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SPX: Trading in a CRITICAL support level!• The index lost the triple support level we talked about yesterday, meaning, we have more downside left; • However, in the daily chart, it already hit our key support at 3,911, which we also mentioned yesterday (the link to my previous analysis is below this post, as usual); • Only if the index loses this support level it would frustrate the bullish bias seen in the daily chart. So far, we see only higher highs/lows, but by losing the 21 ema, and doing a lower low, the index will probably head south again, and the gap at 3,818 would be our next stop; • So far, there’s no bullish reaction indicating that it is doing a bottom; • I’ll keep you updated. Remember to follow me to keep in touch with my daily analyses!
SP:SPX
by Nathan_The_Finance_Hydra
2
TSLA: Incredibly BEARISH! Next KEY POINTS! [UPDATED]• After scoring another target on TSLA, it dropped below our support at $166, giving continuation of this restless bear trend (the link to my previous post is below this analysis, as usual); • Now, TSLA is around the $155, which is a possible support level, as it was a previous resistance on Oct 2020, as seen in the weekly chart below: • As seen in the weekly chart above, the dotted line at $155 is a support area, but there’s another one: The purple trend line; • TSLA is inside a huge Descending Channel since Nov 2021, and it is trading around its bottom line; • Therefore, this is a dual support area made of this dotted line + purple line; • Any bullish reaction in this area could indicate that TSLA would bounce again, maybe to the 21 ema in the weekly chart, or even to the upper purple trend line, retesting the ceiling of this channel again. However, there’s not a single bullish reaction on TSLA right now; • What if it loses this dual support area? Then the $126 is the next support level on TSLA; • The situation is critical on TSLA, and regardless of what happens, we will see interesting movements in the next few weeks. I’ll keep you posted on this. Remember to follow me to keep in touch with my daily analyses!
NASDAQ:TSLA
by Nathan_The_Finance_Hydra
4
SPX: Next KEY POINTS to watch from here! [UPDATED]• The index is going up sharply today, as it found a support around the 61.8% Fibonacci’s Retracement yesterday; • Now, the area around the 4K is a triple support area consisting of: 1) The 61.8% retracement, as we mentioned; 2) The 21 ema; and 3) the previous bottom level the index did yesterday at 4K (green line); • As long as the index stays above this triple support, the bias will remain clearly bullish (in the short-term). Only if the SPX loses this area we would see a sharper pullback in the daily chart; • In the daily chart, the next support is at the 21 ema. Since the index did a top sign yesterday, it wouldn’t be a surprise to see it there, but if it loses the triple support area in the 1h chart, it could drop a little bit more; • The main support is around the red area, between 3,937 – 3,911. The trend will remain bullish (in the mid-term) as long as the index stays above this red area in the daily chart; • Although we had a top sign yesterday, it wasn’t triggered yet, therefore, we must keep our eyes open at the triple support area, and watch carefully the main support areas in the daily chart; • For now, the situation is perfectly under control. I’ll keep you posted on this. Remember to follow me to keep in touch with my daily analyses!
SP:SPX
by Nathan_The_Finance_Hydra
3
SPX: Be AWARE of these KEY POINTS!• In the 1h chart, the key resistance is the green line at 3,974, as this area was a multiple resistance for the index last week; • Only if the index breaks its key resistance it could resume the bull trend and seek higher levels again, like the 4,083; • On the other hand, the main support is the red area seen in the daily chart, and as long as the index stays above this area, it won’t reverse the mid-term bull trend; • The mid-term trend is bullish because the index is doing higher highs/lows and it is trading above the 21 ema since October; • The 3,911 seems to be the key support level, as only if the index loses this line it would do a technical reversal sign; • For now, it seems the index is in a “no man’s land”, and we must wait for a proper reaction. I’ll keep you updated on this. Remember to follow me to keep in touch with my daily analyses!
SP:SPX
by Nathan_The_Finance_Hydra
QQQ: Target Hit! Next KEY POINTS [UPDATED].• QQQ did exactly what we described in our last post, and it hit our target (link to our previous analysis is below this post). Now, it is reacting just above the 38.2% retracement, as seen in the daily chart; • If QQQ breaks the 21 ema in the daily chart as well, the idea that it’ll bounce will gain strength; • In this scenario, QQQ would easily retest the $293 area again, which is the previous top seen in the daily chart; • In addition, in the weekly chart, QQQ just found a resistance around its 21 ema – therefore, it is still a long-term bear trend; • If QQQ loses the 38.2% retracement in the next few days, the next technical stop is the 61.8% retracement, but in my view, the gap around $268 is a better target; • In order for QQQ to reverse, it must do a proper reaction, and close above the 21 ema in the weekly chart. In this scenario it would easily fill the gap around $307 and probably seek higher levels; • Either way, let’s pay attention to the 38.2% retracement and on how QQQ will react from here. I’ll keep you updated. Remember to follow me to keep in touch with my daily analyses!
