GBPCAD MA Short + 52 Pip PotentialWe have a nice down move in this pair, so we will look to get in on a pullback. This is an MA trade with a high probability and Good RRR.
Entry 1.7058
Stop = 1.7078
Risk = 20 pips
Profit target = 1.7006
Reward = +50
RRR = 2.5-1
** Once this trade is up + 25 pips, move your stop to breakeven and let it run :)
Multipletimeframe
Wait for the Easy Set-ups and the purpose of Trading I often have traders ask me, how can I get alot of trades? And my response is that is the wrong question, the purpose of trading is to make Money, Period. It is, imho, to make as much money as you can in as few trades and in as little of time as possible. Although I have several methods of trading, the SS MA method, shown here is my absolute favorite. It has an 87% success rate with a healthy 3-1 RRR.
That said, I often ask those same traders "If you could consistently make 6-12% per week but could only take 2 trades, would you do it?" The answers are surprising as again, imho, anybody that says anything but yes really needs to rethink why they are trading. You should not be trading for the excitement, you should not be trading just to hit buttons. You should be trading so you can sit on a beach with the cocktail of your choice in hand.
to that end, I would implore you to come up with your best trading methodology and trade only that. As I have prominently posted between my monitors, as a reminder to myself "Wait for the easy set-ups and don't do anything stupid in the mean time" :)
GBPCHF SS Short + 90 Pip PotentialPrice is below the Daily, 60 and 15 KS as well as the cloud. This is a Type 1 trade with a High probability and good RRR.
2 Potential entries (it is one or the other, not both)
Entry = 1.2962
Stop = 1.2982
Risk = 20 pips
Profit target = 1.2872 ( The projected daily low )
Reward = +90 Pips
RRR = 4.5-1
2nd Entry = 1.2937
Stop =1.2967
Risk = 30 pips
Profit target = 1.2872 ( The projected daily low )
Reward = 65
RRR = 2.1 -1
GBPCAD SS Short + 103 Pip PotentialPrice is below the Daily, 60 and 15 KS as well as the cloud. This is a Type 1 trade with a High probability and good RRR.
2 Potential entries (it is one or the other, not both)
Entry = 1.7274
Stop = 1.7294
Risk = 20 pips
Profit target = 1.7171 ( The projected daily low )
Reward = + 103
RRR = 5-1
2nd Entry = 1.7250
Stop = 1.7280
Risk = 30 pips
Profit target = 1.7171 ( The projected daily low )
Reward = + 79
RRR =2.6 - 1
GBPCHF Potential Homerun LongGBP has been weak for several days and CHF Strong. this pair has now formed a triple bottom with compression at 1.3099. Although the cloud remains thick, it is flattening. There is a high probability that this pair can explode up to The Daily Senkou A at 1.3109 (the Green line)
Entry = 1.30115 (accouting for spread)
Stop =1.29915
Risk = 20 pips
Profit target = 1.3109 ( The Daily Senkou A )
Reward = 98
RRR = 4.9 -1
GBPAUD SS Sell + 128 Pip PotnetialPrice is below the 60 and 15 KS as well as the cloud. This is a Type 1 trade with a High probability and good RRR.
2 Potential entries (it is one or the other, not both)
Entry = 1.8672 (60 KS)
Stop = 1.8692
Risk = 20 pips
Profit target = 1.8544 ( The projected daily low )
Reward = 128
RRR = 6.4 -1
2nd Entry = 1.8617
Stop = 1.8637
Risk = 30 pips
Profit target = 1.8544 ( The projected daily low )
Reward = 73 Pips
RRR = 2.4 -1
GBPAUD SS Long + 208 Pip PotentialPrice is above the Daily, 60 and 15 KS as well as the cloud. This is a Type 1 trade with a High probability and good RRR.
2 Potential entries (it is one or the other, not both)
Entry = 1.8609 (the 60 KS)
Stop = 1.8589
Risk = 20 pips
Profit target = 1.8704 ( The projected daily high )
Reward = 95 Pips
RRR = 4.75 -1
2nd Entry = 1.8672
Stop = 1.8642
Risk = 30 pips
Profit target = 1.8880 (recent swing high)
Reward = 208 PIps
RRR = 6.9-1
How I trade News with high probabilty and a Great RRR :) Trading news can often be a nightmare especially trying to trade at the time of release as brokers often widen their spreads
and slip orders to the extreme of the spike.
This is a high probability method with Great RRR
As you can see the market spiked up on worse then expected AUD GDP news.
then the market went into a consolidation, and this is key to finding great entries.
After the market consolidated for at least 60 minutes, look for a support level for a buy
and a resistance level for a Sell.
Place a limit order at the support/resistance level with stop appropriate for the pair.
(in this example I am trading GBPAUD - my fav, so I use a 20 pip stop)
Place your profit target at 5x your stop. This gives you a Robust 5-1 RRR.
let the trade unfold. If you have any questions, either place them in the comments or message me
Hope this helps :)
Allen
When Not to TradeSometimes it is better not to trade. Today for me, was one of those days. I was extremely tired, which happens from time to time as I get up at 1:30 am my time to trade. This can lead to mistakes. Today's trade idea is a good example, although GBPAUD was in a bullish run and I was looking and posted an idea for a pullback trade, there was signs of a reversal. I believe if I was awake and thinking clearly, I would have seen these signs from the beginning. Fortunately, I was able to close my long trade for a small gain (+ 5 pips). The following is a list of indications that I missed because I was tired.
