XAU/USD 12 February 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 11 February 2025.
As mentioned in yesterday's analysis dated 10 February 2025 that it is highly likely price will print a bullish iBOS is how price printed.
Price is currently trading within an internal low and fractal high.
ChoCH positioning to indicate, but not confirm bearish pullback phase initiation is denoted with a blue dotted line.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to continue bearish and react at either discount of internal 50%, or H4 demand zone, before targeting weak internal high, priced at 2,942.780.
Alternative scenario:
Given HTF (Daily and Weekly) have also printed bullish iBOS' it would not come as a surprise if price printed a bearish iBOS.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 11 February 2025.
Price printed as per yesterday's analysis whereby it was mentioned price to print bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation.
Price is now trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price to trade down to either discount of 50% internal EQ or nested H4/M15 demand zone before targeting weak internal high priced at 2,942.780.
Alternative Scenario:
As all HTF's are in bearish pullback phase it would be viable if price targeted strong internal low, printing a bearish iBOS.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
Multiple Time Frame Analysis
GBP/USD - Outlook UpdateDaily View Only
Price is currently Long term still bearish.
Price has finished its final leg of Elliots Wave Consolidation
This rising wedge pattern is a liquidity trend... EXPECT A BREAKOUT
The Highlighted zone shows a smaller area of consolidation in this wave, Im expecting when price takes out either one of these swing level will determine the next impulse direction
Will link the 4H view to this Post
AUD/USD: Precision Entry Loading….4H bulls are in full control—momentum is pushing, and I’m not here to question it. Dropped to the 30M, got my CHoCH, and now structure is fully bullish.
Now? Just waiting. Price needs to sweep inducement, then I’ll step in off the order block after my final 5M confirmation. No rushing, no second-guessing—just letting price do what it has to do.
Most traders chase. I let price come to me. Let’s see if AUD wants to play its part.
#AUDUSD #SMC #SmartMoney #OrderBlocks #LiquiditySweep #PriceAction
Bless Trading!
USD/JPY4H mitigation? ✅ Already handled. Now it’s about playing the 30M right.
Got my CHoCH confirmation—structure is syncing up. Now I’m waiting for price to give me that nasty correction drop, take out engineered liquidity, and mitigate the order block. If it skips that and only clears minor liquidity, I’ll be looking for interest around 151.800 on the 30M order block.
Most traders react to the move. I position myself where the market has to go. Let’s see if it plays by the rules.
#USDJPY #SMC #SmartMoney #OrderBlocks #LiquiditySweep #PriceAction
Bless Trading!
GOLD SHORT BUY MOOD NOW
Hello Traders, here is the full analysis for this pair,
let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions,
the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be
satisfied. I suggest you keep this pair on your watch list and see if
the rules of your strategy are satisfied.
Dear Traders,
If you like this idea, do not forget to support it with a like and follow.
PLZ! LIKE COMMAND AND SUBSCRIBE
XAU/USD: Riding the Momentum 4H is doing exactly what it should—straight bullish, no hesitation. Momentum is clear, and I’m not here to fight it.
Dropped to the 30M to catch the continuation. IDM has already been taken out, so now it’s a waiting game. Just need price to dip into the 30M order block for that clean mitigation before I step in. Nothing forced, just precision.
Most traders chase gold. I position myself before the move. Let’s see if price respects the blueprint.
#XAUUSD #Gold #SMC #SmartMoney #OrderBlocks #Liquidity #PriceAction
Bless Trading!
EUR/GBP: The Setup is Unfolding 30M already did its job—mitigated the order block just like I expected. Now? It’s all about catching the continuation move.
I’m locked in on the 5M, waiting for a CHoCH to confirm bullish structure. But that’s not enough—I need liquidity to build up, get swept, and give me that clean mitigation before I step in. Precision over impulse.
Most traders force trades. I let the market show its hand first. Let’s see if price wants to run these highs next.
