction: Previously, the price was "surfing" along the EMAs, demonstrating a strong trend-following behavior. Currently, the EMAs have tightened significantly, which often signals an impending price expansion—a strong indication that volatility and directional movement may resume soon. Two Scenarios in Play: Gold may continue ranging before breaking to the upside. The current move may sustain and lead to a new high. Liquidity Trap: The reaccumulation created a cloud of liquidity , with many traders now eyeing potential sell opportunities due to: - The break to the downside. - The formation of equal highs , often misinterpreted as bearish. This could very well be a Smart Money Trap , fueling a bullish move as liquidity is taken. My Perspective: I remain optimistic about the bullish scenario , as the overall market context suggests a continuation of the upward trend. This is a critical area to watch, and I will monitor closely for confirmation of the next move.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TraderOuss_LumaNex
2
KASBTC Break Out Incomming?KASPA has been bleeding agains BTC for the better half of a year and has clearly formed a bullish falling wedge structure in the KASBTC Pair. KASPA vs Stables has been trading in a range for 14 months with the range low coming in around 0.10 and the range high around 0.19 based of Volume Profile. Is KASPA about to bottom out against BTC and start another huge move that greatly outperforms its BTC pair? for this to happen we would have to also see a break of this 14 month range to the upside and we can only expect the move to be extremely violent considering the amount of time the asset has consolidated. KASUSDT Macro indicators are all oversold with the weekly stochastic RSI touching true zero for the fist time since the asset was trading for 0.015. with a potential higher high in the Stochastic wave and in the weekly price action I am looking for Bullish Convergence to print shortly after KASPA moves back above 0.128. Additionally the Weekly MACD moving averages is set to print a lower low tonight while KASPA price action trades in a small higher high range printing large time frame Bullish Divergence on the MACD. Obviously I am watching BTCUSDT closely to avoid getting into a position that looks good technically but maybe lost simply from the over all market moving down. But, I don't see how BTC doesn't continue in the next week as Trump takes office and the FED continue to move towards one of their two scheduled rate cuts. Regardless KASPA at its current price of 0.118 is an excellent buy with fibonacci targets as high as 0.51 for a range break out. I expect any price break down from this current level to be bought up very quickly.
Long
by AlexSpicer94
XAU/USD 13-17 January 2025 Weekly AnalysisWeekly Analysis: Swing Structure -> Bullish. Internal Structure -> Bullish. Analysis/Bias remains the same as analysis dated 01 December 2024. Price Action Analysis: In my analysis dated 27 October 2024, it was noted that the first sign of a pullback would be a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH), indicated by a blue dotted line. Price's consistent upward momentum had positioned this CHoCH much closer to recent price levels as expected for weeks. Now, for the first time since 23 November 2020, price has printed a bearish CHoCH. We are currently trading within a defined internal range. Price is anticipated to trade down towards either the discount of the internal 50% Equilibrium (EQ), highlighted in blue, or the Weekly demand zone before targeting the weak internal high. Note: It is highly unlikely price will "crash" as many analysts are predicting. My view is this is merely a corrective wave of the primary trend. Given the Federal Reserve's dovish policy stance alongside heightened geopolitical risks, market volatility is likely to remain elevated, influencing intraday price swings. Weekly Chart: Daily Analysis: -> Swing -> Bullish. -> Internal -> Bullish. Analysis/Bias remains the same as analysis dated 01 December 2024 Price Action Analysis: Price has shown a reaction from discount of internal 50% EQ. Currently price has been unable to target the weak internal high Given the current internal range dynamics, price is expected to target weak internal high, priced at 2,790.170 However, considering the signs of a pullback phase on the Weekly timeframe, there remains a possibility of price printing a bearish Internal Break of Structure (iBOS). Price has yet to tap into Daily demand. Note: With the Fed maintaining a dovish policy stance and the continued rise in geopolitical tensions, we should anticipate elevated market volatility, which may impact both intraday and longer-term price action. Daily Chart: H4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bullish. Analysis/Intraday expectation remains the same as analysis dated 16 December 2024. Price is clearly unable to target weak internal. This is due to the fact that Daily and Weekly Timeframe remain in bearish pullback phase. Price Action Analysis: Technically price is to target weak internal priced at 2,721.420. Price has sweeped liquidity, for two possible reasons. 1. To assist price to complete bearish pullback phase, react at either discount of internal 50% or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high. 2. To assist Daily and H4 TF's to complete bearish pullback phase with price to print a bearish iBOS and target strong internal low priced at 2,536.855. Intraday Expectation: Intraday expectation and alternative scenario as per points 1 and 2. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. H4 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
