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EURUSD 15M 28/04/2023Currently, in the 15-minute timeframe, we are in an uptrend range that extends from 1.10158 to 1.09626, with the former being the liquidity point of the range. We have a demand zone at 1.09850. Personally, I would like to see a double structure breakout to the upside before considering a long position, as a single breakout could indicate a re-distribution, making the marked zone more likely to be liquidated. We must wait and see the price reaction or if the 2-hour range is broken with a strong candle.
Long
by mdr300896
SPX Falls Below the Midpoint of Its 13-Year Uptrend ChannelPrimary Chart: Logarithmic Chart with 13-Year Secular Uptrend Defined by Parallel Channel BRIEF SUMMARY: The secular uptrend over the past 13 years is still valid and contains within its boundaries the current bear market, which is at the primary trend level. SPX's price has fallen past the midpoint of the channel. Two weekly closes have been below the midpoint of this channel. This week's close was lower than last weeks, which is not bullish at all, even if an oversold relief rally is becoming more likely. The lower edge of the channel, called the upward trendline, lies at 3000 to 3200 from year end to about May 2023. If this bear market lasts that long, the lower edge of the channel may provide a good spot for the bear to end—or for a much longer-term shift in trend should that line break. SPX has been in what technicians call a secular uptrend for approximately 13 years. A secular trend is an even higher degree of trend than the commonly discussed "primary trend." A primary trend typically ranges from about 9 months to 2 years. Two recent examples illustrate the primary trend: (1) The bull market from the March 2020 lows to the January 2022 highs, and (2) the bear market from the January 2022 high to the present date (9 months exactly). By contrast, a secular trend is about 12-25 years long according to technical expert Martin Pring. When examining the price on a weekly chart from the lows of the 2008-2009 crash (the Great Financial Crisis) to the present date, one can find that the price has stayed within a trend channel, respecting its upper and lower boundaries more or less. Will the channel break to show a much larger and longer-term shift in change? That is a question that no one can answer, but it will be worth noting whether price breaks or finds support at the channels lower boundary, the upward trendline. Recently, price broke through the midpoint of this channel . Last week was the first weekly close below the midpoint. This week followed through with a decisive move lower and a second close below the midpoint—along with a lower weekly low. This is not bullish no matter how oversold oscillators and indicators may be. Speaking of oscillators, what oscillators predicted whether the June 2022 lows would be undercut? None: they all looked like they could be oversold, or close enough to oversold to work for a double bottom. The double-bottom conversation also suggests that capitulation is not present. The widespread discussion of the term is actually bullish, reflecting hopes that the market will reverse its downtrend and put in a bullish reversal formation that will lead back to all-time highs. Is that the sort of sentiment that is commonly seen at a true bear-market low? The five stages of a bear market include denial, anger, bargaining, depression, and acceptance. Could equity markets still be in denial? Or have markets moved to the third stage of bargaining? With all the talk of "double bottoms," in both equities and crypto, perhaps the current stage is "bargaining." Why? By describing the present selloff in this bear market as a "double bottom," market participants attempt to place the current ugly decline in a positive light. A double bottom, after all, is a pattern that implies a powerful rally after the second bottom, where the rally eventually exceeds the peak between the two bottoms and continues thereafter once confirmed. So all the banter about double bottoms shows that a lot of bullish hopes still have not been crushed. The end of a bear market, however, evidences the fourth and fifth stages of bear-market grief, which is depression and acceptance (capitulation). Sure, a double bottom could lead to a nice bounce because oversold extremes tend to cause mean reversions anyway, and when everyone is looking at a double bottom, shorts may cover and investors may try to pick the bottom. That is why my hypothetical arrow shows a jagged trip to the lower upward trendline of the parallel channel. First a little lower, then higher in another OS bounce / bear rally, then lower again, then up as people try to catch the low, then lower again, and so on. Eventually, price may likely come into contact with the lower edge of the channel—and the