MU
MU inside day long opportunityThe whole stock market is in the rally mode again, inside bar is one of the most effective tool to take part in such market.
MU, as a cyclical stock most of the time, also made an all time high on Wednesday.
The other unbelievable low P/E stock GM also starts a rally, and I think if there are still continuation for this rally, a simple P/E correction to 10-12 times can create a huge rally for these names.
Of course, stocks won't suffer low P/E for no reasons; there are always skepticism for both MU and GM's business.
I'm not really that optimistic to say that they are going to make a REAL turnaround here, but a limited risk set-up to long to take part in the potential continuation is still a solid idea.
LONG MU - MICRON ON 08/28/17 TECHNICAL SETUP FOR OVER 40 BY 09.20.2017 NASDAQ:MU
HUGE OPTIONS POSITION BEING BOUGHT FOR VARIOUS STRIKES
POSITIVE EARNINGS WITH POSITIVE FUTURE OUTLOOK
ROTATION IN SEMIS MIGHT TAKING PLACE
NASDAQ:AVGO IS ANOTHER PLAY ON THIS
SO IS NASDAQ:INTC
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$MU - OBV Fib Levels, Money Flow, and OptionsDespite a solid earnings report, $MU took a beating today and has a lot of bulls scared.
However, looking at the OBV and the fib retrace i set on it...the largest volume bar of recent wasn't the one that brought it to the level it's at now. A weak break (weak on volume) there is important because it means that a little more volume can kick it back up fairly easily.....so there's not much downward pressure.
And after a dip in the money flow following that volume bar, we can see it starting to rise again. Today's money-flow was positive...implying there was alot of buying in the name today.
The options market supported the long thesis today because we saw some very large Call sweepers, mostly at the ask side. and a bullish P/C ratio.
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I see this stock moving up next week gradually.
MU - mid sort term bearish correction2nd wave of 3rd wave. Mid-long term is bullish, after this correction we will see explosive uptrend moves.
Short position around 26.5 when we could see the impulsive exhausted.
After that target to look for is 16 for 0.618 of the whole impulse. Then the 3rd wave will go beyond this impulse, and first expected target would be +40
MU pullback- Stock hitting resistance at 61.8% retracement from multi-year highs.
- CCI shows a bearish divergence. While this bearish divergence also showed up in the middle of 2016 and stock continued to trend up, this time the RSI shows the stock is overbought.
I would expect a pullback to the original trend line, possibly back to 50% retracement before an uptrend is continued, if it does continue.
THE WEEK AHEAD: IT'S EYEBALLS ON THE FEDUgh. Doing my weekly market review/screening and there is literally nothing high IVR/high IV to play ... . Nada ... . Zilch ... .
One option is to sell puts in one of these "just high IV" underlyings:
VRX: April 21st 11 goes for .56
AKS: April 21st 7 goes for .31
AMD: April 21st 13 goes for .66
WLL: April 21st 8 goes for .28
CLF April 21st 8 goes for .34
X: April 21st 32 goes for 1.25
These are all at or around the 30 delta ... . Those plays, however, are not my "favorite girls to dance with at the ball."
For earnings, what little "quality" stuff is left to this season is still a few days out:
FDX (IVR 92/IV 30) (3/21 AMC)
GME (IVR 73/IV 46) (3/23 AMC)
MU (IVR 76/IV 47) (3/23)
VIX: For a "Term Structure" play,* the earliest expiry where the 50 delta strike is at 16 or greater and pays ~2.50/contract is June, and that's 101 DTE ... .
Of course, we have that little Fed shindig going on next week. Implied volatility and the VIX can turn on a dime, but I've been waiting for VIX to turn on a dime for weeks ... .