Bullish and Bearish Gold WeeklyMultiple time touching at 1680 and bouncing back to 1800 and above range. In this correction it may take below 1680 look like which will take us to 1500 and below. As DXY is very Bullish.
Trend Analysis Fibonacci Multiple Time Frame Analysis XAUUSD Gold goldanalysis fibonaccianalysis Fibonacci Confluence
Multiple
O (Realty Income Corporation) - Bearish Multiple Top - DailyO (Realty Income Corporation) stock price has reached a two-year, all-time-high resistance zone of $72.56.
If resistance holds strong, the stock price could pullback over time to test support below.
O (realty income corporation) reports earnings on 05/04/2022.
Entry (short): $71.56
Profit Target +4% (exit): $68.59
Stop Loss -2% (exit): $72.91
Utilize stop loss, position sizing, risk management.
Note: XLRE real estate ETF has also begun to pullback on a daily chart.
All content is Not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
Time For Splunk To Bounce Up?Based on historical movement, the trough could occur anywhere in the larger red box. The final targets are in the green boxes. The pending top should occur within the larger green box as has been the historical case. Half of all movement has ended in the smaller green box. In this instance, the signal indicated BUY on May 4, 2021 with a closing price of 119.41.
If this instance is successful, that means the stock should rise to at least 120.045 which is the bottom of the larger green box. Three-quarters of all successful signals have the stock rise 3.1735% from the signal closing price. This percentage is the bottom of the smaller green box. Half of all successful signals have the stock rise 5.92% which is the end point of the black dotted arrow. One-quarter of all successful signals have the stock rise 8.0325% from the signal closing price which is the top of the smaller green box. The maximum rise on record would see a move to the top of the larger green box. These are the same concepts for the levels in the red boxes as well.
The ends/vertical sides of the boxes are determined in a similar fashion. The peak of the rise can occur as soon as the next trading bar after signal close, while the max rise occurs within the limit of study at 50 trading bars after the signal. A 0.4% rise must occur over the next 50 trading bars in order to be considered a success. Three-quarters of successful movement occur after at least 18.0 trading bars; half occur within 36.0 trading bars, and one-quarter require at least 46.0 trading bars.
The black dotted arrow represents median historical movement. Medians are a good metric, but they are just one of many I use when forecasting future movement.
As always, the stock could decline the very next bar after the signal without looking back (therefore the red boxes would not come into play) or the stock may never decline (and the green boxes may never come into play).
All movement could technically be over after the second bar from signal as the larger green box was breached and followed by a retreat. If this is not the case, it is interesting the close today occurred in line with the bottom of the smaller red box, meaning the drop could be over and a week or two of gains may start as early as the open tomorrow.
All statistics and the full analysis are available for free as always at the site below.
New 13 day high > modified turtle soup, plus momentum pinball SOmetimes find signal 'combos' that do not pass signal rules on their own....however my rationale
for entering is that if get a loosely fitting on 'two signals' it adds to the conviction that the trade my have a
slighly higher probability of working out...of course the risk is higher on these 'blended signal trades'
so have to expect a higher failure rate and use a tight stoploss.
Boeing forming Multiple Head and ShouldersWeekly Chart :
The time will tell, but meanwhile the chart tells us that the odds pointing to huge Reversal Pattern.
Multiple Head and Shoulders contains several shoulders, in our case 3 from each side.
Note the huge volume spike in the Head.
Note the inner Neckline and the Outer Neckline.
Short trades will be taken when the price will break down the outer line by a range that equal to 3% from the price at the moment.
If the breakout will carry Peakup in volume, it is more safe to wait for retest on the lines and then take the trade.
The first Target is 250.
Good Luck!
Baidu ready to recover after Q2 resultsThe stock has been in negative Weekly RSI since a few weeks now...
Last time this happened in 2015, the stock had jumped up by 70% after it recovered. In terms of Risk/Return it looks very attractive as the bottom has been hit while the recovery can be significantly interesting.
