“USD/JPY | 30M CHoch > inducement > 4H Play”30M just gave a clean CHoCH, breaking a major LH, signaling bullish intent—at least for now. I’m waiting for inducement to be taken before price taps into my order block, lining up with the 4H move. The goal? Ride price up into 4H supply, then look for the sell-off from mitigation. Letting price show its hand first.
Bless Trading!
Multiple Time Frame Analysis
Stock Of The Day / 03.13.25 / ADBE03.13.2025 / NASDAQ:ADBE #ADBE
Fundamentals. Positive earnings report, but forecasts are slightly lower than expected.
Technical analysis.
Daily chart: Downtrend. Yearly minimum is ahead.
Premarket: Gap Down on increased volume.
Trading session: The pullback after the initial impulse from the opening was stopped at 393.80. The next few attempts to return and hold above 393.80 were also unsuccessful. At the same time, the price formed a tightening to the level from below. We are considering a short trade to continue the downward movement.
Trading scenario: Pullback along the trend (false tightening) to level 393.80
Entry: 391.17 when the structure of the tightening to the level is broken
Stop: 394.81 we hide it above the candlestick of the last pullback
Exit: We observe a pullback-free movement without a clear trend structure after entering the trade. It is optimal to fix such movements in parts upon reaching certain Risk/Rewards targets (1/3, 1/4, etc.) with subsequent stop tightening.
Risk Rewards: 1/3
P.S. In order to understand the idea of the Stock Of The Day analysis, please read the following information .
EURUSD - Continued price correction in the short termConsidering the DXY and the formation of a correction on the 15-minute timeframe, this correction could probably be deeper.
In my opinion, today's price could move down again after clearing the Asian High liquidity and reaching the order block in the range of 1.09046 to 1.09144.
If the price breaks 1.08358 even with a shadow, this correction will probably be confirmed deeper.
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SPX - Continuing the downward trendGiven the flow of bearish orders on the daily and lower timeframes, the SPX is still in a bearish trend. Of course, if the weekly candle closes below 5771.3, the structure on this timeframe will also become bearish.
So in this situation, opening short positions is better than long positions. Note that any upward movement can only be a small daily correction.
We will probably see another BoS on the 15-minute timeframe today and the price could reach another support level.
Everything is clear on the chart
Watch, enjoy, be profitable
US30 BUYOANDA:US30USD
We entered our last US30 position early, but we got a 400-pip move in the process. This is still a key level on the daily. I'm entering from this zone when price begins to consolidate to show signs of support. Until then, use the alerts to notify you if price creates a lower low on the 2-hour time frame. Again, if this area builds support, there is a good chance that we will see a retest of the daily highs. We also have a bullish divergence printed on the chart as well. This rejection could be the start of the bull run to retest the key level on the daily time frame.
If price continues to fall, wait on a solid close beneath the lows then enter the sell on the rest of structure.
USDJPY SHORTsMarket structure bearish DW
Entry at both Weekly and Daily
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Previous Weekly Structure Point
Daily Rejection at AOi
Previous Structure point Daily
Around Psychological Level 149.000
H4 Candlestick rejection
Levels 10.23
Entry 95%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
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APL LongGolden cross about to happen on monthly time frame (By the start of next month).
It broke out its all-time high, touched Fib 1.618 level and then retraced back to retest.
Currently breached its 10 moving average on monthly chart and weekly 50 moving average gave it support.
Its easy target can be 734 if it jumps again after the golden cross.
GBPUSD cpi and ppi effects on the dollar.Price Movement: The price opened and traded lower during the Asian and London sessions, tapping into a 1-hour order block (1.29434) and a 15-minute fair value gap (FVG).
Key Levels:
London Low Liquidity: 1.29415
1-Hour Order Block: 1.29434
15-Minute BISI Consequent Encroachment: 1.29394
Targets:
Asian Highs: 1.29740
CPI High: 1.29870
Economic Indicators: The recent CPI data created a high that might be targeted. Additionally, the PPI is due today, and the sentiment is negative, potentially weakening the dollar.
EURUSD - Ready to correct, of course, a little deeperGiven the resistance zone on the upper timeframes (weekly and daily) and the signs of a correction on the lower timeframes, we will soon have a deep correction to reach the discount areas on the upper timeframes.
Of course, the analysis needs to be updated in the future and for now we will focus on the short-term price movement.
XAU/USD 13 March 2025 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis/Bias remains the same as analysis dated 07 March 2024.
Price has printed a bullish CHoCH according to analysis and bias dated 28 February 2025.