NASDAQ:QQQ
by Nathan_The_Finance_Hydra
NIO: You must be aware of this KEY POINT! [Trend Analysis].• NIO is still trapped inside a Bearish Flag chart pattern, which we already mentioned in my previous analysis (link below this post); • In theory, this is a continuation pattern, and since the long-term bias is bearish, NIO would trigger it downwards and seek the next target around $5; • What’s more, NIO is quite close to the 21 ema in the weekly chart, another resistance level, and doing a Hanging Man candlestick pattern (so far); • However, in the daily chart, the trend is bullish now, as NIO is doing higher highs/lows and it is above the 21 ema (which is pointing upwards); • If NIO triggers another bullish pivot point by breaking the $14 area, it will probably break this Flag upwards, and in this scenario, the next resistance around $21 becomes the target; • Therefore, the $14 is the key point here. It all depends on how NIO will react near this price level. I’ll keep you updated on this. Remember to follow me to keep in touch with my daily analyses!
NYSE:NIO
by Nathan_The_Finance_Hydra
2
AMC: We nailed the BOTTOM! What to expect next on it?• Last week, we nailed the bottom level on AMC, and it exploded since then, as it broke our resistance at the blue area – the link to my previous public analysis on AMC is below this post, as usual; • Now, AMC is in a short/mid-term bull trend, doing higher highs/lows in the 1h/D charts; • Since it is a bull trend, in theory, it is heading to the next resistance at $10.75, as we already mentioned last week (last week we hit $9.15); • Although the trend is bullish, it seems AMC is doing a pullback, and in this case, the 21 ema in the 1h chart along with the blue area are going to work as support levels; • What if AMC loses the blue area? Then it’ll probably seek the 21 ema in the daily chart around $7.30s; • For now, AMC has been behaving as expected. I’ll keep you updated on this. Remember to follow me to keep in touch with my daily analyses!
NYSE:AMC
by Nathan_The_Finance_Hydra
SPX: Back to a CRITICAL support level!• Last Friday we nailed the bottom on the index, and it went up nicely afterwards; • However, the SPX is back to our support level, and it all depends on how it’ll react from here; • By losing the 4,028, then we might see a sharper pullback, and the 21 ema in the daily chart would be a good target to work with; • If we react, then the bullish bias will persist, but for confirmation sake, would be important to see the index breaking the 21 ema in the 1h chart; • Unlike last time when we called a bottom, the SPX lost the ema in the 1h chart, and as evidenced by the purple line, it did a lower high, this makes the trend weaker; • However, keep in mind that in the daily chart the trend is still clearly bullish, and a pullback to the 21 ema wouldn’t ruin it at all; • The 4,028 is the key point here, and only by losing it we can work with a sharper pullback. For now, let’s wait for more info. I’ll keep you updated on this. Remember to follow me to keep in touch with my daily analyses!
SP:SPX
by Nathan_The_Finance_Hydra
6
QQQ: Trading around its most important SUPPORT LEVEL!• QQQ is correcting today, but it seems we have a key support around the $289 area; • In our last analysis on it, we nailed the bottom using Fibonacci. The link to my previous (public) analysis is below this post, as usual; • In the 1h chart, QQQ just hit its dual-support area made by the 21 ema and the 38.2% retracement – and it seems it is reacting here; • In the daily chart, this price level was a previous resistance in the past (red line). Remember the Principle of Polarity: Previous resistance levels will work as future support levels and vice-versa; • Therefore, the area around $289 is a multi-support level seen in different time-frames; • The bias is still bullish in both, short and mid-term, because QQQ is doing higher highs/lows, and it is trading consistently above the 21 emas; • Only if QQQ loses its key support area it would do a sharper pullback. In this scenario, the 21 ema in the daily chart would be our next target; • So far, the situation seems under control. I’ll keep you updated on this. Remember to follow me to keep in touch with my daily analyses!
