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ARK - Cathie Wood flagship ETF rising again LONGARKK double topped about July 19 and July 31st then downtrend until Fri Aug 18th, On this past trading day, the technology market moved higher lead by TSLA and NVDA. ARK reversed and started the retracement of the trend down. I see ARK targeting 45 in the mid Fibonacci levels and potentially beyond that to 47.8 being the base level of the double top. The stop loss is the pivot low on Friday as ARKK awaits a momentum boosting cross over the mean anchored VWAP. The two TF RS indicator shows the lower TF in green well over the 50 levels with the high TF black line lagging. The ZL MACD shows more confirmation. ARKK looks good to enter now. I will zoom from the 2H to the 30 minutes to find an optimal entry. I may take a large stock position and supplement it with a single put option for insurance against downside potential. I seek a 12-14 ROI on the stock trade and some multiples of that on a 2 to 3 week put option.
AMEX:ARKKLong
by AwesomeAvani
LLY Earnings Play LONG ( Flat Bottom Triangle Breakout)My analysis is on the 2H. I am uniquely qualified in my fundamental analysis. This is a one day until earnings. My thesis is the earnings will stimulate what will be a breakout from a flat bottom triangle. I will buy one share of stock. I will spend a similar amount on call options striking $460 expiring August 11th. I see LLY as surging while PFE is a bit challenged with the fall off in Covid vaccine work. If you find this idea interesting and might appreciate my ideas as to a stop loss and targets, leave a comment. Like and subscribe. Trade well !
NYSE:LLYLong
by AwesomeAvani
1
AAPL Weekly Continues to March LONGAAPL on the weekly chart over the entirety of the years 2022-23 with a triple Bollinger Band overlaid shows consistent marching along the second upper Bollinger band ( 1.618 std) since mid January 2023 with a minor correction while crossing over the basis midline band a month later. This is megacap consistence at its finest. AAPL has had some inside bar weeks on a regular basis but follows with some ranging bars as well. The dual time frame RS indicator shows the lower TF green line and higer TF black line well align in the area of the 70 level slowly ascending overall. AAPL is a titan of the NASDAQ with a healthy ecology of well liked products. I see it as a lucrative investment or trader of dips and pops on a lower time frame. My choice at this time is a call option striking a higher price of $205 expiring in mid-November.
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by AwesomeAvani
DISH a TV penny before earnings LONGDISH has earnings on 8/2. On the 2H, price just bounced off the support of the longest of the three EMAs (35/70/280) and tested the POC line of the volume profile again showing buyer support at a high trading volume and volatility area. the MACD indicator shows a bullish line crossover and negative to positive on the histogram where convergence ended and divergence took over. The dual RSI indicator shows the lower time frame green line in a dip for a few days and then a rise above the 50 level and the higher time frame black line. DISH has volume voids above the current price and the near-term pivot high is above. If that cracks, price momentum could accelerate. DISH is suitably set up for a long trade as traders anticipate the earnings. I will take it. I may trade a sizeable trade of stocks or alternatively options striking $8 for 8/11.
DLong
by AwesomeAvani
1
OPEN OpenDoor a Penny Real Estate LONGOPEN has earnings upcoming on 8/3. An analysis of the 4H chart with overlays shows bullish momentum in the set of zero lag EMA lines as well as upgoing anchored VWAP landlines. Price crossed over the mean VWAP ( thin black) and the POC line of the volume profile one month ago. The MACD shows bullish momentum since July 24th. The dual RSI indicator shows the low time frame green line rising and then crossing the steady higher black time frame line the past trading day and both being at the 60 level. OPEN is a long trade setup with earnings around the corner. I will take it.