long-term secular uptrend will still be intact and neatly contain this bear market. In other words, this bear market at the level of primary trend will not invalidate the secular uptrend, unless price breaks that line around SPX 3000-3100 (considering where the line lies in 3 to 6 months). ________________________________________ Author's Comments: (1) Thank you for reviewing this post and considering its charts and analysis. The author welcomes comments, discussion and debate in the comment section. Shared charts are especially helpful to support any opposing or alternative view. (2) This technical-analysis view does not constitute a trade recommendation or trade setup. Instead, it attempts to offer technical commentary that describes and analyzes price levels, trends, price action, or the broader technical environment as of the publication date. Technical-analysis commentary does not equate to trade setups or recommendations. Within a given price environment, traders bear responsibility for their own trading strategy, risk tolerance, and time frame, and for any due diligence associated with such trades. (3) This technical-analysis viewpoint could change at a moment's notice, e.g., when price violates a key level of invalidation for a particular view. Further, proper risk-management techniques are vital to trading success. (4) To the extent countertrend price moves are discussed, consider that countertrend or mean-reversion trading, e.g., trading a rally in a bear market, remains higher risk and lower probability even for the most experienced traders and investors. DISCLAIMER: This post contains commentary published solely for educational and informational purposes. This post's content (and any content available through links in this post) and its views do not constitute financial advice or an investment or trading recommendation, and they do not account for readers' personal financial circumstances, or their investing or trading objectives, time frame, and risk tolerance. Readers should perform their own due diligence, and consult a qualified / licensed financial adviser or other financial or investment professional before entering any trade, investment or other transaction.
TVC:SPX
by SquishTrade
17
New Free Indicator: Correlation AnalysisAvailable in TradingView's indicators Library or directly from my profile (Correlation Analysis). As the name suggests, this indicator is a market correlation analysis tool. It contains two main features: - The Curve: represents the historic correlation coefficient between the current chart and the “Reference Market” input from the settings menu. It aims to give more depth to the current correlation values found in the second feature. - The Screener: this second feature displays all correlation coefficient values between the (max) 20 markets inputs. You can use it to create several screeners for several market types (crypto, forex, metals, etc.) or even replicate your current portfolio of investments and gauge the correlation of its components. Aside from these two previous features, you can visually plot the variation rate from one bar to another along with the covariance coefficient (both used in the correlation calculation). Finally, a simple “signal” moving average can be applied to the correlation coefficient. I might add alerts to this script or even turn it into a strategy to do some backtesting. Do not hesitate to contact me or comment below if this is something you would be interested in or if you have any suggestions for improvement. Enjoy!!
BITSTAMP:ETHUSD
by LucasVivien
2
Li Auto is the price going to continue to drop?Li Auto has been red for the last few days but if you look at the price action its been trying to hold its own and hasn't really dumped. Somethings changing or happening right now and I believe its a balance shift. In this video I use this perfect oppurtunity to show how the ESVO can show you where Absorption has been hit, when momentum has shifted, and where price targets are for potential push down to absorb the remainder of the float or to repeat the N pattern(pain pattern that creates the catalyst for an upwards movement off the bottom.) Of course, if you find any of this intriguing pls like, follow, and most of all boost so others can find my videos. Thank you! by iCant84it 04.05.23
NASDAQ:LILong
by iCantw84it