First, The market had already pulled back and bounced off of my moving average, so it is less likely to happen again;
Second, the Ma was flattening, as opposed to staying in an uptrend, which is never a good sign;
Third, I missed that the market had hit the 60 min Senkou A, which can always be expected to provide resistance;
Fourth, The market fails to hold bullish as evidenced by the long wicks. Moreover, This is a great indication that the market
is getting ready to reverse and a great selling opportunity
IMHO, Trading is hard enough without making avoidable mistakes. I hope this helps others
Allen
GBPJPY SS Short + 98 Pip PotentialPrice is below the Daily, 60 and 15 KS as well as the cloud. This is a Type 1 trade with a High probability and Great RRR.
2 Potential entries (it is one or the other, not both)
Entry = 144.04 (pullback)
Stop = 144.24
Risk = 20 pips
Profit target = 143.06 ( The projected daily low )
Reward = 98 Pips
RRR = 4.9 -1
2nd Entry = 143.58
Stop = 143.88
Risk = 30 pips
Profit target = 143.06 ( The projected daily low )
Reward = 52
RRR = 1.7 -1
GBPAUD SS Short +130 Pip PotentialPrice is below the 60 and 15 KS as well as the cloud. This is a Type 1 trade with a High probability and Great RRR.
2 Potential entries (it is one or the other, not both)
Entry = 1.8643 (pullback)
Stop = 1.8663
Risk = 20 pips
Profit target = 1.8511 ( The projected daily low)
Reward = 130 Pips
RRR = 6.5 -1
2nd Entry = 1.8604
Stop = 1.8634
Risk = 30 pips
Profit target = 1.8511 ( The projected daily low )
Reward = 93
RRR = 3.1 -1
GBPAUD Post News Short + 100 Pip PotentialPrice came down after the Bank of Australia kept the Rate unchanged at 1.50 (although Forex Factory shows it as increase). Price has formed a consolidation box with a high of 1.86602. This is a Post News Type trade with a High probability and Great RRR.
Entry = 1.8659
Stop = 1.8679
Risk = 20 pips
Profit target = 1.8559
Reward = 100 Pips
RRR = 5-1
GBPAUD Long + 152 Pip PotentialPrice is above the Daily and 60 15 KS and in the cloud. This is a Type 2 trade with a High probability and a Great RRR. Moreover, the entry will be at the "close of the gap window"
Entry = 1.87265 (60 KS)
Stop = 1.86965
Risk = 30 pips
Profit target = 1.88816 (the prior high)
Reward = 155
RRR = 5-1
GBPAUD SS Short + 120 Pip PotentialPrice is currently only below the 15 KS. However, If the market closes below the 60 KS AFTER the 2:30 candle, price will then be below both the 60KS and the 15min Cloud creating a Type 1 trade. Type 1 trades have a High probability of success and good RRR.
Entry = Close below the 60 KS (blue line) 1.86079 AFTER the 2:30 am candle
Stop = ???
Risk = 30 pips
Profit target = 1.8490
Reward = approx 120 pips
RRR = 4-1
GBPUSD SS Short + 75 PIp Potential*Price is below the 60 and 15 KS. This will be a Type 1 trade if the market closes below the Daily KS at 1.30111. It has a High probability of success and good RRR.
2 Potential entries (it is one or the other, not both)
Entry = CLOSE below the Daliy KS at 1.30311
Stop = ???
Risk = 30 pips
Profit target = 1.2950
Reward = approx 75 Pips
RRR = ???
** remember Non-farm Payroll will be released at 8:30 am EST. which will directly effect this trade
you will want to be out of it by then.
GBPJPY SS Long + 60 Pip PotentialPrice is just below the Daily KS , but above 60 and 15 KS as well as the cloud. This is a Type 1 trade with a High probability and good RRR.
Entry = Close above cloud at 145.485
Stop = ??
Risk = 20 pips
Profit target = 146.20
Reward = ??
RRR = 3-1 or greater
NEED a close above the Daily KS at 145.485 for entry
GBPNZD SS Long + 80 Pip PotentialPrice is above the Daily, 60 and 15 KS as well as the cloud. This is a Post News trade with a High probability and good RRR.
2 Potential entries
1st Entry = 1.9592
Stop = 1.9572
Risk = 20 pips
Profit target = 1.9672
Reward = 80 Pips
RRR = 4-1
2nd Entry = 1.9630
Stop = 1.9610
Risk = 20 pips
Profit target = 1.9710
Reward = 80 Pips
RRR = 4-1
GBPAUD SS Short + 92 Pip PotentialPrice is below the Daily, 60 and 15 KS as well as the cloud. This is a Type 1 trade with a High probability and good RRR.
2 Potential entries:
1st Entry = 1.8378 (top of box)
Stop = 1.8398
Risk = 20 pips
Profit target = 1.8286 ( The projected daily low )
Reward = 92 pips
RRR = 4.6 - 1
OR
2nd Entry = 1.8340
Stop = 1.8370
Risk = 30
Profit target = 1.8286 ( The projected daily low )
Reward = 56 pips
RRR = 1.86 - 1
GBPAUD SS Short + 105 pip PotentialPrice is below the Daily, 60 and 15 KS as well as the cloud. This is a Type 1 trade with a High probability and great RRR.
2 Potential entries:
1st Entry = 1.8413 (2 pips below the Daily KS)
Stop = 1.8433
Risk = 20 pips
Profit target = 1.8308( The projected daily low )
Reward = 105 pips
RRR = 5-1
2nd Entry = 1.8371 (8 pips below the Asian low)
Stop = 1.9401
Risk = 30 pips
Profit target = 1.8308 ( The projected daily low )
Reward = 63 pips
RRR = 2-1