NASDAQ:OPENLong
by AwesomeAvani
NVDA Breaking Out from Consolidatiom LONGNVDA has been in consolidation for two weeks. On the 1H chart, yesterday, the MTF RSI indicator shows that the lower TF RSIc rossed over the 50 level and then crossed over the higher TF RSI a clear and convincing sign of rapidly increasing relative strength. Price is in a VWAP breakout now having crossed from the mean VWAP anchored into mid- June and up crossing over the one and two standard deviation lines. The zero-lag MACD shows a line cross under the histogram occurred in the after-hours trading on Tuesday evening. Price has crossed over the POC line of the visible range volume profile yet another sign of bullish buying pressure and momentum. Overall, my analysis is that NVDA is set up for a long swing trade which I will take today.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by AwesomeAvani
5
SVXY a volatility ETF play LONGSVXY is the ETF shorting the VIXX ( and UVXY) which pumped hard this past trading session. It goes up when volatility goes down and vice-vera. VIXX is expected to drop after the trama in the market starting at 1PM when the Treasuries auctions were duds with little transactions occurring and the financial data reported in the late morning. SVXY dropped to its near term lows as the VIXX too off. SVXY bounced above the long term anchored mean black VWAP line which provides a logical stop loss at 85.65. The relative trend indicator shows the dip and early recovery while the RS indicator shows low and high time frame lines bottoming and reversing with the low blue line above the higher black time frame line. I see this as a long trade setup targeting the pivot highs in the near left of the price trend or about 90.5, A similar trade would be to short UVXY in a trend down.
AMEX:SVXYLong
by AwesomeAvani
TSLA Weekly Longterm Pre-EarningsTSLA on the weekly chart appears to be in a widening and ascending channel somewhat suggestive of a megaphone. At the same time it is below heavy resistance at 360 which is the same level as two standard deviations above the mean VWAP line anchored back to November 2021. The resistance zone is the highs of November 2021 and late March / early April 2022. The double RSI indicator shows RS rising on the higher monthly time frame slowly and steadily while the RS on the lower daily time frame has peaked at 88 and fallen below 80 consistent with bearish divergence. The zero-lag MACD indicator shows the lines perhaps impending a cross at an amplitude well extended above the histogram. Price is high in that widening ascending channel. Overall, I conclude that TSLA is a hold right now as it could be impending a significant reversal in the weeks ahead. A hold would mean not to sell existing positions nor take new positions for the time being unless one is an intraday or short time frame swing trader or stocks or options. With an earnings report impending, TSLA volatility is likely to jump in one direction or the other.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by AwesomeAvani
SOFI channeling but rising LONGShown on a 15-minute chart, SOFI is seen slowly rising in a parallel channel bounded by a pair of anchored VWAP bands - the first and second deviations above the mean VWAP from anchors back in mid-June. Fundamentally, SOFI has been challenged by another round of student loan forgiveness by our President as well as the instability in the prime rates ongoing. On the chart, price is near to the bottom support of the mean VWAP lines coming back to them since rising above them about July 10th. The trend index indicator is neutral having resolved a minor trend down. Price dropped today with the bond auction fiasco and general market downturn. the RS indicator shows both low and high time frame lines bounced from the lows and the lower time frame green line now crossing over 50. I see SOFI as ripe and ready for a long trade to exploit this dip and the overall long trend in a slowly rising channel I will set a stop loss under VWAP at 8.97 and the target of 9.45 , the first standard deviation blue lines and the POC line of the volume profile, and the secondary target of 9.95 below the second deviation red lines . I see that as a buy the low dip and sell upon the reversion to the mean.
NASDAQ:SOFILong
by AwesomeAvani
3
Is QQQ ready to continue after a minor pullback?On the 4H chart, QQQ has been in a trend up for the entirety of this year reaching 42% YTD. Of late, QQQ has had a 2-3 day pullback correcting a decent uptrend over the prior week. On the Relative Trend Index, while the signal is below the mean line, there is all the more upside and the overall trend is positive. The dual time frame RSI shows weekly RS high and steady over 80 while the lower time frame of 3H as the blue line fluctuating between support at the 50 level and 80 and presently a 50 in the pullbck. I analyse QQQ as ready to continue its overall trend up. I will take out additional call options for a strike of $385 to expire on August 18. Over the past day this option gained 33% and had a bid/ask spread of about 1%. I will set a stop-loss of 10% while anticipating a profit of 150%. Once hitting the anticipated profit before the expiration date I will take one-half of the contracts off the table and close the rest 1-2 days before expiration.