#EURGBP #SMC #SmartMoney #OrderBlocks #LiquiditySweep #PriceAction
Bless Trading!
EUR/USD: Precision Over Emotion30M just gave the CHoCH—exactly what I was waiting for. Buyers are showing their hand, and now it’s all about execution.
5M is the playground. Liquidity has been swept, and now I’m watching for price to mitigate the order block before making its next move. No guessing. No hesitation. Just Smart Money at work.
Most traders react—I anticipate. Let’s see if price respects the blueprint.
#EURUSD #SMC #SmartMoney #OrderBlocks #Liquidity #PriceAction
Bless Trading!
EURUSD 12 Feb 2025 W7 - Intraday Analysis - CPI, Powell & TariffThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 12 Feb 2025 W7 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following:
Market Sentiment
4H Chart Analysis
15m Chart Analysis
Market Sentiment
In my Weekly Analysis, tariffs continue to dominate the narrative, yet market reactions have become the primary focus. The critical question is whether investors have grown accustomed to tariff-related news—leading to muted responses—or if the persistent tariff war rhetoric will trigger renewed market anxiety.
Notably, Powell’s testimony yesterday failed to offer any fresh insights; however, there is hope that today’s session might shed some light on future policy directions. Additionally, the USD’s weakness observed at the close of trading yesterday appears to have been driven more by reports of a territorial swap in Ukraine’s peace deal—and possibly an initial leak of the CPI data—rather than by Powell’s remarks.
Today’s CPI report is expected to be a significant driver of market volatility. Investors are eagerly anticipating softer CPI numbers, which could encourage the Fed to consider not only an earlier rate cut but potentially two cuts this year, contrasting with the current market consensus of just one. While tariffs are clearly contributing to upward inflationary pressures and prompting a cautious stance from the Fed, the immediate volatility is likely to stem from the CPI data. The market will be closely watching whether the tariffs are being employed as a negotiating tactic—or if they signal an intentional escalation towards a trade war.
Markets face a tug-of-war between CPI-driven rate hopes and tariff-induced risks. While CPI may spark a tactical rally if soft, tariffs remain the swing factor – any escalation (e.g., new retaliatory measures) would overshadow short-term data. Position for choppy trading until Trump’s tariff strategy crystallizes.
4H Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bullish
🔹INT Bearish
🔹Reached Swing Extreme Demand
🔹Swing Continuation
2️⃣
🔹With the deep pullback to the Bullish Swing extreme discount and mitigating the 4H/Daily demand zones, price turned Bullish forming a Bullish CHoCH.
🔹The current Bullish move from Swing extreme discount to current price level having 2 scenarios:
Scenario 1: Pullback for Bearish INT Structure and with the recent Bearish CHoCK and Minor Demand zones are failing, I expect Bearish continuation to target the Weak INT Low which aligns with the Daily/Weekly Bearish Structure/Move. (Counter Swing – Pro Internal)
Scenario 2: Bullish Swing continuation to target the Weak Swing High. Which requires to have Demand holding and Supply failing. The first sign required to confirm this scenario will be the current Demand which price is currently at to hold and we form a Bullish CHoCH. (Pro Swing – Counter Internal)
🔹The reaction from the recent 4H Demand Zone formed a Bullish CHoCH and a fresh Demand zone where price can pullback to after tapping the recent 4H Supply Zone.
3️⃣
🔹Expectations is set to Bearish to target the Weak INT Low as long LTFs turning Bearish.
15m Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bearish
🔹INT Bullish
🔹At Swing Premium
2️⃣
🔹With yesterday PA, price failed to continue Bearish and created a Bullish i-BOS.
🔹Price reached the 4H supply as anticipated and mitigated the 15m Supply within the 4H to maybe initiate the Bullish INT Structure pullback phase and if the swing is going to continue Bearish there is a high probability to target the Strong INT Low.
🔹The current Bullish i-BOS aligns with the 4H Swing where we have also a high probability that we can target the 15m Strong Swing High.