NASDAQ:QQQ
by Nathan_The_Finance_Hydra
AAPL: BULLSEYE! Next KEY POINTS to watch [UPDATED].• AAPL did everything we expected it would do: Hit our target; Did a bottom at the 61.8% retracement; And it exploded afterwards – The link to my previous public analysis is below this post, as usual; • The purple trend line in the 1h chart is working as a key resistance on AAPL, and it has to break it in order to reverse the bearish bias and seek the next target: $158.73; • The key support is at $145.66 (red line), and if AAPL loses it, it might frustrate any bullish thesis in the short-term, and in this scenario it would seek the 61.8% retracement again; • AAPL is doing many technical movements recently, and it has been very easy to read it. For now, keep these key points in mind. I’ll keep you updated on this. Remember to follow me to keep in touch with my daily analyses!
NASDAQ:AAPL
by Nathan_The_Finance_Hydra
SPX: Be aware of this KEY POINT! Is this a bottom?• The index did exactly what we described yesterday, as we nailed another support level on the index, at 4,028 (it hit 4,026, but we aren’t that perfectionists). The link to my previous analysis is below this post, as usual; • Now the index is trying to react, and the 4,028 is just where the 21 ema is (1h chart); • It is losing strength, but if it closes above the 38.2% retracement, it might bounce a little bit more; • However, if it loses our dual support level made by the 4,028 + 21 ema, then it’ll probably seek the next retracements; • The 61.8% is the last one, and only if the index loses it we might see a sharper correction in the daily chart, to its 21 ema; • Speaking of daily chart, it seems it triggered a Spinning Top candlestick pattern, which might bring more correction ahead; • For now, let’s pay attention to the dual-support level in the 1h chart, as it all depends on how it’ll react around this area today. I’ll keep you updated on this. Remember to follow me to keep in touch with my daily analyses!
SP:SPX
by Nathan_The_Finance_Hydra
1
NVDA: Hit a KEY RESISTANCE level! Will it remain bullish?• NVDA is incredibly bullish, as it is still doing higher highs/lows, trading consistently above the 21 ema, and there’s not a single top sign on it; • However, we must pay attention to some key points. First is the black line at $170, which is a key resistance for NVDA; • Only by breaking the $170, NVDA will resume the bullish momentum and seek the next target at $190 – so far, there’s evidence it won’t do that; • On the other hand, if NVDA loses strength and fails in breaking this resistance, and loses the dual-support area made by the 21 ema + purple trend line, then we’ll know that the trend got weaker; • Right now, NVDA is trapped between the key resistance and the dual-support level, almost doing an upwards breakout; • Now it is not the time to buy, as the buy signal was given to us near the $155, as I said in my previous analysis (link below this post), when it reacted just above our key support level (a trade with low risk/high reward). Now it is time to manage positions the best way we can; • Either way, I’ll keep you updated on this. Remember to follow me to keep in touch with my analyses!
NASDAQ:NVDA
by Nathan_The_Finance_Hydra
3
TSLA: Another BULLSEYE! What to expect from here?• Yes, we nailed another target on TSLA! Since it broke our key point at $185, it went straight to our $198 – The link to my previous public analysis on TSLA, when I set this target, is below this post, as usual; • In the 1h chart, TSLA did a bullish pivot point just above the $179, which seems to be another key support level; • In addition, TSLA is finally above the 21 ema in both time frames, which is another bullish sign; • However, TSLA just hit a target, and the $198 is a key resistance, as evidenced by the daily chart; • So far, there’s no top sign, but if we see one, TSLA could easily drop again to the $177 - $179 area; • In order to reverse the bear trend in the mid-term (daily chart), is important to see TSLA breaking the $198 as soon as possible; • I’ll keep you updated on this, as usual. Remember to follow me to keep in touch with my daily analyses!
NASDAQ:TSLA
by Nathan_The_Finance_Hydra
4
SPX: Finally filled our GAP! What's next?• Since our last analysis, the SPX did a great reaction, just above the key support we mentioned yesterday at 3,937 – a Double Bottom chart pattern; • By the moment it broke our key resistance area made by the 21 ema (1h chart) + 3,980, it exploded – the link to my previous analysis is below this post, as always; • Now, the index filled its last gap at 4,083, which I was aiming at since the 3,900. We were already expecting this movement, since the mid-term trend in the daily chart was bullish since the beginning, and we had no clear bearish structure at any moment – just pullback signs; • Now that the index exploded, we could see some correction, and in this case, there are many support levels to work with: We have the retracements, the previous top at 4,028 and the 21 ema in the 1h chart; • Any bullish structure around any of these support levels might indicate that the bull trend will persist a little bit longer. I’ll keep you updated on this. Remember to follow me to keep in touch with my daily analyses!