NASDAQ:QQQ
by AwesomeAvani
COST the retailing warehouse chain LONGCOST had lackluster earnings two months ago and is due for another report in late September, Despite the earnings miss, COST immediately uptrended as if traders and investors were expecting far worse. Since June 1st, COST has been in an ascending parallel channel bounded by the dynamic support and resistance of the first and second VWAP standard deviation lines above the mean as anchored to a date before the earnings. The MACD is currently showing bearish divergence while COST is at the upper resistance in the channel. As a result I will place a short trade on COST here with a stop loss above that red dynamic resistance line. Upon managing the trade, I will close and reopen the trade long when price meets the lower support blue VWAP line and is likely to reverse.
NASDAQ:COSTShort
by AwesomeAvani
BOIL ( 3x Nat Gas ETF) Reverses to UpsideOn shown on the 15 minute chart with a VWAP band/line setup anchored to the July 1st pivot high. BOIL is in a VWAP breakout since bottoming mid-day July 17th. Confirming the reversal are the Price Volume Trend Oscillator printing a green histogram and an upgoing signal line as well as the zero-lag MACD with upgoing parallel lines crossing the zero-horizontal line. Price has crossed over the mean VWAP. On the dual time frame RSI indicator both the lower and higher RS lines ( blue and black) are above the 50 level and the lower time frame is higher highlighting bullish momentum. I will take a long trade targeting based on the VWAP lines first $65 and then $68. I will open equal amounts of call options striking the targets with expirations on July 28th. I seek a 100% ROI in the next 6-8 trading days. On an intraday basis, I may enter a low DTE call option at the low of day ( typically mid-morning) and exit at the high of day the same or next day.
BLong
by AwesomeAvani
PLUG rises on EV Sector strengthPLUG on the daily chart demonstrates a VWAP breakout having first trended down into the lowermost VWAP bands from anchored VWAPs originating in November 2022 and January 2023. Fundamentally, PLUG is burning cash but less of it with each succeeding earnings report. In the past two months price has ascended through a couple of VWAP lines and has now crossed the mean VWAP in a sign of bullish momentum. Price bounced up from the POC line of the volume profile in a demonstration of bullish buying power and buyers defending that support level. The dual RSI indicator shows that the 3-hour time frame RSI line in blue crossed over the slower weekly time frame RSI line in black about June 28 and they are both above the 50 level is another bullish sign. On June 30, the zero-lag MACD had its lines descend to the horizontal zero line and bounce upward over a positive histogram. The relative volume indicator shows increasing overall volumes with the mean rising from 15M to 26M daily overall. The presumption is that increasing volume supports price action while decreasing volumes would cause price and volatility stagnation. From this analysis, I conclude the time is right for a long-swing trade of PLUG. i will zoom into a 15-30 minute time frame seeking a pivot low from which to enter using a stop loss of 12.15 and targeting those upper aVWAP bands/lines.
NASDAQ:PLUGLong
by AwesomeAvani
AGQ- A Silver on steroids ETF LONGAGQ a leveraged ETF of silver and its futures, spent mid-March to mid-April on a great uptrend from which it pivoted down in a 50% Fib. retracement which took two months to complete. After a bit of consolidation and sideways channeling, it has finally launched into bullish continuation as shown on the daily chart. The Lorentzian AI machine learning indicator printed a buy signal today as it reacted to a green engulfing candle crossing the mean VWAP anchored from the pivot low of mid-March. This indicator has extreme accuracy in its signals as demonstrated on its tables. On the MTF RSI indicator, the low TF RSI has been riding above the higher and crossed the 50 level one week ago. The zero-lag MACD is confirmatory. Overall AGQ is ready for a swing long trade which I will take. I will zoom into a 30-60 minute time frame and look for a pivot low from which to enter. My target is the line showing two standard deviations above the anchored mean VWAP presently about 36.3 representing at least 20% potential upside and profit. The stop loss will be narrow with the price presently at the mean VWAP and POC line of the visible range volume profile I will set it at 29.85. ( The risk to reward is approximately 1:40 ) DYODD !
