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Multi-timeframe-analysis

NZDCAD Ascending Channel Counter-Trend StrategySTRATEGY: NZDCAD Ascending Channel Counter-Trend Strategy DETAILS Long Term Trend Time Frame: 1D/4H Focus Time Frame: 4H Entry Time Frame: 1H Market Condition Long Term: Downtrend (based on 1D TF/200EMA) Short Term: Uptrend/Consolidation (based ion 1D TF/10EMA and 50EMA) inside Ascending Channel CHART PATTERN: Ascending Channel Area of Value (AOV) RESISTANCE Static: 0.85201 - 0.85075 Dynamic: 83EMA: 0.84701 100EMA: 0.85002 SUPPORT: Static: Minor: 0.83774 - 0.83683 Major: 0.83385 - 0.83158 Dynamic: - 10EMA: 0.84220 - 50EMA: 0.84146 ENTRY TRIGGER(s): 1H: Bearish Engulfing 4H: NA 1D: High Momentum Candlestick going to Resistance Entry Price (EP): 0.84759 Stop Loss (SL): 0.84953 Take Profit (TP): 0.84059 RRR: 4.02 ANALYSIS 1D - Overall trend is showing downtrend based on 1D TF - 200EMA. Heikin Ashi is still uptrend but the price is currently struggling to break above resistance level of 0.85201 - 0.85075. It is also supported by 83EMA and 100EMA which act as Dynamic Resistance. www.tradingview.com 4H - Looking at the 4H TF, we can see that Price is moving on an Ascending Channel. Short term trend showing uptrend which is supported by Heikin Ashi. However, as stated before, the price is currently struggling to break above Static and Dynamic Resistance on a higher Timeframe (1D). We will give more weight on a higher timeframe as Smart Money focuses on this time frame. www.tradingview.com www.tradingview.com 1H - Our Entry Triggers are always on 1H TF. Here we see that there's a Bearish Engulfing Price Action happened on the Static Resistance AOV. This acts as our Entry Trigger. www.tradingview.com www.tradingview.com OTHER ENTRY REASON(s): High Momentum price action approaching resistance usually reverses as it has no higher highs to support its move. ACTION ITEMS: 1. Exit/TP on Higher Timeframes: 4H or 1D 2. Scale in on Entry Timeframe (1H). IMPORTANT: Always move the SL on Breakeven after significant move. Scale in as necessary and move the TP of the initial entry to the SL of new entry. This way, we will be able to Minimize risk and Maximize potential Profit. NOTE: This post is for my reference/journal purposes only. Trade at your own risk.
Short
by jumpstartscript
USDCAD Multi-Time Frame AnalysisANALYSIS 1D: 1D Time Frame showing Downtrend. Price is approaching 50/83/100EMA which could be a potential dynamic resistance. 4H: Looking at 4H Chart it is currently on sideways approaching minor resistance. Action Items If price broke above minor resistance, wait for pullback then go LONG, targeting at least 1.32822. If the price bounced or faked-out of resistance, go SHORT targeting at least 1.31357. Note: This is my personal analysis only. Trade at your own risk.
by jumpstartscript
Trading Countertrend with MultitimeframeanalysisHi guys, today I want to show you how I trade countertrend, piecing multiple timeframes together. Keep in mind though, that generally speaking the sentence 'the trend is your friend' is always true. However when it comes to specific timeframes one can make use of particular price movements. Such as in this case. As you can see the EURUSD recently had a strong bullish run after forming a tripple bottom at support. The bullish run occured with little to no pullbacks on the monthly, this is the first sign for me that this pair is overextended and in need of a pullback. As most of you will know, price 'breathes' meaning it goes up and down in a waveform. Furthermore price has begun decelerating at resistance. Last month closed as a doji, showing uncertainty in the market, and this month might be closing as a hightest. Keep in mind that this is the monthly timeframe, price action patterns and signals take way longer to form, thus have mostly way more significance, than lets say the hour chart. Going further on the weekly chart one can see how significant the resistance/support zone at which price is sitting has been in the past. 5 Rejections have occured, most of them pretty violent. Furthermore we can see that price has really moved with little to no pullbacks and is now chopping at the resistance zone. What does this mean for us as traders? Mostly choppiness is just uncertainty in a market. To make money in this profession, we have to act as smart traders. Smart traders dont just trade when they see something closing in on a potential reversal zone, they build a portfolio for each trade and act upon their trading plan. So far what do we have? - A overextended bullish run - Price is sitting at resistance - Price has formed a doji and might be forming a hightest on the monthly - Price is also sitting in the 0.5 fib monthly level (treat fib levels like a zone) - Choppiness on the weekly For me personally this isn't enough to justify a trade, so lets zoom in on the daily chart. I used the same levels and what do we see? Massive bearish MACD divergence and a h&s pattern that formed, with a slanting neckline. Now this doesnt mean that this pair will drop with 100% uncertainty, however it gives us more confluence to put into our tradingportfolio. So adding to the confluence mentioned above, we now have: - A h&s pattern on the daily - Daily bearish MACD divergence To pinpoint wether price action is going to change, i also like to look at the 4h chart: The 4hour chart confirms what we've seen on the daily. A h&s pattern with massive macd divergence. However it also tells us that the neckline of the h&s pattern still holds strong. The first indication of a potential trendchange would be a lower high at the 4h 50 EMA. However I wouldn't enter the trade until the neckline is broken and retested. This is how I like to put together my trades. Ofcourse the are short trading opportunities which are not showing on the monthly or weekly, however it is always good to build a portfolio for each trade, look at it from different timeframes and justify your actions with confluence. I will keep you updated and should price move in the right direction I will ofcourse also show my PT and stop placement. Until then have a good one!
Short
by Schlabberlatz