SP:SPX
by Nathan_The_Finance_Hydra
4
SPX: Be aware of these KEY POINTS!• Since it hit our first target, the index keeps falling, as there is no bullish structure to make it reverse in the short-term; • Only if it breaks the 21 ema (1h), along with the 3,980, we might see a bullish sign; • In the 1h chart, it is still trading below the 21 ema, doing lower highs/lows; • In theory, it is seeking the 21 ema in the daily chart, which is quite close to other support level at 3,900 (previous bottom); • If SPX loses 3,937, the drop might accelerate, we this is a bearish pivot point; • Although the trend is bearish in the 1h chart, it is still bullish in the daily chart. Therefore, we must keep our eyes open, as the index is heading to a critical key point. Remember to follow me to keep in touch with my daily analyses!
SP:SPX
by Nathan_The_Finance_Hydra
1
SPX: Hit our Short-Term TARGET! What's next?• The index hit our short-term target, the support at 3,980, as we mentioned yesterday, and it broke it downwards. The link to my previous analysis is below this post, as usual; • Now, the trend is bearish in the 1h chart, as it did a lower low, and it is below the 21 ema. In theory, it’ll seek the 21 ema in the daily chart next, or maybe the 3,900 area; • What could frustrate this short-term bearish sentiment? If the index reacts and breaks the 3,980 again, along with the 21 ema in the 1h chart. As long as the index remains below these two key points, the trend won’t reverse, and any bounce would be just a bounce, not a true reversal sign; • Everything is still going according to the plan, but it seems we have yet to see more confirmation signs, regardless if it is going to drop more or reverse. I’ll keep you all updated every day on this, as usual. Remember to follow me to keep in touch with my analyses!
SP:SPX
by Nathan_The_Finance_Hydra
TSLA: KEY POINTS to watch from here!• TSLA is in a critical situation, as it is between key support/resistance levels; • Since our last study, TSLA did a false breakout from the $177, which gives me the impression that it will retest the next resistance in the daily chart, which could be the 21 ema or the $198. Either way, TSLA is supposed to bounce a little bit further; • However, in order to do that, it must break the red line in the 1h chart at $185, as this seems to be a key resistance; • In addition, TSLA respected the 21 ema in the 1h chart as well, which indicates some strength; • What could possibly frustrate this thesis? If TSLA loses again the $177; • Therefore, we have three key points: $185 and 21 ema in the 1h chart, and the $177 in the daily chart. I’ll keep you guys updated on this. Remember to follow me to keep in touch with my analyses!
NASDAQ:TSLA
by Nathan_The_Finance_Hydra
2
SPX: All according to the plan! What are the next KEY POINTS?• Since our last study, the index has done exactly as we planned. It broke our key point at 3,980 and it resumed the trend all the way up to the next resistance. The link to my previous public analysis is below this post; • However, the resistance at 4,028 seems to be a strong one. Naturally, the index is correcting. The question is how far can it drop? • If the index fails in reacting around the 21 ema in the 1h chart, it seems the next support is at 3,980 (our previous key point). This is a short-term support; • If it loses the 3,980, the next support is in the daily chart: The 21 ema. This is a mid-term support level, any reaction above its support might be an opportunity to buy; • The index is correcting, but there’s no bearish reversal structure yet – so far, it is a pullback in a bull trend. I’ll keep you guys updated on this. Remember to follow me to keep in touch with my analyses!
SP:SPX
by Nathan_The_Finance_Hydra
SQ: Watch out for these KEY POINTS!• SQ is doing an important reaction that could sustain a bullish thesis, however, there are some key points we must pay attention; • First, it must break the red line at $64.26, as this would trigger a bullish pivot point in the daily chart and frustrate the Double Top chart pattern in the 1h chart; • In this scenario, SQ could seek the $69 again; • However, if it triggers this Double Top, the next support is at $60.48 again. This is a support from a previous gap, as seen in the daily chart (Nov 10); • Only if SQ loses the $60.48 it would trigger a mid-term bear trend, and the next supports are $57.09 and $55.10 (another gap); • Either way, SQ is looking good. Remember to follow me to keep in touch with my analyses!