AMEX:AGQLong
by AwesomeAvani
2
Will JPM higher after earnings ?JPM is in an uptrend since earnings the morning of July 14th at the end of the trading week. On the 1H chart with VWAP band lines anchored to a week before earnings as a dynamic support and resistance reference shows a rise from below the first standard deviation above the mean VWAP to above it with a pullback after the earnings and then a continuation at the depth of the pullback today July 17th. The two-time frame RSI indicator shows the lower TF blue line moving lower despite the uptrend today. This is suggestive of bearish divergence. The zero-lag MACD shows a cross of the lines above the histogram suggesting a reversal as does the green to red and positive to negative on the histogram. As a result, I will watch JPM for reversal and a put option or short sell stock trade.
NYSE:JPMShort
by AwesomeAvani
Will SPY continue to rise? LONGOn the 30- minute chart, SPY is in an uptrend continuing from the end of the last trading week. I see this as continuing for the following reasons on analysis: 1. The Lorentzian AI machine learning indicator's last signal was a buy signal. Given its specific accuracy of 73% as the table reports, I suspect the uptrend will continue until a sell signal prints. 2. The VWAP anchored to July 6th shows price riding the upper VWAP bands suggesting that buying pressure exceeds selling pressure over the past week. 3. The MTF RSIs are steadily rising with the lower TF above the higher TF and no evidence of weakening or bearish divergence. 4. The zero-lag MACD shows lines crossed and are now parallel and about to cross over the horizontal zero line. 5. In the last trading day, the price ran up then momentum stalled for profit-taking and consolidation to rest for the next. 6. Trading volumes have been at or above the running mean throughout the recent past showing higher than usual trader interest which bodes well for volatility to be played for profit. 7. If I were looking for chart patterns, I would say that SPY is currently a high tight flag. It is expectant of bullish continuation Overall, I have further interest in trading call options with a low time interval until expiration. I will use intraday pivots on low time frames to select entries and pick strikes based on expected moves in analysing VWAP bands or Bollinger Bands.
AMEX:SPYLong
by AwesomeAvani
GS Pre Earnings LONGGoldman Sachs pivoted from a low on July 11th into a trend up until July 14th during which it pulled back. Since earnings are on July 19th, I see room now for a pre-earnings long entry. The MTF RSI indicator shows the lower TF RSI in blue reflecting the pullback while the higher TF RSI in black shows the longer trend up with the RSI holding support at 50. The zero-lag MACD shows a line cross under a slightly positive histogram suggesting the pullback will reverse to continuation. Overall, I see GS as being suitable for long entries which I will take as call options. I will zoom into the 5 or 15 minute chart and look for a pivot low as the ideal entry. I will set a stop loss of 10% while taking one contract as a strike $330 expiring July 21st and another $330 expiring July 28th. I have picked targets based on the upper standard deviations of the VWAP bands anchored back to the pivot low on July 11th. Overall, I am expecting a 100% ROI on the two contracts.
NYSE:GSLong
by AwesomeAvani
BYND- Is there more meat on the bone?BYND has had a good trend up over about 15 days rising about 40% over the interval. The question that arises is whether the trend is now near to a top and so consolidation or reverse or instead can it continue higher? The indicators may give a hint on the 4 hr chart which being a higher time frame has better reliability than a low TF. About a week ago price crossed over the mean VWAP anchored to the beginning of the year. This demonstrates bullish momentum and concurs with the other indicators. Professional traders see the VWAP as an " over/under" of sorts something well known to sports betters. The Lorentzian Indicator which uses machine learning an many parameters including moving averages, average directional index, RSI and CCI printed a buy signal on June 23rd and has not yet printed a corresponding sell signal. The MTF RSI by Chris Moody shows both TFs with RSIs in the 65-70 range showing BYND not to be overbought and overvalued. The MACD indicator shows the K and D lines in parallel well above the positive histogram. There is no the suggestion of an impending line cross. Fundamentally, BYND products have not inflated to the extent of beef, port and chicken. Overall, I see an opportunity for a long trade. I will drill down to the 1 to 5 minute time frames and look for a pivot low. The target is about 50% upside at $22.5 the pivot high of this year in March. I will take partia profits along the way while raising the stop loss in lockstep with those profits as an effective risk management exercise.
