MU - mid sort term bearish correction2nd wave of 3rd wave. Mid-long term is bullish, after this correction we will see explosive uptrend moves.
Short position around 26.5 when we could see the impulsive exhausted.
After that target to look for is 16 for 0.618 of the whole impulse. Then the 3rd wave will go beyond this impulse, and first expected target would be +40
MU
MU pullback- Stock hitting resistance at 61.8% retracement from multi-year highs.
- CCI shows a bearish divergence. While this bearish divergence also showed up in the middle of 2016 and stock continued to trend up, this time the RSI shows the stock is overbought.
I would expect a pullback to the original trend line, possibly back to 50% retracement before an uptrend is continued, if it does continue.
THE WEEK AHEAD: IT'S EYEBALLS ON THE FEDUgh. Doing my weekly market review/screening and there is literally nothing high IVR/high IV to play ... . Nada ... . Zilch ... .
One option is to sell puts in one of these "just high IV" underlyings:
VRX: April 21st 11 goes for .56
AKS: April 21st 7 goes for .31
AMD: April 21st 13 goes for .66
WLL: April 21st 8 goes for .28
CLF April 21st 8 goes for .34
X: April 21st 32 goes for 1.25
These are all at or around the 30 delta ... . Those plays, however, are not my "favorite girls to dance with at the ball."
For earnings, what little "quality" stuff is left to this season is still a few days out:
FDX (IVR 92/IV 30) (3/21 AMC)
GME (IVR 73/IV 46) (3/23 AMC)
MU (IVR 76/IV 47) (3/23)
VIX: For a "Term Structure" play,* the earliest expiry where the 50 delta strike is at 16 or greater and pays ~2.50/contract is June, and that's 101 DTE ... .
Of course, we have that little Fed shindig going on next week. Implied volatility and the VIX can turn on a dime, but I've been waiting for VIX to turn on a dime for weeks ... .
Short book: MU - Topped for now, short towards the 13 handleToday we added a couple shorts, I'm posting the trades we currently have open but not providing entry/stop suggestions. Only trade them if you have a trading strategy, or, ask me if you're interested in learning more about the one we use (Tim West's 'Key Hidden Levels' and 'Time at mode').
We have some worrying bearish signals, so it's a good idea to have a market neutral position, picking stocks to short, while still looking for longs in undervalued companies.
See related ideas for the rest of the trades we took. You may still be able to join them or wait for a secondary entry when/if we decide to add to them.
Good luck,
Ivan Labrie.
MULooking at MU, if I owned it I would hold it. It looks to be at a good spot to get a bounce. RIS and %R very oversold. Some buying volume coming in. Notice the blue boxes on the left? Thats the last time it got this oversold. It did work its way higher. Notice the blue arrow? That may be where you are Today. So, this may go sideways a bit before moving higher. Notice the horizontal dotted red line? That seems to be support. Expect a bounce off of it. So for now, I would be long.
MU: Micron offering a long term long opportunityI like the extended base that formed here, before confirming a weekly uptrend signal, according to 'Time at Mode'.
For those not familiar with the technique, it allows you to read the order flow, track the accumulation and distribution, as well as understand and time the trends present on chart, to get optimal trade entries in any market.
If you combine this powerful methodology, with fundamental analysis, market sentiment tracking, and reaction to news events, you can time entries with great precision.
MU is offering a great weekly long trade here, potential is considerable for this stock, and I'm looking to capture the emerging uptrend I anticipate will take place from here onwards.
Enter longs at market open, if we get a dip towards 10.50 or near that level, add to the position. Risk a drop to $10, for upside well over $14.30.
If interested in my trading signals, or in personal tuition, contact me privately. I'm offering a considerable discount on a packaged course which includes access to my private trading signals list for a year.
Cheers,
Ivan Labrie.