NYSE:SQ
by Nathan_The_Finance_Hydra
1
AUD NZD - Approaching the next phaseG'day, Breakdown: 1. Note 2. Contents 3. Research breakdown 4. Education recap 5. Information on Lupa. A note before reading - this is a forecast analysis - based upon a long term trading strategy looking for Fresh Demand/Supply zones. This is tagged Long due to the overall monthly demand in control, until the opportunity of a rejection of the PCP has occurred or a long opportunity from a break and retest of the trend. Overall, where an imbalance is formed and sellers have completed the changing of hands due to purchasing further increments the exhaustive sellers. Until this criteria is met - no trade is taken until reactive, break or curve is confirmed. Monthly timeframe The monthly shows a strong test of the structure back in 2013 - where price has tested the September 2013 monthly candle 'close'. Since this structure high, price has had a strong sell off with a large engulfing sell. Review below for the breakdown from the Fresh nested supply towards the demand zone. Weekly Timeframe Four Day in conjunction with Fibonacci extension The four day has shown the similar zone which aligns nicely with the weekly. Note- here that price has provided a clear sell off which has broken through and on the daily provided a break and retest. This would be the moment for a secondary sell could be placed with a confirmation on the lower timeframe(s). Again structure provides a retest of the previous 'resistance' zone which aligns nicely with the End of August zone. Daily Chart Awaiting the reactive tap and then a further confirmation using the 8 hour or daily if preferred. Price maynot reach the desired Daily, three day cross imbalance zone. Upon a confirm - if price fails to provide engulfing moves - then expect a final push to complete the structure pattern within the arrival imbalance. From here, price will need to test the curve and break the high curve allowing long term trades to take place. Do you enjoy the setups? Professional analyst with 5+ years experience in the capital markets Focus on technical output not fundamentals Focus on investing for long term positional moves Provide updates where necessary - with new updated ideas tracking the progress. If you like the idea, please leave a like or comment. To all the followers, thank you for your continued support. Thanks, LVPA MMXXII
Long
by LupaCapital
AAPL: Be AWARE of the KEY SUPPORT level!• Since our previous analysis, AAPL has been trading above a key support level, around the $147 (link to my previous analysis is below this post); • The $147 is a multiple bottom area, as seen in the 1h chart, while it is the 21 ema in the daily chart, slightly above the 38.2% retracement; • Therefore, the $147 is the most important support level, in my reading, and only if AAPL loses it, we would see a sharper drop – in this scenario the $141 at the 61.8% retracement would be our target; • For now, it seems AAPL maintains its bull trend. Let’s pay attention to its key support level for now. I’ll keep you all updated on this, as usual. Remember to follow me to keep in touch with my analyses!
NASDAQ:AAPL
by Nathan_The_Finance_Hydra
AMZN: We nailed the TOP! What to expect next?• Since our last analysis on AMZN, we nailed the top on it, thanks to our Multi Time Frame Analysis (MTFA) in the 1h and D charts (link to our previous analysis below this post, as usual); • Now, AMZN is in a bear trend in both, 1h and D charts. In theory, it is supposed to fill gap at $86.82; • Only if AMZN does a strong bullish reaction, and breaks the 21 ema (1h) we would see this bearish scenario frustrated; • If AMZN reacts, and breaks the $101 area seen in the daily chart, it would trigger a mid-term reversal structure, a bullish pivot point; • Therefore, this trend will be dictated on how it’ll react in the 1h chart, and if it breaks the $101 in the daily chart. I’ll keep you guys updated on this, but for now, let's kee these key point in mind. Remember to follow me to keep in touch with my analyses!
NASDAQ:AMZN
by Nathan_The_Finance_Hydra
1
NVDA: Pullback in a Bull Trend = Opportunity? Let's see.• NVDA is still incredibly bullish, as it is still doing higher highs/lows and it even broke the resistance we mentioned a few weeks ago (link to my previous analysis below this post); • However, in the past few days NVDA is doing a pullback, which doesn’t mean bearish reversal, but it is showing weakness and it is supposed to retest its support levels; • The first support is seen in the daily chart, the red line at $149, along with the 21 ema, making this a dual-support area; • If NVDA loses the dual-support area in the daily chart, then the next stop is the $141, the black line in the daily chart; • Since the trend is still bullish, any bullish reaction above any of these key support areas might be just an opportunity to buy - there's no bullish sign confirmed yet; • So far, there’s no bearish reversal structure on it as well. Let's pay attention to the key points mentioned in this analysis. I’ll keep you guys posted on this. Remember to follow me to keep in touch with my analyses!
NASDAQ:NVDA
by Nathan_The_Finance_Hydra