NASDAQ:BYNDLong
by AwesomeAvani
FRGE-setup for bullish continuation from a pullback LONGFRGE hin the past couple of trading days has had a 20% pullback consistent with a 50% Fib retracement of the prior trend up which occurred over 2 weeks. Bullish divergence on the two time frame RSI indicator where the lower TF RSI bounced up from the 20 level in oversold territory suggests a reversal is impending. So does the mass index indicator with a value in the reversal zone awaiting a trigger with a drop below 26.5. The range of the HA candles have suddenly decreased and the color red to green. I will take pullback going long trade here expecting a quick 10-20% profit while targeting 2.88 just below the POC line of the visible range volume profile. The volume void from 2.6 to 2.8 should allow for quick upward price action as the void needs to be filled.
NYSE:FRGELong
by AwesomeAvani
DPST- Banks will thrive if rate hikes are over LONGDPST is shown here on the 15- minute chart- This triple leveraged bank stock hit a double bottom in late June and early July with a double bounce from the lines one standard deviation below the mean VWAP lines anchored at pivots in mid-May. These lines provide dynamic support and resistance unlike vertical lines from pivots. From the VWAP breakout, price has crossed over the mean VWAPs and is not at the level of the volume profile's POC line and the one standard deviations above the mean VWAP. The two time frame RSI indicator shows the lower time frame rising from below 20 to over 50 and crossing over the higher black line TF RSI is for me a clear and convincing sign of bullish momentum in its extreme form. Fundamentally, bank stocks are gaining in the federal news data regarding CPI and PPI. Based on this analysis, I will take a long trade here targeting the second deviation lines at about $70.5 representing about a11% upside in one week or less.
AMEX:DPSTLong
by AwesomeAvani
JNUG- Gold is Going Higher ( LONG)Gold is rising and so also JNUG the triple-leveraged junior miner ETF which has components of miners that have the most to benefit from rising. On the daily chart, price dropped from a winter pivot high with a head and shoulders pattern into a trend down with a bounce off the lows in early March followed by a YTD pivot high in mid April followed by a trend down into the July 4th holiday where the reversal from the low into the current price movement is supported by the MTF RSI indicator showing both the low and high TF RSIs crossing the 50 level. The zero-lag MACD shows the histogram going negative to positive simultaneously with the K /D lines crossing from underneath and beginning to rise. Importantly the Lroentzian machine learning AI indicator using a variety of indicators and factors printed a buy signal earlier this same trading day. I will go long in a swing trade expectant of great profit. I can see that price is approaching the long term mean VWAP and has crossed over the POC line of the lower high volume area. The target of 43.2 is the POC line of the upper high volume area confluent with the first standard deviation above that mean VWAP and also the neckline of the H & S this past winter. The analysis is strong from the confluences and so expectant of 15-20% profit.
AMEX:JNUGLong
by AwesomeAvani
Can AAOI continue a 400% trend up ?AAOI has trended up more than 450% since May 23th. The big question is can it continue? The factors include: 1 Volume - volume is what causes price action. Here rising volumes above the running mean suggest that there is plenty of volume support for price action. 2. Anchored VWAP analysis is that after a pullback in VWAP levels in mid June price has been rising and crossing VWAP levels above it. This is essentially a VWAP breakout. Price is increasingly overbought and overvalued and perhaps due for another correction. 3. RSI of both the lower and high time frames crossed 80 more than a week ago. Thus far RSI is stable without any sign of falling into bearish divergence. 4. The MACD lines are parallel and well above the histogram. They are at about the 9 level. Price reversed on June 20th into the pullback. This is when the lines were at 11.7. This reasonably suggests another pullback or correction when they rise again to 11.7 Given the above, I conclude that AAOI has upside room until divergence is seen or trading volumes change to net selling volume or price outright pivots down from a high. Accordingly, I will take a long trade expecting to capture the end of this massive trend up.
NASDAQ:AAOI
by AwesomeAvani