Fundamentally the stock has been hurt due to global environment (china trade war / economic slow-down) and the business has for the first time seen a real slow down in revenue and earnings (especially due to investment in new tech)
However, currently the valuation fundamentally doesn't make sense.
If you include CTRIP, IQIYI and the 12.5bn cash position. It means that Baidu Core Search engine is currently valued at 10BN
This mean 1x Revenue Multiple / 2x EBITDA Multiple. Not seen many companies trading at 2x EBITDA multiple. Huge undervaluation due to sentiment..
One More Pull Back Before The Long
Weekly: 3 waves completed and I expect to see wave 4 complete to the upside.
Daily: The corective structure broke to the upside indicating that wave 4 is taking place.
H4: The corrective structure has broken to the upside. I am looking for an entry trigger for the long.
H1: I expect a pull back to complete wave 3 and will look to enter the long when a reversal from that point has been confirmed.
Bullish Cross On The Mayer MultipleThe Mayer Multiple has proven over time to be a relatively good signal to get back into cryptocurrencies, also based on BTC making higher highs, I feel now is a good time to buy a big chunk of bitcoin, if we do continue to go lower, which is possible I will hold onto my coins but be accumulating throughout next year. Although I do not feel we will go below 6,000 (Although I hope we do) but if we do I will be looking to buy another chunk of bitcoin at around 4k. My Target if we go to new highs would be around 360,000 in 2 -3 Years from now but I will be reevaluating my sells based on how fast or slow the market moves and other indications that may appear along the way.
Bitcoin & the Mayer MultipleThe Mayer Multiple (named after investor Trace Mayer) is a statistical estimator which can be used for investing strategies.
Mayer Multiple = Spot Price / 200 Daily Moving Average
The 200 daily moving average covers the last 40 weeks of trading and is considered a major long-term support/resistance so it is not chosen arbitrarily here.
The Mayer Multiple delivers a number M > 0 which represents some multiple of Bitcoin's 200 daily moving average, e.g. at time of writing M = 0.9, that is 0.9x 200 daily moving average.
We can see that M rarely goes above 2.4 and in fact, according to the Investors Podcast, M < 2.4 for 91.99% of the time in Bitcoin's history.
Currently M = 0.9 and again, according to Investors Podcast, M > 0.9 for 75% of Bitcoin's history. This means that 75% of the time, the Mayer Multiple was higher than the current value. So on average we can expect it to increase from here with good likelihood.
The Investors Podcast ran a cost-averaging simulation and showed that buying Bitcoin -0.14% when M >= 2.4 did not improve chances of gains. (Cost-averaging is not trading, but is simply buying a certain amount periodically.)
Detailed information is contained here: www.youtube.com and www.theinvestorspodcast.com
The Chart
Looking at the chart the Mayer Multiple (M) is shown in green, the white horizontal is the M = 2.4 line and the orange line plot is the 200 daily moving average of the Mayer Multiple itself (not of Bitcoin!).
M has a rising support line dating back to the 2012 bottom. One interesting thing that must be pointed out is that M is now comfortably above its 200 daily moving average. Compare to Jan 2012 and Mar 2015. Remember kids, there is no Mt.Gox! This move above the moving average is bullish but it must hold.
The previous 2015 bottom scored M = 0.4. This is actually extremely rare. Bitcoin -0.14% has only spent less than 0.25% of its time at this level. Likewise the the 2012 bottom is rarer still, in fact orders of magnitude rarer.
What is really noticeable, long-term, is that the Mayer Multiple is moving within an ever tighter range about its 200 daily moving average. The large volatility of the early days is receding and the market is becoming more mature.
RGEN - LEAPS & BOUNDs RGEN: Repligen Corporation is a bioprocessing company. The Company is focused on the development, manufacture and commercialization of products used to improve the interconnected phases of the biological drug manufacturing process. The Company's portfolio includes protein products, chromatography products, and filtration products.
RGEN as a mid-cap is new watch and being saved for own watch list and entry steep right now. 2.4B Mkt Cap and similiar EV. BETA 0.71 so great buy and forget stock. Debt low to cash flow.