🔹With the inconsistency of Time frames alignments, a clear direction is difficult to identify which requires a sit back and watch till we have a clear direction.
3️⃣
🔹From an intraday perspective, expectations are set to Bearish to facilitate the Bullish INT Structure pullback.
🔹Today’s CPI, Powell and Tariffs talks will have high volatility that could direct me tomorrow or next week for a clearer direction move.
NIFTY back to our strong demand zone ! As we can see NIFTY is now trading at important demand zone and psychological levels of 23000 and this level had been a confluence of multiple trendline supports hence we can again expect a REVERSAL from this zone for a new swing so keep watching and plan your trades accordingly.
Stock Of The Day / 02.11.25 / TEM02.11.2025 / NASDAQ:TEM
Fundamentals. Neutral news background.
Technical analysis.
Daily chart: The price is near the upper limit of a wide range. The level 78.00 formed by a trend break in November 2024 is ahead.
Premarket: A slight decline on moderate volume. We mark the premarket high at 69.00.
Trading session: We observe a sharp, almost non-pullback impulse on the opening of the trading session, which was stopped at the level of 78.00. We are considering a short trade in case of an unsuccessful attempt to breakout 78.00 due to the fact that the price approached a strong daily level very sharply on large candles and passed 1.7 ATR.
Trading scenario: false breakout with retest of level 78.00
Entry: 76.82 after unsuccessful attempt of breakout, pullback and retest.
Stop: 78.21 we hide it behind the high of the retest.
Exit: Close part of the position before premarket high level of 69.00. Close the rest part of the position around 69.22 when reversal candlestick pattern appears.
Risk Rewards: 1/5
P.S. In order to understand the idea behind the Stock Of The Day analysis, read the following information .
USDCAD SHORTMarket structure bearish on HTFs DW
Entry at Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Previous Weekly Structure Point
Daily Rejection at AOi
Previous Daily Structure Point
Around Psychological Level 1.44000
H4 EMA retest
H4 Candlestick rejection
Levels 10.28
Entry 95%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King
30% Bitcoin correction to circa $72kOn the above 2 day chart price action has printed 100% gain since September. A number of reasons now exist for a bearish outlook in the near term. They include:
1) Price action failed support.
2) RSI and MFI failed support.
3) Strong bearish divergence with price action. 10 oscillators price negative divergence with price action at this time.
4) The $72k forecast is the 50% Fibonacci level.
5) What will happen to overbought alt tokens? Nothing good.
Is it possible price action continues to print higher highs like most Youtube shills are calling for? Sure.
Is it probable? No.
Ww
Is a 70% crash to 28k in Bitcoin’s near future?On the above 16 day chart there are some interesting observations worthy of attention.
1) Bearish divergence. Not just any divergence, a divergence that is measured over 3 months. It is the same divergence used on the recent "short" idea on Ethereum, published in Mid December at $3700, now $2600.
Is this time different?
2) Support and resistance. Look left at this legacy support and resistance. A confirmation of support or resistance results in a significant move in price action.
Does that look like a confirmation of support forming?
3) RSI support breakout. Look left.
Is this time different?
4) Almost every Youtube outlet is calling for silly forecasts to $170k, $250k, $300k we’re in full euphoria mode. The majority are blind to it. Love is blind.
To be clear I’m not calling for a correction right now, this is a 16 day chart which takes weeks to print a candle and confirm trend. Like 14 weeks.
Is it possible price action to continues with higher highs? Yes, and it is expected.
Is probable the silly targets the internet is calling will be realised? No.
Ww
Ethereum same 3 month divergence
GBPCHF SHORT Market structure bearish on HTFs DW
Entry at both Weekly and Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection At AOi
Previous Weekly Structure Point
Daily Rejection At AOi
Previous Daily Structure Point
Around Psychological Level 1.13000
H4 Candlestick rejection
Levels 9.01
Entry 95%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.