Price is currently trading within an established internal range.
Intraday Expectation:
Price is now trading in premium of 50% internal EQ where we could see a reaction at any point. Price could also target H4 supply zone before targeting weak internal low, priced at 2,832.720
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
Price could also be driven by President Trump's policies, geopolitical moves and economic decisions which are sparking uncertainty.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis and bias has not been met, largely due macroeconomic events, particularly the Trump trade tariff war, which is causing uncertainty within the markets which is supporting Gold price.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS.
Within the structure following the iBOS, price has printed a several bearish CHoCH's with very minimal pullbacks before continuing bullish.
In order not to distort internal structure range I will apply discretion and not classify bearish CHoCH without considerable pullback.
Intraday Expectation:
Await for price to print Bearish CHoCH which is supported by a pullback relative to recent price action.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
SILVER (XAGUSD): Pullback From Resistance
In comparison to Gold, Silver looks bearish after a test of a key daily resistance cluster.
A head and shoulders pattern on an hourly time frame confirms a local
bearish sentiment and overbought state of the market.
The price may continue retracing at least to 3291 level.
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USDJPY Rejection from 4H Bearish Engulfing Sell ZoneUSDJPY: Rejection from 4H Bearish Engulfing Sell Zone
The USDJPY pair has encountered a rejection from the bearish engulfing sell zone on the 4-hour chart, indicating a potential reversal in the upward momentum.
Key Insights:
- The rejection from the bearish engulfing sell zone suggests a shift in market sentiment, favoring a downside move.
- We anticipate a decline towards the marked black lines, which coincide with key support levels.
Market Analysis:
The 4-hour chart indicates a clear rejection from the sell zone, with the bearish engulfing pattern suggesting a potential trend reversal. With this rejection, we expect sellers to regain control, driving the price towards the marked support levels.
Risk Management:
- Avoid getting stuck on the buy side, as the rejection from the sell zone increases the likelihood of a downside move.
- Consider adjusting stop-loss levels and position sizing to manage potential losses.
Stay informed and adapt to changing market conditions!
DOGE 4HR Analysis Here is the current 4 Hour range within the 1st zone I was looking for.
Personally, I still see more downside as bears are still in control. There is potential for a breakout on the 4HR but confirming congruence on the Daily has me hesitant as the Daily Timeframe would still hold a downward trend.
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Diving further into the structure of the candles I noticed there are more wicks from the bottom side of the candles than the top; a confirmation bears and the downward trend are still in control.
Bulls are starting to defend this level, but to me it’s a sign that buy side liquidity it being created.
If I’m a seller, this is a great place to manage risk for further downside.
If I’m a buyer, I’m being patient as the retracement back to supply seems to be almost over.
Stock Of The Day / 03.12.25 / GRPN03.12.2025 / NASDAQ:GRPN #GRPN
Fundamentals. The earnings report exceeded expectations.
Technical analysis.
Daily chart: Wide sideways, trend break level ahead at 13.82
Premarket: Gap Up on moderate volume.
Trading session: The initial impulse from the opening was stopped at 13.15, after which the price began to tighten to this level. There was a breakout and a quick return back behind the level at 10:15, but the structure of the tightening was not broken and the price continued to tighten to the level. Then the breakout occurred at 11:17 and the price stopped in trading range right on the level 13.15. We considering a long trade to continue the upward movement.
Trading scenario: breakout with retest (tightening with retest) 13.15
Entry: 13.23 when exiting upwards from the trading range at 13.15
Stop: 13.09 we hide it behind the trading range
Exit: Close part of the position at 13.51 when exiting downwards from accumulation, close the remaining part of the position when breaking through and returning below the daily level of 13.82.
Risk Rewards: 1/3
P.S. In order to understand the idea behind the Stock Of The Day analysis, read the following information .
$SOL Dumps 60% - Is it Over !?CRYPTOCAP:SOL DUMPED OVER 60% ‼️
That’s after a 3,500% pump
from the bear market low in ’22.
Is it over!?
TL;DR - NO.
This is common after such an insane pump.
SOL Dec ’20 - May ’21
5,700% pump
71% correction
then another 1,290% pump
Let’s look at previous cycles with $ETH.
Dec ’16 - June ’17
6,380% pump
67% correction
then another 916% pump
Dec ’18 (bear market low) - May ’21
4,860% pump
62% correction
then another 185% pump
So you see my fine feathered friends,
there’s nothing new here.
Targets still remain $700-850 🤠