Ownership: 80 Institution, 3 Management and insider trend has been sell. Look at chart and ask why?
Q2 Earnings in early Aug. were good, but first time below mkt expectations in awhile....so watching. Q3 E in early Nov-18.
Buylongselllong format courtesy of @MarxBabu. Format changed to add 1w MA and add resistance line for optimal entry. Comments & feedback appreciated especially if you understand the technology by Repligen.
Approaching Monthly support for EURUSDHere you see we are coming out of a zone of consolidation after failing to stay above the 50% retracement of weekly levels, have a H&S pattern on the weekly as well, 4H, D, W MA'S crossover for bearish sentiment and acting as resistance on 4H as we approach this monthly support. I am looking for a retest of the blue zone for a clean entry with a great risk to reward ratio reaching just before the monthly support, I believe this will be broken because of how structure looks on the monthly and weekly. Multiple time frame analysis shows bearish sentiment. Lets see if this plays out.
GBPJPY Short at supply areaGBPJPY has retraced to a 30 minute supply area.
The newly established 30 minute downtrend and the broken uptrend (red trendline) indicates that the higher timeframe's (8hr, originally from a 2 day chart) gray supply area is holding and that sellers are pushing down from this area. Hopefully we can get a small bounce for a 1:1 Risk:Reward, as indicated on the chart.
Remember to trade with the probabilities. No single trade determines our performance, we will all have a loser once in a while.
Take care,
TheSupportResistanceTrader
Better Alerts: Make alerts using multiple indicators, easilySurprised nobody has pushed for this idea already.
Programming languages usually have a means to pass global data from one module (in our case an indicator) to another.
Pinescript has a hint of this when we can write a script that allows one input statement that can pull the plotted series from another script in the same chart.
i.e. a script that contains : x = input(close, title="source data")
Go to setting for this script and click the "source data" drop down box.
There you should see the option to select the plotted output of any other script, great.
Now you do not need to modify the original indicator script,
instead you can now write an ALERT script that references the indicators plotted data.
Now for the real power to make your own ALERT logic.
Add multiple indicators to your chart.
Now you could have an Alert script that does not just say alert me when the RSI is over sold,
But alert me when RSI is over sold, and CCI is crossing -100 and the 20 MA is crossing over the 50 MA.
Wouldn't that be GREAT !!!
Wait, I'm sorry but Pinescript only allows one input statement in a script to do this.
The real potential for this has been kept dormant.
Do you want to really unleash your potential with alerts ?
I think it is time Tradingview fixes this limitation so we can have the control we need and deserve.
I suppose we could try to pull all the logic for each indicator into a single script,
making sure the multiple scripts do not have conflicting logic and fields.
A time consuming prospect, difficult to maintain, and very messy in the end.
But here a simple fix could make life trading a lot easier.
Thank you for your support
GBPCHF Multiple strong short signalsThe technical analysis, that is analyzed according to my trading strategy, shows there are multiple short signals on GBPCHF daily chart. Also considering the fundamental aspect, there are currently some uncertainties around the Brexit and the future relationship between Britain and the European Union, which can strengthen the theory of a stop to the gains.
A bat pattern has been formed with its previous high being followed, by a bearish engulfing pattern. Now, with the latest high followed by an much stronger bearish engulfing pattern, that also breaks the bollinger upper band, I have a short trade signal, so I went short sunday evening, when the markets reopened from the weekend. My targets are currently around the 1.27000 and 1.29000 levels, but can change depending on the future price action. If the price fails to break below the 1.31147 level, the trade will be closed.
$xlp further short term breakdownhigher time frame is showing defined uptrend with an over-extension on breakout pulling back
mid time frame is showing markup to distribution to consolidation for the next leg down
descending triangle is forming against downtrend line and multiple test of support is showing weakness
possible breakdown to breakout level of 55.7x on higher time frame- first level 56.2x
lower time frame is showing range bound action with sellers slightly in control
descending triangle is also forming- worth monitoring price action