AAPL insider trading and net cash flow from positive to -70Mil AAPL with all of it's great achievments has what seems started to run out of steam.... With insider trading recently and net cash flow going from a surplus in 2019 to trending negative since and at -$70 mil currently.... I see signs of weakness. Looking at the chat there are clear signs of manipulation and gapping up over solid resistance areas to get to where it is today. This recent pull back for re-accumulation looks like a failed re-accumulation mid run. This is apple so I am not sure how much of a fight this will put up. However, I feel confident this will drop to at least close the gaps. 8 Days should be enough for the $161 traget. 36days should be safe for a Price target of $152. Which seems ambitious when looking at it from the top but its been on a straight 45 degree angle since Mid March. However, this is the same stock that took from Jan 2021 to Mar 2023 to finally make support out of the $140s. If this pulled back to $152 it would be completly conservative compared to those 2 years. This $152 area is the last place there was synergy between volume and price. Which means this is the last place buyers and sellers saw eye to eye for a period longer than a few hours. If you like or are intrigued by this analysis pls like and follow and of course hit the BOOST button as thats how more people will be able to see this. This isn't financial advice and I wouldn't suggest blindly following my trades, if you see the price going against save your profits and or money and look for another entry. by iCantw84it 04.06.23
NASDAQ:AAPLShort
by iCantw84it
3
Bili Puts Update is it time to get out?Using the ESVO and looking at some different points of view from the previous move off the bottom, I have decided that we are not at the bottom of this move and we should be seeing another push down until we find synergy with price and volume. If we have a move to the upside I believe it will target $22.61 then dump to about $18.69 possibly deeper until we find that sweet spot where the two meet. If you find any of this intriquing pls Like Follow and Boost because that really helps me get more views. Thank you. by iCantw84it 04.05.23
NASDAQ:BILIShort
by iCantw84it
The unknown obvious: resolution vs timeframeChart resolution and chart timeframes are the synonyms, true, but the difference between resolution based mindset and timeframe based mindset is huge. As it is in reality, pure charts are just tick charts that then get aggregated, mostly by time. So it's all the same data, just different amount in different detail. If you operate manually you free to scroll through all the resolutions, generally from lower to higher to gain all the information you need in best possible way. So you mindset is this, "I need more info ima be scrolling through resolutions and be gaining it". The term "timeframe" is much more applicable for automated trading. There, it's very complicated to use multiple resolutions at the same time for many reasons, instead it's easier to use multiple data ranges within one resolution. For example, you run a bot (not robot) on 1 minute chart, this bot executes & fine tunes the signals based on very short window of 4 datapoints, generates the actual signals based on 16 datapoint window, chooses a signal generation method based on 64 last datapoints, and chooses between competing assets based window length 256. Then you ran an ensemble of these bots on every 'timeframe', this way you can emulate but never achieve a proper manual operation. And it's good to use common but different methods on each of data windows to reduce correlations inside the ensemble, not like it's shown on my chart (disregard the levels).
CME_MINI:NQ1!Education
by gorx1
Ethereum Multi time frames 🔵1 h chart 🔴4 h chart 🟢daily chartEthereum Multi time frames 🔵1 h chart - SMA200 and volume resistance $1,202 as strong combination to break🚨👀 🔴4 h chart - further resistance with EMA50 🟢daily chart - strong volume support at $1,086.5 Let me know your thoughts in the comments🤗 ⬇️⬇️⬇️ Likes and Follow for updates appreciated🤗 Disclaimer: Not financial advice Do your own research before investing The content shared is for educational purposes only and is my personal opinion
CME:ETH1!
by Crypto4Everybody
Is The gold Market About To Collapse?!In the early Asian session trading it looks like Gold is respecting a 3 month key level... offering a great opportunity for a high risk to reward trade. These key levels when respected, get huge price momentum and are the catalysts for long multi year trends. Could this be the start of a new one? In our analysis we break down from the 3month to the 15minute timeframe and show all of the potential key levels Gold can trade into. Let us know your thoughts below.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by JoelWarby
2
Multichain (MULTI) formed bullish Gartley for upto 21.50% pumpHi dear friends, hope you are well, and welcome to the new update on Multichain (MULTI) with US Dollar pair. On a 4-hr time frame, MULTI has formed a bullish Gartley pattern. At the moment the priceline is slightly moved up, therefore, we can wait for some price correction to buy it from the potential price reversal zone. Note: Above idea is for educational purpose only. It is advised to diversify and strictly follow the stop loss, and don't get stuck with trade
MLong
by moon333