GBP/JPY - The Massive Opportunity Most Traders Will Miss!Welcome to today’s market analysis with Mr. Blue Ocean FX! It’s Sunday, January 12, and while the markets are closed, we’re diving into a detailed look at GBP/JPY and the huge opportunities it presents. Key Highlights: • Starting on the monthly time frame , we’re observing a ranging market , with higher highs and lows suggesting an overall bullish trend. However, signs point to potential lower prices ahead due to key liquidity levels being tested and rejected. • On the weekly time frame, a double-top formation near the 199 area hints at bearish pressure. Key neckline support sits around 190, which, if broken, could open the path to targets at 173 and 163. • Scaling down to the daily and H4 time frames, the market is consolidating, and liquidity sweeps or retests of significant levels could offer high-reward trade setups. We’re also watching for rejection at key resistance levels before potential further downside. • Key Trading Tip: Markets range 75-80% of the time—recognize these opportunities to trade within consolidation zones! Trade Setup: • Watching for lower-high formations or liquidity sweeps to confirm entries. • Stops will be placed above key resistance levels, with potential short-term targets at 190 and longer-term targets at 173 and 163. Stay disciplined: “Don’t chase the falling knife!” Always wait for pullbacks or retests to maximize risk-to-reward. If you found this analysis valuable, don’t forget to like, share, and follow! Comment below with pairs you’d like us to analyze in future videos. Happy trading and see you next time!
Short
by BlueOceanFxAcademy
4
Bullish Bias Until Opposing DisplacementClassic SMC concept: Price at Premium area, in order to gather liquidity it has to go to Discount area. Lets break down it into available Week unfolding Scenario: Scenario A: The easiest target for Price is to take PWH (Premium) and then we may face the some sort of displacement it could create Daily/4h -OB then we may trade up to Thursday for having Bearish Bias (short term) by keeping in mind Bullish Bias intact in mind (long term). Scenario B: Price may drop into FVG:BISI(4h) and may turn Bullish and then we may notice FVG creation on Monday and may ride Tuesday retracement to frame Bullish trade up to Thursday/Friday.
TVC:DXY
by Arrsalaan
1
AT&T on course for $93b / -60% correction?On the above 3 month chart price action has rallied 70% since July 2023 for no reason whatsoever on this loss making company. A phone company picks a finance guru to run a business that relies on creativity. What could go wrong? Regardless, short term liabilities are almost 2 fold the assets with net income in loss, -$174m last quarter alone. Before consideration of the $146b debt.. how is this business even paying a dividend?! A master of finance this guru is, but let us not question the era corporate America is operating these days. (Boeing says hello.... hell with engineers, what do they know?!) Despite this the market is bullish. Morningstar (December 4th, 2024) “With Room to Sharply Increase Broadband Margins, We’ve Increased Our AT&T Fair Value Estimate to $25” “Results were solid, with strong wireless customer churn pushing net customer additions” The Motley fool (November 6th, 2024) “AT&T has returned its focus to its core operations, and those businesses are steadily strengthening. That, coupled with its debt reduction and rising FCF, makes AT&T look like a worthwhile long-term investment.” Tradingview.com ideas are mostly all long ideas.. people! The TA: On the above 3 month chart: 1) Price action and RSI support breakouts. 2) Regular bearish divergence. 3) Rising wedge breakout, which forecasts the first 40% correction. 4) The larger uptrend channel forecasts the complete 60% correction to monthly support of around $9. Is it possible price action continues upwards and onwards? Sure. Is it probable? No. Ww
NYSE:TShort
by without_worries
Potential Wyckoff reversal pattern BTCUSDHi everybody. I want to pick your brain about my swing trade / position trade entry idea on BTC. Investment thesis: FUNDAMENTALS: Long Term: Liquidity expanding + China Stimulus / Raoul Paul GMI concepts. Time based: End of quarter rally + cycle stage should come with a rally. TECHNICALS Weekly: FVG in Support tested several times. Daily: Daily wicks and Bullish FVG Hourly: Wyckoff (sort of) strucutre: Sell climax + penetration + BOut Res + retest RR: 3:1 approx.
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by SensumCommunem